Well done! A great visual of what every player should be thinking about. Every roll is a new roll. No math can predict big red. We can only hedge it with logic. Thank you

Absolutely love this channel. Thanks for all your hard work. 😊👍👍

@ProCraps

2 жыл бұрын

So nice of you to say. I appreciate that. Comments like this give me the drive keep on doing the show every day.

As others have pointed out, nice visual explanation of probability. Thank you.

@ProCraps

2 жыл бұрын

I appreciate that!

Well done! Great way to break it Down! It definitely affects my play

@ProCraps

2 жыл бұрын

Glad that helped and made some sense!

i like laying the 4 for 200, inside for 110, first 3 hits, buy the 4 and then power press to the moon

@ProCraps

21 күн бұрын

I have never done well with a lay bet protecting place bets. The dice find me every time!

@darrellq6954

21 күн бұрын

@@ProCraps I rather hide from the 4 than than the 7....LOL

Nice video! Great info

@ProCraps

2 жыл бұрын

Glad it was helpful!

Wow what an eye opener! - Very nice job on a very important reality check on how vital money management truly is - Definitely going to make me realize that regression is a new tool for survival I will incorporate into my game plan - Thank you so much my friend

Great video and breakdown. Really hard to beat the house, have to play smart and still get the dice to roll a little out of probability to beat that house edge. Your analysis really helps.

@ProCraps

2 жыл бұрын

Glad it was helpful! The house cannot be beaten. It takes a good mixture of luck, knowledge, and guts to eek it out. Sometimes you'll get that homerun, and that's why keep playing

Great video! I have been just trying to think of it as I need x+1 hits to be in profit, where x is the numbers placed. Then trying to determine how to balance numbers placed, bet vs bankroll, and number of rolls to be exposed and regress. I have been practicing the skill 66, press a unit inside on the first hit, and down to 22 after the 2nd hit. The headache now is that the count resets on the 22 I leave up as far as hits required to pay off the 22 I leave :)

Great job. Thanks for explaining this. What are great strategies for 300 bank roll?

@ProCraps

2 жыл бұрын

There are no “great strategies” … the dice have to match your bets. At the $300 level I play pretty conservatively b where I’m more likely to go out there with $66 inside or $64 across and just take one hit and turn my bets off. With 20% of your bankroll out there, don’t let it get hurt by being active too long

2 hits down is optimal for me. Across is also optimal for me. I agree that linear betting is something the casinos account for (ie same bet) So you’re either pressing your bets either biased pressing or each place 1 unit up) OR as the bets hit take them down to limit exposure. So one hit gives you 35 in profit plus say 25 limit in exposure. 2nd hit gives you 35 and another 25min limiting exposure. You have 60 left on the table and 70 in the rack (worse case scenario )

@markwojtulski74

2 жыл бұрын

This seems like it may work good with $220 inside. One hit collect $70 and take that bet down. Next hit collect $70 and take that bet down. Now, take the remaining two bets and spread them out inside ($110 inside) may have to drop $5-$10 bucks if you hit on the 6 and 8 earlier. Now you have $110 inside and a small profit in your rack along with your original investment. Now PowerPress and Collect your way to bigger profits!

@ProCraps

2 жыл бұрын

What you're describing there is the "Butterburg" system. Bet across. On each hit, pull the bet. After 2 you can pull it all. After 3, you're guaranteed a profit. Love that system, especially from the Don't. El Toro does something similar where he bets across and after a hit, he takes the winnings, the bet, and the sister number down. 2 Hits an he's out. It's how he plays the random shooters.

John really enjoy your intelligent insight into craps. I play the inside but only leave the bets for 3 rolls and pull back. Looking forward to countering big red. Pull back, lower bets or use the Don’ts??? Thanks!

@ProCraps

2 жыл бұрын

If you go inside for 3 hits, depending on your bet size, after the 2nd hit, take your change and come through the DC. $110 Inside, they all pay $35. After that 2nd hit, you'd have 2 greens and 2 reds in the rack. Throw $10 into the DC. When it travels and you get paid again, pull your inside bets down and put the other reds ($20) on as odds to that DC bet. Use your change to make an extra quarter if you can.

John, listening to your fireside craps podcast episodes on a long flight today. They are great. I have a question about a comment you made in episode 6 I believe with the math professor. You made a statement and he agreed that if you are a place bettor, it is better to be off on the come out. Can you elaborate? I typically am always working until I come down from a shooter or decide to ride it out etc.

@ProCraps

9 ай бұрын

The reason is the possibility (and frequency) of multiple come out 7's. A come out roll, like any other roll has a 1/6 chance to show a 7 and take your money. But unlike working the puck on/off, you can go up for your $64 across (or whatever) again and again and again and just get torched by one of those runs. IMO, not worth it, unless you make a pact with yourself to only suffer one CO7 and then not go back up until a point is set. Then, you're probably fine, but that's the main reason.

Thanks, John. Great video. The other thing I thought you might want to add to this type of discussion at the beginning where you describe the 75% is to put in another 12 black chips in the mix to show that although you have a 3 to 1 win/loss advantage, that another 2 out of 6 rolls result in no action.

@ProCraps

2 жыл бұрын

The 3 to 1 advantage is only relevant on money changing decisions. When you calculate probability like this you throw out all of the options that don't matter and you just look at outcomes that pay you or take your money, and on THOSE you have the 3:1 kicker. That's the confusing part about all these calculations and i have a tough time making it super clear. The "odds" of rolling an inside number takes into account all 36 combinations, but the "probability" of a win vs a loss only takes into account the winning and losing combinations.

@PYANAGAWA1

2 жыл бұрын

John, yes. I understand. Was trying to add a dimension so the new viewers who would benefit from your video could put the 1 of 6 rolls being a 7 understanding that 1 of 3 rolls is not a money decision. I am aware of the $105 collection on 3 non-7 rolls and never considered pressing but makes sense since it marginally increases payout since I’m gonna leave up the $110 bets for 3 rolls. Will try the press strategy end of month when I am back in Vegas. Thanks!!

@PYANAGAWA1

2 жыл бұрын

And your explanation was very clear to me. Forwarded the video to a friend who has asked for craps videos. Like your videos, Carlin’s interviews the best, although I have a soft spot for HCS and Mel’s videos cause they are from Hawaii and I started off watching a lot of craps channels because of them. Aloha

@ProCraps

2 жыл бұрын

@@PYANAGAWA1 It's only marginal, but press-press-collect is better than 3 collects. But you know ... only if those 3 wins come ahead of Andre the Giant I like to do a $22 inside press 3 times from the $110 and then pull it all down. You end up with $106 in profit if you can survive.

@PYANAGAWA1

2 жыл бұрын

LOL … Andre !!

with Inside #'s covered, 75% chance of getting 1 hit before a PSO. with Across #'s covered, 80% chance of getting 1 hit before a PSO. with both Across #'s and C&E bet up, 83.3% chance of getting 1 hit before a PSO. take that 1 hit, then repress to a smaller bet and play with house money.

@ProCraps

Жыл бұрын

One hit and down sounds great until you lose it all. The fight back can take a long time to recover. I like an approach more in the middle.

I am a huge fan of the inside #'s and currently prefer to have 66 inside vs 64 across....but since the table I will be playing is a roll to win and the buys are paid on win and bets pay to the penny. I am really thinking I may be "better off" 64 across and catching extra hits. Granted it takes more hits to pay off but might be the same number of rolls or less in specific instances. I have also thought about going evens with $66. Am I overthinking it?

@ProCraps

9 ай бұрын

I've come around to that way of thinking as well. $64 across, same bet each number 1 time and then hammer press them until you hit a goal. I'm tired of missing out on the outsides.

🤘🤘🤘this is how i usually play craps.

Great explanation John. It makes me wonder if betting the Dark Side is actually a better (risk wise) way to go.? Not as much fun, but better.

@ProCraps

Жыл бұрын

All “sides” will lose. But I think the dark side is far more reliable

Color up sent me here

@ProCraps

Ай бұрын

Welcoime aboard!

2 hits inside and down is better than 5 hits and lose on the sixth try.

@ProCraps

2 жыл бұрын

Absolutely. Unless you regress.

Would this mean that power pressing, if the 9 hits, and then the 9 hits 2 more times that it could net you $280+ in winnings? Or is that not realistic?

@ProCraps

2 жыл бұрын

Essentially, yes. But you're describing a miracle there of 3 9's hitting before a 7 ... in actuality, you're lucky to get 3 hits from those bets as a group, let alone one of them. Look at the inside bets as ONE bet in totality. You can press one of them by a lot or all of them a little bit.

Great video John. This is essentially my strategy. The one thing that you didn't discuss are the wasted rolls (2, 3, 4, 10, etc). For this reason, I do 1 of 2 things typically. Either do "3 rolls" (not 3 hits) or play additional $10 or $15 field bet so that I always cash. With the field bet I do three rolls, and hopefully collect on all. Then I wait out the roll for resolution.

@ProCraps

2 жыл бұрын

I'm a big fan of putting my change into the field. For example, $110 inside, all bets pay $35. I press each one of them 1 unit ($22 inside press) and then put $10 in the field and rack $3. Same on rolls 2 and 3 and then you can pull down about $100 and maybe a field win.

@dustedone

2 жыл бұрын

I have been putting the last the final touches on my parlay vortex strategy. The strategy is well over 70% success rate for any roll of the dice. It also works great on choppy tables. look for it soon

What if When the 7shows, instead of losing your inside bet/22 dollars...you only lose 11 dollars, would that be a better bet? Is simple to do, on the come out bet 11 dollars on the Don't pass line, when you seven out you only lose 11 dollars. Your friend from puerto rico, I am the one that send you a system showing you how to bet in a way that if you bet the place numbers With the field you have the best chance of beating this game. Iam the person that showed Horse players how to handicapp and bet to win thousands of dollars on the horse that you come up with. In the K.D the player won $40 thousand dollars on a 3 to 1 horse. Any Questions send it my way. I like your show, never miss it. jaime.

@ProCraps

2 жыл бұрын

I'd like some more knowledge on the horses ... I used to bet them a lot when I was younger, but never had a system, just a lot of racing form study.

@jaimegarcia7922

2 жыл бұрын

@@ProCraps I just wrote a Reply to your post, it took me a while...telling you how to handicapp horses, and how to bet them, How to bet them is the Key to horse racing, When I hit the Reply button MY Reply some how got lost. Will send you a new reply later on today, I need to get some sleep. it's 3:35 A.M for me that is late. Your friend from Puerto Rico.

@jaimegarcia7922

2 жыл бұрын

@@ProCraps Good Morning John, Here is the [ Info you asked for ] Never Handicapp the morning line Favorite in a race, waste of your time. You will need the DAILY RACING FORM for that Card. You can get it on line. THE MOST IMPORTANT THING ABOUT HORSE RACING IS.......How to bet that Race. Later on , I will tell you how to bet a race. This is a simple way of handicapping horses. Race starts...You are now looking for a horse that makes a move at the START OF THE RACE. His move will be the following...he will come out First OR second OR third OR fourth [ then this horse will fall back to 5th OR 6th OR 7th OR worse Then on the stretch [ this horse will make another MOVE ] and will finish the race 2nd OR 3rd OR 4th ...that is the horse you are looking for. If you have more then one horse WITH the same moves in the same race, you will not bet that race. Now we have come to HOW TO BET THAT RACE. You will bet $100 dollars to win on that [ Horse ]. You will bet $100 dollars [ wheel exacta on that horse to PLACE ] that means to come in second. You will bet $ 200 to show on that Horse. ............................................................................................................................................................................... You will need at least $ 10 thousand dollars to bet like this. Or if you are a low Roller, Start at $ 20 dollars to win $ 20 dollar EX wheel AND 40 dollars to show. If you have any Questions on this system, send them to me. Your friend from Puerto Rico.

John what is your contact email please?