Happy you guys got this moment, love the channel!

Interesting :) Keep up the good work.

Just gonna throw my predictions here so I can see what I was thinking when I inevitably get everything wrong lol. In alphabetical order so I don't have to think too much: The Apprentice, Bird, Dune: Part Two, The End, Megalopolis, The Nickel Boys, Nosferatu, Parthenope, Sing Sing, The Supremes at Earl's All-You-Can-Eat.

Dune: part two will most likely be nominated for 13 Oscars and win about 10-11 including Director and picture. Sing sing might just win an acting and screenplay

@Afr095

2 ай бұрын

I say this because I feel Hollywood wants to see big epic films start winning again and with the mastery and praise of dune 2, Dennis being snubbed for the last film and people just keeping the momentum of it all year plus winning a bunch of techs will help it go to best picture. This years return of the king or titanic. The 2010s were more about the indie films and lower budget ones winning that not a lot of people seen, now it’s going back toward the way it was in the 2000s again. Just my prediction.

Matt this does indeed crack the top 5 🔥

This year is interesting because we don't have many guaranteed heavy hitters. The only two movies I'm confident in are Dune: Part Two and Sing Sing and that's because those two have been seen. Here's a suggestion: I think there is a chance that the new Pedro Almadovar film The Room Next Door comes out this year. It's production history seems similar to Parallel Mothers (it was shooting in early 2021). And there would be the Sony Pictures Classics Film. Some other titles you didn't mention: Hard Truths, Mother Mary and Bird. The way you described it made The History of Sound sound (lol) incredibly enticing. According to Wikipedia it has American distributor though, I am confused. I would LOVE for Megalopolis to be great, I just have doubts.

@fantasyfilmball

4 ай бұрын

Good thinking with Almodovar. I wasn't thinking it would be possible for the film to be finished, but you're right, he turns around projects very fast! I'll add that into my long list. For The History of Sound, I think Wikipedia is wrong on that/is misinformed. CAA Media Finance is not a distributor, but a sales agent. They don't distribute films themselves as far as I know, but they're one of the biggest Hollywood sales agencies. They represented sales for The Holdovers, Sing Sing, May December, and hundreds of other films. - M

@oskari7121

4 ай бұрын

@@fantasyfilmball Good to know re The History of Sound. Have to say that I have my eyes on that film now. It also feels like that "elevated Oscar bait". Searchlight potentially bying it makes so much sense.

amazing video… but how do you not like defying gravity? espeically if you like musicals?

COME ON UPGRADE 👏🏾👏🏾👏🏾

@fantasyfilmball

4 ай бұрын

For the next three episodes! Unfortunately we're back to Zoom after that, as Dyl is back in VA. But we're hoping to do more of these types of meet-ups in the future. - M

I think that The Piano Lesson could be a big thing at The Oscars it gets nominated for best supporting actress for Danielle Deadlyer and best supporting actor for Samuel L Jackson. It was Danielle Brooks not Danielle Deadlyer. Neon is good at getting nominated for multiple Oscar nominations but not all of the movies that are vying for Oscars end up not getting nominated for example Origin.

@fantasyfilmball

4 ай бұрын

Oh my god you're right, it was Danielle Brooks on Broadway, not Danielle Deadwyler. Shout out to me for only reading the first name. Weird that they kept the rest of the cast the same, but swapped Danielles.

Supremes At Earl's All You Can Eat Is rumored to go to Hulu and it feels like the type of movie that goes to Hulu

@fantasyfilmball

4 ай бұрын

Interesting! The question then becomes, what do Searchlight have? Makes no sense to put Kinds of Kindness in summer if this is the case, and A Real Pain I don't buy under any circumstances. Nightbitch and In the Blink of an Eye are also doing Hulu, and A Complete Unknown hasn't even finished filming yet! From this point, Supremes looks like the best option.

So I actually see more of a correlation between election years and the ceremonies that happen within those election years. I think that correlation was one of the reasons Parasite resonated with Academy voters in 2020: a critical election was months away, and a film about class warfare felt relevant. And this year, a film like Oppenheimer likely felt especially timely for many, not just because another crucial election cycle was in the air, but because of the conflicts in Ukraine and Israel/Gaza, and the feeling of just how close to the brink of another major war we could be. That said, both took on broader political themes as opposed to being directly about a party or candidate, or being on the nose about politics. And that’s my concern with The Apprentice. Right now I see it being like one of Adam McKay’s political films; it will get nominations, but its directness won’t result in a Best Picture win. Also in regards for Dune Part 2: I’d rather have any backlash happen now than one or two months, or even weeks, before the ceremony. That way there’s time for the pendulum of consensus to either reverse course or swing towards the middle.

@fantasyfilmball

4 ай бұрын

Great points! I can see what you mean about before elections with Parasite, and potentially with Oppenheimer. If we go back a bit further, I don't see the comp as much for Spotlight in 2015/2016 as much as I do Moonlight, but can see the argument for The Artist in 2011/2012 being that Oscar voters were pretty happy with the state of things. Back in 2007/2008, No Country for Old Men also feels hard to pinpoint how it connects, while Slumdog Millionaire seems like the feel-good movie that reflects the hope people felt when electing Obama with his promise of "Yes We Can". You are absolutely right about the directness being a potential issue with The Apprentice. I don't think the film will be very on the nose in its approach from what I've heard from people who have worked on it, but the subject matter itself may be too direct. In terms of Dune, I think of it like Barbie's backlash trajectory last year. It came out, was immensely popular and beloved, and very quickly got hit by the "it's not that good" crowd. Some people were very loudly anti-Barbie, and those people faded out when the movies left theaters because it wasn't as much in the zeitgeist anymore. When Oscar noms came out, the Barbie haters came out of the woodwork to proclaim "how dare the Oscars nominate this?". The backlash for Dune will still be here when Oscar noms come next year, and the haters will get loud about it. It won't hurt the film much overall, but it just shows an attitude that'll keep the film from winning Picture IMO. (As a counterpoint, EEAAO did also have a fair bit of backlash, but it seemed to come pretty late in the season, and it seems like it was too late for the haters to gain traction against the wave of love that film had). - M

what does the animated film race look like to y'all?

@fantasyfilmball

4 ай бұрын

We'll touch on this deeper in a few weeks, but right now I think it's between The Lord of the Rings and The Wild Robot. I've heard from people who have seen the LOTR trailer in focus groups that it looks breathtaking. Inside Out 2 is borderline for me based on the spotty track record of Pixar sequels that aren't Toy Story. Moana 2 is out imo because it feels like a cash grab, based on the fact it was meant to be a Disney+ show that they retrofitted into a movie. I think just like last year, it's another year where Disney is gonna misfire heavily. Transformers One seems interesting. I'm also looking out for indies like the new Sylvain Chomet and the new Michel Hazanavicius.

Found my film bros, nobody is talking about Nosferatu

@fantasyfilmball

4 ай бұрын

I will gladly take my L if it fails, but if it does connect, I shall reap the benefits!!! - D

There is absolutely no way The Apprentice can win best picture unless it's Oppy level masterpiece. Divisive movies like that don't win. And yes. I know we haven't seen the movie yet but come on. There is no way this one isn't gonna be a topic for debate. Especially this year.

@fantasyfilmball

4 ай бұрын

Divisive in the public maybe, but are we really expecting an anti-Trump movie to be divisive within the Academy? I don't think that's a message many academy members are gonna be bothered by at all. In fact, I'd go as far as to say you automatically have a bigger campaign from very vocally anti-Trump actors like Robert De Niro, who will no doubt endorse the film through the season. - M

I don't have faith in The Apprentice - even though it has Jeremy Strong. I'm predicting Sing Sing (A24), Dune Part Two (Warner Bros), Blitz (Apple), Gladiator II (Paramount/Universal), The Piano Lesson (Netflix), A Real Pain (Searchlight), The Nickel Boys (MGM), Conclave (Focus), Here (Sony), and Those Who Find Me (Neon????) or whichever film wins Cannes

@fantasyfilmball

4 ай бұрын

Great shout out with Those Who Find Me, that's one of my most anticipated of Cannes, and I do believe it could be a big breakout. If my Emmanuelle prediction out of Cannes doesn't work out, Those Who Find Me would be high up my list of international contenders (as would Parthenope - Paolo Sorrentino feels like a filmmaker that could get into Picture/Director some day).

Why do you say A Little Prayer is fake? I saw it at a local film festival last year and it was my personal favorite of the movies I saw there. This does not mean much but the other movie I saw at the local film festival that ended up with Oscars love was American Fiction and I enjoyed A Little Prayer even more. If not Oscars love, then I hope I get to see it again in theaters.

@fantasyfilmball

4 ай бұрын

I also got to check it out last year, and while I found the film to be fine, I felt like the buzz around David Straitharn as an Oscar contender was manufactured. I could see him end up being nominated for an Indie Spirit, but he feels like the type of performance that gets Sundance buzz and never goes anywhere (like how Lily Tomlin got Oscar buzz for Grandma in 2015, which never went anywhere after the festival).

@tonyg76

4 ай бұрын

@@fantasyfilmball I see. I understand that. Actually, I enjoyed Jane Levys' character more. Thank you for the response!

The critics probably won’t come out against lady Gaga.

Dune 2 has a lower Metacritic review because of one idiotic reviewer from Boston Globe. No one cares about his bias reviews. See his review history. Also imagine saying Dune 2 is a popcprn film 😂 Its never making a 1B because its a cerebral scifi.