The Curious Timing and Consequences of Alexei Navalny's Death

Check out my new book "How Ukraine Survived": amzn.to/47gnlEf. You can also read it for free by signing up for a Kindle Unlimited trial at amzn.to/3QMsBr8. (I use affiliate links, meaning I earn a commission when you make a transaction through them. Even if you read for free, you are still supporting the channel.)
On February 16, Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny died suddenly in an Arctic prison. This video dissects its strange timing. Although much of the media coverage has speculated that this was a warning to other opposition elements, such theories fundamentally misunderstand the risks entailed when autocrats run elections. Instead, the timing is strange because it risks creating a new rallying cry for those looking to protest against the Kremlin. It also created an unfavorable news cycle in the West, as it buried headlines regarding Ukraine's withdrawal from Avdiivka.
0:00 Russian Opposition Leader Alexei Navalny Dies
1:23 Deterrence in Autocratic Elections
4:46 Coordinated Protests and Autocratic Elections
7:16 The Kremlin's Poor News Cycle Timing
Media licensed under CC BY-SA 2.0 (creativecommons.org/licenses/...
By Mitya Aleshkovsky:
www.flickr.com/photos/aleshru...
Media licensed under CC BY 4.0 (creativecommons.org/licenses/...
By Kremlin.ru:
tours.kremlin.ru/tour/senate/
en.kremlin.ru/press/photo
en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/55924
kremlin.ru/events/president/ne...
en.kremlin.ru/events/president...
kremlin.ru/events/president/ne...
kremlin.ru/events/president/ne...
en.kremlin.ru/events/president...
kremlin.ru/events/president/ne...
kremlin.ru/events/president/ne...
kremlin.ru/events/president/ne...
By Goverment.ru:
archive.government.ru/eng/docs...

Пікірлер: 542

  • @robreinbrecht2093
    @robreinbrecht20933 ай бұрын

    Is there a doctor on this plane!? William Spaniel: I don't know if this guy is gonna live or die, but we can model this situation with lines on maps

  • @echo_9835
    @echo_98353 ай бұрын

    Navalny died of living in Russia, the second most common form of death in Russia. The most common cause of death is participating in a special military operation.

  • @TankerBricks

    @TankerBricks

    3 ай бұрын

    Ironically one of the images posted of him, make him look more like Admiral Kolchak than himself lol.

  • @aymonfoxc1442

    @aymonfoxc1442

    3 ай бұрын

    TBH, I'm not sure if the 'SMO' deaths would have exceeded alcohol or cigarette related diseases yet. Either way, it's a bloody war.

  • @andrewwhyte4753

    @andrewwhyte4753

    3 ай бұрын

    Pmsl :-D

  • @bamaman6478

    @bamaman6478

    3 ай бұрын

    ​@@TankerBricksyoooo I remember you! We met after both of us got a shout out from Tankenstein

  • @ryanvansurksum6119

    @ryanvansurksum6119

    3 ай бұрын

    So falling out of windows doesn't even crack the top two? I guess Russian window safety is better than I thought.

  • @JH-lo9ut
    @JH-lo9ut3 ай бұрын

    This whole thing feels like when someone fake coughs to cover up a fart, but they screw up the timing so the cough only draws everyone's attention to them, and then they fart.

  • @MeltedGuitarStrings

    @MeltedGuitarStrings

    3 ай бұрын

    Lmao

  • @ScouseJazmin
    @ScouseJazmin3 ай бұрын

    Came for the Navalny analysis, stayed for the inter-politcal analysist drama 😅

  • @proxyprox

    @proxyprox

    3 ай бұрын

    They'll start analyzing their own drama with game theory

  • @khalifson

    @khalifson

    3 ай бұрын

    Came for the Navalny analysis, didn't find it, moved along. My own analysis is that Putin fucked up and you can be sure that Navalny's widow will be a Russian president one day.

  • @SEAZNDragon

    @SEAZNDragon

    3 ай бұрын

    I didn't think of the Russian elections. But increasingly I'm think Putin didn't order a killing. Besides being too obvious at this point (look at the number of window jokes in this comment section alone) I'm sure Putin knew lingering side effects of the nerve agent, the Artic conditions, and the not so great health care in the prisons would do the job eventually.

  • @simian_essence

    @simian_essence

    3 ай бұрын

    "Inter-political", OK. I can live with that - as long as the word "science" is left out of it, at least in the modern, post Bacon sense of the word.

  • @davidjernigan8161
    @davidjernigan81613 ай бұрын

    I have a suspicion that March in Russia won't be a quiet month. Probably a lot of air raid sirens and strange buzzing sounds coming from the sky.

  • @Marc_Gagne

    @Marc_Gagne

    3 ай бұрын

    Yeah, baby!

  • @raishaferreira8099

    @raishaferreira8099

    3 ай бұрын

    God bless Alexis family! 💙💛

  • @CarlMarxPunk

    @CarlMarxPunk

    3 ай бұрын

    From who?

  • @thatguyoverthere9634

    @thatguyoverthere9634

    3 ай бұрын

    ​​@@CarlMarxPunk Ukraine, they've started to frequently attack Russian oil and government infrastructure. It's a bit of an exaggeration but that what hes referencing.

  • @idleishde6124

    @idleishde6124

    3 ай бұрын

    @CarlMarxPunk Aliens Specifically little green men.

  • @JimRFF
    @JimRFF3 ай бұрын

    7:58 Gerasimov... that's not your window! Silly goose

  • @NorroTaku

    @NorroTaku

    3 ай бұрын

    nice😂😂

  • @Deicide6666

    @Deicide6666

    3 ай бұрын

    I missed that the first time! haha I went back and was like no way!

  • @eriks.9730

    @eriks.9730

    3 ай бұрын

    Mr. Spaniel sure has a puckish sense of humor. 👏🏻👍😊

  • @sirgo0se97

    @sirgo0se97

    3 ай бұрын

    Very silly indeed

  • @JimRFF

    @JimRFF

    3 ай бұрын

    @@sirgo0se97 appropriate username xD

  • @sebastiand152
    @sebastiand1523 ай бұрын

    Valeri Bojarinev appeared to be a high-ranked prison officer and he was responsible for Navalny. Bojarinev was just promoted few days after Navalny died. According to the Kremlin, it is a normal procedure and not linked to the death of Navalny.

  • @larrybuzbee7344
    @larrybuzbee73443 ай бұрын

    It seemed especially awkward for Tucker Carlson, almost as if Putin pulled the plug at that moment to humiliate TC and rub in just how much of an impotent tool he really is. Irrational yes, but none of them are playing with a full deck. PS; The US has made many terrible mistakes and Bush 2 couldn't even count to 52 much less play with a full deck.

  • @hermaeus_jackson

    @hermaeus_jackson

    3 ай бұрын

    That seems very reasonably actually. Putin is all for pointless social flexes.

  • @Emanon...

    @Emanon...

    3 ай бұрын

    Putin is most definitely playing with a full deck. Don't fall into the usual arrogant US habit and underestimate him or Russia. The US has done nothing but underestimate their adversaries and have failed repeatedly because of it. US policy hasn't exactly been rational either the last 25 years.

  • @ipnorospo3000

    @ipnorospo3000

    3 ай бұрын

    ​​@@Emanon...last time we treated this mo*** as a ractional actor he decided to suicide his country into Ukraine.

  • @jeffbenton6183

    @jeffbenton6183

    3 ай бұрын

    ​@Emanon... The illusion that Putin was playing 4D Chess was shattered soon after he launched the full-scale invasion and it became obvious how poorly thought-out it was. Underestimating your adversary is dangerous, but so is overestimating him - as Gen. George McClellan learned the hard way.

  • @larrybuzbee7344

    @larrybuzbee7344

    3 ай бұрын

    @@Emanon... With all due respect, Putin's wildly optimistic invasion gambit was, judging by results, at best ill informed and at least symptomatic of his having swallowed his own BS. That is not the track record of a rational leader. Moreover, if your point about US mistakes is valid, then only those who have never erred are qualified to discuss the errors of others. If that were the case then all historical analysis would be forbidden since no commentator whatsoever originates from a flawless nation. And finally, please note that I, although issuing from an imperfect nation, unlike your own, refrain from telling you what to think and how when and where to think it. I suspect that is rooted in the diverse nature of our two cultures. But thanks for the superfluous guidance, I'll be sure to give it the weight it merits.

  • @juju8119
    @juju81193 ай бұрын

    I do love a good sarcastic rant, thanks....

  • @Luxcium

    @Luxcium

    3 ай бұрын

    He is not only sarcastic but he also does it with quite a lot of Irony (yes this very comment is ironic and I stand by it because it also is true at the same time 😮 wow it is such a paradox that it is ironic and true 😮 wow this was meta but not the company)….

  • @mattjc
    @mattjc3 ай бұрын

    Damnit Jim, I'm a doctor, not a physician!

  • @susanne5803

    @susanne5803

    3 ай бұрын

    🖖🏼

  • @Kirkrrr
    @Kirkrrr3 ай бұрын

    "I have a doctorate, but I'm not that kind of doctor." Lol that's awesome! I wish I could say something like that. "I have an MBA, but I'm not that kind of... asshole?" Doesn't work nearly as well.

  • @NeoZondix

    @NeoZondix

    3 ай бұрын

    We bow to you, Master

  • @1995pieter

    @1995pieter

    3 ай бұрын

    *lost at a BDSM convention* damnit Jim, Im a master but not that kind of master!

  • @user-te7rf8ik7z
    @user-te7rf8ik7z3 ай бұрын

    I am Russian and I don't agree with your assessment of the situation. Yes, everyone understands the risks, but people get accustomed to current reality and we grew accustomed to war and repressions. We have stopped being scared by army discreditation laws, being called foreign agents or extremists. Then Nedezhdin's campaign happened, which helped him gather significant support (around 10%, which is a lot for a country like Russia). People have shown that they are tired of being scared and they want change. Putin has decided to remind everyone that he is a ruthless killer, that there is no hope for change. Navalny's death had a very demoralizing impact on Russian opposition, I am not sure that we will be able to bounce back. Julia Navalny might be the person who can see it through. I hope and believe. Russia will be free.

  • @mariakopp4948

    @mariakopp4948

    3 ай бұрын

    Russland wird frei sein,wie Afghanistan,Syrien. Iraq, und ,und. Ihr werdet noch die Schuhsohlen,vom Amico lecken,dann wird die Demokratie

  • @user-ln5mc9ui6t

    @user-ln5mc9ui6t

    3 ай бұрын

    God, our opposition has a brain tumor. No wonder we wouldn't vote for you.

  • @canadiangemstones7636

    @canadiangemstones7636

    3 ай бұрын

    Once a serf, always a serf. Grow some balls, Ivan.

  • @NeoZondix

    @NeoZondix

    3 ай бұрын

    Animal House shit bro

  • @belofost

    @belofost

    3 ай бұрын

    ​@@canadiangemstones7636Oh, shut up. Grow balls and get thrown in jail for no reason? Or what? What do you want for Russians to do? A revolution? That always ends badly. Also not possible.

  • @kjc6462
    @kjc64623 ай бұрын

    what is your PHD in? I'm assuming a doctorate of lines on maps isn't a thing yet

  • @Gametheory101

    @Gametheory101

    3 ай бұрын

    Political economy!

  • @ajc5479

    @ajc5479

    3 ай бұрын

    @@Gametheory101 When do you think would have been a good time? It's normal for governments to release inconvenient news, while there is another news topic getting the attention. Maybe they thought Avdiivka would have been bigger news.

  • @jeffbenton6183

    @jeffbenton6183

    3 ай бұрын

    ​@ajc5479 Late in the video, he said "April is better than Febuary" - so after the election, probably.

  • @cacogenicist

    @cacogenicist

    3 ай бұрын

    Well, I'm guessing one can indeed get a doctorate in cartography.

  • @jakeaurod

    @jakeaurod

    3 ай бұрын

    @@Gametheory101 "Political Economy"? Back in my day we called it "Political Science, with an emphasis in (subfield)". My emphasis was Public Law. My college had four emphases: General (for teaching), International Relations, and I forgot the fourth. At one point while I was an undergrad, they wanted to get rid of Emphases and let us vote on it, but we kept it. Now they have five Emphases with new names: International Politics; Justice and Democracy; Politics and Governance; Public Administration and Service, and; Public Law.

  • @jeffbenton6183
    @jeffbenton61833 ай бұрын

    I was not prepared for that epic display of sarcassm at 3:20 And it just kept getting better!

  • @GojiMet86
    @GojiMet863 ай бұрын

    Curious timing as well, I recently watched _The Courier_ with Benedict Cumberbatch. It's about a British salesman, Greville Wynne, being roped into helping Soviet colonel Oleg Penkovsky defect (he gave the West the scoop that the USSR was placing the missiles in Cuba); both get caught and get sent to Soviet prisons. Can't help but think of the harsh conditions Wynne endured until his release (Penkobsky was executed), and how bad Navalny had it with all the attempted poisonings, improsonments, and kangaroo trials.

  • @tacitus7698
    @tacitus76983 ай бұрын

    Shoiguuu! Gerasimov is looking through the window at 7:56

  • @Theta90
    @Theta903 ай бұрын

    Curious timing, indeed... Excited to watch :)

  • @MisterRobko
    @MisterRobko3 ай бұрын

    A clear message to any opposition. I truly wonder how the election ballot is going to look like. I expect a North Korea-esque single choice option.

  • @ColdNavigator

    @ColdNavigator

    3 ай бұрын

    De facto single choice, but Putin has put considerable effort to creating the illusion of a free election. The ballots will feature more than one candidate, but the results will be rigged at the end of the day.

  • @7enima682

    @7enima682

    3 ай бұрын

    we do already know how it will look like though, you don't have to wonder. 4 candidates - Putin, Slutsky, Kharitonov and Davankov. Of course the latter 3 are no-names from systemic opposition, but that's nothing new. The new thing is the lack of a systemic "liberal" candidate designed to have their ~2% (like Sobchak in 2018 and like Nadezhdin was supposed to be in 2022 until he went off the rails and Kremlin pulled the plug) to demoralize the oppositional electorate and an overall lack of candidates - usually it was around 7 peeps (that's why some dubbed the candidate list snow white and seven dwarves. now it's four i guess)

  • @CollectiveDefence

    @CollectiveDefence

    3 ай бұрын

    ”Are you gonna vote for Putin, or one of his body doubles”?

  • @Rubinrus

    @Rubinrus

    3 ай бұрын

    There are 4 candidates 3 of which are from mainstream "opposition" parties, but all four of them didn't show any interest in the elections. More so, 3 of them are no-names.

  • @keeganvogl6293
    @keeganvogl62933 ай бұрын

    Oh my Gods, the sarcasm is dripping, caustic, probably radioactive, and PERFECT.

  • @Mankorra_Gomorrah
    @Mankorra_Gomorrah3 ай бұрын

    I really love your rant, I’ve been considering writing an article about a similar situation in a field a little closer to my expertise. I’m glad to see that others have noticed how many talking head “expert analysts” just run with the very first, most basic, simplest explanation for why anything happens.

  • @Deicide6666
    @Deicide66663 ай бұрын

    The sass and sarcasm is why I am here for every video. 3:20 just had me rolling

  • @centy64
    @centy643 ай бұрын

    There's some kind of Gerasimov on the wing of the plane!

  • @Gametheory101

    @Gametheory101

    3 ай бұрын

    How bizarre!

  • @cofa4011
    @cofa40113 ай бұрын

    7:58 Wherasimov !

  • @eddielester931
    @eddielester9313 ай бұрын

    Hallelujah!!!! The daily Jesus devotional has been a huge part of my transformation, God is good🙌🏻🙌🏻, after years of addiction to drugs and sins God chased me down as I earn $112,500 monthly. My life and family has changed, Thank you Jesus!!!... -

  • @jacobmikeyb

    @jacobmikeyb

    3 ай бұрын

    Hello how do you make such monthly ?? I'm a born Christian and sometimes I feel so down of myself because of low finance but I still believe in God

  • @eddielester931

    @eddielester931

    3 ай бұрын

    Thanks to Mrs Amanda Chris.

  • @eddielester931

    @eddielester931

    3 ай бұрын

    She's a licensed broker here in the U.K

  • @thelukerodgers

    @thelukerodgers

    3 ай бұрын

    After I raised up to 325k trading with her I bought a new House and a car here in the states 🇺🇸🇺🇸also paid for my son's surgery (Oscar). Glory to God.shalom..

  • @billybarry6376

    @billybarry6376

    3 ай бұрын

    Wow that's nice She makes you that much!! please is there a way to reach her services, I work 3 jobs and trying to pay off my debts for a while now!! Please help me.

  • @barts6386
    @barts63863 ай бұрын

    Thank you for the video.

  • @xgreywolf1525
    @xgreywolf15253 ай бұрын

    Where did you complete your thesis? May you share it with us?

  • @RichardSmith-mm5sv
    @RichardSmith-mm5sv3 ай бұрын

    Would love to be able to listen to your books on Audible. Oh and great videos by the way.

  • @johncherwonogrodzky921
    @johncherwonogrodzky9213 ай бұрын

    It will take a couple of weeks for the Moscovians to decontaminate chemical warfare agents that may have been used on Navalny. It is important for later specialists to assess the body NOT for a possible chemical warfare agent but for unique BREAKDOWN products (Novachuk agents will have fluoride organics). Please contact Scott Cairns at Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW), the Hague, Netherlands.

  • @mitchellbailey7030
    @mitchellbailey70303 ай бұрын

    Great episode 🫡

  • @timmyjimmy3647
    @timmyjimmy36473 ай бұрын

    7:55 is that where he's keeping the ammo?

  • @AdeptAnalytic
    @AdeptAnalytic3 ай бұрын

    Thanks William. I love your videos

  • @magnusbuinevits9535
    @magnusbuinevits95353 ай бұрын

    Quite the :D addition of #wheresgerasimov @ 7:56

  • @YorkGod1
    @YorkGod13 ай бұрын

    I enjoy these videos, keep them coming!

  • @matthewtheking
    @matthewtheking3 ай бұрын

    Late Onset Sudden Infant Death Syndrome to be exact 😆

  • @bluedistortions

    @bluedistortions

    3 ай бұрын

    I added the parenthetical remark, but that was their clear implication.

  • @asan1050
    @asan10503 ай бұрын

    Thank you very much!

  • @dragonrykr
    @dragonrykr3 ай бұрын

    1:13 Nice Treasure Planet reference ;)

  • @supereos1155
    @supereos11553 ай бұрын

    @Gametheory101, Great info and thought revoking as always! Have a look at Johnny Harris' How US Companies Get Away with Fueling Russia’s Military video. Perhaps you can shed some more light and draw greatly needed attention to the semiconductor business and the bypassing of sanctions.

  • @supereos1155

    @supereos1155

    3 ай бұрын

    Also related: kzread.info/dash/bejne/hWaupLCgdZeceZs.html

  • @helge000
    @helge0003 ай бұрын

    I was under the impression that Ukraine "used" the Navalny as "cover" to announce the withdrawal of their troops.

  • @paulmariu

    @paulmariu

    3 ай бұрын

    Yes, knowing that it was a matter of days anyway, it was an opportunity to be seized, more than curious timing. But now some conspirators will say it was the CIA, NATO, Reptilians, shadowy world-ruling organizations. At your option

  • @sabarsherzad
    @sabarsherzad3 ай бұрын

    The clock rotation saga continues!

  • @Ivan19271
    @Ivan192713 ай бұрын

    Nice to know that some people still have "guts!"

  • @thishandleistacken
    @thishandleistacken3 ай бұрын

    I usually love your videos and the analysis they bring but feel little to nothing was said here. Examples and hypotheticals would have gone a long way to separate yourself from mainstream reports. The sarcastic open followed by only vague allusions doesn't quite cut it for your usual standard of insight. I'm trying to give good faith critisism as you're one of my favourites. This just wasn't great and there's better analysis and challenging discuasion in the comment section which should almost never happen :p

  • @nvelsen1975
    @nvelsen19753 ай бұрын

    Not sure I buy into the reasoning here. The Putin regime has done plenty of timing blunders and disjointed actions that hamper it. It's not a unified moloch with one will. It's quite possible that a Putin loyalist had Navalny murdered to send a message at the same time Putin himself found it horrible timing.

  • @fedorkolchin3436
    @fedorkolchin3436Ай бұрын

    The timing of Navalny's death, as explained by his team in their youtube videos on the topic, was a consequence of prisoner exchange negotiations. The idea is that Navalny's death removed his release as an option in the negotiations.

  • @lindafernandez3905
    @lindafernandez39053 ай бұрын

    good reporting...

  • @Jorjioo
    @Jorjioo3 ай бұрын

    From the start the whole navalny thing felt less like a direct order from Putin and more like a prison guard assigned to do Navalnys daily beating going a bit overboard to me. I think the Kremlin was content in just letting him continue to become more and more obscure and forgotten

  • @worthstream
    @worthstream3 ай бұрын

    No lines on maps this time?

  • @jannekiljunen6784
    @jannekiljunen67843 ай бұрын

    Me and a lot of others here probably would say Avdiivka is the bigger impact on war, but we don't actually know that. This media coverage that you highlighted and I too find hard to understand is something that many people will understand without context: an underdog getting bullied by evil dictator. Ideas are powerful and most people don't do well with facts, it is through these kinds of personal stories they can understand what others who paid attention have known for long. It can also propel to action though we can't count on any, just have to see how things go.

  • @TenOrbital
    @TenOrbital3 ай бұрын

    Putler’s version of an October Surprise.

  • @mooner187
    @mooner1873 ай бұрын

    Lines on maps are my favorite thing.

  • @nfergistink110
    @nfergistink1103 ай бұрын

    you have to look at who has an interest, but not only an interest but who is capable x

  • @fearandloathingmedia2051
    @fearandloathingmedia20513 ай бұрын

  • @marcusdemetrius1446
    @marcusdemetrius14463 ай бұрын

    Perhaps protests are more likely when it's not -20 degrees outside

  • @teluobir
    @teluobir3 ай бұрын

    What's going on with thee lnes at 4:33? 😲

  • @leakycheese
    @leakycheese3 ай бұрын

    Did I just see the Ghost of Gerasimov?!?

  • @uribensh
    @uribensh3 ай бұрын

    Great video, thanks

  • @FinallyAlmino
    @FinallyAlmino3 ай бұрын

    I literally waited to read about this in the news because I wanted to hear your take on it first

  • @TheTruthHz
    @TheTruthHz3 ай бұрын

    10:08 Gerasimov 🤣

  • @General12th
    @General12th3 ай бұрын

    Hi William! Or should I say... Dr. Spaniel!

  • @Gametheory101

    @Gametheory101

    3 ай бұрын

    Hi there hello!

  • @rafaelestevam
    @rafaelestevam3 ай бұрын

    7:56 another one gone in the window? 🤔

  • @miriamicka
    @miriamicka3 ай бұрын

    eiiiii you found Gerasimov hahaha nice, that made my day

  • @thedude4795
    @thedude47953 ай бұрын

    This guy with his ending consonantSSSSSS 0:49 Listen: reasonSSSah! who tf talks like that?

  • @prfwrx2497
    @prfwrx24973 ай бұрын

    Navalny's existence was tolerated for a decade. Boris Nemtsov - a true visionary and liberal force, was gunned down by the Kremlin in 2015. That's something most people outside of Ukraine likes to ignore. Nemtsov was the guy Navalny thinks he was. The latter didn't come anywhere close. Most favorable thing I can say of Navalny is that he's the enemy of my enemy.

  • @user-te7rf8ik7z

    @user-te7rf8ik7z

    3 ай бұрын

    I am sorry, but it is not that important what Ukranians think about Russian politicians. Navalny is orders of magnitude more popular than Nemtsov. Navalny is the only one who won elections against Putin and his party (see 2013, 2019, 2021). You probably think that about Navalny because of his rhetoric about Crimea, and you are completely entitled to that opinion, but people in Russia, even liberals, do not agree with you on Crimea.

  • @SianaGearz

    @SianaGearz

    3 ай бұрын

    I wonder if there was a strategy to that, create plausible deniability by targeting people who aren't at the top of everyone's sight? I mean realistically nobody cares about Berezovsky, not a single tear was shed - and yet he was killed. Not many people cared about Politkovskaya before she died, unfortunately, like people knew about her, but just about on the periphery of their minds. Nemtsov was a fixture in politics and a very sharp mind, but Navalny was the louder and much more visible one since 2011. So i wonder whether they deemed Navalny potentially somehow useful, or too dangerous to draw attention to him by removing him.

  • @amandacrabtree7437

    @amandacrabtree7437

    3 ай бұрын

    I agree with your assessment of Mr Nemtsov. Much more of a Liberal, was against the incursion into Ukraine and spoke in support of Ukraine joining the EU. Sad to think how ruzzia could have so much better, both for itself and the world.

  • @DJ-ov2it
    @DJ-ov2it3 ай бұрын

    07:57

  • @frog8220
    @frog82203 ай бұрын

    Fine. I’ll buy your book, you’ve worn me down

  • @cyberfutur5000
    @cyberfutur50003 ай бұрын

    Hi, maybe someone here can help me out. I was trying to look into people falling out of a window. Because as someone who worked in all sorts of hospital sections, E.R., I.C.U. surgery, anything, where you might end up after falling out of a window, and as someone who spend 34 years with... well... being alive, I never, not even once, encountered someone who accidentally fell out of a window. Some who did it on purpose, yes. But no accidents. My room mate told me, that she knows a guy who fell from a balcony while drunk, that's all. So with that in my mind, I did some research. I wanted to find and compare some numbers from russia with numbers from the west/or anywhere outside russia. I could approximate the russian numbers, by adding up "news" articles (RT for example) but I didn't find ANY numbers for Germany, the UK, the US, the EU, France, Australia you name it... There are numbers from the US about small children, but that's not relevant. I want cases of adults, heathy and non intoxicated, falling out of their window. Just like russia portraits it. But I just can't find them. And I start to think that all this means, that it happens so infrequent, that we don't even bother keeping book. Either that or I just can't find the studies. But I don't even found stats on drunk people or balcony's. I tried it in German and English, to no avail. So if someone has some data on this, I'd love it if you could leave a link in the comments. Otherwise I'm left with the question, that's already burning in my head. Why the hell, if you'd fake accidents, would you invent one, that doesn't happen in the real world, instead of one of the million things that kill people every day, every where? People slip in their shower all the time. (tbf, you'd need running water for that)... I just don't get it. Which brings me to the next point, but maybe I'm just lost in translation here, isn't "sudden death syndrome" that thing that just happens to baby's?

  • @isaqkampp4044
    @isaqkampp40443 ай бұрын

    7:55

  • @silentdrew7636
    @silentdrew76363 ай бұрын

    Beware the Ides of March.

  • @stephaniewaters1777
    @stephaniewaters17773 ай бұрын

    Its a pivot toward soviet style authoritarianism

  • @nataliiateteruk585
    @nataliiateteruk5853 ай бұрын

    Wife to Alexei told at Channel "Liberty Radio" she will continue the fight. See her there. Help the cause.

  • @jetzenijeboer4854
    @jetzenijeboer48543 ай бұрын

    Your analysis makes sense. But, if that would indeed be the line of reasoning within the kremlin, wouldn't you expect them to allow nadezhdin to compete then?

  • @stevendibble5739
    @stevendibble57393 ай бұрын

    'I'm not that kind of Doctor' 😷

  • @shekelboi
    @shekelboi3 ай бұрын

    7:57 Gerasimov in the window

  • @waynecorbit8475
    @waynecorbit84753 ай бұрын

    Beware the ides of March

  • @defendandprotect-om5hv
    @defendandprotect-om5hv3 ай бұрын

    Did Musk kick Nalvanys widow off x?

  • @Simonsvids
    @Simonsvids3 ай бұрын

    So what exactly is Spaniel saying? Is he saying Russia messed up over the timing of the Nevalny assassination?

  • @shawnwalmer
    @shawnwalmer3 ай бұрын

    Gerasimov outside Bidens plane window seems dangerous. I hope the plane wasn't in the air, or he's getting the Prigozhin treatment.

  • @mtmadigan82
    @mtmadigan823 ай бұрын

    Forget lines on a map. New version, lines on a corpse.

  • @monkeeseemonkeedoo3745
    @monkeeseemonkeedoo37453 ай бұрын

    It sounded like you really needed to let something out with that segment on the obvious analyst

  • @askemervigbahnson333
    @askemervigbahnson3333 ай бұрын

    When is that picture from of protesting Russians with the “Besmertniy volk” banner that William always uses?

  • @chairde
    @chairde3 ай бұрын

    The crazy is strong in Putin.

  • @ByWho-js5bq
    @ByWho-js5bq3 ай бұрын

    Your video editting is so good!

  • @LegaliseFinland
    @LegaliseFinland3 ай бұрын

    You cropped out the search engine 😂

  • @deborahvenet-sanos8584
    @deborahvenet-sanos85843 ай бұрын

    I hope your thoughts are correct ..🤔

  • @dcviper985
    @dcviper9853 ай бұрын

    “Krieger’s a doctor” “NOT THE MEDICAL KIND” Krieger: “technically not the other kind, either”

  • @phalanxstrategy6233
    @phalanxstrategy62333 ай бұрын

    Hands down on this one, sorry mate

  • @bendybruce
    @bendybruce3 ай бұрын

    Falling out of a 10th floor window and breaking your neck is really not that surprising. Falling out of a window on the ground floor and still breaking your neck, well that's a little bit more suspicious.

  • @baneofbanes

    @baneofbanes

    3 ай бұрын

    Thing is flaking out of tenth floor windows seems to be contagious in Russia.

  • @bendybruce

    @bendybruce

    3 ай бұрын

    @@baneofbanesWhich was kind of the point of my ground floor metaphor. So when a political prisoner dies suddenly while in captivity, I don't think the fact that it is arguably bad for Putin means he wasn't assassinated. People do dumb stuff all the time including Putin. For example like invading Ukraine.

  • @ptonpc
    @ptonpc3 ай бұрын

    As much as I would like to see a peaceful, democratic Russia that is happy to live with its neighbours, I do not think most russians would stand up to their leader.

  • @chatnoir1224

    @chatnoir1224

    2 ай бұрын

    True, but they won't support him either. Prigozhin march on Moscow showed that in critical situation noone supported Putin. Putin regime demoralized and atomized Russian society to such extend, that it will do nothing. And it really hate when regime tries to push it to do something. The last mobilization was a disaster.

  • @hobodarkness7696
    @hobodarkness76963 ай бұрын

    Howdy

  • @sabinenooitgedacht1548
    @sabinenooitgedacht15483 ай бұрын

    Just curious, did you mean suspious? ;)😉

  • @GuntherRommel
    @GuntherRommel3 ай бұрын

    I hear Swan Lake is beautiful this time of year.

  • @justinfowler5761
    @justinfowler57613 ай бұрын

    Just think of all of the other people who have received the Navalny Treatment, people we have never heard of.

  • @kevincilek5313
    @kevincilek53133 ай бұрын

    You are the man 👍😊

  • @jan-erikjanson1995
    @jan-erikjanson19953 ай бұрын

    Remember this!

  • @bjkarana
    @bjkarana3 ай бұрын

    "I don't want to go on a rant here, but..." -Dennis Miller.

  • @computerfis
    @computerfis3 ай бұрын

    Is gerasimov still missing wtf

  • @CORVAIRWILD
    @CORVAIRWILD3 ай бұрын

    1st view? Thank you my hard working friend

  • @mickmurphy1132
    @mickmurphy11323 ай бұрын

    Amazes me that no one sees a link between Navalny's death and the fact that his Wife Yulia as attending an anti Putin/Russia security conference in Munich at the time. Why was she there, who had her there etc. We know that is where she as she spoke from there immediately as his death was announced.

  • @GowthamNatarajanAI

    @GowthamNatarajanAI

    3 ай бұрын

    What is wrong in that?

  • @mikhailmakarov8845
    @mikhailmakarov88453 ай бұрын

    Reminds me of Nicolas 2. There was brusilov offensive in 1916. It was a success on the surface, but underneath a it was a complete disaster for russian army morale. War was going for 2 years. Unfathomable death toll. Static Frontline. Economy finally started to go down. All of that reminds me of today situation. After 6 months of brusilov offensive Nicholas 2 was overthrown. Another 8 and russia fell into catastrophic civil war. Something tells me if this clown ( Putin) gets quietly reelected he will doom himself and Russia to an abyss.

  • @pagclaud
    @pagclaud3 ай бұрын

    This analysis regarding the timeing assumes, that the election is the most dangerous thing for the Putin regime in the next months. Assuming the death was intentional and acknowledging the timeing was suboptimal for the election, then the question is: what other upcoming event could threaten regime stability? One possible answer from my point of view would be an upcoming large scale mobilization. In this case it might be convenient to get rid of a possible figure head for protests well ahead of time.

  • @tyroneswift4004
    @tyroneswift40043 ай бұрын

    I suspect that he accidentally died during one of his regularly scheduled torture sessions. Im sure they were supposed to take him up to the edge of de@+h, not all the way. One of the guards was probably forced to take paid leave while his colleagues debate if his actions were consistent with his training and gulag protocols