Not many people who are willing to look back on their predictions. Well done Chuck 👍

An overvalued SPY is no match for Mr. Valuation..

Was skeptical when I clicked this video but was pleasantly surprised. Thanks for the analysis.

Brilliant series and great video as always Chuck! I am really hoping you follow this 3-parter up with a new set of model portfolios now that we are in a similarly overvalued s&p market...

An idea for a video : Coverage of water utilities companies. The stocks fell a lot in the last years.

Thank you

Thanks

Thanks Chuck for the lovely video, Would you please like to share your thoughts on exposing portfolio to gold ? Like how to find a good company in the sector

Hi Chuck Thank you for the recent series, always interesting to have these. I was wondering how long do you wait before making a sell decision from a stock because of the fundamentals deterioration such as per your exemples: BBY, FMC, TSN, BWA ?

@FASTgraphs

4 ай бұрын

Unfortunately, there is no simple answer to your question. Each situation is different and depends on why the fundamentals are deteriorating. As the venerable Marty J Whitman of the 3rd Avenue value funds so aptly put it and I paraphrase: “I remain impressed with how much easier it is for us, and everybody else who has modicum of training, to determine what a business is worth, and what the dynamics of the business might be, compared with estimating the prices at which a non-arbitrage security will sell in near-term markets.” And "“Unrealized Market Depreciation occurs when the market price of a publicly traded security declines. Permanent impairment of capital occurs when the Fundamental values of a business are dissipated with the consequent long-term adverse consequences.” My point is that once I determine that a permanent impairment of capital is occurring I will leave. However, I am not always right.

I am hoping your graph tool would show the portfolio over time on a graph like individual stocks. Is that possible? That way you can track in aggregate the overall valuation, earnings, and expected growth of the whole portfolio. That way it can signal to reallocate towards better value prospects. Hopefully you understand. Either way, Chuck you are awesome and an inspiration to all of us.

@FASTgraphs

4 ай бұрын

Coming soon already in development pretesting

I think PSA and AWR are in need of an emergency video on valuation. They are getting quite low in price.

Why do the orange and blue lines for UGI look completely different in this video than in the Portfolio 1 update? Compare kzread.info/dash/bejne/qaV8j9eOgbjKXdo.html with kzread.info/dash/bejne/Z6Z6rsNxYtPNcto.html.

@FASTgraphs

4 ай бұрын

Because actual earnings came in below forecasts being made at the time the 1st videos were made.

@skrambl

4 ай бұрын

@@FASTgraphs No, I'm asking about the huge difference in the graphs between today's video and the video from just a few days ago updating on Portfolio 1. UGI is part of both. Why a huge change in how FASTGraphs calculates P/E and Normal P/E over just a few days?

@FASTgraphs

4 ай бұрын

@@skrambl it is not, in the 1st video you looking at a long-term timeframe with the higher growth rate and the 2nd video this newest one I am showing a much shorter time frame with a much different growth rate. Growth rates determine the valuation over whatever period of time is being drawn. This is a dynamic tool which is 1 of the major benefits.

@skrambl

4 ай бұрын

@@FASTgraphs Now I see: at the moment I snapshotted from today's video, FASTgraphs was showing the long-term historical graph but plotting P/E numbers calculated from the period 8/24/2021 to present. Thanks for clarifying.

Blue chip avoid