The key flaw in your analysis is the failure to take into account the manufacturing might of Chinese economy. The same assumption was made about Russia that they can’t sustain their weapon and equipment losses and they will no choice but to give up once their stockpile has dwindled. The fact has turned out that it is west who had trouble to keep up supplies to Ukrainian forces. US’s reliance on advanced and expensive weapons is their advantage and Achilles heel as shown in Ukraine they take a lot money and time to replenish. If China direct their manufacturing base to support war efforts can you imagine how many drones and missiles it can produce a year. They don’t need quality they need quantity which they will get. Once the American navy runs out their million dollar a pop missiles to shot down the Chinese cheaper and mass produced drones and missiles, they will be sitting ducks.
@NoDramaQueensКүн бұрын
How long before some Europeans go in and steal the resources?
@westonfoster797Күн бұрын
im drooling Michael Hilliard im drooling
@pubgmobileclashroyale4725Күн бұрын
Bro, we are buying gas from Turkmenistan for a long time, They are even richer than us (Uzbekistan) and Iran
@haoyuan92Күн бұрын
This is going to be exciting one because central asia dont always have much news coverage. Would be interesting to hear about them
@ctwpoco-oy6wuКүн бұрын
Just give them independence. How is Indonesia ruling West Papua different from Holland colonizing Java?
@robertortiz-wilson1588Күн бұрын
Nice.
@tibchy144Күн бұрын
This should be interesting
@narzhur4892 күн бұрын
looks great! best wishes from Portugal
@hubertusvenator58382 күн бұрын
everything mispronounced
@Andrew_Tate_Personal2 күн бұрын
Armenia refuses to accept the muslim invitation to submit to islam and Allah and will fight to remain one of the last TRUE Christian countries on earth
@grassnothing16312 күн бұрын
Asia
@karimmaasri17232 күн бұрын
👍
@philguer48022 күн бұрын
Yay!
@raquetdude2 күн бұрын
F Mongolia. (Understand it’s not part of the region but covering their military to the same degree would be neat)
@TheRedLinePodКүн бұрын
Poor Mongolia. Central Asia analysts categorise it as "East Asia" East Asia analysts categorise it as "North Asia" North Asia analysts categorise it as "Central Asia". ....All of whom would have been correct a few centuries ago.
@leopad13122 күн бұрын
This has made my day
@bobafett_89222 күн бұрын
I look forward to this series
@pjackson6688Күн бұрын
Same
@olbiomoiros2 күн бұрын
Funny how you call it a Greco Turkish war, when it was an invasion of Turkey to CYPRIOT soil, and Greece betrayed us and didn’t even help. 60 000 Turkish soldiers against 14 000 Cypriot inexperienced soldiers (the Cypriot National guard was new and disorganised).
@fanfilifon3 күн бұрын
Karabakh is Azerbaijan 🇦🇿
@bathhatingcat86263 күн бұрын
You attract a lot of Chinese/russian/brics crackpots in your chat
@yapsiauwsoengie65073 күн бұрын
Hello Unites Snakes, Are you there?
@haoyuan923 күн бұрын
so glad to hear a felllow countryman in this interview
@SomeGuy_993 күн бұрын
Support Azerbaijan from Albania
@Mantis.Toboggan3 күн бұрын
Can’t believe red line doesn’t have more subs. Excellent content. Keep plugging.
@tackthecool3 күн бұрын
Wrong map of India
@noproblem51373 күн бұрын
Maybe most of them are fake accounts because Armenians always love to lie but it is really schocking how many d*mbs support separatism
@defective68114 күн бұрын
The relationship is somewhat difficult to predict. It is predicated upon how much each thinks it helps themselves, and twisted by how much power either has over the other. As the RF wallows deeper and deeper in its invasion of Ukraine, the power balance continues to shift more towards the PRC. Making predicting the relationship even more difficult, we know that both leaders deal with incomplete information environments, but we still dont know exactly to what extent their worldviews are shaped by fallacious internal assumptions. The question I continue to ponder is, how far does the balance of power need to shift towards the PRC, and how deeply incomplete does the information environment in the Kremlin need to get, before the PRC is able to convince or coerce the RF to join as an actor in the looming Taiwan conflict. The answer to that question is likely different for non kinetic actions directed against the US than it is for kinetic actions against the US, and how likely is the former to precipitate the latter. I personally fear we are far too focused on the kinetic aspect of a Taiwan conflict, when non kinetic actions can possibly also play a major role, but I also personally fear that the addition of RF assets to the conflict in the pacific will alter the equation enough to make the conflict far more devastating to the US and our allies than our planners appreciate.
@sameermujeeb61294 күн бұрын
This channel is very underrated. Wonderful work!
@pugster735 күн бұрын
After listening to about 2/3 of this podcast, you would've think that China would invade Russia sometime next week. But seriously, do China and Russia want to have an alliance with the US/EU or an alliance towards each other? There are disagreements towards certain minor things, but relations is never better. These China/Russia 'experts' really don't know what they are talking about.
@10N154T10N5 күн бұрын
On the topic of part 3 questions about Poland (and other Eastern flank nations) donating their brand new gear to another state attacked by Russia (Moldova, Georgia). The reason the donation of the post-soviet equipment was such a crucial aid in the first stage of the Russian invasion is because Ukrainian troops were already trained to effectively operate this type of equipment. Even if the local variants and versions differed, it was like switching between Nokia 3210 and 3310, not like switching from Samsung to iPhone. Not only that, Ukrainians would, most likely, have spare parts for the delivered equipment in store and facilities and maintenance personnel adapted to performing needed repairs. Delivering modern Abrams M1A2 tanks to Georgians who, until now, served on T-72s or T-55s would require extensive retraining of the crews and support personnel. This isn't something that can be done within a week or two (except, *perhaps* loaders?). From radio and intercom use, weapons training and maintenance, NBC training, tactics and field repairs to things as basic as muscle memorisation - 4th generation tanks like M1A2 require a well-trained crews to operate correctly, unlike the 2nd/3rd generation T-variants "People's Tanks".
@danwelterweight41375 күн бұрын
You clowns in the west don't know anything about China or Chinese history. That is why you keep assuming that China will launch a 1 time invasion, be repelled by Western and Taiwanese forces and that will be the end of it. You clowns don't even that this would be the second time China has had to invade Taiwan after the end of a Civil War. The first time was in 1642-1682. Manchu lead Qing China defeated Ming China in the Mainland and the losing forces from the Ming fled to Taiwan and established their forces there. Ming China then launched a massive war of conquest of Taiwan that consisted of 11 invasion attempts and lasted 40 years. Half a million people died. For 40 years straight without ceasing the Ming launched invasion after invasion. They kept coming again and again and again 11 times until they were eventually successful. If you think China is going to launch a one time invasion, fail and just accept the result you are dilusional. They will be relentless. They will keep coming over and over and over again until they eventually succeed even if it takes them decades, but they will win. Furthermore, Taiwan cannot be defended. Taiwan imports 67% of its food, 99% of its energy. 22% of all the food consumed by Taiwan comes from the Mainland. If china launches an embargo no insurance company will cover the costs it takes to ship goods to Taiwan. China will block all shipping in and out of Taiwan. Taiwan will starve and run out of power. Furthermore, China can bombard and shell Taiwan day and night on the clock from its own coast. The water between Taiwan and China is very shallow. You cannot defend against China fksm Taiwan. Furthermore, don't forget that China has weapons with the range to hit the United States Mainland if the US hits Mainland China. The question is do you think the United States is ready to sacrifice Los Angeles, NYC, Washington DC, Houston, San Francisco, Chicago and Miami for Taiwan? I don't think so.
@Videocrafts2865 күн бұрын
Support Azerbaijan from Pakistan
@esermenas33375 күн бұрын
Karabağ Azerbaycan’ındır. Ermeni işgali sonlandırılmış Azerbaycan toprak bütünlüğünü sağlamıştır. Can Azerbaycan’a kardeşlerimize Türkiye’den selamlar. ❤
@Adriaticus5 күн бұрын
How many Indonesians are going to deny that West Papuans don't want to be a part of Indonesia. This has nothing to do with anything else. "What about Australia waa waa waa" The difference is we aren't actively bombing Aboriginals so they don't want independence.
@essiellapawiro-oelomo19775 күн бұрын
Welcome to my countryyyy🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉❤❤❤
@ianshaver89545 күн бұрын
It’s funny that people thought the PRC would actually do what it promised to do.
@honahwikeepa21156 күн бұрын
Strengthened relationship because of US NATO tyranny imposed against both. Russia is a Christian Nation and China isn't. But they have a common threat that the is well documented. The US and UK particularly. Western Nations need to abandon the dollar and return to Gold like China and Russia. You can't print Gold to suit your crimes. Otherwise it's Aussie boots on the ground in Ukraine Gaza Syria Lebanon Yemen Iraq and Iran.
@hajdiag7 күн бұрын
Kurdistan ❤ armenia
@UnitedStateOfTuran-ry7nc7 күн бұрын
You all we TURKS
@defective68117 күн бұрын
Ive just found this channel and have immediately subbed like 8 minutes in. I love the modeling approach. My concern is that for us in the west the 'Taiwan Question' is a bit of a geopolitical three body problem, with dramatically different outcomes depending upon our initial assumptions in modeling. For instance, if we presume that Xi feels comfortable with his personal power within the PRC we can assume that war might come later, likely at what the PLA would feel the most optimal military timing. If on the other hand we change only our presumption about Xi's perception of his own power, the Taiwan Question becomes one of political optimization instead of military, and could come at a dramatically different timing. I fear we are too comfortable applying western cultural causal reasoning to the situation, which often does not match the causal reasoning of the Chinese.
@deinemutter89997 күн бұрын
I still think this would happen with Russia simultaniously invading the baltic. This would change everything and US forces would be heavily strained. Also euro allies would not be able to spare anything for the pacific. Also I dont think it would be a short war. History showed that these cases are almost everytime wrong. I also think an invasion of malaysia and parts of indonesia is a must for china in case of a long war. This could also effect india and pakistan and I can imagine a new axis being founded. When the US looks like i lost the first weeks it could draw a lot of other countries onto the side of china. If China starts this it has nothing to lose. They would attack everyone not allied around them.
@lukachew327 күн бұрын
20:09 Tanu what?
@Jd-tu6oz8 күн бұрын
Xi is not going to attack other countries first. The narrative is Taiwan is China and therefore it will be a domestic conflict. China will pull out the nuclear threat to deter the US and Japan involvment. The POTUS will have a hard time convincing people go to war with China knowing the possibility of nuke war.
@AsG_4_8 күн бұрын
Gazprom now lost 7 billion Will Russian gas survive ?
@CarpsterKing8 күн бұрын
Another anti China bs rhetoric.. Go fly kite...
@karimmaasri17233 күн бұрын
Ahhh...the intellectual maturity....
@user-ff5mi9vo9r9 күн бұрын
I live in surinam love my country one of the best,i will neverrrrrr leave my country, living is good,politician are corrupt
@pathat88699 күн бұрын
China is not militarily capable of invading taiwan until 2030.
@QuintessentialUltimatum9 күн бұрын
*I feel like that is not bc of geography, it’s because of politics.*
@davidlim59 күн бұрын
Aussie so naive who knew nothing but another fake news & lies.!!!
@prastagus39 күн бұрын
5 years? Russia just agreed with China that it will help China militarily on the Taiwan issue. Quite unprecedented already. Russia is willing to cede some core interests to China (allowing long delayed central Asian railway, far east port openings, military research, etc.) all thanks to US and some of the EU nations. So all these negative frictions that used to bother both countries are now replaced by common interests instead, especially when US keep lumping them together as its main adversaries. What else can they do but come together?
Пікірлер
The key flaw in your analysis is the failure to take into account the manufacturing might of Chinese economy. The same assumption was made about Russia that they can’t sustain their weapon and equipment losses and they will no choice but to give up once their stockpile has dwindled. The fact has turned out that it is west who had trouble to keep up supplies to Ukrainian forces. US’s reliance on advanced and expensive weapons is their advantage and Achilles heel as shown in Ukraine they take a lot money and time to replenish. If China direct their manufacturing base to support war efforts can you imagine how many drones and missiles it can produce a year. They don’t need quality they need quantity which they will get. Once the American navy runs out their million dollar a pop missiles to shot down the Chinese cheaper and mass produced drones and missiles, they will be sitting ducks.
How long before some Europeans go in and steal the resources?
im drooling Michael Hilliard im drooling
Bro, we are buying gas from Turkmenistan for a long time, They are even richer than us (Uzbekistan) and Iran
This is going to be exciting one because central asia dont always have much news coverage. Would be interesting to hear about them
Just give them independence. How is Indonesia ruling West Papua different from Holland colonizing Java?
Nice.
This should be interesting
looks great! best wishes from Portugal
everything mispronounced
Armenia refuses to accept the muslim invitation to submit to islam and Allah and will fight to remain one of the last TRUE Christian countries on earth
Asia
👍
Yay!
F Mongolia. (Understand it’s not part of the region but covering their military to the same degree would be neat)
Poor Mongolia. Central Asia analysts categorise it as "East Asia" East Asia analysts categorise it as "North Asia" North Asia analysts categorise it as "Central Asia". ....All of whom would have been correct a few centuries ago.
This has made my day
I look forward to this series
Same
Funny how you call it a Greco Turkish war, when it was an invasion of Turkey to CYPRIOT soil, and Greece betrayed us and didn’t even help. 60 000 Turkish soldiers against 14 000 Cypriot inexperienced soldiers (the Cypriot National guard was new and disorganised).
Karabakh is Azerbaijan 🇦🇿
You attract a lot of Chinese/russian/brics crackpots in your chat
Hello Unites Snakes, Are you there?
so glad to hear a felllow countryman in this interview
Support Azerbaijan from Albania
Can’t believe red line doesn’t have more subs. Excellent content. Keep plugging.
Wrong map of India
Maybe most of them are fake accounts because Armenians always love to lie but it is really schocking how many d*mbs support separatism
The relationship is somewhat difficult to predict. It is predicated upon how much each thinks it helps themselves, and twisted by how much power either has over the other. As the RF wallows deeper and deeper in its invasion of Ukraine, the power balance continues to shift more towards the PRC. Making predicting the relationship even more difficult, we know that both leaders deal with incomplete information environments, but we still dont know exactly to what extent their worldviews are shaped by fallacious internal assumptions. The question I continue to ponder is, how far does the balance of power need to shift towards the PRC, and how deeply incomplete does the information environment in the Kremlin need to get, before the PRC is able to convince or coerce the RF to join as an actor in the looming Taiwan conflict. The answer to that question is likely different for non kinetic actions directed against the US than it is for kinetic actions against the US, and how likely is the former to precipitate the latter. I personally fear we are far too focused on the kinetic aspect of a Taiwan conflict, when non kinetic actions can possibly also play a major role, but I also personally fear that the addition of RF assets to the conflict in the pacific will alter the equation enough to make the conflict far more devastating to the US and our allies than our planners appreciate.
This channel is very underrated. Wonderful work!
After listening to about 2/3 of this podcast, you would've think that China would invade Russia sometime next week. But seriously, do China and Russia want to have an alliance with the US/EU or an alliance towards each other? There are disagreements towards certain minor things, but relations is never better. These China/Russia 'experts' really don't know what they are talking about.
On the topic of part 3 questions about Poland (and other Eastern flank nations) donating their brand new gear to another state attacked by Russia (Moldova, Georgia). The reason the donation of the post-soviet equipment was such a crucial aid in the first stage of the Russian invasion is because Ukrainian troops were already trained to effectively operate this type of equipment. Even if the local variants and versions differed, it was like switching between Nokia 3210 and 3310, not like switching from Samsung to iPhone. Not only that, Ukrainians would, most likely, have spare parts for the delivered equipment in store and facilities and maintenance personnel adapted to performing needed repairs. Delivering modern Abrams M1A2 tanks to Georgians who, until now, served on T-72s or T-55s would require extensive retraining of the crews and support personnel. This isn't something that can be done within a week or two (except, *perhaps* loaders?). From radio and intercom use, weapons training and maintenance, NBC training, tactics and field repairs to things as basic as muscle memorisation - 4th generation tanks like M1A2 require a well-trained crews to operate correctly, unlike the 2nd/3rd generation T-variants "People's Tanks".
You clowns in the west don't know anything about China or Chinese history. That is why you keep assuming that China will launch a 1 time invasion, be repelled by Western and Taiwanese forces and that will be the end of it. You clowns don't even that this would be the second time China has had to invade Taiwan after the end of a Civil War. The first time was in 1642-1682. Manchu lead Qing China defeated Ming China in the Mainland and the losing forces from the Ming fled to Taiwan and established their forces there. Ming China then launched a massive war of conquest of Taiwan that consisted of 11 invasion attempts and lasted 40 years. Half a million people died. For 40 years straight without ceasing the Ming launched invasion after invasion. They kept coming again and again and again 11 times until they were eventually successful. If you think China is going to launch a one time invasion, fail and just accept the result you are dilusional. They will be relentless. They will keep coming over and over and over again until they eventually succeed even if it takes them decades, but they will win. Furthermore, Taiwan cannot be defended. Taiwan imports 67% of its food, 99% of its energy. 22% of all the food consumed by Taiwan comes from the Mainland. If china launches an embargo no insurance company will cover the costs it takes to ship goods to Taiwan. China will block all shipping in and out of Taiwan. Taiwan will starve and run out of power. Furthermore, China can bombard and shell Taiwan day and night on the clock from its own coast. The water between Taiwan and China is very shallow. You cannot defend against China fksm Taiwan. Furthermore, don't forget that China has weapons with the range to hit the United States Mainland if the US hits Mainland China. The question is do you think the United States is ready to sacrifice Los Angeles, NYC, Washington DC, Houston, San Francisco, Chicago and Miami for Taiwan? I don't think so.
Support Azerbaijan from Pakistan
Karabağ Azerbaycan’ındır. Ermeni işgali sonlandırılmış Azerbaycan toprak bütünlüğünü sağlamıştır. Can Azerbaycan’a kardeşlerimize Türkiye’den selamlar. ❤
How many Indonesians are going to deny that West Papuans don't want to be a part of Indonesia. This has nothing to do with anything else. "What about Australia waa waa waa" The difference is we aren't actively bombing Aboriginals so they don't want independence.
Welcome to my countryyyy🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉❤❤❤
It’s funny that people thought the PRC would actually do what it promised to do.
Strengthened relationship because of US NATO tyranny imposed against both. Russia is a Christian Nation and China isn't. But they have a common threat that the is well documented. The US and UK particularly. Western Nations need to abandon the dollar and return to Gold like China and Russia. You can't print Gold to suit your crimes. Otherwise it's Aussie boots on the ground in Ukraine Gaza Syria Lebanon Yemen Iraq and Iran.
Kurdistan ❤ armenia
You all we TURKS
Ive just found this channel and have immediately subbed like 8 minutes in. I love the modeling approach. My concern is that for us in the west the 'Taiwan Question' is a bit of a geopolitical three body problem, with dramatically different outcomes depending upon our initial assumptions in modeling. For instance, if we presume that Xi feels comfortable with his personal power within the PRC we can assume that war might come later, likely at what the PLA would feel the most optimal military timing. If on the other hand we change only our presumption about Xi's perception of his own power, the Taiwan Question becomes one of political optimization instead of military, and could come at a dramatically different timing. I fear we are too comfortable applying western cultural causal reasoning to the situation, which often does not match the causal reasoning of the Chinese.
I still think this would happen with Russia simultaniously invading the baltic. This would change everything and US forces would be heavily strained. Also euro allies would not be able to spare anything for the pacific. Also I dont think it would be a short war. History showed that these cases are almost everytime wrong. I also think an invasion of malaysia and parts of indonesia is a must for china in case of a long war. This could also effect india and pakistan and I can imagine a new axis being founded. When the US looks like i lost the first weeks it could draw a lot of other countries onto the side of china. If China starts this it has nothing to lose. They would attack everyone not allied around them.
20:09 Tanu what?
Xi is not going to attack other countries first. The narrative is Taiwan is China and therefore it will be a domestic conflict. China will pull out the nuclear threat to deter the US and Japan involvment. The POTUS will have a hard time convincing people go to war with China knowing the possibility of nuke war.
Gazprom now lost 7 billion Will Russian gas survive ?
Another anti China bs rhetoric.. Go fly kite...
Ahhh...the intellectual maturity....
I live in surinam love my country one of the best,i will neverrrrrr leave my country, living is good,politician are corrupt
China is not militarily capable of invading taiwan until 2030.
*I feel like that is not bc of geography, it’s because of politics.*
Aussie so naive who knew nothing but another fake news & lies.!!!
5 years? Russia just agreed with China that it will help China militarily on the Taiwan issue. Quite unprecedented already. Russia is willing to cede some core interests to China (allowing long delayed central Asian railway, far east port openings, military research, etc.) all thanks to US and some of the EU nations. So all these negative frictions that used to bother both countries are now replaced by common interests instead, especially when US keep lumping them together as its main adversaries. What else can they do but come together?