If you've missed it, you can check out Part 1 of "Can China invade Taiwan series" here: kzread.info/dash/bejne/naZk1ZStaditZaQ.html

@johnerelmacahilig5912

5 жыл бұрын

USA VS IRAN PLS BINKOV

@pyeitme508

5 жыл бұрын

Wish China and Taiwan won't go to war. Also wish for AK-47 with it's descendants VS M16 and it's descendants?!

@al-dimashqi

5 жыл бұрын

Albania vs Serbia Spain vs Morocco Egypt vs Ethiopia Myanmar vs Thailand

@ashleyzheng2244

5 жыл бұрын

NATO + South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines and other non nato allies vs China and Russia and North Korea

@ashleyzheng2244

5 жыл бұрын

East vs west germany

If I've learned anything from this channel it's that amphibious landings are hard.

@CallsignYukiMizuki

5 жыл бұрын

No one said it was ever easy :P

@Gillan1220

5 жыл бұрын

It is the hardest. The defender is at the advantage while the invader has to provide air and naval fire support and tons of supplies for the landing troops. Part of the reasons what made D-Day and the Pacific Island campaign difficult. Also the reason why the Soviets could not invade Hokkaido and why the Chinese could not invade Taiwan in the 1950-1990s.

@mickeyg7219

5 жыл бұрын

Logistics requirement will only increase as more troops are being landed, that's why amphibious landings are very difficult.

@MrGreghome

5 жыл бұрын

What if the chinese started building artificial islands in the taiwan strait instead of South China sea instead?

@Gillan1220

5 жыл бұрын

Gavin Yong That would require looking for shallow areas like shoals and reefs. Im not so sure if the Taiwan Straits have the same features as the SCS.

You neglected the greatest battlefield between China and Taiwan: the comment section.

@bloodyblade916

4 жыл бұрын

Joshua Jones, best comment sir.

@bloodyblade916

4 жыл бұрын

Zhao*

@thelegendformula6695

4 жыл бұрын

Ah yes, people from the roc vs the people who use vpn in prc

@walkerzven4972

4 жыл бұрын

@@thelegendformula6695 they don't use VPN, they are authorized and paid to comment on western social media that the rest of China doesn't even have access to, it's like their target isn't internal but the rest of the world.

@northernspy676

4 жыл бұрын

@walker Zven 50 cent armies, they're everywhere. Some are die-hard prc fans tho. I met some of them who used vpn to do so and when I realized that, I threatened to report them to Beijing.

The US discovered during WW2 how difficult it is to attack a heavily defended island. If Japanese and American attack submarines intervened the invasion would fail.

@richardautry8269

3 жыл бұрын

This is true for the deep water side of Taiwan. But there is a shelf between Taiwan and China. It is shallow enough that when a submarine attacks a target it will probably get spotted. And the shallow depth will limit evasion abilities. This will cause a high percentage of losses among attack submarines.

@lengyue00

3 жыл бұрын

China wants the US and Japan to intervene so we can wipe out Japan.

@neohubris

3 жыл бұрын

@@richardautry8269 a maritime Tomahawk barrage against capital ships would cripple any invasion

@KillerofWestoids

3 жыл бұрын

@@lengyue00 Dont provoke the japanese. Have you forgotten what they did to china in 1930s and 1940s ?

@Zerosen89

3 жыл бұрын

And then China will be wiped out in nuclear fire by the US and India

As a Taiwanese, our reserve troops maybe really can helps, but we really need maybe 3~6 month to rally. We don't know if time could be our friend.

@rickding7182

3 жыл бұрын

作为大陆的大学生，我真的不希望双方兵戎相见，我真的希望能够有一天双方能够妥善解决，这无关政治，只是一个老百姓的意愿，至于对岸的想法。。。至少我是尊重的，真心希望世界和平

@johnpatz8395

3 жыл бұрын

True, but remember that getting someone up to speed for defensive missions can be done much faster than offensive operations. So lacking time to bring them all up to full readiness, you simple dedicate the lesser trained/prepare troops to defensive positions & roles, leaving more of the regular army available for offensive operations.

@knoahbody69

3 жыл бұрын

If you're really Taiwanese, you'd know when to prepare.

@user-rm3cq3hv2y

3 жыл бұрын

@@knoahbody69 yeah, at least prepare for myself.

@doomerbloomer6160

3 жыл бұрын

@@piquant_pretext7630 There is no way in hell that with airstrikes alone china could cripple Taiwanese armed forces. Airstrikes by themselves don't do that many casualties at all. They are only/mostly used to target infrastructure and high command, not troops on the ground.

These videos actually make me feel safer knowing that other countries can't just go out and take whatever they want...

@egoalter1276

5 жыл бұрын

Generally the attacker needs a ridiculous advantage for a secure victory. Then you get a blitzkrieg into France and your statistics and predictions go down the drain.

@CCPLord

4 жыл бұрын

Great channel, but i think in today's world... There isn't only China and USA... What if Japan, India, Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia, Indonesia also intervened, especially enraged by the claims of China over the sea?

@hanjizoe2648

4 жыл бұрын

@@CCPLord Then I guess all out war will insue. Pretty much imagine 1930's China's problem, but 100× worse

@CCPLord

4 жыл бұрын

I would think its gonna be a one sided push though! Many are just waiting for the 1st move. Not gonna be a world war considering its probably gonna be World vs Chna(CCP). If it were pre CCP China, i think war couldn't happen, and even if it does, China (non-CCP) would have many allies

@colinhead8118

4 жыл бұрын

@@CCPLord China will be sucking up big time to Iran about Now.

To me, the fact that Taiwan survived and was able to keep its independence, means that there is a clear winner.

@marcoroberts9462

3 жыл бұрын

Alright thanks for spoiling it just as I click on the video

@Aetherguy-cb9bu

3 жыл бұрын

@@marcoroberts9462 If you're so adamant on spoilers then why view the comments in the first place?

@alltheframes9015

3 жыл бұрын

@@marcoroberts9462 bruh

@marcoroberts9462

3 жыл бұрын

@@Aetherguy-cb9bu fair

@looinrims

3 жыл бұрын

“…Only the arbitrary time limit saves Taiwan…”

Never knew amphibious invasion was so hard and difficult . Explains a lot why in Ramayan Ram needed a bridge to cross his forces across Sri Lanka otherwise the whole operation could have taken years

@siddharthjain9611

3 жыл бұрын

Imagine lord ram in taiwan shooting down chinese planes with his magical arrows

With the rapid modernisation of Chin's army. Would like to see how it could pan out in 2021 in the same scenario.

@hamzad.ismail6202

3 жыл бұрын

Every country wants to be strong. Saying or making central plans to be strong doesn’t mean it’ll happen. That’s my opinion

@shimadwan8251

3 жыл бұрын

Agree..by 2030 China can control the sea around taiwan and starve the island

@theobserver3753

3 жыл бұрын

Nah CovidChina’s military is brittle. And don’t forget Taiwan is not alone in this at all. Aside from NK COVIDChina is surrounded by juggernauts like India Australia and Japan and growing powers like Malaysia Indonesia and Vietnam. And the greatest military power in the world the US.

@knoahbody69

3 жыл бұрын

@@shimadwan8251 Bullsh@t, by 2030, 40% of China's population will be over 65, that's some 500-600 million people. That's around 60% OF ALL THE MUSLIMS IN THE WORLD RIGHT NOW. Nice try pooh bear.

@llkdavis

3 жыл бұрын

Birkov has China losing in 2021 and subsequent years. Maybe he is an American NGO 🤔

It's good that you looked at the geography, but once again, you forgot to take into account the weather. China can only invade in the spring or fall. In summer, the risk of a tropical storm or typhoon is too great. If either occur, all air support and logistical resupply is out of the question. Given the initial battles, it would have to be October to November. Your casualty rate is also way too optimistic. The figures you cited were tallied AFTER D-Day for the entire theater. DURING D-Day, you had the majority of the first wave being rendered combat ineffective in many of the landings. The worst case was Able Company of the 29th Infantry Division at Omaha Beach, which was rendered 100% ineffective, with all of their officers and NCOs becoming casualties within the first ten minutes and all but TWO enlisted men retreating into the deep water to hide; these two men moved rightward and joined a Ranger battalion on another beach. Considering that Taiwan has more troops, automatic weapons, and precision artillery than the Germans did along every stretch of the island, and the average Chinese division is just as fresh as the 29th, it will be like walking into a meat grinder.

@RRbattlefield

2 жыл бұрын

Great comment from a great video. You made some excellent points. Other factors that should be considered is foreign volunteers for the side of Taiwan. Much of these fighters will already have prior combat experience. If Taiwan can delay the landing force by just a few months, thousands of them can make their way onto the island to help with the defenses. In accordance with the video, just a few thousand of these fighters can make all of the difference. Another factor (one of the most critical), Chinese Moral. The One Child Policy has created what may is called “Little emperor syndrome.” The decline of Chinese masculinity has been considered a great threat to the survival of the CCP. Despite the massive number of soldiers China has in their ranks, this doesn’t coincide with large amount of cannon fodder. When a Chinese man dies, it's not just a lost of a son for the family, but also the lost of their income as well for their children and grandparents; this can potentially destabilize the entirety of Chinese society, even if the lost is just in the tens of thousands, which is an extremely low estimate. One more thing: China is highly nationalistic. It will deeply affect them when it comes to attacking their fellow ethnic Han Chinese. I think Binkov should dedicate an entire video on the moral of the Chinese military.

Very good analysis and overview. Another thing that would have to be considered is morale. The Chinese soldiers would be somewhat motivated by patriotism of a greater China, but only to an extent. The Taiwanese soldiers (and population) would be fighting for their homes, families and freedom, so for them it would be a fight to the death and an entire armed population to deal with - not just the men. Also, even if China could control the air and sea, landing, resupplying and supporting troops across a 100 mile stretch of sea would be a logistical nightmare under constant attacks.

@jetson328

2 жыл бұрын

Well Said

@k-musicradio

2 жыл бұрын

also, if you start killing their only child, the person that all the legacy of their family rests on you are going to see a revolt. the whole machine depends on keeping the people happy.

@looinrims

2 жыл бұрын

It’s not 100, it’s 20ish, penghu would be made into the worlds largest stockpile before the invasion for just that reason But the bottleneck would be cargo totals and ports

@Dept246

2 жыл бұрын

China won’t risk. More likely destroy Taiwan’s cities and infrastructure and then blockade the island for years hoping to starve out the people. Basically bomb Taiwan’s cities to rubble.

@appa609

Жыл бұрын

@@k-musicradio That's even more true in Taiwan. Their demography is basically the same as China minus the countryside with TFR of 1.2. There are about 3 million total Taiwanese men ages 20-40, which is about the same as the current Chinese active duty military, and 5 times less than the number of Chinese 20-40 year old surplus men. There are 15 million young guys whose lineages were about to end anyways because they can't get wives...

The current Taiwanese forces goal is to sustain for two weeks. That's how long it'll take US to mobilize it's forces for an all out war with another major force. The two week time line has been referenced in numerous Taiwanese sources.

@SelfProclaimedEmperor

3 жыл бұрын

That's their minimum goal, but it doesn't mean they cant last far longer.

@lars1701again

2 жыл бұрын

If Trump were in office China wouldn't dare to invade but with Mush head in office now they probably would

@xela6349

2 жыл бұрын

@Colk I mean, even if they didn't capture the cities, they could destroy them. That makes it a pyrrhic victory at best.

@user-vm8kv5jy3d

2 жыл бұрын

美国人刚刚从阿富汗撤军，我特别想问问美国人，你们做好和我们开战的准备了吗？

@indiaandisrael662

2 жыл бұрын

@@xela6349 they will destroy themselves all tiawanis at that point would have left the cities and went to mountains for Vietnam war strategy

As a Taiwanese, can I have the permission to translate your video for subtitles? Thank you!

@Go-ah-oold

5 жыл бұрын

I do not think translation needs permission, just do it (if you have not done already). As long as you write where the original came from, and who made it, it should be fine.

@ht880910

5 жыл бұрын

高中程度大概就聽得懂了，你翻出來只是給一些沒念書台獨覺青拿來自慰而已，好像之前那些懶人包一樣。 講理性的，這個模擬完全沒考慮士氣的問題，十萬青年不代表十萬軍，十萬軍也不代表十萬的戰力。 戰鬥不是像電玩，一個班被砲擊打死三個，剩下八個還想打嗎？願意打嗎？有那個意志為國犧牲嗎？ 這個模擬後期基本上都要在嚴重空襲之下作戰，出發到進入陣地可能就要被炸個好幾輪，裝備人員減損的很嚴重，這樣的情況還要作戰，要最精銳的部隊才能挺的下去，你覺得有這個可能嗎？

@jim-kb4rm

5 жыл бұрын

@@ht880910不打你的老母老爸就要被抓去勞改了 不打你的愛人要被抓去凌辱了 你不敢打拜託請滾出台灣不要降低台灣士氣

@user-gc4yv6hl6q

5 жыл бұрын

@@jim-kb4rm 2020讓蔡英文滾蛋 一看就知道沒當過兵

@real_CTS

5 жыл бұрын

@@ht880910 唬爛也要打個草稿 高中也才12000個單字要考 你覺得有多少會跟軍事有關

I think the best thing Taiwan could do is invest heavily in its subsurface capabilities. That way, they can wreak havoc on the Chinese shipping needed to sustain operations, as well as try to keep the shipping lanes open to Taiwan as long as possible

@ayingchanda

5 жыл бұрын

Planes dropping bombs on the little ones

The fact that each Chinese soldier is the only child in their family would pretty much prevented them from maintaining a high morale after a significant lost of lives.

@frankadam1800

2 жыл бұрын

Good point! And Taiwanese are protecting their island, homes and families with high morale for sure.

China: *invade Taiwan* Mountains: You have actives... MY TRAP CARD!

Taiwan is about to get boosted with 66 extra F16V's, 102 M1A2T abrams tanks, and 120 stinger missiles, more firepower for them

@nadasso2900

5 жыл бұрын

赶紧独立，我们一直盼着，你们这种占着便宜又骂娘的做法让人很不齿，民进党还是不错的，至少比国民党好，民进党不虚伪。特别喜欢菜总统，简直是楷模，一定要当上总统，记得一定要选她。2020年蔡总统一定要当上！

@milo5188

5 жыл бұрын

@@nadasso2900 me love you long time

@milo5188

5 жыл бұрын

@@newsionl6092 me love you long time

@gambaridup

5 жыл бұрын

China can not conquer Taiwan in 1949, 70 years ago. What makes them able to do so now ?. If the US withdraw their military protection, Taiwan may surrender. But, then the US will lose trust of its allies.

@Transport4Blufield

5 жыл бұрын

@@nadasso2900 還以為有台獨，過氣了

I just wanted to say that these videos are so well done and it's very clear so much work is put into them

In the Normandy landing the armies were clearly defined. The Allied troops vs German soldiers. In the Taiwan landing the PLA would have to deal with the Taiwanese Army and the people's resistance.

@RS-nh9gu

2 жыл бұрын

What a joke !!!!

@reptileloverreptile-vt6fd

Жыл бұрын

if we take into account, most of taiwan wont fight

@thulomanchay

Жыл бұрын

@@RS-nh9gu Was Blue vs Grey a joke?

wow, I am very impressed with all the logistics and strategies provided in this video!

As someone with intimate knowledge of Taiwan's military, there are some major points you missed which would affect how the war would be fought. 1. All Taiwan major roads were designed for dual use as military airfields including the freeways that completely encircles the island. Even the USA would have difficulty cratering all emergency airfield availability. 2. China would make extensive use of commercial container ships (not the ferry type vessels alluded to in vid) move troops and materiel. Even with significant losses, China has capability to move brigades+ directly to beaches and port facilities captured by air assault. One month after beachhead, China would attempt break-out using MBTs, helicopters and air. 3. Taiwan would likely use their limited ballistic cruise missiles to strike & "attempt to" destroy China's 3-Gorges dams & hydroelectric infrastructure. Destruction of dams & flooding of powerstations, factories, major cities, roads & RRs would be a very expensive & bitter pill for Communist leadership to have to handle.

@mxn1948

5 жыл бұрын

An attack that can kill a few hundred thousand, mostly civilian targets. may very well trigger a nuclear response. And they would be fully justified as there is no military reason to do so.

@irontongue5389

5 жыл бұрын

@mxn 1948, not sure what you're responding to but if it is about 3 Gorges attack; power, transportation & infrastructure are valid targets in war, especially when used against a country invading you. Destruction would seriously affect China's economy & war effort, national morale and global prestige. Casualties? In the event of a Chinese attack on Taiwan, they would probably rain thousands of rockets on Taiwan, and due to the density of Taiwanese population centers, unknown numbers of civilians would be casualties. China wants to "take back" Taiwan for valuable national prestige purposes, and nuking the island wouldn't serve that well internally and internationally. Ramifications of using nuclear weapons would include loss of trade with world AND likely nuclearization of Japan, Australia, S.Korea, perhaps even Vietnam, Singapore, and smaller neighbors.

@The_Custos

5 жыл бұрын

Very cool additional points.

@morrischen5777

5 жыл бұрын

Destroy a huge gravity dam just by cruise missiles is completely nonsense. Do you know how enormous is the mass of the dam?

@irontongue5389

5 жыл бұрын

Did you read how I specifically & purposefully wrote "attempt to"?? Besides, total destruction via kinetic action is unecessary, just target & weaken specific points. China has, for decades, been arresting people attempting to record gps locations & other data along the 3 Gorges project. Those arrested have been Taiwanese found with advanced surveillance equipt. Let's say I know one of them.

Commisar Binkov, you are an insightful and always fascinating to listen to military analyst. Keep up the great work!

Philippines: *chuckles* I’m in danger. Japan: Get off my land!

Keep it in mind the video did not account for Taiwanese strait is unsuitable for shipping during the month of July, August and September being Typhoon season.

most people here in the comment section consider themselves "experts" on military affairs by reading military magazines or reddit

@leanderlopez7652

5 жыл бұрын

Fax

@michaelzhang1210

5 жыл бұрын

SopeV0point1 definitely, reading is a good way for learning, however, to be a military stragetic expert, reading is absolutely far away from enough. we have so many readers around the whole world, how many experts or professors or scientists we have?

@frankismydog

2 жыл бұрын

Most people don’t really care what other posters think. 🤔

@looinrims

2 жыл бұрын

Bold of you to assume they read anything

Stark difference in how the Chinese fare between the first and second. Amphibious landing is hard

Based on an interview which is mentioned on a Taiwanese Channel, they mentioned that they might only survive for 2 weeks. It mentioned that China will not start attacking Taiwan immediately, but surrounding the island before the war starts

I can't imagine the state of those landing sites after even a short time. All those stacked up mangled corpses.

@molihua354

4 жыл бұрын

The Battle of Kinmen would be a good example. So many dead communists that the Nationalist tanks ran out of bullets and straight up just started bulldozing communist soldiers alive.

@whitneyhouston9879

3 жыл бұрын

@@molihua354 yeah and then they lost the war

@takefive1609

3 жыл бұрын

@@whitneyhouston9879 The battle of Kinmen happened after the KMT retreated from the mainland, and the PRC was trying to make a final push to take Taiwan and thus crush the KMT. The victory of that battle along with the korean war distracting the PRC was one of the reasons that the KMT's occupation of Taiwan more or less stabilized. So in a sense the KMT had already lost the civil war when the battle of Kinmen happened.

One more thing. When I play this senario with my peers, he pointed out that China got enough close range smart DF ballistic missiles and mobile launch platforms deployed towards Taiwan(about 150-200 per strike) to over whleam her air defense net work, and take out all 12 PAC-3 Radars (even if counting these PAC-2 launch plateforms they are able to guide) in first strike, as long as they only target Radars and command structres, granting environment for total airsupermancy.

I really hope that this China Taiwan war remains hypothetical forever. :(

@jabloko992

4 жыл бұрын

Considering China would lose half of it's armed forces by trying and risk starting WW3, unless US foreign policy changes drastically in the near future, it most certainly will NOT happen. Especially now that China started pissing off both Democrats and Republicans.

@Kelnx

4 жыл бұрын

Yeah me too, but supposedly China was planning on trying it next year (The 2020 Plan). Two things have happened since that might deter them. First, the stuff in Hong Kong, which if China were to invade Taiwan would make even worse and possibly fire up more hotspots around the mainland. Second is the US just sold a massive amount of equipment to Taiwan for the first time in ages. Enough that it would totally rebalance the numbers cited in the first video. However, China has added a second operational aircraft carrier to its fleet, which ostensibly would support such an invasion. I'm not sure what difference that would really make since, even if the US doesn't intervene for a year (or ever), it might still "intervene" using the most sophisticated attack submarines on the planet with a reasonable amount of deniability, and that alone could wreck the Chinese navy. It's navy has always been its weakest point, incredibly underpowered (if large) for the "world superpower" status it claims. Best case scenario is China's plans for such an invasion are just that and meant for sabre rattling and they aren't serious, because if they try there are no real "good" outcomes.

@womas5316

4 жыл бұрын

It won't be forever. Definitely not at 2020 tho lol. Don't ever underestimate the determination of the communist government. Most of the people in mainland China supports war with Taiwan now.

@jabloko992

4 жыл бұрын

@@womas5316 It's a simple question of 'will the US declare war on China if China attempts to attack Taiwan?'. If yes, China is fucked. If no, Taiwan is fucked. If yes, however, that is WW3 right there and we are all fucked at the end of the day.

@Kelnx

4 жыл бұрын

@@jabloko992 The thing about the US, due to its navy and its current economic status, it could comfortably declare war on China, and not suffer much if at all. It could keep the war at sea and basically dismantle China's sea power. Obviously no land invasion could be possible, but that would not be necessary anyways. China can't threaten the US mainland at all either. As war's go, it would be pretty tame.

India is with Taiwan.

@elvis_chen

4 жыл бұрын

Milk tea alliance, assemble!

@a83ru83

4 жыл бұрын

Thank you, bro. We freedom loving people support each other.

@zhutupac6682

4 жыл бұрын

台湾印度都是傻逼

@user-vd7xb1hs8d

4 жыл бұрын

@@zhutupac6682 我是覺得亂罵別人的人比較笨啦

@user-ng6ts6ew5o

4 жыл бұрын

Xin-Tong Jiang 怎麼會跟提不出理由的認真呢 說不定他們連自己想支持誰的自由都沒有

What I really like about this is the absence of any assumptions about third party intervention. I believe that a significant number of Chinese ships will be sunk by US submarines, guaranteed. A UK submarine may also be on station. And in a few years, the Australian subs which they are now buying. Add in cruise missiles launched from waters east of Taiwan which pop up over the mountains with less than a minute to go before striking a Chinese ship in the strait.

2nd Emu War?

@technocraticpolyglot

5 жыл бұрын

Give this man a cookie

@xeji4348

5 жыл бұрын

The Emus have been lacking lately. Australia may have a chance this time.

@jameslegrand848

5 жыл бұрын

@@xeji4348 I hear it's all a ruse, I hear they've been rearming and training their troops for the wars to come....

@MrBigCookieCrumble

5 жыл бұрын

There's already been 2 Emu Wars! xD

@MrBigCookieCrumble

5 жыл бұрын

@@technocraticpolyglot You called?

(please also read addendum after original note) 1) In WW Two, US never considered invading Taiwan in US island hoping towards Japan. General MacArthur had spent about 10 years in the Phillipines and would have studied the defence of Taiwan (occupied by Japan for 50 years till end of WW two). He would have realised the huge and unacceptable losses in military resources and personnel in taking Taiwan even when US, by that stage, had the control of the sea and the air over Taiwan. 2) Taiwan has developed long range missiles with good precision. Just as China would try to destroy power grid and other infrastructures in Taiwan, Taiwanese long range missiles could be fired at similar economic infrastructures in the following regions in China: Shanghai, NingBao and other centres in the Yangtze Delta. Guangzhou and Shenzhen near Hong Kong. These two regions along with Fujian province would suffer severe economic disruptions if Taiwan could keep up the missile attacks for some period. The literally over 250m population in these regions would panic. Scores of million if not over 100m of refugees would be on the move from these regions. Local police units would not be able to control them. PLA would need to be used to manage this crisis. Chinese history says that once there are huge number of refugees on the move, unrest and rebellions will ensue. Often this would lead to the beginning of the end of a dynasty. 3) Political hierarchy and military leadership in China all have personal and familia economic interests in these regions vulnerable to Taiwanese missile attacks.Their considerable wealth would be reduced substantially and even destroyed in total. 4) Severe losses of personnel without a definite win in an invasion of Taiwan is known to all PLA officers- junior and most senior. Many PLA commands, just due to this, would rather REBEL than being sacrificed. Chinese history is full of examples of military command turn-coats allowing a dynasty to fall earlier than otherwise. Indeed, that was how PLA won the civil war in China so quickly for over 1m KMT government troops defected or surrounded. e.g., 250,000 strong Beijing garrison surrounded to the PLA without firing a shot in early 1949. Invasion of Taiwan would definitely see PLA Army units of at least 100,000 if not 250,000 soldiers as well as large number of units of PLA Airforce and Navy start their REBELLIONS against Beijing. Many would join the refugees in their rebellions against CCP. Why die for nothing when the alternative is much better? 5) Taiwanese military is no longer controlled by KMT loyalists. They are made up of Taiwanese and those Chinese that have lived in Taiwan for 3 generations now. They do not see themselves as Chinese mostly. Taiwanese locals would not defect or turn traitor against their own people. Most as young as 40 years old had experienced discriminations in the hand of KMT Chinese before free elections of the last 20 years. They would rather fight to the death than being under the yoke of CCP China. 6) Assuming indeed Taiwan manage to defend herself effectively for 1 year and inflict severe losses on PLA, US more than likely will join the fight against PLA. That would destroy the bulk of PLA navy, all of PLA army units in Taiwan and hundreds of PLA airforce aircraft. China military capability would be set back for up to 50 years. China would not dare to retaliate against US using Nuclear weapons as it would be suicidal. China would not nuke Taiwan for the nuclear fallout would float over to Coastal China worsening the civilian unrest and harming PLA units who would definitely refuse to fight for CCP. This scenario of US wiping out most of the balance of PLA units invading Taiwan would also be considered by officers of all PLA units. Again, many PLA units would rather REBEL than being slaughtered in invading Taiwan. 20m~100m Chinese refugees would join their fight against the CCP. 7) Even if Taiwan somehow stupidly sells itself to China without a fight, US will use Taiwan as the KILLING FIELD without invading Taiwan to keep China at bay in the Western Pacific. US would conduct this LIMITED but CONTAINED WAR in Taiwan sooner rather than later before China has the military capability to counter US effectively. US would then periodically attack Taiwan before China replenish its military forces sufficiently. This scenario would be a certainty. I am sure that the Pentagon has such plans in place already. Then Taiwanese would resent the fact that China could not protect her at all. Independence sentiment would be cemented within Taiwan. China would be back to square one with Taiwan. I am sure that Taiwanese people would understand that their island would be the Killing Field in the struggles between China and US if China controls Taiwan. So they would think twice turning to China. 7) Only after some period of considerations and debate, did the last imperial dynasty in 1682 decide to crush a a small rebellion based in Taiwan. It took another 9 months afterwards before the imperial court decided to incorporate Taiwan into Chinese territory. At the time Taiwan had fewer than 100,000 inhabitants including 30,000 Ming supporters but most of the rest of 70.000 were local aborigines. Successive Chinese dynasties before last imperial dynasty (1682) saw Taiwan as TOO FAR to control and to attack if Taiwan has sufficient population and adequate military defence of its own. The Mongols under Kublah Khan who conquered all China did not want to have anything to do with Taiwan for the same reason. Migration to Taiwan after 1682 was discouraged (but not banned outright) by China. It was not till early 1870, was this changed. Within 25 years, Taiwanese population grew from fewer than 500,000 to 4.5m in 1895. Even the French was defeated by local Taiwanese militia in the 1882 invasion attempting to turn Taiwan into a French colony. 8) Taiwan is simply too far and with too large population for any effective control by China let alone taking it. This wisdom was noted for over 2,000 years till CCP-PLA winning China. Taiwan is a trap for China and it could turn into a grave for CCP and PLA easily. Addendum... 1) From the devastations caused by the Hannibal's army in the Second Punic War that lasted for over a decade till 190BC, the Romans realised that the best approach to fighting an enemy was to take the fight to the enemy's territory. For the next 400 years or so, that was exactly how the Roman empire conducted its warfare- far away from Italian Peninsula. This fact alone aided in the longevity of the Roman Empire. Subsequent invasions after 200's AD by the various barbarians weakened and then destroyed the empire. 2) The US and her military have learned from the Romans. WW One and WW Two have cemented the understanding of its benefits. It is one reason why US has maintained costly aircraft carrier fleet to keep any war far away from the US homeland. 3) During the Cold War period, both the US and the Soviet never dropped a bomb on each other's soil. They appreciated the dangers of such. Instead they conducted a series of proxy wars far from their own lands- Korea, Vietnam, Angola, Afghanistan etc. Again, the Russians also understand how the Romans had benefited from this. 4) By controlling Taiwan, China would be inviting troubles right at her front door. Taiwan, while it is difficult to invade, is ideal for limited air war and sustained bombardments. Chinese-controlled Taiwan would suffer major losses when (not if) US tries to keep China at bay for as long as possible. This would disrupt economic activities along the coast of China in addition to the huge loss to Chinese resources and personnel for not gains at all. 5) Even the wisdom of controlling South China Sea islets is somehow questioned. Beside potential oil resources nearby, these facilities on the small artificial islands only attract attacks from US down the track. 6) As the Roman domination lasted for over 400 years through fighting their enemies far from Italy, US has also enjoyed such. This is the main factor behind the might of US for there has not been a war fought on US since the US Civil War. China, with her own history of the last 200 years, should learn from the fact. 7) Hence the best option is for China not to take Taiwan and let the island be. China could then conduct her struggles against US in proxy wars elsewhere far from China. The CCP/PLA would have much better probability of survival.

@Drfuntimes-fd9pq

5 жыл бұрын

True facts

@MauShingLee

4 жыл бұрын

Taiwan is not Isreal, even Isreal has recently change the government due to special religious group long time enjoy military service waiver in exchange for policical support to the right wing government. If you know what Taiwan military is made of and you need to fight in the front line facing PLA, you will not make such a ridiculous analysis. No country will fight nuclear super power directly, not Japan, not Australia, not even the States. Taiwanese are totally on our own to survive the attack of PLA and this is the reality.

@MauShingLee

4 жыл бұрын

1. The WWII, US force skipped Taiwan because they prepared to invade Japan mainland. For Chinese, Taiwan Island is their main target.

@MauShingLee

4 жыл бұрын

2. The long range precision missles have limited amount and limited warhead payload. On the contrary, the missiles amount and land area proption between both sides makes Taiwan received far more damage than the Chinese not to mention PLA is the only force in the world continuously research on high radiation weapon. A retaliation on such kind of weapon is highly possible if the so called precision missles were use to attack on civilian target. If the war beginning, there will be more than 10 million refugees in western Taiwan without electricity and clean water, food plus medicare. I just couldn't see any consideration about this part in your analysis... may be you are not live here to make such a ridiculous analysis...

@MauShingLee

4 жыл бұрын

4. I only can say your analysis on this part is against reality if you pay more attention on recent Taiwanese military diciplinary incidents. Taiwanese military servicemen will crash and surrender faster than the PLA.

Do you forget about Three Gorges Dam? Taiwan has been aiming it with missiles.

@alexzhangdragonn3438

3 жыл бұрын

Their missiles cant reach it

@ohuyou1512

3 жыл бұрын

If so, this could be a BIG news, because if that dam is breached, then the amount of water it holds can flood almost all of mainland China

@alexzhangdragonn3438

3 жыл бұрын

@@ohuyou1512 None of their missiles can even reach the three gorges dam.

@ohuyou1512

3 жыл бұрын

@@alexzhangdragonn3438Alright im just saying IF they do

@alexzhangdragonn3438

3 жыл бұрын

@Esphaeras Praestans No they dont, did you not watch the video? Taiwans missiles only have the range to hit Chinas coast. The Three Gorges Dam is out of their weak missiles range. And if they did hit the Three Gorges dam China would quickly send in bombers and annihilate the rest of that rogue army. Russia and China are friends. And India has nothing to do with this and wont do anything. If India tries to waste its time it will risk losing Kashmir to Pakistan.

For me, the deciding factor is Taiwan's will to fight, and fight hard.

@johnmason1239

2 жыл бұрын

ROC China now Taiwan defeated the Qing empire& in WW2 ROC China now Taiwan actually did most of the fighting vs Japan, Mao colluded with Japan as exposed by Professor Homare Endo of Tokyu university. Then agrarian ROC China-now Taiwan was fighting WW2 with industrialised Japan for yrs longer& suffered huge casualties before Stalin armed Mao. I am part Polish-Ukrainian, but happy to say WW2 arguably started in ROC China yrs earlier. They deserve far more credit than they get especially in WW2 memorials& events!, this would help boost their morale& hopefully encourage more training for their regulars& reserves.

Weather could play a part in paratroop drops and landing ops. Love these videos

@titusyoung9489

4 жыл бұрын

Yea supposedly there's only 2 months out of the year that an invasion can happen, op forgot Taiwan is a typhoon season country, and he also didn't include anything about sea mines. There would be thousands of them, each very capable of taking down a ship

Heyyyy... I have an idea... Maybe you could make videos about historic war scenarios ? Like what if Persians ALL OUT invaded Roman Empire in 50 AD... Just an idea... but that seems interesting.

@exidy-yt

5 жыл бұрын

He's done some. kzread.info/dash/bejne/eoiJ0bGuk6SqmZs.html Rome vs. Han China is one that popped up in my sidebar and there are more as well.

@peiranzhang4283

5 жыл бұрын

All Persian wars against the Romans are all out.

The US asks Taiwan authorities to at least "hold" for two weeks in the event of war, and this video is discussing a year?

@MrWassup45

4 жыл бұрын

even a narrow stretch of ocean is an effective obstacle to invasion, just ask the British

@mickeyg7219

4 жыл бұрын

@HMSBlackPrince The technological difference between two belligerents must be like a century or more to overcome the geography. If you got a gun, it isn't difficult to take a land from indigenous people with bows and arrows, as evident during the European colonization of the Americas. However, in today's globalized world, that technological gap have closed to only a few decades. Even the most technologically-backward military is still going to have access to assault rifle, MANPADS, and anti-tank rockets at minimum, all those things can still threaten even the most advanced military equipment under some circumstances. RPG-7 is almost 60 years old, and it can still cleave through the side and back armor of a modern main battle tank (if there's no explosive-reactive armor to protect that side).

@theophrastusbombastus8019

4 жыл бұрын

The wehrmacht took a month to get to Paris covering 300km of a very flat terrain with good infrastructure, a very mechanized army against almost no resistance. Thinking China could take half the time to conduct an amphibious landing against an entrenched enemy is frankly absurd.

@yopyop3241

4 жыл бұрын

Think about USA vs Vietnam. China trying to invade Taiwan is harder.

@jimmyz9918

4 жыл бұрын

这是搞笑视频。。。。如果不计伤亡地打，怎么可能要2周

You need to re-do this video considering all the development of new hardware.

Can you do a video on how a modern day version of the Sino Vietnam war of 1979 would play out?

@mariajiao4855

3 жыл бұрын

Yes. Vietnam begs for mercy the same day

I’ve been a student of the Chinese-Taiwan direct military conflict for years.... and I’ve got to say it’s still very difficult to determine who would “win” that conflict. This video is a good but very oversimplification- Taiwan’s lack of a meaningful submarine fleet is a strategic error of Hugh proportions and can be corrected if Taiwan had the will. Additionally, both sides have extensive spy networks and embedded saboteurs. Taiwan has a small “secret” force of SRBM to hold Chinese economic and military sites at risk. Taiwan would need at least between 1-3 super tankers worth of refined POL just to keep its armed forces viable. The economy impact to China would be horrific. Nearly 200 commercial aircraft transit the Straights per day and over 400 commercial ships a month. It’s hard to fathom this conflict with “neutral” partners since this conflict would I,pact over 1 trillion dollars worth of trade.

@johnmason1239

2 жыл бұрын

In WW2 the Royal Navy was far bigger than the Nazi Kriegsmarine which used naval guerilla tactics with wolfpacks which reaked havoc, BUT this was usually in the deep Atlantic, the Taiwanese Strait is on average 50 meters deep& too shallow for subs, like the English channel which mostly Nazi subs avoided due to minefields& the risk of quick destruction in relatively shallow water by the Royal navys aerial & ship based sub hunters. Taiwan will likely use its 4 subs to help gaurd its flanks, but if Taiwans navy was to engage immediately in a invasion it would do so mostly in the strait?. My grandad was a Commander in the battle of the Atlantic vs mainly wolfpacks in what was the longest allied battle vs the Nazis a wound he got in WW2 finally did him in the mid 1980s. Nazis had no real hope of invading Britain even when alone.

@johnmason1239

2 жыл бұрын

If you think Iam wrong about the strait negating most sub warfare please do say, during WW2 ROC China now Taiwan actually did most of the fighting vs Japan & Mao even colluded with Japan as exposed by Professor Homare Endo of Tokyu university. Then agrarian ROC China-now Taiwan was fighting WW2 with industrialised Japan for yrs longer& suffered huge casualties before Stalin armed Mao. I am part Polish-Ukrainian but happy to say WW2 arguably started in ROC China yrs earlier.

Considering how the US/NATO chose not to get involved (directly) in Ukraine beyond giving weapons and supplying intel, I now cannot see why anyone believes the US (despite it having committed to defending Taiwan) would actually follow through and initiate combat between US and Chinese forces. If the US is too scared to fight Russia because of the threat of nuclear war when there is actual war literally in Europe, it makes no sense to think the US would help Taiwan, which is nowhere near the US or any other Western countries. I think the US would end up thinking "it's not worth it" and let China have its way. Plus Taiwan is an island so it would be practically impossible to arm Taiwan from the outside. Also, it's not like Ukraine where both sides are using more or less the same equipment and thus can easily capture each other's tanks for their own use. I'm also not sure I agree with the idea that an amphibious landing would be practically impossible. China could just bomb/missile strike Taiwan into oblivion and then invade once it is essentially scorched earth. If people think China wants TSMC or something then they are obviously naive. China ended up not caring about Hong Kong's financial center. They imposed crazy national security laws anyway (and drove out a lot of talent) because being in control (for the CCP) will always be more important than a few dollars here and there.

@jacknugent3106

2 жыл бұрын

im pretty sure the us is required to defend Taiwan and I bet south korea/ japan will. amphibious landings are really really hard even with tons of bombing like in ww2.

Xi Jinping : hummm, I think we need this Frog as our minister of war.

@Tha66

4 жыл бұрын

😀

@royalteluis623

3 жыл бұрын

Just get piglet

Mongolia vs Austria

Binkov, a video on Malaysia vs Indonesia, please. Thank you very much.

@budi5361

5 жыл бұрын

It will only boil down to Indonesia incursion into serawak using infantry or light vehicle. Invading malaka would be next to impossible considering the size of Indonesia's navy

@budi5361

5 жыл бұрын

@Ren indonesia also has head hunting tradition, i guess it is from dayak people, since they are basically culturally similiar. But that would be certainly interesting :D

@Kayzegram

5 жыл бұрын

Indonesia is the clear winner. They have air superiority utilising haze tactic. We gonna get hazed to death boys.

@MrGreghome

5 жыл бұрын

GANYANG SINGAPURA!

@kelvinpang438

5 жыл бұрын

@@Kayzegram Yeah,but they wouldn't be able to take mainland(Malaya)cause their navy is too weak.Cant do any landings.

Binkov's Battlegrounds you really know your stuff 🤝 awesome.

為了中華民國🇹🇼我會奮戰到死 For the Republic of China🇹🇼, I will not hesitate to sacrifice my life.

@sakamototou6648

4 жыл бұрын

有胸器 成王败寇！真正打起来就是一两天的事……

@user-nh3lf4lq4z

4 жыл бұрын

@@sakamototou6648 你為你國家奉命 我為我國家犧牲。只要是保家衛國的男人都是真男人

@Mh-vt3qj

4 жыл бұрын

我只祈祷我们不会在战场上相见。。。愿天下太平

@user-nh3lf4lq4z

4 жыл бұрын

@@Mh-vt3qj 還是和平最好

@jianyang6281

4 жыл бұрын

朋友，现在怕就怕大陆还没开始武力收复台湾，中华民国就已经被搞成了台湾国了。

According to the Taiwan military channel that I often watch, Taiwanese military are confident that they can hold their island for at least a week, some critic in Taiwan says that they can last 3 days would be a miracle...

@Markus-zb5zd

4 жыл бұрын

China has no chance to even traverse the island in a week

@016.kazinakibafjal2

3 жыл бұрын

@@Markus-zb5zd attack their electrical system and oil reserves internally and through cyber attack.then china wouldn't even have to land its troop.taiwan will drain it's self in chaos

Balanced nutritious breakfast vs Skipping breakfast and getting a snack later (2018)

@angelwashere8864

5 жыл бұрын

Yes

@aniketbiswas7660

5 жыл бұрын

Well I know who wins for me

@seaburns2007

5 жыл бұрын

balanced nutriuous breakfast doesnt stand a chance agaisnt skipping breakfast and getting a snack later.....why ? because getting a snack later has been known to cheat when no ones looking,,,,,,is that a candy bar in your pocket? or are you just glad to see me.......LOL

Binkov with the current news can we get an altered version with China Vs Taiwan including most of their likely allies?

Let’s not forget the one thing the Taiwanese have over China and that’s universal military support from the US. In 1953 when mao originally tried to invade the island, not only was the US fleet stationed right in between the two, but the US passed legislation that would give Taiwan complete US military support and commitment to fight China directly in the event of a Chinese invasion, which still stands to this day.

Spain vs Morocco

@barreloffun10

5 жыл бұрын

Specifically, can Morocco take Ceuta, Melilla, and the other "plazas de soberania."

@kingdele01

5 жыл бұрын

The Jihadists would win!

@fgsddsgf3058

5 жыл бұрын

Why? For what ?

I partially disagree! I am not a fan of comparing modern land invasions with tactics of 1944, however I do think China would use a combination of cyber, space and long range missiles deployed from surface, destroyers, submarines and UAVs. I think China would firstly conduct a massive cyber attack targeting taiwanese electrical grids and other key infrastructure, space would be used to track Taiwanese troop movements and important military installations. China could then launch their massive medium range missiles destroying most military installations and troop movements within days. Simultaneously the Chinese air-force would rain down havoc on all taiwanese air assets and naval assets. Further, misinformation, hacking and local spies/spec ops would further confuse the Taiwanese and keep them busy with misinformation. Key areas would be designated to conduct an amphibious assault, those areas would me monitored by space satellites and surface to surface missiles, UAVs and jets would ensure Taiwanese assets on the ground are destroyed, after a week or two of such a campaign China would send in their marines and airborne troops, followed shortly by army infantry and logistics. Once all key infrastructure is destroyed and Tapei is near surrounded or under threat of complete annihilation the Taiwanese would call for a peace treaty. This would result in a Chinese victory and reunification.

@iliketrainsthebest4841

5 жыл бұрын

Even though I support Taiwan I have to agree

@mrtaoroo

5 жыл бұрын

This all sounds good until you realise Taiwan would have six months to prepare and would be supplied with American satellite info and coms. They also have spies in China and mobile missile defense in depth. Apaches, drones, mines, antiship missiles, large air force, antisubmarine, anti armour . . How are Chinese going to sail through that exactly ? China could wreck Taiwan but they will still not be able to land their troops. Chinese will suffer many casualties in any attack. If US joins the fight the Chinese military would be completely wiped out.

@Macto5

5 жыл бұрын

@Bak Lava All of this was fully accounted for by Binkov, except for cyber attacks. Did you even watch the video? As for cyber attacks, public information is sensationalist and most people (like you) make ridiculous assumptions about their effectiveness. It's ridiculous to believe China could instantly disable an entire nation's infrastructure and cripple their defences with cyber attacks alone. Chinese hackers aren't wizards. They may be able to cause some disruption during a war but they wouldn't be able to do anything close to what you said in your post.

@baklava6138

5 жыл бұрын

mrtaoroo have you read the art of war? Besides the point, most Chinese military infrastructure, bases and training are geared towards a war with Taiwan. I am not a fan of China, however let’s be realistic here, there is no way Taiwan would win. As for the US, their involvement would widen the conflict and change the dynamic of the war completely which is a unrelated topic.

@Jerrytw928

5 жыл бұрын

I think of China's large number of missiles and submarines and aircraft carriers. But Taiwan's air defense density is one of the best in the world. As for the cyberattacks you said, I think this is a few years ago. My government has already noticed that it is closely guarding against the war in the corresponding war. I believe that countries Or anonymizers or top US Internet experts will support Taiwan to turn to attack China. Of course, Taiwan has been training network experts to ship and aircraft carriers at sea. Taiwan already has hundreds of anti-ship missiles to deal with, even if Taiwan is seriously damaged. There are still millions of reserve players in preparation for all the training for the Republic of China to ensure that the war is open. I believe that Taiwan is not alone because geographically and most of China are waiting to believe in the Chinese people. Training is to prevent national security kzread.info/dash/bejne/k3563NyomM-ogso.html&index=4&list=PL9rvsttoHe53evReMqiNZ_EJd626OTwW9 kzread.info/dash/bejne/YmyEt9V9YamagLg.html

This video is nearly three years old - needs updating.

It’s almost like invading a castle you have to have a 3-1 advantage to siege

next: Taiwan invades China

@michaelmoore4043

5 жыл бұрын

Thats funny

@xeji4348

5 жыл бұрын

No fucken way Taiwan will be able to place solders on Chinese soil. Taiwan lacks Transport and will not be able to secure a beachhead. Your comment is a joke my friend. I'm sorry

@connorc6293

5 жыл бұрын

Draco it’s is a joke

@jansenjunaedi4926

5 жыл бұрын

Thata a joke. Unless there is a massive riot in the mainland.

@ftft117

5 жыл бұрын

Only in 1950~1970

Brazil vs Argentina

@UmbraHand

5 жыл бұрын

Nicodemo Mastrogiacomo It would be a slaughter with Brazil oblitarating Argentina due to they're low near non-existent millitary budget - From an Argentine citizen

@UmbraHand

5 жыл бұрын

dachicagoan Ita been worse since then. The corrupt leftist Goverment have made deep cuts to the millitary. Thankfully the current administration and the ones that follow fix this. This year alone Argentina has had important millitary developments but due to the recent recesion more improvments seem unlikely

The key question is how much the Taiwanese are willing to fight.

@Thecommander248

3 жыл бұрын

A lot. They are willing to fight a lot.

@thedripkingofangmar6778

3 жыл бұрын

It depends, if the Chinese attack first and hard there's no way the Taiwanese won't fight

What about electricity and fuel? Does Taiwan produce enough fuel or have enough of it stocked to keep the electricity plants running and to keep the trucks running that are needed for general supply? If China made a surprise attack on Taiwan's electricity network, and Taiwan would be out of electricity for most of the time, how would that influence its combat capabilities?

@colinmacdonald5732

2 жыл бұрын

I suppose so, but then Taiwan would likely knock out quite a bit of China's power. Three Gorges Dam might be a juicy target!

Really good one. The quality of your content gets improved by every video that I see!Could you maybe make an video about the battle of Raqqa, when for example aroun 300-500 IS terrorists captured a city that was defended by around 20.000 Iraqi soldiers? I really wonder how such a thing was possible.

Israel VS Arab League

@nelsoncheng2674

5 жыл бұрын

Yeah, that would be pleasing.

@MrZakay

5 жыл бұрын

@@nelsoncheng2674 Israel is stronger than all Arab Muslim countries

@simpleman3458

5 жыл бұрын

@@MrZakay yeah but we have economic warfare no oil no money no war no winning Plus we have guerilla warfare like Vietnam and this now warfare that USA name terrorism it have good impact on people I mean look again at USA it full whit snowflakes

@darnit1944

5 жыл бұрын

@@Nathan-cw7cb Yom Kippur war too

@nelsoncheng2674

5 жыл бұрын

Yaron Zakay maybe this time Arab countries will change their strategy.

An interesting question this poses is; would this always be an unavoidable result of geography? Or would the Chinese effort be much more feasible after, say, 10 or 20 more years of continued rapid naval buildup? If, for example, the Chinese could hold off the American navy. Maybe not defeat it outright but substantially raise the cost of their involvement? That might give China more room to employ the longer term blockade idea without outside interference

@neohubris

2 жыл бұрын

if China can blockade, so can the Americans. First with sanctions then later enforced with US Navy blockade more widely

The sock raises some good points

Wow, well done buddy.. you got a new subscriber 😀

What about the weather that China only has an open window of like two months in March and again in October to attack Taiwan because of the mansoon in the South China Sea????

@peiranzhang4283

5 жыл бұрын

@Pub Comrad I think you are delusional. Us flying B-2 Spirits? In the first hour? First of all, they are stealthy, but can still be detected by slow wave radars, they can attack isolated targets if they only enter the edge of the radar ranges. Second, bombs on man-made islands is basically flying through the Chinese air force, you need escorts for sure, and also flying through hundreds of anti air missiles. The Japanese self defense forces? F-35? Yeah, currently they are not even finished training, and also F-35s are not invincble by any means, it will need to fly through countless anti-air batteries. Jams radar, destroy electronic systems...... So I guess the entire Chinese northern air force is just sitting there? ROYAL AUSTRALIAN AIR FORCES, Bro are you even real, where do they take off from? Australia? OVER THE EAST AND SOUTH SEAS, Who's escorting them? Kangroos? Also Chinese navy isn't protecting the subs? That they have to hide deep down in the ocean floor? Those can only operate when all surface ships are dead, how are you cutting them off in the Hanian island? Any large Chinese ports can refit any Chinese subs. Next is a wave of attack by the US airforce????? Oh yeah, all those Chinese ballistic missiles? Rusting in the solios. SUPER CARRIER????????????? First why are US not using F-35s? Because there are no carrier versions of F-22. Why are the US attacking with a super carrier with out taking out the coastal batteries? Have you heard of Hypersonic ballistic missiles? That carrier makes a very nice target practice. "Finally, Taiwanese paratroopers will parachute down like falling mushrooms from their CH-47SD Chinook transport helicopters to Tianamen Square and take over Beijin for a regime change." Please tell me you are 5 or something, I do not believe you are a adult. First, people in China consider Taiwan as a joke, and there is enough SWAT teams in the city to take on all of Taiwan's paratroops. Also how did a Chinook fly through like a few thousand miles without refueling? How did it not even get shot down by like a missile armed drone. Finally, if they actually do what you just said, why is the Chinese government keeping like a dozen hydrogen bombs? I am sure they will just rust quietly there.

@SelfProclaimedEmperor

3 жыл бұрын

@@peiranzhang4283 Short wave radar can say B-2 is coming, but it cant find their exact location to shoot them down, its useless.

@masimo6455

3 жыл бұрын

@@peiranzhang4283 Settle down Colonel

Improbable Invading Taiwan would mean China would have to recognize it

@alienlife7754

4 жыл бұрын

That makes no sense at all.

@talonsclaw9058

4 жыл бұрын

It does, because they don't recognize Taiwan as their own country

The fact that this one year timeline is already so tight shows that rearming and refortifying Kinmen is a good bet for the Taiwanese military, preferably with older and lower quality equipment just to delay the invasion

Please make a video on WW3 with U.S. and all its allies (i.e. NATO, Japan, Australia, South Korea, Taiwan, Israel, etc.) VS an alliance of America's adversaries including China, Russia, Iran, North Korea, Cuba, etc.

@ls-420stoner6

5 жыл бұрын

Sounds good to me

@TWE_2000

5 жыл бұрын

@@GBR9794 can't imagine them even getting onto the Contiguous United States. All the fighting would be on Europe and in the South China Sea.

@TWE_2000

5 жыл бұрын

@@GBR9794 still makes more sense to have the fighting occur on their territory than on ours.

@xeji4348

5 жыл бұрын

@William Yao unlikely. The world combined will outnumber the U.S 10 to 1. The U.S will probably lose Alaska to Russia and China. The East coast will be hammered by NATO. The Central Americans will prove a problem at the start, so deployment of troops to the Pacific will be hindered.

@littlejimmy8744

5 жыл бұрын

@Weißer Wolf remeber if its the world vs US most of your soldiers are away spread apart they would be raped. And your homeland would be threaten form North and South as stronger nations could use their airforce and navies and destroy your fleets. Also your country won't be apple to support reinforcements for to long as 32 percent of your nation is obese. And with the millions of Americans very Liberal they would be anti war and it will either end in your surrendering to the world because of home problems or your armies slaughtered around the worlds nations.

I think you should do Civil war. There are many Civil war that you can do. It would be interesting. For example, US vs California (Calexit) or Spain vs Catalonia

@peteryin9534

5 жыл бұрын

I honestly tell you this video is a civil war. The people's republic of China and the republic of China (which is know as taiwan here) has never signed a crease fire treaty or peace treaty. It won't be an invasion if either side attacks cause technically the civil war of China has never ended.

@vdog3248

2 жыл бұрын

Us civil war would be over Biden's vaccine mandate.

In order to have peace in the world, conquering, annexation and expansionist are not the solution. Friendship, respect and love are the best solution. Every country has its own culture, tradition and language. Why to disturb their culture, tradition and language. Having different culture, tradition and languages are the beauty of this world. This beautiful world is for everyone. So love, compassion, respect of others is the only way forward for world peace. This world has developed so much due to education. But more than the education, Integrity is required to make this world worth living. Thank you.

If China attempted to invade Taiwan, Japan would definitely intervene. Japan knows that if Taiwan falls, the Ryukyu islands (which include Okinawa) can't be defended. Japan also knows that if Taiwan falls, that would give China the power to block ships carrying the Middle East oil that Japan needs. If Taiwan were to fall, Japan would be destined to become a Chinese client state eventually. Japan's navy and air force are smaller than China's but they are quite formidable in defense. In addition, Japan's ships have much longer range than China's, so the Japanese navy would have the ability to pick when and where they wanted to fight. I don't know if Taiwan + Japan would be enough to throw back a Chinese invasion, but they would certainly be able to do enough damage that it would become dead easy for the Americans to come in late, run riot, and then partake of some nice juicy concessions from China.

@dehuaipeng3791

3 жыл бұрын

Japan and US are connected，so if Japan involved then it‘s equal with US involve

@yopyop3241

3 жыл бұрын

​@@dehuaipeng3791 If there are attacks on Japanese territory, the US is treaty-bound to get involved. However, if all of the fighting is contained to Taiwanese territory, it's not clear that the US would be obliged to get involved. If the US stands back, that would create an interesting situation. It would mean that China would be strongly deterred from attacking Japanese airstrips and naval bases on the Japanese islands that are as close as just 70 miles from the coast of Taiwan. Japanese ships in Japanese territorial waters (which approach even closer to Taiwan) might be inviolate as well.

McDonalds verses Burger King. Employee's become warriors.

@MrBsct

5 жыл бұрын

McDonalds have security guards with gun sometimes, so they will shoot the BK employees

UPDATE: Taiwan is getting some Abrams.

@JacenSolo0

4 жыл бұрын

Abrams are bloody awful.

@kennywang1707

4 жыл бұрын

@@JacenSolo0 Bloody awful compared to what? This would make an early T-80 "bloody awful" as well (still able to demolish T-62's). Both would make mincemeat of amphibious or light vehicles.

@pascal9055

4 жыл бұрын

@@JacenSolo0 M1A2s are excellent.

@RS-pe5hp

4 жыл бұрын

@@JacenSolo0 Based on what? You dont like the shape? .... moron...

@jyotiradityadeka2905

3 жыл бұрын

And some stingers too

The one thing you didn't mention is that in such a war China would be self blockading itself as ships going to and from chinese ports could be targeted by Taiwan. This would collapse the chinese economy so if they attack they wouldn't be operating on a months long time scale but days and weeks.

I feel like Chinese moral would be high at first but as they struggle to take the smaller islands and then fail to take Taiwan moral would fall drastically.

Now Imagine if the US did get involved one could say that Taiwan could push back into mainland

@nicolasheung441

5 жыл бұрын

Just keep in mind that the same rules on amphibious invasions apply to counterattacks. And if history tells you anything, Communist China is pretty capable of pulling off surprises in conventional land warfare.

@djayt1215

3 жыл бұрын

@@nicolasheung441 unless Trump gets his pal Putin to invade as well.

@nicolasheung441

3 жыл бұрын

@@djayt1215 Seeing how things are, it's highly unlikely that Trump, or any POTUS for that fact, can drag Russia into a war with China these days. If Russian war making patterns say anything (mainly Putin warmaking patterns), Russia is more focused on minding their own businesses (reclaiming a Black sea port by annexing Crimea, Georgia, fighting Chechen insurgents, pummeling Syrian ISIS, etc). And as of now, Russia is way chummier with China than with the US (as if Russo-US relationships ever go good enough to buddy up and invade someone, even the situation in Syria is not the most easy one), and the US hardline Cold war approach meant that they probably won't buddy up to invade China in these times.

@poorman4923

3 жыл бұрын

@@nicolasheung441 They wouldn’t do a offensive like in operation barbarossa, they would most probably eliberate Taiwan with the help of japan,Australia and other countries and after the Taiwan is free, they would begin sending SOF and SF units to China to do sabotage (like hunting HVTs, sabotage and other type of operations) and us air force would be responsible for striking targets in China (SAM sites,airfields,factories (to destroy the economy), military bases and other targets.US navy would be responsible for securing the Sea like blocking china’s ships to destroy their eceonomy, fighting china’s navy, marines would deploy to the islands in order to capture them and hold them. So this plan would probably be successful, but us Air Force and navy would be half destroyed in this war, same for many casualities on infantry due to the Taiwan front.

@nicolasheung441

3 жыл бұрын

@@poorman4923 This sounds exactly like how the US would've operate in such a scenario. You are correct that the US would've avoid a Barbarossa scenario at all costs, opting for sabotage, assassinations, surgical strikes, and naval blockades after liberating Taiwan with the aid of a coalition. Then again, China seems to have been reading the US playbook and geared themselves for it. A2/AD has been one of the most boasted capabilities the PLA has been touting, and there is no doubt regarding how far and effective the authoritarian regime can go securing it's internal security. Facial recognition, police state, mass incarceration, and mass indoctrination, the usuals. Furthermore, unlike other regimes US has successfully defeated, China actually have something to show to their people, it is not particularly easy to conduct sabotage and subversive activities in the numbers required to destabilize China (think"Sharp eyes", the Chinese civil surveillance program that reports criminal activities to local authorities). There is little doubt that a Taiwan liberating coalition can succeed, given that everyone involved in the coalition are ready to pay the hefty price that will come with such operations. But beyond that, it is anyone's guess in terms of military capabilities, and one must take note that there were attempts by the US and Taiwan between 1950s and 1960s in sabotaging the newly founded PRC. That didn't went well.

Excellent videos. I can foresee a few other factors that might influence the outcome of the conflict: 1 If China made a major push for Taiwan, you can bet the people of Tibet would take the opportunity to rebel. This might lead other areas to agitate for independence, drawing attention and military forces away from the invasion. 2 India might take the opportunity to take disputed territory in Xinjiang. It already has troops across the border in Kashmir. 3 One good typhoon could wreck the entire plan if it came at the wrong time. 4 If Taiwan focused attacks on troop ships rather than combatant vessels, the invasion could collapse because China couldn't resupply their forces.

@ayano1880

5 жыл бұрын

u r right

What about rocket projectors (MLRS) ?, and other types of Chinese long-range artillery.

Thanks for a great video. I am currently writing my bachelor´s thesis about the "The changed relationship between Taiwan and the PRC in the time frame of 2008-2020. With special focus on the isolation of Taiwan internationally" This will cover economic policies, Chinese laws, Xi Jinping´s new era narratives, Wolf warrior diplomacy, and so on, and so forth. I already knew that it would be near impossible for the Chinese to get control over Taiwan, because of their allies. I did not know the obvious preparation that would be needed to conduct a land operation into Taiwan. I only know about historical battles in China. Such as the first Sino-Japanese war. Their recent invasion of Vietnam. My normal focus is on Chinese propaganda, this is why Chinese historical war is something that I know a lot about. Since they are used as propaganda pieces all the time, always going over Chinese narratives. such as the recent Chinese propaganda movie "The Sino-Japanese War at Sea 1894" it is really terrible, it took me a week to see it, because the first time I saw it, I misunderstood whom the main character was. Partly because of badly recorded audio for the movie, bad story telling, and the use of a "national hero" that does not show up outside of Chinese propaganda sources. Thanks again for your hard work.

Hello there! I am a Taiwanese.To be honest, if the Chinese People's Liberation Army wants to invade Taiwan, it needs a large number of military sources. His transfer will be first seen by Taiwan or the United States satellites, because they will first occupy the Golden Gate and Mazu, and need to mobilize a large number of soldiers in Fujian and Xiamen. Long-range artillery, missiles, air force, and navy, according to US experts, up to 60 days, including the island of Jinmen Island in Xiamen, the island of Binge Island and the island of Liangshan, the front line of Taiwan’s national army, only from Xiamen 2 kilometers will be observed, so Taiwan will have time to prepare. When the war starts, China will first surround Jinmen and Mazu, and then land, and the National Artillery Battalion in Mazu has US-made 240mm heavy artillery. 8 guns will be attacked at the Fujian airport and station, and then the Chinese fleet will use the naval fleet to cut off the supply lines of Kinmen and Matsu, and finally destroy the Golden Army and Mazu national army!

@cenonlo530

4 жыл бұрын

I am in favor of the Nacionalist Party. I love democracy, so as in Taiwan

@flamenzhang6825

4 жыл бұрын

@Tee See come back here in 5-10 years later , see me LMAO on you.

@flamenzhang6825

4 жыл бұрын

Tee See that's not my name on passport. I can named myself whatever I like. now you playing personal absue? my little Chinesehater. LOL... you are so low

@flamenzhang6825

4 жыл бұрын

@Tee See ohhhh~~ again kind of rumors without evidence. Trust me, Trump is much much good at it than you do, so save it. LOL

Fascinating. This is like infographics

@Allumious

5 жыл бұрын

But better

I think this is pretty close to on the money, but just look into some of the mountain bases they are tough, plus Taiwan has a pretty good supply of food store on the islands as well is on the main island

@RueyTenTen

3 жыл бұрын

Yeah dude, we have 7-11 and FamilyMart everywhere, literally at 50 meter intervals.

@ddarkon1223

2 жыл бұрын

*coughs in the second largest military power in the world*

You definitely need to update this analysis.

In the modern world a conflict involving hundreds of thousands of casualties within a year is pretty hard to imagine

@metanumia

5 жыл бұрын

Let's all do everything we can as global citizens to prevent that scenario from actually playing out in the real world, e.g. vote responsibly for peaceful leaders and policies in whatever nation you live in! Nobody wants to see a 21st Century total war between superpowers, ultimately no nation on Earth will survive World War 3 if it were to break out today or in the near future due to total nuclear annihilation.

@jacobgiaquinto1101

5 жыл бұрын

Especially since 2001, the US still hasn’t hit 3,000 deaths in Afghanistan.

@metanumia

5 жыл бұрын

@Stephen Jenkins Stephen, there is still a place for the armed forces in the modern world, and you're totally right about there being dictators who will never listen to reason. However, as citizens of the modern world, it doesn't matter where you live, it will always help if you support sane, rational, logical, and intelligent leaders who think carefully about every decision they make and how their policies will affect their constituents and the rest of the planet. Sometimes, war cannot be avoided, but in nations where the citizens *do* still have political power it's essential to our survival as a species to support the right type of politicians and leaders in general.

Do one (some how) on the empire breakers, Afghanistan v Vietnam!

@metanumia

5 жыл бұрын

Now that's an interesting scenario! You'd have to make up some unique rules and setup a fictional "Arena" scenario wherein the two countries are geographically positioned right next to each other. You could use Vietnam from the year of their highest military strength (equipment/manpower/morale) during the US-Vietnam War era in the early 1970's and have the North Vietnamese regular army combined with the Viet Cong and other guerrilla forces perform a land invasion of Afghanistan, or the Taliban at the height of their power in the early 1990's invade Vietnam from the 1970's, so some time traveling for each army (either forward in time for North Vietnam invading Afghanistan, or backward in time travel for Taliban invading North Vietnam).

great video!

Interesting videos. thank you1

10:30 yep

Mark here, and will come back and with laughs of this WII strategy.

No amount of ethnic nationalism would ever make me want to live in a world with an evil camera on every street corner threatening anyone who dares to have independent thoughts.

@socialistteletubby3642

4 жыл бұрын

Lash LaRue I would hate to live in this distopia do u have a name for it?

@lashlarue7924

4 жыл бұрын

@@socialistteletubby3642 Yes: "Xinjiang province". (See also, "1984".)

@hermanfurlong8824

2 жыл бұрын

Hell you are living in one of these countries, take a look around at America, she is going down for the third and final time!

@lashlarue7924

2 жыл бұрын

@@hermanfurlong8824 Hurr, turk a lirk arnound, jerr lurvin derp n’mericur!! Ders are also derr too!! Hurr!

@looinrims

2 жыл бұрын

This comment is gonna reduce your social credit score

Back in the day (1990s), a PRC invasion of Taiwan was referred to as a "million man swim." China has tried to close the technological gap, but so has Taiwan, and military reality and the political reality of supporting a democracy that makes all the world's microchips mean that China can never count on attacking Taiwan without any allied support.

Interesting thanks your opinion !God Bless

Thanks i feel much better about living in taiwan, i think.

@zhangchris1278

5 жыл бұрын

hahaha. see you soon man. I will go there also. by tank

@LOLO-xo4me

5 жыл бұрын

@@zhangchris1278 呵，等你

@user-bb9ck2cl2e

5 жыл бұрын

Stop dreaming,nerd.You can come to Taiwan by tank only in the games.lol

@alex365everdeen4

5 жыл бұрын

Yep, I am team Taiwan!!!!!!

@user-ob8bw1pd6c

5 жыл бұрын

Wahaha zhang 哎～Since 1949 still waiting for you.but nothing I can see

What about Taiwan crippling the CCP's industrial capacity by launching missile strikes against the 3 Gorges Dam?

@johnbaxter3086

2 жыл бұрын

Someone said they dont have the missiles to do that, I'm sure the uk usa subs do though , and a few nukes on Beijing , should do it

@ateslaintrumpland2476

2 жыл бұрын

@@johnbaxter3086 someone is incorrect. The 3 gorges dam is within range of Taiwanese ballistic missiles, and the Taiwanese brass has casually mentioned the possibility before, and the CCP threw a tantrum.

@ateslaintrumpland2476

2 жыл бұрын

@@johnbaxter3086 Taipei is 1,200km from the 3 gorges dam, and Taiwan’s Yun Feng ballistic missile has a range of 2,000km.

@johnbaxter3086

2 жыл бұрын

@@ateslaintrumpland2476 ok fair enough, but I have my doubts whether they could hit it from that distance

@ateslaintrumpland2476

2 жыл бұрын

@@johnbaxter3086 that’s fair enough. I have my doubts about all of these geographically tiny nations that boast long range ballistic missiles despite not really having anywhere to test their terminal guidance systems. Guiding a warhead down to a target when it’s traveling at several times the speed of sound, without using a jamable signal (like gps or radar) is not a trivial engineering feat.

The video ignores Taiwan’s 1.76 million reserve soldiers and 3 million veterans. Our retired soldiers also have 1 to 2 years of military training, like I am still 50 machine guns and M249 training instructors. 40 howitzers and 80 cannons will also operate.

this is how KMT think in 1945-1949.

@wanruzhao4229

5 жыл бұрын

lol

@hiallandletstalk5670

5 жыл бұрын

lol

@xavierlau89

5 жыл бұрын

lol

@user-dv8il5eo2y

5 жыл бұрын

lol

@wudannie5409

5 жыл бұрын

lol

You know who would win in this conflict? Murica that's who!

Good analysis on the logistics challenge of landing operation. While it is useful to draw comparison from Normandy, no Taiwanese soldiers, full time or reserve, are as battle hardened as the Nazi. So the level of "response" from the Taiwanese armed force is probably exaggerated. It is also a false assumption that USA would not get involved, if Taiwan is on the negotiating agenda, this is probably the 1st to be ticked off by someone.

We need an UPDATE. Any changes from 2018 ?