The historical F.A.S.T. Graphs research tool provides a clear historical perspective of the company's normal operating results and prices or valuations. Their primary purpose is to illustrate the strong correlation and functional relationship between earnings and market price (in the long run). These graphs capture volumes of fundamental data at a glance. However, it's important to understand that they are only "tools to think with" and should only represent the starting point to more extensive fundamental research. On the other hand, in an instant, these powerful tools can tell the user more about the success of the businesses behind the companies they are analyzing than any other research tool available.
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Great video. You’re so good at putting things into perspective.
I own some european stocks denominated in EUR and for whatever reason Fastgraphs draws my average cost above my real cost basis. Lets say my cost basis is 30 EUR and Fastgraphs draws average cost EUR 32.
CLICK on the support -bottom right hand corner- and they will help
Thank you !! Great video ❤
I think Tesla, Amazon and Nvidia are the best of the bunch for future growth.
Quick question Chuck, first let me say that I absolutely love your software and consider it genuinely invaluable in my investment journey… My question is, so far I haven’t been able to find a way to visually see shareholder dilution for a given company. I’m still learning new things about this wonderful analyzer tool. Is this metric in there somewhere?
Thank you for the kind words, and for the question. Share count, share buybacks and dilution are available to premium subscribers in several places. For a quick look under the company tab go to "fiscal fitness" and click “share buybacks”. Here you can look at the data both quarterly and annually. For a more comprehensive view go to the income statement under the financial statement section and look for common shares outstanding, diluted etc. Additionally, under FUN (financial underlying numbers) graphs once again go to the income statement under in millions and you will see diluted shares outstanding and basic shares outstanding. Regards, Chuck
@@FASTgraphs Got it… Sounds like it’s time I upgraded to the premium service. Thanks Chuck
Great video! Always learning! Thanks
@chuck carnevale . I am a happy supscriber and use Fastgraph a lot. But can you explain when to use Earnings and when to use Cashflow. Example you made Meta look to expensive in this video but if you analyze by Cashflow it is Under valued. what is correct ??
Thanks for being a happy subscriber. Also, thanks for the question. This is 1 of the most common questions we get. My stock answer to the basic question which metric should I use? - Is all of them. In other words it is so easy to go through each metric what you’re getting to the point with a stock that you are actually considering investing in it. But perhaps even more importantly, run through multiple time frames as I did in this video. Pay most attention to the most recent time frames and finally make your decision based on the forecasting calculators. For example, and the answer to your question about META is the note when you look at cash flows the blue line or normal price to cash flow is more relevant than the orange line when using that metric. The stock still looks moderately overvalued even when run on cash flows using current and future data. To summarize, use all the various earnings metrics, cash flow metrics ,EBITDA, EBIT, price to sales etc. Each metric provides a clue but no single metric is always the defining metric. Amazon is a good example and I explained in the video that operating cash flow seems to be the most reliable metric. But finally, judgment is always required, but the beauty of FAST Graphs is that they are dynamic and provide the ability to look at the company in various ways and time frames. I hope this helps, Chuck
@@FASTgraphs Thankyou for the answer
Fact on C3ai it has already re named three times and done complete different hypes. e.g. 2009 as C3. It was focused on energy management, and never earned money - well of course outside of poor investors.
Another great presentation!
Triple b why because he don't go along with the esg dei complete manure idea
Thanks for the video. Can you please analysis Wise plc company ? This is a popular money transfer service , they are growing very fast profitably, recently price dropped to P/E 20 that presents a good buying opportunity
Hey Chuck, thanks for your videos and all the financial insight and wisdom. I really appreciate the info you share!! Question, are SBUX and NKE solid companies to invest in currently? Thanks! Blessings!
Chuck, do you feel pressured in recommending popular stocks. Just because they are popular?
Do you think I am recommending these stocks? If you do, you need to watch the video again.
Love it Chuck! please do a video on Chipottle please!!!!!
Another very cool video! Chuck is the man
Terrific video!
Because the want to be rich quick
Sold them all Apple last week.
Thanks.
FOMO is so strong with these stocks... These stock prices are irrational. Why can't people see the math?
FACTS.. So many Apple investors completely ignore fundamentals and think Apple is worth any price. They get offended when you tell them Apple is overpriced.
True, the problem is that this stock is running up and up and most younger investors think that their portfolio is bulletproof. They had their small drawdown in 2022/2023 and now they think the market will run forever. I added to apple in 2021/2022 and will most likely sell my stake soon. This last run up was good but not deserved. The FCF is awesome but there are better picks in the current situation
thanks
To me, Amazon and Tesla are similar companies and that they retail a product, but are also tech companies developing software, robotics, electronics, etc. Amazon has a gross margin a little higher than Tesla's. But Tesla trades at a p/s multiple 3x that of Amazon. A chalk up that premium to Musk's relentless pumping of Tesla.
The trains have left the stations?
The question is: What companies are the future magnificent 7 That are fair value right now? Chuck your move…
Yes please chuck.
Yes Chuck please tell us what to buy and how to become millionaires... 😂😂. C'mon ppl... It does not work like that
The longer it stays low, the better. I buy more shares with the dividend
Would love to see a video on COKE (not KO)! I think that would be unique and interesting and their growth has been absurd with a relatively low PE ratio
I would also be interested in this company. Also MTCH their pe seems ridiculously low considering the growth
@@RandomHistoryVideos MTCH growth estimate is 8% annualy and PE is 15. That is not ridiculously low.
Excellent . thank you
So did your software enable you to buy any of these before they were magnificent?
Are you implying FG is as old as these stocks? 😂
Yes I made a lot of money owning Apple, Microsoft, Google - currently long, and META- currently long. But I've never owned Tesla or Nvidia. But let me call you out on your innuendo. FAST Graphs are an authentic research "tool to think with" that produces essential fundamentals at a glance. They're not a crystal ball or fortune-telling device because no such thing exists. If you are looking for that, you will be sorely disappointed. Because as I said many times in videos and articles, nothing replaces conducting comprehensive research and due diligence. FAST Graphs simply facilitate that process making it easier and more efficient . Consequently, your cynicism is not appreciated and misplaced. Regards, Chuck
@@FASTgraphsI think it's a fair question to ask given as you state it is a tool to think with. If there are limitations with the tool then that's something that one should be aware of when using it.
@@FASTgraphs The question was not an innuendo but a straightforward and valid question that anyone trying to sell something (especially in the business of investing software) should expect. Your answer was part deflection and in part helpful but unnecessarily nasty. To not be cynical of people selling something would be foolhardy. Your inability to answer a simple question without being a pompous ass doesn’t speak well of your business or person and thats not an innuendo either.
@@dannorris8478 sorry, but I beg to differ. It was not a simple question, it was a snipe. I have dedicated my life to helping people be smarter investor's and I don't apologize for creating a product that accomplishes that as well as any available. And I stand by my answer thank you.
Great video - thanks. Everyone has an opinion. Certainly all 7 were brilliant picks in hindsight. Moving forward, the more intriguing company to me is Nvidia. They really have no to little competition from other chip makers, and the hardware is a must to handle the new information pipeline. But, the beta is incredible and there will be corrections down the road.
They really did win the chip arms race, using GPU 's for mining really helped and niche demographics if gamers and tech industry also helped. I'm thinking that band width will change or have a niche diversification allowing others to pick up the difference. Marginal but some performance.
Ibm was just like Nvidia at 1 point. If you bought ibm at that time 11 years ago. you would still be negative today.
@@Metal_Stacking that is true, but IBM is a company in transition as a result suffered earnings drops during that time. If you purchased IBM 20 years prior to 10 years ago you have done quite well. Microsoft is another case in point. If you deboned it from 2003 until 2012 you have only made 3% per annum including dividends. On the other hand, if you owned it since 2012 you wanted have averaged over 25% per annum. Earnings determine market price in the long run, emotions determine market price in the short run. Regards, Chuck
@@FASTgraphs I was not knocking IBM. Only stating buying a great company at the wrong valuation can be really ugly.
Elon Musk has made lots of unfulfilled claims/promises (going on almost a decade now) about Tesla only being "months away" from producing a fully self-driving automobile. To quote Elon Musk, without self-driving his company is "worth basically zero". If you consider Elon's other unfulfilled claims when it comes to trips to Mars by 2023, his hyperloop train or taking $250,000 deposits from 1000 people for a Tesla sports car (six years ago) that has still not been produced, I'd be highly skeptical of anything the man says. Otherwise, great review of the Top 7 Stocks!
Excellent video. Thank you, Chuck.
And nobody would listen to me about amd in 2015
Welcome to my world LOL
I like Amazon a lot I think they have potential
Retail investors in BMY have been eviscerated. I see no catalyst to get the shares out of the range bound $30's. Today was a dead cat bounce head fake.
Would love to see an analysis on $RBLX
Pretty bad... earnings are so tiny that it's hardly visible on the chart. EPS Yld: -4.46%, LT Debt/Capital: 89.73%, Adjusted (Operating) Earnings Growth Rate (4Y period): 0.16%
@@kex1xik Thank you kindly!
Now $69.68 7/8/2024 Rivian / VW deal caused a down turn.
At 13:04, Chuck mistakenly mentions GIS price as $140.41. I think the price was $71.22, 140.41 was the number of shares with $10,000 invested. But his point is well taken, because the current price $64.17 is lower than the price on 07/22/2016 due to very high valuation at that time.
Thanks , you are correct I misspoke.
Thanks again for the great vid. Much appreciated.
I've been in the IT industry for +20 years and by now the whole AI craze has turned into nothing but a running gag among almost all of my colleagues and pretty much everyone I work with (except for sales but they're a joke by itself) - impressive at first, but once you try to do something actually useful with it, more often than not it turns out the be worse than useless and just a huge waste of time. Are there actual use cases for generative AI? Yeah, sure. Are they worth billions and billions? I just don't see it. Will engineers find some useful stuff to do with all that GPU compute about to become available? I bet they will, they always do. That's not AI though, that's just engineers doing what engineers do - make use of resources available. Will it be the next industrial revolution, or anywhere close to what Wallstreet expects it to be? I very much doubt it. On the contrary, I think the current race to slap an AI label on literally everything to pump your stock price while building out insane amounts of datacenter infrastructure without there being much of a use case yet might turn out to be the biggest misallocation of capital since the dotcom bubble... Remember fiberoptics and network infrastructure back then? Yeah, exactly like that but on an even larger scale. We're talking about the largest companies on the planet after all. But maybe I'm just getting too old and cynical. I guess we'll see. If I'm right, most of those stocks will eventually go down in flames like you wouldn't believe once reality sets in.
Thanks for sharing your experienced perspective. As this video suggests, most often associated with AI already training at nosebleed valuations. It will be interesting to see how it all pans out. Regards, Chuck
Would like to see your opinion on the other 19 companies on this list
I know I'm overthinking this...but if the historical FV (orange) let's say is 21x, the market value (blue) is 25x, and the blended is 29x (current), how do I back into the price I should buy, aside from looking to see if the black line is under the orange line? I need another cup of coffee!!!
It appears that you are already a subscriber. If that is true, thanall you need to do is go to the forecasting calculators and point to either the fair value line (orange) or the blue normal (market) average line in the value or price will be displayed in the pop up. If you are not already a subscriber you might try the free trial and evaluate the dynamic power of FAST Graphs. One final caveat, FAST Graphs are a fundamentals analyzer software tool to think with. In other words, it reveals value but does not dictate it - judgment is always required.
@@FASTgraphs Thank you. I am a sub...just signed up for the Premium this am. I watched a few of the vids over the wknd and am convinced this is the best tool to help with the final piece of my stock analysis - and that is valuation. Price is critical and your tools are very informative. Thanks
Find us good AI plays this is like a 55 year old income stock thanks
Long GOOGL , many over valued stocks on that list!
@chuckdiezel7652 most of them that's the point of the video
Great video as always. Any chance we can get an update video on MPW from you? Wish you all the best 🙂
INTC dropping its dividend... Its a long way to forgiveness
Dear Chuck, thank you so much for another great video. I would also look at some european companies, namely asml and stmi, especially the latter. But my question is about a japanese stock, a kind of apanese asml. Its called Lasertec. If i look at the japamese ticker it gives me a eps yield of 1.70 something. Nevertheless, if i look at the adr version in otc markets, fastgraphs gives me a 7.5% eps yield. Do you and the rest of fastgraphs team have an explanation for that? Hope you guys had a great 4th of July.
Thanks for the feedback and the question. However, when I draw LASERTEC CORP I do not get the high earnings yield you are suggesting. Could you send a ticket to support with screenshots. Thanks, Chuck
@@FASTgraphs , Next week I'll do, promised.
very good video with a lot of value
A list without TSMC is just unbelievable.
~lol