Trading Psychology Event | Thinking In Scenarios | Part 6
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In our penultimate episode of expert trader Tom Hougaard’s “Normal doesn’t make money” presentation, he discusses why practice doesn’t necessarily make perfect, as if we keep trading the same way, we are just ‘cementing’ our bad behaviour.
Hougaard talks about the collapse of Northern Rock and how traders implement the ‘supermarket mentality’ which can lead them to make rash decisions.
He also covers some Dow Jones Index scenarios and the questions he asks himself to use as a roadmap when trading. Make sure you watch to learn what to implement in your trading strategy.
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Part 1: • Trading Psychology | W...
Part 2: • Trading Psychology Eve...
Part 3: • Trading Psychology Eve...
Part 4: • Trading Psychology Eve...
Part 5: • Trading Psychology Eve...
Part 7: • Trading Psychology Eve...
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#trading #stocks #stockmarket #tradingstrategy #tradingmistakes #psychology #tradingpsychology
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Пікірлер: 256
This guy is it, the one I’ve been searching for. Wise, insightful and a damn good trader. Thanks Tom!
@OptoThemes
2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
@erikjon8432
4 ай бұрын
Great video. Thx for posting this one! @@OptoThemes
You need to realize, you don't trade the stock market, you trade your BELIEFS about the stock market.
@soronos8586
Жыл бұрын
Fascinating. Then how does AI assisted CTA have the highest rate of return?
This series has definitely changed the way I think when I’m trading 💯🔥🙏
@OptoThemes
2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
@ntokozodlamini6055
2 жыл бұрын
Impela🙌
If u find this series then u guys on a right track 😉 be helpful be humble 🙂
@atharvkhiste4954
11 ай бұрын
Are those scenarios applicable for trading in india
This dude was dope, thank you for helping retail traders rise above Wall Street. Lets Go!!
@OptoThemes
2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
4:00 Toilet paper stacking JUST before Covid. Hell of a trader this guy is
@amirpenkar947
2 жыл бұрын
This guy really knows his stuff
@michaeljohnston565
2 жыл бұрын
I wish I had that kind of foresight! This Man is absolutely amazing!!
This series is a gem! Thank you.
15 years of Trading and this is the best video series I have ever seen , Thank you so much for posting amazing useful useable insight unlike 90% of the crap on YT
Excellent presentation. His "scenarios" are simply statistical data collected that he later analyzes to see if there is any correlation to a particular outcome. He can then assess a probability to this outcome and place trades when the probability is in his favor. I was also a losing trader for many years until I started doing this. I've spent countless hours collecting data in a spreadsheet. When the odds are in favor of a direction based on my data, I place a trade...I do not think about the trade, I simply react to what my data tells me. The outcome of my trade is determined by probability not by my chart reading skills and once I accepted that, I started making real money.
@paulinerauwe0085
Жыл бұрын
Interesting.
@venomop614
Жыл бұрын
Hi I'm 16 from a small country can you please give some tips on starting to analyze this statistical data? It would be really helpful.
@janquinn
Жыл бұрын
@@venomop614 My first investment with Expert Jones trading services gave me a profit of over $4,500 and since then he has never failed to deliver and I can say that he is the most honest broker I have ever met.
Can’t stop watching! Amazing sharing of knowledge.
@OptoThemes
3 жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
I love how Tom talks about how many different ways you can test theories using data and what correlations you can draw between two seemingly random elements. The fact that you can take this systematic approach and mix in psychology is what made me want to get into trading. Thank you so much for sharing this knowledge with us all for free! I wish everyone the best on their trading journeys this year and beyond.
Sir , You are a legend . You changed the way I see trading! Thanks a lot!
much needed one in the modern era... thank you.
oh man.. more of this guy please!! he is hilarious. I didn't know i was going to be watching a comedy bit
@EvanEvansE3
3 жыл бұрын
Are you being derogatory?
@upuldi
3 жыл бұрын
u must be so intelligent .....
@damblebee1253
2 жыл бұрын
He has youtube channel called Trader Tom
@greenparadise2
2 жыл бұрын
@@damblebee1253 nice thanks!
OMG, I can't stop watching this series !!
@7:50 Don't think where you think market will go, Think where the people think market will go, finding the sentiment of general masses... 👍
This man is simply awesome. He is full of wisdom. Thanks a lot for sharing this with us.
this series is just amazing, thanks
@OptoThemes
2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
one of the best video of trading psicology i'v ever seen
@OptoThemes
3 жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
@sportshighlights8708
3 жыл бұрын
agreed
THANK GOD I FOUND THIS THANK MONDAY THANK THURSDAY THANK THIS GENIUS OF A MAN AND THANK THIS CHANNEL
He’s a legend in his own right 🙌
Had to find Tom and subscribe to his channel. Thanks for the GEMS
Amazing Series, Had many Questions in my mind, most KZread videos share their journeys just to monetize, gathering fake content. Always knew deep down that its pure Math + Mental Skills VS Pure Randomness. Thanks Tom for the quality insight
Thank you. Brilliant stuff. Strong mind. I like Tom’s passion. Brilliant!
@OptoThemes
3 жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
OMG I started doing scenarios analysis last year just out of curiousity. This is cool.
Man I am so glad I found his videos. Gold☺️
@OptoThemes
2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
absolutely great content......I know that was what i was missing...now i am good and set to make it
That last chart about the intraday trend was mind-blowing. Holy smokes.
@OptoThemes
2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
What a great story teller!
Truly a genius. This video is immensely helpful.
Great informative and insightful presentation
Great stuff Tom real down to earth stuff.
Thanks for Sharing, be blessed
@OptoThemes
3 жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
Wow, this is my first video of you that I am watching. At the beginning I kinda wasn't agreed But than, damn you open my eyes to the next level. And for that I Thank you. Adding note * There is only one important trading book to read ...
@damblebee1253
2 жыл бұрын
He has youtube channel called Trader Tom
This guy is funny. The Hudson River correlation to the S&P. 🤣🤣🤣
great statistics! I'm respectfully requesting more of that ;) :*
Great video! Thank you
Thanks for your sharing!
wow thanks a lot, a learned so much
Great series, but I don't think I heard when he ever actually sells his positions? I get he holds his winners and adds more, but is he taking profits long after he's at the highest point and a downtrend is evident?
@sidchaturvedi130
2 жыл бұрын
taking profit what r u a pussy traders ride they don't take profit im sry sir what is that
i really think that doing the opposite of what most ppl expect is the best...
Brilliant content.
Most powerful video ever on trading.
@OptoThemes
2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
i feel so lucky watching this
Brilliant seminar
@OptoThemes
2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
good tetcher thank you for this, been strugle in years with my trading, some day i will turn it around. best regards from norway and sweden
This was amazing ! I would like to have a copy of these literature please ?
@icxc1585
3 жыл бұрын
Screenshot it
100% GOLD. That is all.
@OptoThemes
3 жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
@Skimmiksify
3 жыл бұрын
You should really practice portfolio diversification, 100% in 1 asset is incredibly risky. (:
@damblebee1253
3 жыл бұрын
Actually he talked about Dow most of the time, and some S&P 500, not Gold :p
@Brand00d
2 жыл бұрын
@@damblebee1253 reread the comment :)
@kofmasters1
2 жыл бұрын
@@Brand00d reread Damblebee comments, with a pinch of humor. :)
Hi how do I get access to the full video? Tx
Funny story. You jokingly say there is no correlation about the tide of the hudson river and the stock market around 18:00. This reminded me of a great website, kinda showing the opposite called "spurious correlations" which shows that even a very high correlation (90%+) can sometimes occur in the weirdest things. Just a great example: The divorce rate in maine has a 99% (!) correlation to the margarine consumption per capita. Haha. So always be careful. We still gotta ask ourselfes if a correlation makes sense, even if it is very high. ;) Amazing talk!
Daamn!!! I have watched numerous youtube videos on every technical analysis..I have gone through countless charts...this shit is mental indeed!!!
Is the video with all stats questions missing?
I've heard a million times during this that traders shouldn't be so quick to take profit or to get out of a trade... So when do you take profit???
locked me in the office until I finished the series and my mind was blown, WHAT?!??
Eye opening.
Life changing
hey there...! i have question about the hight or the low of the day. after the amount of 5 minutes bar that we will probably see the hight or the low of day, my question is that we will count the number of bar after the London session open or New york or Asia?
very smart!!
I.C.T does scenario analysis 💪
Mr. Hougaard, you should look into ICT(InnerCircleTrader) you are very close to ICT's concepts... Kinda
mental trading explanation is very important
That's a trading wisdom
Well... this guy is a visionarie... he knew that toilet paper was about to be a real thing as soon as the pandemic blew out :v
@calebcurry8422
3 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the review. Text me.! +1 (863) 855‑4881🇱🇷
@Mr.C_101
3 жыл бұрын
He also mentioned the hand soap... man if he only knew...
@josejuarez6095
Жыл бұрын
😂
What date was this recording please anyone?
This guy is so amazingly Dutch
changed my life
Thanks
19:30 as a nurse. I will always stand by the full moon effect on a shift at the hospital haha. Quiet on a full moon? Never
Does what he says, apply to the cryptocurrency world?
@Hooli31
2 жыл бұрын
the cryptocurrency market is the best market for traders because he has a lot of volatily and thats what trader want for finding opportunities. Plus you do not need to borrow money and pay fees to a broker as the volatily% is pretty big
Legend has it buying toilet paper in Feb 2020 was his best trade ever.
The sage of omaha thinks differently about the supermarket mentality Whether we're talking about socks or stocks I like buying quality merchandise when it is marked down - Warren Buffett
21:00 Dow Jones 1st bar the higher the day or low of the day
eventhough its was a video when he again show the chart at 4.45 i was scared i got like i do when trading
Wow 😯 I do the same
@SakthivelOrganics
3 жыл бұрын
Great
Was this talk in Newcastle?? I have watched the full thing and only just realized it was in the north of the UK Where I live so that's why i'm interested :P
Nice actor.
8:00 ❤
Tom is the fucking man!
for some reason my mind is struggling to understand the advantage of the percentage chance you've seen the high/low of the day. i tried to flip it around and say that 80% chance you HAVEN'T seen the high/low of the day in the first bar, but you still don't know the direction. or you could even say there is a .01% chance you HAVEN'T seen the high or low of the day at the end of the day. direction is still unclear, all you know is that it's going to be trading within range of the current high/low of the day. volatility is what you want. so i guess is what you're trying to say is to take your positions/bets early in the morning. when you're wrong stop out, and when you're right let it ride?
Now I understand extreme couponers behavior 😂when I trade indices
The toilet paper hoarder comment aged pricelessly.
I ran the Thursday-Friday-Monday Scenario for the last 4 years and didn't find his 20 out of 21 cases, is there a page where we can see your data? :)
@vladshypy
2 жыл бұрын
Me neither. And ran it for 20 years, then 10 years, then 5, then 4. I get around 50% of cases Monday opens lower than Friday. I even tried with Monday closes lower than Friday and I get even worse odds.
@tubexcmro
2 жыл бұрын
I also loaded the dow30 historical Data from last 52 weeks (29.10.2020 - 25.10.2021) by yahoo financial. Then looked for the cases when Fridays high Maybee I misunderstood what Tom said...
Liquid GOLD.. series ..Never though this could be an example of through research.
I can’t seem to understand what he is trying to explain
Super
wht type of trading psychology class is this? he talks about days of week high low! it is technical stuff. he didnt deliver any significant psychology lessons in other episodes either
i LoVE a GooD BARgaAIN
4:32 that's how someone with money shops
Someone who dissects the market more profoundly than you is the American trader Michael Huddleston of Inner Circle Trader
@Dxtrca
Жыл бұрын
😂😂😂
@Dxtrca
Жыл бұрын
I dont think so
I started stacking to SAVE wealth. I've always been the type of person to spend my entire paycheck. I hate having money just sit in the bank. I am under pressure to grow my reserve of $950k. before I turn 60, I would appreciate any advice on potential investments.
@sherryie2
10 ай бұрын
I can feel your pains. New guys need to realize the risks that come with all of this. You could lose it all and you could win it all. It goes both ways. Second, what works for A may not necessarily work for B and you should not be a bandwagon investor. A good number of folks are raking in huge 6 figure gains in this downtrend, but such strategies are mostly successfully executed by folks with in depth market knowledge.
@kurttSchuster
10 ай бұрын
@@sherryie2 Factos!! Since the market became extremely volatile and pressure increased (I should be retiring in 17 months), I took the decision to work closely with a financial advisor. It has already been 9 months and counting, and I have made approximately 600K net from all of my holdings.
@Mcllwain
10 ай бұрын
@@kurttSchuster That's impressive, my portfolio have been tanking all year, tried learning new strategies to gain in the current market but all of that flew right over head, please would you mind recommending the Adviser you're using.
@kurttSchuster
10 ай бұрын
@@Mcllwain My advisor is the quite famous NICOLE DESIREE SIMON She has been making a fortune online worth millions of dollars in digital assets for a select few for years. Lately, these types of services have appeared that allow you to copy the results of the experts. She demonstrates how to copy it automatically using that system.
@Mcllwain
10 ай бұрын
@@kurttSchuster Thanks for the info, i found her website and sent a message hopefully she replies soon.
He's amazing but his audience is so dull
@X11bl
3 жыл бұрын
I have notice that with others videos, not from the same person.
@seunelesaodo9144
3 жыл бұрын
@@X11bl Trading can be very challenging until one becomes a professional Lol
Well, why in the hell do we have this thing called stop loss you put a trade and you put a limit loss and if the stock goes down, you get stopped out is it that was trading all about
7:10:00
4:00 ahead of his time
Sorry Tom your math in gaps at 20:00 is incorrect Sample - 206 cases 120/206 (58%) - filled on the day 42/206 (21%) - filled within 3 days 44/206 (21%) - not filled within 3 days If you get to day 3 - You say that there is a 162/206 (78%) chance that the gap will be refilled. This is INCORRECT since we should discount the 120 cases we know it's not. - At this moment in time: There is a 49% (42/86) chance that the gap will be refilled There is a 51% (44/86) chance that the gap will not be refilled
@larryking6259
2 жыл бұрын
Yeah, and how about 99% chances of 78th 5min Candle to set high or low of the day? I checked and I cannot see this…
@karl2405
2 жыл бұрын
@@larryking6259 Haven't checked that myself but I think he means that the HOD will have formed at any on the first 1-78 candles ?
@larryking6259
2 жыл бұрын
@@karl2405 yeah, perhaps any from 1 to 78. Still not truth… I have been observing it for quite some time. It is more and more difficult to observe some logic apart from lower volatility outside the US session.
@karl2405
2 жыл бұрын
@@larryking6259 Yeah. Wish I could shed more insight but I trade fx not the DOW! Good luck :)
The more i know the less i earn lol. In my first days as a trader i went from 5k to 70k! How? i went long after - 5% and closed next day on opening Taking fast profits for weeks.or shorted a 10% jump.Went well untill Russia-Ukraine war started and i got caught.
2:44 it’s ukrainian language actually. There’s no letter “i” in russian.
14:00
7:26
8:17 .... don't over think it