China has long claimed Taiwan as its own, and U.S. policy toward the issue is strategically ambiguous. If an increasingly assertive China invades the island, where most Taiwanese people vehemently oppose unification, the United States and the world will suffer massive economic and geopolitical consequences. Global economic loss would likely reach trillions of dollars, and if the United States gets involved in the conflict, an invasion could also trigger the first great-power war in a century. But invasion is not a given, and U.S. officials can still adapt their policies to deter China from altering the status quo.
This episode was originally released by Why It Matters on July 13, 2023.
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David Sacks
Fellow for Asia Studies, CFR
James Lin
Assistant Professor at the University of Washington
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