What's the Rarest Thing that can Happen in Animal Crossing New Horizons? (Part 2)

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Continuing the theme of finding rare events in ACNH, we shift our focus towards things like island layouts, turnips, and more!
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Part 1: • What's the Rarest Thin...
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Gamingchibix's Thread: / all_possible_default_m...
Turnip Prophet: turnipprophet.io/
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0:00 Introduction
0:34 30 percent
1:55 7.14 percent
4:21 2.5 percent
6:08 1.11 percent
7:10 1.22 percent
9:10 1.05 percent
10:27 0.055 percent (check pinned comment)
11:16 0.0028 percent
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Animal Crossing New Horizons Guide to JULY! Bugs, Fish, Events and More! (Northern Hemisphere) • Animal Crossing New Ho...
I Let This Flower Spread for 1 Year... (Animal Crossing New Horizons) • I Let This Flower Spre...
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#AnimalCrossingNewHorizons #AnimalCrossing #ACNH

Пікірлер: 1 700

  • @courtneylawrence6268
    @courtneylawrence62683 жыл бұрын

    The rarest event that can possibly occur is Isabelle actually having useful announcements.

  • @armadillolizard101

    @armadillolizard101

    3 жыл бұрын

    Dangggg, why you gotta do Isabelle like that

  • @pembrokelove

    @pembrokelove

    3 жыл бұрын

    Isabelle’s TV habits are super important!

  • @GoddessSixx

    @GoddessSixx

    3 жыл бұрын

    Hahahaha this!

  • @iamjohnporter67

    @iamjohnporter67

    3 жыл бұрын

    Isabelle is so useless in this game. Don't try to defend her.

  • @bestinfinity1

    @bestinfinity1

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@pembrokelove yea that means she has time off when we turn off the game or get out of the resident services

  • @jjgamer3606
    @jjgamer36063 жыл бұрын

    What about the chance of Timmy and Tommy actually selling the items you want for your decorations

  • @spinda1970

    @spinda1970

    2 жыл бұрын

    0.00000000000001

  • @Vicky-fi3yr

    @Vicky-fi3yr

    2 жыл бұрын

    LOOL it took me like 3 months to get my cranny to sell a simple panel

  • @FriskyD.

    @FriskyD.

    2 жыл бұрын

    Or the gold hole being in a spot where a tree would actually look nice

  • @amymacdonald2453

    @amymacdonald2453

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@spinda1970 YES

  • @sunsetgaming6283

    @sunsetgaming6283

    2 жыл бұрын

    Oh then I must have the best island because I always think I like everything

  • @Chad_sprout
    @Chad_sprout3 жыл бұрын

    the rarest event is getting a actually good villager in your campsite.

  • @shaylacoles7452

    @shaylacoles7452

    3 жыл бұрын

    I got Marshal and Julian from my campsite but didn't take Julian or I wouldn't have been able to get Marshal.

  • @Chad_sprout

    @Chad_sprout

    3 жыл бұрын

    yeah ive gotten okay ones, but its hard to get a good villager

  • @shaylacoles7452

    @shaylacoles7452

    3 жыл бұрын

    I got 2 gorilas in a row once-

  • @Chad_sprout

    @Chad_sprout

    3 жыл бұрын

    I've also had Zell, sadly got rid of him for lily

  • @shaylacoles7452

    @shaylacoles7452

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@Chad_sprout ugh lucky lily is the best phroggg

  • @hencethepointofrice
    @hencethepointofrice3 жыл бұрын

    When I was starting to play Animal Crossing, I swear I dug up a golden hole with 5,000 bells. I have never seen it ever again and haven't heard news about anyone else getting it. I didn't take a screenshot either because I didn't know it was rare at the time. I am now starting to wonder if it ever really happened :')

  • @Dagnel

    @Dagnel

    3 жыл бұрын

    Possibly... I've never seen it personally though!

  • @TheArtfulAxolotl

    @TheArtfulAxolotl

    3 жыл бұрын

    It has happened to me before but I never got a picture

  • @danyhunselar9654

    @danyhunselar9654

    3 жыл бұрын

    There is such a Spot every day once!

  • @pringlemcfly

    @pringlemcfly

    3 жыл бұрын

    Same I think

  • @fatemashahjalali684

    @fatemashahjalali684

    3 жыл бұрын

    They removed to maybe

  • @joenamath5480
    @joenamath54803 жыл бұрын

    Ah yes, smacking rocks with a shovel for research. There seems to be nothing you won't do in this game. I don't think there's many people who would go to that extent.

  • @Dagnel

    @Dagnel

    3 жыл бұрын

    thank you hall of fame Jets quarterback Joesph Namath, very honored!

  • @ChristSavez

    @ChristSavez

    2 жыл бұрын

    I don't know if he is real

  • @obamacare4262

    @obamacare4262

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@ChristSavez woooo, wily?

  • @peppycrossing2796
    @peppycrossing27963 жыл бұрын

    Ok but am I the only one really interested the factors affecting the native flower of your island now 😂😂 never knew that

  • @Dagnel

    @Dagnel

    3 жыл бұрын

    Yeah, I'd like to see how it works exactly!

  • @avoii

    @avoii

    3 жыл бұрын

    nope ur not the only one🤣

  • @avoii

    @avoii

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@queenkatara7861 interesting. i didn’t read thru the whole thing but is there anything abt cliff flowers? i’m born in october and my cliff flowers are mums, which are in season in october. i did start my island this month (i restarted) and mums aren’t available in july

  • @queenkatara7861

    @queenkatara7861

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@avoii So the cliff flowers are your native flowers. The sister flowers that you sometimes see on mystery islands are determined by the month you started your island. So for me, my native is roses as a June baby and I sometimes see pansies on mystery islands as I started my island in the month of April.

  • @deffokeerith

    @deffokeerith

    3 жыл бұрын

    Omg, I see u on froggy crossings videos so muchh

  • @MminaMaclang
    @MminaMaclang3 жыл бұрын

    I've always thought that Animal Crossing is such a great way to teach basic statistics and probabilities.

  • @Brando2301

    @Brando2301

    2 жыл бұрын

    Such a great way to teach basic gambling addiction in my case...

  • @RGC_animation

    @RGC_animation

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@Brando2301 "You see! I once got my 99,999 Bell tree to triple once! So it's worth it!"

  • @sarahwick6514
    @sarahwick65143 жыл бұрын

    My starting villagers were Sprocket and Rocket. I think that’s fun.

  • @avoii

    @avoii

    3 жыл бұрын

    lol

  • @lynndoesntexist

    @lynndoesntexist

    3 жыл бұрын

    yoooo I started with Rocket too! I love her!

  • @msanonymous9577

    @msanonymous9577

    3 жыл бұрын

    mine were Sprocket and Mira :)

  • @skyejacobs

    @skyejacobs

    3 жыл бұрын

    Mine were Dom and Reneigh

  • @georgiammt2025

    @georgiammt2025

    3 жыл бұрын

    Mine were sprocket and Tammy :]

  • @OlDoodX
    @OlDoodX3 жыл бұрын

    You could also just bury 30k everytime, 'cause the least you can get back is 3x 10k. If you lucky tho, you'll get 3x 30k. So you basically never lose.

  • @a_thxna

    @a_thxna

    3 жыл бұрын

    wait- dats true

  • @micahedgehill494

    @micahedgehill494

    3 жыл бұрын

    … if you bury 30K every time, you’re still technically losing money. if for every 10K you bury, you’re guaranteed to make 30K, you’re still losing the opportunity to make 90K for every 30K you bury instead of 10K (over the course of three days) and don’t get lucky (making 90K from one tree). this is of course with the assumption that planting 30K is a lot for some players who aren’t multi-bellionaires

  • @SkaterDoodx

    @SkaterDoodx

    3 жыл бұрын

    So basically if you bury 30k you will make 30k back put in the form of 3 10k bags and so planting that will result in a loss of potential money?

  • @krekire4152

    @krekire4152

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@micahedgehill494 To elaborate. You have a guranteed 20K profit with 10k bells. But, if you bury 30k, you have a 70% chance of gaining a profit of 0 which averages out to be 0 bells. You also have a 30% chance to gain a profit of 60K bells. This really means you have an average of earning only 18K bells if you bury 30k, but of course, you only have the outcomes of 0 or 60k. If you do even more math, I've worked out that if you get 2 or less days where you triple, you effectively lose money. However, three or more, and you gain money. I dont quite know how to work out specific percentages, but I do know that having a profit of 120k is most likely, resulting in a net loss of 20k because you couldve gained 140k.

  • @krekire4152

    @krekire4152

    2 жыл бұрын

    To anyone who wants to figure out the exact stats, you just have to figure out how many permutations fit into every combo of profitable and neutral days and then do some compound probability. I just dont know how to find out how many permutations there are of a specific combination, only that there are 8 combinations and 128 permutations.

  • @kuwuryz4765
    @kuwuryz47653 жыл бұрын

    I want to share that my starting villagers were Bam & Shari And then I saw that Jacksepticeye also had the exact same starting villager combo Thought I had a special connection with the dude through that 0.055% chance🙏

  • @Bttns_Twine

    @Bttns_Twine

    2 жыл бұрын

    I had Bam and Shari too!

  • @angelreilly8312

    @angelreilly8312

    2 жыл бұрын

    SCREW YOU SHARI 🤣

  • @CatsForTheCatGod

    @CatsForTheCatGod

    2 жыл бұрын

    I had Boots and Shari! Boots I love, Shari got booted 🤣

  • @Peter-nj8lv

    @Peter-nj8lv

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@angelreilly8312 god I hate Shari too lol

  • @kllxenq

    @kllxenq

    2 жыл бұрын

    I got Ursula and hamlet-

  • @jstnee
    @jstnee3 жыл бұрын

    I actually graphed the turnip prices in Nooks Cranny for a while (for at least a few months i think) just for fun. And I found that to reach an EXTREMELY high selling price (500+ bells) happens about every 3 ish months. Ofc, this only counts the data through my Nooks Cranny, so it could different throughout everyone's islands. Also, if anyone wanted to know, turnip prices tend to rise over a course of 3 days, hitting the peak on the middle day, usually in the afternoon. The peak could be as low as the price you bought turnips at and most of the time (according my island prices) the week after your prices hit a high, the next week will be filled with completely low prices. Just thought this was cool to share lol :)

  • @ellemarie1998

    @ellemarie1998

    Жыл бұрын

    Bless your heart for this😂❤

  • @francinesux
    @francinesux3 жыл бұрын

    the siren when he said 1312 lmao

  • @yaboyonyxity

    @yaboyonyxity

    2 жыл бұрын

    ACAB for the win

  • @Totalcryptid
    @Totalcryptid3 жыл бұрын

    Dude this guy is so logical that I can hear the intense music playing as he pushes his glasses up and smirks about to blow my mind

  • @magentasky234

    @magentasky234

    2 жыл бұрын

    And the glasses flash white when he pushes them up

  • @chandler2581
    @chandler25812 жыл бұрын

    I once had Redd show up three consecutive weeks with all fakes. I don't know what the odds are of that but it wasn't fun.

  • @jaygay6576

    @jaygay6576

    2 жыл бұрын

    He's really trying hard to rip you off I guess

  • @butters6795

    @butters6795

    2 жыл бұрын

    what do fakes do?

  • @chandler2581

    @chandler2581

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@butters6795 All I really know is that you can't donate fakes to the museum. I think some of them do weird things at night but I've never displayed a fake on my island or in my house so I don't really know.

  • @butters6795

    @butters6795

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@chandler2581 ohhh i didn't know he could sell fake art! that's interesting redd is pretty shady tho haha

  • @ivorydoves

    @ivorydoves

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@butters6795 You’ve already gotten your questions answered but some fake paintings can be haunted or have… dubious things on the back of them. Take that information as you will.

  • @brickbot2.038
    @brickbot2.0383 жыл бұрын

    I watched a video on getting gold, and it turns out that mystery islands actually have a higher chance of giving you gold ore.

  • @avoii

    @avoii

    3 жыл бұрын

    yep i thought so

  • @lindatannock

    @lindatannock

    3 жыл бұрын

    I've noticed that too!

  • @G1ngerpocalypse
    @G1ngerpocalypse3 жыл бұрын

    Two day’s ago I had a campsite village, Redd, Celeste that evening AND Wisp. I was dying. All on one day.

  • @Washoogy

    @Washoogy

    Жыл бұрын

    If you have 3 stooting stars in a week, celeste will only come on one of those days

  • @peppycrossing2796
    @peppycrossing27963 жыл бұрын

    Ironic that the sequel to this is posted on the day Erik and Ketchup share a birthday- does anyone have them both?? :D

  • @Dagnel

    @Dagnel

    3 жыл бұрын

    Not intended, but fun coincidence!

  • @cemiller

    @cemiller

    3 жыл бұрын

    I have Erik and had ketchup on mystery previous island before I start over

  • @EthanTheGamer77

    @EthanTheGamer77

    3 жыл бұрын

    I have ketchup its her birthday

  • @nin06

    @nin06

    3 жыл бұрын

    I have Ketchup and I was looking for Erik… didn’t know they had the same birthday. At the end of the day Ketchup is adorable and she will never leave my island

  • @phantom9840

    @phantom9840

    3 жыл бұрын

    Nikachu used to have them both at the same time but Ketchup moved away

  • @wysteriousmimic1402
    @wysteriousmimic14023 жыл бұрын

    Rarest thing that can happen in this game? Simple. Getting a huge or even a decent update. That's like a 0.000000000000001% chance to happen.

  • @Dagnel

    @Dagnel

    3 жыл бұрын

    Whatever they announced is coming after the 1.11 update better be good. It's ridiculous at this point.

  • @EthanTheGamer77

    @EthanTheGamer77

    3 жыл бұрын

    what people want: a new fun update with lots of stuff and characters What Nintendo thinks people want: HAVING FUN IN JULY

  • @bestinfinity1

    @bestinfinity1

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@Dagnel hey so like it seems like people forgot about keeping secret part of updates

  • @aproudpan-da1990

    @aproudpan-da1990

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@Dagnel true, there is supposed to be another summer update soon

  • @sovic2007

    @sovic2007

    3 жыл бұрын

    LOL

  • @miss_jeannalee_20
    @miss_jeannalee_203 жыл бұрын

    I finally got the rarest combination on my island a couple weeks ago. Got both of my birthday twins on my island, and I didn't even mean to. 🤣 Octavian was auto filled as one of my first 10 last year, and I found Norma while villager hunting for Maple.

  • @Shabbs

    @Shabbs

    2 жыл бұрын

    No offense but.. I read Percy Jackson and the charecter Octavian sucks and now I have a grudge against the villager

  • @miss_jeannalee_20

    @miss_jeannalee_20

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@Shabbs oh no.. that's next on my list of series to read. Is my poor Octavian about to be ruined for me? 😭

  • @thesprawlingdentisteffigy

    @thesprawlingdentisteffigy

    Жыл бұрын

    @@Shabbs oh god ive now made that connection in my brain and i want to cry, octavian was the one cranky villager i wanted, send help

  • @joshuagrahambrown
    @joshuagrahambrown2 жыл бұрын

    For the first few months, it was guaranteed that Leif, Kicks & Saharah would visit every week leaving only two slots for other Villagers. I tracked my daily visitors for a while & at one point it had been *eight weeks* since Flick had last visited my island (I believe the “Leif, Kicks & Saharah” routine changed some time around June/July 2020, at least according to my list).

  • @ConocybeFilari
    @ConocybeFilari2 жыл бұрын

    2:59 This is Sable erasure To any new players: Once you get the able sisters shop, make sure to speak to Sable every time you drop by! Just speaking to her once is enough, and after a certain amount of days she’ll actually start having conversations with you! Hope this is useful information

  • @allique__

    @allique__

    2 жыл бұрын

    Yeah! I befriended her and she’s actually really sweet

  • @Washoogy

    @Washoogy

    Жыл бұрын

    You will also get patterns from her if you talk to her for 4-7 days in a row

  • @Dagnel
    @Dagnel3 жыл бұрын

    Part 1: kzread.info/dash/bejne/fXZ1yaehY7jYj7A.html Follow on Twitch! twitch.tv/Dagnel Edit: I've learned that I made a mistake in calculating the starting villager combinations. While there have been 75 total jock villagers in Animal Crossing, only 55 are in New Horizons. This changes the odds of a specific combination to 0.075%. Thanks to user Quiverson for pointing out this error.

  • @Kin-bd2vd

    @Kin-bd2vd

    3 жыл бұрын

    Ok.

  • @Aidtheyeh

    @Aidtheyeh

    3 жыл бұрын

    Second reply

  • @Musement1hz9oj

    @Musement1hz9oj

    2 жыл бұрын

    Hmm... interesting... time to forget in 3 minutes

  • @cookieman3855

    @cookieman3855

    2 жыл бұрын

    this isn't pinned...

  • @carsondarnell9130
    @carsondarnell91302 жыл бұрын

    I wanna see the stupid rare chance of having a perfect island (aka: the fruit, flower, layout, and villagers you want)

  • @ivorydoves

    @ivorydoves

    2 жыл бұрын

    I’m not doing the math but I’m pretty sure that’s one of the rarest things in the game to happen. Like ever.

  • @Starnet234

    @Starnet234

    2 жыл бұрын

    there is a 0.000000144375% chance of that happening if my math is correct, all you have to do is multiply the percents shown in the video together (and it has to be a percent on the calculator) if you want to know anything else similar to this in this video or the previous video, just do this!

  • @Starnet234

    @Starnet234

    2 жыл бұрын

    this is also not including the specific airport, pier, secret beach, and peninsula locations, or specific airport color chances

  • @carsondarnell9130

    @carsondarnell9130

    2 жыл бұрын

    Wow that is an 8nsane chance, thanks for the info!

  • @thesprawlingdentisteffigy

    @thesprawlingdentisteffigy

    Жыл бұрын

    lmao i want apples, hyacinths, the island with the heart shaped pond, and my starters to be dom and pashmina

  • @atanvardecunambiel8917
    @atanvardecunambiel89172 жыл бұрын

    With the introduction of Quinn and Tiansheng, and the return of Faith (who is a big sis-type now) and Ace, there are now 26 big sis villagers and 57 jock villagers, bringing the total probability of getting, say, Teddy and Tammy as a starting villager pair to 0.067%. You would have to reset about 1493 times to get a specific pair.

  • @DragonTamerLeilah
    @DragonTamerLeilah3 жыл бұрын

    I always bury 10k bells in the money spots but one time I got 3 99k bags instead! I know I didn't accidentally bury that amount either because I always reset if I bury the wrong amount.

  • @tmttlwatpwtd

    @tmttlwatpwtd

    3 жыл бұрын

    also, it doesn’t matter if you bury a ton, the amount of bells you can get from one bag on a bell tree caps at 10k. i learned this the hard way by accidentally burying 31k one time lokt

  • @tmttlwatpwtd

    @tmttlwatpwtd

    3 жыл бұрын

    lol*

  • @milkflys

    @milkflys

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@tmttlwatpwtd did you not watch the video? he explains there's actually a 70% chance of the tree capping at 10k. 30% of the time it doesn't.

  • @tmttlwatpwtd

    @tmttlwatpwtd

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@milkflys i was going to correct myself but i couldn’t find my comment. it was a simple mistake, chill dude.

  • @juniper5604

    @juniper5604

    2 жыл бұрын

    you can only get up to 90k on one tree I believe, this was in new horizons?

  • @Businessman_Justin
    @Businessman_Justin3 жыл бұрын

    This is what they call "quality content"

  • @Topbeehler
    @Topbeehler2 жыл бұрын

    These videos keep making me think up a lot of questions for the game. What is the rarest item for example? The most useful, and useless resources for building? What is the rarest fish or bug, and what is the best and worse things that can happen in game? I hope these questions get answered one day and many more

  • @FinkipGirl
    @FinkipGirl3 жыл бұрын

    I got a suggestion, although not rare, but what are the odds of lost items happening or sick villagers happening? I’ve never heard about that discussed.

  • @marianarosenthal1582

    @marianarosenthal1582

    2 жыл бұрын

    I got them both recently

  • @guacbird

    @guacbird

    2 жыл бұрын

    i really like your whisper profile picture

  • @magentasky234

    @magentasky234

    2 жыл бұрын

    I've just had 3 lost items within a week. I had a bag last Saturday, a book yesterday, and another book today.

  • @kaitomybeloved3126

    @kaitomybeloved3126

    2 жыл бұрын

    To those replying to this comment: this person knows the events are common, they want to know the odds.

  • @leedlemylee
    @leedlemylee3 жыл бұрын

    Wait. I thought Celeste shows up whether there's shooting stars or not? I've definitely had Celeste on my island without shooting stars...

  • @armintargaryen9216

    @armintargaryen9216

    2 жыл бұрын

    There must have been. The thing is that there are two kinds of nights with shooting stars: -the ones when shooting stars may spawn (as well as Celeste), but not necesarily often -proper meteor showers, when shooting stars spawn non-stop and Celeste is guarranteed. If there isn't any other news, Isabelle will make an announcement about it, and villagers may comment on it too So it is perfectly possible that you saw Celeste in a night with like, four shooting stars per hour (I'm making up the numbers), but they are still there in case you want to farm the zodiac fragments. She will show up no more than once a week when you get shooting stars and, if you get them twice in a week, when you get the heavier shower. The showers happening depends also on the season and some other stats.

  • @seungmivy1082

    @seungmivy1082

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@armintargaryen9216 I have gotten a proper shooting star night because isabelle announced it and the villagers talked about it, but celeste wasnt anywhere on my island. Did I look wrong or is this actually possible?

  • @papayapineapple3645

    @papayapineapple3645

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@seungmivy1082 this is definitely possible since it happened to me too

  • @phyllojoe5346
    @phyllojoe53463 жыл бұрын

    Also you have a kid cat plate on your wall!? That's so cool!

  • @Dagnel

    @Dagnel

    3 жыл бұрын

    It's a Kid Cat stitch someone made for me!

  • @phyllojoe5346

    @phyllojoe5346

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@Dagnel What a treasure!

  • @fellowhomosapien9830
    @fellowhomosapien98303 жыл бұрын

    YAYYY on your last video i commented about me getting two specific villagers as starters (i got roald and cherry) and it’s in the video!!! that was basically the only rare thing that happened to me lol (besides weather stuff)

  • @Dagnel

    @Dagnel

    3 жыл бұрын

    Thanks for the idea!

  • @niqchus
    @niqchus3 жыл бұрын

    Tbh i found it odd how i have had Redd last tuesday and gonna have tomorrow too??? (I time travel occationally, bc i am rebuilding my island)

  • @jamiegreenberg8476

    @jamiegreenberg8476

    3 жыл бұрын

    ill be lucky if i get him at all and he always brings the same like 2 things I hate it I NEVER get statues

  • @avoii

    @avoii

    3 жыл бұрын

    that’s odd, i think there are 9 npcs that rotate in a cycle? for example this nine days u could have (in order) leif, kicks, cj, redd, saharah, gulliver, flick, gullivarr, and label. (excluding daisy mae and kk) which means you cant have the same within the nine day cycle. (i’m not sure abt this part, i’m not a expert.) however, i think it could be possible that redd is last on ur cycle of 9 days and the beginning in the next 9 days edit: oh no i just watched thru the vid but the game does count time traveling backwards as a new day so idk?

  • @niqchus

    @niqchus

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@jamiegreenberg8476 for me it's pretty much 3 same paintings and random likely fake one :D

  • @niqchus

    @niqchus

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@avoii that makes sense tho. :0

  • @danielblumowski34
    @danielblumowski342 жыл бұрын

    I've been colecting data from rocks for like almost 300 days now (please don't ask why), it seems like the probabilities for each material (for today) are as follows: rocks - 49.42% iron - 34.67% clay - 15.19% gold - 0.72% Even after so many days they vary by a significant amount. For example these are the values from two weeks ago: 49.36%, 34.79%, 15.13%, 0.71%. I have no idea what the programmed values are, i had my guesses, but the experimental values always diverged from them over time. For now I believe it could be like: 49.5%, 34.5%, 15.25% and 0.75%, but i have no proof for that apart from what I've calculated and what seems natural to me.

  • @alanacarroll2989
    @alanacarroll29893 жыл бұрын

    The rarest event is Nintendo actually giving a good update with the other half of the game they neglected to include...

  • @kasandwichh

    @kasandwichh

    2 жыл бұрын

    are you happy now

  • @Skeletoonz
    @Skeletoonz2 жыл бұрын

    When I generated my island, it had two south river mouths and the island was sort of evenly split into four chunks, the two river beginnings on the top met at an intersection near the middle of the island, and spilt into two which both ended at the bottom. As far as I can tell, it is not on the graph of islands shown in the video. That makes me officially cooler than literally everyone else.

  • @vacantile
    @vacantile2 жыл бұрын

    I got the same exact island layout as my old island after resetting and re-rolling the layouts just 3 times. The rivers, residential service location, and airport location and color were all the same. I lucked out.

  • @drewheld9297
    @drewheld92972 жыл бұрын

    My highest turnip price ever was 657. I knew that the chances of that were small, but I didn’t know they were THIS small

  • @killercore007

    @killercore007

    2 жыл бұрын

    Lowest I've gotten was 32. Yes, 32.

  • @ElTeeger
    @ElTeeger3 жыл бұрын

    I appreciate the time it took you into putting this masterpiece together.

  • @Dagnel

    @Dagnel

    3 жыл бұрын

    Thank you!

  • @FlamesOfTheRuined
    @FlamesOfTheRuined2 жыл бұрын

    I’ve got a few ideas: 1. The chance of getting the Master Angler achievement (fishing 100 fish in a row without fail), but by catching the same exact fish each time. 2. The chance all 3 items Timmy and Tommy have at the back of the shop would be the same color. 3. The chance of encountering a sick villager at home and a villager with a flea infestation (not at the same time, just how often it will occur for either).

  • @XxRoseBudsAJPWxX

    @XxRoseBudsAJPWxX

    2 жыл бұрын

    im sorry... FLEAS? 😳

  • @FlamesOfTheRuined

    @FlamesOfTheRuined

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@XxRoseBudsAJPWxX yep. Didn’t you know that various villagers can have a flea infestation?

  • @IceAngelGaming
    @IceAngelGaming2 жыл бұрын

    So far, for me. I got a campsite villager the day one of my villagers was packing her stuff. The campsite villager picked my moving villager, and I was so glad. I barely had any nook mile tickets to go hunting for a decent or good villager.

  • @mil87_
    @mil87_3 жыл бұрын

    Those turnip prices really are the shiny Pokemon of Animal Crossing

  • @JYASOYT

    @JYASOYT

    3 жыл бұрын

    Shiny Hunting but I'm hunting for specific numbers and I'm not shiny hunting

  • @mil87_

    @mil87_

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@JYASOYT precisely

  • @TheWjoa
    @TheWjoa3 жыл бұрын

    its easier to find gold on mystery islands than on your island

  • @chasewatson3360

    @chasewatson3360

    3 жыл бұрын

    Yea

  • @Aldanaonair
    @Aldanaonair2 жыл бұрын

    I started playing ACNH ever since it was released. Renée (the rhino) and Buck were my starter villagers. At first, I thought Buck was ugly and Renée wasn't really my type. Later on, Renée left my island but Buck was still there, and honestly that happened around the time where I started to appreciate both of them. I actually had lots of pretty cute and beautiful villagers on my island, but non of them were my dream villagers. Now, I have all my dreamies, except Judy, and I'm not in a hurry to get her, Buck is still in my island and I'm planning to stick to him for the longest time possible.

  • @chelseabradley6205
    @chelseabradley62052 жыл бұрын

    I have been playing for three weeks. During my second week I walked by the largest fish shadow I had ever seen. I got the fish and it was a celocath.

  • @Dagnel

    @Dagnel

    2 жыл бұрын

    nice!

  • @moonbased7796
    @moonbased77963 жыл бұрын

    2:55 Well KK is a weird case (sort of) and let me explain: Although yes, he does show up to your island every Saturday but you have to at least have 3 stars on your island and he would come to your island to play the intro song of the game (which is called “Welcome Horizons”) and there is a few instances where he won’t show up on Saturdays if either another NPC shows up at the plaza and there is no way the KK can preform or if there is a Fishing Tourney or Bug Competition that day and if either of those was the case then the day after (being Sunday) is when he shows up.

  • @jazz5842

    @jazz5842

    2 жыл бұрын

    He sometimes comes on Friday for me

  • @Washoogy

    @Washoogy

    Жыл бұрын

    Theres no rotating npc’s on saturdays

  • @bourbonbiscuits8729
    @bourbonbiscuits87292 жыл бұрын

    seeing that turnip trader makes me want to get he game just cause how CUTE they are

  • @katw9858
    @katw98582 жыл бұрын

    8:21 i loved the little police sound ;) overall a very nice video! That's Quality content :D

  • @Mysteri0usPuppet
    @Mysteri0usPuppet Жыл бұрын

    I just looked and realized I was able to find my exact island layout on that chart! I noticed where the peninsula was, where the dock was, the two river mouths, and my resident services! I would love to know if maybe people even had that same layout as me to see how creative we got with it (By the way I absolutely hate where my Peninsula is, it’s like never gonna get used lmao)

  • @Hershewed
    @Hershewed3 жыл бұрын

    2:40 I immediately recognized my island layout here (it’s the 6th one on the South River mouth list, with the dong shaped lake on the third level of elevation) 😂

  • @thegodotcat

    @thegodotcat

    2 жыл бұрын

    2:40? you mean 9:40?

  • @Sweetest_Red
    @Sweetest_Red2 жыл бұрын

    For the 30 percent one, just bury 30k bells, that way you get you’re money back if you don’t hit the 30%, but if you do hit it, you get more money.

  • @chrisanerton

    @chrisanerton

    2 жыл бұрын

    No that would still put you at a net loss theoretically, unless you're just extremely lucky with your dice rolls

  • @ChelsieHx

    @ChelsieHx

    2 жыл бұрын

    bury 30k but in 3 lots of 10k

  • @melikets2060
    @melikets20602 жыл бұрын

    6:02 Southern Hemisphere, Jan 14th, Roses

  • @no_na_nina
    @no_na_nina2 жыл бұрын

    Omg, that lil' sirens sound with the 1312 drops haha 😂

  • @Mega11683
    @Mega116832 жыл бұрын

    I always bury 30k bells. I'll either get the same amount back in a few days or a profit of 60k. Of course 20k would be far more reliable but 3 is an honorary even number like 5, with 2 being an honorary odd number.

  • @Fadzi2342
    @Fadzi23423 жыл бұрын

    I've been getting Redd every week for the past four weeks now. This has never happened before in my time playing every day since ACNH release.

  • @kabumek
    @kabumek2 жыл бұрын

    4:50 - peaches and roses on my very first town, exactly what i'd desired. i win 😂

  • @captainchris2
    @captainchris23 жыл бұрын

    KK can visit on Sundays it there is an event in the plaza the day before

  • @psyduckrules
    @psyduckrules2 жыл бұрын

    The best amount to burry is 30000. If you don’t triple it, you get the exact same amount back. So you possibly make 90000 with literally no risk.

  • @izzyrodgers05
    @izzyrodgers052 жыл бұрын

    When I first started playing I didnt know about the bell system of burying bells, and I buried 99,000 bells (I wasnt rich either) and for the first 2 times I did it I got 3 times the amount but I remember being devastated when I only got 30,000

  • @gyaradosparty2565
    @gyaradosparty25652 жыл бұрын

    This was such a fun video to watch while tediously resetting my island for the right combination of map layout/fruit/airport color/dock size. Thank you.

  • @crossingseason
    @crossingseason3 жыл бұрын

    Some suggestions for another installment could be calculating the chances for a certain clothing item/set being sold at Able Sisters. Or calculating the chances of a certain furniture color variation(s) being at your Nook's Cranny or Redd.

  • @ssshrooms9372
    @ssshrooms93722 жыл бұрын

    I never knew Celeste only appeared when there is shooting stars I’ve seen her about 3-4 times and I’ve always struggled with stars now I’m mildly upset that I missed out :(

  • @mckennanoakes3410
    @mckennanoakes34103 жыл бұрын

    THE LITTLE ACAB EASTER EGG HAD ME DEAD

  • @_wheat856
    @_wheat8562 жыл бұрын

    to add to your specific fruit and flower combo you can also factor in the nook miles ticket random flower and fruit (1 of each per island on every ticket island, these odds could get worse with kappn)

  • @ashlady9
    @ashlady92 жыл бұрын

    I just started this game a couple days ago. And seeing how far things evolve the longer you play is so bizarre to me.

  • @casuallyartsy5538
    @casuallyartsy55382 жыл бұрын

    oh my gosh you started talking about the chance of getting a specific starting villager combination, and i look up to see the same ones i had!

  • @Nexility
    @Nexility3 жыл бұрын

    I happen to share my birthday with 2 villagers, one of which is on my island. :)

  • @iamjohnporter67

    @iamjohnporter67

    3 жыл бұрын

    My birthday is on the 13th of October and I got Chops as my first campsite villager. FML.....

  • @nin06

    @nin06

    3 жыл бұрын

    I share a birthday with Maddie🙂 on the other hand my sister shares a birthday with Jingle… FREAKIN JINGLE

  • @annatj

    @annatj

    3 жыл бұрын

    I share my birthday with O'Hare & Rex :)

  • @nin06

    @nin06

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@annatj Belated happy birthday then🥳 I kicked O’Hare out the day after his birthday with a tiny bit of time travelling 😅

  • @annatj

    @annatj

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@nin06 Thank youuu🥰 Poor O'Hare but at least he got to celebrate his birthday on your island before getting kicked out😂

  • @FrostGlader
    @FrostGlader2 жыл бұрын

    I actually have one of the river layouts shown. Far right second from the bottom in the East section. It’s identical in every aspect… minus Beach and Rock Layouts. I know it well because I’ve left my Island relatively untouched, besides a few minor changes, such as the complete removal of a segment of River, slight shape changes to one of the Ponds, the complete removal of a hill in the bottom left, and moving the other pond slightly to the left.

  • @lillyrain354
    @lillyrain3542 жыл бұрын

    I actually did the flower thing so my starting flowers were Lillies(cause my birthday I think) and the flowers in season were Roses or Hyacinths

  • @rhysegozun
    @rhysegozun3 жыл бұрын

    As someone who's also working on a computer for 8 hours a day 5 times a week, Definetely can relate to eyestrain. All my screens (phone included) have a heavy orange tint and have brightness and contrast set to 0 😅

  • @Wolfinityy
    @Wolfinityy3 жыл бұрын

    I actually had Kid the Cat as my starter villager! I got a different version of him tho so I could have his original interior

  • @smithsmith2737

    @smithsmith2737

    2 жыл бұрын

    same!

  • @StrawberrySkyAct1
    @StrawberrySkyAct12 жыл бұрын

    Rewatched this video six times and only just now noticed the brief police siren when you mentioned hitting 1,312 rocks. Extremely clever and made me choke on yogurt this past watch.

  • @dwlrma860
    @dwlrma8603 жыл бұрын

    Love your videos!! always worth the wait xx

  • @Dagnel

    @Dagnel

    3 жыл бұрын

    Glad you like them!

  • @softlystab814
    @softlystab8142 жыл бұрын

    Okay yall, hear me out. It might just be a placebo effect but I have found that if I am carrying gold nuggets in my inventory (I normally carry all materials for crafting) I strike wayyyy more gold than when I'm not carrying gold.

  • @pumkin610

    @pumkin610

    2 жыл бұрын

    Further research needs to be done on this right now lol

  • @Starnet234

    @Starnet234

    2 жыл бұрын

    one month later

  • @genehayes
    @genehayes2 жыл бұрын

    My wife and I both had the exact same starter villagers and island fruit (separate switches and games). I wonder what those odds were...

  • @user-tx6bc4sq8b
    @user-tx6bc4sq8b2 жыл бұрын

    Ok but like The piggy selling and buying turnips is just adorable as frick

  • @nintendo64skin89
    @nintendo64skin893 жыл бұрын

    10:48 tripped me up for a second because Plucky and Antonio were my starter villagers

  • @doritobandito_1323
    @doritobandito_13232 жыл бұрын

    I actually have an island layout that wasn't on the list! I have an east river layout with a natural star-shaped pond above resident services

  • @brickbot2.038
    @brickbot2.0383 жыл бұрын

    Hey! Our starting villagers were Plucky and Antonio! I can't believe the odds of them being demonstration for this video...

  • @parkermcwhorter1989
    @parkermcwhorter1989 Жыл бұрын

    Just rewatched this video. Realized when he was talking about island generation, he showed my EXACT 1 to 1 starter island when he was generating islands himself

  • @AussieBahstard
    @AussieBahstard2 жыл бұрын

    10:32 I got way too excited when I saw this, Plucky and Antonio were my first villagers on New Horizons I still have Plucky but I’ve moved Antonia out what I mildly regret because I miss him.

  • @nurafahz8096

    @nurafahz8096

    2 жыл бұрын

    Antonio was one of my starters and I still have him and love him so much :D

  • @nightskyshowers

    @nightskyshowers

    2 жыл бұрын

    I got Plucky and Moose, I Don't miss her

  • @amflippy1134
    @amflippy11343 жыл бұрын

    I thought they just patched the money tree as I used to get three 99k whenever I buried 99k there. Now I just get 1k everytime with any amount buried. I also thought it was because i moved it from where it spawned. Good to know it's actually just by chance.

  • @itsmechara0426
    @itsmechara04263 жыл бұрын

    The rarest event that can possibly occur is the game updating

  • @memeju1ce

    @memeju1ce

    3 жыл бұрын

    good news!

  • @faraway6512

    @faraway6512

    3 жыл бұрын

    K that was a good one-

  • @lisscat
    @lisscat2 жыл бұрын

    We'll see this after direct, but you have a better chance of grabbing golden ore on certain days. I'm assuming Katrina will later predict those "lucky days". I was time traveling a TON for a certain villager and noticed a particular day (whether I time traveled forward or backwards) that I would basically get a guaranteed gold ore.

  • @cloudyvulpine
    @cloudyvulpine2 жыл бұрын

    9:20 funny thing, i was watching this and saw the bottom right one and thought "hey that kinda looks like my island". then i looked closer and realized it IS my island. i chose it since i loved resident services lining up with the docks lol

  • @callme_dinoVODS8291
    @callme_dinoVODS82913 жыл бұрын

    Why is this so entertaining-

  • @tsukiminrai5880
    @tsukiminrai58802 жыл бұрын

    In regards to rotating characters, I think my GF's game was broken then! Because she would get Flick about 4-6 times in a 2 week period when she was hunting for Redd. About 35ish days later he finally shows up once, and Flick had about 15-20ish appearances in that time.. She now hates the character ^^; Lief was about 3 of those days, Kicks and Sahara none, Labelle 1, CJ 5 or 6, and Gulliver/Gulivarr twice.. Or one each... Cant recall ^^;

  • @MetaBro
    @MetaBro2 жыл бұрын

    I love how everyone went insane for Dom and I wasn’t following any of it while I got him and Nate the bear with me for my two first villagers.

  • @kaijuteeth
    @kaijuteeth2 жыл бұрын

    actually heres something abt the first event mentioned ; each island has a specific day where if you plant more than 10k, you'll get the same (x3) amount you planted mine for example was either wednesday or thursday, i remember i had signs for it and everything trying to figure out which day guaranteed more than the usual 30k bells although it is possible for your island to have more than 1 day where you can plant and get back more than 10k. its a bit time consuming, but its worth it IMO

  • @damientheincin
    @damientheincin2 жыл бұрын

    One thing he forgot: you’re more likely to get gold from a mystery island rock than a rock on your island.

  • @phyllojoe5346
    @phyllojoe53463 жыл бұрын

    I felt VERY uncomfortable seeing you from the opposite side after all the streams Also entertaining video!

  • @CloudedByKatana
    @CloudedByKatana2 жыл бұрын

    Okay, so, about the island layouts not being random, I figured that at in the weirdest and funniest way. I was watching CrankGameplays stream New Horizons and I noticed he had the exact same starting layout as me. It really threw me for a loop. Wildest way to figure out that's how it works.

  • @AIRYHFJONEIRL
    @AIRYHFJONEIRL3 жыл бұрын

    You know it's a good day when Dagnel posts

  • @minskullz
    @minskullz3 жыл бұрын

    the rarest thing is probably catching a large shadow fish and turns out to be a gold fish

  • @shahidabegumhousewife9426

    @shahidabegumhousewife9426

    2 жыл бұрын

    For a second I thought you ment a whale and then I remembered that was just a dream and shadows the size of whales dont exist

  • @Fearyfursday

    @Fearyfursday

    2 жыл бұрын

    I thought I saw one while diving and I got scared lol

  • @ratbrain6991
    @ratbrain69913 жыл бұрын

    Alright, @8:23 that got me pretty good, can’t stop giggling to myself thank u for the pick me up ☺️

  • @Dagnel

    @Dagnel

    3 жыл бұрын

    Happy to help cheer you up!

  • @willyblondehair8070
    @willyblondehair80703 жыл бұрын

    Lets gooo! You should make a part 3

  • @kayk.5175
    @kayk.51752 жыл бұрын

    Imagine wanting to do math for a game that’s supposed to make you happy, this is what makes your content special lmao

  • @HicusaHyuga
    @HicusaHyuga3 жыл бұрын

    i got Redd two days in a row once lol

  • @Plugytheplug
    @Plugytheplug3 жыл бұрын

    11:10 Me: *Got Dom and Phoebe first try.*

  • @theamazingannikag3150

    @theamazingannikag3150

    3 жыл бұрын

    same they're still on my island

  • @maevemilless4561

    @maevemilless4561

    3 жыл бұрын

    Mine were frobert and phoebe

  • @chasewatson3360

    @chasewatson3360

    3 жыл бұрын

    Omg u love bfdi

  • @darkbird25126
    @darkbird251262 жыл бұрын

    I think that the first island I was ever on is not included in this data set (would have been in the West River Layouts section). It had an 'island' surrounded by rivers in it that was only on the lowest geological level. I might be misremembering that because I haven't had access to that island for a while, but I'm pretty sure that's what it was like.

  • @_thepotatoqueen_7863
    @_thepotatoqueen_7863 Жыл бұрын

    10:47 That's fun, we both got Plucky at the start!

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