Taiwan: Why the US & China are on collision course for war | DW Analysis
"The Chinese seem to be preparing for a war against Taiwan" says Taiwan's Foreign Minister Joseph Wu. This puts the US and China on collision course for war - with potentially dramatic stakes for the world.
China's President Xi Jinping has vowed that Beijing will "reunify" with the island - if necessary, by force. A large majority of people in Taiwan say they don't want reunification. The United States is increasingly clear that it would intervene to defend Taiwan from any attack.
How did it come to this - and what happens next?
In this special analysis, DW's Richard Walker uncovers the roots of the dispute over Taiwan, in part 1 tracing how the diplomatic breakthroughs of the 1970s between the US and China left unfinished business that has festered ever since.
Part 2 tracks why these tensions have now burst into the open, with accusations of betrayal in all directions. And part 3 projects trends in China, the United States and Taiwan forward into the future to assess where the dispute is heading - and if there is any way of avoiding war.
Leading US authority on Taiwan, Shelley Rigger warns: "I think the danger is greater today than it has ever been before. The US and China are in this spiral of threat and counter threat, and Taiwan is caught in the middle." Retired People’s Liberation Army Senior Colonel Zhou Bo explains the scenarios under which China would use force. Former Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd sets out ideas for a diplomatic solution that he admits both China and Taiwan would "hate." CNAS think tank Chair Michèle Flournoy sets out her bottom line: "The key thing is for Beijing to recognize that if you go to war to seize Taiwan, you lose."
The film includes further interviews with Taiwan's Foreign Minister Joseph Wu; retired Senior Colonel in China's People's Liberation Army, Zhou Bo; former Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd; Center for a New American Security Chair Michèle Flournoy; Enoch Wu of the Forward Alliance NGO; Meia Nouwens of the International Institute for Strategic Studies; German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock; German Vice Chancellor Robert Habeck; and Till Steffen of the Berlin-Taipei Parliamentary Friendship Group.
Chapters:
00:00 Introduction
04:47 Part 1: Origins
05:58 The "grand chessboard movement"
07:55 The secret mission
09:00 The "One China principle"
10:10 The diplomatic "fig leaf"
11:40 Taiwan isolated
12:40 "Hell, no!"
13:30 Strategic ambiguity
15:00 Diplomatic gymnastics
16:05 "Permeated with distrust"
16:45 Part 2: The Undoing
17:20 Chinese military pressure
18:00 Crossing the "median line"
18:30 Pelosi lands in Taipei
19:30 "The United States provoked China
20:30 Western lawmakers stream to Taiwan
21:20 Parallels to Ukraine
22:00 Preparing Taiwanese citizens for war
23:12 Taiwan’s growing sense of self
24:30 The US keeps the weapons flowing
25:25 PLA modernization
26:00 "We will become as strong as the US"
27:40 The US would defend Taiwan
28:43 "Hollowing out One China"
Part 3: Collision Course?
31:27 "We should not divide the world"
32:40 "There’s no hotline"
33:30 Compromises?
34:20 China’s preparations for war in the 2030s
35:30 "National rejuvenation"
37:37 China’s 3 invasion scenarios
39:30 One thing stands in China’s way
41:00 US focus on semiconductors
42:30 Timelines shrinking fast
43:30 Warnings from Europe
44:26 "Deterrence is the name of the game"
45:03 "America’s intention is to contain China"
46:20 "Taiwan is caught in the middle"
47:20 The front line of the front line
48:30 Asymmetric warfare
49:30 Training for resilience
50:45 Opposition calls for dialogue
51:40 Any chance of a breakthrough?
53:40 How long can the tension hold?
55:10 Taiwan’s greatest hope?
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#Taiwan #China #xijinping
Пікірлер: 9 200
A very good piece of reporting. As a Taiwanese person living in Taiwan, I do wish there were a line or two on how the US or the Western countries might not have come to our aid if it weren't for Taiwan's position in the global supply chain that has developed in the last few decades, semiconductor industry included. As much as we need and appreciate the support, it would be naive to think that these supports are not based on the interests and benefits of individual countries.
@dixiedean1955
Жыл бұрын
I'm very concerned for all you Taiwanese. I can't believe that the CCP is so blinkered as to think you all want to live under CCP rule. But it's as if they have their eyes shut and their ears stopped up. It's time for Western business to look elsewhere to manufacture everyday goods and to stop feeding the Chinese economy. Like Ukraine we will stand with you, but you will end up paying an awful price for the CCP's belligerence.
@tylerbeasley5619
Жыл бұрын
Well I think the video did a good job explaining how in history the West/ US supported Taiwan all these years. I do agree tho, around Obama or Trump administration, do United States would’ve gave up on protecting Taiwan if it wasn’t for its semi conductors but the foundation is American has shown super
@gtmafiaa
Жыл бұрын
Hey man if you think you can hold off china on your own do that it'll end very poorly buy u can try you're not Ukraine yall are tiny compared to them with NATO's help yall are Done.
@harunotodoroki
Жыл бұрын
But of course, it’s all about self interest in the west and USA is the most hypocritical
@russellboyd-jb8jv
Жыл бұрын
IAM A PROUD AMERICAN, BUT AMERICA PUTS ITS OWN SELF INTEREST FIRST.IF THE DEMISE OF TAIWAN IS IN AMERICAS BEST INTEREST, AMERICA WILL LET CHINA TAKE TAIWAN, AMERICA IS THE ONLY COUNTRY, THAT CAN STOP IT FOR SURE.
As someone who lived in Taiwan for 4 years, Taiwanese people and culture is incredibly beautiful, and I wish nothing but the best for them.
@cryptohornbill9658
Жыл бұрын
And half of them are not interested in independence, 😂 i have been there too
@angelamilton5134
Жыл бұрын
@@cryptohornbill9658 They love independence, I have been there too 😂
@root_pierre
Жыл бұрын
They are more interested in freedom and prosperity. That doesn't mean they want independence from China, they want to coexist but not be part of it
@paoloorate2265
Жыл бұрын
The lesson is: Never believe on what Americans say. They are liars.
@HT-br1uh
Жыл бұрын
@@angelamilton5134Not everyone. A small group who has the microphone 🎤. Most people didn’t vote for independence
Why doesn't anyone mention the fact that Taiwan and China can never be reunified simply because they were never unified in the first place
@kingwing3203
2 ай бұрын
Just as Washington is part of the United States, Taiwan is also an integral part of China unless Washington becomes an independent country from the United States.
@studiometaart1974
2 күн бұрын
They were unified in an earlier dynasty.
My dear friends from Taiwan please remember wise words from a former United State Secretary of State . Henry Kissinger said " To be an enemy of America can be dangerous, but to be a friend is FATAL " REMEMBER that please
@tombabcock4967
Жыл бұрын
and today it's 10% for the "Big Guy"
@clementine7582
22 күн бұрын
There is no proof Kissinger ever said this.
This documentary makes us realize how much we live on such a small planet, everyone's stakes are on a thread that if it breaks, it drags all of humanity down, but at what cost...
@jordanwest43
Жыл бұрын
Everything
@cleojohnson3528
Жыл бұрын
Dude it's almost time for the apocalypse set your DVR
@tktkdiamond
Жыл бұрын
Yup It's like one my favorite songs Keep Talking from my favorite bands Pink Floyd when Stephen Hawking did his famous Commercial in the 90s saying as long as Mankind keeps communicating the human race still has a chance to turn it around no matter how close we get to another catastrophic global disaster like now we face in 2023. Like some of my family who faught in WW2 so this never happens again unfortunately they now see all the ingredients are again like it was in 1937 only with hypersonic nukes and way more powerful and devastating warfare weapons on terrifying scale never thought possible it's almost incomprehensible to the mass destruction this will cause you think the most disturbing and scary movie in history threads about a nuclear war aftermath and a radioactive ☢️ wasteland on a apocalyptic scale that even surpasses another great WW3 ending of a movie . On the Beach made in the 1950s.
@dixiedean1955
Жыл бұрын
S0 sad that so many countries are being lead by such self interested people
@abrambadal8997
Жыл бұрын
It is true especially when one engage in '' breaking the thread '' on The Five to Ten or Twenty biggest powers on the globe , as NATO--USA have tried to and encircling Russia and China by USA Foreign Military Bases , numbering over 1000 by 2008 , against UN Charter on the five continents and Oceans in The world !
Great documentary DW! Keep them coming!
Richard Walker what beach was that you walked up & down
I worked in Taiwan for 4 years building bridges and rehabbing bridges. The people are incredible. It's one of the few places I worked and was well treated. I will not forget.
@bleujay03
Жыл бұрын
Now they have to show strength and force 🤷😬
@trinidadinternational
Жыл бұрын
I lived there for one year and loved it. The people are kind and gentle
@daniel3231995
Жыл бұрын
Rehab's not a word
@niccoarcadia4179
Жыл бұрын
@@daniel3231995 Repairing roads and bridges is called rehab jobs by the people that do it. (Rehabilitation shortened). Repair could be substituted. Note: On the blueprints, drawings, and legal papers for the bid contract the word rehab is used often. A Colloquial word
@alexn4255
Жыл бұрын
Nobody cares
Wow, I feel guilty. Like I found something really cool in the supermarket and walked out without paying. PHENOMENAL REPORTING DW!
Lived in Taiwan 60 to 63 as child. Good part of my life remember great people beautiful spirits.
As a Taiwanese person living in Taiwan, I do wish there were a line or two on how the US or the Western countries might not have come to our aid if it weren't for Taiwan's position in the global supply chain that has developed in the last few decades, semiconductor industry included. As much as we need and appreciate the support, it would be naive to think that these supports are not based on the interests and benefits of individual countries.
@kko-punch7059
Жыл бұрын
TW semiconductors industry is already in the hands of the USA. What else industry does TW have that is worth Americans fighting for? Meanwhile Mainland China is developing their own self reliance semiconductors supply. They will succeed before you know it. I wouldn’t count on the US to come to the rescue. I really doubt the US is capable or even willing to engage a full blown confrontation with China.
@josephmcdonald2902
Жыл бұрын
You just not know your history we came to your aid back in world war 2
@pookiesmoochie9121
Жыл бұрын
As an American I can tell you and all the people of your great nation. My country has your back. Most Americans stand with the Taiwanese people and your democratic government. China’s only pushing our two countries closer and closer as allies and trading partners making it fruitful for both nations in the near future.
@kko-punch7059
Жыл бұрын
@@pookiesmoochie9121 closer together? You have got to be kidding. Go to the American public and ask anyone of them whether they are willing to go to war with China over Taiwan. Go!Over half of the Americans don’t even know where Taiwan is! They might think they are going to party in Thailand!! 😂😂
@vinloy23
Жыл бұрын
@@pookiesmoochie9121 Great nation? Taiwan is not recognized internationally as a sovereign nation. It has always been part of mainland China.
Thank you for the background story. I was familiar but only vaguely. Too bad Putin and China feel so strongly about land. I suppose in both cases these are strategic, and history is a never ending repeat.
@pinkfruid5629
Жыл бұрын
There is much difference there, Ukraine has been accepted widely as independant. But Taiwan, still accepted by the world as part of China.
@ThatColtGuy
Жыл бұрын
Yea, sad that these already giant countries feel the need to force other well established countries back under their control
@sevencostanza3931
Жыл бұрын
Both China and Russia are not doing so well as they like resource wise. Both countries apparently hurting more so economically last few years and decreasing numbers of the demographics pertaining to younger citizens makes it worse.
@Dept246
Жыл бұрын
Taiwan is a part of China 🇨🇳
@kingwing3203
2 ай бұрын
Just as Washington is part of the United States, Taiwan is also an integral part of China unless Washington becomes an independent country from the United States.
what a good way to spend 56:24 minutes in the afternoon. Thanks for a very informative report. I live in Asia & this concerns me a great deal. Keep up the good work! No war please.
@hdk07
Жыл бұрын
Lalaban kaya tayo kapag sumabog na yan?
@joey3291
Жыл бұрын
Taiwan should not serve as a tool of the US to constrain and harm China if it cares so much for peace and stability. The situation is almost identical to that between Ukraine and Russia. For China and Russia: you hurt me, I'm bleeding, I will stop you... simple as that.
@MrMJmusicLover
Жыл бұрын
Unfortunately, it will happen.
@mason3641
Жыл бұрын
@@joey3291 wdym? If Taiwan didn't have such good diplomatic relations with the US China most likely would've already invaded them
@joey3291
Жыл бұрын
@@mason3641 Well, if that's what TW believe, then it leaves mainland no choice
One of the best if not the best programme about this subject.,,,,,, Bravo!
@plsdonttttt
Жыл бұрын
use a profile picture bro whats wrong with oyu
@zachj7953
Жыл бұрын
Lmao, the video waits until the final 4 mins of an hour long video to point out how China lied about it's intentions in HK and their coup they launched there. It also spends way too much time giving a former PLA a platform to spread CCP talking points. It's not a bad video but it's not critical enough of the CCP or really the US for that matter. It just lets everyone say their talking points without critically analyzing those point's validity...
@lucyinthesky444
Жыл бұрын
@@plsdonttttt Why does _he_ (or she) have to?? You don't have one...simplistic curiosity?? 🤔
@condorX2
Жыл бұрын
This US marine already predicted it. Happy New Year. Thank you to everyone who has helped support this channel in every way - translations, donations, helping to share and spread this information - all of it makes this possible. Things to look out for in 2023: - Western escalation in Ukraine with Poland & others possibly entering into the conflict as Ukraine's forces crumble; - US escalation toward China directly; - US meddling along the peripheries of Russia and China (regime change operations); - The continued rise and evolution of multipolarism; I will continue keeping an eye on all of these topics and more throughout the year to come. -The New Atlas channel 🍻
@donkeybaker3084
Жыл бұрын
@@plsdonttttt iiiiiiii
When was this released? I know it was uploaded a month ago.
Very detailed and informative, thanks
I love how often Rudd was able to use the term “salami-slice” in one interview
@SimonBrisbane
Жыл бұрын
Kevin Rudd is one of the least popular Australian Prime Ministers in history.
@blueonblack83
Жыл бұрын
The man likes his salami.
@catfordprepper
Жыл бұрын
Rudd apparently loves salami. That’s why he learnt Mandarin and grew that beard. He loves pork salami in noodles with Captain Birdseye prawn.
@Nikkska
Жыл бұрын
@@SimonBrisbane He was certainly better than the last decade of self-enriching puppets of Rupert Murdoch
This was so informative and helped shed light on such convoluted and deep-seated issues. Great video!
@ningjing1113
Жыл бұрын
nothing is convoluted nor deep-seated. it's like your property is occupied by your divorced partner who doesn't have title on the property, you need to evict them but they not only stayed and try to claim they have the rights to stay, and your nosy neighbor got involved and telling both sides they are on their side.
@wahyuindrasto8307
Жыл бұрын
Viewers are more interested in finding out whether Taiwan can survive if China decides to invade the island. With Ukraine in mind America needs to know that China IS NOT Russia. The PLA won't be anything like the Russian forces in Ukraine; it is more lethal. Also, Taiwan's survival -- if it survives -- depends on direct American engagement. That is, US boots on the ground shooting back at the Chinese. Any other formulation and Taiwan will be lost.
Thanks for sharing
Taiwan should not have to give up their way of life for anyone, and as an American I think we should helping anyway we can. Whether its boots on the ground or simply supplying weapons and technology. Bottom line is no one should have to live under yoke of communism.
@sarahwynn6486
2 ай бұрын
America cause most issues and then walk away .,
@kingwing3203
2 ай бұрын
Just as Washington is part of the United States, Taiwan is also an indivisible part of China. Even if Washington becomes an independent country from the United States, Taiwan will still be an indivisible part of China.
You are one of the few News Channels I have any faith in .
Finally I got the picture. Thanks for this great report.
@shenjiejason8350
Жыл бұрын
The report doesn't explain that during the chinese civil war, the republic of China was ruled by a dictator who doesn't allow other political parties and US was supporting dictatorship throughout Asia for its benefit
@wahyuindrasto8307
Жыл бұрын
generous with your praise of this documentary but viewers are more interested in finding out whether Taiwan can survive if China decides to invade the island. With Ukraine in mind America needs to know that China IS NOT Russia. The PLA won't be anything like the Russian forces in Ukraine; it is more lethal. Also, Taiwan's survival -- if it survives -- depends on direct American engagement. That is, US boots on the ground shooting back at the Chinese. Any other formulation and Taiwan will be lo
@suco2922
Жыл бұрын
Just a scratch , it is quite deeper than presented.
Henry Kissinger: leaving war and chaos in his wake for a hundred years.
As for all wars,it's all about the resources.
Great comprehensive story - thanks!
@edwardanderson5988
Жыл бұрын
Yes it is well done and fills in some gaps in our knowledge, but it is still a mistake to stab your friends in the back.
Wow. This was an amazing documentary report on the Taiwan issue! Thank you DW News for producing this! After watching the video I'd say it's one of the best reports I've watched because it has addressed so much of the nuance and historical events regarding Taiwan!
@6Diego1Diego9
Жыл бұрын
it can't be that good bro c'mon. you're just obsess with KZread.
@Hayatiu
Жыл бұрын
7:43 capitalist allies 😅. Oh boy back back then taiwan was run by authoritarian dictator 😂. News and media this time 😂
@tropicsalt.
Жыл бұрын
@@Hayatiu Yep, that was then and this is now. That dictatorship led to what Taiwan is today. Maybe the wording was poor but China's word means nothing after HK.
@Hayatiu
Жыл бұрын
@@tropicsalt. most irritated words in internet now is freedom,free speech and democracy. Hk is china part and I am not going to come to your home and lecture you how to run your home and family as we have different way of thinking
@tropicsalt.
Жыл бұрын
@@Hayatiu But if we had an agreement between you and me signed based on set timelines, then I would expect a knock on the door if I broke the agreement.
This was made exceptionally well
It's not about reunification, it's about who gets to control the semiconductor industry.
Well Rounded Documentary, very informative and Impartial from the interviewer, letting the people tell their side of the story and providing facts. I hope you continue informing us in the same way. Very Good.
@thesixth2330
Жыл бұрын
what facts were presented?
DW has become my favourite source of news in the last year. Great upload!
@mikehinson5935
Жыл бұрын
I agree, I love DW News!!!
@sambassil7825
Жыл бұрын
You’re right, it’s taken the place of bbc
@tktkdiamond
Жыл бұрын
Yup It's like one my favorite songs Keep Talking from my favorite bands Pink Floyd when Stephen Hawking did his famous Commercial in the 90s saying as long as Mankind keeps communicating the human race still has a chance to turn it around no matter how close we get to another catastrophic global disaster like now we face in 2023. Like some of my family who faught in WW2 so this never happens again unfortunately they now see all the ingredients are again like it was in 1937 only with hypersonic nukes and way more powerful and devastating warfare weapons on terrifying scale never thought possible it's almost incomprehensible to the mass destruction this will cause you think the most disturbing and scary movie in history threads about a nuclear war aftermath and a radioactive ☢️ wasteland on a apocalyptic scale that even surpasses another great WW3 ending of a movie . On the Beach made in the 1950s.
Great documentary DW! Keep them coming!. Great documentary DW! Keep them coming!.
Excellent documentary.
Well done and balanced. Thanks....hopeful to visit Taiwan in the next year.....and looking for peaceful paths along the way.
@kingwing3203
2 ай бұрын
Just as Washington is part of the United States, Taiwan is also an integral part of China unless Washington becomes an independent country from the United States.
Don't think Xi could stand the same humiliation Putin is facing.
@Kellonsbillion
Жыл бұрын
Mentioning Putin losing make you a joke
@tokosepedacandra9668
Жыл бұрын
Putin is winning in Ukraine... Dude. Slava rusia. Putin the great from Russian empire. Tsar Putin 🔥🔥🔥🔥
@favourme5122
Жыл бұрын
@@tokosepedacandra9668 care to explain why Russia is targeting energy in Ukraine? Is that victory?
@tokosepedacandra9668
Жыл бұрын
@@favourme5122 That is war... That the answer.. NATO bombing Serbia critical infrastructure, nato do the same as Russia did in Ukraine now. 🔥🔥🔥
@michaelpelzek8882
Жыл бұрын
@@Kellonsbillion but he is though... you guys live in opposite world.
I want to thank you for an excellent video ....keep it up ..
The desire of China to annex Taiwan seems difficult to achieve. Taiwan, for almost a century, has been enjoying the democratic way of life. It will be revolting to them to be compelled to be placed under communist rule. They are used to enjoying all lawful freedoms. Merely personal opinion.
This was an incredibly well researched, balanced documentary...thank you for posting.....
@jesussucgang3040
Жыл бұрын
Geography: Communist Seal evident in China map Hammer handle facing North Korea About to swallow North Korea About to pierce North Korea Hammer Head facing south Above India Inflate Communist China flag 🇨🇳 and See the RED two (2) eyed beast with eight (8) horns dragon's genital protruding facing Hainan Island Taiwan will be taken by force to COMPLETE the second eye of the dragon Two(2) face dragon 1.about to swallow North Korea 2.about to swallow the Lion Philippines the Lion Manila and Luzon FOREHEAD Palawan Island SNOUT Panay Island the EYE The Lion with Three (3) Stars The Official Seal of the Office of The Philippines President Scripture: Revelation 12:4 'about the dragon' and in Revelation 12:16 'the earth opened'
@heww3960
Жыл бұрын
Balanced? Pretty far from. They are not even touching on the fact that USA are acting like a world police and is meddling in affairs that is not their business what so ever, anything outside their own border they should not give a f**k about. USA is hardly saints themself.
@marcboblee1863
Жыл бұрын
@@heww3960 What other nations do or don't do is beside the point, in that, this posting was about Taiwan...thanks for the comment
@heww3960
Жыл бұрын
@@marcboblee1863 It is not balanced just because they have a soft and calm narrative. What make this video balanced? The viewpoint was pretty onesided.
@marcboblee1863
Жыл бұрын
@@heww3960 I heard clearly, the position of all sides...plus those who preach calm and moderation... viewing and hearing can be subjective depending on ones own opinion before watching...its what humans do... unfortunately... appreciate the further comment..
It takes only one man to change the world and two men to change history.
@pete5819
3 ай бұрын
Benjamin Franklin
I wish everyone would just get along, end the wars and share the wealth
@CandyDeven
Ай бұрын
sounds just like Communism
Economic investigator Frank G Melbourne Australia is still watching this very informative content cheers Frank 😊
absolutely brilliant video (I'm a Brit living in Taiwan)
@fillrobs7726
Жыл бұрын
@@ningjing1113 haha Chinese right? Very glad I don't live there - I've been to Shenzhen, it is completely lawless and corrupt
@clairehanna9662
Жыл бұрын
@@fillrobs7726 lol 😅white🐷
@yinyinching1502
Жыл бұрын
@@ningjing1113 why not?
@Doochos
Жыл бұрын
@@clairehanna9662 say that to his face, you vile little racist. But you wouldn't.
@Doochos
Жыл бұрын
Me too. It's a great country. 👍
Wow... this woman is a brilliant curator of facts. Will definitely be searching for more of her work
@se-wb9hv
Жыл бұрын
她实际上只是个非常无能的人。欺骗台湾民众获得选票,现在大部分台湾人看到了她伪善的一面,不再相信她,所以大部分人更愿意相信国民党。与此同时,美国不愿意看到这样的结果,所以美国要胁台湾政府。用以对抗中国大陆
@se-wb9hv
Жыл бұрын
She's actually just a very incompetent person. Defrauding the Taiwanese people to get votes, most Taiwanese now see her hypocritical side and no longer believe her, so most people are more willing to believe in the KMT. At the same time, the United States is unwilling to see such a result, so the United States threatens the Taiwan government. against mainland China
Sure hope so
I really appreciate your video, which brings attention to this important topic. As an ex-Taiwanese special force operator, I will fight to my last breath to protect our democratic ways of life and my children. Please remember that we're not just some "remote island". If we fall, the first island chain breaks, and Taiwan strait becomes Chinese controlled. From the east coast of Taiwan, China will then be able to send its nuclear submarines to the Pacific without the US knowing it, and the whole west coast of the US will be under the fire range of their submarines. Japan and Korea may also have to bow to China because most of their energy supplies and trades go through the Taiwan strait. US influences will be significantly weakened, and most likely the US dollar will collapse as a result. If you think carefully, we are more like a gatekeeper of the free world.
Great history in this video, much better understanding of todays tension.
Hi I enjoy watching these but the VERY repetitive background music goes on for far too long and becomes distracting.
nice documentation
Thank you for the long form content
I love DW. This was so very well written and put together. The beginning was especially interesting because I never understood how they got to the one China policy.
@ss-w13qn
Жыл бұрын
This place has been a Chinese Island from the year of 2070 BC and the local people are descended from Chinese. It has always been apart of the China. Maybe you just need to learn some world history.
Didn’t John Pilger call this a few years ago?
Great documentary
Having traveled to both countries, China extensively, I find this documentary the perfect primer on relations between the two countries and the dilemma it poses for the United States. Well done.
@Celticowl4136
Жыл бұрын
Corporate America yes, the American people no
@sweegoh2875
Жыл бұрын
Domestic political decay in the US is the root cause. Corrupt and rogue politicians divert attention on their incompetence and failure to fix domestic issues by diverting US voters on imaginary Enemies, serving their masters in Millitary industrial complex. Taiwan has always been able engage peaceful discussion with China. Sadly, infiltration by foreign agencies in Taiwan is so dangerously deep that such peaceful engagement opportunities are always intercepted, polarizing Taiwanese People. Unfortunately, Taiwan is a chess piece expendable as US sees fit. We are not blind. If today, Taiwanese voted for peaceful engagement with China, those illicit forces will act string to deter, promoting fear and war mongering aided by its war machine media, interfering with election in Taiwan.
@zz3718
Жыл бұрын
The Chinese have pissed off all the other countries in Asia - especially India. They've repeatedly attack the Indian border. Let them attack Taiwan. The minute the second largest military in the world knows that China's has a large number of its soldiers in the middle of the ocean, what do you think is going to happen? The Indians are going to sit in a corner rubbing themselves? No, they're going to invade China. The Indian Navy will send its navy into to the Indian ocean to halt all oil and gas, and food shipments going to China from the Middle East, and beyond. India doesn't care about the situation between Russia and NATO, but China getting carved up like a cake is non-negotiable. China also has an aging population, and the one-child policy means that there's a lot of men with no children coming from them (they don't have enough women to reproduce with to keep the population over one billion). The Chinese population going to be declining sharply. Whether they invade Taiwan (or assist in Ukraine - a long, long distance from China) or not, the fun times for the Chinese are yet to start.
@bloomtv3-thealtchannel368
Жыл бұрын
you probably mean 'the relationships between the countries' politicians' - not the relationship between the countries' people. Cause they mostly never met each other.
@dancerinmaya6813
Жыл бұрын
I bet your country does not recognize TW as a country, wherever you come from. TW is part of CN, that's the official stance of 183 countries (out of 195) and the UN. Check your country's official stance, if it's the US, that's all the better---the US has been playing the two sides of Chinese against each other despite its official stance is one China for its own benefit. Shame on the US on its hypocrisy and evilness.
Thank You Richard. Very well done. You have an hour of things all Americans should know.
@timbibin
Жыл бұрын
I couldn't agree more Brotha. Subscribed after only watching the first 5 minutes or so.. You won't see/hear such important and informative information on CNN or The History Channel 👍👍.. Salute from Detroit 👌👌..
Why did you not incorporate the latest directives to decentralise from the Chinese mainland?
How about disarming governments for a change.
Now I understand these issues. Thank you so much 💓
Well done Richard. An excellent and very informative analysis of the current situation. However you are now keeping everyone on edge so in a previous life were you a 007 producer? In the meantime keep up the good work!
@wahyuindrasto8307
Жыл бұрын
Viewers are more interested in finding out whether Taiwan can survive if China decides to invade the island. With Ukraine in mind America needs to know that China IS NOT Russia. The PLA won't be anything like the Russian forces in Ukraine; it is more lethal. Also, Taiwan's survival -- if it survives -- depends on direct American engagement. That is, US boots on the ground shooting back at the Chinese. Any other formulation and Taiwan will be lost.
@richardquick826
Жыл бұрын
I DON'T know if you mean me.. but i have used structure and protocols on the mainland of china, when i use remote viewing as a skill after since 92. i tell it like i see and understand. the most important thing to me is the populace. i want them to leave china, and go to africa or some beaten off path and start over again. you general people of china, i am saying :LEAVE CHINA: . I CAN speak over and over again, the same thing. leave xi.. its a losing battle. u can't win being in china. covid is killing you people. xi is not a god. he is a nobody. if i get more data on him, i will speak out what i know. God has HIS eyes on you china. you are good people. but the government is corrupt. you must leave xi for he is only a man--richard
@condorX2
Жыл бұрын
This US marine already predicted it. Happy New Year. Thank you to everyone who has helped support this channel in every way - translations, donations, helping to share and spread this information - all of it makes this possible. Things to look out for in 2023: - Western escalation in Ukraine with Poland & others possibly entering into the conflict as Ukraine's forces crumble; - US escalation toward China directly; - US meddling along the peripheries of Russia and China (regime change operations); - The continued rise and evolution of multipolarism; I will continue keeping an eye on all of these topics and more throughout the year to come. -The New Atlas channel 😅
@mas-udal-hassan9277
Жыл бұрын
@@condorX2 “The FBI gathers evidence. Once evidence is gathered, it is turned over to the Department of Justice. The Department of Justice then decides whether it has enough evidence to present to a federal grand jury. In the case of the 1998 United States Embassies being bombed, bin Laden has been formally indicted and charged by a grand jury. He has not been formally indicted and charged in connection with 9/11 because the FBI has no hard evidence connecting bin Laden to 9/11.”
@t0n0k0
Жыл бұрын
Rich meh? So cool it. How do you feel foreigner took this job tob. They eat for free
Fig leaf should be olive branch, I think? Fig leaves cover privates on sculpture; while an olive branch is a token of peace. Besides that very small detail, very interesting history.
The clipping effect used constantly between scenes is annoying. Otherwise informative reporting.
Taiwan deserves to be free and independent from interference from China.. Let those people live and prosper
@GBULL1982
Жыл бұрын
Tell the United States to give this land back to the Native tribes and let them live in peace
@gerardw.7468
Жыл бұрын
@@GBULL1982 Tell the Han Chinese to give land back to the Outer Mongolians and Uyghur people of Xinjiang and let them live in peace.
@GBULL1982
Жыл бұрын
@@gerardw.7468 They might once the European gives back the Native Tribes their land and get out of Africa as well. A thief can’t tell another thief to stop stealing
@kocc7966
Жыл бұрын
Why can't the US do the same with Alaska? Let Alaska be free!
@gerardw.7468
Жыл бұрын
@@GBULL1982 So China is a thief now huh. Nice of u to confirm that for us :)
Nice reporting! Thanks DW!
China , Russia and America must mind their own business and be very happy with what they have . They must stop interfering with other countries .
9:40 is deeply incorrect. PRC is not intending to resume its territory to the height of Qing dynasty. The height of Qing dynasty included many current countries in central Asia like Kazakstan, as well as Mongolia, the outer Manchuria, which is now part of Russia. It's constitution claimed the territorial are is 960 million square kilometers. On the countrary, the ROC (Taiwan) constitution still includes Mongolia, which is 1142 million square kilometers.
@nolaserv
11 ай бұрын
Why is the CCP so worried about their "one china bs" when they lost part of Manchuria to Russia? Why don't they start with invading Russia first to get that back?
this has to be one of the best documentary on the cross-trait issues, I have watched so far
please never relent you all deserve freedom self respect Australia loves Taiwan
@god-son-love
Жыл бұрын
Rather dead than red.
What a messed up world we've all been born on
great doco! well done
Good job.
I didn't know Keanu does the journalism
As always nicely done.
Thank you for a long form view on the US/China/Taiwan conflict.
TAIWAN is Peaceful and Prosperous Country and should be respected.........
Now if they would stop sending balloons here
Very informative and crucial to analyze the Taiwan- China senario that could impact the whole world if not meticulously handled.
@i1bike
Жыл бұрын
Take Van already impacted it
@albertovidalon8824
Жыл бұрын
The only way to keep the One China international policy is: the PCCh is a terrorist organization and should be removed of power in mainland China, then the Kuo Ming Tang is the ONLY democratic political organization in China. Civil organization as Far Lung Gong must be considered under persecution. Also Tibet and Uighur people deserve their own country back, independent and recognized by the International Community and the United Nations Organization.
@hovstacoolianz2197
Жыл бұрын
It all comes down to global domination, every major event that has shaped the world order since the first world war. Global power interests are always behind it and we know which country is the world's superpower since the end of WW2
@fredkruger7355
Жыл бұрын
They will foment war and put their guys on both sides to instigate.
@madmouse4400
Жыл бұрын
I have one question: what international law does the PRC break if they engage in war with Taiwan? I mean , the USA broke the principal of independence and sovereignty of UN members by invading Iraq and operating a regime change ; The Russian federation broke the first two principals and also the principal of territorial integrity by invading and annexing Ukraine ; But the People's republic of china , what principle would they violet? Taiwan is officially recognized by only a handful of country , they don't have a seat at the UN , and the vast majority of UN members recognize the PRC , lead by the communist government in Beijing as the "true china" and that Taiwan is only a part of its territory . So what would make china wrong to do that?
Finally a better balance overview on what happens. Because it talks about history.
Man just can't seem to get it together, peace is a beautiful thing.
Excellent piece, however I caught the segment when a PCR representative said that they will become as strong as the United States in the near future while spending less than half on the military each year. interesting
very good summation of the issues - balanced and objective
Kissinger wasn’t really interested about Taiwan during those days! He’s more interested by making China join the effort of defeating the Soviet Union! It’s completely different scenario now..
@qdelevation8947
Жыл бұрын
After all, giving up Taiwan in return of defeating Soviet Union was a very great deal for the US at that time.
@xuansu9036
Жыл бұрын
@@qdelevation8947 Soviet Union collapsing too soon messed up a lot of plans.
In a game of nuclear war who gets the instigator penalty?
What a mess..
No matter what part of the world, in "diplomacy" nobody ever speaks of NO MORE WARS. As over the centuries it has not been the ideal solution and as humans one would think we should have learned that by now. "Old men declare wars, young men die fighting it" said once a wise person..
@neothaka
Жыл бұрын
There should be a universal law requiring anyone who advocates or starts a war, to fight in them. Putin has proven this quote to be on point, even in this day and age.
@beklerken1
Жыл бұрын
@@neothaka A world with no wars or conflict, how nice would that be. But in my opinion, as long as we have borders, flags, nations, religion, divisive politics, nuclear warheads, and of course the root of all evil, banks, i cannot see that happening as much as i would love to see it before I die. Note: I included religion in the context of centralised religion like the Vatican should be abolished but anyone can be free to practice their belief in their homes with free will. Blessings from Oz
@roywilkowski2326
Жыл бұрын
That would be nice, but I just don't see a compromise here that would be satisfactory; not with Xi in power. It's like a newly married couple that agreed to have children and raise a family. Suddenly, after the marriage vows are exchanged, one half decides that they do not want to have children. Where's the room to compromise?
@Leiming_Zhu
Жыл бұрын
@@neothaka Do you know the US bombed Yemen recently? maybe you know, maybe you don't know, but mostly, you don't care
@MrMJmusicLover
Жыл бұрын
If we want NO MORE WAR, why do we still have militaries? In order to have NO MORE WAR, you need to get rid of those existing militaries.
I got my degree in history a few years ago. A course that I had to take is current world history. A big part of that course was U.S. Sino relations. I think we studied them for a month. U.S. China relations are too complicated and nuanced to talk about in a 50 minute video and a KZread comment. If you have a month we will discuss them. I am disabled and have a lot of time on my hands. This video talks about China invading Taiwan as a given inevitability. It may, but it is not a given. China's military is about as corrupt as Russia's. In peacetime this corruption does not really matter. When you go to war it does. Russia has not done well in Ukraine. A lot of this can be chalked up to the corruption which China has a big problem with. Xi has to be thinking about this. To invade Taiwan it will take around a half million troops. China only has the military sealift capacity for about 25,000 troops. Let us say that China can get those half million troops there. It then has to supply those half million troops. Taiwan has a monsoon season that lasts about five of six months in the Spring and about five of six months in the Fall. If Taiwan does not fall within that one month, China has half a million troops in Taiwan that it can't supply. If China invades Taiwan, Japan and Australia will undoubtedly get involved too. Taiwan is only about 60 miles from the southern islands of Japan and Taiwan is critical to Japan strategically. Australia seas China as a giant threat in that region. India and Vietnam both hate China. They might take advantage of a weakened China. To top this off Taiwan might object to being invaded and put up a fight. China might invade Taiwan, but these are all things Xi is probably thinking about.
@meilinchan7314
Жыл бұрын
Ultimately, China's best bet for taking out Taiwan is isolating it. However, that would mean that the main war for Taiwan shall not take place in the Amoy Strait, but in the US House of Representatives. If America will come to Taiwan's defence, then Beijing will simply seek to find ways to lobby, pressure or manipulate American voters into ditching Taiwan. However, the probability of China using Taiwan, to distract the public can't be discounted either. And then there's the question if they will be pushed so deep into a corner that they feel they have no choice but to invade at any cost.
@salyluz6535
Жыл бұрын
Also Australia is working on becoming a centre for nuclear submarines. They could be quite useful in that part of the world.
@Zakaius
Жыл бұрын
Taiwan is China's unfinished civil War. It'll be finished regardless of what USA think.
@hypocritehater1673
Жыл бұрын
You know almost nothing about China,hilarious but it's fun to learn the view from ignorant 😁
@mohansinnapillay6925
Жыл бұрын
Your assessment is right. Landing troops in Taiwan is not easy nor establishing supplies. Plus single parents in China wont like to see their own child dying because of Xi's ego.
26:00 over the years China keeps on saying that they are weak and should not be afraid of, It's the first time they said that they are Strong. This implies that they are almost ready for military action.
Still here
I love how the Chinese say people in China want reunification, but don't care about the desires of the province they want to reunify with. All dictatorships are the same kill and take what you want regardless of moral and ethical lines.
@morganhuwen
Жыл бұрын
Does any Madridista care about the tears/blood of struggling separatists from Calatonia? Sadly, not at all. Not a nice thing to say but that's how this world works.
@commie5211
Жыл бұрын
Of course it cares, but understand the influence of Taiwan current regime, anything related to China is a bad word, anybody who related himself with China is bullied at all level starting from kindergarten. the Chinese soldier who fought ww2 are constantly bullied because they still consider themselves as Chinese. These is no ground for any kind of communication of setup. China fought ww2, just to free its people from colonism and imperialism, and now, those people were taught China as enemy ever since they were born. It is rather sad than ignorance. of course we care.
@god-son-love
Жыл бұрын
If that's how Chinese treat their children in the west, the police will intervene and send the child to a foster family.
@angusmullins511
Жыл бұрын
Time for the west to fully decouple from China. They are not a trustworthy partner. Let France take America’s place.
@denniswen8483
11 ай бұрын
How about Nagorno Karabakh ? The west just ignore it.
Amazing documentary. Thank you DWtv team.
@johnbran5990
Жыл бұрын
Hi dear😊 How are you doing and Where are you watching from?
@Cathy630
Жыл бұрын
@@johnbran5990 I am watching from the Philippines.
best news channel I have ever seen.
Pretty sure I was your 5 millionth sub 🎉
That was a great video!
It has been a while since I washed a documentary this good 👍🏾. Thank you Richard 😊🤠
@John-nd4fu
Жыл бұрын
Cleaned it up good..huh?
@roywilkowski2326
Жыл бұрын
@@John-nd4fu Very good. LOL...seems nobody proof reads anymore.
Let's get it on⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Great documentary.Appreciate the talk of dialogue.
@user-iu4do1tx8b
Жыл бұрын
1
Why can't we all just get along? This saying be be true for every country, "walk 🚶♂️ quietly and carry a big stick"
thank you so much
The craziest thing to do is to offer your homeland as the battleground for proxy war.
@mremington8
Жыл бұрын
if its your homeland than its not a proxy war..... by definition
@paulwally9007
Жыл бұрын
CCP shill.
@tigger143
Жыл бұрын
不要崩潰 韓粉 你們家蔣介石當年打的可開心了呢
@lum26akua28
Жыл бұрын
If your homeland is gonna be invaded anyway, what's the difference?
@MARK-nh4hx
Жыл бұрын
So in your opinion is for the US to mind it own business and let china to reclaim it's lost territory??
Mercy and safe and trust
We need Taiwan
A fantastic program, DW- Danke, from America ✌🏻
All correct. Were I a pessimist, I would say that it was obvious that it'd develop this way since Kissinger.