Howard Marks (W’67) & Wharton Finance Prof. Chris Geczy: Investor Series - November 2020

In this 10th installment of the Howard Marks Investor Series series, Howard Marks (W'67) - Co-Chairman, ‪@oaktreecapital‬ Management - talks with Chris Geczy, Adjunct Full Professor of Finance. They focus on Marks' latest memo, “Coming into Focus,” regarding his economic forecast for a post-pandemic recovery. He answers pre-recorded questions from students and audience-submitted questions, following opening remarks by Wharton School Dean Erika James. (Event recorded November 18, 2020)
06:11 - Marks' latest Oaktree memo and whether "move forward but with caution" is still guiding his investment strategy
12:23 - Where Marks sees our current market cycle
18:56 - Dispersion across sectors and pursuing high return in a low yields world
23:55 - View on use of leverage today
28:40 - Forecast based on development of COVID-19 vaccine
39:04 - Advice for students on how to spend time during the pandemic
41:35 - What area of the investment world Marks would focus on for a career today
47:08 - International investing and the private debt market in Europe
51:12 - Return prospects in China and whether to avoid China or reallocate from developed markets
54:32 - Steps for macroeconomy for Federal Reserve's Board of Governors
1:00:01 - Creating greater inclusion of underrepresented groups within investment firms and in portfolio of investments
The Howard Marks Investor Series at the Wharton School brings high-profile investors to campus to share real, practical perspectives. Each event features a fireside chat style conversation between Howard Marks, W’67, and an investment community thought leader, often with a special focus on value investing. Learn more: whr.tn/2USiLbJ
#howardmarks #oaktree #investor #finance #markets
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Пікірлер: 63

  • @aasutoshsaicharla8224
    @aasutoshsaicharla82243 жыл бұрын

    22:10 On pursuing high return in a low yields world 41:50 Which area to pursue for investment career today 48:40 Market inefficiencies 49:35 Cause of Market inefficiencies

  • @cliftt

    @cliftt

    3 жыл бұрын

    Thanks.

  • @zzd7ry
    @zzd7ry3 жыл бұрын

    Always such a pleasure to listen to Howard Marks, always worth every minute of the talk!

  • @dramese
    @dramese3 жыл бұрын

    For those of us who are not privilege to attend to business school, this is gold! I strive to gain knowledge in fields business by attending to a programs like this, it is therefore my deepest gratitude to the moderators this content! Forever grateful 🙏🏿🙏🏿🙏🏿🙏🏿

  • @giselleh
    @giselleh3 жыл бұрын

    Really informative session, always learnt a lot from here.

  • @nbme-answers
    @nbme-answers3 жыл бұрын

    Starts at 6:16

  • @M.-.D

    @M.-.D

    3 жыл бұрын

    MVP

  • @cliftt

    @cliftt

    3 жыл бұрын

    Thanks.

  • @ednan9
    @ednan93 жыл бұрын

    Thanks. Good stuff, always an insight to hear Howard

  • @graemeayin5512
    @graemeayin55123 жыл бұрын

    Excellent interview

  • @BradKaellner
    @BradKaellner3 жыл бұрын

    Is there a way to see what bonds are held by Oaktree? A sort of 13F for bonds?

  • @emmetmartin7265
    @emmetmartin72653 жыл бұрын

    Great video!

  • @AskDrRich
    @AskDrRich3 жыл бұрын

    Great interview!

  • @Andrew-iw9ud
    @Andrew-iw9ud3 жыл бұрын

    From south korea Howard gives deep insight about asset market always honor to listen your opinion Howard!!!!

  • @bleacherz7503

    @bleacherz7503

    3 жыл бұрын

    What’s the deep insight ? He claims mkts were overly risky early in the year without Covid, Covid hits and a 30 % mkt drop is a buying opportunity ? and now the mkt at ATH one needs to be cautious. He should just stipulate that’s the market has a few whales that push it around at their discretion.

  • @dogestranding5047

    @dogestranding5047

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@bleacherz7503 Is it really riskier because it's at a high though. There were times in the past where people thought that whatever index wouldn't pass the low thousands.

  • @natana7858
    @natana78583 жыл бұрын

    The greatest investor of our time.

  • @M.-.D

    @M.-.D

    3 жыл бұрын

    Ackman would be strong competitor for that title. Or even Buffett considering the Apple position was within the last decade.

  • @bloodyredvinal
    @bloodyredvinal3 жыл бұрын

    Leverage or debt: Makes the good times better and the bad times worse!!

  • @thomasrust6637
    @thomasrust66373 жыл бұрын

    38 mins is the most important part

  • @zhiyucui8343
    @zhiyucui83433 жыл бұрын

    His comment on leverage and concentration is truly awakening. Since the secret of successful investment is asymmetry, amplification doesn’t help.

  • @rudolphbattle8238
    @rudolphbattle82383 жыл бұрын

    Great last question. Hopefully, all the management teams who heard it can execute his thoughts ubiquitously.

  • @NonSmokersDK-te6tq
    @NonSmokersDK-te6tq3 жыл бұрын

    Interesting post

  • @lyyykkkkk
    @lyyykkkkk3 жыл бұрын

    great

  • @ceegee4875
    @ceegee48753 жыл бұрын

    maybe the last and most inefficient market is on the short side. with most institutions having long only mandates as well as the rise of long term passive investing, i think the least crowded trade is short selling the mega cap tech stocks.

  • @applesnow6516
    @applesnow65163 жыл бұрын

    it is really distracting and intimidating looking up at chris, his camera angle is completely wrong

  • @rockefroth4770
    @rockefroth47703 жыл бұрын

    34:08

  • @petecheng1
    @petecheng13 жыл бұрын

    Howard has been cautious since S&P was at 2,500

  • @holdened
    @holdened3 жыл бұрын

    He likes to talk a lot these days but no action.

  • @Knowledge.to_Come

    @Knowledge.to_Come

    3 жыл бұрын

    Only a fool acts out of uncertainty. Were not at any extreme right now, even though at all time highs, he said it’s not an extreme... so why make bets now when it’s not an extreme? Seems far fetched to me to think we can always make calls that work

  • @jackshen6519
    @jackshen65193 жыл бұрын

    Crowded markets are not always bad. Markets crowed with less educated investors are easy to make money. Welcome to China!

  • @ForwardGuidance
    @ForwardGuidance3 жыл бұрын

    Getting "under represented people" into the investment world .... need to get them in degree programs that leads to an investment world job first so seems Wharton and peers are failing minorities. It is the same with women in engineering... got to get them in engineer school before they can work at Google, Dow Chemical, Intel, or whatever drug company. Until then, they'll be working at the elementary school, county social services or a salon... all of which doesn't pay a lot. But hey, no man is complaining that there's too many women in the jobs that women tend to pick FOR THEMSELVES.

  • @bleacherz7503
    @bleacherz75033 жыл бұрын

    Howard Marks doesn’t really tell you anything that general finance tell you. He provides no on the street insight to why things happens the way they do. I’m not sure why he insists on getting in front of the cameras so often other than being a narcissist. The Federal Reserve has made the street what it is over the last 30 years. It’s that simple.

  • @mackrun7029

    @mackrun7029

    3 жыл бұрын

    I agree this interview is very banal. He strikes me not as narcissistic but as genuinely wanting to help and give back. But he's too complacent and used to being feted at this point. This is what you get when nobody bothers or dares to give you critical feedback.

  • @bleacherz7503
    @bleacherz75033 жыл бұрын

    Skip the BS long intro.

  • @dannym1221
    @dannym12213 жыл бұрын

    The daily kilometer typically rinse because kidney canonically replace between a painstaking quill. efficacious, accidental branch

  • @AmitKumar-tg7of
    @AmitKumar-tg7of3 жыл бұрын

    China - teenager Dude it is one of the oldest civilizations in the world And old man than looks like a baby bro !!

  • @ednan9

    @ednan9

    3 жыл бұрын

    You’re nobody in front of howard

  • @AmitKumar-tg7of

    @AmitKumar-tg7of

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@ednan9 how many are So ?? A point is a point - HM is not all knowing almighty, I think !!

  • @aliasalin2

    @aliasalin2

    3 жыл бұрын

    Thats not the point.. he refers to capitalism in china, to chinas financial market.

  • @AmitKumar-tg7of

    @AmitKumar-tg7of

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@aliasalin2 Yes and all civilizations needed admin and finance to function This is why Westerners struggle to deal with old cultures - the roots are very deep

  • @aliasalin2

    @aliasalin2

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@AmitKumar-tg7of true, but remember that china always had troubles staying united, it has multiple cultures with multiple dialects, only tight control seems to work. Thats where the capitalism turns into something else ..

  • @alta5688
    @alta568810 ай бұрын

    Interesting, but the vaxx propaganda in this talk was off the charts.