Dr. Levi Cowan creates videos discussing tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean, explaining potential scenarios for active storms and how they may impact people. Levi has a Ph.D. in meteorology from Florida State University. Please note that these updates do not reflect the official forecasts of the National Hurricane Center, and should not be interpreted as such. When tropical storms exist in the Atlantic or eastern Pacific, official NHC information can be found at www.hurricanes.gov. Please refer to the NHC when making decisions, and heed the advisories and evacuation statements of your local National Weather Service office and emergency management officials.
![[Sunday] Dangerous Cat 4 Hurricane Beryl to Slam Windward Islands Soon](/img/d.gif)
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I love that when there is something to say about canes you are here for us. A beakon. Well balanced honouring of the devastation these storm cause to us humans, while presenting the science, the data, the calmness and the experience that only you bring. You are the gold standard sir. And we appreciate you.
Poor people
It’s a cat 5 now! Looking forward to updates. I’m telling my Houston peeps if it cross the north tip of Yucatán and the high pressure moves off to the right in the US it has a chance at Texas!
That time of the year for Tropical Tidbits!
Safe Travels Dr.Levi! Prayers for all those affected by this storm 🙏
Wild. The storm just intensified again to cat 5.
Agh as a south Texan the worst is being in that limbo state of not knowing if it'll completely miss us or head directly for us. I was thinking we were in the clear, but it seems it's still too early to tell.
Thank you
The amount to seawater humped up under a 950mB storm beggars my imagination. That looks to be something of a significant gale up around Bermuda, for not being very organized (and being extra-tropical)
Thank you Dr. Cowan -- yes, we hope for the best for all affected by Beryl. ❤
So are we still in a El Niño pattern? Invests generally form in the gulf during June/July and head northeast or am I wrong? I know that high pressure is over Florida but it seems we are in a El Niño state
Its sad something so beautiful and mesmerizing is so destructive :( I guess pretty things tend to be dangerous..
That ridge better hold or USA Gulf states will be in 5 day cone in coming days.
Thank you so much for the update you are a blessing💜
“ historical” y’all just fear mongering… OOOOOHHH it formed the last day in June…RECORD BREAKING. … by a whole 24 hours. Wowzerz I of course wish the best for everyone. I just can’t stand the shock and awe over this quite normal July storm.
Nothing normal about it, hence the accurate adjective. It is the first Cat 4 to impact this portion of the Windward Islands, and the earliest Cat 4 to form anywhere in the Atlantic since records began in 1851. This channel provides facts, not feelings.
Not facts at all.. only caveats like” recorded” ( since 1851, as if we had perfect records, let alone of wind speeds prior to the 1950s anyways) I guarantee you there was a stronger storm that hit this exact portion of the Atlantic over the past 5 billion years. Nothing abnormal about this storm. Besides 24 hours and 50 miles. Big whooptee doo RECORD BREAKING INSANE.. getoutshere
Yeah delete my response, nice one.
No facts, just caveats like “ since 1851” I guarantee you there was a hurricane in this exact area over the past few billion years. Us humans are so absurd pretending anything we experience is “ new”
Just FYI, Hurricane Ivan was a CAT3 crossing over Grenada, and immediately turned into a CAT4 within 50 KM of passing Grenada, it was also further south than beryl so I challenge you that this still counts as a CAT 4 in the windward islands, and the lowest latitude CAT4 hurricane in the windward islands. Now that beryl got its 1 hour CAT5 designation by the climate alarmists, you may try to say it was in the windwards, but it was 300 KM away.., not a chance.
What is tut?
TUTT = tropical upper tropospheric trough. It's a semipermanent feature in the western Atlantic
@@Tropical-Tidbits Thank you very much. Cheers!
Thanks for the update today, and safe travels to you. Watching from Miami
Don't worry about tech quality, I would listen to you through a can and string if I had to. Thanks Mr Dr Levi!
Happy travels and I hope you enjoy the east coast. I'm in PA and I like the rural area I live in. 😊 Best wishes and prayers for everyone in Beryl's path. 🙏❤️
I hope everyone affected by the storm is safe. It reminds me so much of what happened with hurricane Michael with the crazy rapid development. Thankfully this moved through faster than Michael.
Brutal. Let’s get some help ready to send down.
Mega brutal. Whats the help look like?
THX Sir 👍👍
I knew that ERC would be bad. Please continue to inform us.
duuuhhhhh.. if its a named hurricane is automatically part of history
It’s now officially the earliest to reach category 5 on record.
Thanks for the update! Welcome to the East Coast Dr Cowan.
Why is the hurricane hunters flight track shaped like a pentagram😮
Oh ffs😂
@@Nanaof_8ooops😂😂
Safe travels Dr. C ❤
Thank you!
We all are getting ready here in Cozumel, it looks like we might just get the rain from this one anyway! Thanks for all your work!
Don't count out the worst case, where the tut splits stronger on the Yucatan Side and steers Beryl through the gap of Cuba and The Yucatan and it takes a clean path into the Gulf and curves up west of Florida. I know it's a small chance, but given how this storm has behaved vs. predictions, Im not counting it out
It’s behaved exactly as predicted minus the rapid strengthening. But location wise it’s right on target, maybe a little sooner with faster western motion.
My friends Jamaican cruise got rescheduled to this weekend because of high wind and swells back in February. The carribean doesn't want your big boats. If you must, take a ship from Alaska. Its much cooler.
Thanks Levi. Safe travels.
We have July, August, September to go yet. This season be set more records. We shall see. Have a safe flight. Be successful.
I’m at the southern border of Texas watching closely!
This hurricane will cool the water for the next storm. And so on. If this continues, August will find cooler water for the big September storms that go near my island.
Beryl has been moving too quickly to create much upwelling. SSTs won't change much and any change won't last long.
I am hoping you can give us more updates as Beryl moves west. Hurricanes can last for 2 weeks or more. That track looks good with every model in agreement. I hope Jamaica is spared the worst of this storm. The Yucatan looks vulnerable.
PR is like the usvi, there's a nice layer of dust over us. I flew home Saturday, and it looked thick like pollution. Always a happy sight in summer.
I don't know about horrifying. Hugo was horrifying. Maria was scary. Dorian was wicked bad.
All of these storms possessing winds and storm surge capable of destroying structures are horrifying
Awesome 👏 info New subscriber here ☝️!!!
Saw the video at WXChasing channei and they stopped recording right at the eyewalls winds. I saw it coming. Just like hurricane Charley waiting for that first gust of wind letting you know your in the eyewall. Let me tell you Hurricanes are nothing to play with Cat 5's are serious business. Those winds have to be respected. Appreciate your Hurricane updates. People need you because you give them ample warning, saving lives. Thank you
Seeing as though Beryl continues to exceed expectations and causes difficulty for the simulations due to its compact size, I'm questioning whether the simulation models are sufficiently reliable in this particular situation. I'm not questioning their general accuracy, just their accuracy for this particular storm.
Models are imperfect with all storms, but thankfully they are dramatically better than even 10 years ago. Forecasts can always shift around though.
Intensity forecasting has lagged behind location forecasting for awhile now, the NHC admits this in its seasonal reports. The 5 day has gotten better but the 3 day has proven very accurate. Other than strength so far Beryl has been well with the guidance envelope.
@@Tropical-Tidbits Oh yeah, they're definitely an improvement. I'm just noting that Beryl might be particularly unpredictable. I can't remember if it was this video or the previous one but you mentioned that the large-scale simulations were having trouble with Beryl's compact size.
Lets see how the wind shear affects this now well protected outflow x 29/30 degree water temps. Great job Dr. Levi Cowan as always.
* Puerto Rico sees a hurricane “we need $20 billion!” Five minutes later: “we hate America and their colonizers!”
You need to remember that Puerto Rico has a very split opinion of the US among its population. There's actually three factions there - one that wants statehood, one that wants to remain a US outlying territory, and one that wants to break away from being a US outlying territory and claim full independence.
kinda wish it would move up very slight northern just a little bit so that florida buys up the gas & water etc. It kinda gets the excitement going, trust me, I dont want it to directly come here but just ................ Barely skirt the edge of florida, Id be good with that.
No thank you insurance rates are high enough here. Not going to happen due the high pressure building in the SE US.
Brutally thrashing a massive body of water..
Thanks Levi!💜🌀
The police station in Grenada's capital had it's roof ripped off
Probably inevitable. How old was it? Roofing goes. It's the water that kills. Islanders know that. We built at 350' elevation.
350 foot elevation was safe from the water, but it was the wind that killed there. It’s *usually* the water that kills but this time 165mph winds ripped off the roof.
Will wait for your next update no matter the hour, THANK YOU!
I'm hoping and praying that Houston does not get hit.