What a lineup on this table. Miss the days of poker when this was a frequent occurrence.

@victoriousnationwide

Жыл бұрын

Yes that table was stacked.

@eternalselph

Жыл бұрын

Meh

You can tell this guy is jealous of how rich Tom Dwan is, let's see you play on a high stakes cash game for millions of dollars there douche hawk.

@Nick-xu7ns

7 жыл бұрын

Doug Polk Poker Took the words right out of my mouth. I bet this guy is stuck at the $1 SnG's.

@WTFimreallynotgay

7 жыл бұрын

When you're breakeven at the micros and Tom Dwan is currently the boss of the Triads it's hard to talk.

@reallrecognizereal

7 жыл бұрын

lmfao the posters man they get me everytime

@narkstark1957

7 жыл бұрын

Doug Polk Poker yo send me a dollar on stars nigga, sn-pushindjoke , I'll brag to all my bitches

@stuartm4921

7 жыл бұрын

Hey Doug, I heard everyone is getting a stake? I'd like some fillet steak rare please. Im a big fan of your music too. Love Blink-182.

Gotta love Dwan's facial expressions

@DougPolkPoker

7 жыл бұрын

The pain! Also, I am a fellow CaffeineAddict

@JohnSmith-cy8hq

7 жыл бұрын

when the adderall jitters kick in

@humbertoteixeira1234

7 жыл бұрын

I think he leads the flop as a feeler bet, at the same time, if he checks he is basically giving up on this hand. Not to say that he can also make at least one player fold, which would be Ivey, coz a call with small pair from there would expose himself to a squeeze from Patrik as well.This bet also allows him to, in case of getting 3bet, he can 4 bet flop polarizing between having hit the deuce or having a flush draw of his own. Remember he´s got the key card to bluff/represent the flush draw, the A of diamonds. Clearly not standard play, but then again, standard is not Dwan´s sytle. Dwans face after Patricks river raise though... ahahahahh I´m convinced thats a bit of theatre...he was never folding!

@CaffeineAddict

7 жыл бұрын

Nice, love your channel!

@greeninitiatives

2 жыл бұрын

@@DougPolkPoker 8

"He played this hand like an idiot and now has top pair."

@flippare164

7 жыл бұрын

Best Polk-Quote thus far. Lol

@blakeallen9885

6 жыл бұрын

Tom Dwan playing a hand like an idiot... Meaning he didn't fold after the flop when he missed everything haha polk you're not a poker player. Just a guy with money that gambles and gets lucky. You'll win a lot and lose a lot but you're never gonna be relevant for 15+ years

@cammain1576

6 жыл бұрын

played it like an idiot who put antonius on a missed draw... was shocked by the 3 barrel being so big.... but thats it...

@themasterc.9314

6 жыл бұрын

Blake Allen lol Polk was a dropped out of college and broke I guess he knows what he is talking about

@G1stGBless

6 жыл бұрын

U need to check yourself if you are talking crap on dwan on poker instincts especially on a hand you admit multiple times you “dont know” about

No reference to the best Phil Ivy joke of all time on this clip. Shame. IVY: I don't drink until after midnight. It's good for weight loss. HELMUTH: Is it? IVY: No.

@jtg2525

3 жыл бұрын

Golden

Dwan's face at 9:20 is priceless Starts with 😑 as he bets river, Sees Patrik put chips in pot 😯 Sees Patrik's chips are WAY more than a call 😦>😧>😮>😲>😳>😵>😱

Hey Doug, it would be cool if you make analyses of older poker hands as well, like those of Stu Ungar, Johnny Chan, Doyle Brunson, etc. Thanks!

@luisrosario363

7 жыл бұрын

This would be great! Great idea for the channel imo

@davidhyde3359

7 жыл бұрын

I like this idea

@39offsuit

4 жыл бұрын

Daniel Junior Domingo how much footage is out there?

@markh.

Жыл бұрын

Not a lot of Unger footage out there.

Doug has a man crush on Dwan. Edit... I'm now convinced that Doug Polk and Tom Dwan are in fact the same person. All joking aside I have nothing but respect for you Doug. I'm new to poker and you were the first streamer I watched. You've inspired me to continue to improve my game. Also think it's cool the High Schools we went to are 30 minutes apart. Keep up the good work. Didn't intend to offend.

@mkivenmaki

7 жыл бұрын

It is common knowledge that Doug is hiding Durr in his basement. For what sick reasons, is yet to be revealed.

@rockybullshite927

7 жыл бұрын

Robert Rexrode what kind of Poker do you like to play specifically?

I love the freeze frame at 11:42 of Tom's face. That coupled with you at the same time saying "He's played this hand like an idiot...", is amazing.

i saw you on my advertising youtube clips, But I have subscribed before. Nice to see a real pro giving his point of view in poker

11:44 "Tom Dwan play this hand like an idiot and now he has top pair" lol

Great video Doug, keep up the good work, I love your channel.

Doug, Great hand analysis. Keep'em coming!

Although Dwan's line is obviously weird, I think all of the action in the hand was probably influenced by the props (Phil, Patrik and Daniel were all involved). I forget who had what suits, but based on the side bets they had, some players were MUCH more likely to have diamonds. Also I think the reason Ivey played the 87 was because they had side bets that were 5-10k (plus multipliers for hitting on consecutive flops) for hitting the 7 of your suit. So I believe Ivey's 7d was a blocker to the props.

Dude, the look on Antonious is priceless. I love this guy!

@PRICEX

3 жыл бұрын

What look? He's stone cold

DOUG, thanks for this videos, you are doing a really good job!

Where do I watch these complete episodes?

love it doug !!! ”he played this hand like an idiot and now he has top pair”

Trying to watch Doug`s video but stunned by Doug`s commercial. Dougception has become real.

"I don't really mind folding, calling, or raising here, but keep in mind folding wouldn't bother me but you could just call, but also if you raise well it costs more for you and others" ...Doug Polk.

I like hearing what you have to say while simultaneously trying to wonder what these players were thinking

Interesting, I feel like the confusion that Dwan gives Polk only proves how good Dwan really is.

@makisdimatos3427

7 жыл бұрын

or maybe dwan is a fish in that level

@overgme

7 жыл бұрын

Well, you're talking about two different eras of poker. Even if Dwan would be a fish now, he sure as hell was not a fish then. Especially on these particular shows (Poker After Dark and High Stakes Poker), Ivey and Antonius were the only two even remotely in his league. Still poker (and most likely Dwan's game) has evolved a lot since these games were filmed. So it really should not be any surprise that someone at Polk's level today would see some big gaps in Dwan's game back then.

@makisdimatos3427

7 жыл бұрын

overg he was not a fish in general,but ivey and antonious was always one step ahead of him imo.that makes him a fish when he play against them. Nowdays,dwan is playing only in prive cash games in macao.he plays only against rich whales and when a pro does that,he cant evolve his game.of,course,this is ok if he can win big money by doing that

@annemeters1848

7 жыл бұрын

Daniel Negreneu is also in his league here..

@thesaim1036

6 жыл бұрын

Nope, just nope. I like his analysis "dwan repping overpair" when he flats from sb rofl, and then we end up having a jack he's like "yeah same idea" haha. Why so many people give so much credit to this dude is beyond me.

You are the best Doug !!! You can beat, even drunk, this bet station, no logic at all, players !!!

Daniel explained the hand in 5 seconds. Polk was clueless the entire video! Lmao

@davethefish7653

5 жыл бұрын

True. He even had the advantage of knowing the turnout and hole cards. DN is #1

Anyone have the link to watch the full game please?

"i think he haas an overpair" "i think youre right is that AK?" lol wtf Leanne

@woif00

4 жыл бұрын

I think she said "I think you're right" and saw the face up cards after but because they were so far away she thought it was AK

@cheetah219

4 жыл бұрын

Right, but she should know there is no K on the board, so no pair.

@woif00

4 жыл бұрын

@@cheetah219 They thought he had KK or AA in his hand before he revealed his hand. Afterwards they saw the AK and didn't think it was a pair anymore

From watching all of PAD, I have noticed that he will take this exact line with in this case a deuce in his hand. He seems to like to lead and barrel paired boards so by that logic he has to have a wider range and not just 3 of a kind every time he does it. I agree with you that it's weird but he does have lots of experience playing these players and maybe that was a factor we couldn't comment on.

It sounds like Doug doesn't like Dwan

@transeeyou885

5 жыл бұрын

@Daniel Treadwell the fuk? lot of people likes dwan for the good tv he gave us. althought hes no longer considered as the top 10 best right still lot of poker fans rooting for him when they see him play. GTO poker is boring asf, its something u wanna learn when grinding online. u dont wanna rail that.

@pierrearr

5 жыл бұрын

@@transeeyou885 Dwan is a scammer, that's why people don't like him.

@lordlavvy

4 жыл бұрын

Who does? 😏😏😏

@lukechandra6233

4 жыл бұрын

Doug doesn't like anyone

@rhysjosephwilliams

4 жыл бұрын

pierrearr why? What did he scam

How did you get the twitter account "[social media handle]"?

that pot wouldve paid off my house, student loan, and car....grrrr

@kevinyuen6145

5 жыл бұрын

your house, student loan, and car could have fed an african child for his entire life...... grrrr

@dLzzzgaming

5 жыл бұрын

@@kevinyuen6145 Wrong. Unless it's a short life

Amazing commentary, learned so much over the year from u thanks

So many amazing poker players around this table.

How did I know this video was gonna be 10 minutes longer than it should be

thank you man!! its great

Dug I need 3.50 to plaqy bouty builder on starts i blew my bankrolll on beat the clock Cristiano take all my money i used to play high stakes with Ted Forrest... PLEASE HELP THANKS DUG ILOVE YOU

@johngriller4997

7 жыл бұрын

W

@elvismanhattan284

7 жыл бұрын

give me your account name @MikeBizzle87 i will stack u for sunday millon ticket ;)

@DuudeMcDoodle

7 жыл бұрын

stack me lol :D

@zimzimma5688

6 жыл бұрын

stack me too!

@jonhendrickson9701

4 жыл бұрын

elvis manhattan I play on acr. Want to stake me? My numbers are pretty good 😁

I would love to see you in the GPL next season, I know you mentioned why you dont like it in poker new but the idea of you playing against some of the best players and the likes of jason mercier would be amazing

"picked off a nice little bluff there" FOR 6 FIGURES!!

Hey Doug, is it possible that Tom wants to lead all of his 2s on the flop and take control of the action in fear that it will check through, but also wants to check all of his draws? Then to balance the lead with any 2, he picks the best possible hand that he wouldn't 3 bet pre flop (assuming he 3bets AQ and AK) and that isn't a draw, which is AJ. This way when he gets called, he's actually ahead of hands like KQ, and draws like Antonius has

dwans flop lead is weird but I don't hate it. he's repping a duece, and as the guy who called out of the small blind he is the most likely guy to have it. He also has the Ad, so he can rep huge on diamonds because he blocks the nut flush. the two overcards are a nice bit of bail out equity too. Given the flop texture he also has the best hand a decent % of the time, but he probably can't win even when he does have the best hand of he checks. If you are going to have a donking range in this spots this isn't a terrible hand to use as a bluff IMO.

@iownthepowned

7 жыл бұрын

He shouldnt have a deuce for flatting oop

@1stringshort84

7 жыл бұрын

Yea I completely agree Peter. I'm not sure why Doug thinks Dwans lead out on flop and turn doesn't make any sense. He pretty much fires with pretty much his entire range of hands that have any equity. (all deuce x suited, flush draws, pairs, ace highs with backdoors-A5/Adx) If this wasn't Tom Dwan that would be completely understandable, but I'm obviously missing something Dougs thinking of because surely Tom Dwan IS NOT check calling/check raising any of those hands.....Also, Antnoius's bluff is pretty amazing or so I* thought because of this (Dwan leading out with so many hands/where as Antonius's range by the river once raised is almost certainly beating all of those...besides the busted flush draw, which just seems* sooooo unlikely .

@leftphilange69

6 жыл бұрын

a2hh a2cc are in his range for sure, and this deep and with their dynamic he doesn't never call his off suited a2. hell he might even have k2s this deep.

Nice videos man

Yo Doug you should make one of those cash game poker vlogs of you playing at the casino

He looks like the kid from Home Alone lmao

Doug, bro! It is not calling raises. It is calling Dwan's bets by Antonius :-)

These shows made poker soft coz everyone wanted to become a spewtard...now it's all nits :(

@vlnjnkie

4 жыл бұрын

someone explain pls

@thomasobrien4707

4 жыл бұрын

Googlyeye74 soft means folding easily. Spewtard is someone who bets big at everything. A “nit” means never in there, and is someone who only plays premium hands

@kooijbas

4 жыл бұрын

@@thomasobrien4707 Almost. Soft means the game is easy and profitable. So, there are lots of bad players.

@ozrenbalic6051

3 жыл бұрын

@Randomly Interesting, if you don't know how to crush other nits you are probably a nit yourself.

I think Dwan was repping specifically a deuce. He called out of the SB with very good pot odds, so he definitely should have some deuces like A2s, 32s and 42s in his range, especially since he is Tom Dwan who has very wide ranges in general and if you made trip 2s on the flop, it's very reasonable for him to lead out twice, since often times Ivey as the preflop aggressor will check with Patrick being behind him and Patrick will check also a ton because other than middle pairs he rarely has value here. And even those are good pot control checks on occasion.

@samriley5765

7 жыл бұрын

I initially thought that as well but why would you lead out if you had a deuce? Surely in that spot it's best to check and let Ivey barrel?

@Nick-xu7ns

7 жыл бұрын

Sam Riley That's just what Dwan does. Obviously I haven't seen all of his hands, but even in Doug's last video about the top NLHE online pots, there's one where he donks into the 3bettor with bottom set. So he clearly takes weird lead lines meaning he would quite possibly do it with a 2 here (no matter how suboptimal it may be).

@mercilpb

7 жыл бұрын

Sam Riley not necessarily. some pros will donk when they are in multiway pots. the preflop raiser usually has a much lower cbet frequency multi way, so by donking you make sure the flop doesn't check thru. It is a weird line but it's not uncommon

@bubblewhip382

7 жыл бұрын

Because you don't want to risk it getting checked through. Ivey is supposed to have broadway cards which did not hit this flop unless they were diamond suited which is less likely because Dwan holds the Ace of diamonds. Antonious has suited connectors like he does in his range or middling overpair. Dwan is most likely to hold a deuce. If anyone else was holding the suited diamonds it gives them a chance to just check and actualize their equity.

@NikhilAutar

7 жыл бұрын

he could have those 2s. But there aren't many combos. But, and I was more convinced after reading through these comments, it is in his range. The likelihood of flush draws is reduced by both his line, the fact that he can't have a 2 and a flush draw (cause that's polker) and his betting out on the flop rather than check calling/check raising which is the more optimal play you'd think with either.

I love the contrast of poker faces between Patrik and Tom.

This vid gave me a Jivaro software add, is that relevant at all in the modern scene of software?

HAHAHAHAHAH love the DUG Polker name

I appreciate ur passion for the game

Damn that milk carton diss.... brutal

"He played this hand like an idiot and now has top pair." Lost it. =D

"He played this hand like an idiot" hahaha!

I know I'm way late on this one but Doug can be savage at times. "Tom Dawn being Tom Dawn, and that's why he ended up being on milk carton".

daniel negreanus analysis killed me :D like dwan ever has a overpair here

Doug, I will tell you what you should know. Tom is saying with the flop bet that with that rag flop, if patrik did not hit the flop or don't have a pocket pair, tom is ahead with his ace, and has a nice kicker with the jack. why not bet the flop? he is still looking at two over and a back door flush draw, which would be the nuts with the ace. plus if a 4 falls on the turn he opens up for the wheel. I like toms play.

I love these Durrrr win

Wow, just looked at this video without sound and i analyzed it almost spot on with what you said "Banzai san". LOL...high stakes here i come..lol..i just want to get out of the micros!!!!...

Which season is this?

Seriously sick and genius how Tom Dwan played this hand. It was like art.

@jackwoods9604

Жыл бұрын

Yea Getting Lucky and Hitting River Jack...Genius...He Also Was STUNNED He Won The Pot

Doug! I think Tom was saying I have Ace high which is good... like it’s Ivey and antinoius no1 ever has anything lol

"picked a nice little bluff" of 135k $

Antonious does the fake yawn at the end too which Esfandiari is famous for.

This is just Tom Dwan being Tom Dwan. He loves putting pressure on people and that is why he is so good. Patrick represented what you said: a full house. Tom called him.

This is sucha sick call. DURRRR the GOAT

The intervieweress had no clue what just happened..

Where did the Haxton poster go?

Dug you're an absolute beast

I know this is an old video, but I just watched it now. THIS is a prime example of Negreanu's inferiority to Polk. The last few seconds of the video shows Negreanu, after predicting AA, KK or QQ, stating "that over-pairs vs AJ is basically the same idea". Clearly, based on pre-flop action, this is flatly incorrect. You can safely rule out over-pairs 99.99% of the time. They are statistically irrelevant in this particular hand. They are not the same idea... they are not even in the same ballpark.

Imagine sitting at this table

Can you do some of the "Big Game" hands please :)

Do you think Antonius is also raising A2s on this river ?

@camaleonsacor1618

6 жыл бұрын

yes

You forget that these guys all used to play on HSP and love playing the 7 2 game. It's not unrealistic to think Antonius has a boat.

''He's played this hand like and idiot and now has top pair." Dying after you said this lmfao

@herzwatithink9289

5 жыл бұрын

Maybe I'm the idiot, but the only thing I could see idiotic about this hand was Patrick's river raise.

I kind of like a check/call on the river if I'm Dwan. There are a ton of missed draws that gives your opponent an opportunity to bluff and we probably have the best hand unless Antonius really did flop 33 or had like an A2s type hand. But maybe there's some meta reads I am not privy to.

Did Viffer actually dye (what's left of) his hair blue or is it just unfortunate lighting?

Seidel vs Urbanovich EPT 2015 Grand Final SHR Heads Up for the title analysis please, when Seidel called on the river with J High

List 25 at the beginning??

I think Tom dwan does this only because he have the A of diamond, knowing noone else could have the nut flush draw, 223, with 2 diamonds should be a relative safe flopp unless someone has a 2 or 33, wich is very unlikely, most likely hands that will continue are drawing hands or a overpair. perhaps some 3,4 3,5 hands aswell. depending on the card he can continue to bluff the turn, a 7 make sense to continue bluff with, straight/flush draw misses, an overpair will still continue with just a call. now the pot bet size is great, polarizing antonios calling hands and putting the pressure on, but also gives great amount of information, when he calls here, he should have overpairs, or combo draw like flush/straight draws, If another diamond comes, I 100% believe he fire on it aswell but with the J, I think he can safely value it, knowing all draws missed and get value from, 88s 99s 1010, maybe even 55s, 66s. The reason I think he will continue to fire on the river if another diamond comes is the same reason I think he even started to bluff at this pot from the beginn with, if another diamonds come he can represent it knowing noone else has the nutflush. and if the flush misses, he can still bluff out those draws that missed, like naked flush draws or combo draws like 64 of diamonds, 6,5 diamonds by representing an overpair like 88s, 99s or in some cases even boats, I think it makes more sense for dwan to have hands like 22,33 A,2 suited or 77s than antonious. So even the flush misses but bricks, like a 8c he can still put pressure and get some folds out of antonius overpairs if he has one. Remember the pot size bet on the river aswell, thats why its so chocking when he gets raised, because its so polarized on a board like this. Basically saying its full houses or better, and I think there is more bluff hands hands that will do this than value hands, and to call roughly 90k more to win 320k should be profiting in the long run, specially against a player like antonious whos range is very wide and are definitive one of the likely players to do stabbs like this. If I'm not misstaken its 3:1 odds, so he needs to be right what about 33% of the times? I think he is against a player like antonious just my amatuere analyze

what's the side bet Ivey and Daniel are making?

Okay, the hand is interesting to watch and analyze and all. But has anybody mentioned Peat's hair?

i wish you would more table dynamics; when ivey raise with 87 he is likelier to play with tom only since hellmuth negreanu were on the tighter preflop range , ivey probably was thinking im gonna be playing with BB tom so i have position and that was good enough for him. also they were playing 300 /600 with 100 ante wich makes raising with 87 easier

The only time i have ever taken a line like this was a wierd pot where I flatted a 3-bet with QQ, had an over pair all the way, but the board was such that I couldn't afford to give free cards to my two opponents (1 opponent after the flop), so I took it three streets for value. Dwan isn't doing that, but if he had maybe KK it would make more sense.

This youtube channel exists to provoke arrogant old pros into playing Polk heads-up.

@andrepizani

3 жыл бұрын

Yeah, you had no idea, kkkkk

Tom Dwan isn't missing mate. I saw him being interviewed last week and promoting an upcoming high roller event (which he said he intended to win).

Fantastic poker analysis like always Doug but the one thing I think you're forgetting to mention here is these guys dwan Ivey and antonious have played together so much so you have to keep that in mind They kno each other so well that's prob why you see dwan doing that flop bet and antonious doing that river re-raise bluff he prob doesn't make that play against any1 but tom cuz tom 'knows him well' (played lots of hands against him) so that has to be mentioned / kept in mind when u see them doing unorthodox plays like that Fantastic stuff like always Doug keep up the amazing poker videos miss your gamer mentality and drive in the game but always for ppl doing what is right for them / makes them happy Much love Doug

BTW who haven't seen the the sixth season of poker after dark, they are doing flips 100k each blind pre-flop, like 3-4 times

bazam. great video brah. ...I'm all in on your coaching competition bro. you know what to do bro lol

@krataman

7 жыл бұрын

dude! you cant say brah and bro in one post! you have to chose! This is a serious violation of internet rule #6589. Now you have to slap yourself twice as a punishment! Do It!

What do you think about check calling river as Dwan?

@JohnSmith-cy8hq

7 жыл бұрын

I mean you can almost always name some worse hands that maybe call. He's overrepping his hand when he fires river. Idk how much sense it makes as a merged range/thin value bet, especially after this retarded line, which is why I was asking Doug.

@oldmanyellsatscreen

6 жыл бұрын

What's the worst hand you x/c river here as Durrrr?

@WhatAreYouNew

4 жыл бұрын

@@oldmanyellsatscreen You could check/call the river with a hand like KJs/QJs of diamonds (but I think Dwan is 3-betting those hands 100% of the time), although it makes your opponent having a flush draw less likely. I don't think many solid players are value betting 88/99 on that river in position vs a check, but there is always the possibility of a pure bluff float. AJo is probably the only legit bluff-catcher Dwan has in his range.

I would love to see Phil Helmuth's face after Dwan called .

would a3 of clubs be the best hand for antonius to be bluffing here? cant think of a better one

How about you analyze hand Dwan vs Zigmund where both of them had full houses(Ilari had 9s full of 7s, and Durrrr 7s full of 9s), and/or I believe one of the most memorable Poker After Dark hands Ivey vs Zigmund (flush vs full house on the river) ?

no idea why some of your vids got so many dislikes they are top notch

I agree with leading the flop and turn here, however those amounts are reaaally weird, basically Dwan is either having the nuts or saying "Look buddy I have Ax of diamonds here, you should fold, your draw is not as good." and Antonious knows Dwan's weird line, that's why let's him lead and doesn't raise the flop, to let him bluff. If there river is not a J it would've veen better, Antonious would've still raised or potted and Dwan would either fold/jam given all the missed draws out there.

I think that’s a great move from Antonio although he lost. He correctly put Dwan on two over cards until the turn. Dwan would have bet the more or less the same amount on the river whether or not he paired his jack. Antonio has position on him and made it look like I’m slow playing holding a 2 (at least). That’s a great move IMO and would have worked if an A or J hasn’t shown up on the river.

Hey Doug been watching you for probably a month now love your videos and I’m just going through and I see right in the beginning it said if anyone needs money,just ask in the comments.

Doug, couldn't Dwan have a high pair like Kings, Queens or Jacks betting 5700 on the flop, and just chose to play conservatively preflop in order to squeeze more money out of the table or trap someone later?

@naomi-nada

7 жыл бұрын

Hemi Mulligan Really? I'm a noob so genuinely want to know if this is plausible.

@ejotyejoty

7 жыл бұрын

no

@WhatAreYouNew

4 жыл бұрын

Dwan would probably 3bet all his KTs+, QTs+ and T8s+ and worse suited connectors or even suited garbage. When you play that loose aggressive from the blinds, it makes zero sense to ever slowplay AA, KK, QQ, JJ, TT, AK, AQ.

Haha, I kind of like this play in a way. If Dwan knows that Ivey opens this wide, and Antonius flats this wide in position, Dwan should get more than enough folds on the flop. The funny thing is, that even though Dwans ranged is capped, he likely has the strongest range of all players here, AJo is surely ahead of Iveys and Antonious ranges, and maybe it plays better as a donk than a awkward check call. AdJx doesn't seem like the worst bluff hand either. Any A or J is likely good, and he can barrel overcards and diamonds. Even when called, he probably figures he can fold out most of the low pairs by the river. I mean, don't get me wrong, you will get into a shit ton of weird spots by playing like this and I can't recommend it to anyone, but Dwan is obviously quite comfortable with taking creative/batshitcrazy lines

(Turn bet is $16,300, not $6,500.) Dwan is leading for some pretty big bets; nearly 80% on flop, and close to 90% on turn - I mean, I guess it also depends if the video has been edited in any way, because we get the impression Antonius is calling pretty quickly on both flop and turn - so Dwan should probably be worried if this is the case. If Dwan has a reputation for being hyper-aggressive, you want to let him hang himself sometimes, especially when he's out of position. Also note that Tom is holding the Ace of Diamonds; that also might influence what he thinks Patrick might have - ie: it makes a busted flush less likely, if he's considering combinatorics here. It actually sounds like Tom is making a crying call - the thing is, he's getting about 2.5:1 on a call; Top-Top is usually good more than 28.5% of the time on this type of board if we're going directly by the maths - but the thing is, Dwan has put himself in this horrible position by making such big flop and turn bets with no hand - the fact he's made a hand on the river is kind of redundant; his flop and turn bluffs were way too big if Antonius actually has trips or better here. If Antonius puts in a bigger raise on the river, he *might* get Dwan off his hand - but it would probably need to be at least 180,000 - Dwan might have put in too much money, regardless, when he makes this hand.

Negreanu at the end says Tom likely has over pairs like AA, KK or QQ. How is that even possible given the preflop action.

Maybe Timmy Dwan was thinking on 322 flop AJ is good or AK AQ will fold to two bets. Instead of checking and allowing shit hands like 87 free equity why not lead? Pairs and flush draws will call. Ace or Jack should beat all pairs if hits and AJ can beat missed flush draws. I don't see this play all that bad but I still enjoyed you saying Dwan played this hand like an idiot. :D