How long can Putin afford to wage war in Ukraine? | DW News
How long can Vladimir Putin afford to continue his war in Ukraine without inflicting economic pain on his own people? The narrative around Russia’s economic performance could hardly be more polarized. One camp claims the country is on the brink of collapse, the other that it is stronger than ever, buoyed even by the effect of Western sanctions. With state spending on defense now exceeding investment in sectors like education and health, some analysts are predicting a painful economic hangover after the war ends. DW Business speaks to Alexandra Prokopenko from the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, who formerly worked as an advisor to the Russian central bank.
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#russia #ukraine #economy
Пікірлер: 1 800
Good interview. I'm glad the interviewer didn't interrupt the answers.
@Poodle210
13 күн бұрын
She is not Piers Morgan
@chrisxplore9575
13 күн бұрын
You beat me to it @@Poodle210😂
@WiFiPunk
13 күн бұрын
Good interviewer, patiently waits for her chance to talk and keeps the conversation focused on their talking points.
@norwegianzound
13 күн бұрын
That's because Irish people are noted for not being chatty.
@steven4315
12 күн бұрын
Seems to be DW's style. It's what I like about DW.
Outstanding guest. Best discussion of Russia’s situation I have yet heard on the Net.
Said it before, but I'll say it again: DW really is streets ahead of the British and especially American news media. Yet another DW host who asks intelligent questions and gives the interviewee plenty of space to answer fully. A complete contrast to the likes of the extreme poor quality and superficial questioning from the likes of the BBC, asking the same dummed-down questions of every guest, jumping in with the next dumb question before the guest has finished the first sentence of their reply. Well done DW!
@krollpeter
13 күн бұрын
The entire Anglo-Saxon media is corrupted, owned by Turner or Murdoch. China keeps on saying western media being liars and hypocrite. By western media they more precisely mean Murdoch/Turner media, because that is what they know. DW and France24 are then put into the same drawer.
@Boghopper1979
13 күн бұрын
I recommend it to all my friends; IMHO this is the closest I've seen to what News Programming should be. To be fair, PBS in the US is pretty reasonable too (shame so few American's watch it)
@Ok_yes_its_me
13 күн бұрын
BBC world service radio has some decent programming. It's the TV that's rubbish
@considerthis7712
12 күн бұрын
That’s an ignorant broad brush statement. See Democracy Now.
@krollpeter
12 күн бұрын
@@Ok_yes_its_me Once upon a time, they were the spearhead of news reporting and the prime example for excellence in documentaries. Nowadays, they are a shadow of their former self. To me best are DW and France24. Often ARTE.
The journalist is a very good and fair person
I have a simple minded way of thinking about this. Being largely cut of from roughly 50% of the world economy can't be a good thing economically.
@resevoirdog
12 күн бұрын
So hard to understand her with her tick. She seems so wound up it made me nervous just watching lol
@henrylee8510
11 күн бұрын
Yes but economist predicted this would severely damage their economy. They are still managing to get by
@dixonpinfold2582
11 күн бұрын
@@henrylee8510 It's an economic house full of termites. It looks all right from the street, but inside major structural timbers are rapidly disintegrating.
@philipambler3825
11 күн бұрын
Where there's a Will there's a Way. What Sanctions do is increase resourcefulness within the economy. That resourcefulness doesn't register in the GDP; but it does create jobs! Russia is a net food exporter, and now thanks to Sanctions can develope an ' internal economy ' supplying the needs of Russian People & Government. This serves better that allowing the Rothchildes to run the Central Bank.
@Kennon959
11 күн бұрын
@@dixonpinfold2582 Given that Russia has all the essentials for day to day life gas/oil, large scale agriculture those are what are the minimum to survive to stay warm and fed they're in a better position that most countries that have at best 1out of 2. Rosatom has never been sanctioned as even US nuclear reactors need the fuel rods, Gazprom has not been sanctioned as other nations still need gas. It's not running at full steam but it's enough to keep the economy afloat.
Absolutely brilliant to hear such an expert on Russia
@tudvalstone
Күн бұрын
LOL, no she's not, she admits she was wrong while she was in Russia, now she's not even there.
@agukr
Күн бұрын
What expert? She’s an expert? 😂😂😂
Fascinating interview, thank you🍁
@resevoirdog
12 күн бұрын
So hard to understand her with her tick. She seems so wound up it made me nervous just watching lol
that girl is smart
@markojuric4954
13 күн бұрын
Maybe smart but wrong
@Mr.Clownensky
13 күн бұрын
Scripted 😂
@kaiwxie
13 күн бұрын
While the west were trying to convince people that Russia was going for the war, the silly was trying to convince people that the war wasn’t possible. How is she smart?
@VitalityMassage
13 күн бұрын
She's turned her hair into internet antennas that can access wifi.
@rouz0
13 күн бұрын
You have not given any particular about how she is wrong 😄perhaps she is wrong because what she says does not match your wishful thinking and experts who have subscribed to the cause and telling BS to you to keep your support and false hope up😄 the amount of BS and wrong info provided during the last 2 years was exemplary and many of info have been debunked just by time. Yet wishful thinking is such a strong desire that keeps people blind
This is probably the most sensible evaluation of the Russian Financial and Political position regarding the Ukraine war I have heard. Well done.
Well this was intersecting, finally an economist who knows the market and can explain it to us littler people. This was a great interview
Actually well done DW you actually had a guest who knows what they are talking about...makes a refreshing change !
@andrewlim7751
13 күн бұрын
Yeah, young school girl not working a single in her life knew better, you're funny. 😁😁
@ryuuguu01
13 күн бұрын
@@andrewlim7751 Did you watch the video? She worked at the Russian central bank.
@michaeljohnston980
13 күн бұрын
@@andrewlim7751she worked at the central bank I guarantee you much for successful than some guy criticizing her in this post
@andrewlim7751
13 күн бұрын
@@michaeljohnston980 The Russian central bank do have sufficient qualified seasoned individuals to fill the post, and they weren't be allowed to be interviewed at the colony of Americans, this ain't even secret, it's common sense. 😁😁
@andrewlim7751
13 күн бұрын
@@ryuuguu01 I do have countless "assistants" to assist me for all the chores like shredding papers during school holidays. 😁😁
Great interview
TBH DW has been a goldmine in regards to interview and choices of guests. I live in france, and the media here is so clogged with useless "experts" and useless debates with no shape or form. Thank you for being actual new. It's refreshing.
@namenloss730
2 күн бұрын
most of our dear french experts are just political pundits who know a narrative
@agukr
Күн бұрын
Really? This guest? Do you know her? Did you? How do you know that she’s telling something valuable. From what I know, there was not one single word which was true
@namenloss730
Күн бұрын
@@agukr 1) you probably know very little then. 2) our "experts" are just pundits who do mind reading of putin and zelensky, but are obviously never up to date on the facts. Some still say half a million Ukrainians died, because they added up all the "casualties" number of russians and Ukrainians and don't realize it includes wounded people
@yannmaxpoirier
23 сағат бұрын
@@agukr You might be a lot more knowledgable than me on this topic. But you should see the garbage elsewhere. it's disastrous. I think DW has a good guest game when you compare. I have my field of expertise and unfortunately, like a lot of people, can't spend too much time on geopolitics. Therefore, when I have some time I consume the sources i "feel" are more neutral on topics. Don't get me wrong, I am not in a quest of absolute truth but more curious about the general opinion ones can have. I do research for a living, and i know the necessary work to be able to forge an informed opinion on a specific topic. I chose my battle and it's not geopolitics or economy. I think what people find refreshing with dw is the respects of the guests and the fact that they let them speak. it's little to ask, but so many medias get this simple thing wrong. As for my personal opinion about Putin's capacity to continue his idiotic war, I don't know, and nobody seem to know too.
No one could believe that Russia was going to invade Ukraine because most people believed not even Putin could engage in such an irrational action.
@j6654
13 күн бұрын
I remember when news first broke of russia invading ukraine, i thought this would be over in a week or two.
@TrevorSachko
13 күн бұрын
Really? That is all ruZZia has ever done since the year 1150....
@manekedark
13 күн бұрын
They took Crimea in 2014 but no body cares, but now everybody lose their minds.
@frednitney5831
13 күн бұрын
I'm not sure it is fair to call Putin.'s war an irrational act. The war has made Putin dictator for life and has allowed him to turn Russia into North North-Korea complete with an invigorated unsecret secret-policy and a legal system devoid of legality. Sure, he has brought death, disability, and/or misery to countless hundreds of thousands of Russians (to say nothing of Ukrainians), but none that he would have considered significant.
@claudinefiona9698
13 күн бұрын
@@j6654It would have been if Zelensky was not a US puppet
Yeah, He doesn't care about his own people.
@saffron1977
13 күн бұрын
Yes it's true for Biden even true for some western so called leaders
@HollyTimlick
13 күн бұрын
Got that right. Even Putin's own people in Russia, didn't want a war with Ukraine. If Putin and his military wins the war against Ukraine, who's to stop him from launching strikes against another country? If Putin wins the war, and takes over Ukraine we all are looking at WW3! There has to be sanctions held against all of the other countries who support the Russian military, and Putin. The actions taken against Ukraine was uncalled for, and unnecessary.
@HollyTimlick
13 күн бұрын
That's a proven fact. That would explain why his own people took to the streets protesting. Even the people of Russia didn't want the war either, because they new if Putin gets out of hand its WW3!
@sithlordbilly4206
13 күн бұрын
Yeah
@bojanm986
13 күн бұрын
How do you know? I live in Rostov on Don. I can tell you're wrong.
Very interesting interview. Apparently without agenda. Great job, Ms. Prokopenko.
@resevoirdog
12 күн бұрын
So hard to understand her with her tick. She seems so wound up it made me nervous just watching lol
@CPTE5069
6 күн бұрын
Maybe because she's not a native english speaker ? She might be getting stage fright.
Great interview, good to hear people with real knowledge of the situation.. Refreshing to see something else than the 5 minutes of click bait content found normally.
Very, very insightful :) thank you 😊
As a western, i couldnt care less about the anti-western opinions in Russia. They lost that luxury loooong ago.
@MarcoInaros-ns7ut
7 күн бұрын
And you think they give a damn about yours lmao
@wickstar345
7 күн бұрын
Couldnt care less...lmao
@MarcoInaros-ns7ut
7 күн бұрын
@@wickstar345 so what luxury are you talking about?
@wickstar345
7 күн бұрын
@@MarcoInaros-ns7ut the one they lost
@MarcoInaros-ns7ut
7 күн бұрын
@@wickstar345 the one who was irrelevant to begin with right?
Excellent analysis and interview, thank you.
Strategically they have already lost. Battle won but realistically war lost. Sweden and Finland have joined NATO. Respect is totally over for now. This makes you think twice about trading with Russia. Expropriation of foreign companies. China emerges stronger from this. The costs of war are immense. Reserves melted down. Destroyed oil and gas infrastructure. Deaths, a lot of deaths, so demographically it's getting even worse. Instability regarding neighboring countries. As a result, there will be plenty of terrorist attacks and riots. Costs (medical and pensions) for survivors and disabled people. It couldn't be stupider.
@Alejandrica
13 күн бұрын
Learn first what is brics and brics is russia and brics is half world economy.
@JBEMultimediamadrid
13 күн бұрын
Not just Russia who is paying for this war, Germany economy is going down as a result of no more cheap gas from Russia, Ukraine economy is in total mess and its been heavily subsidize by western governments, not to mention the deaths. New partners is been forged and other alliances is been formed dividing the globe even more. Decades from now, the world will continue to feel the impact of this conflict not just Russia.
@kwp6832
13 күн бұрын
West can't continue this war russia has many natural sources. And west meet weapon shorties
@netiturtle
13 күн бұрын
@@Alejandrica "brics is russia"? By far the biggest economy in BRICS is China, next is India. First is taking over Russia's economy, issued edict to use old Chines name for Outer Manchuria (Vladivostok area), is conducting military drills near Russian border, annexed a disputed island from Russia last year. Last was met by silence from Putin. Second biggest economy in BRICS, India, has hostile relations with China. Both enjoy very cheap hydrocarbon exports from Russia. They could pay open market price for it, but that's what allies are for, to rip you off. Both demanded being able to pay with their own currency, not Ruble. "brics is half world economy" yet its smaller than G7 alone? And literally all countries considered as 'advanced economies' have applied some sanctions on Russia
@jaarneal
13 күн бұрын
@@Alejandrica People always talk about BRICS. Why is it that so many Westerners don't know about it? Because it doesn't matter that much in general. Is BRICS a security alliance like NATO? No. Is it a structured bargaining group like the EU or USMCA? No. BRICS is a loose economic alliance whose name came from a British economist who talked about developing economies. BRICS has repeatedly refused to take steps to make its institution more structured because its members aren't interested. And its members aren't interested because (among other things) they aren't strategically on the same page.
Very insightful!
Seeing DW News the first time. Already after 10 minutes I was amazed and now gonna whatch it more often.
Really interesting interview, thank you for your work. ❤
I don't think he cares about people and growing cost at all.
@nonaligned293
13 күн бұрын
yes, EU and US care about Russians, you are correct
@Blanka1100
13 күн бұрын
It has always been like that in both USSR and Russia.
@gfan83
13 күн бұрын
And does Germany, USA or France care about people?
@resevoirdog
12 күн бұрын
So hard to understand her with her tick. She seems so wound up it made me nervous just watching lol
@begun65vdal5
12 күн бұрын
@@resevoirdog I suppose Ms Prokopenko is a very good researcher and writer, but a less good talker. For me the content was decisive. Btw, an Ukrainian family name.
This was very informative. Thanks for the interview!
@resevoirdog
12 күн бұрын
So hard to understand her with her tick. She seems so wound up it made me nervous just watching lol
@nielsvdw6141
8 күн бұрын
@@resevoirdog Yea you see her eyes goes left/right to the side/corners , wich indicate troubles with translation , memory recollection and deception. I dont think her stuttering is a tick because of her eye movement , rather trouble with translation between english and russian. However even though eye movement isnt 100% indication of deception , it is too often and too much on question related matter to fully believe what she says. Never the less interesting info as no info wether truth or lie ...
Thank you
Nice interview, please do not drink tea any time soon now
@anotherlin
13 күн бұрын
No, as long as windows are closed, that's just fine :)
@resevoirdog
12 күн бұрын
So hard to understand her with her tick. She seems so wound up it made me nervous just watching lol
@uroszecevic1389
12 күн бұрын
And avoid 4. Floor
A real expert 👍 Great interview Good job Thanks for the update 🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉
@lw1zfog
12 күн бұрын
NAFO Fantasy Fiction
Thanks for an excellent interview with the very knowledgeable Alexandra Prokopenko
Great interview, very balanced. I like how all the different sides were calmly discussed.
Although Mrs Prokopenko is using a lot of words to make her point, she makes her points well. Impressive: she speaks from the top of her hand, more in charge of her subject than Putin is of the progress of the war!
@carnivore2023
13 күн бұрын
The problem with what she says, is that she believes in the official numbers and claims from Russia and that stinks to me as Russia are clearly lying about their economy.
@user-hh1bs6ox7w
13 күн бұрын
a student who didn't realize the war would be a week before it started has better information than Putin - what are you smoking?
@jakobzimmermann8258
13 күн бұрын
I did sense some nerves to speak in public but she had her facts right as you said
@masterlightjames950
12 күн бұрын
Keep dreaming, y'all.
Anyway, China seems to be the "winner" from this so far. Even though China struggles with internal issues.
@An1Kum
12 күн бұрын
And West is the loser here
@prabhakararaoaravapalli9050
12 күн бұрын
West is the big loser due to sanctions on Russia. They made a self goal
@JCSY1
12 күн бұрын
EVs will replace ICE. Hydrogen won't.
@yupusun8743
12 күн бұрын
Europ is loser there. UK and US are winners @@An1Kum
@Bass-lh6hn
12 күн бұрын
Actually the USA is winning.
Great interview. I would have liked to hear the impact of under-investment in infrastructure maintenance, though she alluded to this in the "hang-over" section.
Very insightful interview. Thank DW.
Peace to Ukraine!
Great interview..so many smart people in Russia, if they were only harnessed to raise the standards of their people, what an amazing country it could have been.
Wow Alexandra is full of knowledge and wisdom.
Great interview!
She might be an expert in economy / finances..... but shes definetly a beginner in geopolitics.
Longer than ukraine
One of the most interesting people I have listened too. Thank you young lady. Thank you very much.
Such an articulate, intelligent young woman! Thank you DW for interviewing her.
No worries about the high salaries of trench fodder. It's paid monthly, so a 2-3 month wage per person is 👌
@juki6377
10 күн бұрын
further more many familes dont get pay as the russian ministry of defence denies or delays recognising the persons death. They dont pay you what you gonna do, sue them?
Which economy can thrive when the workforce has been decimated
@donalddalley7274
2 күн бұрын
Russia's population distribution already has echoes from WW2, Afghanistan, and their other wars. This current war will affect their economic performance for generations to come. Population growth, education, hopefully their politics, science, and military might. Russia will pay a huge price for Putin's stupidity and grandiosity.
Thanks for this really informative interview. The russian expert had a lot of knowledgeable insight to share
Without inflicting Economic Pain on his People ? Negative 2 Years. How long he can keep it going tough is a different story. If Russia is willing to endure the pain it can last Years to come.
The answer doesn't matter, G-I-V-E Ukraine Aid, and let them defend themselves.
@andrewareva4605
13 күн бұрын
Empty your own bank account and sell your house first.
@TheTwangKings
13 күн бұрын
@@andrewareva4605Calm down, trollski. We have plenty of money in the West. $$$$$$$$$$$
@reckoner-nash
13 күн бұрын
@@TheTwangKings give some money to India or Sri Lanka don't waste on war just help the poor but that's not what you want
@deepfriedbrainforlunch
13 күн бұрын
I agree
@andrewareva4605
13 күн бұрын
@@TheTwangKings So why do you need my tax money?
She is make senses 😢😢
@Mr.Clownensky
13 күн бұрын
She studied her Script very well 😂
@markojuric4954
13 күн бұрын
BS. She did not mention that since 2014, after the introduction of sanctions, Russia has become the largest exporter of wheat in the world. By ending cooperation with Europe, Russia adopted its technology in the dairy industry, which was helped by Italian and French experts who work for money. With the termination of cooperation with Boeing and Airbus, Russia has been working for several years on the development of its passenger plane, which it should have in a few years. She talks about cars, but she doesn't understand that Russia is not the US and that Russians don't look at cars like Americans . . . and so on
@glintongordon6811
13 күн бұрын
English please
@Ok_yes_its_me
13 күн бұрын
@@Mr.Clownensky the speaker is not working from a script at all. That's obvious.
A terrific interview. Two highly intelligent spreakers. The fact that interviewee is a former insider in Putins finance department means her insights are simply priceless. Incredible interview ... listen all the way through
Haaaaa!!? "When unemployment is low, this means there are less workers available in a case where there is large demand.." - this is odd analysis! Very odd!! The question was whether this low unemployment and economic "boom" in Russia would be sustained AFTER the war. Clearly - after the war, the current factories will be repurposed and workers too will be repurposed away from military production to civilian production. 🤷♂ Surely these are NOT independent or unbiased analysts. It looks like the analysis MUST ALWAYS highlight negatives on Russia. And I'm no Russian bot at all, i am looking for sober, unbiased analysis on this conflict. Analysts like this don't help me at all.
@petardetar5191
2 күн бұрын
Good points !
Thank you so much for letting the interviewee talk. Here in America the hosts are interested in hearing themselves talk
@Rimrock300
10 күн бұрын
A good and accurate point
@georgesimon1760
5 күн бұрын
Yea, the interviewer asked fewer questions, and didn't take too long to ask them. Then she let the interviewer talk at length. Would like to see more of that.
They start from a wrong premise which is that Putin will not cause economic harm to his people, he already did and can do it for as long as he pleases because he holds all the power in Russia.
This was so interesting to hear Alexandra speak. I could feel her pain on this war and she loves her country just like we love our own. As a westerner myself, I'm Shure it we were to speak with each other we would find common ground.
A very good interview.
People who say Outstanding Guest, are 100% clueless.
Russia went from a plan to take Kyiv in 3 days to an internal, armed, insurrection in 17 months. By month 18 they were begging North Korea and Iran for weapons. Putin - "Everything is on time and is going according to plan, we have lost nothing. I remain a master strategist"
@Mr.Clownensky
13 күн бұрын
Oldest coping line of every Ukrobot 😂 "Kyiv in 3days" lol,
@FishandHunt
13 күн бұрын
@@Mr.Clownensky Day 786 of Putin’s disastrous 10 day 'Special Military Operation' against civilians, civilian buildings, civilian infrastructure, churches and grain. Putin - "Everything is on time and is going according to plan, we have lost nothing. I remain a master strategist" 🤣
@Mr.Clownensky
13 күн бұрын
@@FishandHunt Ukraine become the largest wasteland in Europe when the 3 days failed and youre here celebrating as if its a victory 😂😂, weird way to cope! Lol ,
@oldskoolrools1353
13 күн бұрын
@@Mr.Clownenskyyeah...parts of ukraine now looking like rural russia...lol
@FishandHunt
13 күн бұрын
@@Mr.Clownensky Remember how Russia thought that they could take Kyiv in 3 days and Ukraine in 10? Russia made it to the outskirts of Kyiv, failed to hold Hostomel Airport, overstretched their supply lines, their stalled 64km long convoy got savaged by Ukrainian forces, they took out their frustrations by committing war crimes against civilians and then fled back the way that they had came with their tails between their legs! Putin - "Everything is on time and is going according to plan, we have lost nothing. I remain a master strategist"
Alexandra Prokopenko knows her onions Putin you're FIRED
@masterlightjames950
12 күн бұрын
You've never heard Putin speak in your bigoted life.
As long as it takes.
Ukraine is an independent country. Putins war in Ukraine is ridiculous. People are suffering.
@markojuric4954
13 күн бұрын
Since couop d'etat in 2014 Ukraine is not an independent country. The day after, the Americans put their people in the Ukrainian Central Bank and all the gold left Ukraine by plane in an unknown direction and thus Ukraine said goodbye to its sovereignty.
@Chaldon-hl6yk
13 күн бұрын
was an independent country
@theministryofdecolonizatio6480
13 күн бұрын
When did Ukraine become an independent country? Ukraine became a colony of the west since 2014.
@Nvk95729
13 күн бұрын
Ohhh I didn’t know this until u told . I was thinking only animals were suffering. So sad
@tedrosbeiene9308
13 күн бұрын
Germany is an independent country for all most 75 years under occupation by USA ! You think that Ukraine
Very credible🍁thank you.
Amazing speaker, thank you!
Just forget to say as mercedes, volvo, vw open factories in china
I'll bet puketin will choose war out of the three options.. he could care less for the people he is supposed to preside over
Longer than Ukraine, thats for sure.
LOL !! "Working for the central bank as an advisor..." Say no more.
Russia does not care about the cost of the war for them it is a life or death situation
@Rimrock300
11 күн бұрын
It's a life or death situation for the Russian regime. To the rest of russia, life s as normal
The thing is, he just doesn't care about his own people. It's just a proven fact.
@kensuz
13 күн бұрын
I think he cares more about his people than the west.
@WormholeJim
13 күн бұрын
He knows he needs them, though. No fun being a tyrant if there are no people to push around. And as I said he knows this, so he is prone to at least some influencing from those he wants to keep around.
@MrBothandNether
13 күн бұрын
@@kensuz you do what you are told you try real hard not to think about that
@pewlookalikegaming2225
13 күн бұрын
@@WormholeJim If he cared so much about his people, then how come most of the Russian people will never ever in their lifetime afford to go on vacation outside of Russia.
@thalentekhuluse2829
13 күн бұрын
@@pewlookalikegaming2225Nato wanted to use Ukraine to surround Russia... Knowing very well how important Ukraine is to Russia since it has more Russians than any other country on earth... How do you think US would respond if Russia nor China build military bases all around America??? Did ya'll forget about the Cuba missile crisis??? Are you a hypocrite?
Insightful discussion of the Russian economy.
@TheLivingTissue
13 күн бұрын
Discussed by a ukrainian and an anchor of DW 😂
@delta_glider4362
13 күн бұрын
@@TheLivingTissue But no bias. kh-kh-kh only tru.. damn 😂
Can Putin not delay his war efforts and help the flood victims NOW !
@stanadams5541
4 күн бұрын
Very good question ! Of course the answer is no Putins priority is killing people.
Russia depends on China ? NO more than China depends on Russia. In fact it is a a happy friendly relationship . Quite strong one.
Russia has maximum two years and has to significantly reduce spending otherwise there will be serious economic damage that'll last for decades. They are running their economy very hot, 24/7 war production, 40 percent of the entire federal budget on the war, millions of open jobs with not enough people to fill them. It'll all come crashing down if they can't freeze this war within the next two years. That and they'll run out of armor in the same timescale because production is nowhere near attrition.
@JBEMultimediamadrid
13 күн бұрын
The same was said nearly two years ago at the start of the war, here we are their economy has not fallen
@MikeMike-cc4jk
13 күн бұрын
Russia has a whole life, dozens of years to go to war. As long as our people have not been affected by enemy sanctions, on the contrary, the outflow of capital to the West from Russia has stopped, that what is Russian economists have been dreaming of. There is a lot of money in the country, it is spent on internal infrastructure, on people, which is very pleasant for everyone. Plus, even if the population were somehow affected, we, Russians, as history has shown, are ready to endure a lot of troubles for decades, not to mention minor offenses for the sake of a just, in the opinion of Russians, war, and any Western Russophobia, political agitation against Russians in the media or sanctions against Russia and Russians, only shows the Russian population that Putin has always been right, and this is the right war against the Russophobic West.
@pgr3290
13 күн бұрын
@@JBEMultimediamadrid No, the same was not said two years ago. Russia's economy was not a war economy then. They weren't burning through 2,000 tanks a year and blowing a massive chunk of their budget on supporting the effort. They weren't suffering from years of sanctions and declining fossil fuel revenues. Now they are. Now the clock is ticking. Russia cannot afford this war at this intensity for more than two years hence.
@pgr3290
13 күн бұрын
@@MikeMike-cc4jk You will have to face up to the fact Russia cannot continue this war forever at this intensity. It's a matter of economics, not individual will. Russia is not a superpower, it is not rich. The West has the resources to wreck Russia and grind it down if it wishes to supply Ukraine. It can do so for years and years to come. 100 billion dollars a year is sustainable for them. For them it is a matter of will, not lack of financial resources. They appear to be finding more will. The West always determined the outcome of this war and the Russian government knows it too. That's why it is trying so very hard to deter Western aid.
@gerryhouska2859
13 күн бұрын
@@JBEMultimediamadrid In freefall as you write.
You should do a follow-up piece on ... "how long can the west keep funding Ukraine"?
@e4arakon
22 сағат бұрын
I'd say that the ability is there, the real question is how long does the west want to fund Ukraine? If the hardliners get their way that'd be until there are no more invasors left
Very impressed with DW journalist who allows guest - with excellent Russian economic knowledge - allowed to answer fully without continual interuptions. Interest rate is 16% and inflation is close to 8% in today's Russia. And NEVER trust PRC!
@Z_America
2 күн бұрын
Inflation in Russia is way below 3%
Million of lives lost and so many are in so much pain because of one greedy old man. Sad world we are living in.
I think the interviewee at 6:20 is trying to say that "when you are up to your neck in alligators, it's really difficult to remember that the initial idea was to drain the swamp".
In the last couple of years, DW News' comment section has become riddled with Russian bots
@kensuz
13 күн бұрын
or maybe they are starting to see truth ?
@purple00134
13 күн бұрын
Or maybe people just don't want their tax money wasted on an unwinnable war.
@Scar626
13 күн бұрын
I take it "bot" is code for people who disagree with you? Not an actual bot. I hope you understand that a bot is a computer.
@MrBothandNether
13 күн бұрын
Funny how the first thing they do is attack you They are slaves They are slaves to an agenda, and that agenda will always be visible Case and point: Responses to your comment come from channels with absolutely no content and post comments that are politically charged and always detractory
@joostandhisband9648
13 күн бұрын
@@purple00134 Talking about Russia?
Very good interview. If Russia has money for 12 - 18 month, we should ramp the cost for Russia to wage war: More focus on preventing circumvention of sanctions, more support for Ukraine to hit Russian oil refinery, storage, export and production facilities and, of course, more military support for Ukraine to increase the rate of attrition of the Russian military.
We have to remember that once Russia takes over all of Ukraine, they will dominate that part of the economy as well, so the economic outlook for Russia is favorable!!
Putin could care less about Russian citizens. Pretty sad.
@Mr.Clownensky
13 күн бұрын
As if Zlensky cared about his people lol 😂
@JeffEbe-te2xs
13 күн бұрын
So did Stalin Look at how long he stayed in power
@TSEliot1978
13 күн бұрын
Zelensky could just start caring about his people and accept a peace deal.
@Gi1d3d
13 күн бұрын
Sacrificial lambs are a part of any conflict. Hard truth..
@bojanm986
13 күн бұрын
And you feel sad for Russian people. Come on, enough hypocrisy.
The real question is: How long can USA afford to pay for the war in Ukraine?
@donalddalley7274
2 күн бұрын
The west, especially the US, can easily fund the fighting in Ukraine. The question is whether they will rise to the occassion. The amount of US money going into the fight is microscopic compared to their GDP, for example, plus a large portion of it goes straight into their own MIC. A drop in an ocean. Russia can never compete against that, if the US has the balls to resist Russia.
@VG-oc1uc
2 күн бұрын
@@donalddalley7274 US Treasury is planning to borrow an additional $243 billion for April-June quarter. So, we issuing an additional debt to give the money to Ukraine, i.e. we give the money we do not have. The same is true for EU. You are repeating the talking points of our administration. Look at the issue from a different angle. Our debt is already much higher than our GDP. Now, you also assume that all the money will end up where you would hope for. It is not necessarily the case. A lot of money we gave to Ukraine in the past we could not account for. There is a lot of waste in this process. You could build a home for every homeless in US for $61B.
Without inflicting economic pain on his own people? But this has been happening since EU and USA introduced sanctions on Russian economy! It’s just that these sanctions does not target directly the commoners, but big industries instead.
Question: How long can Russia afford to wage war in Ukraine. Answer: Longer than Germany.
An actually interesting interview in a long time. And the "b-b-b-but"s are cute. 😊
Do people still believe these western talking points about Russia ? 🤔
Super intelligent and well swiched on young woman - Russia is losing it's talented folk with it's poor leadership
Excellent informative interview, clever girl
Talk about IMF predictions on G8 and Russian economy projections
@pgr3290
13 күн бұрын
Germans should know how their economy went in the 1930s. Very well. Probably because somebody was rearming Germany to the teeth and spending a fortune on the military, making the economy boom and apparently grow fast. Problem is tanks and guns don't improve your population's everyday lives and it is not a sustainable form of growth. You just have a very large expensive military that needs a big war to justify. Sound familiar?
@foilhat1138
13 күн бұрын
There isn't an IMF detective squad who investigates economies. Russia self reports their cooked numbers and the IMF takes them at face value.
How long can Ukraine hold on? Please send Ukrainian youth who have fled to Europe back to Ukraine to join the military and defend the country.
@AprezaRenaldy
8 күн бұрын
2024 The 25 year old man went through the meat grinder 2025 The 23 year old man went through the meat grinder 2026 The 21 year old man went through the meat grinder 2027 The 19 year old man went through the meat grinder 2028 The 17 year old Teenager went through the meat grinder 2029 The 15 year old boy went through the meat grinder. 🤔 Kiev's perfect plan
@joseaguilarjr660
8 күн бұрын
🤡🤡🤡🤣🤣🤣
@SpruceWood-NEG
8 күн бұрын
@@joseaguilarjr660 Why haven't you joined the Ukrainian mercenaries yet.
@kkostadinof
2 күн бұрын
@@AprezaRenaldy You are too optimistic - they are ALREADY at the 40+ year olds. Ukraine is done.
I've wondered a lot what the relations will be after the war between the West and Russia. My perception is the general feeling for Russia and Russians was not great already before this war.
Really informative interview - gives a different perspective on potential escalation of the war from the Russian side given productivity limitations
It's not about Putin, it's about Russia. One Putin gone next will come. The reality is that Russia can fight it's whole life and will let EU involve in Ukraine war as Ukraine is the neighbors country. We can't achieve everything through "Gewalt" sometimes.
@joostandhisband9648
13 күн бұрын
You didn't understand what was said.
@gleestruwe1818
13 күн бұрын
Pls get these ppl to understand that Putin can't be defeated in his home of Russia,nato's banging on a 🧱 wall😎
@dlkdyscot
13 күн бұрын
And the next will come? Really? Will they be allowed to skim off resources to become richest man in world? Like he has done. Not a chance
@netiturtle
13 күн бұрын
Putin has made sure there is no next Putin. He removed opposition and competition alike
@joostandhisband9648
13 күн бұрын
@@gleestruwe1818 Putin will be defeated by the Russians after he will be defeated in Ukraine. Standing with empty hands in front of an angry Russian crowd.
Russia's economy, fueled by the ongoing war with Ukraine, shows surprising stability amidst sanctions. However, this stability is precarious and not everlasting - That applies everywhere
@mangalanimangalani5695
13 күн бұрын
That’s exactly what economists said about US economy during WW2 and we know how it ended. It didn’t end but propel US to greater heights.
@Phailsku
13 күн бұрын
@@mangalanimangalani5695 The US was one of the few remaining countries with un-bombed factories at the end of WW2. Its crazy what you can do when nobody else can make planes and cars. The only winners in the Ukraine-Russian war are the counties that are not dumping money into bombs and tanks
@K1pp3rs
13 күн бұрын
@@mangalanimangalani5695and now their only remaining industry is the manufacturing of bombs and more bombs. Yikes
@Kirstinevad
8 күн бұрын
Yeah, according to RF's selvreported numbers RF is doing great.
@mangalanimangalani5695
8 күн бұрын
@@Kirstinevad According to IMF & World Bank. Since when do we rely on RF? Ukraine is winning is per other sources.
As long as it takes
very interesting
Longer than our western leaders think.
@frstflvr7327
13 күн бұрын
Russian bot 🤡
@TauNomm
13 күн бұрын
We can all be saviours of freedom and contribute to containing Russia. For example, by donating to Ukraine24 which funds drone programmes.
@user-xp5yu3tt2g
13 күн бұрын
Western bot. 🤡 What's the matter? Starting realizing that you will certainty lose that war America's beach? (Last word was wrong spelled intentionally).
@adrianhudek9111
10 күн бұрын
@@frstflvr7327 I am not. I support Ukraine and have ukrainian friends BUT I know russian mentality and how they see the world. Putin will never move back qnd russians will never go against him in a numbers that could bring any change
From the looks of it, longer than Ukraine, and thats all that matters.
@HuskyOwner-bl1jf
13 күн бұрын
Only if Mike Johnson continues to withhold aid
@marisabenson1222
13 күн бұрын
Check your eyesight
@maxdout564
13 күн бұрын
@@HuskyOwner-bl1jf $60 Billion is not nearly enough, not even close...
@carnivore2023
13 күн бұрын
@@maxdout564 Really? And how do you know that?
@Joey-ct8bm
13 күн бұрын
Just the EU has 15 trillion dollars more than Russia. 🤣 The ruble is down 60% already and we still have 300 billion of Russian money we can give to Ukraine to help them. That's 3 years of the cost of the entire Russian army budget. The ruble will be down 150% in three years. Russia also has 41 million people with a pension. Almost a quarter of their population and every is dying under 30 in the war. NATO is going to allocate a 100 billion dollars too in the next 4 years outside of the aid of individual countries. I would move to another country if i was Russian.
As long As it take
China will not let Russia fail, but neither will it let Russia expand the war. What you should be thinking about now is how to divide up Ukraine's interests with Russia after the war is over.
@pierman4858
12 күн бұрын
Yeah because deciding on other countries fate against their will has always led to peace in the past right. Look we tried this basically by ignoring the illegal annexation of Crimea. Now we are here and it's clear this didn't lead to peace.
Two cars makers in Russia? However lots of European cars coming to Russia via Kazakhstan, Kirghizstan ..
@stuguy2
13 күн бұрын
Define lots, also the cost of such veh's is almost prohibitive. 130million people...Define lots?
@TheKkpop1
13 күн бұрын
As a matter of fact Chinese cars are replacing foreign automakers.
@delta_glider4362
13 күн бұрын
@@stuguy2 it's like "2 lots" 😆 Cos mostly Chinees goes over western's. Communist party very proud of your dear western carmakers.
@Ok_yes_its_me
13 күн бұрын
@@delta_glider4362 this makes no sense at all. What do you mean in English?
@stuguy2
12 күн бұрын
@@TheKkpop1 of course they are...Have you ever driven a LADA...Even new ones just manu are broken...