Unusually Rapid Reversal of Polar Vortex from Sudden Stratospheric Warming
Ғылым және технология
Beginning around March 4th, there was a very rapid reversal of the Arctic Polar Vertex via a Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) of over 50 C.
This reversal started as a splitting (bifurcation) of the counter clockwise (ccw) polar vortex, resulting in two meshed gears: one ccw and the other clockwise (cw).
The cw gear soon dominated, as the usual ccw one weakened. This continued throughout the month of March, and in early April we have the usual ccw Polar Vortex being established.
I show these transitions using Earth Nullschool and try to explain what is happening. During the reversed state, ozone was pulled upward setting record high levels in basically a “reverse ozone hill” versus the usual “ozone hole” over Antarctica.
Also, it looks like the reversals are much more common during both the El Niño and La Niña states, and not common during the neutral “El Nothing” state.
Climate change is certainly never boring!!
Sources
“Polar vortex is 'spinning backwards' above Arctic after major reversal event”
www.livescience.com/planet-ea...
“The polar vortex circling the Arctic is swirling in the wrong direction after surprise warming in the upper atmosphere triggered a major reversal event earlier this month. It is one of the most extreme atmospheric U-turns seen in recent memory.”
“Wandering polar vortex may cause a wild, snowy winter”
www.livescience.com/polar-vor...
“What is the Polar Vortex?”
www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/...
“Atmospheric Waves Awareness: An Explainer”
www.planetary.org/articles/at...
“The Polar Vortex is spinning backwards”
www.spaceweather.com/archive....
NOAA polar vortex blog:
“It was the perfect winter to launch a polar vortex blog”
www.climate.gov/news-features/...
“What is ozone”
www.livescience.com/ozone.html
Earth Nullschool
earth.nullschool.net/
Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos joining the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
Пікірлер: 87
Beginning around March 4th, there was a very rapid reversal of the Arctic Polar Vertex via a Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) of over 50 C. This reversal started as a splitting (bifurcation) of the counter clockwise (ccw) polar vortex, resulting in two meshed gears: one ccw and the other clockwise (cw). The cw gear soon dominated, as the usual ccw one weakened. This continued throughout the month of March, and in early April we have the usual ccw Polar Vortex being established. I show these transitions using Earth Nullschool and try to explain what is happening. During the reversed state, ozone was pulled upward setting record high levels in basically a “reverse ozone hill” versus the usual “ozone hole” over Antarctica. Also, it looks like the reversals are much more common during both the El Niño and La Niña states, and not common during the neutral “El Nothing” state. Climate change is certainly never boring!! Sources “Polar vortex is 'spinning backwards' above Arctic after major reversal event” www.livescience.com/planet-earth/weather/polar-vortex-is-spinning-backwards-above-arctic-after-major-reversal-event “The polar vortex circling the Arctic is swirling in the wrong direction after surprise warming in the upper atmosphere triggered a major reversal event earlier this month. It is one of the most extreme atmospheric U-turns seen in recent memory.” “Wandering polar vortex may cause a wild, snowy winter” www.livescience.com/polar-vortex-disruption-snowy-weather.html “What is the Polar Vortex?” www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/learn-about/weather/atmosphere/polar-vortex “Atmospheric Waves Awareness: An Explainer” www.planetary.org/articles/atmospheric-waves-awareness “The Polar Vortex is spinning backwards” www.spaceweather.com/archive.php?view=1&day=20&month=03&year=2024 NOAA polar vortex blog: “It was the perfect winter to launch a polar vortex blog” www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/polar-vortex/it-was-perfect-winter-launch-polar-vortex-blog “What is ozone” www.livescience.com/ozone.html Earth Nullschool earth.nullschool.net/ Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos joining the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
Someone should do a blog about turbulence events on jet travel. Swiss media used to have stories about planes landing with passengers injured, but they have stopped publishing these types of events. It's definitely related to the fact that they lost their case in the ICJ (I think) and are guilty of inaction for the climate crisis.
@Kavster92
Ай бұрын
I saw a jumbo jet with its entire nose cone smashed inward by hail, the impact indentations of some indicate that they were cricket ball sized, maybe larger! I think air travel will suddenly become way less safe. Its already happening imo...
@lesliepropheter5040
Ай бұрын
I don’t know why there is such bad turbulence, pretty regularly, flying from Cali to Denver …. Must be the mountains, I’m guessing…. der
First learned about the Stratosphere from the "Day After Tomorrow" film.
@tomhefner6344
Ай бұрын
Which is on TV every day and night .......24/7.........😎
Tx for the update. A weather enthusiast has to think in 4 dimensions and often counter-intuitively - your explanations really help the rest of us understand this weather & climate stuff. It's a little freaky to learn how humans are now starting to change Earth systems in a really significant ways, ie in ways we previously thought were not possible. Sabine Hossenfelder has just done a video on how humans have altered the rate of the Earth's spin awa it's tilt etc via pumping excessive amounts of groundwater & global warming. We actually have very little knowledge about the interconnectiveness of all things (atmosphere, cryosphere, hydrophere, biosphere, geosphere etc) and I think there may be a lot of "surprises" for us down the road - and its not going to be pretty! Happy days...
@anhumblemessengerofthelawo3858
Ай бұрын
Intuit this: weather control and geo-engineering.
@odoylerules4503
Ай бұрын
we are entering the vertical part of the exponential curve
@Lucky9_9
Ай бұрын
@@anhumblemessengerofthelawo3858 What What you have to understand is that the current trajectory we are on does not include either of these. So you can’t just state it like a matter of fact, because it isn’t something that is actively being pursued by any government. In fact, every single global governmental summit has failed to accomplish even the bare minimum agreement that climate change event exists….. So it’s easy to say “geo-engineering” like it is a foregone conclusion… but the reality is that that is NOT likely to happen. Why? Because with the trajectory the planet is on right now, even if the entire planet immediately started building climate change solutions tomorrow, the climate is not going to magically stabilize WITHIN OUR LIFETIME. Seriously, understand that. The ENTIRE OCEAN has absorbed so much heat, that there is just not enough time in our lifetime to reflect enough of the sun’s radiation away from the planet, fast enough for the planet to cool in our lifetime. Think about that. Even if the planet went into a nuclear winter tomorrow, and 90% of the sun’s radiation was reflected back into space, what would happen to all of the heat energy that is currently held in the planet’s oceans? It will continue to race towards equilibrium. All ocean ice will melt. Understand the implications. Do you know how much ice the planet has melted? And is melting FAST. Do you know why it’s heating fast? Because the oceans are HOT. And when the ocean ice is gone, that heat will still exist. And when the poles can no longer cool the planet’s temperatures……. The heat has nowhere to go. Please don’t just assume someone is fixing something because they aren’t.
@Zennitube
Ай бұрын
@@anhumblemessengerofthelawo3858or hundreds of years of billions of humans doing industry tipped a fragile scale. NOT magic weather control like its a cheat code in gta
Love your work Paul.
As a hypnotist and an amateur NLP practitioner, I must say Paul's eyes give him away to the fact, drumroll please, that he is telling the absolute truth to the best of his knowledge and faculties. His eyes dart in very intentional directions because Paul is rereading established refrences in his head at lightening speed. I mean, he is a professor, so you generally dont get that job unless you're a smart cookie. ❤
@sniffableandirresistble
Ай бұрын
@@DornigeChance it's called a compliment ❤️
I live on the North Eastern shore of Lake Superior and I have definitely seen Gravity Wave clouds.
This summer should become hot rapidly!
Many thanks Paul great breakdown on this paper and video for us!!
Thanks Paul, I love your work.
Hello Paul Beckwith I'm Glenn Ratcliffe &have no idea y I'm watching this (end of earth species) again....
@ScottBrooker-oh5ym
Ай бұрын
Because it's entertaining, just say it you'll feel better. People worked up about something they have absolutely no control over. Focusing on the temporal is a waste of time and money. Now eternal things that's where it's at. The Lord giveth and the Lord takes it away. End of story
@Deebz270
Ай бұрын
@@ScottBrooker-oh5ym Eternal things? Nothing is eternal... The laws of physics sort of dictate that. Though ironically there is a parallel between what the 'lord giveth' and what he taketh away, in as far as atoms ultimately get recycled. Five aeons hence, the sun will become a red giant as it continues to consume the last of its hydrogen fuel, ultimately likely becoming a 'Brown Dwarf'... The Earth will have long since been consumed in the process... So, here neither the Earth (Mercury/Venus), the moon or the sun itself are 'eternal'. Ultimately even the Andromeda and Milky Way Galaxies will merge.... So, they aren't necessarily, ultimately 'eternal'.
@daveb7049
Ай бұрын
@@ScottBrooker-oh5ymthis sort of climate change denialism is not helpful or correct.
Hey, thank you Paul for following and spreading these important findings! Could you augment the volume level when recording for better ease of understanding/earing? Thank you
2 Questions -- If we don't make any changes to how we burn fuel, how much longer do you think humanity has to stay in existence? -- And do you think the globe is warming up to the point in which pkaces like Alaska may get a heatwave this summer?
@djmouseshadow4735
Ай бұрын
Alaska has been getting heatwaves for decades now. The real question is how much heating is already guaranteed no matter what we do at this point with tipping points falling exponentially faster each day.
@user-bv3wo2qh1d
Ай бұрын
It's been said if we stopped it all today it would take 200 years of rest to bring it down 1 degree and if volcanic activities continue it will make zero difference as those volcano emissions historically swing the earth into an ice age without any human emissions. Basically you are just along for the ride and we don't actually have any control at all. Sure we can try but it will never stop the earth going through its long cycles.
What the literal hell.
Gravity waves got me. Gravitational waves is wot I heard b4 I rewound. My bad 😅
Crazy stuff! 😮
mesmerizingly fascinating
This is why I'm busting my butt trying to create a microclimate in our yard. I've got Bamboo for the West to protect us from the wind and sun, I'm trying to grow everything I can and just do everything I can think of to help us live through this.
@DarthNehimis
Ай бұрын
Thank you for your comment about getting bamboo - that's a great idea and inspired me to reach out to a neighbor about his bamboo plants. Great idea to get growing for building materials and windbreak
@anavrinquark
Ай бұрын
I have no idea about your locación an local weather, but bamboo needs a lot of water, I'd incluye some bushes that can take long drought in your área as well, to help your bamboo and sail have extra shade during heavy sun
@koicaine1230
Ай бұрын
@@anavrinquark Actually, Bamboo doesn't need a lot of water, once established it doesn't need it unless there is a bad drought. We are putting it along the West side of the property to protect us from the wind and worst of the Sun. Syntropic Agriculture is based on utilizing trees etc., to help create Microclimates where all your plants and trees have purpose beyond just food. I have a Fig tree that I'm putting in just outside the garden to help shade it until the Bamboo matures. Single row gardening is getting harder to do because of the changes that are happening, the plants just can't withstand current conditions.
Magnetic poles shifting? Last fall i saw a wave of stratospheric clouds rolling across the sky. Speed must have been mach 3 (?) And later that same day there were reports of flights getting hit by extreme turbulance and I wondered if it was the wave I observed. I'm in central Oklahoma btw
@ppetal1
Ай бұрын
Nothing to do with magnetic pole switch. It's greenhouse gas pollution. Pole swap will not be noticed except for crystal alignment in new, post switch geological formations.
Here in the U.S. inflation is hitting the market. I think the seafood industry is affecting the price of beef. Right now.
The term gravity wave has already been coined in astrophysics, I wonder who had it first.
Will these 50°c temperatures in the stratosphere contribute to ice melt at sea level?
over 8million views, dang... thank you, i wish i could sit on the bench with you, ❤
Thank u4 listening = I'm a suckka 4punishment (bit like American hedgomony) but tganx P 👍
Today, April 11, here in Gila New Mexico, at 1pm, the UV level is very high, 8.5. So, did the ozone spike in the polar vortex happen because the ozone was sucked out of the lower 48? It sure feels hot outside in the sun, today, here in SW New Mexico!
This is the well-predicted outcome of transferring stored energy from the ground, to burnt and added to the atmosphere: disruption of the system.
Sometimes I feel like I am in a dystopian, doomer algorithm! But, I am not a science denier!!!
There's a big hole in physics
Stratosphere temperature incrrase because of solar wind or cosmic rays impacting the ionosphere and causing a cascade of subatomic particles exciting the stratosphere troposphere mesosphere and down to earth. That s the global electric circuit of earth
I am extremely suprised that this is a thing, i rhought because of earth rotation this was impossible.
On the sauce
The famous El Nothing period 😁
Do u mean unusual ?
Freaky stuff
Don't mention the psychotronic and geo-engineering technology that controls the weather or anything. Real bright.
@viseberg8527
Ай бұрын
our CO2 emissions is the biggest geo-engineering plot in the world
Well, looks like you're going to need air-conditioning 😂... better than an ice age!!
Its spinning in the right direction its u who needs to go back too school
@-LightningRod-
Ай бұрын
sure
@Knifymoloko
Ай бұрын
I mean if you're gonna make such a statement at least get the grammar, spelling, and punctuation correct?
Hey, Paul. I like you and your videos, but can't hear you, even with the volume all the way up. Turn up your Mic or talk like you want people to hear! Please.
@J.M.-nb4gw
Ай бұрын
Exactly he always talks like this, it's boring as hell and puts people to sleep 💤😴
The Geography of the Ice Age / Atlas Pro kzread.info/dash/bejne/gptkvJWFkdPWdbA.html Last time it did this it lead to an ice age by turning hot air to cold air
Spooky action @a distance? Am I doin cosmology or earth science? Soz P but twas inevitable conclusion 🙂
@MagnumInnominandum
Ай бұрын
That would be Quantum Physics. Specifically Entanglement. That phrase was coined by Einstein but is not how Entanglement actually works.
How do you proof that this article is legit ?
@Spock_Rogers
Ай бұрын
*prove
@FrankWhite437
Ай бұрын
Idk maybe look at the sources and the reputation of the journal in which its published..
@-LightningRod-
Ай бұрын
Well, ..YOU can watch it in RealTime,..from a satellite, ..sp,....
Only a thousand views. I guess highlighting text isn't a video people want to watch. As a scientist paul should have figured this out. I wonder if he thinks we actually read what he is reading.
@libertysprings2244
Ай бұрын
He's reading it so we can listen while driving. Not everyone wants the same thing so if you don't like it, try a different show. I like the way his channel is and don't think it should change
@physiqueDrummond
Ай бұрын
@@libertysprings2244 bien d'accord: je porte attention quand il décrit les images (et ignore ses surlignements). Et je viens pour les articles commentés (que j'imprime quelques fois pour mes confrères profs)
@russmarkham2197
Ай бұрын
Paul is trying to encourage people to read the science not to rely on the often misleading or misquoting press coverage. It's important to do that. He won't succeed with everyone of course.
@ppetal1
Ай бұрын
He's addressing both those who do and those who don't. Fantastic work.
Keep playing space rockets. aka. earth trash.
- We live in the same climate as it was 5 million years ago - I have an explanation regarding the cause of the climate change and global warming, it is the travel of the universe to the deep past since May 10, 2010. Each day starting May 10, 2010 takes us one thousand years to the past of the universe. Today April 11, 2024 the state of our universe is the same as it was 5 million and 85 thousand years ago. On october 13, 2026 the state of our universe will be at the point 6 million years in the past. On june 04, 2051 the state of our universe will be at the point 15 million in the past. On june 28, 2092 the state of our universe will be at the point 30 million years in the past. On april 02, 2147 the state of our universe will be at the point 50 million years in the past. The result is that the universe is heading back to the point where it started and today we live in the same climate as it was 5 million years ago. Mohamed BOUHAMIDA.
@russmarkham2197
Ай бұрын
No. It is actually fairies that are changing the climate, especially Tinkerbell and her naughty friends.
@alanj9978
Ай бұрын
Get help.
@russmarkham2197
Ай бұрын
@TobinMiller-wt6yf That is more serious than I first thought but explains a lot.
Paul see the knob with the numbers on it you can turn it to the right and it will increase the volume
I can’t hear you Paul
Fix your microphone Paul
@iamme9138
Ай бұрын
I can hear him fine. Turn up your volume, it is you not him😂