Is now the best time for China to invade Taiwan?

Ойын-сауық

Play Conflict of Nations for FREE on PC, Android or iOS:
💥con.onelink.me/kZW6/cwmeho8x
Receive an Amazing New Player Pack, only available for the next 30 days
This video asks the question: Is now a good moment for China to try to take Taiwan, given US focus on Ukraine and Russia, as well as the Middle east?
From China’s perspective, if it wanted to invade Taiwan, would now be the best time for China to try to invade Taiwan? Would the US be too distracted now? This video will try to answer that.
Links to mentioned videos:
Why would Taiwan NOT be another Ukraine? - • Why would Taiwan NOT b...
When would US run out of smart bombs in a total war? - • When would US run out ...
Analysis of J-20 fighter jet production numbers. Has it reached over 100 airframes per year? - • Analysis of J-20 fight...
US Air Force is losing its tech edge (over China) - • US Air Force is losing...
China’s latest nuclear attack subs are not a joke anymore. - • China’s latest nuclear...
The US is building 9 military bases in the Philippines, just across China. How will it use them? - • The US is building 9 m...
Music by Matija Malatestinic www.malatestinic.com
If you want to watch our videos without ads, if you want quick replies to any questions you might have, if you want early access scripts and videos, monthly release schedules - become our Patron.
More here: / binkov​
You can also browse for other Binkov merch, like T-Shirts, via the store at our website, binkov.com
Subscribe to Binkov's channel for more videos! / @binkov
Follow Binkov's news on Facebook! / binkovsbattlegrounds
Follow us on Twitter: / commissarbinkov

Пікірлер: 4 000

  • @Binkov
    @Binkov5 ай бұрын

    Play Conflict of Nations for FREE on PC, Android or iOS: 💥con.onelink.me/kZW6/cwmeho8x Receive an Amazing New Player Pack, only available for the next 30 days

  • @powresitta

    @powresitta

    5 ай бұрын

    Lol m8, one video is how the west cant ramp up production for Ukraine, now its not even 1% of stockpile. Tell them in CIA they need to sync up their stories. Its obvious ur embeded in complex that feeds u narratives they need.

  • @user-hp5bc5cy2l

    @user-hp5bc5cy2l

    5 ай бұрын

    Nope. China can't conquer Taiwan currently and knows it.

  • @user-hp5bc5cy2l

    @user-hp5bc5cy2l

    5 ай бұрын

    Better would be a predictive video "when would be the best time".

  • @fotppd1475

    @fotppd1475

    5 ай бұрын

    Randy Feltface was way funnier than you. If you cannot even make a good joke then why bother making these sci-fi videos in the first place?

  • @AAAAAA-tj1nq

    @AAAAAA-tj1nq

    5 ай бұрын

    @binkov why do you encourage more war and violence?

  • @user-lp2zn3ux1x
    @user-lp2zn3ux1x5 ай бұрын

    China's military hasn't been tested in decades. For this reason even with all the additional military spending, we have no idea how they will perform.

  • @GarretShadow

    @GarretShadow

    5 ай бұрын

    True peace time armies tend to be a joke dispite huge budget, US however fits in that category as well

  • @charlesburgoyne-probyn6044

    @charlesburgoyne-probyn6044

    5 ай бұрын

    Indeed nor has Taiwan this is good and bad no hoary old guard whose Idea of war was how we did it in the last war and more open to new ideas as not so hidebound, but then no one with basic experience and able to mentor the younger ones

  • @user-lp2zn3ux1x

    @user-lp2zn3ux1x

    5 ай бұрын

    Nope. US actually has far more recent experience than China. You can argue the state of the US military but it cannot be compared to China's based on experience.@@GarretShadow

  • @user-wm9es2ih6n

    @user-wm9es2ih6n

    5 ай бұрын

    But we all have idea how US military performed in Afghanistan. They couldn't even defeat Taliban.

  • @stuarthamilton5112

    @stuarthamilton5112

    5 ай бұрын

    @@GarretShadow We haven’t been at peace since the Second World War. It’s pretty hilarious when you think about it. After World War One war industry in the US was shuttered almost completely. Factories with machine tooling for weapons and munitions were even penalized. By the outbreak of World War Two we didn’t have an independent Air Force and our army was minuscule. It’s hard to grasp now, with the US spending more on defense than most of the planet combined, but after World War One we didn’t want anything to do with European conflicts. We became isolationist. All that changed, and after World War Two there was no going back, because the Soviets were exporting communism and aggressively expanding into other countries. We were thrust into this role of counter-weight, and so the defense contract business came and stayed. We’ve been involved in a conflict somewhere in the world ever since. Today, we are fighting in Syria. Yes, we have forces there, and yes ISIS is still a thing, and with the Gaza War reaching its climax we are fighting in the Persian Gulf. We didn’t want this role, but we had to step into it, and we cannot let go of it.

  • @J_X999
    @J_X9995 ай бұрын

    China won't invade Taiwan whilst importing all their oil through the Malacca Strait. There's a reason why China is expanding so massively in green energy and EVs. Oil imports into China are expected to decline, meaning China's energy dependency will not be as severe. The US shouldn't listen to all the "China is declining" hawks and should continue preparing for a China which is more self reliant.

  • @MrToubrouk

    @MrToubrouk

    5 ай бұрын

    Is China self reliant on energy yet? They are surely importing a lot of coal and fuel.

  • @J_X999

    @J_X999

    5 ай бұрын

    @@MrToubrouk They will become more self reliant as time goes on due to heavy investment in domestic energy.

  • @MrToubrouk

    @MrToubrouk

    5 ай бұрын

    @@J_X999 When?

  • @ac1455

    @ac1455

    5 ай бұрын

    The issue those “China is oil & food import dependent so it won’t war” videos is it’s based on the premise of China running a trade based manufacturing economy during war. Really, when rationing and redirecting resources, those problems are mitigated to about half their relevance. Not to mention China would just increase pipelines to Central Asia & Russia and use its extremely fast growing green energy/nuclear power to satisfy civilian demand to free up gas/oil for the military, though of course more frequent shortages happen and economic civilian growth takes a hit. Now, for manpower. Yes, the population is declining, but that means nothing to an invasion of Taiwan. Firstly, Taiwan isn’t exactly getting younger either, so available manpower ratio of Taiwan to China remains mostly constant. Also, an invasion would be more tech/industry based, as in who cranks out a more effective missile force, will China’s fleet be able to blockade Taiwan? Manpower required is less than a million, and even if a couple hundred thousand soldiers die taking it, it’s barely a deterrent. What really deters China is the capability to produce

  • @MrToubrouk

    @MrToubrouk

    5 ай бұрын

    @@ac1455 Those pipelines will take at least a decade to build and will be great static targets.

  • @bmunson4920
    @bmunson49205 ай бұрын

    ‘…China has no plans to invade…’ Isn’t that what Putin was telling Macron, and other western leaders about Ukraine up to the day before?

  • @user-yw8zm9wn7l

    @user-yw8zm9wn7l

    5 ай бұрын

    你们对国际政治的思考太单一了,中国为什么要对台湾开战?台湾大部分人是汉族,而且台湾在中国的南方,但是美国位于中国的哪个方向?美国在中国的东北方向,中国即使要开战也只会毁灭日本这个美国最重要的亚洲军事基地,并且离关岛夏威夷阿拉斯加更近

  • @user-yw8zm9wn7l

    @user-yw8zm9wn7l

    5 ай бұрын

    美国为什么一直试图让中国陷入菲律宾台湾的战争,因为菲律宾台湾就在中国的南方方向,而越往南方越远离美国本土,美国试图让中国远离日本韩国夏威夷阿拉斯加关岛,中国早就看破了这种低级伎俩,所以任何认为中国会对台湾开战的人都是不懂国际政治的

  • @bmunson4920

    @bmunson4920

    5 ай бұрын

    @@user-yw8zm9wn7l if you could read my comment in English, you should reply directly in English. Your response in simplified mandarin was incomprehensible.

  • @CT-cl9wi

    @CT-cl9wi

    5 ай бұрын

    ​@@bmunson4920It's shallow to compare apples to oranges. The condition to invade for China is vastly different to Russia land to land style. China also simply cannot afford the consequences like oil rich russia.

  • @bmunson4920

    @bmunson4920

    5 ай бұрын

    @@CT-cl9wi it’s doesn’t mean Xi won’t do it. Dictators like Putin and Xi live in bubbles with compliant subordinates telling them what they want to hear…

  • @louisquatorze9280
    @louisquatorze92805 ай бұрын

    Japan as an ally will be a difference maker, and having Philippine bases is a huge plus. The US wont be out there alone.

  • @blazinchalice

    @blazinchalice

    5 ай бұрын

    Japan does not have the troops to make a difference. The MSDF can be of use, but really Japan will not contribute enough to tip the scales. The USA will have to do all of the heavy lifting.

  • @donaldtrumplover2254

    @donaldtrumplover2254

    5 ай бұрын

    ⁠@@blazinchalice not enough to tip the scales? A whole island off the coast of China, hundreds of thousands of well equipped soldiers, the third largest economy, and a few more aircraft carriers isn’t enough? I think your overestimating China and the United States a little bit.

  • @ArawnOfAnnwn

    @ArawnOfAnnwn

    5 ай бұрын

    @@donaldtrumplover2254 What're you gonna do with those soldiers? Invade China? Good luck with that lol. The only value comes from the Japanese navy and support bases. This war ain't gonna be decided on land. As for their carriers, they're helo-carriers. Nice for supporting ground operations, not for sinking ships. Frankly I'd rather have more subs, and no one has more subs than China does.

  • @blazinchalice

    @blazinchalice

    5 ай бұрын

    @donaldtrumplover2254 Japan is not an island, it is a nation of over 14,000 islands. Japan has no aircraft carriers. Japan's SDF is so understaffed that they had to raise the maximum service age. Japanese do not want to go to war with the PRC and will resist hostilities even if Taiwan is attacked. Japan would start by refueling US ships, providing logistical support of US troops rushed to bases in Japan, and would provide de-mining and patrol services. Submarines would actively track PLAN subs, but not engage.

  • @MacTac141

    @MacTac141

    5 ай бұрын

    ⁠​⁠​⁠@@blazinchaliceI mean you’re still drastically understating Japanese capabilities, their navy is about 1/4 the size of China’s in personnel, 2 amphibious assault carriers soon to be loaded with F-35s, 2 helicopter destroyers as well as a fairly large fleet that’s the 4 largest globally by displacement. It’s southern islands also serve a very important role of area denial to to land based anti-ship missiles and early warning radar. If the American Navy is already there, the Japanese serve as a force multiplier and a crucial resupply hub. Not to mention the Australians who have fought alongside America in almost every war in the last century would be there and potentially the UK too since they did join the US for Iraq. Point is the U.S. won’t be fighting alone, that’s just not how it does things. The first thing the American government would do is form a “coalition of the willing” as it looks more legitimate geopolitically to fight with allies behind you than by yourself, on top of all the force multiplier stuff

  • @nightfeather9409
    @nightfeather94095 ай бұрын

    the copium in these comments gives me life

  • @uncledaisy

    @uncledaisy

    5 ай бұрын

    Yeah lots of Chinese propagandists / bots towing the CCP line. They get paid for every pro-China comment 😂

  • @MrOiram46

    @MrOiram46

    5 ай бұрын

    @@uncledaisy They gotta get that +0.005 social credit score

  • @RendezvousDegenerate69

    @RendezvousDegenerate69

    5 ай бұрын

    ​@@uncledaisyyea Mf there's alot of them lmao poor dudes they really don't know how the situation was really going in.

  • @phatwayne
    @phatwayne5 ай бұрын

    Using Chinese GDP as a basis for any analysis is problematic to say the least.

  • @luluapple1067

    @luluapple1067

    5 ай бұрын

    Why?

  • @user-hk7kd7qq6r

    @user-hk7kd7qq6r

    5 ай бұрын

    @@luluapple1067 A drone in the United States costs hundreds of thousands of dollars, but China only needs a few thousand yuan

  • @petersinclair3997

    @petersinclair3997

    5 ай бұрын

    @@luluapple1067 Please my separate post on China’s economy, which is today facing internal financial problems and is poorly equipped to ride out a 2024-25 downturn. Even if a cure in the past, double digit growth will not continue.

  • @emanuelb3456
    @emanuelb34562 ай бұрын

    It's not a good time. They need to sell the US Treasury bonds first.

  • @Professor-of-Gaming
    @Professor-of-Gaming5 ай бұрын

    The amount of chinese bots here is downright hilarious

  • @zxera9702

    @zxera9702

    5 ай бұрын

    I've literally only seen Westoids with their usual "MuHHH CHInA iS eViL" so far

  • @Professor-of-Gaming

    @Professor-of-Gaming

    5 ай бұрын

    @@zxera9702 prove it, coward. i DARE you to insult president xi. go ahead, call him winnie the pooh. i guarantee you wont insult your "dear leader" mr chinese bot

  • @Channel-23s

    @Channel-23s

    5 ай бұрын

    @@zxera9702I mean it is with its horrible human rights Uygur Muslims being imprisonments and wanting to invade Taiwan

  • @Channel-23s

    @Channel-23s

    5 ай бұрын

    @@zxera9702wasn’t China the one who hid COVID deaths and lied about there numbers and tried to say 20-30 other countries had/created it 😂😂

  • @stoptrudeau42

    @stoptrudeau42

    5 ай бұрын

    ​@@zxera9702+5 social credit

  • @louiscypher4186
    @louiscypher41865 ай бұрын

    This is the worst time to invade. 1: It's election season in the US the president cannot afford to look weak in front of a domestic audience. 2: Europe and NATO will be judged harshly by the US public if they don't come at china hard. 3: SEA politics would see a political shift if the US didn't come at china hard. 4: If the US cannot provide a clear swift victory more support for isolationism will ramp up. Biden basically has no choice but to respond with direct military intervention and major European powers would have to be perceived as joining in. The risks of not doing so risk a dramatic shift in the political relationship of the US has not just with China but all Pacific and EU nations.

  • @Bayard1503

    @Bayard1503

    5 ай бұрын

    NATO has nothing to do with Taiwan, European countries wouldn't intervene in the Pacific.

  • @MaxoticsTV
    @MaxoticsTV5 ай бұрын

    Great you're back. Something to look forward to watching tonight!!!

  • @joe-nf8go
    @joe-nf8go5 ай бұрын

    The Chinese bots in the comments LOL

  • @user-yw8zm9wn7l

    @user-yw8zm9wn7l

    5 ай бұрын

    只是在告诉你们真相

  • @user-yw8zm9wn7l

    @user-yw8zm9wn7l

    5 ай бұрын

    网络机器人领域是美国擅长的,几十年来试图通过控制互联网舆论对中国进行颜色革命

  • @user-ws8ig1bu1c

    @user-ws8ig1bu1c

    5 ай бұрын

    🤗

  • @meinnase

    @meinnase

    5 ай бұрын

    Yeah idk if this channel is just kinda crazy targeted by all bots, or if its just one of the few that doesnt bother to remove the bot spam and all this shit gets posted to every other channel too lmao.

  • @user-yw8zm9wn7l

    @user-yw8zm9wn7l

    5 ай бұрын

    ​@@meinnase你们为什么会认为那是机器人?如果中国真的想要使用机器人评论去试图影响你们,那么中国政府会让那些机器人使用英文评论而不是中文,事实是美国才是经常在中国网络雇佣大量机器人试图颜色革命中国的国家

  • @Tomoyuki473
    @Tomoyuki4735 ай бұрын

    I was just on Taketomi island. The idea of such a chill place being a central focus in a war is crazy to think about. The times are definitely changing yet again. 😅

  • @Hati321
    @Hati3215 ай бұрын

    West Taiwan and its ruling Pooh need to chill out.

  • @NeostormXLMAX

    @NeostormXLMAX

    5 ай бұрын

    lmao cia bot angry that they can't even deal with the houthis without begging 20 other countries to tag along 🤣🤣🤣🤣

  • @EvilCapitalisto

    @EvilCapitalisto

    4 ай бұрын

    Hey at least we can make fun of our government and not get arrested for it

  • @JarleTjelland
    @JarleTjelland5 ай бұрын

    Nice animations, seems you have upgraded them a notch.

  • @epicsnake21
    @epicsnake215 ай бұрын

    I love your in-depth videos, Binkov!

  • @TheEverFreeKing
    @TheEverFreeKing5 ай бұрын

    I'm going to visit Taiwan in May of next year, wish me luck they don't invade at the same 🥶

  • @dennythedavinchi3832

    @dennythedavinchi3832

    5 ай бұрын

    99% they wouldn't. Guarantee.

  • @apocain

    @apocain

    5 ай бұрын

    chip? China has almost developed it. Resources? What resources does Taiwan have. money? Taiwan is not rich. strategic location?The entire island is in firing range. I'm don't know Why is China rushing to invade Taiwan.

  • @Shadow__133

    @Shadow__133

    5 ай бұрын

    ⁠@@apocainLike Venezuela vs Guyana, Russia vs Ukraine, or US and Iraq: their small dicked leaders need conflict to keep the power (reelection).

  • @abcdedfg8340

    @abcdedfg8340

    5 ай бұрын

    I think many bots are just jealous of the freedoms we have in the west and the freedoms taiwanese have.

  • @mitsunekolucky671

    @mitsunekolucky671

    5 ай бұрын

    ​@@apocain Almost develop != Develop. By that logic Korea has developed room temp superconductor and US developed nuclear fusion. If China doesn't want to rush invading Taiwan, it means China supports Taiwan independence. 台独万岁

  • @NoahNobody
    @NoahNobody5 ай бұрын

    1. China needs the US. 2. The sea is too rough at the moment. The only realistic windows are in April and October.

  • @indiasuperclean6969

    @indiasuperclean6969

    5 ай бұрын

    SIR MY INDIA IS THE REAL SUPERPOWER NUMBER ONE🤗🇮🇳 WE HAVE THE BEST INFRASTRUCTURE AND HIGHSPEED RAIL 🤗🇮🇳 MEANWHILE IN CHINA PEOPLE STILL RIDE RICKSHAW EVERYWHERE AND THEY ALSO POOR DONT HAVE CAR . THIS WHY IM SO LUCKY LIVE IN SUPER INDIA THE CLEANEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD 🇮🇳🤗 , WE NEVER SCAM! WE GIVE RESPECT TO ALL WOMEN THEY CAN WALK SAFELY ALONE AT NIGHT AND WE HAVE CLEAN FOOD AND TOILET EVERYWHERE 🇮🇳🤗🚽, I KNOW MANY POOR PEOPLE JEALOUS WITH SUPER RICH INDIA 🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳

  • @nulpointr
    @nulpointr5 ай бұрын

    Always a pleasure to get your take on things

  • @summitap1
    @summitap15 ай бұрын

    Good analysis! First time I've felt hopeful about the subject

  • @Castapher
    @Castapher5 ай бұрын

    There's a lot of news regarding China's economy dwindling, and political issues (backstabbing between CCP members) that makes it harder and harder for Xi to start a war against Taiwan.

  • @Oblivisci........

    @Oblivisci........

    5 ай бұрын

    In some ways it makes it easy. With a society that doesn't have access to outside media it would be easy to make to public at large in China believe that those issues are the result of western meddling and not horrible economic conditions created by a culture of corruption and nepotism.

  • @Castapher

    @Castapher

    5 ай бұрын

    @@Oblivisci........ the funny thing is, while the outside world don't have access to retrieve information about China and vice versa, CCP's faction that belonged to Jiang Zemin faction (and which are against Xi) are always releasing their videos and information to give Xi a bad name. It might or not might give the full picture of whats happening in China .... .... but after Premier Li Keqiang died and the sudden disappearance of many CCP and military officials like Li Shangfu ... you really dont have to use your full imagination of what's happening in China's politics.

  • @user-hk7kd7qq6r

    @user-hk7kd7qq6r

    5 ай бұрын

    @@Oblivisci........ Guess where I come from?

  • @neolord50pro77

    @neolord50pro77

    5 ай бұрын

    @@user-hk7kd7qq6r You are from 北部九州

  • @yaraelpoof7242

    @yaraelpoof7242

    5 ай бұрын

    That’s just western properganda China economy is growing around 5% every year way faster than most western countries

  • @kurtwicklund8901
    @kurtwicklund89015 ай бұрын

    China cannot afford to continue these trends for long in light of their economic issues. Through history there are many examples of major land powers trying to also out-navy their maritime rival. They usually break under the cost and that expensive navy ends up in port or on the bottom forever. Have at it PRC.

  • @indiasuperclean6969

    @indiasuperclean6969

    5 ай бұрын

    SIR MY INDIA IS THE REAL SUPERPOWER NUMBER ONE🤗🇮🇳 WE HAVE THE BEST INFRASTRUCTURE AND HIGHSPEED RAIL 🤗🇮🇳 MEANWHILE IN CHINA PEOPLE STILL RIDE RICKSHAW EVERYWHERE AND THEY ALSO POOR DONT HAVE CAR . THIS WHY IM SO LUCKY LIVE IN SUPER INDIA THE CLEANEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD 🇮🇳🤗 , WE NEVER SCAM! WE GIVE RESPECT TO ALL WOMEN THEY CAN WALK SAFELY ALONE AT NIGHT AND WE HAVE CLEAN FOOD AND TOILET EVERYWHERE 🇮🇳🤗🚽, I KNOW MANY POOR PEOPLE JEALOUS WITH SUPER RICH INDIA 🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳

  • @Intranetusa
    @Intranetusa5 ай бұрын

    Whether mainland China will attempt an invasion likely heavily depends on how the USA, Western Europe, other NATO nations, Japan, and other democratic nations treat the Ukraine conflict. If they see that the USA and other countries will get tired of supporting Ukraine against the Russian invasion and stop supporting Ukraine, then China will be more likely to invade Taiwan because they will realize they can simply "outlast" Western support.

  • @Astra2

    @Astra2

    5 ай бұрын

    Not at all. The US is not under any obligation to help Ukraine, nor any are other countries you mentioned. They also will never send troops to Ukraine as they don't want to start a war with Russia. Taiwan is completely different. The US has stated again and again that they will defend Taiwan if China invades - not just send weapons. If they failed to do this, It would show that they are not nearly as powerful as they project

  • @Intranetusa

    @Intranetusa

    5 ай бұрын

    @@Astra2 Incorrect. The US literally gave Ukraine security guarantees in exchange for Ukraine giving up its nuclear weapons - look up the Budapest Memo of 1994. It is called "Memorandum on security assurances in connection with Ukraine’s accession to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons." So the USA actually has a written document saying the US will assist Ukraine if they became a victim of invasion. In contrast, the USA only has an "oral promise" to help Taiwan (the SAMDT written agreement to help Taiwan expired in 1979).

  • @mwgor
    @mwgor5 ай бұрын

    The role of Japanese and Korean military in any Pacific conflict should be figured into the calculation.

  • @MrToubrouk

    @MrToubrouk

    5 ай бұрын

    I don't expect the US base of Okinawa to be safe.

  • @indiasuperclean6969

    @indiasuperclean6969

    5 ай бұрын

    SIR MY INDIA IS THE REAL SUPERPOWER NUMBER ONE🤗🇮🇳 WE HAVE THE BEST INFRASTRUCTURE AND HIGHSPEED RAIL 🤗🇮🇳 MEANWHILE IN CHINA PEOPLE STILL RIDE RICKSHAW EVERYWHERE AND THEY ALSO POOR DONT HAVE CAR . THIS WHY IM SO LUCKY LIVE IN SUPER INDIA THE CLEANEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD 🇮🇳🤗 , WE NEVER SCAM! WE GIVE RESPECT TO ALL WOMEN THEY CAN WALK SAFELY ALONE AT NIGHT AND WE HAVE CLEAN FOOD AND TOILET EVERYWHERE 🇮🇳🤗🚽, I KNOW MANY POOR PEOPLE JEALOUS WITH SUPER RICH INDIA 🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳

  • @Bayard1503

    @Bayard1503

    5 ай бұрын

    @@MrToubrouk Do you imagine a new Pearl Harbor from China?? They probably would need to first attack US directly but would they dare?

  • @kakerake6018
    @kakerake60185 ай бұрын

    what i think ppl underestimate massively is that in the of a war going hot then the USA could ramp production to ridiculous amounts because they dont have to worry about storing those material.

  • @hhkk6155

    @hhkk6155

    5 ай бұрын

    Lol US lost almost all of its production capacity - factories are closed/ deconstructed/ people who know how to make stuff are retired and dead. Why produce something when you can print money?))))

  • @sgt.grinch3299
    @sgt.grinch32995 ай бұрын

    I disagree with your speculation. China cannot afford the invasion and does not have the Military expertise and experience to pull off the invasion. A minimum of 9 hours are required to ferry the troops to the beaches. Good luck with that.

  • @neolord50pro77

    @neolord50pro77

    5 ай бұрын

    So what they will gain air superiority and paradrop expedition force to secure landing site. It will be like Market Garden and D-Day in one push.

  • @patricebertrand1146

    @patricebertrand1146

    5 ай бұрын

    @@neolord50pro77 Good luck with gaining air superiority. Ask the Russians how that went for them.

  • @missk1697

    @missk1697

    5 ай бұрын

    Whataboutism much?@@patricebertrand1146

  • @stuarthamilton5112

    @stuarthamilton5112

    5 ай бұрын

    @@neolord50pro77 They have zero SEAD operation expertise. The US has honed these operations over the years and had the luxury of learning how to counter each air defense threat as it came to the field. China has had no such opportunity. If China goes for this it’ll be like signing up for a marathon before learning how to walk. They will suffer extreme attrition.

  • @Bayard1503

    @Bayard1503

    5 ай бұрын

    @@neolord50pro77 How do they gain aerial superiority?? Would they start by destroying American bases throughout the Pacific? And only then go for Taiwan? If they do that the world unites behind US. If they don't... they leave all the initiative to US. Lose-lose.

  • @teleman07
    @teleman075 ай бұрын

    Hi. I am Chi Jing Ping. I thank Binkov for this analysis. We shall get to this ASAP.

  • @janrudnicki6111
    @janrudnicki61115 ай бұрын

    Merry Christmas

  • @hardware64
    @hardware645 ай бұрын

    With Russia being outed as a "paper bear" and its military in shambles this is very much the worst time for them to invade. It would be very much them vs the world

  • @blue-uo6yl

    @blue-uo6yl

    5 ай бұрын

    Lol, paper bears... wasnt Russia suppose to lose any day now? Its been 2 years. And Zelensky is begging US for money while the Congress is saying no lolol.

  • @zoogie980

    @zoogie980

    5 ай бұрын

    @@blue-uo6yl wasnt the war supposed to last less than a week tho? The fact that Ukraine has stalled the entire Russian armed forces to a halt is very telling.

  • @blue-uo6yl

    @blue-uo6yl

    5 ай бұрын

    Never was said by the Russian that was a US general cope harder Sheep repeating what u heard lol, Go look up who said it.@@zoogie980

  • @justinvang561

    @justinvang561

    5 ай бұрын

    @@zoogie980 Ukraine has been backed by at least 30 different countries including the most powerful nation USA. The fact is Russia is winning against them and Ukraine hasn't been able to recapture their lost lands and territories if you ask me that's impressive.

  • @Hey_MikeZeroEcho22P
    @Hey_MikeZeroEcho22P5 ай бұрын

    As a USN Veteran... I and other sailors practice in, evaluating our, and improving ourselves in attacks in S. Korea, but as I was close to retirement, we were discussing an invasion of Taiwan as well.... The point was they posed to me was .... "What If..." China were to go into Taiwan, how would you protect them?? I pointed out the same evaluation that you present here with Japan protecting the northern portion of the island, while the US, with Philippine co-operation, to the south of Taiwan in the same Bashi Channel.... Of course I got laughed at.....back in the mid-2000s.........Now I wonder, where those other sailors are?? USN Veteran 84 - 05

  • @LOL-zu1zr

    @LOL-zu1zr

    5 ай бұрын

    I don’t know you guys pass a iq test of 80. Tf do you even do on the ship? Clearing pipes doesn’t make you a military expert quit larding.

  • @Hey_MikeZeroEcho22P

    @Hey_MikeZeroEcho22P

    5 ай бұрын

    @@LOL-zu1zr I Think ..... You need to know that there is ... ' AN " before IQ. As for Me.... I AM a USN Veteran, You P.O.-S!!!! Why don't you give blood on the next blood Drive........ OR....... Donate some of your Time as a Volunteer in Your neighborhood for the next four (4) hours for the next six (6) days........ OR ....... Give monies to a homeless shelter ..... OR..... spend the next Sixteen (16) Years, teaching middle-school kids, then teach high-school for the next six (6) years after that.... AT The Same Time SERVING MY Country. OR, you can keep Your Comments to somebody OR Sign Up and Enlist like I did as an 'Operations Specialist'..... Look it up and See Just HOW Smart I am. Otherwise....get some 'Subs' and Post some Videos... and STOP playing games....."troller"

  • @Fix_Bayonets
    @Fix_Bayonets5 ай бұрын

    The wild card Herr that no one talks about is Korea. The US had extensive based there to nominally defend South Korea. Much of the part and air bade infrastructure will be pressed into service to support Taiwan. In which case China would highly encourage North Korea to also attack.

  • @user-je5do6jn2f
    @user-je5do6jn2f5 ай бұрын

    Marshall Binkov, Confucius say, "F@ck around and find out."

  • @sonar8594
    @sonar8594Ай бұрын

    Whoops 7:13

  • @Xenomorphine
    @Xenomorphine5 ай бұрын

    There are two windows of opportunity the environmental factors allow for it: March/April and October. The weather and water depth/conditions are not favourable at other times of the year. They're well aware that taking over TAiwanese industry is unlikely, but their primary goal is to use Taiwan to break out of the first island chain. If they do that, it will become far more difficult to contain them in the future. They have also made it very clear that they only consider Taiwan the first step in much wider expansionist plans.

  • @Xenomorphine

    @Xenomorphine

    5 ай бұрын

    @@SUPERPOWERCHINA_ Hah!

  • @indiasuperclean6969

    @indiasuperclean6969

    5 ай бұрын

    SIR MY INDIA IS THE REAL SUPERPOWER NUMBER ONE🤗🇮🇳 WE HAVE THE BEST INFRASTRUCTURE AND HIGHSPEED RAIL 🤗🇮🇳 MEANWHILE IN CHINA PEOPLE STILL RIDE RICKSHAW EVERYWHERE AND THEY ALSO POOR DONT HAVE CAR . THIS WHY IM SO LUCKY LIVE IN SUPER INDIA THE CLEANEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD 🇮🇳🤗 , WE NEVER SCAM! WE GIVE RESPECT TO ALL WOMEN THEY CAN WALK SAFELY ALONE AT NIGHT AND WE HAVE CLEAN FOOD AND TOILET EVERYWHERE 🇮🇳🤗🚽, I KNOW MANY POOR PEOPLE JEALOUS WITH SUPER RICH INDIA 🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳

  • @Ivan-ds4cx
    @Ivan-ds4cx5 ай бұрын

    we have been waiting..... for sooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo long

  • 5 ай бұрын

    Japan, USA, Philippines and SEA Nations said, "Go ahead and try us".

  • @eng3d

    @eng3d

    5 ай бұрын

    China: And who invited all of you? Japan and Philippines: US forced me.

  • @user-qx4zc3ph2m

    @user-qx4zc3ph2m

    5 ай бұрын

    Like in Ukraine? Your help was very important (no)

  • @winzyl9546

    @winzyl9546

    5 ай бұрын

    ​@@eng3dYouve never been to japan or the philipines and youve never talked to one.

  • 5 ай бұрын

    ​@@eng3d Oh do you see what's happening in the Philippine Sea and South China Sea? That's one of the hundred reasons why we are against Chinese aggression. Also, the US and Japan are our long-standing allies since after World War 2. I am a Filipino btw.

  • @richardunica3542

    @richardunica3542

    5 ай бұрын

    @@eng3d they never invited anyone but once they get in make sure they know how to escape.muslim territory never colonies by invaders

  • @oldkid8811
    @oldkid88115 ай бұрын

    Thank you Binkov for mentioning PPP in context of military spending. Many Many people ignore this for purposes of over stating US military spending for political purposes. Both Bernie Sanders left and Rand Paul right try to beat military spending down with tricks of this sort.

  • @R2H1796
    @R2H17965 ай бұрын

    People forget one important thing their allies.... one has a lot, and the other really doesn't have any friends....

  • @daniellewis984
    @daniellewis9845 ай бұрын

    I mean, the US seems to be just one election away from self-immolation. Why not wait a year or two?

  • @Lili_Chen2005

    @Lili_Chen2005

    5 ай бұрын

    We're fine. People are just hyperbolic.

  • @gfys756

    @gfys756

    5 ай бұрын

    ​@@Lili_Chen2005You're light-years away from "fine". You're pretty thoroughly screwed.

  • @Lili_Chen2005

    @Lili_Chen2005

    5 ай бұрын

    @@gfys756 People have said that since the Federalist and Anti-Federalists begin to beef. Every election the sky is falling. Americans are hyperbolic AF. Every four years the other guys are going to be crazy and destroy the culture because of *insert bizarre outlier example* .

  • @Bayard1503

    @Bayard1503

    5 ай бұрын

    Yeah, the Japanese looked at the American democratic system in the 30s and thought the same: they are weak.

  • @daniellewis984

    @daniellewis984

    5 ай бұрын

    @@Bayard1503 'America will never be destroyed from the outside. If we lose our freedoms it will be because we have destroyed ourselves from within.' - a condensed version of what Abe Lincoln said.

  • @eddiecharles6457
    @eddiecharles64575 ай бұрын

    Numbers/quantity is a quality on it's own. However, whoever has better training, logistics, and actual experience are also factors that wins the battle.

  • @renelarsen6479
    @renelarsen64795 ай бұрын

    Narrator: Russia probably wont escalate the conflict.. Narrator: Iran probably wont escalate the conflict.. Random historical madman: Hold my beer..

  • @ExHyperion

    @ExHyperion

    5 ай бұрын

    *casually ignores the hundreds of times between both those incidents where countries did, in fact, choose to de-escalate*

  • @Hilts931
    @Hilts9315 ай бұрын

    A huge majority of aid for Ukraine is spent internally in the US in the US arms industry. Like, over 90%.

  • @rexringtail471

    @rexringtail471

    5 ай бұрын

    Yes. Generally all military aid is a handout to US defense industries.

  • @stuarthamilton5112

    @stuarthamilton5112

    5 ай бұрын

    @@rexringtail471 Which is a good thing.

  • @wrexchicane8259
    @wrexchicane82595 ай бұрын

    Now Venezuela wants to attack Guyana. What timing.

  • @user-eg3lo8jp3e

    @user-eg3lo8jp3e

    5 ай бұрын

    good time. taywan-china, israel-palestine.you shouted there that we were Russian invaders, and you animals turned out to be even worse. When will the Moroccans get their territory back near the strait? Are they paying off?

  • @d.olivergutierrez8690
    @d.olivergutierrez86905 ай бұрын

    They literally had to treat every us,uk,Japanese,korean, etc vessel in the vicinity like if they were operating with balloons in a room full of spikes, this is not Ukraine, the possibility of involvement of every one of those aforementioned participants could be catastrophic if they are given a reason to enter the conflict, China has the losing hand in this situation

  • @mtmadigan82

    @mtmadigan82

    5 ай бұрын

    Absolutely right, and theres even more countries in the area that would/will align with us.

  • @silverhawkscape2677

    @silverhawkscape2677

    5 ай бұрын

    ​@@mtmadigan82Either align with US or ignore China. India won't help China takes to there Border disputes. South Asia? They Ramed Vietnamese Fishing boats and China still Antagonizes much of South Asia. There only Allies willing to help them is Russia. China Effectively surrounded itself with Enemies. Even Philippines when President Duterte Pivoted away from America and into China ended up quietly going back to China because China were just crap Allies.

  • @gishjalmr5628

    @gishjalmr5628

    5 ай бұрын

    Japan is also currently dramatically increasing the JSDF. They have also stated that it would most likely be forced to enter any conflict to ensure their own defense in the region. The PLA would likely have North Korea make noise to draw away support from South Korea but the other countries in the region would likely send some form of support.

  • @tiagodagostini
    @tiagodagostini5 ай бұрын

    China is probably learnign a lot about the new relaities of war with the Russo Ukranian war. They are probably rushing to adapt with the lessons learned, but as soon as that is done a high risk may exist.

  • @MrToubrouk

    @MrToubrouk

    5 ай бұрын

    It's not China or even the CCP that needs to learn it. Since China is a one-man show, it's up to Komrade Xi Jimping to learn it and I don't know if he did.

  • @indiasuperclean6969

    @indiasuperclean6969

    5 ай бұрын

    SIR MY INDIA IS THE REAL SUPERPOWER NUMBER ONE🤗🇮🇳 WE HAVE THE BEST INFRASTRUCTURE AND HIGHSPEED RAIL 🤗🇮🇳 MEANWHILE IN CHINA PEOPLE STILL RIDE RICKSHAW EVERYWHERE AND THEY ALSO POOR DONT HAVE CAR . THIS WHY IM SO LUCKY LIVE IN SUPER INDIA THE CLEANEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD 🇮🇳🤗 , WE NEVER SCAM! WE GIVE RESPECT TO ALL WOMEN THEY CAN WALK SAFELY ALONE AT NIGHT AND WE HAVE CLEAN FOOD AND TOILET EVERYWHERE 🇮🇳🤗🚽, I KNOW MANY POOR PEOPLE JEALOUS WITH SUPER RICH INDIA 🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳

  • @electro98
    @electro985 ай бұрын

    after watching your video about merkava tank i realized that all of this high tech weapons are BS in real time battles so based on that i give most of ur video 20% reality and the rest 80% based on american propaganda

  • @adi4u48821

    @adi4u48821

    5 ай бұрын

    Why is Merkava bullshit? I saw and heard they performed pretty good, they don't even have to fight other tanks there only RPGs, I would say they are not even being tested to their limitm

  • @electro98

    @electro98

    5 ай бұрын

    @@adi4u48821 i will just say wake up from your american propaganda go watch what happend to the merkava 4 in Lebanon 2006 wand what happening to it now in gazza over 150 merkava 4 already destroyed in gazza

  • @linuxapt8173
    @linuxapt81735 ай бұрын

    MIC is having the time of its life rn

  • @javilo2797

    @javilo2797

    5 ай бұрын

    Mic?

  • @KGAnims

    @KGAnims

    5 ай бұрын

    ​@@javilo2797Military Industrial Complex. Basically American weapon making companies.

  • @FloofyMinari

    @FloofyMinari

    5 ай бұрын

    More jobs and money for the US. That's GOOD!

  • @Flipitos
    @Flipitos5 ай бұрын

    Probably yes. I’m waiting for it for quite a while.

  • @angeluscorpius
    @angeluscorpius5 ай бұрын

    China will be concerned about 3 things - 1) Can it break the First Island Chain that is containing it. 2) Can it fight a war without adversely affecting its economic growth. 3) Will China "lose face" (like if Taiwan declares independence). For (3), Taiwan, if prudent, will not provoke China by declaring independence. Tsai Ingwen was asked if Taiwan should declare independence. Her answer was that Taiwan was already Independent, and there is no need to declare it. So, Taiwan, if shrewd, will try to leave things as it is, status quo. (Which is how the rest of the world likes it!) For (2), China has seen how the world... or the US-led world, has responded with sanctions against Russia. China can also expect the same, UNLESS China can take over Taiwan fast and decisively, within 2 weeks or less, so that sanctions, blockades, will have no time to affect China. Is there any evidence, that China can take Taiwan in two weeks or less? If US and Japan does not come to Taiwan's aid, China will eventually take Taiwan. But maybe not within 2 weeks. For 1), this is China's overarching goal. Either take Taiwan, or the Diaoyu/Senkaku islands, and break the First Island Chain. For the Diaoyu/Senkaku, China would be facing Japan. And the US and Japan has a Defence Treaty, which means that if Japan is attacked, the US will come to Japan's aid. With Taiwan, US's policy of Strategic Ambiguity allows China to nurse the hope that US may NOT come to Taiwan's aid. But that is a desperate hope at best. As much as China wants to break out of the First Island Chain, the US wants the Chain to keep China out of the Pacific. So the US will come to Taiwan's aid. BUT the US does not want a shooting war with China. If the two biggest economy goes to war, the world will suffer. Already, the Ukraine war has caused food shortages, and inflation, and that is a limited war. What more, a China-US conflict... when elephants fight, grass gets trampled. The rest of the world is just grass to China and the US. So how does the US keep China from starting a shooting war. First, make sure Taiwan acts prudently, and shrewdly. Hence the "Strategic Ambiguity". This is as much to tell Taiwan, "you don't try to start anything. I may not have your back. So don't go poking the bear... or the panda... or Winnie the Pooh!" Second, be so overwhelmingly stronger (militarily) than China so that China will see that they have no chance of winning. This is no longer an option. China has grown stronger militarily. Maybe they are still not as powerful or capable as the US, but the US may not be able to "shock and awe" China anymore. Third, if the US cannot win, make sure that China does not believe it can win or win easily. Let China's consideration be that they cannot win, will not win easily, but in addition will have ruined their economy and be subject to sanctions, that will wreck their economic growth for years. Fourth, even if China is able to "win" a shooting war, it would be at a huge cost to China. Maybe they would lose half their naval assets including one or more (or all!) their aircraft carriers, economic assets (factories), ports, shipbuilding facilities, and maybe even the Three Gorges Dam. And the Taiwan that they have captured may be a devastated wasteland. No TSMC for them to exploit/use. The US is "offering" the 3rd or 4th option to China now. China is facing a stalemate or a pyrrhic victory. Neither of which is of any use to China.

  • @WOOKY27

    @WOOKY27

    5 ай бұрын

    China will snap the ball even its not a successful operation. Since its only 85 miles across, what if China failed the first time, then launch 2nd, 3rd, and 4th invasion?

  • @angmori172

    @angmori172

    5 ай бұрын

    On the one hand, as you say, China has grown militarily. On the other, more and more information is leaking showing that their equipment and training is shit. And lots of their main arsenal is either imports or licensed versions from Russia. As we see in Ukraine, NATO equipment and doctrine is overwhelmingly better. It's also becoming increasingly clear that China suffers the same sort of corruption issues as Russia. And the most important lesson from Ukraine is how a technologically and tactically superior, highly motivated defending army can hold off an army that mainly relies on overwhelming firepower and numbers. And that's on land, a few hours drive from Moscow itself. Imagine having most of, if not all, of the same issues but now the attack is conducted over the sea, with submarines and local air superiority due to chinese planes having to cross most of the sea to be effective while Taiwans airforce can take land, refuel and rearm and be back up in minutes. And that's without counting the massive American navy and airpower. So even if they look mighty on paper, taking Taiwan will almost definitely NOT be a short affair, and the economic ramifications on China will be 10x worse than they are for Russia, since Russia doesn't have a massive population in desperate need of food and energy imports. I've heard that China has a 40 day supply of oil, and a significant chunk of its daily consumption will be completely blocked off the minute they move on Taiwan. And we all know Raytheon, Boeing, Lockheed and all the rest are just chomping at the bit to go pew pew with China.

  • @xsu-is7vq

    @xsu-is7vq

    5 ай бұрын

    All four of your four points are unrealistic now. There is no longer any room for strategic ambiguity. US position is CLEARLY “prevent unification at all cost ”, China knows that perfectly well now, and US knows China knows. Military comparison is no longer in US favor close to Chinese shore, let alone overwhelming favor for US, and that trend is swinging more in China’s favor in short and medium term. US can’t do that kind of damage to China unless it’s willing to risk a proportional response from China, which means an escalation to nuclear weapons. In any case, that accomplishes nothing except turn China into an arch enemy, and seriously damage US’s economy as a side effect. China will be able to rebuild, as Chinese have done so many times in its history. I don’t know if US could.

  • @Jkim890

    @Jkim890

    5 ай бұрын

    Very well written. Exactly my thoughts on all of this, put down so concisely. Bravo. 👍

  • @angeluscorpius

    @angeluscorpius

    5 ай бұрын

    @@xsu-is7vq wrote: "US position is CLEARLY “prevent unification at all cost"". US couldn't care less about unification. Or Democracy in Taiwan. Only about the integrity of the First Island Chain. I get your point. And in effect "voluntary re-unification" on the part of Taiwan would threaten or at least undermine US containment strategy. But because you argue from the point of "US preventing unification", you inform me of your bias and myopic perspective. And you assert that ALL four of my points are unrealistic? That tells me your comprehension skills are sorely lacking, So... you're fine with Taiwan declaring independence tomorrow because without "strategic ambiguity", and because (in your words) US will "prevent unification at all cost", the US will support Taiwan's declaration of independence, and come to Taiwan's aid? Like I said, you do not understand my comments, or the intentions of the US or China for that matter.

  • @kenharris5390
    @kenharris53904 ай бұрын

    Taiwan Semiconductor Industries, TSMC, is on a worldwide list of companies that must be protected at all costs, including military force by America and other Western countries. TSMC makes the smallest microchips in the world, western nations would be badly affected if TSMC stopped production, China buys over forty per cent of the output. Every Apple product has TSMC's chips. The expression "The Silicone Sheild" protects Taiwan from Chinese invasion.

  • @user-rp4fw1by5p
    @user-rp4fw1by5p5 ай бұрын

    As much as I hate to admit it, now would be the best time. China has the numbers and initiative. The US is trying to support two other conflicts, huge problems with service member recruiting and retention, and a home political environment that’s is the worst shame since the civil war. The longer china waits, the stronger the US becomes. They’re already pivoting away from Taiwan for semi conductors. The US would have to choose; Taiwan, Israel, or Ukraine.

  • @user-yw8zm9wn7l

    @user-yw8zm9wn7l

    5 ай бұрын

    🤣你们真的不了解国际形势,还在盲目的相信美国

  • @AI-ih5or

    @AI-ih5or

    5 ай бұрын

    中国要收回台湾只有两种情况:台湾宣布独立,那么中国将不惜代价发起统一战争。另一种是不战而屈人之兵,以最小代价和平统一。老外对中国人的想法一无所知。

  • @stevenchoza6391

    @stevenchoza6391

    5 ай бұрын

    Germany made that same assumption after Pearl Harbor and was wrong. I doubt it would be any different with China.

  • @jackneuman5108

    @jackneuman5108

    5 ай бұрын

    @@stevenchoza6391 To be fair Chinas ability to negatively affect US capabilities compared to Nazi Germany in 1940s is bit more substantial.

  • @indiasuperclean6969

    @indiasuperclean6969

    5 ай бұрын

    SIR MY INDIA IS THE REAL SUPERPOWER NUMBER ONE🤗🇮🇳 WE HAVE THE BEST INFRASTRUCTURE AND HIGHSPEED RAIL 🤗🇮🇳 MEANWHILE IN CHINA PEOPLE STILL RIDE RICKSHAW EVERYWHERE AND THEY ALSO POOR DONT HAVE CAR . THIS WHY IM SO LUCKY LIVE IN SUPER INDIA THE CLEANEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD 🇮🇳🤗 , WE NEVER SCAM! WE GIVE RESPECT TO ALL WOMEN THEY CAN WALK SAFELY ALONE AT NIGHT AND WE HAVE CLEAN FOOD AND TOILET EVERYWHERE 🇮🇳🤗🚽, I KNOW MANY POOR PEOPLE JEALOUS WITH SUPER RICH INDIA 🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳

  • @Jeff-mv2vm
    @Jeff-mv2vm5 ай бұрын

    Binkov, you need stickers! The End is Nigh mug is legit, but I have too many mugs!

  • @angerissues69626
    @angerissues696264 ай бұрын

    Would be interesting. China has no real experience since the Korean war. Their weapons technology is Russian based and we've seen how they work against 90s and early 00s US tech.

  • @garymcginley8975

    @garymcginley8975

    4 ай бұрын

    China is learning from Russia

  • @asedwraswa

    @asedwraswa

    2 ай бұрын

    China has developed self-technology, such as electric catapult, which is used in 003

  • @michaelbuela8403
    @michaelbuela84035 ай бұрын

    Taiwan is only Taiwan.

  • @saulperez6534
    @saulperez65345 ай бұрын

    Is it me or is this looking like the 1930's again? In Europe Russia it's playing Germany's role in the Pacific China is looking to play Japan's role and in the Mediterranean Iran seems to try and play Italy's role.

  • @MrToubrouk

    @MrToubrouk

    5 ай бұрын

    Remember how it ends.

  • @reaperbsc

    @reaperbsc

    5 ай бұрын

    The parallels are striking. Thank goodness the new axis is far less competent then 2/3rds of the old one. (Sorry Italians, but it's true.)

  • @Xu.123

    @Xu.123

    5 ай бұрын

    Ww2’s reason is ww1. And I think Iran is so weak😂 I think Indian has more possible. Cause Italy always surrendered before their friends lost. India also looks like Italy.

  • @saulperez6534

    @saulperez6534

    5 ай бұрын

    @@MrToubrouk i believe everyone appreciate how it ended but the way things are here if the US can't play the same role who will

  • @saulperez6534

    @saulperez6534

    5 ай бұрын

    @@reaperbsc very true less competent but also more lazy so it is worrying that they might just push the BIG RED BOTTOM if you know what I mean.

  • @breadwatcher3908
    @breadwatcher39085 ай бұрын

    If anyone is interested: PLN North [HQ Qingdao] 1 Aircraft Carrier, 18 Subs, 1 Cruiser, 9 Destroyers, 12 Frigates, 10 Corvettes, 2 Tank Landing Ships, 5 Medium Landing Ships, 18 Missile Patrol Craft PLN East [HQ Ningbo] 18 Subs, 12 Destroyers, 23 Frigates, 19 Corvettes, 2 Amphibs, 16 Tank Landing Ships, 7 Medium Landing Ships, and 46 Missile Patrol Craft PLN South [HQ Zhanjiang] 1 Carrier, 20 Subs, 11 Destroyers, 18 Frigates, 20 Corvettes, 4 Amphibs, 13 Tank Landing Ships, 9 Medium Landing Ships, and 22 Missile Patrol Craft Their Navy isn't as aircraft focused as ours. The reason being that PLAAF pilots have a hard time with simply just staying in the air. So they've designed a very lightweight fleet based on Aerial denial, and a meat grinder island hopping strategy. The southern fleet is designed for the Philippines. The eastern fleet is the primary defense and its main purpose is Taiwan. The northern fleet is their weakest, because they believe Russia will help them.

  • @connorscherer617

    @connorscherer617

    5 ай бұрын

    Cool comment 👍

  • @flyinpug3791

    @flyinpug3791

    5 ай бұрын

    Russia will help them, economically. So they get all the resources from Siberia.

  • @kanishkdhanker0280

    @kanishkdhanker0280

    5 ай бұрын

    Everything is fun and Game for China until India opens new front and Give access to USAF of it's Airbases near Chinese border.

  • @kimberhuang5149
    @kimberhuang51495 ай бұрын

    Regional allies will play big and crucial part, the big question is the willingness of these said allies to help

  • @dakiesalamander5221

    @dakiesalamander5221

    5 ай бұрын

    a big one... because if the China controls the sea, they are all fked and becomes at best puppets at worst directly controlled by Xi. Nobody wants that.

  • @magne6049
    @magne60495 ай бұрын

    Xi watching this be like..: «ooh, didn’t think about that, but now that you say it…»

  • @HypoceeYT
    @HypoceeYT5 ай бұрын

    Logistics loves ships. Trains are a very poor second to ships. The closer you can get to a place by ship, the easier the logistics become.

  • @zulefunel2172
    @zulefunel21725 ай бұрын

    There is also a Projection once the Philippines change it's Procurement law which will allow them to buy 2nd Hand Weaponry such as 2nd hand F16 which is cheaper, they might have atleast 60 F16 by 2026 or 2028 which will be a force multiplier in the Pacific War as they can be armed with AGM-84 Harpoon and it will also reduce Logistics strain as it as familiarity with the US

  • @porcus123
    @porcus1235 ай бұрын

    America already left the middle east to prepare for the great pacific scuffle. Edit: i also think that the us can put a very heavy finger on the scales by just providing intel and equipment. For every foot soldier there are 10 people behind supporting him, and the US just providing that would make any army alot more combat effectiveness. Look at ukraine wars early days

  • @jabroni6199

    @jabroni6199

    5 ай бұрын

    Early days is the key word. Wars last a long time and your enemy will adapt. What happens then?

  • @indiasuperclean6969

    @indiasuperclean6969

    5 ай бұрын

    SIR MY INDIA IS THE REAL SUPERPOWER NUMBER ONE🤗🇮🇳 WE HAVE THE BEST INFRASTRUCTURE AND HIGHSPEED RAIL 🤗🇮🇳 MEANWHILE IN CHINA PEOPLE STILL RIDE RICKSHAW EVERYWHERE AND THEY ALSO POOR DONT HAVE CAR . THIS WHY IM SO LUCKY LIVE IN SUPER INDIA THE CLEANEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD 🇮🇳🤗 , WE NEVER SCAM! WE GIVE RESPECT TO ALL WOMEN THEY CAN WALK SAFELY ALONE AT NIGHT AND WE HAVE CLEAN FOOD AND TOILET EVERYWHERE 🇮🇳🤗🚽, I KNOW MANY POOR PEOPLE JEALOUS WITH SUPER RICH INDIA 🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳

  • @Bayard1503

    @Bayard1503

    5 ай бұрын

    US literally said they will defend Taiwan.

  • @MechPoblete
    @MechPobleteАй бұрын

    I love how some of the 'comments' here are from accounts created just a month ago. 😂

  • @davidmoore1102
    @davidmoore11025 ай бұрын

    Short answer yes

  • @boromirtheblasted883
    @boromirtheblasted8835 ай бұрын

    The Chinese GDP is nearly 40% overestimated. It’s odd not to take such a factor into account. When it comes to totalitarian regimes, taking their abilities and reports on paper as fact is like making these videos on rumor alone.

  • @shaftoe195

    @shaftoe195

    5 ай бұрын

    China is not a "totalitarian regime", and any person with a brain not full of American propaganda knows it, most especially those who visited, or do business with China. As for trust in their reports... right, as if no Western government lies to their citizens on daily basis. It's a dangerous thing to only attribute a problem to one's opponent and refuse to see it in yourself. Perhaps, if more people were reasonable, they had seen how Ukraine was destined to backfire for the West from day 1.

  • @patricebertrand1146

    @patricebertrand1146

    5 ай бұрын

    @@shaftoe195 Not a totalitarian regime except you better not mock the government or dare protest with a blank piece of paper. China #1. 🤐

  • @missk1697

    @missk1697

    5 ай бұрын

    Except you have no evidence for that claim other than western hopium speculations.

  • @flyinpug3791

    @flyinpug3791

    5 ай бұрын

    Source: trust me bro

  • @prawlingbadger2642
    @prawlingbadger26425 ай бұрын

    Yes! BINKOV!! 😃 LOV ya Comrad! 😘

  • @ARTstrom2203
    @ARTstrom22035 ай бұрын

    In 1941 December some countries think usa cannot handle two front war and win is in their hand .After 4 year that's countries were Vanished .Never underestimate the usa manufacturing .

  • @lazymansload520

    @lazymansload520

    5 ай бұрын

    The USA’s manufacturing may not be as big as it used to be, but there’s still a lot of it, and it can still make a lot of weapons to fight with.

  • @minxia7337

    @minxia7337

    5 ай бұрын

    美国的制造业已经空心化,援助乌克兰的火药都是韩国造的😂这是一个残酷的现实!现在的美国只有金融泡沫,依靠美元霸权收割全世界!

  • @YunLuoShanZe

    @YunLuoShanZe

    5 ай бұрын

    “Never underestimate the Britain manufacturing!”,UK thought the same way back then.

  • @FORAMERICA-tw4it

    @FORAMERICA-tw4it

    5 ай бұрын

    @@minxia7337 😂😂 you should look at the US military budget and come back to me 😂😂😂

  • @FORAMERICA-tw4it

    @FORAMERICA-tw4it

    5 ай бұрын

    @@CeruleanxD china would never be able to complete with the US manufacturing capabilities

  • @undefined7141
    @undefined71415 ай бұрын

    Yes.

  • @BoloTheBrute
    @BoloTheBrute5 ай бұрын

    Blinken’s Battlegrounds😂

  • @Fast85FoxGT
    @Fast85FoxGT5 ай бұрын

    Vastly overestimating the Paper Dragons abilities in modern combat.

  • @ahmedhussein1694

    @ahmedhussein1694

    5 ай бұрын

    Vastly underestimating enemies leads to Ukraine, Afghanistan, Iraq, Vietnam and etc.

  • @Fast85FoxGT

    @Fast85FoxGT

    5 ай бұрын

    @@ahmedhussein1694 Iraq was taken fairly easy as was Afghanistan. Occupation is an entirely different manner. Ukraine and Russia are trading blows its not as one sided as people think. Vietnam is the exception even though their casualty rate was extremely higher, but they had the prior combat experience and they're a resilient adversary. They withheld France, US and China as well as spanked Cambodia. China has almost zero modern combat experience. And when you break down the actual numbers of the types of ships they are making and servicing the tonnage numbers do not mean anything.

  • @Crissy_the_wonder
    @Crissy_the_wonder5 ай бұрын

    China is facing a demographic problem. It's population is aging, diverting government money away from defense and eventually decreasing tax revenue. Not a major problem now, but a growing problem. So if China wants to invade, it has to be sooner rather than later

  • @eget4144

    @eget4144

    5 ай бұрын

    China builds way much more sea vessels than US and it is a huge problem for US.

  • @FA-ft9sq
    @FA-ft9sq5 ай бұрын

    The Philippines is also keen on upgrading its own weapons (and is currently in the middle of build up never seen since WWII)so location isn't the only thing it can bring to the table. The only thing limiting Filipino forces are the tech and equipment. Most of their equipment was focused on domestic threats. They are well trained, have great doctrine and very experienced especially when it comes to urban and jungle guerilla warfare. The tech and equipment problem is easily solved by money so it's easy to resolve if things really go down the wire. And unfortunately for China, they have successfully given the Philippines something that most Filipino leadership and elite have had the most trouble with achieving: National unity. Congratulations, you have turned an ambivalent west leaning middle power from neutrality to very much pro-Western now.

  • @AndyS789

    @AndyS789

    5 ай бұрын

    Don't make me laugh, their military budget is 4 billion this year , Jeff Bezos can afford a better army than theirs. They are nothing without the US military bases.

  • @breadnewbie6326

    @breadnewbie6326

    5 ай бұрын

    it's not Philippines, only the current president like to be someone's puppy.

  • @ArawnOfAnnwn

    @ArawnOfAnnwn

    5 ай бұрын

    The Philippines isn't even going to get involved in the war itself, let alone make a difference in it. That's the problem with western views of pretty much every other part of the world - they're so used to fighting far from home that it never strikes them what it means to actually live in the area and know that you're stuck having to deal with that. China will always be there, and win or lose, it has always been a major force in the region. It isn't going anywhere, but the US is. The US is transient, China is permanent. There's no long term benefit to the Philippines from making an enemy out of them, and nothing to be counted on from the US as it isn't actually from there and can leave at any time. The best thing the Philippines can do is to play the situation such that they don't have to deal with the consequences for the rest of the lifetime. Win or lose, making an enemy of China will only cause them trouble, while the US can always walk away regardless of the outcome. The west has long since lost appreciation of what it means to actually be risking more than geopolitical power.

  • @amateurasian

    @amateurasian

    5 ай бұрын

    @@ArawnOfAnnwn yeah but filipinos hates communism, its not the country, its the people itself, we will always strive for freedom not from aggression, and china has always been a bully instead of a leader, they are making enemies instead of alliance cause they wanna own everything instead of working together with the ph, so no, philippines will never back down even if we have to fight with sticks and stones, china can win the war, but setting foot on this country is a different matter, and no, china will not be there if war do breaks loose, cause taiwan exists to be a proxy government i bet most mainlanders would welcome a change on their leadership, thats why china needs to win it over first

  • @zakjuly6721

    @zakjuly6721

    5 ай бұрын

    Philliphines are building up from Bicycles to Rickshaws, never seen since world war 2

  • @doublebackagain4311
    @doublebackagain43115 ай бұрын

    This is why the US has so many carriers-

  • @janhansen554

    @janhansen554

    5 ай бұрын

    And China loves that

  • @Nobleheart111

    @Nobleheart111

    5 ай бұрын

    It is why the Chinese run with their tails between their legs every time. Carrier group passes by!😂

  • @Bayard1503

    @Bayard1503

    5 ай бұрын

    Carriers are vulnerable, that's why they're building so many land bases in Philippines now.

  • @AI_mod
    @AI_mod5 ай бұрын

    I remember this guy said Russia will lose soon against Ukraine 😅...

  • @d0opify

    @d0opify

    5 ай бұрын

    hanvt they already?

  • @TRUEBLUE002

    @TRUEBLUE002

    5 ай бұрын

    @@d0opify your watching the wrong video if you think Russia is losing

  • @JacenSolo0

    @JacenSolo0

    5 ай бұрын

    No lmao they just defeated a western backed counter offensive. ​@@d0opify

  • @KungFuWizardOfJesus

    @KungFuWizardOfJesus

    5 ай бұрын

    @@d0opify with the current rate of western aid coming in to ukraine. I really do see a Russian victory in 2 - 3 years.

  • @TheNittyGrittyBruv

    @TheNittyGrittyBruv

    5 ай бұрын

    The west thought all of Ukraine would crumble but instead only 1/4 of their territory was taken and they failed to take their capital. Ukraine has greatly exceeded anyone’s expectations and delivered Russia extremely heavy losses that will translate into the future generations greatly limiting Russian power base. Before the war Russia was considered to maintain the second most powerful military, that is now untrue as it is clear corruption, poor tactics, and lack of cohesion shows how the Russian bear has atrophied.

  • @Intranetusa
    @Intranetusa5 ай бұрын

    @chngcheehwee5433 - Lol, except Taiwan has a separate government its people pay taxes to, has separate laws, has different policies, has a separate military, etc. Mainland China ruled by the People's Republic of China can claim Taiwan is its territory all it wants but that doesn't change the fact that Taiwan a defacto independent country that is ruled by a completely different government under the Republic of China.

  • @NomadWalker-io3ne

    @NomadWalker-io3ne

    5 ай бұрын

    please don't encourage them, Taiwan is a sovereign country not an independent country, it was never dependent on the PRC, it is the other way around, the PRC is an independent country that used to be part of the ROC. the USA is an independent country, the UK is not an independent country but it is a sovereign country.

  • @tequilamockingbird758
    @tequilamockingbird7585 ай бұрын

    For sure.

  • @thomassteinhauser667
    @thomassteinhauser6675 ай бұрын

    Can you make sth about the Huthies?

  • @user-qs7ze5pm9k
    @user-qs7ze5pm9k5 ай бұрын

    to all the chinese imperialism out here. as a taiwanses i'm not. and will never pay a drop of tax to your overlord take that

  • @abe1996

    @abe1996

    5 ай бұрын

    You consider yourself Taiwanese even though your country is called the Republic of China? Even though the Republic of China's government considers itself the legitimate government of mainland China? Have you just abandoned your own history and homeland?

  • @515615able

    @515615able

    5 ай бұрын

    @@abe1996 The People's Republic of China forced the Republic of China to give up the "Legitimate government of China". Later, the Republic of China did not force others to call itself China, so it called itself Taiwan. The People's Republic of China has always been very good at engaging in cognitively ambiguous operations.

  • @abe1996

    @abe1996

    5 ай бұрын

    @@515615able They lost a war...

  • @515615able

    @515615able

    5 ай бұрын

    @@abe1996 Many people do not understand that no agreement has been signed since the outbreak of the war. In fact, it is still during the war, but it is just a freezing period (the two sides do not carry out any military operations). If you want to say that losing control of the mainland is correct, but the war has not stopped yet, how can you say defeat.

  • @user-qs7ze5pm9k

    @user-qs7ze5pm9k

    5 ай бұрын

    @@abe1996 my life are far more and richer than history book Don't override your values to other

  • @user-uh5bx1zg7b
    @user-uh5bx1zg7b5 ай бұрын

    c’mon getting close!

  • @KilledKenny01
    @KilledKenny015 ай бұрын

    Remember: if the Titel and thumbnail is a question, the answer is always no!

  • @baltulielkungsgunarsmiezis9714
    @baltulielkungsgunarsmiezis97145 ай бұрын

    I say right now would be a bad idea because with war all arround and inevitable people and government officials would be more willing to fight it and do what it takes to win.

  • @bounce12
    @bounce125 ай бұрын

    Yah and we have maverick back in the seat!!!!

  • @veselikanal7738
    @veselikanal77385 ай бұрын

    Why dont you use speed cruise control to level up before breake test?

  • @user-rs8up2ye7k
    @user-rs8up2ye7k5 ай бұрын

    The Ramjet 155 Artillery round travels several times the distance of regular ammunition. Not only that, it can be steered to a certain degree remotely like a missile! This increases the effective range of the proverbial King of Battle greatly! Now, Heavy Artillery can be fired from the Island formerly known as Formosa and hit deep into Mainland Communist China! And the Ramjet 155 ammunition inflicts less ware and tear on the gun barrel because less propellant charge is used than with regular ammunition as it is only necessary to put the Ramjet 155 round up to the speed that the ramjet can kick in. Ramjet technology is relatively simple, but the adaptation to Artillery ammunition is only a recent achievement as was difficult to design a ramjet round that could withstand the forces of being fired in an Artillery piece. Ramjet 155 Artillery ammunition is a game changer! Now, deeply entrenched Artillery in the mountainous regions of Taiwan can wreak havoc on any supply lines leading to an embarkation zone along the coast if the Chicomms decide to launch an invasion by sea. I was an Artillery Fire-Direction Control Specialist in the US Army and a Heavy Mortarman. That's two of the three coordinating elements of the Indirect Fire Team. I've been out for a long time, so I recommend you interview 13-Echos who have gotten out of the Army more recently. I am amazed that the significance of doubling and tripling the effective range of the King of Battle is receiving so little coverage. Artillery will now be able to engage targets far more cheaply than expensive manned or unmanned aircraft, and with the remote steering capability of the Ramjet 155 rounds, they can be directed vertically on approach to their targets in order to achieve the High Angle Hell that Heavy Mortars are so greatly appreciated for in urban combat environments, and in extremely hilly terrain.

  • @tiii4017

    @tiii4017

    5 ай бұрын

    yes propaganda bot made today :D

  • @connorscherer617

    @connorscherer617

    5 ай бұрын

    Dope comment I’m gonna have to do some research 💪🇺🇸

  • @user-rs8up2ye7k

    @user-rs8up2ye7k

    5 ай бұрын

    Another guy commented that the ramjet 155 is still under development with Norway. I had read an article and didn't get that. I thought it was already in use. I don't know if they have any in use right now.@@connorscherer617

  • @PeterChen-gy2gf
    @PeterChen-gy2gf5 ай бұрын

    The big assumption here is China economy remaind strong and is able to fund its military to reduce the capability gap, if China think they cannot maintain its economy and expect the capability gap is going to widen in a longer term, then it is better for China to act sooner rather than later But i would think China will only take over Taiwan's outlying island like Kinmen, because it is sure win if China want to have a quick win without military risk

  • @breadnewbie6326

    @breadnewbie6326

    5 ай бұрын

    china economy decline news was since 2 decades ago, every year updated to make it more convincing. don't hold your breath.

  • @THESPATHARIOS
    @THESPATHARIOS5 ай бұрын

    You forgot the Finland/NATO factor, seeing how things are turning out over there recently.

  • @nobodyherepal3292

    @nobodyherepal3292

    5 ай бұрын

    What?

  • @Guardian2A
    @Guardian2A5 ай бұрын

    It’s no surprise they can produce more with less given their man power cost plus we spend way to much on overseas bases. They will come in handy but they are costly, even with the locals paying.

  • @IntermissionForBunny
    @IntermissionForBunny5 ай бұрын

    tl:dr "idk"

  • @DavidE-vc8gy
    @DavidE-vc8gy5 ай бұрын

    Don’t forget the likely contribution of warplanes from Japan.

  • @marshalllapenta7656
    @marshalllapenta76565 ай бұрын

    Question? Isn't the statistical data of smart bombs classified?

  • @ianshaver8954
    @ianshaver89545 ай бұрын

    It would be nearly impossible right now, but will only grow more difficult in the future.

  • @jonathanmcdonnell5894
    @jonathanmcdonnell58945 ай бұрын

    Bruh what is this comment section?😂

  • @DavidNaval

    @DavidNaval

    5 ай бұрын

    seriously

  • @GeneralGayJay
    @GeneralGayJay5 ай бұрын

    What is so hard to understand. Tawain does not want to be a part of China.

  • @maxstirner6143

    @maxstirner6143

    5 ай бұрын

    No, China doesn't want the ChCP

  • @Nick-wh4jt

    @Nick-wh4jt

    5 ай бұрын

    There are maybe a dozen nations that recognize Taiwan to be independent and they are mostly obscure island nations. Taiwan is China. What is so hard to understand?

  • @abcdedfg8340

    @abcdedfg8340

    5 ай бұрын

    I think it's hard for some nationalists to understand. They seem to live in a fairy tale land. Or maybe they just are jealous that taiwanese have democracy and human rights, but they can only go after safe targets to avoid trouble.

  • @ryonsanders4045
    @ryonsanders40455 ай бұрын

    You missed upkeep cost and new facilities cost for the new units ect the growth can’t continue lol they can only makeup the money so much before it cause problems

  • @TheNittyGrittyBruv

    @TheNittyGrittyBruv

    5 ай бұрын

    Not to mention their economic issues who knows how much longer their growth is going to last

  • @jamesrock9446
    @jamesrock94465 ай бұрын

    I've played so much counter strike and solo RPG that I think I will do great in real life battle.

  • @curtistellvik8896
    @curtistellvik88965 ай бұрын

    The present economy in China would not support your numbers. Considering it is thought that China has been cooking its books so to speak for at least the last decade. Another issue to take into account is the quality of all Chinas unproven combat systems and the quality of training that goes into using them.

  • @sdhubbard
    @sdhubbard5 ай бұрын

    I know this is outside the scope of this channel, but it seems that China might be sitting on a serious economic bubble. If it bursts, they're going to be on trouble.

  • @Jkim890

    @Jkim890

    5 ай бұрын

    I have no illusions that the Chinese economy won’t collapse if it stays its course, but considering how many times its managed from come back from its bubble economy “bursting” in the past, I would be more conservative on a time scale, as well as the speed and scope of its decline. Everyone has always won against China when they took them seriously. Everyone has always lost against China when they were underestimated.

  • @breadnewbie6326

    @breadnewbie6326

    5 ай бұрын

    china collapse news are 2 decades old already, each year renewed to make them believable.

  • @joeybulford5266
    @joeybulford52665 ай бұрын

    You need to add Venezuela invading Guyana to the list of reasons China might want to invade Taiwan rn.

  • @Deimnos

    @Deimnos

    5 ай бұрын

    So far they reached a settlement and the posturing has stoped.

  • @indiasuperclean6969

    @indiasuperclean6969

    5 ай бұрын

    SIR MY INDIA IS THE REAL SUPERPOWER NUMBER ONE🤗🇮🇳 WE HAVE THE BEST INFRASTRUCTURE AND HIGHSPEED RAIL 🤗🇮🇳 MEANWHILE IN CHINA PEOPLE STILL RIDE RICKSHAW EVERYWHERE AND THEY ALSO POOR DONT HAVE CAR . THIS WHY IM SO LUCKY LIVE IN SUPER INDIA THE CLEANEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD 🇮🇳🤗 , WE NEVER SCAM! WE GIVE RESPECT TO ALL WOMEN THEY CAN WALK SAFELY ALONE AT NIGHT AND WE HAVE CLEAN FOOD AND TOILET EVERYWHERE 🇮🇳🤗🚽, I KNOW MANY POOR PEOPLE JEALOUS WITH SUPER RICH INDIA 🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳🤗🇮🇳

  • @kakakiri2601
    @kakakiri26015 ай бұрын

    As person who have Chinese friend I kinda agree with the title

  • @theodoreolson8529

    @theodoreolson8529

    5 ай бұрын

    Is your Chinese friend a panda?

  • @sandrotrinktgernetee1348
    @sandrotrinktgernetee13485 ай бұрын

    No way the massive, necessary buildup of troops for an amphibious landing operation would remain unnoticed for long.

  • @christiandauz3742

    @christiandauz3742

    5 ай бұрын

    This makes Operation Sea Lion sane by comparison

  • @leonnunhofer3453
    @leonnunhofer34535 ай бұрын

    I think around 2027 would be the perfect time for China. The reason is, it could be the war in Ukraine won't be over until 2027, and China would have its port in Pakistan ready. They need that, otherwise you could cut most of their supplies f.e. the strait of Malacca in the area of Indonesia. China's 3rd supercarrier would be ready and the 4th, "type 004", could be ready. China could increase their J-20 fleet from ~200 to 600+. They also convert their ferries into transport ships the military could use. I think, the 2030s would be too late for China to invade, so if they do it, I would expect they try it during the late 2020s, around 2027, after their port in Pakistan is completed and ready 🤷‍♂️

  • @yezchj

    @yezchj

    5 ай бұрын

    China stated by 2027, but that's just mind games to fool the west to prepare slowly , it will be before 2027, xi jinping is old and he can go senile in some years, so l think 2024 - 2025 is most likely the time.

  • @petersinclair3997

    @petersinclair3997

    5 ай бұрын

    Interesting, however, the future will see China face multiple economic challenges, as I posted, elsewhere.

Келесі