Dhruv Rathee is Wrong, India's Debt is NOT a Problem | NIFTY 50 | SCE | NIKKIE 225 - Indraanil Guha
Dhruv Rathee is Wrong, India's Debt is NOT a Problem | NIFTY 50 | SCE | NIKKIE 225 - Indraanil Guha
Recently, Dhruv Rathee, who is a vocal critic of India’s BJP-led federal government put out a tweet, in which he presented some figures, through which he was essentially trying to suggest that over the last 10 years that the BJP has been in power, India’s national debt has spiraled out of control! Now this is something that must be examined threadbare, since, if Rathee is even remotely right, it will have grave implications for our national economy as well as for our markets, because history is very clear about this - whenever the national debt of a country starts to spiral out of control, it always ends badly!
In this video, I present a framework to classify the national debt of any country into 6 broad buckets, and what are the implications for the economy and markets are in case of each of these 6 buckets. Also, in this video I try to look at India’s national debt through the lens of the performance of our stock market, because it is the stock market of any country that has historically been always the first to detect and flag the dangers, whenever the debt of any country starts to spiral out of control and the future growth prospects of that country is NOT sufficient to support the orderly and timely repayment of that debt.
Do watch to understand if our national debt is indeed a problem for us or not!
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Chapters:
00:00 Teaser
04:29 Vote of Thanks
05:19 Dhruv Rathee’s Tweet on National Debt
08:42 Why it’s meaningless to look at absolute value if National Debt?
11:11 Debt - to - GDP
16:35 Possible Outcomes of National Debt
17:29 Characteristic I of National Debt - Currency of Debt
20:17 Characteristic II of National Debt - Use Case of Debt
21:51 Implication of high national debt in case of developing countries
33:43 Implication of Monetization of Government Deficits in case of Developed Countries
38:13 Implication of Monetization of Government Deficits - USA
46:10 Implication of Monetization of Government Deficits - Japan
47:03 Implication of Monetization of Government Deficits - China
52:25 Why isn’t there any inflation in case of monetization of government deficits by Developed Countries?
55:00 Downside of Monetization of Government Deficits - Slowdown in long-term growth potential
1:06:39 Implication of national debt used for putting cash in the hands of people?
1:12:43 Implication of national debt used for building productive infrastructure?
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In this video, I try to scrutinize a recent tweet of Dhruv Rathee, a vocal critic of India’s BJP-led federal government, in which he essentially tried to suggest that over the last 10 years that the BJP has been in power, India’s national debt has spiraled out of control! Now this is something that must be examined threadbare, since, if Rathee is even remotely right, it will have grave implications for our national economy as well as for our markets, because history is very clear about this - whenever the national debt of a country starts to spiral out of control, it always ends badly!
@abhi8580
2 ай бұрын
Thank you Sir, we needed someone to speak against the autocratic Dhruv Rathee…… if you see his comment section he is not open to proper counter argument, which makes him autocratic. Any sane person who knows the matter deeply can counter him easily. Anyways, just one suggestion….. if you can shorten your main explanation points and provide rest of video for those who are interested further…. That would help you gain more views ….. just a suggestion
@RiddhimanArya
2 ай бұрын
🎉 Excellent Analysis, but you should proceed to make the medium in Hindi with English subtitles to make your high level content videos much much more reachable to more ppl. This way you surelywill democratize economic contents to our common ppl of Bharat. Plz take it as a good mission, it will also yield you in future. ❤ from Kolkata. Respect your initiative with good intentions. Bhalo thakben. Jai Maa Bharati
@RiddhimanArya
2 ай бұрын
Modi hai toh mumkin hai🎉
@tamarack7871
2 ай бұрын
GDP increases with Govt Spending and Govt can spend more by borrowing(debt) , Why are u taking a Ratio Debt - GDP knowing that one is directly proportional to other ? Did u not know that GDP increases with Debt?
@adroitspartan7907
2 ай бұрын
@@sssvyhkrsssvyhkr1527 - lol, well said
Thanks so much Sir! You have put in so much effort into making such a comprehensive video. As a small time retail investor, it is terrifying to see people like Dhruv Rathee give their 2 pennies on Indian economy. We are not in a position to verify it ourselves. This video is such a relief.
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks for the super kind words.... glad you found the content to be useful
BLISSFUL TO HEAR ABOUT FINANCE FROM AN IIM RATHER THAN ANYONE . THANK YOU SIR JI
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks for your love and support... glad you liked the video
India needs this type of Educational Videos 😊 !! Opens our eyes and also helps other categories of people to think positive about India !!
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks for the super kind words... very happy that you liked the video
Thank you
Wow, Japan’s and Shanghai’s indexes were eye opening. Beautifully explained sir, videos are very addictive. 🎉
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks for your love and support... glad you liked the video
The best and only channel in india to understand complicated world of finance in simple terms. kudos to Mr Indraanil🎉
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many many thanks for such generous praise....Glad you liked the content
Kudos to you for making videos with such comprehensive explanations in the age of short videos 🙌
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks for these super kind words... glad you liked the video
sir, please conduct a class on the currency exchanges from basics. How appreciating or depreciating dollars impacts the Indian economy and other economies
I agree Debt to GDP ratio is good performance metric. It doesn't matter whether central or state debt to GDP, we have to track at India level. Debt is like necessary evil. In addition, we need to understand if debt is external debt or internal debt. NDA government reduced external debt and increased internal debt. We have seen huge government investment in infrastructure.
Super excellent and that too free thanks sir
Thanks for the wonderful explanation.. Please explain one more thing that if debt is about the same as our reserves.. is India debt free?
Ur entire presentation induced goose bumps in my body. Its like a symphony in economics. I bow to your effort's ! Waiting eagerly for your next presentation to empower my knowledge bank, Sir !
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks for your love and support... glad you liked the video
Thanks a lot for making us understand the basics of Financial system.
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks... really glad you liked the video
Also throw some light on the transperancy ...where is this debt is used & is internal debt is raised to pay external debt ???
Always await your insightful content ! Request a video on possibility of De-dollarisation.
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks for these super kind words... glad you liked the video
very informative...thanks for the detailed explanation
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks for your love and support... glad you liked the video
Shanghai vs. Nifty cannot be compared as Shanghai excludes many Chinese blue chips
Excellent. Could be shortened; however, I would like to know if household savings are decreasing and personal debt is increasing in India. Would this cause a problem within the next 10 years?
Great insightful information Thanks 🎉😊
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks.... glad you liked the video
I am working in finance and a student of CFA course. This is all you explained very well which I recently studied in economics. Thanks you so much for all the efforts and explaining it so deep with real world example and real data.
@IndraanilGuha
27 күн бұрын
Many thanks... glad you liked the video
Nice..you are a great friend
Once again, stunning discussion. I hope to see the continuation of your earlier video topic very soon, since we enter a critical phase in the markets from May to Nov 2024.
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks for these super kind words... glad you liked the video
Sir if possible make a video on cagr , net return and xirr % , many will benifit and use it. Just a layman suggestion
Not being political here too....but please clarify about GDP ...Akshat Srivastava recently put out a video that the GDP numbers didn't add up. There are 3 ways to calculate GDP and using these 3 methods the final results of all 3 methods should at least be close and not out of whack. Whereas the calculation this time does not add up. What do you have to say about this? So if Debt to GDP is important... *what if GDP numbers are not reflected correctly??* Another thing....how wisely is the external debt being spent....are we building great infrastructure like Singapore? As for states not managing debt and blaming the center it's rather internal debt and that's debatable.
@EARTH--tf8hn
Ай бұрын
U are correct, after subtracting inflation our real GDP is 3.6%?
@badhwarankur27
23 күн бұрын
Its very true the GDP numbers are fudged. Even a naysayer economist can figure that out. The growth is around 3.5 % only . If u take old GDP calculation before 2015 the growth will come to around 2% only. Go out outside there is no jobs, no small business flourishing. This is not what happens in 8% growth economy. Pre farce stats.
@amanhooda3876
12 күн бұрын
@@EARTH--tf8hninflation ko gdp ki calculation m consider hi nhi kiya jata.
@EARTH--tf8hn
11 күн бұрын
@@amanhooda3876 true hence the figures are bothched up
@RS-vu4nn
9 күн бұрын
The credit card interest which shouldn't be added to gdp growth, as its neither a good nor exactly a service . It usury in a sense different from bank loans but these are also included now and it makes up large part of Us gdp right now . If you remove these abnormalities Russian economy would easily be in top 5 . Every economy on planet does that , as long as international institutes like Morgan Stanley ,standard and poor, goldman doesnt say much.. its still within permissible limits Also, 7-8% is gdp in real terms and gdp in nominal terms is 7-8 % + 6 -7% inflation i.e around 14-16% growth ,thats precisely stock market growth rate . Are there a lot of accounting issues yes Is there manipulation , yes Is better data required ,definitely Is it a thing to worry about right now ,no not yet India still has 10 years after which problems will start
Wonderful insights, Guha
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks... glad you liked the video
Great content. Thank you. One question though. In another video, there is an investment strategy for us Indians that you advised. And that in itself is based on US liquidity. I presume India’s ability to invest in productive infrastructure must be linked to US liquidity and hence that strategy. I also went through your website but it mentions ULIP somewhere that made me a bit sceptical. Can you clarify the exact offerings you have?
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
We offer a bunch of proprietary investment strategies to our paying customers, which involve continuously moving the portfolio between equity and debt funds, based on our market outlook. We tend to have a high equity exposure in our client portfolios when liquidity conditions are easy (as they continue to be right now) and reduce equity exposure in our client portfolios as and when liquidity conditions start to tighten. This approach has helped us reliably sidestep large equity market corrections in the past! However, when such rebalancing is carried out at frequent intervals using mutual funds and/or ETFs and/or direct stocks, the resulting gains attract taxation basis the rates applicable for “short term capital gains”, which are significantly higher than the tax rates applicable in case of “long term capital gains”. Hence we do NOT use mutual funds and/or ETFs and/or direct stocks for executing our investment strategies. Instead we use a new breed of very low-cost ULIPs called “Zero-Allocation Charge ULIPs”, which have an expense ratio that is lower than that of mutual funds for executing our proprietary investment strategies. If you are interested to know more about these strategies and about the low-cost ULIPs we use for executing the strategies then you can email / WhatsApp us on the email address / WhatsApp number provided in the description of the video
*Really an excellent video. Rare thought clarity and very good research*
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks.... glad you liked the video
First time I understand bonds and all these these you are providing gentleman. Thank you so much sir🙏
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks... glad you liked the video
Excellent and very informative video. You simplified the subject for a layman.
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks for love and support.... glad you liked the video
VERY WELL ANALYSED THANKS
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many Thanks.... Glad you liked the video
Wow ...what a nice presentation...full of useful information
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks... very happy that you liked the video
Most of the world markets are are a big bubble fed by the valuations obtained by assuming very high growth rates which are not sustsinable in this world which according to me is on the verge of climate catastrophe. In this scenario the engineering of financial system is bound to fail.
Brilliant analysis. I am a finance lover and follower for a long time but have never found such a conclusive and as simple as possible narration as this one. Kudos to you and keep it up 💐
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks for your love and support... glad you liked the video
Your teaching/explaining style -> remind me of my school teacher whose teachings were very simple and easy to comprehend for any dumb student - who will be interested in topic by solely because of teaching style. Thank you for your efforts
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks for these super kind words... glad you liked the video And yes, my key motivation behind creating these videos is to explain the underlying concepts without making them sound like rocket science
Educational and backed with data, clearly shows the efforts🙏🙏🙏.
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks for these super kind words... glad you liked the video
Great video
The way you have presented the facts and details are mind blowing that too in such a simple way. I could watch this video in one go and still expecting some more, this is surprising because I was initially hesitant to watch it looking in to the length of the video. Many many thanks for providing this video. Please keep doing so.God bless😊
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Glad you liked it!
Best Video Ever on 🎉❤ *DEBT* *கடன்* *долг*
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks for these super kind words... glad you liked the video
Very insightful video, Sir.
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks... glad you liked the video
I am just enjoying these videos. So much of economic concepts simplified.
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Prashant, many thanks for these super kind words... glad you liked the content
awesome effort !! rare to find such detailed content with facts
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many thanks.... glad you liked the video
Sir, can you do video how infrastructure spending will increase india gdp and how is that spending related to share market
@maheshgehani3750
27 күн бұрын
I think he already explained in this video very well, but let me attempt to explain you: Taking loan and spending on infrastructure generally consider as good for developing countries like India. When govt spend money on building roads, bridges, improve railways and airports, it will start generating businesses good returns to country because of the connectivity goods can transport faster specially perishable. This will result in more demand and supply. Eventually increase in GDP. This thing stock market consider it well eventually good returns on your investments. Hope this helps.
Discovered your content on KZread today, found it to be extremely informative. Have already watched last 3 videos from your channel. Looking forward to seeing more such content.
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks for the super kind words.... glad you found the content to be useful
Sir you are turu lob ❤👌
Very well explained and superb presentation Indranil da ...
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks for your love and support... glad you liked the video
Well presnted Sir
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks.. glad you liked the video
Is the GDP number correct? Many have stated their doubts about the same due to huge gap between GDP & consumption numbers.
@badhwarankur27
23 күн бұрын
The numbers are truly suspicious and fudged to say the least.
Good video sir. @dhruv rathi makes videos on his believes on. One should analyse actual things before do any post about our country.
Nicely explained.
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many thanks.... glad you liked the video
sir, You should start a course on financial. I would love o join it. I like the way u explain.
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Glad you found the content to be useful... What exactly would you want me to cover in the course you propose? Do drop in some pointers... will try to cover in future videos
its 100 time better than watching a movie, kind of short course on economy. great content , appreciate it.
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks... glad you liked the video
Really Good content Indraanil. Keep up!
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks... glad you liked the video
Fantastic
You’re really good communicator, very effectively you’re explaining everything in a nut shell. ❤❤❤❤❤❤
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks for your love and support... glad you liked the video
@captainsinghdevendersingh
2 ай бұрын
@@IndraanilGuha people needs communicating skills the way you have I think your brain is uncluttered and that itself speaks your attitude is 👍 absolutely amazing Cheers Brother
Superb analysis. Great research. Love watching your videos. You really cut that fake or should I say fakuu to size.
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks for these super kind words... glad you liked the video
Real database driven analysis, pl keep up sir.
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks for these super kind words... glad you liked the video
Great analysis
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks for the kind words.... Glad you liked the video
@indraanilGuha I accidentally stumbled upon ur video...Very neat explanation backed by facts!! Excellent work.
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks for your love and support... glad you liked the video
Excellent Analysis..it would have taken lot of efforts . It's comforting to know that india has still long way to travel before changing buckets.. thank you very much for the video sir. Pl keep releasing such informative videos. I have watched all your 4 videos in two days upon coming in contact..
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many thanks for your love and support... glad you liked the video
The work going on in infrastructure development is unprecedented. Expressways, Railways, Airways are in an expansion mode and tax collected alone is not sufficient to fund these many infra projects. So even if debt is increasing but as it is spent on infrastructure that debt itself becomes an investment that will help propel the economy.
In Mr harshad mehta time nifty was growing. Does that mean overall economy was doing good. You must bw aware that markets were manipulated there were no actual growth at all
Excellent podcast, Sir.Analysis and Data representation is up to the 100% to the subject. Jimmy Dimon, CEO of J P Margan Chase Bank, recently commented in his lecture that Modi Govt. had brought out 40 cr. Indian Population out of Poverty line. But Modi Govt. running campaign to feed 80 Cr. Population on free ration for next 5 years. My question is how much population is under Indian poverty line?
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks for these super kind words... glad you liked the video
Did Central-state Debt to GDP ratio increased in past 5 years due to introduction of GST?
Wow! What brilliant analysis!!!!!!
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks for your love and support... glad you liked the video
nICE CONTENT GUHA JI❤
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks for your love and support... glad you liked the video
Very good analysis
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks for the kind words... very happy that you liked the video
Sir in earlier couple of videos you indicated that after fed cut rate our market can possibly crash and we are near end of economic cycle ( and that its not that we are in middle of long term bull market) but in this video you have share that there are great prospects of Indian market and rising debt will have positive effect. Arent these both views contradictory? I am really confused will be great if you can help clarify my doubts. Thanks in advance!
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
You are mixing two different things... once Fed starts cutting rates, my view is that we will have the onset of a recession in US kick in soon there-after... this will mark the end of the business cycle and is also likely to be accompanied by a large market correction in the US and around the world. However, India taking on more debt and building more and more infrastructure with that debt is a process that is likely to span over many decades, during which time, we will see multiple business cycle. So while I am skeptical about a market correction in the near term, as and when this business cycle comes to an end, I can still be very bullish on India long term because of the multiplier effects on the economy as a result of rapid infrastructure development
@narendersachdev8220
Ай бұрын
Understood, thanks sir, for detailed explanation to help me understand the context better.
Exceptional ❤🎉
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks for the super kind words.... glad you found the content to be useful
Another master piece from Mr. Indranil Guha. You've nailed it with deep and comprehensive explanations. It was worth waiting for your video "as always"
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks for your love and support... glad you liked the video
Excellent video 👌👌👌👍
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many thanks.... glad you liked the video
Great video. Very Logical. Ofcourse, more support will come to your channel as your content is very rich. 👍
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks for your love and support... glad you liked the video
Sir, Truely informative video. If you can please cover Debt to GDP as a separate topic? Do you see USA defaulting in future given that every 100 days, they add about $1tn as a debt. How can they reduce the debt without any increase in Inflation.
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks for these super kind words... glad you liked the video I do NOT see US defaulting on their debt... most of the US debt is in their own currency and a country can NEVER default when the debt is in its domestic currency... in such cases, the country concerned has the extraordinary privilege of just printing money and returning the money to lenders when it it time to repay the debt! But that's NOT to say that there is no cost to pay for such profligacy... over time, the currency is bound to lose value as a result of such reckless money printing. In fact this is exactly the kind of abuse of the reserve currency status that has led to the downfall of every reserve currency in history, and the eventual decline of the US Dollar because of similar abuse will be a story that's no different!
Nicely done. Could have been nice if you added some points to what Austrian School says about inflation and how it differs from what US does. Also how Switzerland has managed to remain on the rather low side of inflation ?
@NeerajRaghavendra
2 ай бұрын
Yes, this would be great
Your contents are so meaningful even to those who are not from the finance academics. You are keeping the content of the concept in a very very understandable & basic simple fundamentals. Thank you Sir!
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks for your love and support... glad you liked the video
Fantastic data, you will grow big Sir. Was demonitization a good move to improve the economy? Would like to know your inputs. Will we see another one? What would happen? Please make a video if possible.
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks, glad you liked the content! I try to refrain from commenting on policies such as demonetization on public forum because the kind of times we live in, the response to any such comment tends to be invariably along very partisan lines! But if I must, I personally believe that the intent behind of the policy was obviously very worthy i.e. to weed out black money! But if we evaluate the outcome purely based on the amount of money that finally was deposited back into bank accounts, then one has to admit that almost the entire amount of money in circulation came back and to that extent, demonetization was arguably NOT able to achieve its fundamental goal. Having said that, the evaluation of such far-reaching policies can hardly ever be in pure black and white! For e.g., while NOT the key intent behind the policy, the kind of push digital payments and UPI got as a result of demonetization is something that I guess would have taken over10 years to be realized in normal scheme of things!
@Hyunx999
Ай бұрын
Thank you so much for taking the time out to respond. I am a big fan. Keep up the great work!
You are amazing in knowledge, willingness to share and articulation
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks for the super kind words.... Glad you liked the video
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks for these kind words... glad that you liked the video Yes, that's the key motivation - to explain these complex concepts without making them sound like rocket science!
There are tons of KZread channels that talks about stocks hardly any talk about economics , I like how you putforth difficult topics in layman’s terms.
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many thanks for the kind words... really glad you found the content to be useful
Excellent
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks for the kind words... glad you liked the video
Sir you have mentioned the US also printed money to monetize its govt deficits but you haven't talked about it. We agree that Japan and China have a slow growth rate due to debt in local currency. But the US market is doing extremely well. Pls explain about this.
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
US debt levels are unsustainable and everyone knows that. It's a train-wreck in the making in slow-motion... but this will take decades to fully play out... NOT something that will cause any major disruptions in the very near future! And that's why US dollar is NOT weakening meaningfully despite gargantuan amounts of debt and even more gargantuan amounts of money printing to fund this debt pile! Ultimately, the laws of economics are bound to catch up and even the mighty US economy will NOT be able to evade the sort of growth slow-down which has now been long underway in Japan and China. But for now, the US economy admittedly continues to be unaffected, and in my view this is because of the extraordinary privilege of the US dollar being the reserve currency of the world! But this is exactly the kind of abuse of the reserve currency status that has led to the downfall of every reserve currency in history, and the eventual decline of the US Dollar because of similar abuse will be a story that's no different!
Dr Parkala Prabhakar Is FM husband same view hai
Your explanation is good and presentation is good. Please continue like this sir
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks for your love and support... glad you liked the video
Japan Nikkie also at ATH Any view
Thank you Sir, for such updates so that people will ignore the person like rathi
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks... glad you found the content to be useful
Good analysis
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks for the kind words... glad you liked the video
Excellent explanation
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks... glad you liked the video
Amazing content...keep going strong
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks for your love and support... glad you liked the video
Appreciate your video on this ❤❤
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks.... glad you liked the video
subscribed to your channel sir, What a great video
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many many thanks for your support... glad you liked the video
Japans Debt to gdp ratio in 2008 was 138% while it's more than 250% now. Still their markets have recovered, why?
🙏🙏🙏🙏
You are a class in economics
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks for these super kind words... glad you liked the video
🎉 Excellent Analysis, but you should proceed to make the medium in Hindi with English subtitles to make your high level content videos much much more reachable to more numbers of ppl. This way you surelywill democratize economic contents to our common ppl of Bharat. Plz take it as a good mission, it will also yield you in future. ❤ from Kolkata. Respect your initiative with good intentions. Bhalo thakben. Jai Maa Bharati
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks for your love and support... glad you liked the video
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Riddhiman, I'll be out with my Hindi channel Very soon, post which all my content will be avaliable in Hindi too
@83/50 Ruppe high at ATH Counrty Economy Does not represent Sirji
What happens to the property market when all the 3 conditions are met?
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
I am not a real estate / housing market expert, but my first principle thinking suggests that as and when there is a big drawdown in equity markets, that should have a spillover effect on the real estate markets too... so such times should be good not just for picking stocks at a bargain, but for buying housing properties at a discount too!
A beautiful content
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many thanks... glad that you liked the content!
Sir can you clear one concept..I don't understand how inflation is controlled by raising intrest rate...because weather the intrest rate is high or low I have to buy daily life consumer goods in the same quality...how food prices influenced by intrest rate...
@maheshgehani3750
27 күн бұрын
I think inflation is not just decided only the things you buy daily. Its about all goods and services together. Lets say if current interest rate is 1% so you will start buying may be AC, fridge and go on vacation even on loan and probably thinking for buying a new home. And other people will react like you eventually inflation spike. Hope this clear to you.
@mobinjsr1934
27 күн бұрын
@@maheshgehani3750 thank you
Your videos are very detailed and informative. I wish you can upload these content in Hindi as well so that it reach larger audience.
@IndraanilGuha
2 ай бұрын
Many many thanks for your love and support... glad you liked the video
Indraanil- What about the current US debt? Do you see a recession coming up?
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
US debt levels are unsustainable and everyone knows that. It's a train-wreck in the making in slow-motion... but this will take decades to fully play out... NOT something that will cause any major disruptions in the very near future! And that's why US dollar is NOT weakening meaningfully despite gargantuan amounts of debt and even more gargantuan amounts of money printing to fund this debt pile! Ultimately, it all boils down to the extraordinary privilege of the US dollar being the reserve currency of the world! But this is exactly the kind of abuse of the reserve currency status that has led to the downfall of every reserve currency in history, and the eventual decline of the US Dollar because of similar abuse will be a story that's no different!
Well Explained Sir.... You are teaching things which are paid
@IndraanilGuha
Ай бұрын
Many thanks for these super kind words... glad you liked the video