EARLY 2024 Oscar Predictions | March 2023
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We're back after a long hiatus. It's a new year with a new Scorsese, Nolan, Gerwig, and many more of your fav moviemaking friends.
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The fact that we have films coming from Nolan, Scorsese, Fincher, Gerwig, and Villeneuve is nuts
@gabrielcastaneda9700
Жыл бұрын
Best director is gonna be a blood bath also miyozaki has a new film too
@nms7872
Жыл бұрын
And probably only one of those names is getting into best director - Scorsese In order of likelihood - Scorsese, Gerwig, Denis V, Nolan, Fincher
@CD-603
Жыл бұрын
Last year we had movies from Spielberg, Cameron, Aronofsky, Eggars and Chazelle to look forward to. It's not that nuts
@nediaelifra721
Жыл бұрын
@@nms7872 yes only marty is safe both nolan and Denis could miss easily
@MrGoat-cd8lt
Жыл бұрын
Not to mention Scott, Miyazaki, Cooper, Aster, and two from Anderson
Real interesting supporting cast for Oppenheimer; I didn't know so many The Color Purple actors and actresses were also going to be in that one too😛
@ClassicalMusic2002
Жыл бұрын
"Must be a double feature."
@Sharpe1502
Жыл бұрын
Fantasia has incredible range!
@wathsi99
Жыл бұрын
Ha ha Warner Bros.
@kimojio
Жыл бұрын
Suddenly the whitest cast of the year is looking a bit more diverse…
@johntheX
Жыл бұрын
Haha it was an error, yeah
It is worth noting that we have had at least 1 non-English language film nominated for Best Picture for the last 5 years in a row (ROMA in 2018, PARASITE in 2019, MINARI in 2020, DRIVE MY CAR in 2021, and ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT in 2022). I suspect the streak will continue this year.
@TheOscarExpert
Жыл бұрын
I agree! I just don't have enough of a strong feeling about one yet to call it.
@lorcan545
Жыл бұрын
I got to the end of the video. Two things: their top pick for foreign language film was About Dry Grass (or On Barren Weeds, as it might be called) which would also be my suggestion. They also said Drive My Car blew the doors open-because Roma is Cauron, well known, amazing trailer, and Minari is kind of in English really, and, hey, I finally saw All Quiet on the Western Front this week, and it was an English dub. Will as quiet a foreign film as Drive My Car get nominated again? That is still exceptional. Drive My Car has a transcendent ending, followed by a pandemic present moment coda-the kind of effect that any filmmaker would like to pull off. I think that’s kind of what the Oscar experts are saying in shorthand when they say that even a master auteur like Ceylan has to produce his best movie to have a chance of Best Picture. All of his last three are great, so the criterion is something really outstanding,, like delivering the feeling of the last act of Drive My Car.
@eternalmusic2736
Жыл бұрын
Glazer movie in English or German?
@webkinzfan00
Жыл бұрын
@@TheOscarExpert Cannes will give us a much better lay of the land for foreign this year
@nikitamohan3390
Жыл бұрын
I don't know if a foreign film will get into Best picture category next year. They might replace it with a blockbuster movie like Barbie or Spiderman across the Spiderverse or if Elemental is spectacular, they might nominate an animation movie in the 10th spot.
They did this in March 2023 and 6 of their top 10 pics are in best picture, that's pretty impressive.
The video everyone waits all year more than the oscar itself
I love watching these videos right after the Oscars just happened.
The Oscar Expert is the only person who will say “The movie is good. That’s what I was worried about”
@tml184
5 ай бұрын
These 2 love every movie they see. It's annoying.
Miyazaki getting a best director nomination for his final film would be beautiful
@gabrielcastaneda9700
Жыл бұрын
Imagine if he won picture director and animated feature
Really hoping that between How Do You Live? and Spiderverse, we get *something* animation-related going this year in the Oscar conversation.
@brijanwilson1888
Жыл бұрын
Yeah and there could be other contenders like Super Mario, Chicken Run 2 and Elemental so who knows what happens + there is a beautiful looking new chinese movie called "Deep Sea" but I guess that one will go under the radar..
@pb.j.1753
Жыл бұрын
@@brijanwilson1888 SUPER MARIO
@benjamintillema3572
Жыл бұрын
Agree. I still find it strange that GDT's Pinnochio was so acclaimed, had Netflix backing it, and had an Oscar favorite right there in the title and it still only got into one category.
@brijanwilson1888
Жыл бұрын
@@benjamintillema3572 Let's see what Chicken Run 2 from netflix can do this year but it'll probably get just one nominee too
@gabrielcastaneda9700
Жыл бұрын
Was the miyosaki movie
Always fun to go back a year later. The Zone of Interest was power ranked at 32, yet likely finished Top 5 in BP! You just never know.
I would argue that the following could have a shot too: - True Love (Gareth Edwards) - Civil War (Alex Garland) - The Bastard (Nikolaj Arcel) - Wizards! (David Michôd) - Hitman (Richard Linklater) - The Royal Hotel (Kitty Green) and just for fun I could throw "Chicken Run 2" in there too because who knows lol
@misjathecinemalover
Жыл бұрын
D A W N O F T H E N U G G E T
This is literally the first time I’m learning that And and Poor Things are different movies. I thought he just changed the name because of Google showing the same synopsis and cast on both movies.
Last year was my first full awards season following you guys and I had so much fun following the whole year. Hoping for a great year for movies this year 🎉
@omarelalami4726
Жыл бұрын
I remember that feeling. This is a fun ride!
@kaidwyer6891
Жыл бұрын
Same here and now I’m obsessed with them and guild awards now lol
Barbie is definitely the biggest wildcard of the year. If it's as good as Lady Bird & Little Women, then it could absolutely be a Best Picture nominee.
@nikitamohan3390
Жыл бұрын
The test screenings from the film were all overwhelmingly positive and it is anticipated to be a blockbuster. MATTEL CEO called it a cultural phenomenon last year in an interview.
@pb.j.1753
Жыл бұрын
It must be so good to be a box office hit in the first place with that 100 million dollar budget.
@davidmitchell-baker1701
Жыл бұрын
And everyone in the cast when asked about it immediately calls it the best script they've ever read - I think this could be HUGE
@poett8875
Жыл бұрын
I can see it being a lock for production design, costume design, makeup and hairstyling nominations. If all goes well, then it could also get noms for picture, adapted screenplay, and possibly even best actress🤷🏽♂️
@takeonme1815
Жыл бұрын
@@davidmitchell-baker1701 I’m not sure I take things like that to heart, what is the cast supposed to say about a movie they’re in that’s about to be released? “oh yeah, the script is shite”
Watching this back in January 2024 is pretty hilarious. The confidence in the color purple verses the lack of confidence in Oppenheimer. Oh man good stuff
The Iron Claw is not as much of a Foxcatcher vibe as you think. It's WWE wrestling, not Foxcatcher wrestling. Also, the Von Erich's all died very young and tragically except for one member who is being played by Zac Efron. I definitely think it could be a sleeper hit. Could get some acting noms, but probably not a best picture.
I love your discussion about How Do You Live. It would be amazing if some of that push for animation to be more accepted critically and for Miyazaki to be celebrated with a Best Director nomination. Tonally it sounds like it might be more like The Wind Rises than Spirited Away but hopefully it has something of the magic of both and enough of its own uniqueness to dazzle. But we will see. I'm sure it will be absolutely full of heart and wonder.
You guys are pros man! Predicting 6 within your top 10, 7 within your 20 and also name checking the zone of interest in your 30s! Incredible
One of my favourite things about these early predictions for next year is the feeling of not knowing that a year from now who will be new Oscar winners. If you told me 13 months ago that Michelle Yeoh, Brendan Fraser, Jamie Lee Curtis and Ke Hey Quan aka Short Round were the acting quartet, I wouldn’t have believed you.
I read an early draft of the Air script and its definitely gonna be a crowd pleaser. I feel like if it does well at the box office and keeps momentum, we could see an acting nom and potential for picture
@pb.j.1753
Жыл бұрын
A bunch of reviews are already out since its SXSW premiere and they are all positive.
Best Director: Hayao Miyazaki -How do you live? Best actor: Colman Domingo- Rust Best Actress: Fantasia - The Purple Color Best Supporting actor: -Austin Butler -Dune Part II Best Supporting Actress: Lily Glandstone -Killers of the flower moon Hahaha
Going 6/10 in Best Picture is pretty damn impressive. Even the other 4 are totally understandable predictions… Dune got pushed due to the strike. The Color Purple, Saltburn, and Air were like #11-#15 range. Only whiff imo was Dumb Money lol
I'd love to see Scorsese win Best Picture and Director because he's directed some of my favorite movies of all time like Raging Bull, The Aviator and GoodFellas.
@mr29
Жыл бұрын
Only one win for Best Director feels wrong doesn't it?
@tristanpflughoft8911
Жыл бұрын
This is off-topic, but if Beau is Afraid isn't fully horror I can hope to see some nominations
Thats impressive you got 6/10 best picture nominees
Don’t forget, Colman and Buckley are coming with their new film ‘Wicked Little Letters’.
I have a fun little stat. Alexander Payne movies win screenplay if it's not filmed in Nebraska. He won for sideways, filmed in California and the decendants, filmed in Hawaii. From what I read, the holdovers is being filmed in Boston. So the holdovers could win because of this stat.
@nediaelifra721
Жыл бұрын
the thing the movie isn't written by the director and the academy lately is favoring directors who writes their own screenplays
@jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719
Жыл бұрын
🙃
One thing I wanna mention: I’m really hoping that Suzume no Tojimari and Makoto Shinkai will finally get their nomination for animated feature. It’s really weird that both Kimi no na wa and Tenki no ko got snubbed from the list. And I know that JP animation movies is a bit hard to get into the nomination shortlist unless if they come from a certain animation studio, but I’m just really hoping he could get nominated next year
@Little1Cave
Жыл бұрын
I can see it being nominated if Best Animated Film this year is slimmer than most years. If reviews go over well for these movies, I can see Super Mario Bros., Elemental, Wish, Chicken Run 2, The Monkey King, How Do You Live, and ESPECIALLY Spider-Man: Across the Spider-verse being strong nomination contenders as well.
@JoeJoeJoe25
Жыл бұрын
Kimi no Nawa leans too much into romantic genre and has many plotholes. Meanwhile the recents Shinkai's is too enthusiastic to replicate Kimi No Nawa. So big no
@-datrandomdude-6979
Жыл бұрын
Sadly, because Miyazaki is making a comeback this year I have a feeling Shinkai is going to be forgotten again.
@nwworrior28
Жыл бұрын
Suzume is weird because its been out in Japan since last summer and only coming out in April. Idk how release dates work with the Best Animation category.
@Little1Cave
Жыл бұрын
@@nwworrior28 I think there are special rules in regards to foreign animation.
I think it's very important to keep in mind that in every year going back to 2012, there have been at least four films from first time nominees in the Best Picture lineup. 2022: 5/10 (All Quiet, Everything Everywhere, Top Gun, Triangle, Women Talking) 2021: 4/10 (Belfast, CODA, Drive My Car, King Richard) 2020: 7/8 (every movie except Mank) 2019: 5/9 (Ford v Ferrari, Jojo Rabbit, Joker, Marriage Story, Parasite) 2018: 6/8 (Black Panther, BlacKkKlansman, Bohemian Rhapsody, The Favourite, Green Book, A Star is Born) 2017: 5/9 (CMBYN, Get Out, Lady Bird, Shape of Water, Three Billboards) 2016: 7/9 (Arrival, Fences, Hell or High Water, Hidden Figures, Lion, Manchester by the Sea, Moonlight) 2015: 5/8 (The Big Short, Brooklyn, Mad Max, Room, Spotlight) 2014: 6/8 (Boyhood, Grand Budapest, Imitation Game, Selma, Theory of Everything, Whiplash) 2013: 5/9 (12 Years a Slave, Captain Phillips, Dallas Buyers Club, Gravity, Her) 2012: 3/9 (Amour, Argo, Beasts of the Southern Wild 2011: 2/9 (The Artist, The Help) 2010: 7/10 (Black Swan, The Fighter, Inception, The Kids are All Right, The King's Speech, Toy Story 3, Winter's Bone) 2009: 7/10 (The Blind Side, District 9, An Education, The Hurt Locker, Precious, Up, Up in the Air) Only twice since the lineup expanded have we had fewer than four first-timers in the lineup. Of course anything can happen, but I think we should be putting more directors with no Best Picture nominees at least close to the top 10 here. I will say though you guys might've sold me on Barbie and I might have to more seriously consider that one.
@oskari7121
Жыл бұрын
Yeah I’m very much playing attention to this.
@TheOscarExpert
Жыл бұрын
Every year early predictions usually fail to account for this, but it's also tougher to spot those first time movies early on.
@reecejennings9637
Жыл бұрын
Every winner since 2015 has also been part of this stat
@georgeehret3480
Жыл бұрын
@@TheOscarExpert True, it is always harder to spot those films at the beginning of the year; however, I think trying to find those films from directors who could pop in is a better strategy imo then just going "oh Empire of Light is from Sam Mendes, check".
@nediaelifra721
Жыл бұрын
also from 2008 in exception of birdman all BP winners comes from people who don't have a BP nomination in their belt
Great stuff as always 🙌🏻
Great stuff. I could listen to you guys ramble on for a long time lol.
I feel like we’re overlooking Richard Linklater’s next movie Hitman which sounds very different from any other movie he’s made but I feel like it’ll surprise people. I’m definitely looking forward to that one
thanks you guys i love all your videos have a great day!
Past Lives is my current bet for an early-release indie darling being pushed to a Best Picture nomination.
@nic..1
Жыл бұрын
I haven’t seen the movie but considering Parasite and EEAAO, I would bet money Past Lives does well
@allistar34
Жыл бұрын
A24 is absolutely going to push it
In much the way that Ruben Östlund was recognised for Triangle of Sadness to a larger degree than many expected at this year's Oscars with nominations for Original Screenplay, Directing and Best Picture, I would confidently predict that 2024 will be the year that the Academy recognises Ari Aster with Beau Is Afraid.
Next goal wins has been discussed for 2021,2022,2023. Filmed pre pandemic Somethings not right here Discourse on taika has changed so much from when this film was announced. I hope it is great. This is the year of Michael Fassbender's comeback
@maxis5650
Жыл бұрын
"Something´s not right here"... yeah, they had to reshoot a large portion of the movie because Armie Hammer´s controversy and they recasted Will Arnett to take over his role.
Have you guys considered releasing these as podcast? As someone who listens to your videos while multitasking I think it would totally fit
@eternalmusic2736
Жыл бұрын
what is the difference between listening to a podcast and listening on youtube?
@nicholas4662
Жыл бұрын
@@eternalmusic2736 podcast works better when not connected to WiFi.
Thanks for another fun video. I really enjoyed it.
Yes! A new video from The Oscar Expert! I love watching you lovely folks talk about the Oscars. It was really amazing to see "Everything Everywhere All at Once" win "Best Picture" this year! Keep it up with the great work. 😎❤️👏🏾
as someone who has read the book Dune, the second half is what makes the book a masterpiece so with denis i am not afraid
Thanks for the video!!! So many movies added to my list to look forward to
Just finished listening to High Voltage Jamboree and man what an insane journey that was. First song was a bit too much for me but Let's Go is so hypnotizingly good. And it ended on a very strong note as the last two songs were also very good! Loved it! Definitely want to hear more music from The Weirdo Electronic Music Expert.
this might be wishful thinking but i think that if dune 2 ist really really good (+box office hit), it can win picture (+director for villeneuve)
@brijanwilson1888
Жыл бұрын
it definitely can if it delivers even more than the last one
OH MY GOD I’M SO EXCITED. I love all your videos, you guys are one of my favorite youtube channels. I hope you reach 50k soon
Barbie for production design FOR SURE.
54:16 - 55:08 The tale of the Von Erich family is one of the biggest tragedies in the history of professional wrestling. The story that surrounds them is that nearly every member of their family that was directly involved with professional wrestling died, whether it be from drug use or physical injuries or even suicide. The jarringly connected nature of these deaths have led many wrestling historians to refer to the family’s traumatic history as "The Von Erich Family Curse". Zac Efron plays Kevin Von Erich, the last surviving member of the original Von Erich wrestling family.
THE ZONE OF INTEREST AT 32 LOL
We're getting to the point where a movie like 'Killers of the Flower Moon' will win because it's such an underdog story BECAUSE it's such an early overdog story.
2024 Oscars 1. Oppenheimer (Universal) 2. Killers of the Flower Moon (Paramount/Apple) 3. The Color Purple (Warner Bros) 4. Maestro (Netflix) 5. May December (Disney/Hulu?) 6. Dune Part II (Warner Bros) 7. Asteroid City (Focus Features) 8. Past Lives (A24) 9. Poor Things (Searchlight) 10. Saltburn (MGM/Amazon) Alternate: Napoleon (Apple) 2025 Oscars 1. Megalopolis (Paramount?) 2. Blitz (Apple) 3. The Piano Lesson (Netflix) 4. The Iron Claw (A24) 5. Bob Dylan Biopic (Searchlight) 6. Avatar 3 (Disney) 7. Joker 2 (Warner Bros) 8. Here (Sony) 9. Wicked (Universal) 10. Furiosa (Warner Bros) Alternate: Back in Black (Focus Features)
@pb.j.1753
Жыл бұрын
Iron Claw will definitely get released this year.
@matthewkauerauf1886
Жыл бұрын
On Wikipedia it says the film didn’t start filming until October 2022. The past A24 projects all got released a year and half after filming started. I’m thinking it could premiere at Sundance or South by Southwest next year. With a March release date like Everything Everywhere.
@pb.j.1753
Жыл бұрын
@@matthewkauerauf1886 It won't have a lengthy post-production. It will be a fall festival film with a Q4 release.
My predicted top 10 in no particular order: 1) Killers of the Flower Moon 2) Oppenheimer 3) Barbie 4) Past Lives 5) How do you live? 6) Spider Man: Across the Spider Verse 7) Saltburn 8) Poor Things 9) Beau is Afraid 10) May December
@jonathanprideaux2776
Жыл бұрын
My 5 runner ups/potentials: 1) The colour purple 2) Asteroid City 3) Dune part 2 4) The Killer 5) Our Apprenticeship
a24 is bringing out SO many movies this year, I'm curious as to which one they're gonna bring out the big bucks for in terms of campaigning. is there a chance for Beau is Afraid?? I'm so excited already
Just wanted to point out that even though Bones and All wasn't an awards contender, it's important to remember that Luca Guadanino was also behind Call Me By Your Name... which WAS an awards contender. The man knows how to put together a well constructed film, particularly around romance, which sounds like this is right up that alley. I think the success of it is going to come down to the script and whether its any good. That could kill any chance it has, but I suspect it is probably good. Also, Mike Faist is severely underrated as an actor - I'm actually really excited to see him doing more stuff. I am curious though, why there was no Wonka on this list? Was that an oversight or do you think it's just not even worth mentioning? Also I know there's a Bob Dylan biopic in the works, though I'm not sure if it's coming out this year or next. I've been curious about that too.
@pb.j.1753
Жыл бұрын
They talked about Wonka
@lorcan545
Жыл бұрын
Agree. Guadagnino is underrated, particularly with reference to people calling his movies baggy or overlong. It’s good that he’s not trying to make ‘an efficient genre piece’, but instead plays out a variety of moods, or gives the supporting characters something to do. So if Challengers is over two hours I think it will have serious scenes even if it’s primarily comic, or whatever.
Is it sad that now a days I look forward to the long months of predictions than the actual build up to Oscar night once the nominations have been announced? Love that you put it out this early!! ❤
@Cole What software do you use to make your music??
Nightbitch was my favorite book I read last year and I'm so excited for the adaptation! SO looking forward to Amy Adams turning into a dog and I'm very curious how they're going to do it / what they are going to do exactly! Also looking forward to Poor Things. I still can't believe that's being adapted! Saltburn and May December sound great, too!
@gabrielcastaneda9700
Жыл бұрын
Any Adam’s Oscar
@BaileeWalsh
Жыл бұрын
@Gabriel Castaneda Right?! That's what _I'm_ saying! The potential is definitely there with the role alone! but things have to be played right in terms of its release and any campaigning, and not get lost among other contenders.
Oppenheimer below The Color Purple is hilarious in hindsight
Emma stone, natalie portman, margot robbie,kate winslet and zendaya for best actress lets gooooo
This is my favorite type of video, love early oscar predictions!!
Taraji P. Henson, Danielle Brooks, Colman Domingo, Corey Hawkins, H.E.R., Halle Bailey and Ciara in Oppenheimer - updating my predictions now ;-)
Keep an eye out for Poland's animated feature "The Peasants'" made by the director of "Loving Vincent" in the same style but with Polish folklore instead. Not a best picture contender for sure, but if it submitted as international, I'd watch out for animated feature category.
this is the first time i’m hearing about dumb money. it sounds like a fun adam mckay movie, mixing the financial dramedy premise of big short with the stacked cast of don’t look up. fingers crossed that paul dano finally gets a much-deserved nomination
@m.syauqiabdurahman2798
Жыл бұрын
Yeah he get snubbed big time for The Fabelmans and Academy is rude for snubbing him for Love & Mercy.
I really feel like The Super Mario Bros. Movie and Across The Spider-Verse are gonna be the favorite for Best Animated throughout the whole year and end up getting beat by How Do You Live.
where do you guys see all the reactions to early/test screenings and like plot details and stuff?
Oppenheimer, Killers of the Flower Moon and Dune: Part Two will be nominated for best picture. Beau is Afraid might be able to sneak in given Joaquin Phoenix’s performance. Next Goal Wins has a chance since Taika Waititi’s last film Jojo Rabbit was already nominated. The Killer from David Fincher releases in November, definitely a strong possibility after Mank, 3 years ago. Everything else is TBD right now. Maybe MAYBE MI: Dead Reckoning gets in as a technical entry, although Dune: Part Two will most likely have a strong hold after winning 6 Oscars last time in those categories.
lol i think you forgot to change the supporting cast for Oppenheimer
When you guys were saying Barbie is a guaranteed box-office hit, that gave me a little bit of an In the Heights flashback. Very different movies, I'm just thinking the box office might not be a given just because it's fun. You still need a clear audience, and to me who the audience for this is remains a little unclear, because it's just completely different from anything that's succeeded at the box-office recently.
@Ella-gb7no
Жыл бұрын
its for adults/teens but some people probably still think its for kids. it has a lot of anticipation/social media buzz and hype, so i think a lot of ppl will go see it
@johnhenry2213
Жыл бұрын
It’s audience is everyone. Gonna be a smash.
This is honestly MY favorite and most anticipated video of the calendar!
Y'all should have included Terrence Malick's new film 'The Way of the Wind'. It's a historical epic with Ben Kingsley and Mark Rylance. Definitely deserves to be up there
@TheOscarExpert
Жыл бұрын
I'm too doubtful that it will actually release this year. It always seems to be a year later than everyone thinks with his films
@johnhenry2213
Жыл бұрын
Malick probably needs another 5 years to edit.
Noticing the Color Purple Cast of Oppenheimer mistake, I also saw you had it listed as a Warner Bros film - very minor, but I've also sometimes forget Chris Nolan has moved on from WB and is doing his films with Universal now.
i trust you guys so much i imediatly started a new letterboxd list with all of these films
You guys are the best in the business by such a stretch.
Cobweb should be on the list. It is from the director of I Saw The Devil and it stars Song Kang Ho as a 70s film director who tries to shoot a perfect ending for a film. It may go to Cannes and the subject is kind of Oscar-baity
Which film planning to premier on Cannes this May?
I love how many times they change clothes this needs a best editing nom
I saw Air at an early screening and it had great energy and vibes. The acting and directing is solid. Chris Tucker will be in the convo
@seankoontz4235
Жыл бұрын
Chris Tucker? Interesting. Does Viola Davis do enough to get a nom?
@joeyhollywoo
Жыл бұрын
@@seankoontz4235 I think she does, but it’s a lot of phone acting. Most of the movie is actors talking into a telephone, brilliantly, but still
Any plans for predictions for the rest of the categories including techs? (not including shorts)
Like the talk about the Oscar’s so far ahead of time! I think the graphics said Oppenheimer was a Warner bros movie but i believe it’s actually a universal studios pic
I just imagine those Barbie actors talking to their agents like, “Why the fuck would I do Barbie!?!?” And then the second they find out who is writing and directing they just go like, “Oh shit! Fuck it I’m in!” Also think you are underestimating The Iron Claw. The Von Erich story is some shit. I think it could easily make Best Picture. People don’t realize how interesting and absolutely fucked that story is especially in an industry that did a terrible job protecting the wrestlers. Efron will get a nomination.
9:26 The Supporting Cast for Oppenheimer is the same as The Color Purple?! That's crazy!
@OscarOrtega13
Жыл бұрын
Typo!
Prefect birthday present
Great list/video! I feel like a lot of predictors, not just you guys, are forgetting about the new Spielberg though
@TheOscarExpert
Жыл бұрын
He doesn't have any movies that are past pre-production right now
@aliimsorry24
Жыл бұрын
@@TheOscarExpert Hmm yeah I guess it makes sense then, I only mentioned it cause the Bullitt/Bradley Cooper casting announcement was 5ish months ago now and Spielberg has sped through production/post relatively quickly in the past
I’m also interested in what Gareth Edwards is doing with TRUE LOVE - I could see a cinematography nomination for Greig Fraser
you are saying the same about Past Lives that you said about Aftersun last year and that wasn't a big contender in awards season.. but who knows
Wouldn't be a surprise if How Do You Live? turn out as a masterpiece. Then having enough buzz for honoring Miyazaki's, and a momentum from Guillermo's push last year calling "animation is cinema", then who knows maybe it could get Picture, Director and Screenplay. Maybe even break history as the first to win the big prizes!
Wow what an excellent vid- so excited now!
the thing about the color purple is Warner will campaign 3 movies (Dune, Barbie and this)?
Here’s the list for next year Killers of the flower moon (yes) Past lives (yes with 2 noms) Dune part 2 (delayed 😢) Saltburn (no noms) The color purple (1 nom for SAF) Oppenheimer (obviously) Poor things (yes) Barbie (yes) The holdovers (yes) Air (0 noms) Dumb money (0 noms) Bob Marley biopic (next year) May December (only SP :() Maestro (yes) Blitz (delayed) The killer (0 noms) Flint strong (delayed) Asteroid city (nope) Beau is afraid (nope) Rustin (only actor) How do you live (only animated feature) Ferrari (nope) Nightbitch (next year) The bike riders (next year) Challengers (next year) Foe (nope) The nickel boys (next year) Lee (nope) All of us Strangers (nope) The iron claw (nope :( ) The boys in the boat nope The zone of interest (yes) The book of Clarence nope Across the spiderverse only animated About dry grasses nope Priscilla nope Here (next year) Napoleon (3 noms) Drive away dolls (delayed) Next goal wins (nope) The collaboration (next year) Freud’s last session (nope) El conde (only cinematography) The wonderful story of Henry sugar (short film) One life (nope) 11/45 didn’t come out in 2023 Shirley (next year) Spaceman (next year) Wonka (nope) Joy land (nope) Our apprenticeship (cancelled) La chimera( nope) The perfumed hill/black tea (2024, it sucks) Long days journey into night (next year) Mission Impossible dead reckoning pt1 (2noms yay) John wick chapter 4 (nope) Firebrand (nope) Rob Pearce (next year) The new boy (nope) Caste/origin (nope) Megalopolis (next year) And/kind of kindness (next year) The actor (next year) Bottoms Eileen Fair play Nyad (actress and supporting actress lol) The only BP noms not on their radar was American fiction and anatomy of a fall, the winner of both screenplay categories lol
Man, I WANT Miyazaki in Director! I want it SO BAD! But I just don't think it'll happen because of the Academy's animation bias. Now if there is one director that can break that, it's Miyazaki, but I don't know if it will be THAT GOOD.
I literally got 70% scores on Gold Derby for anything that happened before Christmas without having seen any of the movies.
I hope Barbie lands. Greta and Noah accepting an Oscar together would be an amazing Oscar moment
Fantasia Barrino-Taylor !!!! she won American Idol in 2004 and she will be Best Actress in 2024.
How to Blow Up a Pipeline is my entry for an early-year movie that surprises w/its stamina in the conversation
Margot Robbie basically bombed last year I just wish she redeem herself this year with Barbie
@hothotheat3000
Жыл бұрын
Last year was her annus horribilus.
Anyone have any thoughts on The Governesses? Joe Talbot is a great director and I loved his debut The Last Black Man In San Francisco and it has Renate Reinsve and HoYeon who are both great. Really really excited for it but I guess A24 has a lot on their plate this year with Past Lives and whatnot
@pb.j.1753
Жыл бұрын
I wonder when it will go into production
I’m not telling you that this will be in Best Picture but The Peasants is coming out and it’s by Loving Vincent people and also a painted movie
I would add these: Pain Hustlers (Netflix) D: David Yates C: Emily Blunt, Chris Evans Nyad (Netflix) D: Jimmy Chin, Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi C: Annette Benning, Jodie Foster Black Flies (Open Road) D: Jean-Stéphane Sauvaire C: Sean Penn, Tye Sheridan Fingernails (Apple) D: Christos Nikou C: Riz Ahmed, Jessie Buckley Civil War (A24) D: Alex Garland C: Kirsten Dunst Wizards! (A24) D: David Michod C: Pete Davidson, Franz Rogowski Dream Scenario (A24) D: Kristoffer Borgli C: Nicolas Cage Love Lies Bleeding (A24) D: Rose Glass C: Kristen Stewart, Katy M. O'Brian, Ed Harris Priscilla (A24) D: Sofia Coppila C: Cailee Spaeny, Jacob Elordi The Outrun D: Nora Fingscheidt C: Saoirse Ronan The End (NEON) D: Joshua Oppenheimer C: Tilda Swinton Mother's Instinct (NEON) D: Benoît Delhomme C: Jessica Chastain, Anne Hathaway Handling the Undead (NEON) D: Thea Hvistendahl C: Renate Reinsve, Anders Danielsen Lie Longlegs (NEON) D: Oz Perkins C: Nicolas Cage, Mika Monroe The End We Start From D: Mahalia Belo C: Jodie Comer, Benedict Cumberbatch Dogman D: Luc Besson C: Caleb Landry Jones Anatomy of a Fall D: Justine Triet C: Sandra Hüller Jeanne du Barry D: Maiwenn C: Maiwenn, Johnny Depp The Dead Don't Hurt D: Viggo Mortensen C: Viggo Mortensen, Vicky Krieps Monster D: Hirokazu Koreeda Red Island D: Robin Campillo Les Indésirables D: Ladj Ly The Old Oak D: Ken Loach The Beast D: Bertrand Bonello C: Léa Seydoux, George MacKay Afire D: Christian Petzold The Teacher's Lounge (Sony Pictures Classics) D: Ilker Çatak The Persion Version (Sony Pictures Classics) D: Maryam Keshavarz Finalmente L’ alba D: Saverio Costanzo C: Lily James, Willem Dafoe Femme D: Sam H. Freeman, Ng Choon Ping C: Nathan Stewart-Jarrett, George MacKay The Miracle Club (Sony Pictures Classics) D: Thaddeus O'Sullivan C: Maggie Smith, Kathy Bates, Laura Linney Joika D: James Napier Robertson C: Talia Ryder, Diane Kruger
@brijanwilson1888
Жыл бұрын
They did mention Fingernails, The Outrun, Mother's Instinct, Priscilla and Nyad.. and some movies on your list won't release this year like Black Flies, Longlegs, The End we start from, The Old Oak and more..
@gabrielcastaneda9700
Жыл бұрын
Is joika this year
@brijanwilson1888
Жыл бұрын
@@gabrielcastaneda9700 yes around October/November
@pb.j.1753
10 ай бұрын
@@brijanwilson1888 Black Flies and The Old Oak premiered in Cannes in May. The End We Start From will premiere at TIFF.
THE NEW SEASON STARTS TODAY!! Lets gooooooooooo 🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉
SO EXCITED FOR THIS SEASON ALREADY
The Oppenheimer supporting cast ahahahah
I'm putting my money on Ant Man 3, clearly the masterpiece of a generation
@pb.j.1753
Жыл бұрын
Same.
@pseudonymousbeing987
Жыл бұрын
"Cinema" is not enough to describe it, it needs "it was in a cinema".
Dune Part Two is sweeping EVERTHING 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥