His voice and manner of speaking are always so calm and self-assured.

As a computer engineer, I love the stuff this guy says. He starts out with something that seems reasonable and you think "alright... I might want to check the statistics on that, but okay...", and then he makes a long string of exact predictions which... I mean, are theoretically possible, but almost certainly aren't happening in my lifetime.

@squamish4244

5 жыл бұрын

Yeah...now he's saying "Human-level AI in 12 years'', which is ludicrous. Yes, advancements in AI since 2010 have been very impressive - but not THAT impressive.

Ray's an amazing person, it's shocking how many of his predictions from the past has come true.

Mr Kurzweil is such an incredibly knowledgeable person. Thank you

Good interview... Kurzweil is working hard to make sure communications explode making humanity so connected and so intelligent that we can solve our planet's grandest challenges.

So stoked that Kurzweil is working for Google with a sizable budget. Good call.

wow only lets say 50 years till super intelligent humans could watch, understand and fully enjoy this whole video in less than a second!

"Reminding of people's names" - yes, bring it on!

I'm so looking forward to his Create a Mind book

well... we'll see. so glad to be young enough to see whether these predictions will actually come true!!! :D

I could really agree with him when he talked about genes and what we are able to know and manipulate within 20 years. So much has happened in the last 10 years.

just responding to the article on 2/21/2011. i think it is truly amazing! its a little scary though, because i will still LIVE then. only to be overpowered by one of man's greatest creations

Ecclesiastes 9:11: "I returned and saw under the sun, that the race is not to the swift nor the battle to the strong, neither yet bread to the wise, nor yet riches to men of understanding, nor yet favour to men of skill; but time and chance happen to them all."

Continued. Therefore, if humans are to survive past Earth's expiration date, we as a species must work efficiently toward a new society and culture revolving around these revolutionary ideas. the major problem of course is the herd mentality of most people, making all of this very difficult as they are unwilling to make change. So, what will most likely happen is that those regarded as the "elite" will have all these gifts at the cost of billions of lives. It is the only way we can continue on.

@Juanster23 Huge numbers of people live in grinding poverty. Many die for lack of clean water. People continue to die from things like cancer and diabetes. Hell no I'm not content with that, and I'm glad we've got people like Ray Kurzweil who aren't content with that either.

he is not afraid, he just takes precautions and prophylaxis'

yup, and we HAVE to, to make a better job in getting energy, fighting poverty and hunger and be able to sustain the ever growing population

You know what? I am glad that there are people like Ray in the world. We need a little ray of hope in our otherwise miserable lives lmfao

Depends on who you ask. However, this does seem to be the consensus among many cultures.

If this technology ever comes to fruition, it will be comedic to watch all of the people of religious faith choose to act in contradiction with their theological beliefs by choosing to to use this technology to live forever.

@LegendLength Well, Ray has made a lot of prediction sbased on these curves in the past, and he has predicted correct, that's also why he's been such a great inventor. You also have to realize that his predictions are in fact conservative, even for being in such short time frames, as he never even takes into account the increasing rate of exponential growth. I think the fact that the rate of technology hasn't slowed even during the depression is evidence enough this will continue.

'just throwing it out there'

Ray is badass.

This is part of the system. Futurism is synonymous with Fascism. Search The Futurist Manifesto F. T. Marinetti, 1909. Ray Kurzweil "futurist" means that exactly what is outlined in the text and it is highly influential upon the 20th&21st century. Once this is implemented you will truly become drones and you will like Huxley said in Brave New World "love your servitude". Yes, it sounds well and good to have all that information right at your immediate access but what off your free will?

I can see in the comments below that some people support what Ray predicts while others don't, with some going as far to say they are horrified by it. Whenever the singularity occurs I believe humanity will be split in a way, with one side embracing the technology and the other side staying "natural" for lack of a better word. I don't think either point of view is wrong (I understand why one person would love this while another would hate it), but it comes down to what we believe in.

How can you reprogram every gene in the body?

@JNfromNatalieStreet Where in my comment did I say anything about "not" solving the worlds problems. And why do people assume that by integrating with a computer it will magically solve our problems be it personal or global. The problem is not out there, its in our consciousness. It all stems from our inability to look at ourselves with honesty and integrity. To act out of love and compassion, not out of fear and a desire to destroy unwanted states of mind and body. Death is not a disease.

I just heard about him today although i have been semi-familiar with the concept of the singularity for a few months now. Although Ray's ideas speak to me logically - i don't really have any objection to the reality that he presents - my question is that, are we ready for this kind of responsibility? At this moment in time i would say no. Not to say that we are incapable, but i am afraid of this just like i am afraid of a child with a gun. Something to bear in mind.

I am reading the Singularity is near and I must say that Ray's research is very interesting but yes it is very optimistic and at times naive. Now by saying he is optimistic doesn't mean he doesn't have a right to say what is possible its just that he is making very precise predictions based on our current progress. However it is a fact that oil will run out quite and when that happens it will put a screeching halt on not only technology but humanity's progress as a civilization.

That might very well happen. As to whether or not its a good or bad thing, I think it will be down to the individual to decide. To some it would be good and they would love it and others might think of them as sad or backwards thinking. I think a good comparison would be to amish people. They are happy with the way they live but there are those would would think the very idea of living like an amish person to be ridiculous. In any case, I just hope people respect whatever choices others make.

Top !

Ocean of information, puddle of knowledge.

Hardly, it described the linear progression of technology. There aren't enough people to sort through all of the information and use it constructively in multiple fields for advancement.

@DonSolo52 They may not be self aware, but they certainly will be so advanced that they will seem self-aware and that amounts to the same. After all, there is no way that you can know for certain that you are not the only self aware human.

so you know it's possible to speak in the Spirit of Love. you see Personality all around you. it's why you are a personl what an awful chance you take of hurting Him unto never-ending shame! you like to be trusted, don't you? or are you beyond caring? there are things you can do that make you want to run & hide, just from fellow humans. my sister started gossiping very rudely about someone standing right behind her. she never wanted to see them again! when folks find out what HE did for them...

Some thoughts on the future: Eventually, dying and aging will be taken out of the equation. For now, let's just suppose that this happens, as Kurzweil predicts, 20-30 years from now. With that, we will then have to leave earth, as it is become largely apparent that Earth will no longer be a suitable place for human beings after I would say 70 years. In the meantime, major social issues such as religious disputes and people questioning those in charge MUST come to an end before this can happen.

4:15 I always think, that ray is going to SAY "TAP THAT ASS"

3:50 "we won't just be a slave to our jeans. we'll be able to actually change them. we have the technologies to actually change our jeans."

@abdicolestudios8899

4 жыл бұрын

He meant Jenes ya moron

@JNfromNatalieStreet Its called awareness. There is a difference between thinking and just simply being aware. Good bye.

Read "The Singularity Is Near". Concepts like "malicious AI" and runaway self-replicating nanobots or "Grey Goo" and other existential threats are all more or less addressed. The idea that in 20 years I'll be faced with a choice between remaining genetically and biologically unaltered or to plug a quantum computer into my brain to remain competitive in my field of work is thrilling. But the really mind-blowing idea is technology allowing us to live forever. Or, at least, until we choose to die.

I JUST WANT A ROBOT BODY. I WANT IT NOW.

I understand the linear/exponential logic to Ray's comments and yes there is evidence to support them. However, if look at basic statics theory you will see the there is a limit to how far a species can progress before it's environment becomes degraded. You do not need exponential graphs to see that our planet is becoming far more degraded than it is technologically advanced. We still drive combustible engine cars and it's been over 30 years before a human has been outside of the orbit of earth.

eventually wouldnt there be a ceiling to how much canbe produced? there has to be some sort of limit to how crazy and advanced technology can become

I wonder who they are going to test this stuff on

@OxygenBurglar Kurzweils views are the most logical progression of computation. The under writing mechanical to support such technologies are within the laws of physics. Making synthesizers and flatbed scanners have been achieved. The field of science that Kurzweil is involved in pattern recognition. and guess what these systems will contribute to human level AI.

@BrotherWoody1 The open source community, which is stationed all over the world (including the Middle East obviously) could easily prevent that from happening.

@WildBill6942 Maybe not forever but for much, much, MUCH longer? yes please.

@petion2010 As I've become fond of saying: never is a long time.

Danger danger danger - this guy seems like a villain

@OxygenBurglar Yes he is a scientist. His field of research is pattern recognition. Such a field is based on mathematics. Intelligent system is a field of science. That was formed by the study of the early information theorists. Are you suggesting that this is not a field of science.

@JNfromNatalieStreet The process of thinking, thought & conceptual knowledge is nice and functional and helps us get a better understanding of our place in the universe. But, thinking will never be able to encompass or truly grasp the real nature of the self. Its only when we drop our assumptions, our beliefs and ideas that we are somehow flawed or broken that we can start to see that the universe is whole, perfect, just as it is. And that striving to live forever is just a delusion of the mind.

@talyesin3 Religion is delirium. Ray has his eyes open enough to see our potential if we apply our technological tools to our most serious problems. Some say he's overly optimistic. I think not.

@SailorBarsoom agreed!

I want a Cylon

Deaths don't necessarily need to increase as people age, as people become more educated and well off they have less kids, balancing populations, thus less need for resources. This has been seen in the west as populations stagnate, while Botswana or The Congo as an example have extremely large birth rates due to the low education and technology. Positive Malthusian checks have been irrelevant as of late, while the negative (as discussed above) seem to hold more weight.

Damn Ray DOES look young for his age! i guess those supplements he takes work after all :)

you want a hug?

@Juanster23 Conciousness is the greatest thing in the universe. How is trying to preserve and enhance it childish and sad ?

@JNfromNatalieStreet We live in a paradox. What else do you want? An electron acts like a wave and a particle. Explain that one. And no I'm not pessimistic. More and more people are starting to wake up all the time. Everything is perfect, yet things can be better. Its a paradox.

"Why are you so optimistic?" I fucking HATE that question. Here's another way of saying 'Why do you want to move forward and put NO limits on what we can achieve?'

I bet this guy has never looked at an explosion.

@KennyReddwooddforest hmm bees would be the only things we need in terms of food(in the broad sense) cows chickens every wildanimal imaginable is actually a drain...they consume more then they produce.. cattle take up land that could be used for farming..they are subsudize and pure beef is still expensive.if the majority of animals died things mught improve(sept bees)

You forgot SOUL Ray doode...

@MrJivePirate how you know?

Who wants to live forever.... not me.

@JNfromNatalieStreet Human beings in their essence are not machines. What is sad is that we have a tendency to think and operate like one. Its because we think like machines that the world is in the state that it is. A computer is inorganic and devoid of love, it does not feel compassion or care. Tell me, will being able to process information faster tell you who you are? Do you need to acquire more knowledge to understand what you truly are? Will becoming a computer tell you this?

Lets ask Nassim Taleb of the next Black Swan. Can humanity handle the great risk - the pandora box which will be opened with technological singularity. We can all witness that machines are already defeating humanity.

This is very interesting, and seems very much a fantasy.. I don't see Machines ever becoming self aware as Humans are.. Obviously i could be wrong, just my opinion..

@spectralbat Thats just because hes the messiah of tech

Ray Kurzweil isn't insane. Everyone said the same things about every other person far ahead of their time, have a look at how the public viewed Tesla. It's funny how people don't realize that fact. Sure, maybe Kurzweil might be off on the time frame with some of his predictions, but his ideas are just extrapolations. Everything he says is possible, and will probably become reality.

I'd think that if computers match human intelligence by 2029, we would see machines now that at least rival the general intelligence and sensory capabilities of small animals such as mice.

@Daniel570C Why am I narrow minded? One is narrow minded if one only accept one truth.

Sadly not all of us are rich...

I'm starting a series of interviews..."11 Questions for..." Looking for investors.

DURRGHHHGH if computer memory gets fast enough we will all converge and become super intelligent *carefully sweeps gigantic unsolved foundational problems in AI and every work of philosophy under the rug*

@JNfromNatalieStreet The universe is just too big for us to understand through conceptual knowledge. You'll be downloading information into your brain for the rest of time.

@KennyReddwooddforest first it just hit 7billion second thats already happened on every continet except sub saharan africa at the current rate of progress we will hit 10billion and the population will drop off at an incredible rate because of an aging population its happening in south america in the middle east a huge amount in europe and asia and in the usa because we dont have enough children to replace the old it will actually damage the economydfa

@Nightmonkey17 ok

This scares me.

@Alectr0n ok........ :) first of all what is a transhuman? and second of all i will try to "liberate and enhance" Thanks!

What a crank.

i want to ask him who killed tupac...

@KennyReddwooddforest well also late night t.v...its true and condoms...

@toothANDclaw13 Yet.

@JNfromNatalieStreet Ok, exactly how will being able to download more info into your brain tell you more about who you are? How many trillion bits of information of data do you have to download until you finallllllllly understand who you are?

SMD my friend.

I assure you what i'm about to say is true. Hell's a real place of burning torment. I'd also like to say heaven's equally real & can be your home for eternity. The writer has yielded to the leading of the Lord Jesus Christ of faithfully recorded things which He has shown. For best results read with your Bible & balance what is written here with the Holy Scriptures. May God use this testimony for His glory."(looking at comments made me think you all need to hear from the visions of Mary K Baxter)

what ray is saying is practically common sense. You don't have to be a genius to see that technology is growing faster and faster...

People are quite selfish. When the first transcontinental flights were happening: only the rich could afford it. Now everyone flies. We can only really look back and thank those rich people who paved the way. Think of the big picture in not just geographical terms but in terms of time. Think of all humanity. Present AND future. That is seeing the big picture.

I thought that futurists were supposed to be artists.

@lickmyfart Let's decriminalize the human variety first, and then we can look forward to Cyborg Hookers (which sounds like a GREAT title for a B movie).

5:20

@JNfromNatalieStreet The thing is never the word. You can describe a mountain or a tree but the words are not the thing. If you are caught up in descriptions, in labels, in concepts you will never see clearly. Simple. The vast majority of people are caught up in labels, in appearances. In other words, lost in thinking.

@OxygenBurglar Computer scientists aren't scientists?

@KennyReddwooddforest well every nation south of mexico will drop off like us...but india generation that is about 40 now has had less then about 1.5 children per couple...say with middle east. theirs will just take a lot longer then europe usa and east asia population drop sub saharan africa is the only one that shows no sign of ever decreasing in the next 80 years

@KennyReddwooddforest they decrease the birth rate

@MrJivePirate To me is revealed that we have soul. What now?

The brain with its billions perhaps trillions of neurons is the most complicated, fascinating and wonderous thing in the known universe. And you think its imperfect?!!? That statement alone speaks volumes about the current crisis facing humanity. Its proof that human consciousness right now is living in a state of fragmentation and misunderstanding. Billions of years of evolution and you believe it is imperfect? You might as well just have just said.... life sucks.

@logan2233 damn skippy

@kelbykross1 I'd be happy with a computer that has the general intelligence of a mouse :) Imagine how much better computer vision would be.