How Russia Opened a New Front
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On the morning of May 10th, Russian forces launched a ground assault against Ukraine in the northern Kharkiv region. I want to examine if this is a diversion tactic or are they planning to assault the city center? How will Ukraine respond? And What strategic reasons are driving the battle here for both sides? Im your average infantryman chris cappy Lets find out.
Behind me is a live conflict map that constantly updates the location of front line positions across the country. This icon indicates Russian troops are assaulting across roughly two dozen different towns on the border. So far Russia claims to have captured 5 villages within an area known as the contested grey zone although Ukraine contests that. This might seem like a surprise, but For the past 2 weeks we’ve actually seen reports that Russia was creating an operational significant northern grouping by moving between 35,000 and 50,000 of their troops to this region. On May 5th this report stated several units had been taken off the front lines in Zaporizhia and moved to form a new grouping near Kharkiv. The Ukrainian general staff had warned that Russia was massing troops along the northern border in recent weeks and could push for Kharkiv as an opener to a big summer offensive. Originally they anticipated the attack might even include an 2nd attempt at invading the city of Sumy as well. Much like during the first invasion attempt when we saw the Z symbol on many Russian vehicles we’re now seeing a new more complicated looking symbol associated specifically with the operational north grouping attacking near Kharkiv. Don’t ask me if it’s a celtic symbol, a letter of some unknown alphabet or a graphic design, I have no idea.
Many of these signs were first identified by a Ukrainian military observer Kostyantyn Mashovets who on May 5th reported that Russian forces were pretending to unload troops and equipment at railway stations in Kursk Oblast to come off the frontline for rest. They were trying to hide their troop movements because they then marched on foot to deployment points in Belgorod Oblast near the border. Russian troops moved to a staging area preparing for the assault while trying to avoid detection.
The city of Kharkiv itself is Ukraine’s second largest city, home to over 1.3 million people, and they have steadfastly resisted capture since the start of the invasion despite being located just 25 miles from the Russian border. Kharkiv has been rationing their electricity in the face of attacks on their energy infrastructure and they’ve reportedly been hit by glide bombs on a daily basis. There are some potential reasons for the strategic importance of this region to both sides. Pro-Ukranian all Russian forces launched several retaliatory cross border raids from the Kharkiv region into the Russian city of Belgorod in March 2024. That basically means Russian forces who are loyal to Ukraine launched actual ground assaults inside Russian territory near here. Then Russia claims Ukraine has been hitting Belgorod with artillery and drone strikes for months. Directly following this in March the Kremlin stated they would create what they called a quote unquote “sanitary zone” or a buffer zone inside Ukraine that was big enough to prevent these kind of strikes on Russian cities in the future. These lines of reasoning from Moscow might not be their true intentions, it could be disinformation designed to keep Russia’s true intentions hidden… but it’s important to note them. For example, Ukraine has already demonstrated its ability to hit deep inside Russian territory with domestically produced drones striking oil refineries all the way in Bashkortostan 1,300 miles from the front lines. And the United States just sent Ukraine a longer range ATACM missile with a range of 300 km. A ten kilometer buffer zone might not make a major difference as widespread tube artillery shelling of Belgorod was not occuring.
The Ukrainian military leadership now has a decision to make. How much reinforcements do they want to divert to Kharkiv. Ukraine has already devoted reserve forces to be engaged in the Donbass to stop Russia’s grinding advance after taking the city of Avdiivka in February. According to this ISW assessment This might be Russian planners' goal to force Ukraine to move manpower and materials off their lines in the Donbas to protect Kharkiv. The reason they make this assessment is because they believe 35,000 to 50,000 Russian troops would not be enough to take the city of Kharkiv which would require drives across open terrain on a scale Russia has not conducted since the start of the full scale invasion. Although if Russia chooses to reinforce this direction of attack further in the future that assessment could change.
#UKRAINE #WAR #NEWS
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@BWhit-ni5uc
Ай бұрын
Love the cope the Yankees haha another war lost ay 🤡🤡🤡🤡
@jaimzx3625
Ай бұрын
You also failed to mention 16 civilians were killed in a Ukrainian missile strike on the apartment building in Belgorod
@Av-vd3wk
Ай бұрын
It’s called a FEINT!
@AllahuAkhbarMuhammadJihad
Ай бұрын
@ 1:07 is it me or do all the AI generated Russians like like Ted Bundy @ 1:07
@RyanBrown-nx8dw
Ай бұрын
@@Av-vd3wk no its just called the banderites lost
Those 6-fingered Russians are from the Chernobyl Battalion
@RUTHLESSambition5
Ай бұрын
The cope in this video is amazing 😂😂😂😂😂This guy is good at making videos. Go look at his video about Ukraines counter offensive. He was 100% wrong about all his predictions
@konstantinzdorovtsev3513
Ай бұрын
@@RUTHLESSambition5 if so , at least he realized the truth - they're doomed .
@meilinchan7314
Ай бұрын
We knew they were from there because their faces were smoshed in.
Ай бұрын
Cringe
@RUTHLESSambition5
Ай бұрын
@@konstantinzdorovtsev3513 he is still full of cope. This was a Ukraine puff piece😁😁😁Ukraine hasn't admitted Avdivka fell. Russia raised its flag in 12 villages with video evidence. It was no grey zone on Ukraines awful country offensive
Wake up babe, new front just opened up.
@besconst
29 күн бұрын
not really
@outofthebox9699
29 күн бұрын
sus
@ziadidabde3662
29 күн бұрын
😂
@tedmihalca
29 күн бұрын
Lol "It's been 84 years...a few more years and we'll take the Donbas"
@porter9494
29 күн бұрын
@@tedmihalca Ukrops will never win. Muricans can't save them.
>open "new" front >look inside >kharkiv
@HansTheDeutscheMenschlich.
28 күн бұрын
>get annihilated by fpv drone
@colkillervin3560
23 күн бұрын
@@HansTheDeutscheMenschlich.nice pfp
@Theindiananimefan681
18 күн бұрын
@@HansTheDeutscheMenschlich. >Gets hit by Russian shovel > Unalived
This is the type of warfare that happens when air dominance fails.
@gags730
Ай бұрын
Fail? More like Parity with AA defenses. That is changing.
@ali-haider5788
Ай бұрын
The same with iraq iran war it was fast at first with low losses until the 2 countries air forces stoped supporting the troops and the war stalmated for 7 years stright until iran got exhausted and iraq bought new weapons and gained air superiority in the end of the war that it startsd to get fast but 2 armies were exhausted so they stoped the war after al fao battle when both sides lost crazy losses
@WarPigstheHun
Ай бұрын
@@ali-haider5788 I read about the Iran-Iraq war. Saddam used chemical weapons on Iranians. That's how the U.S fell out with Saddam. I'm conflicted because he was cruel to his own people, but he was honest and stopped producing new chemical weapons as per the treaty they signed after we defeated them in Kuwait. I just hope the Iraqis shave off the current rampant corruption and become a wealthy nation.
@ali-haider5788
Ай бұрын
@warpigs9069 Both iraq and iran used chemical weapons Both were bad as shit Saddam ruined everything in iraq with his war iraq was the wealthest nation in middle east and one of the wealthiest in the world iraq population was 15m and iraq there was 8m foreign Immigrant thats more than half of the population Until saddam started the war with iran and spent 460 billion dollars on weapons between 1982 and 1988 and lost almost 360k soldier Then he entered kuwait and a world wide economical blockade started on iraq from 1990 until 2003 And iraq gdp went from 190B in 1990 to 0.30B in 1991 and gdp per capita went from 12k in 1990 to 340$ 1991 550k child died of hunger between 1991 to 2003 when not a single iraqi used to know what hunger is before 1990 War war never change
@nidalouachi2817
Ай бұрын
maybe at the start of the war... but now, man russia has the air superiority but prefers to not use it so they can stress the hell out of ukranian forces. They can do it because russians are masters of ground warfare, they just have more patience than ukraine NATO forces
In Russia, ChatGPT asks the questions.
@braddavison1289
Ай бұрын
It’s not AI. Those were just the troops previously stationed at Chernobyl.
@rcinpact4480
Ай бұрын
It was AI.
@CatToy4000
Ай бұрын
A
@nnndddzzz1
Ай бұрын
Lol for some reason this sounds really funny😅😅😅
@Greg_Andrews
Ай бұрын
@@braddavison1289 LOLOL!!! You made me blow snot (just a little) hahahaha
It COULD be as simple as Russia, who vastly outnumbers Ukraine, can afford to spread out their troops more. Since they can do this, they are attempting to force Ukraine to have to spread out their forces as well. This thinning and weakening the Ukrainian defensive line across the entire front. Including spreading out the limited number of western weapons. This would make their war of attrition move along a bit faster.
@DemonofLight80
Ай бұрын
This is what I was thinking as well. Russia wins when Ukraine’s manpower shortages catch up with them. The strain is already there. They just need to play it out
@jorgebarriosmur
Ай бұрын
And if by any means, the front collapses in the Karkhiv-area, they would probably pull in there all the reserves they may have. Indeed, I wouldn`t be surprised if the next news we get from Ukraine is that rusian troops are launching an "offensive" at Kherson, just in order to thin the ukranian defense line even more.......
@fdllicks
Ай бұрын
Yep, soviet doctrine is to probe and probe and probe, looking for a hole. When that hole is found, the BMPs race in like water that has found a hole in a swimming pool. The enormous size of the front (ukraine is the size of france) is being used against them.
@MarxAlex
Ай бұрын
And zelensky thinks recruiting the public many who are reluctant to fight, have minimal training and shoving a rifle into their hands and a couple of f16s will turn the tide.everyone scoffed at mearsheimer, Doug McGregor, Ritter, mcgovern and others and now their predictions are coming true. Macro, the German greens , baltics proposals will lead to direct war with russia but ignore russian manpower and totality of rusian production. Minsk is now off the table. Ukraine is russias mexico and you don't need much imagination to see how usa would act if china pulled a coup amd pulled mexico into a military alliance on usas border.
@johnlone141
Ай бұрын
They know that Ukraine have virtually run out of troops. It says a lot that Azov simply don't take orders from Zelensky. A lot of white flags going up too.
I maintain that the Kharkiv offensive is what is called in Chess a "gambit." I don't think the offensive has a goal yet other than to force Ukraine to make some difficult choices. Reports currently suggest that a large portion (possibly 90%) of the Russian troops in this group are held in reserve. If this is accurate, the goal is to force Ukraine to decide what sort of troop allocation to devote to resisting the attack. The goal is to then deliver a major blow somewhere to stretch the defenses past the breaking point. It remains to be seen whether this will be successful, but I htink the goal is to achieve a breakthrough somewhere (anywhere) that can be leveraged to disrupt Ukrainian defense and start to provide near total freedom of movement for the Russian army into deep Ukrainian territory.
@Taskandpurpose
29 күн бұрын
I think you’re very likely correct
@brainwasher9876
22 күн бұрын
The wildly different things being reported by sources troubles me. If you look at pro-Ukrainian sources they will claim that Ukraine inflicted heavy casualties on a hapless, but massive, Russian attack, and halted them after they "only" took hundreds of square kilometers. This is somehow supposed to be a good thing. Pro-Russian, and most neutral (from what I can find) sources say that Russia only committed a relatively small force and a vast majority of its forces near Kharkiv are untouched. Some of the attacking forces lost some men, yes, but >5000 men in exchange for about 1/20th of the second largest country in Europe seems like one of the best deals ever. The disturbing implication once you look at all the sources, is that Russia only had to commit a couple thousand men to take over a massive chunk of Ukraine, with seemingly little to no resistance. If this is how badly Ukrainian forces have degraded in one of the most important fronts of the war, then that means that potentially the ENTIRE Ukrainian front is about to collapse.
Never bring $175 billion to a shovel fight!
@jon9021
29 күн бұрын
Well said!
@PlayerAfricanChieften
24 күн бұрын
350*
This feels like a probe to me. Something to gauge the Ukrainian and Western response.
@Ghastly_Grinner
Ай бұрын
More likely the Russians are just pushing their advantage knowing they can pick apart the ukranians military which is already starved for manpower by pushing in different Reginald forcing the dwindling competent brigades of the Ukrainian military to split themselves and rush across the front to throw themselves into the breach
@eneas9038
Ай бұрын
I believe their objectives are the following: - create a buffer zone so that belgorod is no longer attacked - surround kharkiv, they wont go in, but they want to have the villages around it so they can start bombing it to start what will be a Bahmut 2.0 (use artillery until everything is destroyed and later on go in with troops) so they want to have kharkiv in range. - Create a new front to force ukraine to deploy resources in a longer front, and this front hasnt been mined and its way softer than the south front, and its not as complicated as the anfibious operation that taking Kherson would take. In my opinion, based on the war pace, this is the beggining of a long battle for Kharkiv which will take easily 9-12 months and can turn into another Bahmut for Ukraine, a battle that draws too many ukrainian resources while still sending those resources there for political reasons. We have already seen Ukraine put forward the political logic before the military logic (one of the reasons why Zaluzhny is no longer in charge). My prediction is that Kharkiv will fall at mid 2025 and peace negotiations will start at the end of 2025 as they run out of manpower and morale EDIT: I think I was maybe to overconfident in my prediction, I think that its probably just a way for Russia to try to end the war sooner, its the second largest city of Ukraine, and if Russia threatens to really take it they might choose to go to the negotiation table instead and sign a treaty as Ukraine loses manpower and morale because of the siege. To take Kharkiv Russia would probably take 2 years or even more.
@wildweasel3001
Ай бұрын
Exploiting the supply shortage before US funds resume.
@Bartekkru100
Ай бұрын
@@eneas9038 Kharkiv is 20 times larger than Bakhmut and 50 times larger than Avdiivka mate. That shit is only happening in your dreams...
@Drunkendrakon
Ай бұрын
@@wildweasel3001 Damn they never should have stopped
Usually I agree with you. However, I can’t this time. I have family in Europe and a Ukrainian wife with a brother that her family says the western media makes it sound so good about Ukraine standing fast against the “invaders”. He said it’s BS and that they were getting the crap kicked out of them by the Russians. He said ; “they are so aggressive and between air strikes, artillery and bombs we are dying. For every one of us there are 7 of them. We have no ammunition, no anti- aircraft batteries, hardly enough food and medical supplies. The situation here is critical. Even our officers are arguing with each other.” So who do we believe? Western information or what the real Ukrainian soldier reports? You make the call. Me, I’m going with my Brother-in-Law.
@xdarkfuturex7922
29 күн бұрын
Well the US did falter in supplying aid for MONTHS thanks to the Republicans. American support can be credited heavily with how well Ukraine has done. But now that Ukrainians are low on artillery, obviously Ukrianian morale is gonna be much lower.
@mariusvanc
29 күн бұрын
They could even out the odds a little bit, plenty of able-bodied Ukrainian men over here...
@ali-haider5788
29 күн бұрын
Did the first 100b and 80b help so the 60b would help ? Btw its only 20b the rest goes to the us work When ukraine had so many troops and no problems with man power and tons and tons of ammunition and equipments when they were at their highest morales and when russian commanders were doing tons of mistakes and russian soldiers had no morales at all and even with all of that Ukraine didnt manage to do any thing This 60b wont change any thing Ukraine is f..ed@xdarkfuturex7922
@Alan-a-Dale484
29 күн бұрын
Sad to say but all the resistance has done is line the pockets of a few old men and put a lot of young men in the cold ground. This is on the US and Boris for torpedoing the peace deal in apr 22.
@ctrlaltdebug
28 күн бұрын
@@ali-haider5788 Looks like the Ukrainians just pocketed the money and didn't build defensive fortifications, which is why the area around Kharkiv is falling so quickly.
Great stuff, as always. I'm not at all an expert on military strategy, tactics, and materiel, but I can follow the storyline without a problem.
@DonVigaDeFierro
Ай бұрын
"How to make war" by James F. Dunnigan is a very good introduction to the whole thing.
If you want to really nail a David Cameron impression, the key is to sound nervous - as if you might quit your job and run away the moment things start to go wrong
@causewaykayak
29 күн бұрын
Could Russia please do something to save uk from Cameron and his cronies.
@TransistorLSD
29 күн бұрын
@@causewaykayak Tories are soon to be replaced anyway, elections are coming
@Lamarck922
29 күн бұрын
The UK is a full-blown Third World country and the US is a half blown Third World country heading toward absolute full-blown status. Just look at the low testosterone Richie Sunak and compare him with any sort of masculine leadership. Justin Trudeau, Emmanuel Macron and Rishi Sunak along, of course with their leader in the USA are basically female in nature and can't figure out what to do next!😂
@snoopysnoops007
29 күн бұрын
Haha exactly, Dodgy Dave strikes again just like the buffoon Boris Johnson. Honestly I have no idea why Sunak brought Cameron back, literally no one wants him here
@Redtobox
29 күн бұрын
@@causewaykayak Может только отправить его на украину
6 fingers? Must have been the Chernobyl squads.
@banana6837
29 күн бұрын
Chernobyl is located in Ukraine
@TechPriest000
29 күн бұрын
@@banana6837 Russian troops did occupy it, though I don’t know enough to say if they still do.
@gwtpictgwtpict4214
29 күн бұрын
@@TechPriest000 They don't, but while they did they happily dug in. In the areas where you're not supposed to go...
Great job Cappy and crew.
Ah you know, in Eastern Europe nobody needs to explicitly say that Soviet union doesn't mean just Russia, cos you know, the region actually experienced it. So if Putin wasn't talking to ignorant western audiences, it's normal not to point it out explicitly.
@rh906
29 күн бұрын
Russian Empire == Soviet Union == Russian Federation. It's always Russia.
@AlexxAmadeo
29 күн бұрын
Actually, it isn’t. Russians like to attribute a bunch of achievements to themselves, forgetting the contributions of other nations or even claiming them as “Russian”. This is the whole point of this war - denying the existence of a separate nation just because the Russians decided so.
@sunnyday157
25 күн бұрын
I suggest you watch the documentary Roses have thorns: Odessa massacre. Why do I not have the link here? Well, your democratic media won’t let anyone share it.
Good report. You get almost nothing like this from mainstream media news. Well done.
@disconductorder
Ай бұрын
maybe not, but same exact opinions they want you to have this is pro zionist content, the founder of task & purpose is board member of the Truman National Security Project, a DC think tank that once had good ol' crackhead hunter biden as chairman
@paddington1670
Ай бұрын
Denys Davidov and Jake Broe are really good. Preston Stewart is good but he doesnt do daily updates and often focuses on one issue, not all the issues going on in the war on Ukraine.
@Srbazo
Ай бұрын
@@paddington1670 lolo
@ShadowPhoenixMaximus
Ай бұрын
@theforsakeen-9014 Tucker Carlsom is an idiot. His interview just repeats the load of bs Putin has been rambling about already
@JenniferA886
Ай бұрын
@@paddington1670I had a look… the first two are just pro Ukrainian propaganda channels… no thanks. I want to hear “un biased” material 👎
Good job on bridges, very interesting talk
Hearing Kap Man casually drop 'operationally significant northern grouping' lowkey gave me an 'operationally significant southern grouping'. if you know what i mean. lol
@gandydancer9710
29 күн бұрын
No clue.
@ctrlaltdebug
28 күн бұрын
You watching on the toilet?
Appreciate the info 👍
Great. Thank you. 'Grey' zone is a very 'nice' way to label it
@svenrio8521
Ай бұрын
A modern day No Man's Land
@o0GrayMatters0o
Ай бұрын
@@svenrio8521 🤯
@topchiypaul
Ай бұрын
Actually border territories were the grey zone all the time. Russian and Ukrainian recon and diversion units were crossing it constantly. Now Russians try to establish control over it, but nothing special, like, no one lives there anyways and that’s just a bunch of abandoned destroyed houses. There won’t be a command hq or main forces base, and they won’t put artillery there as they didn’t put it on the border. Just tactical maneuver for dividing Ukrainian forces
@rayzerot
26 күн бұрын
'Grey zone' is terminology that has been used since the start of the war if not in previous conflicts. It's not a new term
Russia could be distracting Ukraine by making them more focused on Kharkiv and less focused on the other frontlines.
@Downverse
Ай бұрын
You scizho
@ntlineman
Ай бұрын
It looks like the Rusacks are back to their old tricks blowing up their own high rises from the basement up and trying to blame Ukrainians, dumb KGB’ers.
@Slimedog1963
Ай бұрын
Kherson...Dnieper Flotilla Battalion has been sent there....Ukraine just removed troops from Kherson and sent them North.
@LeeRenthlei
Ай бұрын
No shit Sherlock.
@jussikankinen9409
29 күн бұрын
Pretty sure russians generals have no glue what other doing, Putin send many to gulag cause russians shooting own soldiers
Thanks for putting out videos like these. Hard to keep up with everything going on nowadays and media is silent about most of it.
The plot thickens in this war and it is, as always, horrific. Great analysis, Chris.
@sabin97
28 күн бұрын
if you think this is horrific you should study has been done to palestine for over 75 years.
Excellent analysis as always, Chris! Thanks!
Its the Paxton moment once again.....Game Over Man, Game over! GG WP!
What happened to the "russians are loosing, have no ammo, have no fuel, have no food,..." from 2y ago?? 😂😂😂
@cedriceric9730
29 күн бұрын
A second super power losing 500000 man power to a weak undermined neighbor who had effectively been abandoned and only given guerilla weapons by allies counts means something. Russia has only advanced because the west has allowed it not because it's strong😂😂
@journalismisnotacrime7952
29 күн бұрын
@@cedriceric9730 let me guess... Hasbara paid propagandist fake account? 😂 bc noone with a brain cell can believe that nonsense.
@ZlPPENHAFT
28 күн бұрын
@@cedriceric9730 weak country supported by nato... and still loosing. you only talk about infos that you enjoy... The fact that nato support Ukraine and still loosing makes your comment laughable...
@SiirCartierr
27 күн бұрын
@@ZlPPENHAFTsupported by a tiny fraction of what nato is capable of. 1.26 trillion of military spending per year and sending 60billion (4%) of that to ukraine is forcing russia to make a move before the help arrives lmao
@ZlPPENHAFT
27 күн бұрын
@@SiirCartierr Most nato countries dont spend enough for their own security....
Cappy, thanks for the breakdown and explanation!
What does the population of a town have to do with how difficult the town will be to defeat if the citizens have already fled?
@GraemeHein
Ай бұрын
Size. Hamlet of 20 houses is easier to take than a city of 150k
@Taskandpurpose
Ай бұрын
its not a rule, it's a generalization. there are no easy frames of reference for conflicts on these scales but generally skeaping larger cities usually take more forces to assault and secure. as mentioned more buildings means more places to hide and defend from. it takes longer to use artillery and air strikes to destroy defending forces in larger cities. it's just estimations, they can always be wrong.
@mattsmith-ri3lp
Ай бұрын
2 million men died at Verdun. Pre war population was 30,000
@jussikankinen9409
29 күн бұрын
They not sheeps like ur family, fight back
@Ghuttenlocke
29 күн бұрын
@@mattsmith-ri3lp the strategic importance of different territories makes them incomparable.
Their goal is to split Ukranian forces even more since they are already depleted in many areas. Not necessarily make major advances but by forcing Ukraine to split their armies by opening a new front.
@benjamintherogue2421
28 күн бұрын
A lot of people see this war in the Western sense, as in success by ground captured. I think Russia sees it by how many troops have been destroyed. They're not as concerned about taking ground if they can keep the Ukrainians sending troops into artillery pockets to be destroyed.
@kaiserwilhelm8029
27 күн бұрын
Russia knows it can win a attrition war.
@rayzerot
26 күн бұрын
Cappy said that Peter...
@sunnyday157
25 күн бұрын
do you know what Ukraine ‘forces’ look like? Check out the documentary Roses have thorns: Odessa massacre.
@TheAndyLaz
12 күн бұрын
@@benjamintherogue2421 Totally agree. The fact that RU has been fighting a war of attrition has been obvious for awhile. In some examples almost exactly following the strategic doctrine.
Task & Purpose how do you get that battle map that updates in real time?
Another Great Video 💯 , Thanks for Sharing 💥💥💥💥💥💥💥
Thanks for the update!
I appreciate the more sanguine, muted production of this one. Great job presenting expansive information, thanks!
@gandydancer9710
29 күн бұрын
How "sanguine"?
@Newbobdole
28 күн бұрын
@@gandydancer9710 None of his flippant jokes, until the British accent at the end Some people like humor interspersed with war coverage, sometimes I really don't
@gandydancer9710
28 күн бұрын
@@Newbobdole sanguine: Cheerfully confident; optimistic. Not quite seeing how an absence of jokiness is implied by that. I'm not trying to be snide, but I don't think the word means exactly what you thought it meant. (Now, "sanguinary" (1) Accompanied by bloodshed. (2) Eager for bloodshed; bloodthirsty. (3) Consisting of blood." is an interesting related word.)
@Newbobdole
28 күн бұрын
@@gandydancer9710 Damn son, you're right. I meant, "SANGFROID," I thought every single idiomatic expressions for 'blood' in French ALL referenced poise :/
@f-86zoomer37
25 күн бұрын
@@gandydancer9710 okay guy who's listened to douglas macgregor say how "ukraine will collapse in 2 weeks" for the past two years
thanks for doing these man.
very clear and informative, good use of maps and focused analysis...
Ukraine has been shelling Belgrod for weeks now. The buffer zone reduces artillery fire as firing rockets is more expensive.
@Redtobox
29 күн бұрын
Украина после потери Авдеевки не прекращает обстрелы Белгорода. Вчера рухнул большой жилой дом.
@KEYGETS
29 күн бұрын
You mean Russia has shelled belgrod for weeks now... hahaha
@odalv316
29 күн бұрын
@KEYGETS Why would Russia shell its own city? What kind of Kool-Aid are you drinking?
Those CV90s are gorgeous
@iota515
29 күн бұрын
the addon armor and netting makes them look really nice
Always insightful and thought out analysis.
Those shovels seem to fight well
Thank you for your service.
Great vid Chris. Keep it up. Don't know if you saw, but you got a mention on Perun's video yesterday. Cheers
@RUTHLESSambition5
Ай бұрын
How is this cope piece great?? We saw the Russians walk over the border during a live war and he made excuses for them not making defense's 😂😂😂man this is hard to watch. Keeps you people in the dark
@Taskandpurpose
Ай бұрын
just saw, was glad to see it. Perun's a really good guy, he's the GOAT of defense industry youtube
@madp3d
Ай бұрын
@@RUTHLESSambition5 But then why are you here?
@caboosej8749
29 күн бұрын
@@madp3d ha right he just mad brother, ignore him.
@el_gabron
29 күн бұрын
@@RUTHLESSambition5 found the vatnik
You’d be a great guest for Tim Pools Culture War podcast and get deeper on these conflicts. He would welcome your valuable insight. I’d be shocked if they didn’t have you on their radar of guests considering how active and prominent you’re in this space of ‘current events’ of international conflict.
Congrats on your channel my dude. You've stuck with it and are really doing something.
Great breakdown
Let's just appreciate how dense the information is
What restrictions? We saw many attacks on russian territory by ukraine, you said it yourself. Oil refineries were hit before may 3rd..
@majorcheif1176
Ай бұрын
Those were with Ukrainian made drone systems. This far, the only "Russian territory" to have been struck with western missiles has been Crimea.
@Digital_Griffin
29 күн бұрын
Western countries restrict where Ukraine can use the weapons it gets from those countries, but Ukraine can use its own domestically-built weapons wherever, and that's what they've been using to hit oil refineries in Russia
@luviagiletta2254
29 күн бұрын
@@majorcheif1176 Storm Shadow missiles have been exploding in Belgorod for several months. What restrictions do you have in mind?
@salciano
29 күн бұрын
Interesting. So, those MRAPs and Humvees invading Belgorod were Ukrainian-made?
@zlotnytskiy
29 күн бұрын
@@salciano is this a long range weapon?
Thanks for sharing Cappy
You need to look at what units were involved. In 4 advances, you see 4 different regiments from 3 different divisions across 2 different Corps Basic intel 101 suggests these are advanced guard probes across a multi-corps front
@atishayritulpatwa
Ай бұрын
It is both diversion and a real attack, if the Russian faced a lot of trouble that means the Ukrainians have moved reinforcements from advika and Donbas front. So Russia will put their reserves in Donbas. If the attack is successful, then they will continue.
@rh906
29 күн бұрын
@@atishayritulpatwa As the Chinese say: "win-win cooperation".
@atishayritulpatwa
29 күн бұрын
@@rh906 no as it is the same tactic that Alexander used in his Persian campaign. He spilt his left flank and moved it even more to the left, which broke enemy’s cohesion and allowed his reserve cavalry to break through the lines.
Thanks for making this understandable for someone who was never in the military. Excellent.
Thank you Cappy!
Another excellent report. Thanks.
How did you get david cameron to do a cameo in your video?
@adamroodog1718
Ай бұрын
is that the pig porker?
Your content is ridiculously good and you deserve far more credit and viewership than you get. It’s legit journalism from a fresh and grounded perspective, and your opinions are consistently biased in logic and experience alone. Thank you for your efforts and commitment to deliver reality based content on the regular. You’re a beast homie, good shit. 🤘🏼🖤🤘🏼
Thanks Cappy.
Excellent report.
Finally a update on Ukraine from a trustable and accurate source! The lack of good Ukraine updates has been killing me
@ali-haider5788
29 күн бұрын
Ukraine is f...ed up they cant do much more
Thank You for your Outstanding Work. And showing us a Map! I can't figure out Crap without a Map.
My first thought was that setting up behind the villages was a reverse slope thing. Then Cappy brought up the river.
Perun gave you a shout out in Sunday's video. He also called the blyatsmobiles "assault sheds."
@Evan-iq8hd
Ай бұрын
People still watch him after two years of being wrong? Ask him what he thinks about his predictions from earlier videos.
@alexorehowski3387
Ай бұрын
@@Evan-iq8hd He is very biased. Failed to mention that hundreds of Ukrainians around Kharkiv are switching sides.
@slartybarfastb3648
Ай бұрын
@@Evan-iq8hdWrong about what? He doesn't make predictions. He analyses the situation which exists at the time of his videos. If the situation changes, his future videos reflect that change. Analysis is never perfect, but it's better than the Hoorah outlets of either side.
@mcloutier5
Ай бұрын
@@alexorehowski3387 very prolific troll
@mcloutier5
Ай бұрын
@@Evan-iq8hd he doesn’t make predictions
Ukraine also has "safe zone" it's called Europe, UK and USA. Where weapons are produced and troops are trained. Ukraine itself is just a battlefield, it's a war between Russia and Nato
@zargonfuture4046
Ай бұрын
Using a limited resource, Ukie men, I believe they now going for the boys and women as they bleed white for western "ideals" and the Neuland cookies stratagem. That battle field is a long time in paying out dividends yet.
@cossacks_vodka_enjoyer
Ай бұрын
No it's a war between Russia and a Ukraine that's getting the bare minimum of assistance just to stay in the fight due to constant russian sabre rattling lol. If this was an actual no holds barred fight against the full might of Nato there would be nato boots on the ground and Ukraine wouldn't have a combined military budget of just 40 billion USD for 2024, compared to Russias 115 billion USD.
@augusthoglund6053
29 күн бұрын
It did not start out that way. The Ukrainian public has, since independence, been very interested in E.U. membership, but had no interest in joining NATO before 2014. A large consensus of Ukrainian voters had a preference towards neutrality to get the most economic benefit of both the Europe and Russia. After 2014, Ukraine was ineligible to join NATO, but public opinion has swayed towards joining in the face of Russian troops occupying part of the country.
@Jaguar1612
29 күн бұрын
@@augusthoglund6053 Ukraine's EU membership was never on the table. Lies about EU membership were told to motivate people to protest and overthrow the government. They were fooled, people thought that they are protesting to join EU, but in fact they were protesting to become a suicide country to die fighting Russia.
@Jaguar1612
3 күн бұрын
@@augusthoglund6053 ukraine public opinion was always divided 50/50 before 2014. And those who wanted to join EU also wanted to join NATO. After the coup new regime banned main opposition party and suppressed all opposition (some of them were killed). Thus "public opinion" began to change, cause people couldn't express their opinion freely without being afraid for their lives.
Great podcast!
great analysis
Thanks for all the great content!
Whats the name of the map whete you got the live updates
@goodgameproductions3039
Ай бұрын
I think it's called DeepStateMAP
@FrankDyck-uv2ec
Ай бұрын
@@goodgameproductions3039 thanks
@Qiyunwu
Ай бұрын
He also showed LiveUAmap
@nobodyxxxx508
Ай бұрын
DeepState, a pro-ukranian western funded mapper. Yet updates are true but delayed if its in the favour of Russia :D
@Percival5
Ай бұрын
@@goodgameproductions3039deep State is pro Ukraine
jim from the office gives you the latest on what may be the most pivotal conflict of the decade
Great video. It would be awesome if you made a video about your go-to sources, how to vet information, etc.
@VitalyMack
29 күн бұрын
he does that in every episode...I think you are commenting on the wrong channel.
Just the facts brother thank you for the straight up analysis
@Slimedog1963
Ай бұрын
Lies....
@caboosej8749
29 күн бұрын
@@Slimedog1963 show me on the doll where the facts touched you 😂
Why the hell are spades, shovels and washing machines so hard to defeat?
The buffer zone would hinder the use of artillery which is far cheaper and numerous than missiles.
thanks cappy
50.000 troops are nowhere near enough to take Harkov, they are making a buffer zone and stretching Ukrainians thin. And as of writing this, they already took over 200 square km of territory.
@HanSolo__
29 күн бұрын
He said they would need 300.000. In real Kharkiv is an industrial behemoth. They could try to encircle it with 300k. To take such a city they need well-trained 500k with the best available equipment.
@zmajooov
29 күн бұрын
@@HanSolo__ They are not even going to try, and it makes no sense to destroy such a large city if you want to own it. I'm certain that the Russians want to grind the Ukrainians down to the point where their army will collapse, something similar to what the allies did to Germany in WW1, and they will do the most of it on open fields where there is no infrastructure they will need to rebuild. War logic is cruel AF.
@Redtobox
29 күн бұрын
не обязательно брать город, даже угроза или осада с одной стороны обойдется очень дорого украине.
@gandydancer9710
29 күн бұрын
@@HanSolo__ The idea that the population of a city determines how many troops you need to take it is absurd. How many troops Russia needs depends on how may Ukrainian troops they have to fight. And how many can Ukraine scare up at this point?
@coenkloppert
28 күн бұрын
@@gandydancer9710 No its not. The population roughly determines the size of the city first of all. Kharkiv is almost ten times bigger then Bachmut and it took Russians 100k men and 2 months to take that city with heavy casualties. Also, Russia will have to manage the population of the city. The population will need water, electricity and food which if Russia tries to occupy the city, it will have to supply. The population will also have to be monitored by garrison troops or else Russian troops will face constant partisan attacks which will be impossible to stop since it is such a big city. In general urban combat is much more intensive and slow than any other form of combat,to take a city with a metropolitan area of 3200km2 is almost impossible with 50k men.
1:00 this here is what we call Cyber Warfare
@muk204
29 күн бұрын
They trying to make themselfs look shit?
@CRJCrombo
29 күн бұрын
Cyber Warcrimes for trying to sell this shit. They insult our intelligence 😂
@mjevgeni
29 күн бұрын
@@muk204 Obviously done by some ukrainian to show as russian.
@colonel1003
29 күн бұрын
@@muk204 pre order now and get a skin for warzone
@HanSolo__
29 күн бұрын
@@muk204 Yesh
@Task & Purpose: Can you tell us where that updated war map can be found?
Thank you for that concise and balanced summary. Hope to see more.
Really superb analysis. 👏👏👏👏👏
What he didn't say is that Russia can put artillery in to buffer zone, stop the shelling of belgorod and also start leveling to ground Kharkov, like they did with Mariupol. It includes artillery and guided 1.5, and 3 tonns bombs
@minaolenella869
29 күн бұрын
Ukraine did not have western air defence and missiles when Mariupol was leveled to ground. Russia can't do it anymore
@kindlingking
29 күн бұрын
@@minaolenella869western air defence isn't a magical solution to missile strikes. And currently Ukraine lacks them as well.
@user-cz3eo1jt9g
29 күн бұрын
the Russians do not need to destroy Kharkov, only if the Ukrainian troops make a “fortress” out of the city - they did this with Mariupol, settling in the city, and later moving into the basements of the plant, so the city suffered greatly during urban battles.
@allailina1941
28 күн бұрын
Ты давно смотрел видео про Мариуполь? Не пускай слюни от зависти...
If only someone did not pocket the budget for the construction of fortification in thay area.... 😂
@wedgeantilles8575
29 күн бұрын
Yeah, and maybe all the woman should actually DO something to protect their country. Not only leave and live in comfortably elsewhere. What about equality that they cry for whenever they feel like it? Why don’t they build some fortifications? But no, that’s dirty work. Hard labor and dying, they leave that to the man. Equality only when it suits them… Ukraine had all the time they needed for fortifications. They couldn't be bothered to do it.
thank you so much
west media in 2023 : "Russia out of ammo and missile" meanwhile Russia in 2024 : "Russia take over 12 village in 12 hours"
@caboosej8749
29 күн бұрын
meanwhile russia 2024: 350k soldier casualties, 2500 tanks destroyed, 120 planes shot down and lost their entire navy in the black Sea to a nation without a navy, deal with it loser 😘
This guy does a fine job😊😊😊. I have so many bloggers to watch. Just not enough time...great job Chris... Just wish I could watch more...
@Dingdangdoo
Ай бұрын
This guy has verbal diarrhoea.
9:17 No, I have a friend who is from Shebekino and Ukraine has been shelling that city and belgorod since September 2022 almost daily.
I would love to follow the link to your appearance on Piers Morgan... Does anyone else feel like anytime they go to look for a link in a video description it isn't there?
Here Before the bots
@Gazkhuul
Ай бұрын
You are the bot
@jeffc1753
Ай бұрын
@@GazkhuulOh look at you, actual feces can talk.
@achilleus918
Ай бұрын
bing chilling
@EPaBeZ780
Ай бұрын
Is a bot an AI or just someone with a perspective you don't like?
@Djamonja
Ай бұрын
They have arrived ;)
Holy cow task! I still remember when you guys had less then 1 million subs now you guys are half way to 2 mil!! Keep up the good work an thank you so much for your guys great content👌
@leoseydoux-payet1339
Ай бұрын
been a proud member of the spare parts army sice about 100k subs 💪
@emigdiogreen7439
Ай бұрын
@@leoseydoux-payet1339 my man!
@Omni0404
Ай бұрын
Isn't 1 million subs halfway to 2 million? They're 3/4s of the way!
@emigdiogreen7439
Ай бұрын
@Omni0404 yeah you got me!
@TheJZP
Ай бұрын
It's not hard when your channel is supported by government agencies and the comment section is full of boot lickers.
14:30 Yeah, you sure nailed it, Killer...😆
Great 👍 video
People to this day still believe the Ukraine counter offensive started last year was successful
@edc1569
Ай бұрын
Literally no one thinks that, even the most enthusiastic Ukrainian supporters.
@sogerc1
Ай бұрын
And yet they liberated more territory in that failed counteroffensive than Russia occupied since.
@M167A1
Ай бұрын
@@edc1569jokes and political comment aside he is unfortunately correct. If you don't actually bother to follow this, you skim the headlines. And the administration's narrative has always been either victory is at hand or if you don't pass the next Bill All is Lost. Russia and Ukraine are at war, but the average person in the United States is at Costco
@ArthurB26
Ай бұрын
@@edc1569 You and I both know many do. Look at the comment above me 😂
@MrRjizz
Ай бұрын
@@sogerc1 Thats such a False statement that’s it’s crazy reading it. Hell in April alone Russia took 1.4-1.6x times more territory then Ukraine managed in the counter offensive
tbh, this offensive just feels like a dlc.
@ali-haider5788
29 күн бұрын
Fr different nature than the one in donbas alot more forests and swambs and most the atacks are on feet nither than armored columns
Uncle Vanya's got a 30 year-old AK now, it seems
you're really approved your pronunciation, nice work
hey brosef good appearance on the bridges podcast!
@Taskandpurpose
Ай бұрын
thanks it was great meeting Destiny he's a smart dude , knows his stuff
@jamie.1985.forever
Ай бұрын
@@Taskandpurpose I didn't know this channel collaborates with known pedophiles like Destiny.
it remains to be seen whether this is a full offensive or not. at the very least this causes ukraine to divert resources away from the dnipro front.. not like that has been going well, anyway.
@doodsrem
Ай бұрын
i could be wrong but i dont think Russia has enough manpower to take Kharkiv which is Ukraine’s 2nd largest city. this could be a distraction for them to take Chasiv Yar which the Russians have been struggling to take.
@cloke3076
Ай бұрын
@@doodsrem you MAY be right about the distraction but trust me: Russia HAS the manpower to take Kharkiv.
@simpleviewer1334
Ай бұрын
@@cloke3076 The question is if that manpower is willing. Patriotism in Ukraine seems to be going strong, after all, fighting a defensive war tends to do that. Meanwhile in Moscow you just hear on and on of the protests, and sometimes riots. So what comes first Kharkiv to the Russians, or Moscow to the riots
@donbass4russia313
Ай бұрын
@@doodsrem I have to remind people like you that Kharkiv population right now is different from 2 years ago. I am not surprise if Russia quickly captured it.
@mr.z3664
Ай бұрын
@@simpleviewer1334 Ha! What delusion are you living?
Hey Cappy. I saw you on MSM. You are moving up in the world.
You need a 15 second intro to take into account the muted auto play in KZread
As an example if there was a harder angle of attack according to the geography, your triganometrtry intel gains massive advantages if your enemy fires. It's not a feint, it's a tacit to create a dillema.
@oogaboogaj
Ай бұрын
It's a feint the real offensive is to Sumy
Zelensky trying to find Steiner for the counter attack.
Tsar shovels don't give a damn.
15:52 also funny how the russians forgot to mention that they started WW2 together with Germany as allies, as they attacked Poland together!
@ferencszathmary9689
24 күн бұрын
Even funnier, England forgot to mention that they used German minority in Poland to provoke a German attack on Poland. Sound familar? Like the provocation of Austria-Hungary killing its heir to the throne in 1914. Same provocation on Ukraine's Russian minority between 2014-2022.
@mwtrolle
24 күн бұрын
@@ferencszathmary9689 " England forgot to mention that they used German minority in Poland to provoke a German attack on Poland." Where did you find that invented fact? It's documented from German archives that it was Germany that used false flag operations against itself to justify their attack.
@mwtrolle
24 күн бұрын
@@ferencszathmary9689 I think you lost your brain somewhere along the way, or maybe you never had one!
@cpob2013
3 сағат бұрын
Where ever you got your education from owes you a refund.
1. it is hard to build serious fortifications right in front of the enemies. 2. It makes more sense to build an in depth defensive system where the terrain is suitable. 3. it is a long war, a few villages isn't of strategic importance.
@mr.z3664
Ай бұрын
Strange. Russia built fortifications that will be studied for decades because they successfully built them under fire and managed to repel the UA spring offensive. Ukraine has no "defense in depth". The war will last until Ukraine runs out of men, which won't be long.
@N17C1
Ай бұрын
Apparently the Ukrainians tried building defenses closer to the border but they were shelled and bombed for their efforts. So the defensive works were constructed beyond artillery range (for artillery situated in Russian territory)
@Slimedog1963
Ай бұрын
keep coping....
@gags730
Ай бұрын
Fortification are not as hard as you think. They do make specialized equipment to dig out trenches. Ukraine's biggest issue is that they are running out of men. Not to mention, they have been low on ammo and barrels. You are starting to see all the 'Institutes' of war change their tune. It is a bad idea to go to war with a country that makes and sells war equipment (20% of global sales) on their border when you need to be supplied 100% for all your needs by other countries and all you can supply is men and your enemy has more men than you. You can say stupid things all day liong and spread propaganda like they use washers and dryers and shovels but at the end of the day that isn't reality, and it won't win a war.
@Blashmack
Ай бұрын
@@gags730Let me fix one thing here: They did not go to war with Russia, Russia went to war with them.