Full podcast episode: kzread.info/dash/bejne/o5Vh2c5xj9rWiqQ.html Lex Fridman podcast channel: kzread.info Guest bio: Serhii Plokhy is a Ukrainian historian at Harvard University, director of the Ukrainian Research Institute, and an author of many books on history of Eastern Europe, including his latest book The Russo-Ukrainian War: The Return of History.

@stevensteven3425

4 ай бұрын

Question: what does the "trident" stands for? What does it mean? What is the history of it? When I google for it from a "western" country, it's offcourse evrything about "Love and Peace".

“The war will end if one side wins or the other side wins….. or in a stalemate.” wow thanks for the insight patton. I can breath easy now. 😅

@andreipolytov1059

4 ай бұрын

Как он смог это рассчитать?😂 Видимо с помощью суперкомпьютеров и ИИ.😂

@hizbawiginbarginbarghinda3872

4 ай бұрын

A lot of weirdos in the world. Don't blame him, blame the host. I guess the word is Infantilisim!

@President.GeorgeWashington

4 ай бұрын

This comment is an epitome of why the internet is rotting everyone's brains. You disregarded everything else the man said, and discredited him over a small statement. This hypercritical, rude for no reason style of behavior is becoming the new normal for the younger generation. I see it in a lot of high school aged kids. Kids are terminally online, and their main form of communication is by reading low IQ comments like the one you just made, so it rubs off on them when they grow up.

@pillaianupr

4 ай бұрын

😂😂 his answers were 🤪

Victoria Nuland announced her retirement today, that's all you need to know

@jmf5246

4 ай бұрын

Ding dong. Americans with russian ancestry who hate russia for the czar did this or that 150 years ago or that trotsky lost to stalin should not be allowed to run american foreign policy. Nuland has blood on het hands

@jerryfalcon2984

4 ай бұрын

It means she will be the new head of NATO

@burhanbudak6041

4 ай бұрын

Oh god no, I hope its instead a pro-EU candidate.

@rettro6578

4 ай бұрын

Former head of afghan pullout took her place. That is telling.

@CHIEF_420

4 ай бұрын

[🇺🇲🤝🇮🇱] ⌚️

Why is this gentleman not mentioning the fall of advika in Ukraine in the last weeks and the rapid retreat of the troops? As well as the unfortunate countless loss of lives in this retreat. No matter what anyone believes the battlefield reality will face everyone in 2024. Victoria Nuland is holding on till November Edit: Victoria Nuland resigned.

@sneakybudda

4 ай бұрын

Nor is he mentioning the 420,000 dead Russian troops family members potentially a thorn in putins rear. Nor the fact that Jon bass is replacing nuland. Oh no he’s talking about the three likely scenarios of how it might end. So your comment has nothing to do with the question in hand. Learn to listen 🤖

@Together707

4 ай бұрын

She announced retirement in the next weeks. So... there is hope to end this before november.

@rettro6578

4 ай бұрын

@@Together707head of Afghan pullout is taking her place, that is telling.

@Son_of_Nostramo

4 ай бұрын

Because the “gentleman” is not a historian but a propagandist…

@romanromashka7262

4 ай бұрын

What do you know about russian looses near Avdiivka?

Ukraine war is bigger than Iraq and Afghanistan? I did not know that, even more sad...

@ConfuciusZ

4 ай бұрын

I hope you’re being Sarcastic

@tankerd1847

4 ай бұрын

In terms of scale, death and destruction? Easily. Iraq and Afghanistan were conventional conflicts for a weeks before becoming protracted, long term insurgencies.

@o1egm

4 ай бұрын

well if you don't see the differences between 2 large regular post-soviet armies and say group of mujahideen, then what to say...

@felipe-vibor

4 ай бұрын

Read history about any conventional war against the Russian bear and how they ended and it's consequences.

@ConfuciusZ

4 ай бұрын

@@felipe-vibor Everytime the Leader was at the burntout phase of their Rule. Hitler marched on Russia with a Broken Army outve desperation. Napoleon invaded with another broken army Outve desperation. Someone like you doesn’t know Shi And isn’t aware the Russians got stomped in the Japanese Russian Wars And needed The US to save them.

Lex Friedman is often too naive or idealistic. He keeps pushing for an answer HE’d like to hear (Putin being ousted, Ukraine resorting its pre-war borders and everyone happy). That won’t happen.

@CHIEF_420

4 ай бұрын

🧂

@hizbawiginbarginbarghinda3872

4 ай бұрын

Lex Friedman, don't make sense at all. He asks way too many moronic childish questions.

@rv2167

4 ай бұрын

why not? Soviets left Afghanistan. Soviets disintegrated and lost their satellites. Russia lost to Japan in 1905.

@grazvydassereika3958

4 ай бұрын

​@@rv2167sure sure. Continue that dream of yours😂

@Yutani_Crayven

4 ай бұрын

Putin won't be ousted. He's right in his fears - he'll either be dead, not ousted, or he manages to hold on to power. But he cannot hold on to the occupied Ukrainian territories. Look at Europe 1943. That's where we are right now.

Looking at the Ukrainian-Russian war and the horrendous 'results', basically, the responsible people are either incompetent or malicious. There is no other explanation possible in my opinion.

I don't think this guy knows what he is talking about

@verbalspaghettigaming7570

4 ай бұрын

That's all you got? Lol

@redstar612

4 ай бұрын

Which war did he follow ?? Ukraine poeple lost there minds

@Notsram77

4 ай бұрын

Yep, KZread comment section def knows better than the expert Lex has on his show.

@verbalspaghettigaming7570

4 ай бұрын

@@Notsram77 DiabloGamingLTD surely knows more than an expert. WhY yOu No TrUsT hIm?!

@aaabatteries9948

4 ай бұрын

@@Notsram77 He's a very learned man but he's Ukranian and incredibly biased which makes most of what he says invalid since its laced with propaganda, both the subtle and straightforward kind.

In all fairness the Korean scenario seems like the most realistic outcome of this war. The political change in Moscow can only result in Ukraine's victory if there's a revolution in Russia. At this point it's really unlikely

@wolfswinkel8906

4 ай бұрын

Political change in Moscow will not necessarily result in a victory for Ukraine. Everyone in the presidential line of succession is a hawk, most notably Dimitri Medvedev and even more dangerously, Nikolai Patrushev of the FSB.

@lechuck312

4 ай бұрын

@@wolfswinkel8906 that's what I'm saying. A transfer of power to one of his allies changes nothing, too much at stake for them personally

@gorantomic7150

4 ай бұрын

Ukraine is done, they are recruiting women and disabled now

@cjchris8317

4 ай бұрын

​@@lechuck312 If you think that Russia will allow the Korean scenario to happen, then you are out of touch with reality.

@andreipolytov1059

4 ай бұрын

Никакого Корейского сценария не будет. Вопрос уже не стоит о территориях. Вопрос об уроке истории для НАТО. Россия конечно и сама виновата, что война пришла к ней в гости. Давно за выходки НАТО, надо было просто взорвать в Ла-Манше ядерный боеприпас, что бы вразумить англосаксов, возомнивших себя богами.

Serhii Plokhy, or Plokhii is the Mykhailo Hrushevsky professor of Ukrainian history at Harvard University, where he also serves as the director of the Harvard Ukrainian Research Institute.

@alexeykkk9557

4 ай бұрын

Isn’t it amazing how little-informed he is, holding that job title

What I'm about to point out may seem like a small nitpick to some, but it's really not. I don't know if anyone else caught this, but when he was talking about what it would take to have Russian forces retreat back to pre-2022 borders, he said it would "require a defeat of Russian forces, like near Kiev". Let's hold the phone for one second. Russian forces weren't defeated near Kiev. They withdrew from Kiev because they were told that this was a precondition for peace talks to take place. Like I said, it may seem like a small lie, but when you think about it, that's a big lie. Reveals his obvious bias.

@Morvis70

4 ай бұрын

100% true

@InfecEagle

4 ай бұрын

Are you saying the Russians weren't defeated near Kiev?

@Morvis70

4 ай бұрын

@@InfecEagle that was a condition of negotiation process. Of course they were not defeat.

@bub6871

4 ай бұрын

​@@InfecEagle That's exactly what happened. Could Russia have taken Kiev with the forces they had? Probably not, of they stayed would they have been defeated? I think so, but were they defeated? No, Russia retreated for the peace talks in Turkey which Ukraine was going to sign but the US and UK told zelensky to fight. This whole war was planned by the US and it only continues because the US wants it to continue.

@REtoX_NSK

4 ай бұрын

im pro-russian but i can definitely say that the retreat from Kiev was at the same time needed as part of negotiation and as part of war strategy (cuz it was way too hard to continue offensive there and a lot of war reasons dictate the need of retreat or at least stopping of offence, mostly because of logistics and low level of preparation for sucha kind of a combat in russian army: lack of drones and another)

Political change in Moskow may also go the wrong way for Ukraine and the West.

@Yutani_Crayven

4 ай бұрын

It could, but it wouldn't matter much. Russia is in the process of demilitarizing itself at record pace. And its economy is a fraction of the West's even before Finland and Sweden joined NATO. There is no way that Russia comes out of this as a bigger threat than before 2022. Unless, that is, Ukraine is allowed to be conquered. But that wouldn't lead to political change in Moscow.

Great interview, many thanks!❤

"The war can end with one side win, the other side win, or a compromise" 😂😂😂 Someone give this man a Nobel prize for being a deductive genulius 😅😅😅

Great interview, thanks Lex to have brought M. Plokhy to the program !

5:33 There's that part where Merkel and Hollande who were involved in the Minsk agreement openly stated that the agreement was never intended to be fullfilled on the Western/Ukrainian side, but was rather a ploy to arm Ukraine for a future military confrontation with Russia. I think this backstory is a tad more important to the collapse of the Minsk agreement.

@nnemieime3307

4 ай бұрын

There is an interview with Oleksey Arestovic from 2019 in which he talks about the upcoming wars with Russia, first of which expected between 2020-2024. And here we are. In other words, all sides involved were preparing for this for a long time. This war was not a surprise, except for common folks on both sides. If anyone really gave a damn about the Ukrainians they could've prevented this, i'm sure.

@glebarhangelsky4351

4 ай бұрын

And Lex seems to seriously think that they can make this trick again and again. Sorry, no. If even Putin got a soft touch, which is unlikely, the situation in Russia is completely different. Millions of people who help the front will not tolerate new "agreements" of such kind. This 1612, 1812, 1941 vibe in Russia no any decision maker can joke with.

In 1993, Czechoslovakia separated peacefully into two independent countries. This peaceful split is referred to as the Velvet Divorce, which allowed both nations to chart their own paths and establish their distinct identities. It required tedious, skilled grown-ups on both sides. Why did the West fail with Minsk 2? According to US Ambassador Jack Matlock, NATO expansion is primarily responsible. Matlock started working in Moscow in 1961 through Bush 1. John Mearsheimer predicted this war in 2014 after the US's deep involvement in Maidan. It would be better to establish a long-term peace since the West is now battling the rest. Gaza has caused the world to believe the US-led West bullies and fails to follow the UN.

@lobohez7222

4 ай бұрын

Its not called velvet divorce, 1989 cia sponsored colour coup is called velvet revolution. At that time both political representations were focus on privatization/grabbing of state property on their territory for themself, greed made divorce peacefull

@anti-emo4721

4 ай бұрын

Both Czechia and Slovakia are in NATO and in the EU! 🤦‍♂

@cadicamo8720

4 ай бұрын

"Bullies" says the supporter of Russia's wthe Kremlin's imperialist aggresor. Most of what you said is false and Ruzzia's propaganda.

@cadicamo8720

4 ай бұрын

You're a "grown up" who believes big powers can destroy small countries and those countries should do nothing. It's the typical russky mir imperialism.

@Dawgcatcher2728

4 ай бұрын

Of course, it's Russia should have been included. Recall Russia begged to be part of the West. Now What?@@anti-emo4721

You wanna hear something funny? Plokhy (Плохiй) literally means "Bad" in Ukrainian. You can't make this up.

@tymofiishchetilin4329

4 ай бұрын

Your knowledge of Ukrainian is very poor. "Bad" in Ukrainian is "Поганий" [pohanyi]. The word you mentioned is a Russian word with one Ukrainian letter...

Anyone can become a history professor nowadays...

@DukeLitoAurelius

4 ай бұрын

Especially since elite schools are OK with plagiarism.

@frankiephenomanal

4 ай бұрын

He's talking absolute hogwash.

@andreducai1793

4 ай бұрын

...If you have ukrainian passport , you are immediatelly an expert .

@DukeLitoAurelius

4 ай бұрын

@@CCSERVE-cn1ly That's why I think the Disney Corporation should just acquire all of the elite colleges...it would be a match made in heaven! The fiction and storytelling will be quite rich.

@alexeykkk9557

4 ай бұрын

Well, some universities do retain some self-respect and don’t hire guys like this Plohiy type.

Lex Fridman you've been too long time away from Europe I guess. There is no theoretical way of going back to the situation before the war. Ukraine did sign the Minsk agreement but never intended to adhere to. That's one of the reason the war started.

@niriop

4 ай бұрын

How did they not adhere to it?

@Deuwl

4 ай бұрын

I think Angela Merkel blurted out and revealed that the Minsk accord was only done to buy Ukraine to but itself time to build and train the army with NATO weaponry

@dimjad7933

4 ай бұрын

In an interview with the German daily Der Spiegel, published on February 9, 2023, Zelensky made it clear that he intentionally chose to sabotage Minsk. The Ukrainian leader complained that the Minsk agreements were an unacceptable “concession”. Zelensky recalled telling French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Angela Merkel that “we cannot implement it”. “Procrastination is perfectly fine in diplomacy”, Zelensky said, explaining that he only “jumped on the train” and pretended to support Minsk in order to negotiate a prisoner swap with Russia - and give his country more time to prepare for war.

I have no horse in this race whatsoever i don't think us Slavs should be killing each other and are being used once again but it is what it is. Looking at it as an outsider, why would Russia trust any agreement from the West and see it as anything but stalling to create an even stronger Ukraine. They already had agreements with NATO for no expansion east which were blatantly violated. Then they signed 2 different Minsk agreements both of which were broken.

@Xerxesian

4 ай бұрын

Russia is the aggressor that has violated any agreement it has signed

@int_fx_dx

4 ай бұрын

Can you cite any document for 'no expansion of NATO agreement'? I can cite you multiple documents where Russia guaranteed Ukraine it's security and territorial integrity.

@aleksandrs1422

4 ай бұрын

@@int_fx_dx ha, you got him there. NATO non expansion was 'simply' a back room pledge. Like the ones that de-escalated the Carribean Crisis and paved way for enough trust to sign future treaties between US and USSR. It was a deliberate lie and Russians learned not to trust Western leaders' and diplomats' word like you could in the past. It was a long road, but with CFE, IMF, ABM, February 2014 Ukraine elections agreement and finally Minsk Russia learned what now seems obvious to the entire world. Western written word is also similarly reliable.

@ivoivic2448

4 ай бұрын

​@@int_fx_dxyou can check your own western trusted source, wikipedia.

@aleksandrs1422

4 ай бұрын

​@@int_fx_dx you got him there. N@TO non expansion was 'simply' a back room pledge. Much like the ones that de-escalated the Cuban Missile Crisis and paved way for enough trust to then sign multiple arms control treaties between US and USSR. After this pledge that I personally think is quite important, turned out to be a lie, Russia focused on pleading with the West, attempting to sign new treaties and maintain existing ones. It was a long road, but with CFE, IMF, ABM, February 2014 Ukraine elections agreement and finally Minsk Russia learned what now seems obvious to the entire world. Western written word is not much more realiable than spoken one, at least after 1991.

American revolution? Dumb analogy

@ahmadmiralas7449

4 ай бұрын

Yeah Ukraine was already independent before the war

@drunkdrftr

4 ай бұрын

@@ahmadmiralas7449 independent? Source please

@ahmadmiralas7449

4 ай бұрын

@@drunkdrftr you need a source that Ukraine was independent before 2022?

@drunkdrftr

4 ай бұрын

@@ahmadmiralas7449 correct. Show me they were 100% independent of russia for everything including military nuclear treaties

@tankerd1847

4 ай бұрын

His point is that the long term status quo since the American Revolution is for empires to fragment into smaller nations. His point is that even if Russia were to annex all of Ukraine, similar to the Soviet status quo, that would eventually fragment. The idea of empires which are giant conglomerations of differing peoples lorded over by a powerful central state has been on the downturn since the American Revolution.

I hope peace agreements can be achieved rapidly. "Being an enemy of the USA is dangerous, being an ally can be fatal". Henry Kissinger.

@gorantomic7150

4 ай бұрын

Black rock bought Ukraine

It is impossible to explain reality check until is finished. Specially to someone who know or nothing or falce narrative about subject.

Lex is my favorite podcast undertaker.

@koreydavis8962

4 ай бұрын

I agree

Same as a Macedonian professor of history. Watched the whole thing yesterday. Even poor Lex was not buying all the BS.

No, dude - the biggest change of last year was the fall of Bakhmut. Failed (spectacularly) Ukrainian counter-offensive too deserves an honourable mention. Considering the current goings on on the ground, the fact that this insanely biased dude expects anything other than a catastrophic defeat for Ukraine and its enablers is mind-boggling. Perhaps they are trying to ignore the impending disaster in a hope that it'll go away?

@salomaonplanetsaturn

4 ай бұрын

Lex is a believer 😅 So he won't listen to anything else

@jirkazalabak1514

3 ай бұрын

Was it? Neither of those battles moved the frontline in any significant way. The Ukraianian counter-offensive, while it did fail, was no different from the many, many failed offensives by Russia in this war, with the notable difference of lower Ukraianian casulaties. I fail to see how either of those battles are in any way decisive.

Lex, when someone is deciding to go for war instead of peace (Minsk agrement 2.0) and then loses i'm not sure how you can expect that person can go back to the situation before without any consequences. Loser gets less, it's simple logic. In this conflict one side decided to go for it because of promises made by the west. It was enough to check the history of all proxy countries used by the West and how they ended up.

Tell me something I didn't know already!

A lot of talking, very little substance. Sergey wants to paint Ukraine in best light possible even though it’s obvious there is no hope.

These two really live in another galaxy, they have no sense of reality.

The had a Minsk agreement. The west were snaking Russia the whole time. Forget about any more Minsk agreements.

@anthonygil1522

4 ай бұрын

Exactly... Russia will not fall for that BS again....

@gav7900

4 ай бұрын

Thanks Russian trolls.

If you believe the war will end in something other than a military victory for Russia you are either getting very inaccurate information or choosing to live in an alternate reality. The only real questions are how long will the conflict continue and what the new borders will be.

To sum it up - two clueless people talking about things they don't understand but are biased about😬

@hrissan

4 ай бұрын

Exactly. What a downfall of podcaster I respected🤦‍♀️

It is not surprising that historians imagination is so limited, he trained to put difficult reality in the confines of propaganda, not to imagine how the reality could unfold

Thanks Alex for bringing on a buffoon

Great analysis by Captain Obvious.

Most independent analysts in the United States have long been saying that Ukraine is initially unable to defeat Russia, even with the full support of NATO countries. Everything is on Russia's side - the economy, human resources, time, logistics, political situation, military technology. The only question is how long the conflict will last, how many more people will die and how many regions Russia will annex as a result of victory.

@verbalspaghettigaming7570

4 ай бұрын

Most? Really now? Name 15

@orten896

4 ай бұрын

@@verbalspaghettigaming7570 He's a Russian bot with a western name. Look at the patterns. They always have a western name: "Jimmy, Paul, Tom, John" but in their profile, like this bot, it's "Sergey Misik" or another Russian name. They almost ALWAYS forget to change that or think western people are too stupid to realize. They use a western name to spew out positive propaganda towards Russia to gain western followers, it doesn't really work, it only backfires and shows that they are desperate and in a hurry.

@Jimmy1972

4 ай бұрын

Even you don’t argue the essence of what was said, you just find fault with the words. @@verbalspaghettigaming7570

@Mike-br8zt

4 ай бұрын

Yeah mate, yeah.................zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

@Gunit867899

4 ай бұрын

How many russian slaves is putin willing to sacrifice for a land he won't be able to hold?

Lex, after Angela Merkel publicly explained how they constructed Minsk Accords to fool Russia and gain time for Ukraine military buildup, never planning to implement them, you seriously bring "New Minsk Accords" on the table? Seriously? No, dear anglo-saxons, enough "agreements" with you. Capitulation. You have finally woken up the bear.

how does he know when it hasn't happened yet?

This guy is talking so much Rubbish its insane did he follow the war true CNN 😂😂

Are you really hope of changing in Russia in the time of changing in USA

If Russia loses Crimea, including a landbridge to Crimea, Russia might very well disintegrate. This is no doubt what President Victoria Nuland wants, but Russia will fight like they haven't fought in 79 years to prevent that from happening. As for the rest of it, while I would doubt that Russia will simply let Ukraine join NATO, I could see it as a possibility if there becomes great political and economic instability in Russia.

@trafalgarjunior2618

4 ай бұрын

Russia built railways and temporary bridges as we speak

@Gunit867899

4 ай бұрын

So why didnt russia collapse from 1993 to 2013 when they had no control of crimea? Whats the logic ?

@jmf5246

4 ай бұрын

Nuland just resigned

@wolfswinkel8906

4 ай бұрын

The Russians are already driving through the new land bridge they've secured since the capture of Soledar. A few months ago they were building a land rail through it .. There's nothing to stop the flow of Russian logistics to Ukraine.

@hotlinetech151

4 ай бұрын

Russia might disintegrate over one bridge in Crimea, are you nuts?

It is a sort of a Winter war and finlandisation of the Ukraine. One can fight for better positiins behind the negotiation table, but Russia is still in better position to take current state and then take more some time later. Ukraine will be forced to get rid of the current leaders and bend a knee to moscow. If they persist then maybe 50 years later there is still a nation to have as somehow Findland did as well.

The face of: trying to convince oneself instead of an audience. If you are speaking to the audience, you must remember that they won't give you the benefit of the doubt. Try starting with something simple, like 2+2=4.

Hey Lex how is weather on Mars ? From planet earth looks like one huge brain storm

Russian army wasn't defeated in Kiev they just simply retreat because of peace negotiation in Turkey, and Ukraine took that opportunity and ambushed them. Everybody knows that

@Blashmack

4 ай бұрын

That's a nice way to convince yourself why a failed encirclement ends in a rout with obvious losses. It's always the fault of someone else.

@stephenhill545

4 ай бұрын

Good to see the utter lack of selfcriticism is still going strong.

@jamesburke3803

4 ай бұрын

Haha! "As a goodwill gesture, we will lose our special forces and huge numbers of armored vehicles, and retreat!"

@ivanbrezina7632

4 ай бұрын

Part of that "army" were OMON policemen. They were equipped with shields and batons. They were not capable to fight regular army, they went to Kiev to beat resisting civilians. There are photos of burned trucks loaded with shields and batons.

think of it as a tennis match. Ir was 3 sets each, even Stevens in Ukraine Spring last year. Zelensky and his mates talked endlessly of a "Spring Offensive". People waited with bated breath. There were talk of the Abrams tanks with jet engines and F-16, a "Jet Coalition in Zelensky's vocabulary. Spring turned to Summer... and people are still waiting. Ukraine did try, but Russia had made use of the lull to installed very effective defence line, and Ukraine's late offensive amount to not very much. Fast forward....Now the tennis match is more like 3-4 in Russia's favour. Ukraine's main supporter America gave up because its investment didn't pay off. So it is politically difficult for Biden to put one more dollar into the hungry beast. Europe had allowed America to lead until now, when it pulled the plug very abruptly on Ukraine. Without America, NATO is milling around like a mob of cattle in a holding yard, wondering around, talking silly thing like sending in troops. In a nutshell, Ukraine is facing a Russia who has 4 match points, and is trying to finish off the match. Proud nation don't want to talk about giving up, wanting to fight to the last man standing. That is Zelensky plan, to fight to the last man. I think that decision is no longer his to make. Without America, and now Trump could be the next president, he might as well pack his undies and tooth brushes, and head to Spain for a holiday. He deserve a holiday, and his troops deserve to come home having spent two years on the battlefield without a break. It is time to call it quit.

@stephenhill545

4 ай бұрын

It's not a game. Ukraine has huge potential support.

@WalkOverHotCoal

4 ай бұрын

@@stephenhill545i know it is not a game. I am using tennis match as an analogy. I hope you get that. Huge potential support? If there is any, Zelensky wouldn't have to fly around the world begging for it, would he? Use your head instead of listening to lairs.

@SewTubular

4 ай бұрын

@@stephenhill545 And Russia only has : China, Turkey, Iran, North Korea ( making shells and missiles per Russian specs )

@Deuwl

4 ай бұрын

​@@stephenhill545I agree with his tennis analogy. F16s won't make a difference

This guy thinks the Russian army was defeated outside Kiev and that the Ukrainians pushed out the Black Sea navy and doesn’t mention the risk of Ukrainian military collapse. Should tell everyone everything they need to know about his “analysis”. This war will end with a Russian military and political victory over NATO. This guy seems to think Ukraine decides its policies, what a dupe…

It's crazy talk. Russians can hit at will any point in Ukraine. Ukraine has zero industrial base, moreover it has zero economy. It's totally dependent on handouts. The West also doesn't have an industrial base to sustain this industrial war. You simply can't print artillery shells. All efforts to increase production just led to the price of a shell skyrocketing. "In October, NATO’s senior military officer, Adm. Rob Bauer, said that the price for one 155mm shell had risen from 2,000 euros ($2,171) at the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion to 8,000 euros ($8,489.60)." Zelenskyy is running out of cannon fodder. There are simply no next 500,000 of hapless cannon fodder to kidnap off the streets, gyms and public transport. At this point unconditional surrender is the only practical solution for Ukraine. Hitler's Germany also refused to admit defeat until Hitler killed himself, then Keitel signed unconditional surrender.

@verbalspaghettigaming7570

4 ай бұрын

Zero industrial base, economy, and reliant on handouts? That'll happen when Russia invades you and "liberates" towns and cities by turning them to dust. So much "liberating" that you can stand in the middle of any city Russia has touched and see for miles. So many houses and apartments for all those liberated Russian speakers to return to. So kind of Russia.

@verbalspaghettigaming7570

4 ай бұрын

The things you listed usually happen when Russia invades and "liberates" towns and cities by turning them to ash...

@verbalspaghettigaming7570

4 ай бұрын

Also, nice comment history. Totally capable of using your brain and not spread the Botox Hobbit Tsar's talking points...

@Arbiter710

4 ай бұрын

Yet the big strong Russia can’t move the frontlines more than 1% If Russia is strong and Ukraine is so weak why can’t they move forward

@reekinronald6776

4 ай бұрын

Agreed for the most part, except the unconditional surrender. I don't think Russia has the man power of even the will to take over and hold Ukraine indefinitely. That costs money too and for decades. However, if people had any sense and started to work towards a settlement, Russia would probably end up with most of what it wanted at the beginning of the War. Treaties preventing Ukraine joining NATO and the Eastern part of Ukraine.

Mr Plokyy is a hopelles dreamer.

Putin has NO reason to fall back his position at all. Ukraine and USA demand Putin withdraw before they negotiate and they know Putin will NOT retreat, because Russia has won that ground by force.

@SewTubular

4 ай бұрын

Russia will continue pushing West until the US is willing to sign a peace agreement.

@alexeykkk9557

4 ай бұрын

Putin was once duped into withdrawing from Kyiv as a ore-requisite for negotiations. And as soon as he withdrew, Ukraine disregarded all the results of negotiations and defected on its own agreements. Putin is not known for repeating his mistakes.

The outcome of the war depends on what the Russian speaking population in eastern Ukraine wants.

The war will end with Victoria Nuland moving to the EU

@SewTubular

4 ай бұрын

She's already retired.

Canada media had a front line report. The soldiers are old, middle age at best. The Ukraine Army attrition is right in front of us.

Why are people disagreeing with him? I don’t understand what he said that people don’t like

@therovingrobin5938

4 ай бұрын

Because he's full of 💩! Russia is winning militarily and politically, striking alliances around the world with those, who have been bullied so far by the US lead West...

@vicnik8115

4 ай бұрын

He is a nationalist Ukrainian. He’s biased!

@TheOne30264

4 ай бұрын

Why would Russia give up land that they gave so many lives for. This is not realistic unless Putin want his country men to put him in a stake.

@lba7362

4 ай бұрын

Because the "people" you are refering to aren't actual people. If you look at the comments, you'll notice some interesting details in the language used. Additionally, these comments often veer off-topic and lack specific references to the content of the video. Instead, they tend to discuss conflict in a general. More often than not, they insist that the West must put an end to the conflict immediately. TLDR they are bots.

The 'intelligence' has totally departed from reality ... Ask yourself a key question - How do intelligent people speak such nonsense and look at complex issues in a plain way reaching hard predictions and conclusions. For me there are two possibilities: 1. Fake intelligence class 2. Special interests and basically bought and paid for people(directly or indirectly) Ask yourself this question generally about all the things that happen. There is a saying - If you cannot understand someone, look at the results and infer from them their motivation!

Like watching celery grow --- zzzzz ---

Lex is a poor interviewer. Can someone explain why he is popular. I'm really curious.

All the ppl calling Lex names, or criticizing without an argument, are paid bots, because Lex has a smart audience.

@alexeykkk9557

4 ай бұрын

It’s exactly because the audience is smart that they see right through him and his wishful thinking. And because his audience are honest, they clearly express their disagreement and disappointment in this juggling of facts.

Lex you're backing the wrong horse. And they didn't win at Kyiv. Russia retired in a agreement.

Lex keeps such a serious face )) Like he is concerned Clown 👻

Russia has so much weaponry and power it unfortunately feels like a cat playing with a mouse. They could probably continue this for centuries if they wanted or just end it all today. For the sake of humanity so we can continue living our simple lives I hope a somewhat peaceful solution is possible. We obviously have to make compromises and neither side will end up a happy winner.

@MyAnalyser

4 ай бұрын

As we know from Finland, Japan and Afghanistan, the mouse often wins. How much of your country would you willing to sacrifice to make the cat go away, and do you really think he won't return for a second bite once you appease him with a slice of your country?

@HimalayaBeard

4 ай бұрын

@@MyAnalyser So.. and what piece of Afghanistan did the US return for?

@orten896

4 ай бұрын

@@HimalayaBeard Russia in 10 years: Lost +15k soldiers, more than 3M civilians dead. USA in 20 years: Lost +4200 soldiers, 1.5-2M civilians dead. Talking about Afghanistan and as an outsider I'd say Russia is more evil and care less about its own or others but that doesn't matter, both are very evil. Why do you ALWAYS bring up USA every single time someone talks bad about Russia? The majority of this world doesn't live in USA. I have no love for USA and less for Russia. NATO was more than happy to have Russia but Putin didn't want to go through the normal process, he wanted to join on HIS TERMS. He wasn't allowed that and started to cry and since then we are evil and the enemy. "The NATO club didn't let me join them on my terms, look how evil they are!!!" It's kind of like me applying for a postman job and wanting $500k/year salary, not getting it and now they are evil for not giving me that salary. Bad analogy, but you get the point. Why are you above everyone else? Why do you expect to join someone on YOUR terms and not the terms of those who started the organization? Does it really make sense to you? Russia is a land full of hypocrites, same as USA, it's okay for you but not for anyone else. And like Americans you believe in the reasons your leaders claim why they've gone to war. In your case it's nazis, NATO and lost lands when in reality it's because of all the natural gas which was found in Ukraine before the war broke out. In America's case it was oil. Stop listening to your leaders, they lie to you ALL THE TIME.

@jmhorange

4 ай бұрын

@@MyAnalyser We were told for the past 2 years there would never be Western troops in Ukraine, that any such talk was Russian propaganda. Now thanks to leaked German audio, it confirms that British troops (and probably others) are in Ukraine. We are literally walking into WW3 with this moralizing and talk of appeasement. There's more to the world than the West's and Russia's stupid childish war games. This war needs to end, neither the West nor Russia seem to be interested in international rules at this point yet the US, UK, France, and Russia, all nuclear powers sit on the UN permanent security council. Afghanistan is a failed state, I really don't see how Japan is a mouse, they lost WW2 and is the only country to be nuked. As far as Finland, joining NATO isn't a win. I don't want to contemplate who will win in a NATO/Russia war that will most likely involve nukes, but by joining NATO, Finland will be the first to be destroyed to give NATO enough time to think about a counter attack. It's pretty well known that the NATO countries bordering Russia will fail and that's their role, to add padding so NATO has time and space to figure out a response.

@rodmotor

4 ай бұрын

What breed of cat was the Sergei Kotov in the Black Sea?

About the grain.....

This is great

Thank you for this guest. Respect to Mr. Plokhy

Who didn't know this guy would have the "Ukraine will win" prediction? Anything else would get him condemned by the establishment.

He's clearly pro Ukrainian. Isn't the biggest victory of 2023 not bakmut?

There are a lot of trolls in the comment section of this video.

Victory for ukrain ? Ya right

@garymelnyk7910

4 ай бұрын

Thank you for your perspective from Russia!

@chronicillz1879

4 ай бұрын

@@garymelnyk7910 well im from new york, been living here for 28 years, and everyone in america is saying ukraine has no chance lol

@drunkdrftr

4 ай бұрын

@@garymelnyk7910 you are from russia? Then you crushed georgia snd ukraina

@SteveRoman66

4 ай бұрын

@@chronicillz1879 I agree, but Russia said they want Poland too, so better supplying Ukraine now, then you being drafted in the US Army and fighting in Poland when Russia invades, no?

@chronicillz1879

4 ай бұрын

@@SteveRoman66 ridicilous rofl where did u hear such nonsense, putin said no such thing he just wants a gurantee that ukraine wont join nato

Still not letting go of the end of history delusion I see. End of empire my ass.

why not change in western goverments /why just russia

In my assessment, Russia appears likely to emerge victorious in this conflict, albeit at a considerable cost. With over 400,000 soldiers already lost, it's evident that the toll has been substantial. However, it's improbable that Russia will concede defeat and withdraw, particularly in light of their recent military successes. Even if the U.S. and its allies decide to provide financial support to Ukraine, it's unlikely to alter the inevitable outcome, but merely prolong the inevitable. The only plausible scenario where Russia might falter is if NATO intervenes directly with their military forces, but such a move is practically impossible given Russia's readiness to deploy tactical nuclear weapons, effectively deterring any significant NATO action. They could easily justify such a drastic measure as preemptive defense against a perceived NATO threat, Hence, Ukraine seems destined to succumb to Russian dominance, primarily due to its unfortunate proximity to one of the most formidable military in the world. It's like venturing into a monster's lair with no hero brave enough to rescue you.

@verbalspaghettigaming7570

4 ай бұрын

If that is the thought process, then the assumption can be made that Russia will not stop until it conquers all Baltic nations. This would, in turn, most likely cause military intervention by NATO. Russia using nuclear weapons would also likely cause a response from China who does not believe in, condone or respect the use of nuclear weapons. China would take the opportunity to reclaim their historic lands of Outer Manchuria, which Russia took from China.

@just_golds

4 ай бұрын

Russia has lost no more than 60,000 in total deaths.i don't know where your getting that figure of 400,000 from sounds like western propaganda again with no evidence to back it up.Its the Ukrainian grave yards that are over flowing with probably more than 600,000 deaths.

@aaaAaAAaaaaAa1aAAAAaaaaAAAAaaa

4 ай бұрын

@@verbalspaghettigaming7570you're smoking premium crack lmao

@verbalspaghettigaming7570

4 ай бұрын

@@aaaAaAAaaaaAa1aAAAAaaaaAAAAaaa I think the Botox got into Putin's brain

@just_golds

4 ай бұрын

Plus NATO couldn't hold a torch to Russia in a War,Colonel Douglas Mcgregor again repeated that this week so did Ex CIA intelligence office Larry Johnson,Scott Ritter and countless other impartial geopolitical analysts and they've been saying this from the beginning.Its Laughable you think Ukraine had a chance against Russia even with Western training and backing,christ the Western nations couldn't beat Russia on their own when they tried in previous Wars and that go's for France,U.K,Germany twice so come on,talk sense.🤔

What other position can you expect from Ukrainian guy living in US))

This gentleman is biased. The only way Republic of North Ukraine could achieve anything militarily, is by one, or actually by several other Nato countries joining thr war against Russia. I do not see volunteers at the moment 😅

Za nashu pobedu!

Must of forgot its just a special operation.

Can you bring Mr. Kotkin back . He will explain everything, best . He study all this his entire life.

What an utter BS

Total Bullshit)

I literally learned nothing new that you wouldnt just understand by using common sense. It was all empty talk and buzzwords from the interviewee. Lex pls bring ppl with actual input on next pls thank you.

The guest... don't really have it. He know his stuff but miss some important part and poorly interpret the military and geopolitical situation.

nonsense

Serhii is one-sided and unbalanced in his assessment.

With Russia winning

Ukraine missed its golden peace opportunity in March 2022 thanks to UK and USA... It is so sad. These Western policy makers should be held responsible. Boris Johnson, Victoria Nuland...

Non seulement pour l'Ukraine mais pour l’Occident il est vital de ne pas se laisser intimider par Poutine. Ou a-t-on jamais entendu parler d’un criminel s’arrêtant devant un faible ?!! 🤔

@kannanchittilakattu32

4 ай бұрын

ക്രിമിനൽ അത് തന്റെ രാജ്യം ആണ്. ഫ്രഞ്ച് കോളനിയലിസം എല്ലാരും മറന്നു എന്ന് കരുതിയോ

@Banana_Split_Cream_Buns

4 ай бұрын

A Frenchman calling someone else a weakling? Your country has no sovereignty. Are you going to sign up to fight like Macron has suggested? Do you remember what happened the last time French soldiers were in that part of the world? It didn't end well.

@mostlymessingabout

4 ай бұрын

Yiep​@@Banana_Split_Cream_Buns French continues to rape Afrika constantly until this day. The Western colonisers can't speak of bullying 😂

@geovanny.jacobo

4 ай бұрын

as soon i saw the comment in french i knew he was talkin trash, this frenchpeople are so ignorant🤦🏽‍♂️🤦🏽‍♂️🤦🏽‍♂️🤦🏽‍♂️

@truthseeker8581

4 ай бұрын

Tres bien mon cher! Prepare toi pour. combattre en Ukraine come indique par ton President!

The guy is clearly biased against Russia. This is not analysis, just wishful thinking. Ukraine and friends were offered negotiations in December of 2021, in spring of 2022, all throughout this war Russia s been saying they would prefer a diplomatic solution. This guy lives comfortably in the west and his kids aren’t fighting this war, so why not be cocky. Too bad real people in Ukraine are paying for this nerd’s delusions.

@verbalspaghettigaming7570

4 ай бұрын

Unfortunately, you are Russian and are currently subscribed to 9 Russian KZread channels, so you are biased towards Russia. Your point is moot.

@radicalmind5742

4 ай бұрын

He is Ukrainian, He just change his name from.Segei to Serhii. The last time I check Most people people across the globe do not even know Ukraine even exist before 1991. He is a revisionist.

@DeadPoetsSongs

4 ай бұрын

@@verbalspaghettigaming7570 you're so pathetic 😂 You're not event trying to make an argument for your point, instead you are waisting your time counting my subscriptions. What a joke. I'm bias towards simple people who have to loose their lives because of the short sighted policymaking that you seem to share. I don't care one bit what nationality you are and I stand by my point 100%.

@DeadPoetsSongs

4 ай бұрын

@@verbalspaghettigaming7570 my name is Vladimir Putin and I stand by my point 100% 😂

When it comes to territory there will be no Ukraine after this war.

😂 where did u find this guy , Russia was not defeated near kiev , they withdrew as peace overture , diplomatic papers from both sides on talks have come out plus diplomats involved. One of the most impotent parts of being a historian is to at least TRY to get the facts correct.

@artem7023

4 ай бұрын

this guy is a story teller not a historian

Shoulda stayed neutral. Lol

great interview on a heart-breaking situation for everyone

@truthseeker8581

4 ай бұрын

Total bunk!

This comment is being made on June 23, 2024 We now have better view and analysis of the trajectory of this war. Russia greatly out numbers Ukraine in every way. Russia is expanding the battle to new fronts. Russia sees that Zelensky and the west have no serious desire for peace. Ukraine is running out of soldiers. The eventual conclusion is very probable for complete Russian victory. The only questions are how much of Ukraine's territory is Russia intend to occupy and how long will it take them to achieve their goals. Putin knows that the USA and much of Europe is governed by people on the deep state's payroll. This is changing and I believe Russia needs to accomplish it's goals before serious people come to power in America and Europe. I believe Putin will wrap this war up this year. How far he will go largely depends on the continuing threat that Ukraine and the west pose towards Russia. Any possibility of Russian invasion of any European country is totally ridiculous. This is just deep state fear mongering propaganda.

Russbots are about to bleed copium in the comment section.

@DSKENTERPRISELTD

4 ай бұрын

What are you talking about?

@bobsmith9571

4 ай бұрын

lol says the call of duty veteran

@Arbiter710

4 ай бұрын

I saw a comment on another video that Russias goal was not to take kyiv but to surround it and bring Ukraine to the negotiation table🤣🤣🤣 how does these people cope this hard

@andrewofaiur

4 ай бұрын

​@@Arbiter710What would Russia gain from taking Kyiv? Do you understand what a logistical nightmare that would be? Russia still remembers very vividly the financial drain of trying to occupy a hostile land in Afghanistan. They saw America follow their footsteps in the middle east for the last 20 years. You think the Russians are eager to walk into that same trap again?

@coldturkey5333

4 ай бұрын

⁠@@Arbiter710i mean it ain’t copium its a logical thought process. Their initial plan of taking the capital did fail due to logistical problems and disorganization hence now they’ve opted to basically starve out the Ukrainians morally and intrench themselves deep. Putin never had aspirations to take literally every single inch of Ukraine and if you think that Ukraine actually lost 31K soldier ya gotta be delusional. They lost at least that much at Bakhmut alone and I’m lowballing

UK is done

the us empire will end

This guy has no idea what he is talking about

@vovaz5425

4 ай бұрын

I mean, he could be a good 'expert' for CNN, telling people that pretty soon ukrainians will take over Moscow lol

@verbalspaghettigaming7570

4 ай бұрын

​@@vovaz5425And there's the difference. Even after all the Ukrainian civilians Russia had killed, Ukraine still doesn't want a piece of Russian land. Only one nation is Imperialistic

@mockingbbirdkilla1771

4 ай бұрын

​@verbalspaghettigaming7570 Russia could still end this conflict the same way the US ended its conflict with Japan. Any bright theories as to why they haven't done that yet?

@SteveRoman66

4 ай бұрын

@@mockingbbirdkilla1771Whaaa? Even before the first Nuke lands, the US Army would be drafting you to go fight over there. I think its better and cheaper to supply Ukraine now than when Russia invades Poland and you have to fight. Russia said they're not going to stop with just Ukraine.

@truthseeker8581

4 ай бұрын

Regrettably, he does as he has an agenda of his own to portray history as he sees fit.

Lex is really delusional when it comes to Ukraine

Crap.

Bla bla bla bla....