The Serious Problem with Nuclear Deterrence

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Пікірлер: 984

  • @CovertCabal
    @CovertCabal2 жыл бұрын

    Get 20% OFF + Free International Shipping + 2 FREE Gifts @MANSCAPED with promo code “Covert20” at mnscpd.com/Covert #sponsored

  • @MRsolidcolor

    @MRsolidcolor

    2 жыл бұрын

    yeah just say America was nuked. there would be hell to pay... and who ever did that would see it nasty..

  • @reluctantzealot7722

    @reluctantzealot7722

    2 жыл бұрын

    Can nuclear weapons help fight climate change?

  • @lamborghinidaniil

    @lamborghinidaniil

    2 жыл бұрын

    What you said is correct, by analyzing Japan would of surrendered either way and they didn’t have long to survive. No one wins in Nuclear War. First time you said something unbiased in a video. Please do more research. Sadly our country is on the brink of a fall and it is falling like a brick and that’s dangerous to the rest of the world. The war is coming and a really big one, and soon and it will be devastating. It’s not if but when. What is a little crazy is that the Russians do have detonation engines for their missiles and a puzzle that we Americans can solve till this day because we are too busy electing morons like we have right now that do not know the threat and what will happen when the war will start. The western world wanted to destroy Russia for over 400 years and it hasn’t happened, what makes them think that this time it will happen? The problem we have as Americans that we don’t have that non standard thinking

  • @Sacred_l0g1x

    @Sacred_l0g1x

    2 жыл бұрын

    YOUR DISINFORMATION VIDEO IS CHEAP AS CHEAP AS YOUR TALK as low as your CREDIBILITY LOL

  • @hugehamburger98
    @hugehamburger982 жыл бұрын

    Covert Cabal "Nuclear weapons have the power to kill millions" also Covert Cabal "Here's a razor for your balls"

  • @brock8232

    @brock8232

    2 жыл бұрын

    Yeah the shift was quite jarring

  • @lilskynet8163

    @lilskynet8163

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@brock8232 not as jarring as scarring, which is why you need proper blades for the boys

  • @popche7925

    @popche7925

    2 жыл бұрын

    That razor can also potentially kill the potential millions in your balls man, you ought to watch out.

  • @deusexaethera

    @deusexaethera

    2 жыл бұрын

    These two things are not mutually exclusive.

  • @carlmorgan8452

    @carlmorgan8452

    2 жыл бұрын

    Hold my beer 🍺 😏

  • @CuriousPersonUSA
    @CuriousPersonUSA2 жыл бұрын

    The evolution of nuclear doctrine over the decades is something worth studying.

  • @zes3813

    @zes3813

    2 жыл бұрын

    wrrr

  • @juliusraben3526

    @juliusraben3526

    2 жыл бұрын

    Any suggestions?0

  • @CuriousPersonUSA

    @CuriousPersonUSA

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@juliusraben3526 I recently came across a 2 part video series (4 hours) produced by Sandia National Labs called "U.S. Strategic Nuclear Policy, An Oral History". It tells the US side of the story. I am looking for more resources if anyone has any to share. Here are the links: Part 1: kzread.info/dash/bejne/g65kpslul6zQmNo.html Part 2: kzread.info/dash/bejne/lXWTmqtumM20f5M.html

  • @juliusraben3526

    @juliusraben3526

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@CuriousPersonUSA okay, watching part 1 now. Hopefully i can find this comment back when ive watched it all xD

  • @gspamm5744

    @gspamm5744

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@juliusraben3526 check out the Sandia Labs video called “on deterrence” as well.

  • @Starkada
    @Starkada2 жыл бұрын

    I think the inevitable problem with nuclear weapons is as technology advances it will become easy enough for a non-state actor to create a nuclear bomb, and then all bets are off because there is no nuclear deterrence against non-state actors

  • @TheSummersilk

    @TheSummersilk

    2 жыл бұрын

    Could say the same about biological weapons. Indeed, they are even more interesting, because it is far harder to regulate their development due to the intrinsic connection to advanced medicine.

  • @OGPatriot03

    @OGPatriot03

    2 жыл бұрын

    The world will have to mature to the point where we don't randomly kill each other. Regular people have to resist tyranny, the only reason a terrorist organization gets power from terror attacks is because the local people submit. (as we submit to tyranny over here) If terror attacks equaled war 100% of the time with the total eradication of the terrorists by the locals then it wouldn't be a legitimate strategy. - Same goes for lockdowns, we must resist.

  • @PrivateMemo

    @PrivateMemo

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@OGPatriot03 Cringe.

  • @gwentarinokripperinolkjdsf683

    @gwentarinokripperinolkjdsf683

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@OGPatriot03 Their will always be crazies

  • @SkyRiver1

    @SkyRiver1

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@OGPatriot03 Wow, . . . you equate a measure that is an attempt to deal with a pandemic with a terrorist attack. Is it just that you never learned how to logically reason or that you are just a wannabe demagogue? I had a cousin who sounded like you. He thought it was all a farce, to rob him of his freedom to chose paper or plastic. He refused to get vaccinated. He died last week of covid. He was smart like you. A veritable legend in his own mind. Like you. Was it Ambrose Bierce who during Civil War times defined patriotism as the last refuge of a scoundrel? All you have to do is look around and see who it is that does all the killing of other Americans to know that it's still true. The right wing-nut radicals in the USA are the most dangerous terrorist organizations for the average American. I suggest you resist them like you spout off about.

  • @hamzamahmood9565
    @hamzamahmood95652 жыл бұрын

    Imagine standing waist deep in gasoline with your enemy, and it turns out holding a lighter is the only way to stop a brawl. Yeah, that's nuclear weapons.

  • @DontHasselHoff

    @DontHasselHoff

    2 жыл бұрын

    Me just standing there wanting a light for my cigarette.

  • @amacca2085

    @amacca2085

    2 жыл бұрын

    No that’s the human race actually it’s got nothing to do with weapons

  • @SkyRiver1

    @SkyRiver1

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@amacca2085 Since the scenario presented would not exist without nuclear weapons, I would say it has everything to do with them.

  • @heroinboblivesagain5478

    @heroinboblivesagain5478

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@SkyRiver1 And yet, without their existence, millions would've perished.

  • @taraswertelecki3786

    @taraswertelecki3786

    2 жыл бұрын

    More like two men standing knee deep in gasoline with matches.

  • @1bottlejackdaniels
    @1bottlejackdaniels2 жыл бұрын

    "power of decision" (1958)..."fail safe" (1964)..."the bedford incident" (1965)..."first strike" (1979)..."world war III" (1982)..."the day after" (1983)..."wargames" (1983)..."by dawn's early light" (1990)... grab your popcorn and enjoy the fallout!

  • @brianfoley4328
    @brianfoley43282 жыл бұрын

    Nuclear deterrence has worked...as far as deterrence goes. Nuclear deterrence was never considered as a deterrence for conventional or unconventional war. The discussion has gone on since the Russians perfected their own nuclear weapons. What hasn't changed is the concept that conventional warfare is still possible, but conventional warfare has been restricted. The threat that conventional wars could spin out of control into nuclear war has acted as a "governor" on conventional warfare (ie the US in Vietnam). The example of North Korea using nuclear weapons against Guam is a "box canyon", the use of nuclear weapons no matter how limited or by whom, triggers a nuclear response. Otherwise the whole concept of nuclear deterrence is worthless...it's the ultimate "Triple Dog Dare"...it's a line once crossed there's no going back. Nuclear deterrence doesn't necessarily apply to "smaller states" such as an exchange between India and Pakistan or Israel and Iran, there the question (and the answers) are much more murky. But no one should have any doubt that any use of nuclear weapons against the United States, Russia or China will result in a nuclear response, which just like a broken damn, will flood quickly into wholesale devastation.

  • @icecold9511

    @icecold9511

    2 жыл бұрын

    Yeah. The only way deterrence works is if the other side knows you'll at a minimum respond in kind. Also why the idea of tactical nukes was left behind.

  • @elijahampumuza4457

    @elijahampumuza4457

    2 жыл бұрын

    well explained!

  • @deusexaethera

    @deusexaethera

    2 жыл бұрын

    Nuclear deterrence has worked quite well for deterring conventional war as well. And it's not true that there's no going back from nuclear war. No nation has a first-line plan to launch all of its nuclear weapons at once; even in nuclear warfare there are degrees of escalation.

  • @WetaMantis

    @WetaMantis

    Жыл бұрын

    @@deusexaethera But in reality not launching means most of your nukes will get destroyed by opposing force since it will be the very first thing they will try to destroy at all costs. Even subs MUST launch some immediately since leaving even one enemy warhead whole is absolutely unimaginable. They'll just keep some to destroy the remaining enemy subs hiding but won't be able to find them anyway with severe (total?) communication and intelligence gathering assets destroyed.

  • @placeholdername0000

    @placeholdername0000

    4 ай бұрын

    The most likely response by the US would be (mostly) low yield nuclear weapons on counterforce targets. In the case of North Korea, it would be military bases, nuclear facilities, government HQs etc. It shows that they are willing to break the nuclear taboo, while also keeping things proportional.

  • @jameslawrie3807
    @jameslawrie38072 жыл бұрын

    You're actually in error here about powers defining their responses. India when threatened with tactical strikes stated during the Indo-Pakistan war "any tactical strike will be considered a strategic strike and will incur a strategic response." This became the benchmark of the Cold War on the nuclear response and was the underpinning of the latter MAD doctrine worldwide.

  • @shubhampreetsingh8630

    @shubhampreetsingh8630

    2 жыл бұрын

    Latter? If I am not wrong MAD already existed throughout the cold war, India and Pakistan designed their nuclear policies after tests in 98

  • @tirrelljohnson823
    @tirrelljohnson8232 жыл бұрын

    how'd we get so lucky

  • @Kaybossboi

    @Kaybossboi

    2 жыл бұрын

    By using manscape

  • @fn9681

    @fn9681

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@Kaybossboi lol

  • @kissthesky40

    @kissthesky40

    2 жыл бұрын

    alien oversight

  • @pidaras_pidarasina

    @pidaras_pidarasina

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@kissthesky40 You can't even imagine.

  • @BlackFalconElectronics
    @BlackFalconElectronics2 жыл бұрын

    Keep up the great work Covert Cabal!!! Love your videos!!!

  • @noahway13
    @noahway132 жыл бұрын

    I worry about when nukes can be delivered without the bombed country knowing who did it. We are already there. A bomb would easily fit into a shipping container or be delivered by low flying drone. There would be no forensics existing after a nuclear bomb explosion: no camera footage, no vehicle parts, etc.

  • @ChucksSEADnDEAD

    @ChucksSEADnDEAD

    2 жыл бұрын

    If the digital records are kept in off-site servers, it would be possible to narrow down the containers that would be located in the explosion's center.

  • @d283jdsk2

    @d283jdsk2

    2 жыл бұрын

    All major ports in developed countries have radiation scanners.

  • @thickboi4304

    @thickboi4304

    2 жыл бұрын

    It’s possible to know especially when it’s ground base missile They can detect it from space

  • @223556762308

    @223556762308

    2 жыл бұрын

    Cargo is scanned in ways people know about and some they don’t. A smuggled nuke is unlikely, and even if it were to happen, the fallout would betray the source. We’ve been doing it since the 60s at least.

  • @icecold9511

    @icecold9511

    2 жыл бұрын

    There is plenty of capability to figure out who the state actor is.

  • @fumega
    @fumega2 жыл бұрын

    In my opinion, the problem of MAD is not the use of nuclear weapons in an all out direct attack between major nuclear powers, for example, USA on Russia, or USA on China (or the other way around), because they know that the use of nuclear weapons in that scenario would be devastating. The problem, instead, relies on the use of those kind of weapons in a tactical scenario against "lesser" NATO countries. For example, let's say that Russia uses tactical nuclear weapons in a very limited scenario against some Baltic countries... Do you really think the US would respond in kind, risking WWIII and MAD, for countries that 99% of Americans don't even know exist, or consider them irrelevant? I REALLY don't. Sure, incredible sanctions and international condemnation would ensue, but a nuclear response? I don't think so. And that's the problem.

  • @mdhasmatalimondal1216

    @mdhasmatalimondal1216

    2 жыл бұрын

    For this type of scenario there's something called "NATO nuclear umbrella " . Which allows NATO members to keep tactical nukes ( American made ) and use it only in a extreme situation that too with NATO's approval .

  • @taraswertelecki3786

    @taraswertelecki3786

    2 жыл бұрын

    There is another way a country could retaliate after a nuclear strike, bio-warfare using man made diseases that can be targeted at specific racial or ethnic groups and can be 100 percent lethal. The Soviets didn't just have nuclear warheads aboard their missiles, they also had bio-weapons aboard them too.

  • @viniciusdomenighi6439

    @viniciusdomenighi6439

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@taraswertelecki3786 Bacteria and virus do not distinguish between ethnicities or races LOL

  • @catinthehatworshipper1160

    @catinthehatworshipper1160

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@viniciusdomenighi6439 With genetic engineering it is theoretically possible to manufacture such a disease.

  • @JoeBLOWFHB

    @JoeBLOWFHB

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@mdhasmatalimondal1216 NATO members do not control ANY of the nuclear weapons the US has placed in Europe. That would be against the NPT and US law all nuclear weapons in the NATO sharing program are completely controlled by US forces as are the Permissive Action Link codes. In the case of war the NPT would no longer apply the weapons would be both mounted on NATO planes and armed by USAF Munitions Support Squadrons.

  • @robbabcock_
    @robbabcock_2 жыл бұрын

    Great video, and a sobering thought for sure.

  • @robertalaverdov8147
    @robertalaverdov81472 жыл бұрын

    WW3 casualty breakdown estimates: Total nuclear exchange between belligerent powers could potentially involve in it’s entirety detonations in excess of 100k megatons over significant portions of the northern hemisphere. Initial death toll within 24 hours is estimated at 300-500 million with variances dependent on use of fallout shelters and evacuation procedures. Past this point casualties would continue to increase as a further 1-2 billion are expected to succumb to radiation poisoning and cancer in the proceeding weeks and months. A substantial number of these fatalities are expected outside the belligerent powers as radioactive particles are spread globally via atmospheric currents. Secondarily a nuclear winter resulting from the injection of soot particularly black carbon entering the upper atmosphere is expected to lower global temperatures between 11C to 22C for a period of 3-5 years under optimistic projections with some modeling showing global temperatures being affected for periods extending several decades. The result of this drastic temperature change is expected to deplete farm yields in excess of 80-90% causing a further 4-6 billion global fatalities due to starvation. With the casualty variation being highly dependent on proper use of food stocks and rationing from the remaining populace. Further still the majority of industrial fertilizer and farm equipment manufacturing that is responsible for the consequential increase in farm yields of the past century is located within the belligerent countries territories. Studies estimating planetary carrying capacity using preindustrial farming techniques provide a range of 600-800 million as sustainable in terms of global population. And with the majority of arable farmland located within the impacted northern hemisphere. Along with the effects of nuclear winter, planetary carrying capacity would be reduced further still. With some modeling predicting as few as 50-100 million being sustainable. In addition ocean fauna would also be dangerous to consume as rain/snow runoff funnels radioactive material along with debris containing large concentrations of lead and other heavy elements into coastal waters. With the destruction of much of the northern hemisphere global trade would for all intents and purposes cease to function. As all major ports, navigable rivers and highways within the belligerent states intersect economic zones that would now be impassable due to radioactive contamination and debris. As per UN food sustainability studies between 58%-62% of countries are dependent on food imports. Even within countries classified as food sustainable estimates put 70%-74% of populations farther than 200km of their respective food producing regions. A further strain on food distribution would be the loss of major fuel refining facilities based in the impacted countries. Fuel shortages would compound already strained food stocks leading to a breakdown in the supply chain. Under these conditions remaining governments would face a monumental task in attempting to maintain law and order. Possibly resulting in the breakdown of civil society and extreme lawlessness in most of the world. Rate of homicides during this period can't be calculated with certainty but expected to be significant. Lastly the majority of pharmaceutical manufacturing for both antivirals and antibiotics, along with medical equipment is produced by the belligerent countries. Loss of these facilities would compound the spread of disease along with the subsequent conditions. Further adding to the substantial number of unpredictable deaths. It is outside the scope of this summary to predict a time frame for the reemergence of civilized societies and or nation states. Final estimate for a total nuclear exchange is between 5.3 to 7.7 billion casualties. With a moderate chance of complete human extinction. A strange game, the only winning move is not to play. -WOPR

  • @user-bi7vj7sp7x

    @user-bi7vj7sp7x

    2 жыл бұрын

    But you left out the LASER weapons USA is working on! They got all kinds of classified tech you don't know from satellite positioned ICBM lasers to hacking the ICBM guidance systems to disarm them or redirect them mid flight to taking out enemy satellites to destroy their ICBM satellite systems rendering their missiles inoperable. In other words nuclear war is not only winnable, its casualty free for the US! Plus you forgot all the bomb shelters made in the US both private and federally funded. There are plenty of civilian preparations for nuclear survival with MREs and survivalist movements. Your analysis is completely outdated and stuck in the Cold War era. You need to update it to take into account modern realities instead of being a Cold War dinosaur.

  • @robertalaverdov8147

    @robertalaverdov8147

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@user-bi7vj7sp7x Your response borders on delusional, unless it was intentionally sarcastic? The data is from a RAND report in 2015 with relevant details on food scarcity from the UN. In the real world fantasy weapons that fill peoples imagination aren't very useful. Might as well say the US operates the death star in secret. And the number of fallout shelters both federal and private has decreased ten fold since the cold war ended.

  • @user-bi7vj7sp7x

    @user-bi7vj7sp7x

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@robertalaverdov8147 Do you have Top Secret clearance to get the latest US military research and tech? Are you violating some NDAs with your talk or is this just propaganda freshly Pulled Out of Your Ass™ in hopes you can land a gig on Fox News? Seriously you are VERY arrogant to assume the richest nation on earth hasn't already developed some way to compromise other countries' nuclear launch systems. Lastly do you know how much money the soldiers and politicians in those other nations make? Read the Panama Papers and other financial leaks. All the other nuclear powers' leadership have offshore bank accounts and multi million $ properties in Manhattan and Miami. Whats stopping the US govt from simply bribing the other countries' leaders and their nuke launch officers to mutiny and commit treason? Seriously all the US has to do is wave a stack of cash in front of their faces and they would turn on each other to defect to USA and drink champagne on the beach. You think people are robots or something? This report is stuck in the 1980s. No one believes this ideological BS anymore. The actual people in control of these weapons have LONG since been bought off by Uncle Sam with luxury beachfront mansions in Miami Beach and LA. We live in a capitalist world now and EVERYONE and his mother has a price. And the US govt they got bottom less wallet :) Your nuclear fear mongering is better left to a museum for dinosaurs like you LOL

  • @freddiepizerhall8324

    @freddiepizerhall8324

    2 жыл бұрын

    A nuclear winter is unrealistic and overstated

  • @badmoth242xl3

    @badmoth242xl3

    2 жыл бұрын

    I don’t think 100k megatons of weapons has even been created in all of history. The biggest detonation was 50 megatons, most weapons are 300-450 kilotons, or 0.3 and 0.45 megatons respectively. Jesus Christ check your math

  • @Raul_Menendez
    @Raul_Menendez2 жыл бұрын

    Its just a nuke guys. Stop being scared. All you have to do is duck and cover.

  • @Admiral_Jezza

    @Admiral_Jezza

    2 жыл бұрын

    Yeah, I'm sure a wooden desk would protect me from a nuke.

  • @roderickcampbell2105

    @roderickcampbell2105

    2 жыл бұрын

    Hi Raul. I thought it was cover and duck, not duck and cover. Oh, now I have to dig all this up again. Like you say, it's just a nuke.

  • @2411509igwt

    @2411509igwt

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@Admiral_Jezza Dumb take. If you're far away enough to survive the heat and radiation, a desk or a ditch is necessarily to give some protection against shattering glass and other debris. If you're too close, then yeah duh a desk can't save you but a bullet proof vest can't save you from an rpg too, get some perspective and don't repeat tired anti-nuke propaganda.

  • @andrewzheng4038

    @andrewzheng4038

    2 жыл бұрын

    Ok but to be fair if you’re far enough away it would at least protect you from the nuclear flash, plus some flying debris. You’ll probably die in the ensuing months from radiation poisoning or famine or whatever but surviving the initial strike would be a first step

  • @hassanabdi1673
    @hassanabdi16732 жыл бұрын

    Love your videos man they make my day

  • @vincentvillareal9360
    @vincentvillareal93602 жыл бұрын

    Great insight on this topic your videos are improving more and more keep it up please 🙏

  • @pierreyoussef5182
    @pierreyoussef51822 жыл бұрын

    Hello covertcabal can you make a video concerning the predicted conflict between Ukraine and Russia. Thank you

  • @billy56081

    @billy56081

    2 жыл бұрын

    If this happens I believe it will be coordinated with China taking Taiwan.

  • @Slavkovic_Predrag

    @Slavkovic_Predrag

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@billy56081 two flies in one shot nice 🙂.

  • @Raul_Menendez

    @Raul_Menendez

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@billy56081 The thing is. China now is playing the long game. Trying to starve Taiwan...

  • @willbarnstead3194

    @willbarnstead3194

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@billy56081 Russia wants to attack Ukraine now, China will not be ready to attack Taiwan for a few more years, so unless Russia will wait, it won’t be at the same time. Also, it’s pretty clear the west won’t intervene militarily in an attack by Russia on Ukraine, so it doesn’t really matter. I think it more likely that North Korea attacks South Korea at the same time China attacks Taiwan.

  • @billy56081

    @billy56081

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@willbarnstead3194 Yeah who knows, I do think that they see the US as weak under the Biden regime.

  • @MaxwellAerialPhotography
    @MaxwellAerialPhotography2 жыл бұрын

    I came to an odd yet terrifying conclusion a few months ago. The calculus of mutually assured destruction only really works when talking about the US and Russia. If are talking about China and India, their arsenals are not large enough to ensure complete destruction, and that leaves the possibility of actually being able to eliminate your opponents arsenal in a first strike. Having only a few nuclear weapons actually makes their use more likely than having thousands of nuclear weapons.

  • @anuvisraa5786

    @anuvisraa5786

    2 жыл бұрын

    that is a flawed logik you dont need a big nuclear arsenal smal nuclear arsenal are enof to meake you uninbadebla and give you a negociation last chance

  • @golagiswatchingyou2966

    @golagiswatchingyou2966

    2 жыл бұрын

    Having the minimal amount of nuclear weapons still gives some deterence.

  • @Brandon-sr2bl

    @Brandon-sr2bl

    2 жыл бұрын

    I’ve been saying that as well. China needs to increase their nuclear headcount to at least 1k. It’s the way we’ll see world peace. Cause as of right now there is no fear shown by usa. They are constantly provoking China into a war but would not do that to the Russians cause they have 6k nukes

  • @TheMax0005

    @TheMax0005

    2 жыл бұрын

    Both of these nations got SSBN subs on deterrence patrols, so even if you destroy the ground silos and bombers in a first strike, they will counter attack with those. Even North Korea is developing a SSBN program.

  • @golagiswatchingyou2966

    @golagiswatchingyou2966

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@Brandon-sr2bl Russia is not really a threat to the USA, China is, regardless on if they have nukes or not, Russia can only really threaten Ukraine or eastern Europe China wants Taiwan and controle the part of the seas where most trade in the world flows, that's a big no no for the USA and the rest of Asia too btw.

  • @pit5000
    @pit50002 жыл бұрын

    If I'm going down, I'm taking them with me. Period. In my eyes, whoever recovers faster from nuclear war would be considered the victor.

  • @robertalaverdov8147

    @robertalaverdov8147

    2 жыл бұрын

    Let's get real. The only winners in a nuclear war would be the cockroaches feeding on our corpses.

  • @shuathe2nd

    @shuathe2nd

    2 жыл бұрын

    Sorry Pete but you wouldn't recover from nuclear war, that's kind of the point.

  • @pit5000

    @pit5000

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@shuathe2nd that’s not true, it will take about 100 years but it can be done. Only half of the worlds population would die.

  • @TheMattsem

    @TheMattsem

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@robertalaverdov8147 come on man be realistic who's going to Nuke small town in the middle of nowhere there is people going to survive and rebuild

  • @memezoffuckery3207

    @memezoffuckery3207

    2 жыл бұрын

    There’s not enough nuclear weapons to vaporize every small community, or even every city around the world.

  • @petergreenson
    @petergreenson2 жыл бұрын

    The danger is the country/non-state actor with only a few nuclear weapons. With no capability to outright destroy a potential nuclear adversary the tactical use would need to be responded to in-kind as escalation to complete annihilation cannot occur for one side. Guam example is good, if NK only has enough nukes to use tactically they can KO key US bases expecting similar retaliation (but nowhere in NK is as strategic as Guam). Imagine if a non-state actor or a certain interested party false flagged that attack to get rid of a key naval base in a lead up for another conflict.

  • @lastword8783

    @lastword8783

    2 жыл бұрын

    If I only had a few nuclear weapons and my enemy had many many times more, the doctrine would be to destroy major cities since I dont have enough to make a tactical difference vs someone. I would make this public and known and hope that it deters a country with a much bigger arsenal from launching a nuclear attack

  • @florinivan6907

    @florinivan6907

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@lastword8783 It depends. Major military bases are often close to major cities. San Diego naval base Bangor very close to Seattle. Pearl Harbor close to Honolulu. Nevermind hitting the capital which is the top target in any scenario. Hitting just these 4 targets and wiping them out would kill millions and push the US into a deep recession lasting at least a decade. If that isn't enough deterrence then nothing is. Most other countries are similar in terms of bases.

  • @lastword8783

    @lastword8783

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@florinivan6907 Yes but the hubris is thinking one can limit this type of warfare to strictly military targets. Whereas I'm saying with a small number of nukes, I'd rather my doctrine be to target the biggest cities rather than military targets. I forgot exactly what it was called but there was a name for this where a country with a small nuclear force achieves detterance by targetting the biggest civilian centers rather than military targets.

  • @lilskynet8163

    @lilskynet8163

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@lastword8783 It's called being SUICIDAL I believe

  • @denzmerin2568

    @denzmerin2568

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@lastword8783 I think that's the French "Force de frappe" strategy for nukes.

  • @westsonrises
    @westsonrises2 жыл бұрын

    No one ever talks about use of warheads on one's own soil to defeat the enemies convential forces once they've defeated your army and begin to drive on a strategically vital location, again on the one's own soil. Once you've used warheads on the legitimate military target what does the side who lost forces in the blasts? Respond with nuclear weapons of their own? And on what? A civilian target invites escalation and presumably if the initial nation is in such dire straits, it's unlikely they have many legitimate, solely military targets open for attack. I raise the issue because a Russian defense minister brought it up during the HMS Defender incident, and yet everyone thought he meant they'd hit a city, but it seemed pretty obvious he was saying they would hit NATO forces within Russian territory if it came to that situation (sounds to me like they don't have much faith in their conventional forces, and definitely not in their reserve units) and are warning they'd use the nuclear option. But there's no really good response to this scenario for NATO and it's something to think about.

  • @akon360

    @akon360

    2 жыл бұрын

    If they nuked their own cities all NATO would have to do is sit tight and wait whilst the Russian people hang/public execute their leaders. They’re no longer holy wars out their surrendering is a feasible option.

  • @imrekalman9044

    @imrekalman9044

    2 жыл бұрын

    In the current Russian military doctrine the use of nuclear weapons to destroy invading forces is an option of last resort, just in case they'd be loosing and loosing very badly. At which point it wouldn't be an issue. Russia is preparing its military not to revert to such measures, and they do have faith in the capabilities of their conventional forces (and so do I, an outsider in a NATO country). It's just an extra layer of defence, a further deterrent if you like.

  • @westsonrises

    @westsonrises

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@akon360 they wouldn't nuke their own cities. Lots of empty space in Russia

  • @vladimirkravchenko1642

    @vladimirkravchenko1642

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@westsonrises We will nuke western counties. "In last resort", to minimize our losses. Russians do not have to attack nuclear states to defend Russian's territory.

  • @vk3461

    @vk3461

    Жыл бұрын

    @@imrekalman9044 how about now ?

  • @golagiswatchingyou2966
    @golagiswatchingyou29662 жыл бұрын

    What's interesting is that so far there have been few instances of biological or chemical warfare (was used in ww1) used in modern wars because both sides agreed that using them would lead to more deaths and harm, even the nazi's did not use chemical weapons on the battlefield during ww2, so there is some hope that nuclear weapons won't be used in the case of a global/industrial conflict, however small countries that don't have the conventional weapons to defend themselves with might become desperate enough to use them on a much larger foe, then there is the subject of more advanced technology making nuclear weapons useless, thus making war more likely. There really is no getting around MAD, either it breaks down and you have war or it continues and you risk nuclear war by smaller states but at some point it will break down and you can't unopen pandora's box, the only possible solution I can think of is most of the world coming under one world government and just not allowing anyone else to ever develop nuclear weapons, though then you will get other problems and the potential of nukes being used on smaller states that want to rebel or try to develop/use them anyways, such a state ironically can only come about after something like ww3, defeating the goal in the first place. Very tricky... Perhaps we are all doomed?... Probably not.

  • @daniellenz6347

    @daniellenz6347

    2 жыл бұрын

    Chlorine and phosgene gas was widely used in ww2.

  • @Tekisasubakani

    @Tekisasubakani

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@daniellenz6347 The only battlefield usage I've ever heard of is the Japanese using mustard gas against the Nationalist Chinese a couple times. Are you referring to the Nazi extermination camps?

  • @Vanyali

    @Vanyali

    2 жыл бұрын

    The Nazi's did use gas outside the battlefield and killed 6 million ! so even if they didn't use it on the battlefield, it's not something to congratulate them on ! they did use it, end of story !

  • @Vanyali

    @Vanyali

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@Tekisasubakani I think I did read something about that not sure, but if the Nazi's used it ON the field, I think it was against the USSR... but if you wanna be sure, I suggest to look it up lol (and not on the Wikipedia page) :))

  • @golagiswatchingyou2966

    @golagiswatchingyou2966

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@Vanyali not on the battlefield which was the topic at hand. im still right.

  • @hang_kentang6709
    @hang_kentang67092 жыл бұрын

    this reminds me of the scene in Yes Prime Minister regarding nuclear deterrent. in the end, the prime minister basically asks, "how can we defend ourselves by comitting suicide?" which explains why nukes were never used again after WW2.

  • @impguardwarhamer
    @impguardwarhamer2 жыл бұрын

    slight correction, north korea's survival isn't so much dictated by its nuclear arsenal, but more for the sheer volume of conventional artillery currently aimed at south korea's capital, Seoul

  • @cortster12

    @cortster12

    2 жыл бұрын

    Exactly, so many people forget that.

  • @drstrangejove637
    @drstrangejove6372 жыл бұрын

    I love the Existential thought experiment of nuclear war and deterrence being followed by "Shaved Balls!" What the fuck is 2021 anyway.

  • @ricojes

    @ricojes

    2 жыл бұрын

    Maybe the threat of shaved balls is a potential deterrent...

  • @slashd
    @slashd2 жыл бұрын

    'Fun' fact: during the Yom Kippur war of 1973 the world was close to a nuclear World War 3. Israel was about to lose to Egypt and Syria and threatened to use nukes unless the US resupplied them with arms (fighter jets, tanks). If Israel would have nuked Egypt and Syria then Russia would have nuked Israel. And then the US and the rest of the world would have been dragged into a nuclear World War 3...

  • @EPsuperFan

    @EPsuperFan

    2 жыл бұрын

    Is that the premise of Sum of All Fears

  • @milandavida5004

    @milandavida5004

    2 жыл бұрын

    I somehow doubt Israel would nuke Syria or Egypt: it would be hard to attain sympathy in exile when you nuked such a populace city like Cairo, or that the USSR would be willing to nuke Israel for Syria and Egypt. What if the mission failed or the nukes didn't perform as well? It would significantly degrade the USSR's image as a nuclear power as well as provide important new data for the US on their capabilities.

  • @thickboi4304

    @thickboi4304

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@milandavida5004 they can use an older nuke n say it was old n saying they have more capable nukes

  • @panderson9561

    @panderson9561

    2 жыл бұрын

    It's called "The Samson option," or something like that...if we're going down, we're going to take the rest of you with us.

  • @slome815

    @slome815

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@panderson9561 This is exactly why Israel, not North Korea is the main threat to MAD. Surrounded by enemies, having nukes, and being willing to use them should they ever lose a war, and no country lasts forever. If the US ever stops financing Israel, and the Arab world unites and manages to win in such a way that the existance of Isael is threatened, Israel might be extremist enough to not only nuke the middle east, but europe as well.

  • @aplsin
    @aplsin2 жыл бұрын

    Fun fact: the firebombing of Tokyo killed about as many people as the Hiroshima a-bomb so I'm not so sure a war without nukes would be any less horrifying.

  • @kingnotail3838

    @kingnotail3838

    2 жыл бұрын

    Yeah, but the firebombing of Tokyo was one of the largest strategic bombing operations in history, whereas Hiroshima was a single plane with a single bomb.....

  • @williamsherman1942

    @williamsherman1942

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@kingnotail3838 Still, conventional weapons are usually more deadly compared to nuclear war-heads.

  • @sindoray2094

    @sindoray2094

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@kingnotail3838 "strategic bombing operations" burning houses is now considered "strategic"?

  • @piotrd.4850

    @piotrd.4850

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@sindoray2094 Yes, why?

  • @kingnotail3838

    @kingnotail3838

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@sindoray2094 Firebombing enemy cities counts as "strategic bombing" ie destroying an enemy's means of production, industry etc.

  • @littledudefromacrossthestr5755
    @littledudefromacrossthestr57552 жыл бұрын

    Nice vid bro

  • @Alaninbroomfield
    @Alaninbroomfield2 жыл бұрын

    "Everyone's got a plan until they get punched in the face"

  • @joshuamueller3206
    @joshuamueller32062 жыл бұрын

    The US could respond conventionally to N. Korea, but the opening phase of that war would make the Scud hunts of the First Gulf War look like a joke.

  • @mr.nemesis6442

    @mr.nemesis6442

    2 жыл бұрын

    That’s why the US has such a large and capable special forces. Socom would undoubtedly be involved in tracking down North Korean nukes when the government collapses after the initial US response to any attack. The NK Air Force would be down in a few hours and the rest of the military would fall in weeks. US missile defenses can likely take care of whatever NK has to throw at the US and there won’t likely be a insurgency since the NK people aren’t retarded, they know the truth about their government, they just don’t say it. So the only real challenge would be the humanitarian effort and tracking down WMDs that have scarce paper trails on them.

  • @ManpreetSingh-it3ij
    @ManpreetSingh-it3ij2 жыл бұрын

    Have been a subscriber since an year now. You really have great quality in your vids. Can we get a vid. about asymmetrical warfare. Why despite modern technology many powers like USA lost Vietnam, while europe conquered entire Africa including Congo during " The scramble for Africa"

  • @yesman6559
    @yesman65592 жыл бұрын

    Yes

  • @frimodig
    @frimodig2 жыл бұрын

    His hypotetical scenario when North Korea launches a nuclear strike and saying there is only two options, either launch own nukes or accepts losses, is wrong. There is the option to respond to a nuclear aggression with non-nuclear weapons, this doctrine was introduced as early as 1961 and was called Flexible response.

  • @ringofasho7721

    @ringofasho7721

    2 жыл бұрын

    That sets a bad precedent though. It shows an enemy that a nuclear strike isn't always reciprocated, thereby nullifying the threat of MAD.

  • @endtimescrucialinfo
    @endtimescrucialinfo2 жыл бұрын

    There's a serious problem with a nation giving up their weapons & blindly hoping their dishonest opponents do too

  • @thickboi4304

    @thickboi4304

    2 жыл бұрын

    Libya did stop there nuclear program n got destroyed by the west from inside n outside

  • @endtimescrucialinfo

    @endtimescrucialinfo

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@thickboi4304 It was for Israel's benefit as gadafee called israhell out for their nuclear program & complicity in the JFK murder. now russia & turkey are keeping the region unstable just as israhell wants

  • @mwanikimwaniki6801

    @mwanikimwaniki6801

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@endtimescrucialinfo South Africa gave up their nukes.

  • @endtimescrucialinfo

    @endtimescrucialinfo

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@mwanikimwaniki6801 doesn't matter - The current south African government is communist & in league with israhell.

  • @mwanikimwaniki6801

    @mwanikimwaniki6801

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@endtimescrucialinfo Lol. Funny AF

  • @deusexaethera
    @deusexaethera2 жыл бұрын

    It's possible that there are other effective methods of deterrence, but I like having multiple methods of deterrence operating simultaneously.

  • @DOSFS
    @DOSFS2 жыл бұрын

    For now the line is the first one, and at least so far it worked really well. No one want to be the one who open the pandora box

  • @bryanguzik
    @bryanguzik2 жыл бұрын

    Can someone simplify the range restrictions for ICBM's? I'm guessing it can't only be fuel b/c they all enter orbit. So is it a function of fuel, mixed with the orbital mechanics of where on the globe they were launched?

  • @panderson9561

    @panderson9561

    2 жыл бұрын

    They don't really go into orbit, only sub orbit. As far as I know the main restriction is weight...getting a warhead down small enough so that the missiles that you have can push it from point A to point B.

  • @bryanguzik

    @bryanguzik

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@panderson9561ah geez, I think I remember hearing it before. Launching anything into proper orbit requires such resources, yet some nukes can exit from a sub. I just wasn't seeing it. So thank you, that really helped.

  • @mdhasmatalimondal1216

    @mdhasmatalimondal1216

    2 жыл бұрын

    With current technology there is no range restrictions . If you can put a satellite into orbit , then you can drop a nuke anywhere on the globe . There's a saying - " Difference between space rocket and missile is just the intention "

  • @bryanguzik

    @bryanguzik

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@mdhasmatalimondal1216 if you like take a look at the first comment to my question. I agree with you that there are not really any meaningful restrictions when talking 11K km or 13K km, you're pretty set either way! But as a purely technical matter, that didn't make sense to me. If they enter orbit, then what could possibly limit one to 10k, but another 12k? So that first guy helped make it clear immediately. In fact, if I had followed my own misconception about orbit further, I would have seen range wouldn't even need discussing. Because they could basically 'hang out' for millions of miles until commanded down to say hello! No doubt that's being looked at (or already deployed?) for some time now. Like the 24/7 bombers during the cold war, but as usual always looking to be a bit more efficient! Take it easy.

  • @piotrd.4850

    @piotrd.4850

    2 жыл бұрын

    ICBMs can load up to 8-12 Warheads. Load it up with 1 or 3 and here you go, range limitations are screwed.

  • @curtisvideos6473
    @curtisvideos64732 жыл бұрын

    I hope nuclear war never happens

  • @AT-wj5sw
    @AT-wj5sw2 жыл бұрын

    Any country that faced a nuclear war would have no choice but to send a full response and use all their arsenal… you can’t have a bomb dropped on your nation and just hope that they don’t drop another one. You will have to respond. That’s only between major nuclear powers not smaller ones. A small nuclear power could be defeated

  • @OrbbKlesk
    @OrbbKlesk2 жыл бұрын

    The music in this video reminds me of the first scene in Highlander when he closes his eyes and remembers Scotland five-hundred years ago.

  • @Ikhouja
    @Ikhouja2 жыл бұрын

    From another perspective I’m not saying Nukes are obsolete but the war fighting has evolved and inflicting huge damage to your adversaries has became easier than using nukes. To illustrate more the issue with nuclear deterrence in our time that conventional weapons are getting smarter and have longer range. It may sound cliche but think for a second would you is a nuke on an expensive IRBM,ICBM that can be shot down by an advanced ABM.to destroy a city or you can easily fire a cruise missile or a tecto-ballistic missile with 4 types of guides to destroy a power station or a C2 station that’ll cripple an entire country and probably cause a civil disturbance. Also don’t forget the use of long range loitering drones. On the other hand nukes are connected via a robust C2 or C4 systems and those systems depend on digital data links so you need a robust and impenetrable cyber security system so no one can hack the trident d-5 submarines and accidentally fires it to China or even the mainland US

  • @Shinzon23

    @Shinzon23

    2 жыл бұрын

    your premise is flawed; if a missile is any sort of Ballistic, that is, goes above the atmosphere and reenters at something like 22,000KPH, interceptor missiles have yet to consistently manage to shoot them down without resorting to nuclear payloads of their own, which then leads to treaty issues. Oh, there are systems that SAY they can, but the US has been trying to get AEGIS equipped ships using the Standard Missile Platform to pull that stunt off correctly ever since the start of the AEGIS system's inception, which was alllll the way back in the 80's; They haven't managed to intercept any test missiles in anything but perfectly staged tests yet, so that programs ability to stop inbound missiles is suspect to be sure. Patriot? Ha, that systems been a fucking nightmare as well; its taken decades to work out the severe kinks with the hardware, and its ability to shoot down inbounds is suspect as well. Simply put, there are currently NO functional Anti Ballistic Missile Systems deployed that have a guaranteed hit rate in the high 90 percentile range, which is the bare minimum you'd want against inbound nukes; Russians might have one around Moscow, but it needs nukes as well, and its interception ability was never demonstrated publicly, so nukes that are fired WILL take out their targets.

  • @justarandomtechpriest1578

    @justarandomtechpriest1578

    2 жыл бұрын

    But I can put a nuclear warhead on those smart bombs

  • @justarandomtechpriest1578

    @justarandomtechpriest1578

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@Shinzon23 is AEGIS the ciws If so it works well

  • @Shinzon23

    @Shinzon23

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@justarandomtechpriest1578 AEGIS isn't just the CIWS; AEGIS is supposed to be a networked warfare system, with nearby friendlies sharing data of all sorts and theoretically pooling defense and offense stuff amongst themselves. It's also apparently buggy as hell, and the ballistic missile parts never worked properly. Also, CIWS doesn't help when a nukes inbound at 22,000mph, and is set to detonate far above the max range of CIWS

  • @georgechristoforou991
    @georgechristoforou9912 жыл бұрын

    You don't mention the situation when one side develops a complete missile defence shield and so becomes impervious to nuclear attack. When that happens that country will be in a position to attack the other side without suffering from the retaliation.

  • @yairweinberg1647

    @yairweinberg1647

    2 жыл бұрын

    That would mean very little... Competent missile defense has existed for quite a while now and the nuclear powers have already been putting their minds on how to make it mean very little, for example, Russia developed a nuclear powered and armed torpedo. Hyper sonic missiles are being developed with currently no system being able to intercept them, decoy warheads and so on, so many ways to deliver retaliation. The day might come when one of the nuclear powers feel so safe as to start using their nukes but this is not where we are.

  • @Tomartyr

    @Tomartyr

    2 жыл бұрын

    The result is simple: more missiles fired at them in the hope that some will get through, same as now just with more missiles.

  • @IngTomT

    @IngTomT

    2 жыл бұрын

    No missile defence shield will ever be complete. You can always saturate the defense with a large number of warheads and/or decoys, so at least some warheads will always come through.

  • @davidste60

    @davidste60

    2 жыл бұрын

    ​@@yairweinberg1647 There's no competent missile defense for a strategic nuclear war.

  • @gothiquegmail

    @gothiquegmail

    2 жыл бұрын

    Just more.missiles.and decoys.. hypersonic missiles or nuking the coast for that radioactive tsunami

  • @mariusgobet4239
    @mariusgobet42392 жыл бұрын

    There is a pretty cool (and fairly simple) way to illustrate it as a Nash equilibrium. A surprising but interesting application of microeconomics

  • @hongo3870
    @hongo38702 жыл бұрын

    Deterrence works until your enemy says "what if"

  • @alifio2183
    @alifio21832 жыл бұрын

    Highfleet paint nuclear war in one clear sentence= "once you release the genie out of the bottle, there is no way to put it back in" **proceeds to spam tactical nukes until enemy is destroyed or random cities destroyed becoz of missed missiles** But in real life the cities ARE THE TARGET TOO!!

  • @dayurwarfa9762
    @dayurwarfa97622 жыл бұрын

    “I do not know with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones.” - Albert Einstein.

  • @Raul_Menendez

    @Raul_Menendez

    2 жыл бұрын

    "Ooo Ooo Aaaa AAAAAA!" -Monke, Circa World War V

  • @nesseihtgnay9419

    @nesseihtgnay9419

    2 жыл бұрын

    I said it better, the human race will never reach 2100

  • @fenristhewolfslair3993

    @fenristhewolfslair3993

    2 жыл бұрын

    DAYUR: I dont think so; to start a WW there needs to be a advanced/high level of communication and logistics, and that is not the same society that fights with sticks and stones...or to put it differently; there is a reason why WW1 didnt happen before early 1900s (and not in roman or viking era)

  • @Lorian667

    @Lorian667

    2 жыл бұрын

    "Quoting overused sentences from famous persons adds nothing of value to a discussion" - Gandalf

  • @HakunaMatata-os1og
    @HakunaMatata-os1og2 жыл бұрын

    The intro music sounds like it came from Out Of This World (Another World), a 1991 video game by Éric Chahi and published by Delphine Software.

  • @jordanmcmanaman8008
    @jordanmcmanaman80082 жыл бұрын

    You should do a video on the (re)rising conflict in the Ukraine. Love your content and think you could give an unbiased opinion like you always seem to do.

  • @jaredspencer3304
    @jaredspencer33042 жыл бұрын

    You say the bombs on Japan were the only ones used in combat. This caught me off guard because it wasn't really combat; it was strategic bombing of civilian populations. I think that has shaped our entire understanding/fear of nukes: we assume they'll be dropped on NYC. In reality, if used in war, they're much more likely to hit military bases, missile depots, troops in the field, or fleets at sea. This was how American generals thought about nukes when the US still had a nuclear monopoly; it's even how MacArthur wanted to use them in Korea against China. I never want to see nukes used in war; but if they are, we're much more likely to hear about a fleet getting sunk or a field army destroyed rather than Chicago or Seattle getting leveled.

  • @223556762308

    @223556762308

    2 жыл бұрын

    Counter force (US, Russia) v counter value (China).

  • @akon360

    @akon360

    2 жыл бұрын

    You’re assuming your enemy has the same doctrine and values. You think China a country that has proven their lack of concern for their own causality rate wouldn’t nuke San Francisco?

  • @jaredspencer3304

    @jaredspencer3304

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@akon360 Yup! This whole video was about strategic calculation of using nukes. If used tactically in battle, it might work. No country could survive nuking a population center. It's easy to hate on China, but you can expect them to not commit suicide like that.

  • @icecold9511

    @icecold9511

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@akon360 They might not care about their people. But they would care about their infrastructure. Not to mention the unable regions of land mass.

  • @GoSlash27

    @GoSlash27

    2 жыл бұрын

    Not really, though. All nuclear powers come up with plans that distribute their warheads by target type. There's counter- force, counter- value, decapitation... Don't think for a second that population centers aren't on the menu.

  • @Georgious
    @Georgious2 жыл бұрын

    Ukriane Russia analysis please!?

  • @tirrelljohnson823
    @tirrelljohnson8232 жыл бұрын

    hecc yeah two vids bacc to bacc

  • @paulgemperlein626
    @paulgemperlein6262 жыл бұрын

    One of the most insightful blogposts on MAD is called The President and the Bomb by Alex Wellerstein

  • @Joe_Friday
    @Joe_Friday2 жыл бұрын

    What about a treaty where all current nuclear powers have to disarm down to say 10 total warheads or less? Of course everyone would have to be on board.

  • @grobbs666

    @grobbs666

    2 жыл бұрын

    He mentions some UN treaty to ban all nukes. But yea that'll never happen. Even if they all agreed... someone would cheat. Countries already cheat on arms control agreements to give them a small advantage... so someone would absolutely cheat on such a treaty cause them having the only nukes would make them king of the world

  • @Joe_Friday

    @Joe_Friday

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@grobbs666 Yeah That's why I mentioned not doing away with them but limiting them to where it would still be a deterrent but not enough to wipe out a big country or destroy the world.

  • @grobbs666

    @grobbs666

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@Joe_Friday that's a good point. Minimal deterrence they call it. Idk if 10 is enough though. Maybe 100. Only 10 makes it possible for an enemy to catch them on the ground, or shoot most them down. US could probably handle 10 ICBMs with their GMD... not more though. And 10... if say 3 we're destroyed on the ground, and 2 of the others failed (which happens all the time)... that only leaves 5. Some crazy dictator or mentally unstable person might be willing to accept losing a couple cities. It's a weird one, idk. What do you think? You want lowest amount possible, but lowest amount that still is a solid deterrent

  • @humphreybumblecuck5151

    @humphreybumblecuck5151

    2 жыл бұрын

    It’s too ez to hide more. If everyone only has 10 and you squirrel away 40 more on top of that. In a matter of a few warheads you can have many fold the number your opponents wield

  • @donovanburkhard

    @donovanburkhard

    2 жыл бұрын

    What are the consequences of not obeying that rule

  • @ThePostie501
    @ThePostie5012 жыл бұрын

    If N Korea sent a couple of nukes to Guam, do you really think the US would just say, "oh well" and do nothing ? 🤣

  • @Redsauce101

    @Redsauce101

    2 жыл бұрын

    Nuclear retaliation because a glorified runway in the pacific got glassed isnt a risk worth taking. Besides it would be the United States that would start such an exchange in the first place.

  • @hassanalbolkiah127

    @hassanalbolkiah127

    2 жыл бұрын

    What would they do? They won't do anything serious if they have something to lose, they won't use nukes. But they will do something like blockade N.Korea or some other political stuff. Those nukes would be intercepted anyways.

  • @Redsauce101

    @Redsauce101

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@hassanalbolkiah127 They are already under blockade, so no difference there. Maybe invasion which would be incredibly costly as NK has one of the largest militarys on earth. They could also influence China to also blockade. In reality though Guam isnt a productive target for a nuclear strike. That would be(vs the USA)... Vandenberg, Sanfrancisco Bay, and Panama canal and others obv. edit: Intercepting Nukes is incredibly hard as during the reentry phase they are coming almost straight down at orbital speeds, even then they dont need to even enter the troposphere to obliterate a region.

  • @Strangebyrd

    @Strangebyrd

    2 жыл бұрын

    Nuclear attack is an irreversable crossroad. Respond with overwhelming force to eliminate further threats. Or respond insufficiently and invite every player to further attack. Death by a thousand cuts.

  • @alimohammad1934

    @alimohammad1934

    2 жыл бұрын

    Do you think kim cares if you nuke his people. He will bring down everyone with him. The population centers of US will surely be worth his death in his mind.

  • @bryanmchugh1307
    @bryanmchugh13072 жыл бұрын

    How about an ICBB or Inter Continental Ballistic Burrito? I know when I eat a burrito from the corner store I drop "the bomb" in less than 15 minutes!

  • @ryanbell9376
    @ryanbell93762 жыл бұрын

    “You just nuked my military base, I’m not gonna respond.” Said no one never

  • @ashleyoasis7948

    @ashleyoasis7948

    2 жыл бұрын

    Biden trust me

  • @TheoEvian

    @TheoEvian

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@ashleyoasis7948 A weird way to spell "Colin Powell".

  • @roshanchachane142
    @roshanchachane1422 жыл бұрын

    If my enemy used even one warhead, I would completely annihilate the enemy without any delay rather than just sit and watch my nation turn into a nuclear wasteland.

  • @realtissaye

    @realtissaye

    2 жыл бұрын

    congratulations, that’s the exact mindset that will cause the destruction of our entire species (along with most other life on earth)

  • @roshanchachane142

    @roshanchachane142

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@realtissaye We have a clear nuclear doctrine, known to our enemies. We will not strike first, but will not give a second chance to our enemies in case they decide to strike us with their nukes, no matter if their strike was on a civilian or a military installation.

  • @fromulus

    @fromulus

    2 жыл бұрын

    And when their neighbors take offense to the radiated wasteland down the road that's giving their citizens cancer and diminishing their economies, we'll just hope they don't also have nukes? I don't know, sounds like a recipe for disaster.

  • @resmarted

    @resmarted

    2 жыл бұрын

    I would just totally annihilate my enemy with nukes before they could even fire one of theirs. That way my country doesnt have to have an irradiated city.

  • @elbuglione

    @elbuglione

    2 жыл бұрын

    You are MAD.

  • @williamdrijver4141
    @williamdrijver41412 жыл бұрын

    Another scenario: if Iran develops nukes and gives several to a terrorist group. Or claims that hezbollah or hamas stole one nuclear bomb. This would escalate proxy warfare into uncharted territory.

  • @anuvisraa5786

    @anuvisraa5786

    2 жыл бұрын

    not bellibable they are not suicidal

  • @quokka7555

    @quokka7555

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@anuvisraa5786 your English is terrible.

  • @someinternetperson

    @someinternetperson

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@quokka7555 he meant to say not believable, why not teach him instead of insult him, he is learning

  • @quokka7555

    @quokka7555

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@someinternetperson why not write in your native language. He has posted several comments with trash English. I’m not here to educate, this is KZread.

  • @blvp2145

    @blvp2145

    2 жыл бұрын

    You know they would use it on Israel give them a chance. And people in the comments or think it will be a good thing they are evil

  • @chudthug
    @chudthug2 жыл бұрын

    Make a video about ABMs

  • @porscheguy5848
    @porscheguy58482 жыл бұрын

    Please do a video on underground nuclear testing. There are no videos on KZread about the subject and it would be fascinating do you know how they are performed, what data can be gathered, and how the US can detect one has gone off

  • @223556762308

    @223556762308

    2 жыл бұрын

    Information is available. Seismographs are the detection method.

  • @ModernProspector

    @ModernProspector

    2 жыл бұрын

    There's an entire system of sensors all over the world that can detect a nuclear explosion, primarily though seismic data.

  • @TheGbelcher
    @TheGbelcher2 жыл бұрын

    I think interdependence and economic entanglement has prevented more wars than nuclear weapons. In my opinion, the reason the US and China haven’t escalated into a militaristic Cold War is because of the amount of trade that they do together. The nuclear arsenals may have a little to do with it but I think trade and the economic impact is the primary deterrent.

  • @steveshoemaker6347

    @steveshoemaker6347

    2 жыл бұрын

    Less hope so...!

  • @fromaggio7654

    @fromaggio7654

    2 жыл бұрын

    Yeah, There is so much debt in between nations

  • @Slavkovic_Predrag

    @Slavkovic_Predrag

    2 жыл бұрын

    You're wrong. Nazi Germany and Soviet union were trading alot before operation Barbarossa.

  • @henrybleisch9025

    @henrybleisch9025

    2 жыл бұрын

    I agree among other smaller things anyone who is still trying to keep and maintain nukes does so for something that might never happen. I hope the international community is against that but with reckless desperate nations out there who knows. North korea would scare me if they get nukes they let loyal north koreans starve just to get a chance. if they could strike the entire us.. I definitely would move away... Even parts like guam would be crazy but i feel it would force the un to finally step in again. Testing to get icbms like they do is really crazy its like a cult with a nation shooting rockets just to scare the world. At some point how will the world deal with it just hacking there program like with iran. Its funny because i wouldnt be surprised if iran and north Korea work together.... There very few other threats i worry about more because the intentions and desires really are never really known.

  • @donovanburkhard

    @donovanburkhard

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@Slavkovic_Predrag yup. That's where Germany got the oil from to invade France. Once that was done and reserves running low with the luftwaffe wasting it all on London. Hitler decided the best solution was barbarossa and the race for the caucuses.

  • @sardarwaqar2758
    @sardarwaqar27582 жыл бұрын

    It worked so far, when it won’t then we’ll be back to wars with sticks and stones.

  • @Raul_Menendez

    @Raul_Menendez

    2 жыл бұрын

    Nice. We can finally return to monke.

  • @falloodaboy

    @falloodaboy

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@Raul_Menendez ride wife, life good

  • @titleb8594
    @titleb85942 жыл бұрын

    Nuke should never be used

  • @gardnert1
    @gardnert12 жыл бұрын

    Check back in a month to see if big wars can still happen regardless of nukes.

  • @Brandon-sr2bl
    @Brandon-sr2bl2 жыл бұрын

    Very interesting analysis. If NK nukes Guam…I do NOT want usa to retaliate as that would just escalate it into each other hitting their respective mainlands. Causing me to die lol! Guam is just a subjugated colony of ours. It’s not a big deal if we lose that territory.

  • @golagiswatchingyou2966

    @golagiswatchingyou2966

    2 жыл бұрын

    You have to respond in some way, you could use nukes or you could just invade and destroy the regime but if they can use nukes and you can't that's a big loss but you can't do nothing that's even worse.

  • @icecold9511

    @icecold9511

    2 жыл бұрын

    The moment you let someone get away with limited use, that is far more likely to trigger repeat attacks the same way. No, you have to at a minimum respond in kind.

  • @angrydragon4574

    @angrydragon4574

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@icecold9511 Ignore Brandon, he's a paid PLA troll.

  • @Brandon-sr2bl

    @Brandon-sr2bl

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@angrydragon4574 you’re just a paid MIC shill

  • @angrydragon4574

    @angrydragon4574

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@Brandon-sr2bl LOL, wumao. 😆

  • @1977Yakko
    @1977Yakko2 жыл бұрын

    I've heard the argument that Japan was on the verge of surrendering and the nukes didn't need to be used. But, keep in mind, despite the destruction of most of their navy and air power by 1945, their resolve to keep fighting harder the closer we got only increased. Iwo Jima was a slaughterhouse and such a tiny strip of land. Okinawa too saw very high loses given the size of territory being fought for. Also keep in mind, it took not one but TWO atom bombs to get the Japanese govt to surrender and even then, there was an attempted albeit failed coup against the Emperor to keep on fighting. Harsh and brutal as the two nukes were, I fall under the camp that their use ultimately saved lives.

  • @laszlozoltan5021

    @laszlozoltan5021

    2 жыл бұрын

    civilians were throwing themselves off cliffs at okinawa as it was being lost to the us- despite all their loses and hardship up till then I believe the japanese people were capable of enduring much greater and proplonged suffering in conventional war- it might be argued the use of nukes was twofold- to force a quick end to the fighting and to warn stalin

  • @1977Yakko

    @1977Yakko

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@laszlozoltan5021 Stalin's spy network made him pretty aware of the capabilities of what the Manhattan Project was making but yeah, I agree that the dropping of the atom bombs was a message to him as well as a means to hasten the end of the war.

  • @icecold9511

    @icecold9511

    2 жыл бұрын

    I don't think the issues of Russia was so apparent at the time. They were pretty wrecked. Japan hoped to force a negotiated end that left them as is.

  • @kaiser3626

    @kaiser3626

    2 жыл бұрын

    If japanese people were so determined to die fighting why they surrendered after two nuclear bombs, why not ten or one hundred? The fact is japanese were on the verge of surrender, they fought fiercely in Iwo Jima and Okinawa to get a better peace deal and not just an inconditional surrender. The will of fighting until death was just a bluff to deter enemy landings, but even in WW2 they werent crazy enough. The USSR entry just accelerated the US willing to finish the war as early as possible to put Japan and South Korea in US sphere of influence. It was all geopolitics, not for saving human lives.

  • @alaskabarbiegirl
    @alaskabarbiegirl2 жыл бұрын

    If the TROUBLEMAKER stops attacking people around, no body will need nuclear weapons...

  • @rzu1474
    @rzu14742 жыл бұрын

    Basically. Make your enemies believe your Crasy enough to end the world... But not Crasy enough to do it without reason.

  • @PW060284
    @PW0602842 жыл бұрын

    What happens if a tactical nuke is used on the battlefield in the middle of the ocean? Is that justifiable?

  • @noahway13

    @noahway13

    2 жыл бұрын

    That is why I think carrier groups are just about obsolete. They only matter now in limited confrontations.

  • @yudodis

    @yudodis

    2 жыл бұрын

    Once the nuclear seal is broken (at any scale/location) it's open season.

  • @jonathanryan9946

    @jonathanryan9946

    2 жыл бұрын

    If used against the USA, the US would strike back with nuclear weapons. It's literally their policy that the carriers are sovereign US soil. As to it being justifiable, that depends on ones point of view. It's certainly the most effective way to take out the fleet, but imho it's not worth the retaliation. The most likely way this could happen would be a suicide attack via a terrorist group secretly given such weapons by US enemies. The catch is, nuclear radiation is traceable to the reactor that created it. So pretty much by process of elimination of every other nation state showing evidence that it wasn't them the culprit would be found.

  • @alanli2404

    @alanli2404

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@noahway13 That doesn't make carrier groups obsolete it just destroys them. To make something obsolete is to replace it's ability, which for a carrier group is striking hundreds of targets quickly and efficiently. Something you can't do with tactical nukes and anti ship ballistic missiles.

  • @trcostan
    @trcostan2 жыл бұрын

    Low yield W76-2 + Trident D5 = bad news! It’s just small enough it could be used in some sorta conflict!

  • @JaredWeiler
    @JaredWeiler2 жыл бұрын

    “We’ll meet again, don’t know where, don’t know when…”

  • @kilianconn5091
    @kilianconn50912 жыл бұрын

    The idea that anyone with power cares at all about the consequences of nuclear war is a joke.

  • @Admiral_Jezza

    @Admiral_Jezza

    2 жыл бұрын

    Not really since they wouldn't be too happy about their own countries being nuked too.

  • @haytxa911

    @haytxa911

    2 жыл бұрын

    Well power and money cant really make you invulnerable to a nuclear blast, I think they realize that there would be no winners in this case

  • @noahway13

    @noahway13

    2 жыл бұрын

    What a dumb ass statement.

  • @resmarted

    @resmarted

    2 жыл бұрын

    Who wants to rule over a nuclear wasteland?

  • @laszlozoltan5021

    @laszlozoltan5021

    2 жыл бұрын

    trump- did he care about the consequences of denying covid ?

  • @amutah8063
    @amutah80632 жыл бұрын

    Actually the US never intended to invade Japan at all. In fact, Japan had already sued for peace by the time the bombs were dropped. The idea that the US had to either drop the bombs or invade Japan was made up in 1946 to justify the bombings. About a year after they dropped them.

  • @icecold9511

    @icecold9511

    2 жыл бұрын

    Japan's peace offer was conditional. That has always been a known fact.

  • @amutah8063

    @amutah8063

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@icecold9511 On the condition they get to keep their emperor which they did keep even with the bombings. But the point is the US was never going to invade Japan and the million deaths was just made up to justify the bombings.

  • @watcher5729
    @watcher57292 жыл бұрын

    Deterrence capabilities..... abolishing them would pave the way to wars thus beneficial aswell for some.

  • @bramha9680
    @bramha96802 жыл бұрын

    For a second I thought he used that trimmer to cut grass

  • @yelectric1893
    @yelectric18932 жыл бұрын

    Damn.

  • @mark3427
    @mark34272 жыл бұрын

    If ever battlefield nuclear weapons are used, a measured response would ensue. . . Like for like. . . It's a totally different level for ballistic tools, the fear of making it a runaway exchange would kick in. . . .deterrence would continue.

  • @zolikoff
    @zolikoff2 жыл бұрын

    Great topic, one I've been contemplating for years now. Going to full out nuclear exchange never seems to be something you'd want, regardless of being attacked. An even better relevant issue to look at is the prospect of the nuclear "umbrella". If NK nukes Guam then the US would have enough reason to still consider military action, even if not a nuclear retaliatory strike. But what if China attacks Taiwan in a conventional invasion? Do you really expect the US to get involved, even if just conventionally? Why would they? Doing so risks escalation to a nuclear exchange between the US and China. So this is enough of a deterrent for the US to just decide they'll leave Taiwan to be captured, and just put meaningless political sanctions on China instead. The only way to have a chance to defend yourself in Taiwan's position is to have your own arsenal. Promises by other countries do not matter.

  • @castor3020

    @castor3020

    2 жыл бұрын

    Going to full out nuclear exchange might not be what you want but you want to instil in your enemy an impression that it is EXACTLY what you are going to do. Anything less is courting with disaster, yes at that point where the doom is approaching I hope the men and women who are supposed to pull the trigger on global nuclear war decide resist. Even if Russia fired a full on nuclear attack vs US I think it would be better for humanity for US to not respond and die as martyrs. (or the other way around)

  • @michaelvickers89
    @michaelvickers892 жыл бұрын

    It’s worked so far

  • @brylski6

    @brylski6

    2 жыл бұрын

    Russian roulette worked for someone too so far. Until it didn't

  • @alexmcmillan9595
    @alexmcmillan95952 жыл бұрын

    I find it interesting with the distinction of a small nuclear attack on guam, I wonder how a tactical level strike would be received, for instance let’s say somehow we end up trying to invade china or russia, and a tactical level nuke takes out a brigade, that’s still a nuclear attack but it was purely military, I wonder how that response could be reasoned out

  • @nickpn23
    @nickpn232 жыл бұрын

    The problem with deterrence is that it assumes your opponent is rational. If he's unafraid of death or thinks God will pluck your missiles out of the sky, then you're in trouble. It's also expensive, boring and exhausting. Generals like to think up sneaky ideas. That's what makes them generals. After 75 years of deterrence, I think that there are now plenty of ideas of how to get around MAD. Right now, today maybe, we can see a new post-MAD boldness returning. The generals are bored.

  • @PenguinofD00mxxx
    @PenguinofD00mxxx2 жыл бұрын

    The lack of large conflicts between nuclear powers has come with the downside of nuclear powers attacking non-aligned, non-nuclear armed countries, and using the nukes as a deterrent to keep anyone from intervening. Everyone is racing to get into an alliance or develop nukes in response, increasing world tension, and nuclear proliferation. Will we hit a plateau where everyone is in a reliable defense-pact or nuclear armed enough to deter any threat, or will we go to war over these countries that try to join a larger coalition(Ukraine and NATO)/develop domestic nuclear arsenals(NK and Iran) and cause the very thing the nukes were meant to prevent?

  • @Uhn_Tis_Uhn_Tis_Uhn_Tis_Baby
    @Uhn_Tis_Uhn_Tis_Uhn_Tis_Baby2 жыл бұрын

    I watched a theoretical Cold War gone hot scenario that basically established the use of tactical nuclear weapons by capable nations and it simply became the norm. I think I prefer our current situation and hope it never changes.

  • @deusexaethera

    @deusexaethera

    2 жыл бұрын

    Tactical nukes are very "dirty", and the cost to clean up contamination makes their use impractical.

  • @Uhn_Tis_Uhn_Tis_Uhn_Tis_Baby

    @Uhn_Tis_Uhn_Tis_Uhn_Tis_Baby

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@deusexaethera that’s why Hiroshima and Nagasaki are currently still uninhabitable eh?

  • @scottn7cy
    @scottn7cy2 жыл бұрын

    The scenario you describe could be like if one side had a senile fool of a leader that barely knew where he was could be seen as a sufficient weakness to exploit.

  • @azazzelx
    @azazzelx2 жыл бұрын

    well depending on the initial conditions, you could actually win a nuclear "war", tho the winning side are those that actually doesn't have to worry about retaliatory costs in the first place...

  • @lilskynet8163

    @lilskynet8163

    2 жыл бұрын

    yeah but if half the planet is nuked the radiation will make life for the other half hell until they cease to exist, it's almost as bad as nuking your self, just takes longer and is more painful

  • @azazzelx

    @azazzelx

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@lilskynet8163 as I said "initial conditions"...

  • @lilskynet8163

    @lilskynet8163

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@azazzelx lol, these are the initial conditions

  • @icecold9511

    @icecold9511

    2 жыл бұрын

    There are no practical means of big nations doing this to each other. It will be detected.

  • @azazzelx

    @azazzelx

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@icecold9511 think outside the box. In line of being in a think tank.

  • @nicholasn.2883
    @nicholasn.28832 жыл бұрын

    "Here's how we can all die--- CHECK OUT MAH BALL TRIMMER"

  • @bkldaskdfsjjdsa
    @bkldaskdfsjjdsa2 жыл бұрын

    Why these questions never asked in mainstream conversation? One day a mistake will be made and that will be that.

  • @FA-tq9ip
    @FA-tq9ip2 жыл бұрын

    Why not mention the 3rd option open to the United States if N. Korea were to launch a nuclear strike against Guam; namely to retaliate with conventional forces rather than nuclear weapons. Even though the US could retaliate with nuclear weapons perhaps restraint plus retaliation with conventional forces would look good on the international stage and provide other benefits (The US could still make it clear that nuclear retaliation were a possibility in response to a nuclear attack but was not optimal in this case). Perhaps this would be a good subject for another video - how well can conventional forces deter or retaliate against nuclear weapons.

  • @wassollderscheiss33
    @wassollderscheiss332 жыл бұрын

    At 5:06 why does it say ANTICIPATE?

  • @NLozar22

    @NLozar22

    2 жыл бұрын

    I think it's kind of a mantra for men and women in that room, as if ever in doubt what you should be doing. Similarly how infantry soldiers say "move, shoot, communicate" or pilots "aviate, navigate, communicate".

  • @wassollderscheiss33

    @wassollderscheiss33

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@NLozar22 I see. I thought so too. But it looks cheap. The room is the most serious place on earth but they put self printed mottos on their walls like teenagers would.

  • @NLozar22

    @NLozar22

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@wassollderscheiss33 I mean it does get the job done, doesn't it? I'm not entirely sure how it be done better. Plus, it's probably the point that it's big and highly visible so that given the pressure that men and women in that room are under, they can see quickly and clearly what they should be doing even if they just quickly glance at the board.

  • @astratr3b345
    @astratr3b3452 жыл бұрын

    do a video with using chemical weapon style attaxk , and also use of biological weapons comparison , who will win ?

  • @naders1771
    @naders17712 жыл бұрын

    In regards to the north korean scenario.. DPRK nukes guam, a U.S. military base, then US responds by nuking DPRK military base. Thereby not responding by attacking civilian targets. Keeping mainly military targets

  • @WagesOfDestruction
    @WagesOfDestruction2 жыл бұрын

    It is yet to be seen if deterrence will work against non-state actors as these have no territory to retaliate against.

  • @andrewpeterson549
    @andrewpeterson5492 жыл бұрын

    We did not know about Nukes or stealth till we used them

  • @rileyhewson5915
    @rileyhewson59152 жыл бұрын

    The biggest threat of Nuclear War isn't somebody thinking they could win, but somebody knowing they will lose. If a man has access to nuclear weapons and knows that he will lose the war, there is no amount of doctrine that could guess what they will do. The most dangerous enemy to fight is the enemy with nothing left to lose. At the point where the world falls to war and a nuclear armed country loses, it is up to the morality of that country's leader whether to take the world down with his country or to be the bigger person and step down from such a situation.

  • @vladimirkravchenko1642

    @vladimirkravchenko1642

    2 жыл бұрын

    LOL. Be bigger, let the west to commit another genocide, and propagate their genes on our land.

  • @willytheriot8439
    @willytheriot84392 жыл бұрын

    Holy Fckng Smokes

  • @michaelrtreat
    @michaelrtreat2 жыл бұрын

    Very sobering...

  • @marcdeanmillot8491
    @marcdeanmillot84912 жыл бұрын

    Nuclear weapons strategy is really a bunch of different deterrent and war fighting theories, supported by one or more weapons systems and a handful of pre determined war plans. It was not confined to MAD. There was massive retaliation. flexible response, denial of objectives, hold at risk, just to name a few. And weapons systems purchased to go with each. Example - polaris was justified for the secure second strike of MAD. There are many such cases.

  • @user-bi7vj7sp7x
    @user-bi7vj7sp7x2 жыл бұрын

    Hey you want to buy a grave? Seriously I think you should get into the undertaker business. Funeral homes would be an awesome investment for nuclear war!

  • @mikebar42
    @mikebar422 жыл бұрын

    If 1 goes they all go