Chances Rising For U.S. Impacts From Hurricane Beryl (Timeline and Intensity Forecast)

Hurricane Beryl is headed toward the Yucatan by Friday morning as it continues moving through the Caribbean. The chances Hurricane Beryl impacts the U.S. is going up. Hurricane Beryl remains a strong hurricane in this tropical update as hurricane season 2024 continues.
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Chapters:
00:00: Intro
00:30: Hurricane Beryl Update
00:40: Hurricane Beryl Forecast Update (National Hurricane Center)
02:15: Hurricane Beryl Wind Field
03:08: Hurricane Beryl Wind Forecast
04:29: Hurricane Beryl Trending North Toward Texas?
06:02: Euro Ensembles For Hurricane Beryl
06:55: HWRF Forecast For Hurricane Beryl
08:58: Current Water Temperature In Gulf of Mexico For Beryl
09:56: Invest 96L Moving Through Caribbean
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Пікірлер: 173

  • @just_weather
    @just_weather2 күн бұрын

    Thinking of everyone from the Cayman Islands to Jamaica to Grenada and Saint Vincent and the Grenadines along with Trinidad and Tabago and Barbados. Hurricane Bery;e wants to continue to ride the northerly track of computer forecasts. That is putting Texas more at risk for a hurricane, possibly a stronger one. Be safe, everyone! - Jonathan

  • @JasonNoel-ty1sd

    @JasonNoel-ty1sd

    2 күн бұрын

    Strong feelings that's what is going to happen everyone be prepare

  • @trevorsimon6713

    @trevorsimon6713

    2 күн бұрын

    Hi from Belize

  • @velmahenry4563

    @velmahenry4563

    2 күн бұрын

    No advice for st lucia

  • @springfauna1465

    @springfauna1465

    2 күн бұрын

    @@velmahenry4563 It looks like St. Lucia will be okay. 🙂

  • @maryaventura
    @maryaventura2 күн бұрын

    Praying for my daughter's family and friends in Playa del Carmen, MX

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    Watching closely for them! - Jonathan

  • @GRINGOf10

    @GRINGOf10

    2 күн бұрын

    They’ll be fine

  • @christinerisden5799

    @christinerisden5799

    2 күн бұрын

    ​@@GRINGOf10where ?

  • @CherylDailyNews
    @CherylDailyNews2 күн бұрын

    Jonathan, thank u so much for coming on this evening. I'm just ready for u to tell me that Beryl IS NOT coming to the Lake Charles, La area. I can't relax cuz we know anything can happen when it comes to weather. I hope u were able to enjoy part of our July 4th holiday ❤🤍💙. Continued love, prayers for protection, and recovery for all involved in Beryl 🙏🏻🙏🏻❤🙏🏻🙏🏻. Thanks again Jonathan. 🤗

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    Hope you were able too as well! Can’t quite write off Lake Charles just yet…but will keep you posted every step of the way! - Jonathan

  • @CherylDailyNews

    @CherylDailyNews

    2 күн бұрын

    @@just_weather U are just the BEST. Thank u, thank u, thank u. 😍🤗💯

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    Absolutely!! - Jonathan

  • @gordonhamilton7160
    @gordonhamilton71602 күн бұрын

    Hi from Playa del Carmen. Happy Hurricane everyone 🎉

  • @seRko123

    @seRko123

    2 күн бұрын

    So far so good but will get worse

  • @GRINGOf10

    @GRINGOf10

    2 күн бұрын

    You must be a newbie this is a cat 1 nothing happens but rain and minor flooding for 4-6 hours. Fear mongering as usual.

  • @etnies777

    @etnies777

    2 күн бұрын

    @@GRINGOf10 Cat 3

  • @christinerisden5799

    @christinerisden5799

    2 күн бұрын

    Category 3 .but then it won't be the reality that hurts those ' first-timers and even second- timers. Tornadoes flips that reality

  • @weareallamericans7358
    @weareallamericans73582 күн бұрын

    Thanks for providing us an awesome hurricane education !

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    You’re very welcome! - Jonathan

  • @JasonNoel-ty1sd
    @JasonNoel-ty1sd2 күн бұрын

    Thanks for the update keep it you doing a wonderful job

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    Appreciate that! Thanks for tuning in! - Jonathan

  • @TheadCiccarello
    @TheadCiccarello2 күн бұрын

    I wish you great success in your health, love and happiness!

  • @500stoney
    @500stoney2 күн бұрын

    There is little question Beryl is heading directly to Galveston/Houston. The "models" are completely underestimating the chances for a turn to the north and it will gain much strength in the GOM in the meantime.

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    Certainly if it heads that way it will have a chance to be a major hurricane. Definitely looking like central Texas needs to be watching this closely. - Jonathan

  • @Jenni52
    @Jenni522 күн бұрын

    Thanks for the weather report

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    You’re very welcome! - Jonathan

  • @Jenni52

    @Jenni52

    2 күн бұрын

    Heavy rain and breeze have started north of Belize. Close to the south Mexican border!

  • @iglapsu88
    @iglapsu882 күн бұрын

    Thanks Sir! Much appreciated!

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    You’re very welcome! - Jonathan

  • @marilyngant1754
    @marilyngant17542 күн бұрын

    From Harlingen, but have been living in Houston for the past 40 years

  • @MaxMinXX
    @MaxMinXX2 күн бұрын

    We are in a drought in lots of parts in TX, our backyard soil (in central) are cracking from dryness, at this point, we will take anything. Small, med, big storm, any storm

  • @jenihansen7201
    @jenihansen72012 күн бұрын

    Thank you Jonathan.

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    You’re welcome! - Jonathan

  • @sassyblue7086
    @sassyblue70862 күн бұрын

    Thanks

  • @steveyang6752
    @steveyang67522 күн бұрын

    In Cancun right now, waiting

  • @garysmith6857
    @garysmith68572 күн бұрын

    There will be a turn after cozumel !!! Eye to the north 😮

  • @TEWAdventures
    @TEWAdventures2 күн бұрын

    thanks

  • @melodygodbey3092
    @melodygodbey30922 күн бұрын

    I'm in Central Texas USA 🇺🇸🛸👽🦍💕🙏. And you should see the Purple 🟣 Sage Bush........ it's all blooming and they do it when it rains......... y'all we are going to get rain ☔ and looks like I'm on the thick big line. 😮 God bless everyone in the path of BERYL BERYLLIUM 😮🌀☔⛈️🌅🎇🎆🔙😇💗

  • @eduardonieto2355
    @eduardonieto23552 күн бұрын

    That is cool my friend and interesting.👍

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    Thank you! And thanks for watching! - Jonathan

  • @annsumrall2593
    @annsumrall25932 күн бұрын

    Omg southeast texas cant take anymore rain

  • @PiggyLong-zz6uw
    @PiggyLong-zz6uw2 күн бұрын

    Best weather channel…from texas

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    Hey appreciate that! Be safe!! - Jonathan

  • @user-uo7fw5bo1o
    @user-uo7fw5bo1o2 күн бұрын

    Anywhere between Port Arthur and Brownsville Texas. Corpus Christi, Victoria, Freeport, Galveston/Houston are under open sights.

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    Would agree with that. - Jonathan

  • @ashrithreddy5967
    @ashrithreddy59672 күн бұрын

    Happy 4th of July be safe now Mexico and Texas from hurricane Beryl at least now she is weakening!

  • @thomassmery5578
    @thomassmery55782 күн бұрын

    rain and wind picking up now in playa del carmen mex

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    Thanks for that report! Be safe! - Jonathan

  • @hoodoo2001
    @hoodoo20012 күн бұрын

    Countin' on some rain near Austin...don't let it swing too far north.

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    I know you guys need some! - Jonathan

  • @Fahad-e4c
    @Fahad-e4c2 күн бұрын

    What is considered the right side of the storm?

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    To the right of the relative to the motion. So In the caste of the Yucatán its north of where the storm makes landfall. - Jonathan

  • @user-mr4hc8vo3y
    @user-mr4hc8vo3y2 күн бұрын

    🙏

  • @0dbm
    @0dbm2 күн бұрын

    It rolls right up the Rio Grande

  • @Dcj01

    @Dcj01

    2 күн бұрын

    Na, it’ll swipe us and hit houston haah

  • @RABBIT-420
    @RABBIT-4202 күн бұрын

    It's been headed towards Texas the entire time you all watch your wind shear move out of the way and the heat dome.moved days ago

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    Yes that is what we said. Have always said Texas was in play. No the heat dome is still there…the western side is being eroded by the Rockies trough. - Jonathan

  • @sunny7773
    @sunny77732 күн бұрын

    These weather people ARE NOT REPORTING EVERYTHING THEY KNOW, at least publicly won't admit what's becoming more and more likely.... But amazing job from this channel actually talking about the north most track that's growing in probability

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    What are you talking? Stop being a troll and spreading fear and misinformation. - Jonathan

  • @areareare9953

    @areareare9953

    2 күн бұрын

    Dude, he straight up said that global models don't take into account for rapid intensification, and that they are using all the tools, including experimental data models to try and figure out where this is going. Many meteorologists are also saying the same thing this guy is, they just don't have as much time on their segments to explain it. "These Weather People" are not the enemy.

  • @michelleplanter8205

    @michelleplanter8205

    2 күн бұрын

    Great jobs guys, we appreciate you. We know that your not God and your trying you'll beat to get us enough information to keep us safe...in Cayman Islands we are doing great not much damages as Jamaica, we are grateful to God for one more mercy...

  • @nickytommymancinelli8066

    @nickytommymancinelli8066

    2 күн бұрын

    I know it seems like they’ve been doing it all week??? THEY KNOW THIS WILL BE A CAT 3 MINIMUM STRIKE AT TEXAS… but they intentionally oddly downplay it and minimize & marginalize it to being a mere tropical storm set to hit Tampico, Mexico THEY KNOW ITS TRENDING TOWARD THE NORTH AND THAT MEANS RAPID INTENSIFICATION..

  • @GRINGOf10
    @GRINGOf102 күн бұрын

    Thank you for not making this a USA centric channel and provuding international coverage . A lot of Mexicans are watching you! Greetings from Mexico City ❤

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    Hello in Mexico City! Great to see you and hope you are well! - Jonathan

  • @jordanrutta3054
    @jordanrutta30542 күн бұрын

    IMHO I think Corpus Christy will the epic center of landfall

  • @keonisan
    @keonisan2 күн бұрын

    What are the chances of it hanging a hard right and heading for Florida?

  • @YOLO-qk2xt

    @YOLO-qk2xt

    2 күн бұрын

    I hope NONE!!!

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    I think super unlikely. Still a bubble of high pressure blocking. - Jonathan

  • @scottedwards5301

    @scottedwards5301

    2 күн бұрын

    Slim and none and slim is walking out the door as we speak

  • @seanmalik2364

    @seanmalik2364

    2 күн бұрын

    😂😂

  • @timweakley6565

    @timweakley6565

    2 күн бұрын

    Zero

  • @ThomasEngstrom-l7f
    @ThomasEngstrom-l7f2 күн бұрын

    Just starting to rain at dreams resort in tulum looks like on radar it's going to break up ...having a cervesa and a tequila and playing "riding the storm out "

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    Be safe! And thanks for the report! - Jonathan

  • @matthewaldalu549
    @matthewaldalu5492 күн бұрын

    In your opinion what are the chances Houston would get hit or get on the wet side of Beryl?

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    I think chances are pretty decent there is some impact from Beryl in Houston. Still unclear how much…but a more north storm will be stronger. - Jonathan

  • @keezeeroots5997
    @keezeeroots59972 күн бұрын

    My family lives in Brownsville, Texas. If the hurricane moves a little farther north, Brownsville/South Padre Island will get a direct hit. My sister lives on South Padre.

  • @GRINGOf10

    @GRINGOf10

    2 күн бұрын

    It probably may won’t even make it there after it hits the Yucatán. At the most a tropical storm.

  • @deliajones9541
    @deliajones95412 күн бұрын

    It could hit La too, they really wont know till its in the Gulf and gaining strenght.

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    Very true…western Gulf coast all in play. - Jonathan

  • @user-uo7fw5bo1o

    @user-uo7fw5bo1o

    2 күн бұрын

    Louisiana is outside the cone, so I find it highly unlikely Beryl will landfall east of St. Charles/Cameron Parish. Posting from New Orleans y'all!

  • @lifeissweet9826

    @lifeissweet9826

    2 күн бұрын

    Texas only

  • @carolyuengling8085
    @carolyuengling80852 күн бұрын

    All volcanoes and turbulent weather be still. be calm and peaceful the world over. Off. be. 07/04/24. 22:45. PM. ET.

  • @sherizazzetti1824
    @sherizazzetti18242 күн бұрын

    Do you think about hoyma la or Morgen City la, . So do I need to get ready do u know it far from us but it changes alot

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    Can’t completely roll you guys out…but if LA is in play it would more than likely be western LA - Jonathan

  • @sherizazzetti1824

    @sherizazzetti1824

    2 күн бұрын

    @@just_weather oh ok I'm south East Louisiana, I meant to say Houma just noticed that, my family and I stayed for hurricane Ida don't want to stay for Another

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    That just have been horrible. - Jonathan

  • @Clark30
    @Clark302 күн бұрын

    Going on that limb.. lol 11 for, 1 against.. 😅 It’s always one.

  • @Hat5858
    @Hat58582 күн бұрын

    Jamaica dodged a bullet

  • @arelisrodriquez9033
    @arelisrodriquez90332 күн бұрын

    Hi my friend

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    Hey buddy! How are things in the DR? - Jonathan

  • @AARON-MOSES
    @AARON-MOSES2 күн бұрын

    That’s not south west Texas. It’s just south Texas or you could say southern tip of Texas

  • @jessiemartinez3056

    @jessiemartinez3056

    2 күн бұрын

    Yeah this goofy is confused 😂

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    No I meant to southwest gulf.

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    I meant to say southwest gulf

  • @alycianaama9884
    @alycianaama98842 күн бұрын

    Definitely going to Texas

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    Looking more and more likely…especially with how strong it is now. - Jonathan

  • @hwylady10865

    @hwylady10865

    2 күн бұрын

    My friends are in Corpus and several others in Houston. I’m in San Antonio will get the outer band.

  • @keezeeroots5997

    @keezeeroots5997

    2 күн бұрын

    We need the rain in San Antonio. It's been a little dry hrre

  • @jmjlori

    @jmjlori

    2 күн бұрын

    @@just_weathermy son and his young family (my four grandbabies!) live in an RV just north of Galveston Bay. No way to move it right now. Praying it hits where no one gets hurt 🙏🏼🙏🏼😢🙏🏼🙏🏼

  • @harryhoesch3793
    @harryhoesch37932 күн бұрын

    Great time to jump the border or not?

  • @JSFGuy

    @JSFGuy

    2 күн бұрын

    🤭 option b

  • @jessiemartinez3056

    @jessiemartinez3056

    2 күн бұрын

    Yes they crossing right now as we speak..a lady just got her legs chopped off trying to jump on a train lmfao..go MAGA

  • @MikeBurns-bi5xj
    @MikeBurns-bi5xj2 күн бұрын

    This is my opinion its going to intensify

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    I agree with you. - Jonathan

  • @hwylady10865

    @hwylady10865

    2 күн бұрын

    I agree with you both. San Antonio TX here.

  • @codyclem7928

    @codyclem7928

    2 күн бұрын

    Already is... 962 Cat 3 now.

  • @bethallen7384
    @bethallen73842 күн бұрын

    Why do you keep calling it West Texas? How is it west?

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    Sorry I’m meaning to say western Gulf. My bad! - Jonathan

  • @Memessssss
    @Memessssss2 күн бұрын

    W video

  • @laurafischer232
    @laurafischer2322 күн бұрын

    “….as 2004 hurricane season continues”….um..proofread

  • @joycescott4787
    @joycescott47872 күн бұрын

    Where is costa rico

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    Not coming toward you. - Jonathan

  • @valeriebrown1163
    @valeriebrown11632 күн бұрын

    Did Cayman got hit

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    Brushed to the south of Grand Cayman. - Jonathan

  • @nickytommymancinelli8066

    @nickytommymancinelli8066

    2 күн бұрын

    Yes it got washed away into the carribean sea entirely, thanks 4 asking!!!

  • @MichaelMefford35
    @MichaelMefford352 күн бұрын

    Edit: pressure dropped 13mb

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    Crazy right? Just insane. It won’t stop. - Jonathan

  • @slinkyatrest
    @slinkyatrest2 күн бұрын

    and Sailor Moon and the Sailor Scouts are nowhere to be seen... 😢

  • @billievillarreal9547
    @billievillarreal95472 күн бұрын

    Who here is from the RGV ❤

  • @nickytommymancinelli8066

    @nickytommymancinelli8066

    2 күн бұрын

    Is that a tv show?!?

  • @keezeeroots5997

    @keezeeroots5997

    2 күн бұрын

    Originally from Brownsville. My family lives there, I'm the only one who flew away from the nest. Born and raised in the RGV, and always from RGV.

  • @GRINGOf10

    @GRINGOf10

    2 күн бұрын

    @@keezeeroots5997what’s RGV?

  • @lis819

    @lis819

    2 күн бұрын

    What’s RGV?

  • @paulettetrevino9512

    @paulettetrevino9512

    2 күн бұрын

    Rio grande valley

  • @kristinanelson7143
    @kristinanelson71432 күн бұрын

    Why are there European models when Europe doesn’t have hurricanes?

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    It’s the European center for forecasting. It’s a global model so has data from all over. - Jonathan

  • @sandhilltucker

    @sandhilltucker

    2 күн бұрын

    I think it's cause European models are more natural/hairy.

  • @wandawelsh9209

    @wandawelsh9209

    2 күн бұрын

    ​@just_weather Thank you for that answer. When I read the question, it made me wonder toom ❤👍❤️

  • @OrgabinsOrganicCabinLifestyle

    @OrgabinsOrganicCabinLifestyle

    2 күн бұрын

    They own satellites

  • @codyclem7928
    @codyclem79282 күн бұрын

    The first person to actually call these models on how bad they have been. The ICON has been right since day one.

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    Models have actually done pretty good as a whole. Not on strength but location. But now since a turn is in play the intensity plays a big role on when and how that turn happens. ICON has done a really nice job and may end up being correct with the final landfall like you said! - Jonathan

  • @codyclem7928

    @codyclem7928

    2 күн бұрын

    @@just_weather Yes, as far as the track, I agree. The intensity has been way off, especially on the Euro model. The ICON has been great with track and intensity.

  • @Diana-vs1iw
    @Diana-vs1iw2 күн бұрын

    What about San Antonio, Texas?

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    Watching closely for you. Strength in question but southeast Texas very much in oaky from direct impacts. - Jonathan

  • @ugiswrong
    @ugiswrong2 күн бұрын

    We are not thinking about everyone dealing with the impacts of this storm; we are thinking about beer.

  • @risa_sh.youtube3244
    @risa_sh.youtube32442 күн бұрын

    ⚠️🙏🎯🌍🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 The world 🌍 has changed **Nam myoho rengekyo** 🙏 Pray 🌍 peace 🕊️ be safe ______// **X2Thai**

  • @annsumrall2593
    @annsumrall25932 күн бұрын

    Yep its gonna get texas good. Get ready people

  • @earlaustin6025
    @earlaustin60252 күн бұрын

    Maybe it will kick that border Wall down. Stay Safe People ❤🎉😊

  • @russellhix6802
    @russellhix68022 күн бұрын

    Some are making predictions and no one knows. Let’s have a hurricane pooI and the one who get closest gets the bragging rights for a reward. I think Mexico will be safe from this as so will most of Texas, I think this one is headed for Louisiana and will be a solid cat 5 similar to Katrina if not stronger. I’m guessing Cameron to Grand Isle area for landfall.

  • @nickytommymancinelli8066

    @nickytommymancinelli8066

    2 күн бұрын

    You want a weather prediction? I’ll give you a weather prediction! It’s gonna be COLD, it’s gonna be DARK, it’s gonna be GREY, and ITS GOING TO LAST FOR THE REST OF YOUR LIFE!!!…

  • @keezeeroots5997

    @keezeeroots5997

    2 күн бұрын

    Tonight's forecast: dark Tomorrow's forecast: light 😂 George Carlin

  • @nikisawyers7559
    @nikisawyers75592 күн бұрын

    Y’all keep pronouncing this wrong… It’s pronounced the same way as Cheryl

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    That’s what I’m saying? - Jonathan

  • @Greenwaveman77
    @Greenwaveman772 күн бұрын

    Wrong ..its not gonna turn north

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    Umm that’s what I said? - Jonathan

  • @Greenwaveman77

    @Greenwaveman77

    2 күн бұрын

    @@just_weather your entire video was to make people think itis gonna go more toward texas its not

  • @davidhoward8961
    @davidhoward89612 күн бұрын

    Dr. Tom Cowan: RFK, Jr. = trustworthy.

  • @prahfetts825
    @prahfetts8252 күн бұрын

    The models you have suck Hurricane will clearly pass over tip of Mexico Will not lose much power Houston and New Orleans

  • @just_weather

    @just_weather

    2 күн бұрын

    They aren’t May models. Troll elsewhere - Jonathan

  • @CherryKenekam
    @CherryKenekam2 күн бұрын

  • @nickytommymancinelli8066
    @nickytommymancinelli80662 күн бұрын

    It’s over for Cancun & south Texas 🪦 🪦

  • @jessiemartinez3056

    @jessiemartinez3056

    2 күн бұрын

    Nope not gonna happen

  • @carolyuengling8085
    @carolyuengling80852 күн бұрын

    All volcanoes and turbulent weather be still. be calm and peaceful the world over. Off. be. 07/04/24. 22:45. PM. ET.