How to Calculate the Intrinsic Value of a Stock (Full Example)

Today we do a full tutorial on how investors like Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, Charlie Munger, Seth Klarman, Peter Lynch and Mohnish Pabrai calculate the intrinsic value of a stock. Specifically, we look at the Discounted Cash Flow Analysis to see what we should be paying for the businesses we invest in.
#stockmarket #intrinsicvalue
DISCLAIMER:
Neither New Money or Brandon van der Kolk are financial advisers. The information provided in this video is for general information only and should not be taken as professional advice. There are risks involved with stock market investing and consumers should not act upon the content or information found here without first seeking advice from an accountant, financial planner, lawyer or other professional. Consumers should always research companies individually and define a strategy before making decisions. Brandon van der Kolk and New Money are not liable for any loss incurred, arising from the use of, or reliance on, the information provided by this video.

Пікірлер: 1 200

  • @NewMoneyYouTube
    @NewMoneyYouTube3 жыл бұрын

    Hey guys, just wanted to let you know that if you wanted to learn the full Warren Buffett strategy (plus get an updated version of this video and 2 other simple valuation methods) we've recently released our completely new version of _Introduction to Stock Analysis_ over on New Money Education. Also, if you use the code SAVE50 at checkout, you'll get $50 off the price! newmoney.education/

  • @petengochi

    @petengochi

    3 жыл бұрын

    I have been using one big 4 bank as my stock broker for the last 2years i think it's that time to rollout more cheaper options any suggestions?

  • @Gnuch1414

    @Gnuch1414

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@petengochi Yes, close your account and stop trading options.

  • @Stabtakulor

    @Stabtakulor

    3 жыл бұрын

    You should also factor in debt, especially if the debt exceeds the amount of cash on hand.

  • @trishanchanda3631

    @trishanchanda3631

    3 жыл бұрын

    How do you determine that how much cash flow is good for the business? Is any cash flow is good ? Or is there any measurement to check ?

  • @deyanrs1

    @deyanrs1

    3 жыл бұрын

    You should also add a terminal growth rate after the 10years because a business doesn’t just die after 10 years (those having much smaller impact on the valuation but they still do).

  • @kortyEdna825
    @kortyEdna82523 күн бұрын

    I agree that many people are considering NVDA as the "Stock of the year." However, I'm curious about which stocks could potentially become the next META in terms of growth over the next decade. I've allocated $200k for investment, aiming to retire comfortably.

  • @Pamela.jess.245

    @Pamela.jess.245

    23 күн бұрын

    I wholeheartedly concur; I'm 60 years old, just retired, and have about $1,250,000 in non-retirement assets. Compared to the whole value of my portfolio during the last three years, I have no debt and a very little amount of money in retirement accounts. To be completely honest, the information provided by invt-advisors can only be ignored but not neglected. Simply undertake research to choose a trustworthy one.

  • @Pamela.jess.245

    @Pamela.jess.245

    23 күн бұрын

    Certainly, there are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with ‘’AILEEN GERTRUDE TIPPY” for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive.She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.

  • @Mckennie61751
    @Mckennie617513 ай бұрын

    I'm considering a review of my $600K portfolio allocations, particularly in light of the pause in interest rate hikes. I'm diversifying into tech stocks and renewable energy. They seem promising but i'm not so sure

  • @Christine-wp2bw

    @Christine-wp2bw

    3 ай бұрын

    It's crucial to have a well-thought-out strategy and not make impulsive moves based on short-term market fluctuations. Patience and a long-term perspective are key. You should consider a market expert to guide you.

  • @SageMadsen

    @SageMadsen

    3 ай бұрын

    Accurate asset allocation is crucial, and some individuals use hedging strategies or allocate part of their portfolio to defensive assets for market downturns. Expert guidance is vital for achieving this. This approach has helped me stay financially secure for over five years, yielding nearly $1M in returns on investments.

  • @louis71350

    @louis71350

    3 ай бұрын

    Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one

  • @SageMadsen

    @SageMadsen

    3 ай бұрын

    Credits goes to *Vivian Louise Dehoff* one of the finest portfolio managers in the field. She's widely recognized; you should take a look at her work.

  • @EthanMaloney-qp4lh

    @EthanMaloney-qp4lh

    3 ай бұрын

    Thank you for the lead. I searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.

  • @Otmangrey
    @Otmangrey2 ай бұрын

    I was advised to diversify my portfolio among several assets such as stocks and bonds since this can protect my inherited portfolio of about $2.5m. I’m used to just buying and holding assets which doesn’t seem applicable to the current rollercoaster market plus inflation is catching up with my portfolio. I’m really worried about survival after retirement.

  • @catherinerea3569

    @catherinerea3569

    2 ай бұрын

    A lot of folks downplay the role of advlsors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850k.

  • @LancEthan

    @LancEthan

    2 ай бұрын

    How can one find a verifiable financial planner? I would not mind looking up the professional that helped you. I will be retiring in two years and I might need some management on my much larger portfolio. Don't want to take any chances.

  • @catherinerea3569

    @catherinerea3569

    2 ай бұрын

    MEGHAN MAUREEN KRISTENSEN is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment..

  • @Greggsberdard
    @Greggsberdard3 ай бұрын

    I was told to spread my money across different things like stocks and bonds to protect my $750k retirement savings. Now, with the markets being shaky, should I keep adding money to my portfolio or consider other options?

  • @VictorBiggerstaff

    @VictorBiggerstaff

    3 ай бұрын

    If you lack market knowledge, your best bet is to seek advice or support from a consultant or investing coach. Contacting a consultant may sound simple, but it's how I've managed to stay afloat in the market and increase my portfolio to roughly 65% since January. It is, in my opinion, the best way to get started in the industry right now.

  • @crystalcassandra5597

    @crystalcassandra5597

    3 ай бұрын

    Mind if I ask you to recommend this particular coach you using their service?

  • @margaritasbunny
    @margaritasbunny11 ай бұрын

    U.S stocks found their footing in the final hour of back-and-forth trading Monday after all three major index logged their worst week in three months, Heard someone say the best season for a financial breakthrough is now, especially with inflation running at a four-decade high. I'm still at a crossroads deciding if to liquidate my $117k stock portfolio, what’s the best way to take advantage of this down market?

  • @TiffanyLaos

    @TiffanyLaos

    11 ай бұрын

    That’s right! Downturns provide plenty of opportunities for regular people to build wealth from the scratch. However, you may need to get some professional advice from an Invest-ment planner if you need an aggressive return.

  • @leonarodwell

    @leonarodwell

    11 ай бұрын

    @@TiffanyLaos Recessions are where millionaires are created. After my port_folio took a big hit in April, I was forced to employ the services of an Invest-ment-analyst who has not only accrued a profit of $250k for me since then but has also taught me how.

  • @jirinamuzikova

    @jirinamuzikova

    11 ай бұрын

    @@leonarodwell >You are right! I diversified my $500K portfolio across various market with the guidance of an investment coach, I have been able to generate a little bit above $1m in net profit across high dividend yield stocks, ETF and equity during this red season in the market But the truth is that you cannot do that without a tested trading strategy

  • @Gracej34

    @Gracej34

    11 ай бұрын

    @@jirinamuzikova We’re only just an information away from amassing wealth, I know a lot of folks that made fortunes from the Dotcom crash as well as the 08’ crash and I’ve been looking into similar opportunities in this present market, could this coach that guides you help?

  • @jirinamuzikova

    @jirinamuzikova

    11 ай бұрын

    @@Gracej34 I am being guided by "ROSEMARIE AGATHA ALLORA" who I found on a CNBC interview where she was featured and reached out to her. She has since provided entry and exit points on the securities I focus on. You can look her up online if you care supervision.

  • @dylanmoris6211
    @dylanmoris621111 ай бұрын

    With all this scary news making the headlines, is this really a good time to buy stocks? I know everyone says the mrkt is ripe enough for buying but will stocks tank further this year? How long until a full stock recovery? How are other people in this mrkt raking in over $250k gains within months, I'm really just confused at this point.

  • @UshnicYuvnikof

    @UshnicYuvnikof

    11 ай бұрын

    No worries for me, I don't try to time the market. When I see that stock drops below its fair value with some margin of safety - I buy. Past 2-3 months have been huge shopping spree for me. I've got literally like 200k left of investing cash. Probably I will miss some occasions in the future months, but who cares as long as I got value?

  • @adakkristinn

    @adakkristinn

    11 ай бұрын

    You also have to look at the balance of your portfolio too. Not be over invested in one stock, I have made that mistake too but I fluked a good result! Never again, but I have a much bigger pot now.

  • @KelvinWallace

    @KelvinWallace

    11 ай бұрын

    @@adakkristinn Agreed i like this mentality. You can never time the bottom but if you're getting good value, take it and in the long term you'll be rewarded :) . Personally I’m always invested because the financial-market for me seem the only way forward with my long time horizon (accrued ROI of over $200k since 2020 )but if you don’t have that fortune of time it’s a tough market out there almost nowhere feels safe!

  • @LionTowercoporation

    @LionTowercoporation

    11 ай бұрын

    @@KelvinWallace You inspire me, I've only just started over the last couple of months. I've been doing plenty of research. In fact I'm really enjoying the aspect of learning and researching. $200k is a milestone, what’s your approach?

  • @KelvinWallace

    @KelvinWallace

    11 ай бұрын

    @@LionTowercoporation No doubt, the stock market is definitely the most awkward teenager with the wildest mood swings! I began with a skillset by name “Colleen Janie Towe” Her approach is transparent allowing total ownership and control over my position and fees are very reasonable in comparison with my ROI.

  • @barrfrank7888
    @barrfrank788810 ай бұрын

    I am new to the stock market. Every stock that I bought so far, I was out of luck because I bought them when they were expensive. I feel I missed out on all the stock opportunities so far for the tech stocks.I believe having 150K yearly income would be a good investment so I want to plug all my savings into the stock market. I know this sounds a bit dull but I would like to know if I should learn investing or let somebody else (more capable like a FA) do it for me? Please share your thoughts. I am kind of tired of searching for a good stock to buy and losing all the good opportunities

  • @user-hr5qz6rs4t

    @user-hr5qz6rs4t

    10 ай бұрын

    Even with the right technique and assets some investors would still make more than others, as an investor, you should’ve known that by now, nothing beats experience and that’s final, personally I had to reach out to a stock expert for guidance which is how I was able to grow my account close to a million, withdraw my profit right before the correction and now I’m buying again.

  • @user-bc8dl9od6d

    @user-bc8dl9od6d

    10 ай бұрын

    @@user-hr5qz6rs4t

  • @user-hr5qz6rs4t

    @user-hr5qz6rs4t

    10 ай бұрын

    @@user-bc8dl9od6d I work with ELIZABETH PAN HOLT. You could look her up yourself, if you want

  • @user-bc8dl9od6d

    @user-bc8dl9od6d

    10 ай бұрын

    ​@@user-hr5qz6rs4t

  • @Raymondjohn2
    @Raymondjohn2 Жыл бұрын

    Yes stocks are pretty unstable at the moment, but if you do the right math, you should be just fine. Bloomberg and other finance media have been recording cases of folks gaining over 250k just in a matter of weeks/couple months, so I think there are alot of wealth transfer in this downtime if you know where to look.

  • @hermanramos7092

    @hermanramos7092

    Жыл бұрын

    Since the crash, I've been in the red. I’m playing the long term game, so I'm not too worried but Jim Cramer mentioned there are still a lot of great opportunities, though stocks has been down a lot. I also heard news of a guy that made $250k from about $110k since the crash and I would really look to know how to go about this.

  • @martingiavarini

    @martingiavarini

    Жыл бұрын

    There are actually a lot of ways to make high yields in a crisis, but such trades are best done under the supervision of Financial advisor.

  • @lipglosskitten2610

    @lipglosskitten2610

    Жыл бұрын

    Thats true, I've been getting assisted by a FA for almost a year now, I started out with less than $200K and I'm just $19,000 short of half a million in profit.

  • @hermanramos7092

    @hermanramos7092

    Жыл бұрын

    @@lipglosskitten2610 Impressive can you share more info?

  • @lipglosskitten2610

    @lipglosskitten2610

    Жыл бұрын

    @@hermanramos7092 Big Credits to Christine Jane Mclean she has a web presence, so you can simply search for, there are some others but it might be difficult to get them, but Christine has been a good guide through the year.

  • @jonathanberg8183
    @jonathanberg8183 Жыл бұрын

    I must say you are an inspiration because I started up investing and trading as a scared investor who doesn’t want to lose money, glad to say I’m very profitable now and bought my first house through it

  • @ladymariangray

    @ladymariangray

    Жыл бұрын

    Nobody can become financially successful overnight. They put in background work but we tend to see the finished part. Fear is a dangerous component, hindering us from taking bold steps we need in other to reach our goals. you have to contend with inflation, recession, decisions from the Feds and all. I was able to increase my portfolio by $289k in months. You have to seek for help in the right places.

  • @emilybrown2719

    @emilybrown2719

    Жыл бұрын

    @@ladymariangray I think it's not always about fear, Sometimes realistic factors discourage people from reaching their goals in life. For instance, I've tried investing in the stock market several times but always got discouraged by fluctuations of stock value

  • @jenniferkyle6036

    @jenniferkyle6036

    Жыл бұрын

    This is the problem! Most times people with little or no knowledge of the stock market try investing by themselves. It once happened to me, then I learned my lesson and contacted a US-based finance consultant by name Susan Agnes Hancock and everything changed. In in the first quarter of this year i made $370k and counting.

  • @jonathanberg8183

    @jonathanberg8183

    Жыл бұрын

    @@jenniferkyle6036 Impressive, that sounds good but how do I reach out to Susan ?

  • @jenniferkyle6036

    @jenniferkyle6036

    Жыл бұрын

    @@jonathanberg8183 Use your browser to search for the name to see her website

  • @JaykeTurner
    @JaykeTurner Жыл бұрын

    The stock market is a complex system that is influenced by a variety of factors, including economic indicators, political events, and global trends. The relationship between policies and the stock market can be complex and multifaceted, and it can take time for the full effects of policies to be reflected in market trends. Therefore, it is possible that policies implemented in the past may have a "lagged effect" on the stock market, as their full impact may not be felt until later on.

  • @RebeccaBellick

    @RebeccaBellick

    Жыл бұрын

    you're absolutely right, the stock market is a dynamic and constantly changing environment that can be influenced by a wide range of factors, including government policies. It is important to approach investing with a long-term perspective, also, understand the potential factors that contribute to your financial growth, I'll advise you to seek the help of a professional investment coach and to carefully consider the potential risks and rewards of any investment decision.

  • @AlexanderTurke

    @AlexanderTurke

    Жыл бұрын

    @@RebeccaBellick Thats true, I've been getting assisted by a FA for almost a year now, I started out with less than $200K and I'm just $19,000 short of half a million in profit.

  • @RebeccaLee-ks4cq

    @RebeccaLee-ks4cq

    Жыл бұрын

    @@AlexanderTurke I’ve been down a ton, I’m only holding on so I can recoup, I really need help, who is this investment-adviser that guides you?

  • @RebeccaLee-ks4cq

    @RebeccaLee-ks4cq

    Жыл бұрын

    @@AlexanderTurke Thank you for this Pointer. It was easy to find her handler, She seems very proficient and flexible. I booked a call session with her.

  • @jakubageter1689
    @jakubageter16895 ай бұрын

    I started buying some more stocks at the beginning of the year, but nothing big. Why am I treating this so harshly? I still want to be the first person in my polygamous family to make a million dollars despite the fact that others in my field make six figures per person. I am well aware of the costs associated with working more to get more money.

  • @Adrianjacek-

    @Adrianjacek-

    5 ай бұрын

    If the market has taught me anything, it's that it usually makes a comeback, but I can't seem to concentrate on the long term, especially because important things like my retirement and my reserve are having a disastrous impact on inflation. I need a solution and a data trajectory that I can trust as soon as it is practicable.

  • @AleksanderNowak-

    @AleksanderNowak-

    5 ай бұрын

    Currently, the best market strategy is to work with a credible investing coach. Since a while ago, I've been in touch with a coach, mostly because I lack the depth of understanding and mental toughness to deal with the ongoing market conditions. You lack the information necessary to succeed in a competitive market, not because you're doing anything wrong, but rather because of your lack of experience.

  • @AleksanderNowak-

    @AleksanderNowak-

    5 ай бұрын

    In fact, I'm not sure whether I'm permitted to say this, but I'd suggest searching for “ Laurel Dell Sroufe” as she gained a lot of attention in 2020. She is both my coach and the manager of my portfolio.

  • @DonaldMicheal-

    @DonaldMicheal-

    5 ай бұрын

    She has an impressive career and impressive qualifications, so I can understand why she is so busy. I thus quickly copied Laurel's full name and entered it into my browser.

  • @jesbensommichael8397
    @jesbensommichael8397 Жыл бұрын

    Been watching, listening, and paying attention to all of predictions and forecasts since early Covid. He hasn't disappointed yet 👌

  • @harrisonmichael5047

    @harrisonmichael5047

    Жыл бұрын

    Well said! I am also here to learn how to invest after listening to a lady on tv talk about the importance of investing and how she made 7 figures in 3 months, somehow the video taught me nothing and left me even more confused, I'm a newbie and I'm open to ideas on how to invest for retirement

  • @jesbensommichael8397

    @jesbensommichael8397

    Жыл бұрын

    @@harrisonmichael5047 lookup MARTHA ALONSO HARA , this is her name online, she's the real investment prodigy since the crash and has helped me recover my loses

  • @harrisonmichael5047

    @harrisonmichael5047

    Жыл бұрын

    @@jesbensommichael8397 Despite the economic crisis and the rate of unemployment now is the best time to invest

  • @jesbensommichael8397

    @jesbensommichael8397

    Жыл бұрын

    @@harrisonmichael5047 Investment now will be wise but the truth is investing on your own will be high risk. I think it will be best to get a professional👌

  • @harrisonmichael5047

    @harrisonmichael5047

    Жыл бұрын

    @@jesbensommichael8397 Thank you, Going through her profile on her webpage out of curiosity, and surprisingly she seems proficient. I appreciate this.

  • @colleen.odegaard
    @colleen.odegaard5 ай бұрын

    Despite not being a stock market expert, I have a significant portfolio. The recent November rally benefited others, but not mine. How can I capitalize on this upswing to boost my $600k portfolio and safeguard against further declines?

  • @blaquopaque

    @blaquopaque

    5 ай бұрын

    Best rally this year. Be cautious despite optimism. The economy is still shaky & uncertainties for 2024 persist. I'm Committed to diversification & maintained up to 25% in the last two quarters. It's yet about a strategic approach, not predicting market moves. However if i was in your shoes, i will consider financial advisory.

  • @greekbarrios

    @greekbarrios

    5 ай бұрын

    Agreed, You have to be deliberate in making good profits in this mkts. When confronted with a similar dilemma, we consulted with a fiduciary who assisted us in constructing a robust portfolio. It has endured the test of time and grown to a high seven-figure sum.

  • @velayuthman

    @velayuthman

    5 ай бұрын

    @@greekbarrios I hope it's okay to inquire if you're still collaborating with the same fiduciary and how I can get in touch with them as i'm in a similar situation to the initial commenter?

  • @greekbarrios

    @greekbarrios

    3 ай бұрын

    She goes by ‘’Heather Ann Christensen’’ I suggest you look her up. To be honest, I almost didn't buy the idea of letting someone handle growing my finance, but so glad I did.

  • @kansasmile

    @kansasmile

    3 ай бұрын

    excellent share, just copied and pasted on the internet, spotted her consulting page ranked top and was able to schedule a call session. Ive seen commentaries about advisors but not one looks this phenomenal

  • @sherryie2
    @sherryie211 ай бұрын

    Currently I'm just being smart and frugal with my money, I'm in the green 47% over the last 15 months and l've accumulated over $700K in pure profits from DCA’ing into stocks, ETFs, dividends and futures. However I’ve been in the red for a month now. I work hard for my money, so investing is making me a nervous sad wreck. I don’t know if I should sell everything, sit and just wait.

  • @tonicruger

    @tonicruger

    11 ай бұрын

    Nobody knows anything you need to create your own process, manage risk and stick to the plan, through thick or thin while also continuously learning from mistakes and improving

  • @kurttSchuster

    @kurttSchuster

    11 ай бұрын

    @@tonicruger It's a delicate season now, so you can do little or nothing on your own. Hence I’ll suggest you get yourself a financial expert that can provide you with valuable financial information and assistance

  • @sherryie2

    @sherryie2

    11 ай бұрын

    @@kurttSchuster For real, I've wanted to switch to a wealth manager. Please, could you recommend yours?

  • @kurttSchuster

    @kurttSchuster

    11 ай бұрын

    @@sherryie2 credits to NICOLE DESIREE SIMON, one of the best portfolio manager;s out there. she;s well known, you should look her up

  • @sherryie2

    @sherryie2

    11 ай бұрын

    @@kurttSchuster I just checked her out and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.

  • @M11G10
    @M11G103 жыл бұрын

    Great video ! + Those who are wondering how to calculate discounted case flow. Here’s the formula: DCF= [CF/(1+r)^n] Where: CF = Cash Flow in the Period r = the interest rate or discount rate n = the period number

  • @jiyoonj6462

    @jiyoonj6462

    3 жыл бұрын

    Hi. Thanks for the formula. I just have one question and I have no one to answer.. So we should sum all the DCFs and 10*FCF together, right? $306644 is the number but how can it be compare with the stock price? The stock price wouldn't certainly be like $200000, right? Thanks in advance.

  • @fabioorcesi7482

    @fabioorcesi7482

    2 жыл бұрын

    Thank you! Saved my mind today!

  • @lcmlcm2460
    @lcmlcm24602 жыл бұрын

    That’s probably as close to understanding intrinsic value as I’ve ever been. I appreciate your video that shows this. Things can be explained confusing or plain and simple. Thanks for the plain and simple.

  • @nasero12
    @nasero122 жыл бұрын

    im watching (and i will watch) this video time and time again. The info here is so good that it deserves to be well analyzed. GREAT CONTENT, UNPARALLELED QUALITY!

  • @The_Scarlet_Pimpernel
    @The_Scarlet_Pimpernel2 жыл бұрын

    I've been trying to understand how to work out intrinsic value for months.. yours is the only video that explains it clearly.. thank you. You've helped me no end..

  • @MdSifatullahBari
    @MdSifatullahBari2 жыл бұрын

    Been looking for this for months. Finally, someone who talks in a language people can understand. Thanks!

  • @KillerBunny9462
    @KillerBunny94623 жыл бұрын

    This channel is currently way below intrinsic value

  • @nosemeocurrenada93

    @nosemeocurrenada93

    3 жыл бұрын

    Buying calls on it

  • @hugoclarke3284

    @hugoclarke3284

    2 жыл бұрын

    When a joke is funny but also true

  • @rahayu.handan

    @rahayu.handan

    2 жыл бұрын

    heheh...correct :)

  • @skywatchers9675

    @skywatchers9675

    2 жыл бұрын

    Lol this comment is P/B= 0.2

  • @aworldofcatsandkittens1780

    @aworldofcatsandkittens1780

    2 жыл бұрын

    What's the margin of safety would you give. 30 or 50 percent or more?

  • @Legui1231
    @Legui12313 жыл бұрын

    This was one of your best videos. I really apreciate this kind of content and hope for more in the future

  • @bobbobertson7568
    @bobbobertson75682 жыл бұрын

    Went to a pretty decent MBA school and seen a'lot of content but this is a really great and simple explanation of intrinsic value

  • @debarghyadasgupta1931
    @debarghyadasgupta19313 жыл бұрын

    Such a under rated channel. Insightful content as always. Thanks Brandon. Cheers mate.

  • @thegibsonhustle9331
    @thegibsonhustle93313 жыл бұрын

    Great video mate, you are getting so good with your interactive B-roll 👌

  • @BullInvestor
    @BullInvestor3 жыл бұрын

    Fantastic! I know it’s hard to make such a complex topic so simple. I think the one thing most investors miss when calculating intrinsic value, is that they look solely at the history to estimate growth in the future. The growth rate is very important, it arguably should take the most time in valuation. The past 10 years could be unusually good/bad due to acquisitions/dispositions affecting financials. Look to the future and make your best judgements! Thanks man, super helpful.

  • @robertc801

    @robertc801

    Жыл бұрын

    I'm literally calculating this for a company right now and immediately realized the growth rate is where I'm held up. Thanks for bringing this up.

  • @DevinOtt
    @DevinOtt3 жыл бұрын

    Great video man. I've been trying to understand how to determine if a company is overvalued, undervalued, or priced correctly for the last day or so and it just wasn't making sense until I watched this video. You broke down the concept and explained it really well with easy to understand visuals and the slickest hairdo on the net. Thank you for putting this one out at just the right time!

  • @geneticsmatter3834
    @geneticsmatter3834 Жыл бұрын

    Thank you for providing the alternate names for the same things, such as explaining how "Total Capital Expenditures" is also found on the info sheet as "Payments for acquisition of property, plant, and equipment". The hardest thing in learning about making your own investments, in my opinion as a beginner, is how so many different terms can mean the same thing. So thank you for flushing that out here, big LIKE.

  • @robertc801
    @robertc801 Жыл бұрын

    This was fantastic, thanks so much. For the first time ever, I just calculated the margin of safety share price for a company I'm following and I can use this model for future analyses.

  • @ryanjeffers8520
    @ryanjeffers85203 жыл бұрын

    One of the best videos I’ve watched in awhile thank you 🙏

  • @Silvia-wz1em
    @Silvia-wz1em2 жыл бұрын

    I find so much value in your videos. There is so much useless crap on the internet these days, so it's really great when you find some truly valuable content.

  • @shrigauravfurniture1875
    @shrigauravfurniture18753 жыл бұрын

    this is the best video i've ever seen so far on intrinsic value!

  • @michaelrosell6584
    @michaelrosell65843 жыл бұрын

    Brandon does a fine job of explaining the general concept of how this works. It is clear and easy to follow. Brandon’s videos, in general, are like this, and thus are a pleasure to watch. However, calculating the cash flows into their discounted versions would have been helpful, as I am totally new to value investing. In my efforts of trying to understand how to do this in a real-world scenario, I found that the most elusive figure of all is the actual discount rate (often referred to in formulas as ‘r’). How do you arrive at this figure?? Most websites/examples just say “let’s assume a discount rate of XX%”, but don’t explain the ingredients to determine it in the real world.

  • @Theodore_e

    @Theodore_e

    Жыл бұрын

    1 year later... Not sure if you're still curious, but I can help to provide some insight: To calculate an appropriate discount rate, you want to use a rate that reflects the opportunity cost of capital and the expected rate of return for the company/investment. When looking at a DCF, there are two primary formulas that are used to calculate the discount rate: the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and adjusted present value (APV) - I would definitely look into these terms to learn more about them. Hope this helps!

  • @WealthGameNation

    @WealthGameNation

    Жыл бұрын

    You can also use the current yearly free cash flow figure and check thr ratio of price/free cash flow... lets day the average p/fcf over the last 10 years is 20 ratio and the company makes 10bill in fre cash flow then it is 20x10 is 200bill and that is your number!

  • @MohamedMusthfaRemzy
    @MohamedMusthfaRemzy3 жыл бұрын

    Simple to understand - Thank you so much.

  • @anuj_bhandare
    @anuj_bhandare2 жыл бұрын

    I've watched several videos of yours accidentally now and I'm loving your channel. Subscribed!

  • @FrancescoGuerrieri
    @FrancescoGuerrieri2 жыл бұрын

    Fantastic video, intrinsic value and margin of safety are so well explained. Thank you, I learned a lot by watching!

  • @RidingTheBadWeather
    @RidingTheBadWeather3 жыл бұрын

    This is hands down the best 15-min video describing intrinsic value and margin of safety. Excellent work. Please keep sharing this kind of knowledge. We need more Warren-Buffett, long-term investment education under these current market conditions. Thank you!

  • @brianf7931
    @brianf79313 жыл бұрын

    I was planning on researching this tonight ! Thank you perfect timing.

  • @NewMoneyYouTube

    @NewMoneyYouTube

    3 жыл бұрын

    Haha perfect timing indeed!

  • @karanwattamwar6395

    @karanwattamwar6395

    3 жыл бұрын

    Same here ! Truuuuuly needed this!

  • @philochristos
    @philochristos9 ай бұрын

    I've watched a bunch of videos on this subject, and this is the first one where I've felt like I understood it. Thank you.

  • @jalonwilson883
    @jalonwilson8832 жыл бұрын

    One of the best videos on KZread. I will probably watch this once a week.

  • @ryandoupe1019
    @ryandoupe10193 жыл бұрын

    So many great things to say about this video. It makes the concept seem so easy and accessible. The minimalistic charts and graphs also help a lot

  • @fminc

    @fminc

    2 жыл бұрын

    Exactly my thoughts, down to the simple graphs.

  • @BethanyKabir
    @BethanyKabir3 жыл бұрын

    You explained this better than my Accounting tutor, thank you!

  • @JWei-sj5es
    @JWei-sj5es2 жыл бұрын

    I wish I could've run into this channel sooner, great explanation. Thank you so much!

  • @Gnuch1414
    @Gnuch14143 жыл бұрын

    Discount Equation for those asking. CF / (1 + R) to power of N Cf = Cash Flow R = Discount Rate N = Number of years.

  • @harryl6274

    @harryl6274

    3 жыл бұрын

    Do you mean multiply by N, the power of is very different

  • @harryl6274

    @harryl6274

    3 жыл бұрын

    @Ryan Tibbo I got you, thanks

  • @karanwattamwar6395

    @karanwattamwar6395

    3 жыл бұрын

    Dude can you tell me which book taught you this? And are there any other financial tools used by investors? 😄

  • @piddersohoolihan2222

    @piddersohoolihan2222

    3 жыл бұрын

    Thanks for this...was trying to wrap my head around the discounted values.

  • @egor.okhterov

    @egor.okhterov

    3 жыл бұрын

    I hated when teachers gave us bare formulas in school and university. And I hate it now. And I hate this comment :) I understand it perfectly and I can derive it and know why there is plus, division and power, but for the newbies it looks like black magic. Maybe some people now think that value investing is not for them, because they are too stupid to understand these formulas.

  • @dimnikolov
    @dimnikolov3 жыл бұрын

    Great explanation, Brandon! Thanks for sharing.

  • @eshelngr
    @eshelngr2 жыл бұрын

    It's hard to understand as a teen who's starting to learn but you definitely explained it very well and it is very important to know as a value investor thank you very much for the video it was great

  • @musaabsi

    @musaabsi

    2 жыл бұрын

    Lucky you I wish I have had this opportunity to learn this as a teen ! Props to you !

  • @thepixalking6589
    @thepixalking6589 Жыл бұрын

    Glad I found your channel. You are perfect for teaching my teenage son about stocks.

  • @Celis.C
    @Celis.C3 жыл бұрын

    A great explanation of the three most important words in investing, thanks for sharing!

  • @cristibtz
    @cristibtz3 жыл бұрын

    You really helped me understand the intrinsic value. Nice video!

  • @KozPreston
    @KozPreston3 жыл бұрын

    This has to be one of the greatest videos to a beginners guide on value investing on KZread.

  • @krishnaprakash3422
    @krishnaprakash34222 жыл бұрын

    Thanks - for that wonderful illustration on calculating stocks - internsic value in stock markets!

  • @AngeloBonaveraArt
    @AngeloBonaveraArt3 жыл бұрын

    Wow great video on how to analyze stock. This is probably the best video on investing I've seen yet.

  • @ASXInvestor
    @ASXInvestor3 жыл бұрын

    Really nice overview mate - Super clear & concise from start to finish 👏

  • @KelechIwuaba
    @KelechIwuaba3 жыл бұрын

    Literally been spending all my free time trying to understand this. Great stuff.

  • @egor.okhterov

    @egor.okhterov

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@REALVINERGY we’ll see in 10 years

  • @jellymaneducation6168
    @jellymaneducation61682 жыл бұрын

    Absolutely fantastic video. I've lost count how many times I've watched this now!

  • @seanbanayan7273
    @seanbanayan72733 жыл бұрын

    I watched a lot of videos about intrinsic value calculation and this one is the most informative so far! Keep up the good work mate.

  • @RedThunder0000
    @RedThunder00003 жыл бұрын

    This helped big time, thank you!

  • @marosilorant873
    @marosilorant8733 жыл бұрын

    I have been trying to crack the numbers in the table shown at 6:55 but I just can't see where is that 15% discount and how the hoola-hoop is applied. Tried from left to right, top to bottom and nothing... not a single hit of 15%. Any one care to explain please which formula you use to calculate Discounted column? thanks in advance :)

  • @raymondwilson2245
    @raymondwilson2245 Жыл бұрын

    First video I've seen from this channel, I love it, simple and effective. New subscriber.

  • @Jha.Prabhakar
    @Jha.Prabhakar5 ай бұрын

    Hey Brandon Thank You Brother..You've Delivered One of The Finest Explanations on Intrinsic Value in Less Than 20 Minutes..Keep Doing The Great Work..Keep Educating Us.

  • @bobharris5093
    @bobharris50933 жыл бұрын

    This is terrific. Precisely just what I needed and so simply and well explained

  • @isaiasabinadisosagarcia936
    @isaiasabinadisosagarcia9362 жыл бұрын

    One of the best explanations on how to invest in the stock market I've watched.

  • @Neil.Denize
    @Neil.Denize3 жыл бұрын

    Great explantion mate very interesting, thanks for sharing much appreciated.

  • @babakdotnourani
    @babakdotnourani3 жыл бұрын

    Awesome, just bought your TAX courses :). Thanks for the discount Brandon!

  • @Chhayachitre
    @Chhayachitre2 жыл бұрын

    Mate, this is so on point! Loved the video, took some notes as well. Keep up the good work! Will definitely check out your other content as well! Thank you for sharing valuable knowledge! Cheers!

  • @superbkriz
    @superbkriz Жыл бұрын

    Hi Newmoney, Extremely well presented video. Thank you! One question: in the chart in the video you showed that the intrinsic value as a line over time, however in the example of the corner store we only get one number which is the total sum Of all the future earning plus 15% discount. How do we end up with more data points to plot a line of the intrinsic value on the chart?

  • @misterblue3514
    @misterblue35143 жыл бұрын

    Thank you. Finaly I have the piece of info that I needed and I understand it.

  • @31128
    @311282 жыл бұрын

    This is one of the best videos I’ve seen on investing in a while. So clear. I really learned something.

  • @EctoMorpheus
    @EctoMorpheus3 жыл бұрын

    Sup dude, just wanted to let you know that I recently discovered your channel and the quality of your videos is amazing. Many videos on investing seem to very quickly glance over stuff and the rest is all hype, bragging or purely speculation, but yours are always calm and in-depth so that they actually have great educational value. Keep doing what you're doing 🚀

  • @mutchyp4000

    @mutchyp4000

    Жыл бұрын

    Couldn't have said it better meself. How's the investing goin ?

  • @trade.analyst.2023
    @trade.analyst.20232 жыл бұрын

    Excellent content. Nicely explained. Great Value. Thank you Brandon. Can you tell how to find the intrinsic value if FCF is negative.

  • @michaelchan8031
    @michaelchan8031 Жыл бұрын

    fantastic, this is a video that I watch time and time again every while to remind me of the principal, thanks!

  • @ru.kiddingme
    @ru.kiddingme3 жыл бұрын

    For a 16 minute run down on basic financial analysis, this video is great. I suggest a prospective investor would be wise to consider technology (e.g. digitalisation) impacts, competitive (disruptor) impacts, trends in consumer tastes, and business cycle (interest rate) impacts on future cash flows. These refinements may feel like speculation, but they undoubtedly affect your valuation. Today we are also necessarily speculating on the rate of emergence from pandemic business conditions.

  • @DaleBEATBOX
    @DaleBEATBOX2 жыл бұрын

    I'm new to this and I've watched this video about 5 times now, and I've had to learn excel all over again but I'm so happy now I can work out the intrinsic value of all my stocks properly! Thankyou for explaining this in such a clear way! I feel I'm one step closer to making better investment decisions with a much clearer understanding! 👍

  • @howard8824
    @howard88243 жыл бұрын

    Man ole man I’m glad I came across you. Thanks for all your videos!

  • @elliotdeltoro3319
    @elliotdeltoro33193 жыл бұрын

    Awesome video! Thank you for your informative and educational presentation on intrinsic value. Keep up the great work. Subscribed!

  • @gshridharanpillai9423
    @gshridharanpillai94233 жыл бұрын

    "How's that for consistency?" And that sly and sarcastic smile which he couldn't contain. 😂😂😂

  • @eej9488
    @eej94883 жыл бұрын

    More of these kind of videos please!

  • @parmarpreyash1724
    @parmarpreyash17243 жыл бұрын

    Amazing information given. Nobody provide this type of information there is always lack of information about intrinsic value on you tube but u did great job thank you keep going 👌👌👌👌

  • @you0rsp1
    @you0rsp12 жыл бұрын

    Thanks for the video. You made this a little easier for me to understand. Cheers!

  • @Xtina2525
    @Xtina25253 жыл бұрын

    Great walk-through! Would have been good to connect the intrinsic value back to the stock price to see how you select the right price to buy at.

  • @kamraninvesting6818

    @kamraninvesting6818

    3 жыл бұрын

    that would have been great

  • @saroshkhoja3388

    @saroshkhoja3388

    2 жыл бұрын

    I was wondering about the same! how does the value of the company translates into the stock price.

  • @adamqah1

    @adamqah1

    2 жыл бұрын

    Market cap / number of shares outstanding = stock price. Intrinsic value / number of shares outstanding = intrinsic price. Using the small store example, let's say you have 1000 shares for that store for investors to buy. The intrinsic value was $306,664. In this case, the stock would be trading at the intrinsic price if it cost ~$306/share. With a 20% margin of safety, you'd have a buy signal for the stock at $255 (306/1.2). Hope this helps.

  • @zsolt-stockinvestingvideos4398
    @zsolt-stockinvestingvideos43983 жыл бұрын

    This is really great content on Intrinsic Value Calculation. Margin of Safety is an really well written book. One of my favorite.

  • @danielakomolafe8119

    @danielakomolafe8119

    3 жыл бұрын

    Ironic - it sells for over $1000, probably not a value investors first choice😆

  • @mayankumraode9533
    @mayankumraode95332 жыл бұрын

    one of the best video i have seen on this topic

  • @saminda
    @saminda9 ай бұрын

    Finally understood the method. valuable content. Thank you

  • @DarkRana
    @DarkRana2 жыл бұрын

    By far the best explanation on 'margin of safety'. Overall good explanation!

  • @mikeb5030
    @mikeb50303 жыл бұрын

    Wouldve been more convenient if you actually showed the calculations on how ended up with those discounted CF.

  • @nasero12

    @nasero12

    2 жыл бұрын

    yeah, i'm doing the calculation my self and something is not adding up

  • @limitlesssky3050

    @limitlesssky3050

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@nasero12 the 15% is compounding.

  • @benslye4330

    @benslye4330

    2 жыл бұрын

    I was confused too he’s actually dividing the fcf figure by 1.15 and compounding it

  • @masonsixsmith8371

    @masonsixsmith8371

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@nasero12 I did £23,579 x 0.85 for the discount rate and did not get 20503 so I’m fully lost at this point

  • @nasero12

    @nasero12

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@masonsixsmith8371 I'm lost with the discount rate in this video too. I don't know where he got those numbers. But he has more videos explaining this same topic. Those are better

  • @MitchHills
    @MitchHills3 жыл бұрын

    Great video mate - it’s been awesome to see your channel grow over the years!

  • @hoelne303
    @hoelne3032 жыл бұрын

    Thks for the clear explanation. I guess books has it but explained technically. Th4 appreciate his effort and time to set up this video to explain the concepts simply and provides clear understanding. No right or wrong but we are all wired differently.

  • @GeraldOng
    @GeraldOng3 жыл бұрын

    Thank you for the video Brandon! Would love to know your thoughts on position sizing as value investors. How much of our capital should we put per company?

  • @EarnMoreSpendLessInvesttheRest

    @EarnMoreSpendLessInvesttheRest

    3 жыл бұрын

    Hi @Gerald Ong, from my own experience, I like to have 70-80% of my portfolio in less than 10 companies. So I never put more than 10% of my portfolio into any one stock. having a concentrated portfolio allows you to do a deep dive in to each company and really understand them. Hope this helps.

  • @GeraldOng

    @GeraldOng

    3 жыл бұрын

    @@EarnMoreSpendLessInvesttheRest Thank you for the sharing! I've a few deep questions I wanted to ask actually. The worry I have as I become more experienced, I realized is that 'deep dive' is relative... my intensive research is usually subpar compared to professional analyst who dive very deep(e.g digging into earnings per sq foot per restaurant in Mcdonalds by geography) and hence why I am very concerned about taking big positions and taking on too much risk. I worry I might feel like I know a lot about a company, but in actuality know very little about compared to the insiders and what's actually on the ground. Also, even with a ~10 stock portfolio, I'm unsure of a good framework to determine how much of each (30% in your best company, then 10% in the next, 2% etc) Unless you put equal weightage in each company, which is counter-intuitive to the logic that I should put more money in places I have more convictions in no?

  • @nicolaguida5612
    @nicolaguida56123 жыл бұрын

    Hi Brandon, thank you for the video, the margin of safety concept is explained concisely and clearly. I have only one observation: at 14:40 you trace an orthogonal line between the 2 parallel lines of intrinsic value and margin of safety. I think that the line should be vertical, as that (even if expressed in % points) still refers to value, which is reported on the Y axis. Thanks again for your video. Best, Nicola

  • @TheEdge080502

    @TheEdge080502

    Жыл бұрын

    i agree

  • @tundealade-bakare3113
    @tundealade-bakare31133 жыл бұрын

    This is awesome !!! You just ran through my final year Business mathematics in the University in a couple of minutes. Awesome !! just Awesome . You have subscriber in me .Bruv. Welldone

  • @kicksters17
    @kicksters177 ай бұрын

    Absolutely love your channel incredibly helpful

  • @corcoranmagriproperties
    @corcoranmagriproperties3 жыл бұрын

    Very accurate! Thank you! 😊

  • @NewMoneyYouTube

    @NewMoneyYouTube

    3 жыл бұрын

    Cheers!

  • @Julsdaballs
    @Julsdaballs3 жыл бұрын

    VERY UNDERRATED. So far, you’re one of the BEST!!

  • @jeetpatnaik56
    @jeetpatnaik56 Жыл бұрын

    Excellent explanation of DCF much appreciated the way u have explained the whole concept in such a simpler manner. 👍

  • @simfor
    @simfor3 жыл бұрын

    Great content. Well explained. You rock, man! Liked and subscribed 👍

  • @brettjohnson4932
    @brettjohnson49322 жыл бұрын

    Trying to test this out and I'm having trouble with the Discounted amount calculations. In the video, it doesn't look like the amount is being reduced by 15% each time. For example, 23,579 - 20,503 = 3076. 3076 / 23,579 = 0.13.

  • @Pekwe

    @Pekwe

    Жыл бұрын

    Same

  • @InvestingwithHawar
    @InvestingwithHawar3 жыл бұрын

    Hi Brandon, my only issue with DFCf models is that it’s not very good at helping you predict long term or even short term gains. I find I would miss out on a lot of opportunities if I discount at 15% even if I use 0 margin of safety. A prime example would be Exxon Mobil. If you assume fcf is around 11 billion for next 10 years with 0 growth you wouldn’t buy Exxon till share price reached $25 or less. The truth though is Exxon was a bargain when price was in low 30s as evidenced by the huge come back in stock price towards $50. We are living in an era with 0 interest rates and unlimited growth of money supply. I don’t think the market would allow us to buy anything below it’s Intrinsic value. Everything is overpriced and we would be lucky to get anything even slightly above intrinsic value.

  • @jussef2057

    @jussef2057

    Жыл бұрын

    Yikes

  • @thinkingman97

    @thinkingman97

    Жыл бұрын

    Turns out the market really was overpriced and now we might be able to find real 'margin of safety' stocks below intrinsic value!

  • @theandrewhenderson
    @theandrewhenderson Жыл бұрын

    The best video on intrinsic value anywhere.

  • @thekagifret
    @thekagifret Жыл бұрын

    Great video thank you! Have just started my finance degree your explanation is so clear :)

  • @TheIcelandicInvestor
    @TheIcelandicInvestor3 жыл бұрын

    Great video Brandon, were you able to get into Tesla at below intrinsic value?

  • @bibekadhikari2298

    @bibekadhikari2298

    3 жыл бұрын

    Haha

  • @NewMoneyYouTube

    @NewMoneyYouTube

    3 жыл бұрын

    Tesla has always been a spec stock for me, but looking back to 2017 I reckon I did actually get it reasonably cheap (when you look at the 10-20 year plan). :)