I truly believe Cillian Murphy deserves the win. I love Paul Giamatti. People don’t realise he’s been winning awards for many years for his work except the elusive Oscar but has been nominated. I think he’s delightful & wonderful in The Holdovers but apart from giving teachers their unsung hero praise I just didn’t get anything new or challenging from him in the role. It was a role tailor made for him & so it felt like his usual bag of tricks. I found his dialogue more quotable than his performance being memorable. I think in 10 years if he wins… we’ll remember him getting an Oscar finally but not for what movie. I just don’t think it’s strong in its longevity apart from being a Christmas movie. Meanwhile I think Oppenheimer will be regarded as one of the decades most defining movies. And Cillian’s performance is one of the biggest reasons why. I think there was a lot more in his performance than Paul Giamatti’s. Cillian had to change his accent, his voice, his posture, lose weight, learn Dutch. He takes Oppenheimer over years of his life. The movie is entirely about his character. He’s the star of a R rated biopic that he is in 95% of the films scenes. The camera lives on his face… giving both an internalised & exposing performance. He’s been in the industry a long time & has been under the radar but consistently giving stellar work. I just feel like he should finally be rewarded. It should be his year for this extraordinary performance. I want Cillian to win but more than that I think he deserves it this year. To imagine Oppenheimer winning so many awards but without Cillian makes me very upset to be honest considering he’s one of the biggest reasons why I think the film was so well received. I think Paul Giamatti might win because he’s a likeable guy, he gives the showier performance & mostly because he’s overdue. He’s got the veteran narrative & it doesn’t sit right with me. It should be about the performance alone. I have no doubt he’ll be back in a few years nominated again & again. The Academy & his peers love him naturally. There is an Oscar in his future I just don’t think it should be in 2024. It should be Cillian’s. Tough, tough race.

@florenciabalori3625

6 ай бұрын

totally agree

@slad836

6 ай бұрын

Really well put

@ashpie296

6 ай бұрын

If it was about performance Frasier wouldn't have won last year. It's never about performance.

@jamielee7943

6 ай бұрын

@@ashpie296 yeah I understand that (my favourite last year was Paul Mescal even though I adore Brendan Fraser) That’s why in my post I say Cillian SHOULD win but it’s a race & a competition. Lots of other factors come into play to suit the winning narrative. I just hope this year my favourite & best performance prevails. Cillian Murphy.

@k_ahaanis

6 ай бұрын

I love this!! Great way to describe it. Oppenheimer sweep without Cillian would sting and BAD. I hope the Academy doesn't take Murphy's performance for granted

Brian has such natural chemistry with Cody. More videos together, please! ❤

It's possible that the Best Actor race could mirror the 2016 race when Denzel Washington won SAG, but Casey Affleck won the Oscar. Paul Giamatti could win SAG, but Cillian Murphy could win the Oscar, or it could be reversed, or a sweep for either one 🤔 🤷‍♀️

@ella2117

6 ай бұрын

Idk why people think Paul Giamatti can win SAG... how long has it been a thing? Did we only started to talk about it because he won the scandal ridden rigged CCA? The more diverse SAG isn't going to pick the old white grumpy teacher performance lol

@angelotrinidad6888

6 ай бұрын

I am rooting for Giamatti all the way to the Oscar, I honestly feel that way, critics precursor may give Giamatti all the awards, Cillian may take Bafta along the way, & come the Oscars ceremony, he takes the Oscar too coz I feel The Academy may go for their traditional favorite biopic performance, also the fact that he’s in OPPENHEIMER, then again Birdman won big & Keaton didn’t take home the gold trophy, & they didn’t award a biopic last year.

@davidbaker2952

6 ай бұрын

A most definite possibility.

@DanielLazuka

6 ай бұрын

In 2016, Washington didn’t win anything else, while Giamatti already won Golden Globe and Critics’ Choice. As much as I want Giamatti to win, as for now I don’t really think it’s going to happen

@angelotrinidad6888

6 ай бұрын

@@DanielLazuka what won’t happen? Don’t you think Giamatti has the edge? Even if Payne wasn’t nominated, Bafta & Sag clearly has love for the Holdovers, suppose he wins there, it’s a good momentum before the Oscars.

I really hope Oppenheimer wins big. This seems to be Nolan’s year as well as RDJs year, so the two of them winning Best Picture, Best Director and Best Supporting Actor seems to be fairly likely at this point. I hope Cillian Murphy wins Best Actor. Nothing against Paul Giamatti, he was excellent, but Murphy’s performance was truly amazing. I don’t think I need to say much about RDJs performance outside of it being such a stark contrast, pun intended, to his portrayal as Iron Man in the MCU, but it shows just how great of an actor he still is after some people say they couldn’t see him as anything but Tony Stark. Plus of the nominees who are nominated without a win, he’s the one who has the longest track record of being nominated without a win, this being 31 years since his first nomination for Chaplin. I think Oppenheimer has a good chance at winning Cinematography, Original Score and Editing. That’s 7 wins right there and perhaps it could get another win or two as well. I’ve got a feeling Oppenheimer will win most of the Oscars it’s up for honestly. Thank you for your early predictions Brian and Cody. Hope you’re doing well, keep up the great work and take care!

@yaroslavvdovenko3482

6 ай бұрын

Cillian was just ordinary without any excellent performances at all 😅

@Nightsinwhitesatin645

6 ай бұрын

He embodied Robert Oppenheimer. When you watch old film of Oppenheimer, he was a subtle person and Cillian nailed it perfectly. Cillian wore the pain and anguish on his face and in his body language. I think he wins this Oscar and it will be well deserved. @@yaroslavvdovenko3482

@wizardglick7762

6 ай бұрын

Honestly, I do not understand all the love for Oppenheimer. It was so dull, I couldn’t finish it. It was one of the worst films I’ve seen in years and years!

@setriq784

6 ай бұрын

For me it's hard to believe some people actually think Paul Giamatti's many times before seen comedy performance is as good or even better performance than Murphy's amazing and transformative performance. But of course we all know it's not just about performances, even being a non American from outside Hollywood circles makes it harder for Cillian to win.

@yaroslavvdovenko3482

6 ай бұрын

@@setriq784 From start to finish I saw just bulging eyes of Cillian haha)

Maybe it's the fact that The Holdovers captures the 1970's feel and look so well, but as I watched the film and Giamatti's performance, I kept thinking of the Oscar winning performance of Richard Dreyfus in the Goodbye Girl in the 70's. It's hard to win in a comedy/ dramady, but this type of performance has won before and could again.

@ella2117

6 ай бұрын

Yeah the last time was so long ago, these type.of performances haven't won in the 21st century it's so delulu

@marrmart7690

6 ай бұрын

I agree and touch of class win for commedy and jnnefer lawrance win for silver lining play book.and cher moonstruck

@angelotrinidad6888

6 ай бұрын

Cuba Gooding Jr, Kevin Kline, & Keaton came close…

I just realized something. Every ten years, one movie wins both best actor and best supporting actor. In 2004, it was mystic river and Dallas buyers club pulled off the same feat in 2024. Could history repeat if cillian Murphy and Robert Downey jr both win best leading and supporting actor respectively for Oppenheimer?

@davidbaker2952

6 ай бұрын

Brilliant connection but DONT PUT THIS IN MY HEAD! lmao. I truly believe it's Giamatti's time. But seriously, bravo.

@harrietamidala1691

6 ай бұрын

@@davidbaker2952 it was just a pattern I realized, when looking back at past ceremonies.

@angelotrinidad6888

6 ай бұрын

Am rooting for Giamatti but damn, what a coincidence if that ever is…

@myytchanneldinakoha8498

6 ай бұрын

You say ‘every ten years’ like it actually happens every ten years when it was only one coincidence.

@brownroach8618

6 ай бұрын

But only three films have ever won for Picture *and* Actor *and* Supporting Actor, the last being "Ben Hur" in 1959. It could have happened on a number of occasions since then, but it hasn't. So if you think "Oppenheimer" and Downey are locks in their categories, a Murphy win looks less probable based on total Oscar history. Of course anything could happen. Just saying winning "patterns" usually don't amount to anything.

Thanks so much for your comprehensive commentary. Well done, and I agree with most of your choices!

Taking my wife to Poor things tonight. Hope it's a great movie 🙏 😊

@agkillah4726

6 ай бұрын

We LOVED ITTTTT

I loved Barbie but for me Margot Robbie wasn't stretched. She was perfectly cast. The script did the heavy lifting, it seemed written for her. and she was just like she appears on talk shows etc. I think the script and casting made it harder for Robbie & Greta to show their craft.

@Sharpe1502

6 ай бұрын

I agree. Apart from crying quite a few times, it’s not like Robbie did anything insane in that movie.

@AlexandreFilho1705

6 ай бұрын

I disagree. Margot was perfect in the movie, and that's a tough role to pull off. The Academy nominating Barbie in 8 categories but not Actress is just WEIRD. It would make more sense to snub it altogether.

@hollyro4665

6 ай бұрын

I agree. She was good in the role. Excellent casting. But there wasn’t any particular moment from her that stood out to me as outstanding. Especially when compared to some of the other nominations. I wouldn’t have been angry at her nomination and I’d have celebrated her getting it but I certainly wouldn’t replace any of the other actress’ for her to get it. It was a strong performance but not strong enough.

I have Oppenheimer and Poor Things tied for my favorite film of the year both are equally fantastic movies

@tonyg76

6 ай бұрын

Poor Things much better than Oppenheimer. Oppenheimer is overrated. Go Poor Things/The Holdovers.

I love Cody on NBP. He's a fantastic listen. Happy you guys got to collab!

I recently rewatched Maestro. Carey Mulligan was spectacular. It’s crazy she has no shot at winning; heck you guys didn’t even mention her. Not disagreeing, just saying there are a lot of good performances.

@kashoot4782

6 ай бұрын

Agreed, in another year, she’d likely win, it’s genuinely incredible

@eliasjohansson2195

6 ай бұрын

Yea she was sooo good.But shes not winning.Lily or Emma is

@cincomilarboles

6 ай бұрын

I hated it, it was very theatrical, cheesy and overacted, in my opinion.

@kashoot4782

6 ай бұрын

@@cincomilarboles interesting bc i thought she was really subtle for most of it and then went big in the moments that counted

P.S. I'm posting my comments one at a time as I'm trying to predict my choice before I hear yours. Love this video. Thanks!! 💗

It’s just a really competitive year, and even with the snubs that disappointed me it’s not like there’s someone spot that I would take away. Truly there would be no bad potential winners

@tonyg76

6 ай бұрын

Lily would be a bad winner. Limited screentime for lead, not that great of a performance. Would rather see Emma or Sandra.

Emma Stone definitely wins the BAFTA. In SAG, Lily Gladstone can still win and end up taking the Oscars too. But I think it will be a sweep for Emma Stone.

@tbam73

6 ай бұрын

Stone over Huller at The BAFTA's?? Im hoping Huller wins here. If she gets through the season without any award that would be a shame

@weomeow26

6 ай бұрын

@@tbam73 Yes! I have watched both Anatomy of A Fall and Poor Things. I think Emma Stone performed the best this year

@lovenparanoia

6 ай бұрын

EMMA NATION!!! she literally gave the best performance of the year in any category not just in the best actress. she should win her second oscar

@reinebautistamercado4286

6 ай бұрын

I don't want her to win because she already won her trophy for her performance in Poor Things many years ago for La La Land. She shouldn't have won that one and should win this year, but let's balance the karma. 😂

@weomeow26

6 ай бұрын

@@reinebautistamercado4286 That's not true. She definitely deserved that win for La La Land. Which one do you think should've won then? Let me guess, Meryl Streep?

I think it will be an Oppenheimer sweep + Lily Gladstone. That might be boring but i think it will stand up historically. Its by far Nolan's best movie, a step up and built around an amazing performance by Murphy. Great supporting performances, amazing sound, cinematography, effects and editing.

@georgialerangis2123

6 ай бұрын

Agreed

My predictions- Best Picture-Oppenheimer Best Director-Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer) Best Actor-Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer) Best Actress-Emma Stone (Poor Things) Best Supporting Actor-Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer) Best Supporting Actress-Da’Vine Joy Randolph (The Holdovers) Best Original Screenplay-Anatomy of a Fall Best Adapted Screenplay-Barbie

Love the content

I would love a video on The Color Purple Fiasco.

People are getting way to mad at the Margot and Greta snub😅.Like we kinda new Greta would get snubbed.And Margot not getting in was a little suprising.But its not like they where the best at there category.

@laurajones1773

6 ай бұрын

Margot Robbie and Greta Lee were so much better than Annette Benning in Nyad.

@tonyg76

6 ай бұрын

@@laurajones1773 Bening was better than both IMO.

@laurajones1773

6 ай бұрын

I disagree. Annette Benning’s performance in Nyad is so one note imo.

@marrmart7690

6 ай бұрын

Nyad and annete bening get nom becase the academy like the old actross nomnase dont win.. long actross nom.

You should know the Academy loves headlines like “ first native american who won oscar ( Gladstone) or Coda became first film about deaf people. And speeches after winning you should consider these parameters on your predictions not only SAG awards…

I want this duo to make more videos together😂 anyway I hope Nolan sweeps

A fine collaboration today.

Interesting thing is every time in supporting Actress was a chaos or better to put it many contender vying for nominations but not from high profile films a lazy voting happens and some actress from a film everyone has seen (usually a top 5 contender) surprises and gets in even without much precursors. It happen in 2012 when Maggie Smith for Marigold Hotel, Judi Dench for Skyfall and Nicole Kidman for Paperboy were fighting for 5th place and in the end Jackie Weaver for Silver Linings happened. Similar situation happen with Marina de Tavira and this year with America Ferrera. Pike, Moore, Hüller and Cruz were fighting and at the end an actress from top 5 film got in showing on a lot of ballots probably on 5th place.

Watched AOAF recently and Sandra Huller ATE in that role. Would love to see her win but I know it is unlikely.

@jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719

6 ай бұрын

She was incredible

This is so great!

19:10 I feel Best Supporting Actress favors a singing role: Catherine Zeta-Jones (Chicago), Jennifer Hudson (Dream Girls), Anne Hathaway (Les Misérables), and Ariana DeBose (Westside Story)….BUT I do not think Danielle’s performance was not as much in the public eye. The past winners’ performance/songs were EVERYWHERE leading up to the Oscars. And I have not even seen a clip of Brooks in The Color Purple. Even when I search “Danielle Brooks The Color Purple” on KZread…I do not see any clips of her in the movie…and the only video of her singing was from the stage/cast album recording. 🤷🏻‍♂️

@marrmart7690

6 ай бұрын

I agree the academy prefer musical in supporting but daneal brocks her role not musical too much..drama role in musical and her wining dedend on stronger perfoemance. But maybe she win cathrane was bad and she win and ann hathway win aginst lincolin actross when lincolin actross was better

As much as I love the analysis guys, one thing I think you need to remember is some members probably just check the boxes and mail in their ballot just so they get it done. I remember reading how Henry Fonda usually had his wife fill out his oscar ballot. I’m sure more often than not, most members don’t put so much thought into picking the best, just picking!

If i would have been able to vote Best picture - Oppenheimer or American Fiction Best Director - Christopher Nolan Actress - Lilly Gladstone Actor - Cillian Murphy supporting actress - Davine Joy Randolph Supporting actor - Robert Downey jr Original screenplay Anatomy of a fall and Adapted - Barbie Greta Gerwig

I’ve seen all the movies. My favourites are the Holdovers and the breathtaking Zone of Interest

Yay, agree with you about Ruth Negga in Loving!

I wanted to see "Oppenheimer" because of the character of J. Robert Oppenheimer, and was unaware at first that Christopher Nolan was directing. However, I'm rooting for Nolan for Best Director because he did a fantastic job of depicting so many of the different angles of Oppenheimer's character.

I loved this, I just hate to hear people judge the voting body by calling them “lazy”…there is no way of knowing what someone else watched and it’s very very presumptive that someone thinks they know better based on their opinion.

Hi! Will you make some comments about the Emmys? 😊

“Its gnna continue to elude her” baby im am tuned IN!

you guys are great together, hope we see this again

Lily Gladstone was my pick originally but I think it’s slowly switching to Emma

Picture - Oppenheimer almost 100% at this point Director - Nolan 100% Actor - Murphy/Giamatti 60/40 Actress - Gladstone/Stone 50/50 Supporting Actress - Da'Vine Joy Randolph? Seems like she's winning everywhere. I'll give it 90%. Supporting Actor - RDJ 10000000000000000% Adapted Screenplay - Poor Things - No idea just my guess. Difficult to predict. Original Screenplay - The Holdovers - No idea just my guess. Difficult to predict. Cinematography - Oppenheimer 100% Film Editing - Oppenheimer 100% Sound - Oppenheimer 100% Score - Oppenheimer 100% Production Design - I lean towards Poor Things. Makeup & Hairstyling - Probably Maestro's only win. If not Maestro, then it's Poor Things. But I'll say Maestro wins here. Costume Design - Barbie/Poor Things 50/50 Song - Barbie 100% - Eilish will obviously win sadly lol. I mean she wins everything. Animated Film - Across the Spider-Verse should win 100%, but they hate sequels so idk lol. Visual Effects - No idea lol. I'll say Napoleon. Weird I know, but it has three Oscar noms. This category is its only chance at winning. International Feature Film - The Zone of Interest 100%. It's nominated for Picture, so of course it'll win here. Documentary Feature Film - No idea don't care. Sorry. Documentary Short Film - No idea don't care. Sorry. Animated Short Film - No idea don't care. Sorry. Live Action Short Film - No idea don't care. Sorry.

@billcook4768

6 ай бұрын

Across the Spiderverse gets this years “Most deserving that absolutely, positively won’t win” award.

@florenciabalori3625

6 ай бұрын

I agree 100%, sadly, because I'd like Society of the Snow to win best international film but your reasoning is accurate...

I think Murphy's performance, though contained, is incredibly powerful. I know that the category LOVES flamboyant performances but Cillian has been "trending" these past few years and I think he might have slightly more chances than Giamatti. I think we'll have to keeo guessing until the moment they announce the winner, unless of course Cillian takes it all in the other events.

My new favourite is All of us strangers. We cried and sobbed.

Cody is one of my NBP favs! Loved this video

when there's a 3-way race- the person in the middle could shoot through- Someone gets all the early attention then someone comes on strong at the end- the person with consistent reviews and holds the middle wins Like Olivia Coleman- splitting Glenn and Gaga, Bancroft splitting Hepburn and Davis, Holiday splitting Davis and Swanson... if Stone (early) and Gladstone (late) split- Huller gets it.

Where is the prediction for international features?

I definitely knew ruffalo would get the nom over defoe if only one of them could make it for the cafegory. He was amazing in PT. And i think either him or RDJ will win

@marrmart7690

6 ай бұрын

I like rami yousef more in poor thing

I'm shocked that Carey Mulligan isn't more of a favourite for Best Actress. I've seen 95% of the nominated movies (not poor things yet) and I was blown away by her role in Maestro. She expressed every kind of emotion there can be and she played a real historical figure and that's such an Oscar-bait movie. I liked Killers of The Flower Moon and I can understand it getting a representation win, but Lily Gladstone didn't give half as much as Carey did. I also think Barbie is still in with a chance for Best Picture. I reckon Oppenheimer will get Screenplay, Director, editing, actor and supporting actor.

I'm rooting for "The Holdovers" and "Maestro" for Best Picture, and am leaning more toward "The Holdovers." I've already seen "The Holdovers" twice: on streaming and in the theater, and am now considering seeing it again in the theater. I seldom pay NYC ticket prices to see a film that I already own on streaming. I never even heard of "The Holdovers" until I watched Neeko Watches Movies on his picks for the top 10 moves of 2023, where "The Holdovers" was Number 2 in his list. He has me hooked on purchasing the film on Amazon, and I also convinced by employer to watch the film and she loves it even more than I do, so she is also rooting for this film for Best Movie and Best Actor.

"This category went more predictable than I thought." I think I know what you mean but you have to understand why I LOL'ed at such a statement.

Tbh , i want Oppenheimer to be a greatest win !

Y’all definitely hooking up on the side the chemistry is so palpable

@dillanconrad

6 ай бұрын

Without a doubt.

@jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719

6 ай бұрын

😶

What if Bening came in as an ultimate Best Actress winner?! I would absolutely love that!

My current GoldDerby predictions (as of 23.2.24): *Best Original Screenplay:* 5. Bradley Cooper and Josh Singer (Maestro) 4. Sammy Burch and Alex Mechanik (May December) 3. Justine Triet and Arthur Harari (Anatomy of a Fall) 2. David Hemingson (The Holdovers) 1. Celine Song (Past Lives) After the AOAF snub at WGA, this really became a 2 horse race IMO. I still believe Past Lives will pull a Women Talking, but The Holdovers is not too far behind. *Best Adapted Screenplay:* 5. Jonathan Glazer (The Zone of Interest) 4. Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer) 3. Tony McNamara (Poor Things) 2. Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach (Barbie) 1. Cord Jefferson (American Fiction) Another category affected by a WGA snub, since I had Poor Things at 1# all along, but it seems more and more that everything is coming up Jefferson in this category. *Best Supporting Actor:* 5. Robert De Niro (Killers of the Flower Moon) 4. Mark Ruffalo (Poor Things) 3. Sterling K. Brown (American Fiction) 2. Ryan Gosling (Barbie) 1. Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer) #AnOscarforDowney les gooooooo *Best Supporting Actress:* 5. Jodie Foster (Nyad) 4. America Ferrera (Barbie) 3. Emily Blunt (Oppenheimer) 2. Danielle Brooks (The Color Purple) 1. Da'Vine Joy Randolph (The Holdovers) This one is pretty much a lock. *Best Lead Actor:* 5. Colman Domingo (Rustin) 4. Bradley Cooper (Maestro) 3. Jeffrey Wright (American Fiction) 2. Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer) 1. Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers) If Murphy wins here, it's game over for any other movie in Best Picture. *Best Lead Actress:* 5. Annette Bening (Nyad) 4. Carey Mulligan (Maestro) 3. Sandra Hüller (Anatomy of a Fall) 2. Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon) 1. Emma Stone (Poor Things) Top 3 are all win competitive, but Stone has been winning too much to deny by this point. *Best Director:* 5. Jonathan Glazer (The Zone of Interest) 4. Martin Scorsese (Killers of the Flower Moon) 3. Justine Triet (Anatomy of a Fall) 2. Yorgos Lanthimos (Poor Things) 1. Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer) This is the biggest above the line lock, even more than Supporting Actress IMO. At long last, Nolan's time has come. The order of the other 4 is more arbitrary than anything else. *Best Picture:* 10. Maestro 9. Past Lives 8. Killers of the Flower Moon 7. The Zone of Interest 6. Anatomy of a Fall 5. American Fiction 4. Barbie 3. Poor Things 2. The Holdovers 1. Oppenheimer Poor Things was my 2 but I took it a spot down after the WGA snub. Anyways this is going to Oppenheimer almost certainly (says the guy who swore up and down La La Land and 1917 will win so take my dumb ass with a grain of salt).

You guys tickle me 😂🎉

I think that Downey Jr always had Best Supporting Actor in the bag but I wonder whether Gosling's "intervention" regarding the Barbie "snubs" won't sour some of the Academy voters (especially the older, more uptight ones) against him and comfortably deliver the statuette to Downey Jr.

Ever since I found out how strong Holdovers is within the industry (despite missing Director & Sessa), I’ve been predicting Giamatti since the day before the CCA winners were announced.

I think KOTFM missed Adapted Screenplay because it deviated from the book, which focused on the investigation.

@jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719

6 ай бұрын

Good point

@Mai-jt6us

6 ай бұрын

Poor things also deviated a lot from the book and still made it. KOTFM is losing momentum

@ninaklein8154

6 ай бұрын

KOFM didn't get nominated because they took a fascinating book and make it a snooze movie. Just my opinion.

As someone who has seen Oppenheimer way too many times, the one thing I'm hoping for is that the older voters love this movie. This is Film is very reminiscing to Peter O’Toole and LoA. I hope history corrects itself cause Murray's performance will last longer in time.

My top predictions for the top Oscar awards are: Best Film: The Holdovers Best Director: Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer) Best Actress: Lily Gladstone (Killers of a Flower Moon) Best Actor: Paul Giamatti ( The Holdovers) Best Supporting Actress: Da'vine Joy Randolph (The Holdovers) Best Supporting Actor: Robert Downey Jnr (Oppenheimer) Best Adapted Screenplay: Greta Gerwig/Noah Bambauch (Barbie) Best Original Screenplay: Justine Triet (Anatomy of a Fall)

@jasoncoladonato1034

6 ай бұрын

no chance Oppenheimer doesn't win Picture, dude

@Stefarooh

6 ай бұрын

@@jasoncoladonato1034 I say there is a very good chance given recent wins for CODA and Green Book.

I always knew the color purple would flop at the oscars, dk why all of u had high hopes for it for the entirety of the year

@marrmart7690

6 ай бұрын

The film soooo bad..audiance like trailer they think it is good but when they watch it see disasster film.bad acript destroy the original story

Best Actress is another stacked category. If Margot and Greta were to join Sandra in the Best Actress nomination list, who would you remove? Bening and...?

America ferrera gave a fierce speech at the critic choice award and thats what helped her get those last minute votes

@marrmart7690

6 ай бұрын

I think if they give joulian more the nom better

I also love "Past Lives," but not enough for Best Picture.

my favourite film twitter couple ❤

I think is such a lazy argument “he’s overdue, the industry loves him”. Narratives, campaigns and how strong is your film matter. Cillian has been “overdue” as well, everyone loves the guy and you can’t ignore the fact that there’s no Oppenheimer without him. Yeoh won because of the strength of her film and her narrative. More people will watch Oppenheimer than Holdovers, also there’s the Payne allegations that could hurt as well. Oppenheimer is too strong of a contender for Cillian to lose.

@tonyg76

6 ай бұрын

Yeoh won because she cheated! Her movie stunk IMO and Blanchett deserved it more. Narratives/campaigns should not matter at all.

@billcook4768

6 ай бұрын

Don’t overlook the fact that Giamatti is a Hollywood/New York actor who has been around a long time and has a lot of friends. It shouldn’t matter, but it certainly doesn’t hurt.

@jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719

6 ай бұрын

🤔

@ella2117

6 ай бұрын

​@billcook4768 ok but he peaked in the early 2000s. Why is everyone talking about Giamatti like he is a Ben Affleck lol

I'm rooting for Paul Giamatti for "The Holdovers" and Bradley Cooper for "Maestro," and can't decide who I want more.

If killers of the flower moon loses its 10 nominations, it’ll be Scorsese’s 4th not 3rd zero from 10 nominations after Gangs of New York, Woolf of Wall Street and The Irishman

Gotta say, I don't know why maestro is so dismissed. Stellar performances up there with any other of this years' contenders, excellent cinematography...it's just a really beautiful film in my opinion.

@hollyro4665

6 ай бұрын

If I’m being honest, and I haven’t seen it yet so I won’t comment on how fair it is, it’s the Oscar baiting by Bradley Cooper. For all I know the film is magnificent and deserves more than it’s getting. I won’t deny what I don’t know. But a partially black and white, biopic about a Jewish, bisexual conductor who did activism work for AIDS and had communist affiliations with the whole film about his marriage, is really every Oscar’s baiting feature you could possibly include. I think every one of those features has had at least one nomination in the last decade, I’d dare say most of them in the last 5 years. It’s really made Bradley Cooper the villain of the year as far as public opinion and press go. I think that’s why no one’s daring to touch it too much

Acting categories need to go to 6 nominees. It would make it much more fun.

I'm praying 🙏 and sending good vibes to Robert Downey Jr. to win the best supporting actor Oscar!

This is why the Oscars should increase every category to 7 nominations. It gives room for films and performances of different genres and from different countries to properly eligible if there’s actually space for them to be nominated

@rejespo

6 ай бұрын

no

@SS4Luxray

6 ай бұрын

@@rejespo yes. 7 nominations will allow for a wider range of performances to be nominated. I’m tired of seeing dramas, war films and period pieces being nominated. Where are the comedies, action, horror, science fiction, thrillers?

@iobiekwe

6 ай бұрын

@@SS4Luxray NO.

@SS4Luxray

6 ай бұрын

@@iobiekwe yes. Y’all can’t argue against the other categories not having more than 5 nominations when BP has up to 10. It’s stupid to recognize up to 10 films as the best of the year but only nominate the same 3-5 in every category, which blatantly prevents other movies that would better choices for those categories to be nominated. Prime example: Oppenheimer getting nominated for Costume Design over TCP, a category TCP probably would’ve won (it would’ve been a pity win for the 85 version not getting a single win so the 2023 movie missing actually isn’t a big deal, just using it as an example). There was absolutely nothing about the costumes in Oppenheimer that stood out, especially in comparison the vibrant and lively costumes of TCP. Personally I think Barbie is gonna win Costume Design but my point is, had there let’s say 7 nominations per category, TCP and another film could’ve also gotten in. With more nomination slots, Spider-Verse would’ve made it into Original Score, KotFM would’ve made it into Adapted Screenplay, Melton would’ve made it in for Supporting Actor, Leo would’ve made it in for Lead Actor and Gerwig would’ve made it into Director.

@OCriticoAle

6 ай бұрын

Disagree, more quantity less quality, they only increase to include quota. Should keep it at 5 and return to 5 in the main category

I'm assuming that "Oppenheimer" will win for Best Picture, but would love it if "The Holdovers" would win.

Are they in love? They look like they’re in love. It’s adorable.

I’m not saying it’s happening at all, but I still think there is the tiniest of chances Gosling wins(But obviously RDJ is winning)

Will you guys consider doing a Movies that should win & or be nominated at the Oscars? When it’s too predictable it’s so boring. I’d like to know more about movies we should know more about that aren’t nominated or are not likely to win amongst nominees. Right now everyone is predicting pretty much the same bunch of movies. I’m rooting for Giamatti. Cross fingers.

hey, you could do a video about “the young actors that could win an oscar” like Zendaya, Sydney Sweeney, Timothée Chalamet… i would really like to see what you think about them

How Bradley Cooper has ever been nominated is a miracle!

sorry for bringing this up but he looks in love with you hhah

Maybe because I am not American I don't get that The Holdovers and Giamatti hype at all. For me it was just a fun silly Christmas movie, and from Giamatti we've seen this exact same performance many times before, at least in Sideways, Private Life and Billions. Imo he shouldn't even be nominated, certaily not winning over Murphy's or Cooper's performances. I personally hope Murphy to win, as I was deeply moved by his performance, it went straight to my all time favourite performances list.

@marrmart7690

6 ай бұрын

Myrphy win ok Pradly win noooooo👎

@ClaudiaLopez-vt5jz

6 ай бұрын

Estoy absolutamente de acuerdo en todo contigo 😊!!!!

If I had a vote: OPPENHEIMER Nolan Giamatti Bening Foster Downey

I'd love to see both Randolph and Giamatti win for "The Holdovers". Glad to hear they're both favorites.

I loved Oppenheimer and i hope it sweeps with poor things and the holdovers trailing right behind it. Barbie wins song and anatomy of a fall wins original screenplay. Godzilla minus one takes visual effects

Emma is much better than Lily GladZzztone.

I just want Oppenheimer to win big!

i will be watching the Holdovers, but i am rooting for Oppenheimer and Barbie. Cillian Murphy should win, he was fantastic, and my pick for best actress goes to Lilly Gladstone for Killers of the flower moon.

I'm rooting for Da'Vine Joy Randolf for Best Supporting actress with second place going to Jodie Fister,

It's great to see father and son talking so passionately about the Oscars.

@sherrybowen4432

6 ай бұрын

They aren't father and son are they?

@jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719

6 ай бұрын

😂

@dj71162

6 ай бұрын

@@sherrybowen4432 Who knows?

I'm rooting for Robert Downey, Jr. for Best Supporting actor. I can't get his performance in that film out of my mind.

Why are you guyz not mentioning MULLIGAN? She was the best thing about Maestro. She was great. I also hear that Gladstone kind of disappears from a large chunk of her movie. Stone may be good but I think older voters could be put off by the tone/subject matter of her movie. Just TOO out there if you will. Plus she just won one a few years ago. And don't forget about the possible splitting of votes which could put Gladstone and Stone out of the running allowing someone else to get it. I saw Benning's movie and gotta say she was committed to that role. She did do a great job and hell's bells how long are they gonna wait to give Benning her due? I think the only time a movie has won best picture and didn't win any other Oscar was Mutiny on The Bounty from 1935 (awards in 1936).Speaking of Barbie (LOL) I watched 30 minutes of it and could not stand it. I think the movie was aimed at 14 year old girls. Obviously as an older man, I really don't think they were writing to me. I love Giamatti. He should win! Remember his small role in My Best Friend's Wedding?

@marrmart7690

6 ай бұрын

Lilly gladstone more amrican

Remember Marcia Gsy Harden win?

I had to watch Oppenheimer twice because the first time it just froze half way through.

I would love Bradley Cooper for Best Director, but predict Christopher Nolan for "Oppenheimer."

Killers Of The Flower Moon could win for camera work.

There’s no way Emma is not winning. If she loses 10 years from now everyone will say how she was robbed.

@tonyg76

6 ай бұрын

I would say she was robbed the night of the Oscars if she loses!

@showbiz6676

6 ай бұрын

I wont.

America Ferrera's nomination is one of the weakest and most embarrassing nominations for supporting actress in the history of the Oscars. The fact that she was nominated over Sandra Huller for a double nominee, Viola Davis, Claire Foy, Julianne Moore, Rosamund Pike, Penelope Cruz, Taraji P, Henson, or for the love of all that is holy RACHAEL MCADAMS for Are You There God It's Me Margaret.... It proves that what you guys said is true: the academy watched certain films, and made their choices within those films. They were lazy. They did not do their job. Let's just say what everyone kinda wants to say but doesn't really want to say: she got nominated for delivering the main sociological message speech that summed up the whole movie and what it was (not subtly) trying to say, not because this was a fantastic piece of acting by any means.

@marrmart7690

6 ай бұрын

I agree bad choice👏👏👏 Viola davis in air big snubbe And jullian more and benoliby cruse

@showbiz6676

6 ай бұрын

Julianne Moore's and Rosamund Pike's films just collapsed. May December and Saltburn are type films that cant get a lone supporting nomination. Psychological films with a clear lead will get either all or none. Like taxi diver, Can you imagine De Niro doesn't get a nomination but Joster does. Taraji P, Henson's film lost its steam, RACHAEL MCADAMS 's film released way too early. it is ok but that's it. There was no way Sandra Huller was getting double nom. It is possible at BAFTAs due to jury system but very difficult at Oscars. Although there is no magic formula for double nom, both performances need to get equal amount of precursors which Huller didnt. Viola Davis needed something with that role like screenplay or best film nominaton.

@christinschumacher2143

6 ай бұрын

Agreed! She essentially got nominated for giving a speech. Her character was my least favorite part of the movie. The content of her speech resonated with me but the delivery (for me) was not compelling and generally the character was a little flat, mom who disconnected from her teenage daughter and who has a bit of darkness to her. Not exactly the depth of character I would expect to be portrayed to gain an Oscar nomination

@hollyro4665

6 ай бұрын

I was gonna argue but you’re most likely right 😂. I was excited for her getting the nomination but I live in the UK, half the actresses you mentioned are in films that didn’t come out until incredibly recently and I was ill for a month so I’m probably just really behind 😂. I mean two of them haven’t been out for a week yet, which covers three of your suggestions and my lungs aren’t at full capacity so really what do I know 😂. I do think it’s a shame about Rosamund Pike, she was outstanding but Saltburn receiving nothing (because it’s got an incredibly weak plot in my opinion and felt a bit like it was for teenagers) hasn’t helped her case at all. Such a shame. And with Julianne Moore I think the imperfections in the scripting of her character have weakened an otherwise excellent performance. Which isn’t her fault but how it goes.

@VikingMatt879

6 ай бұрын

@@showbiz6676 LOL at you capitalizing Rachel McAdams' name just because I did because I meant to emphasize her name in my point. You are truly witty.

Hello, love the video, thanks a lot! Just wanted to say that the adaptation of KOTFM was NOT good in my opinion! the book does not reveal right away who is beyond the killings which makes the story much more interesting. They took the book and adapted it in a kind of gangster version cause they had a great actor to play the bad guy. I wasnt surprised when it wasnt nominated.

Hillary Swank has two Oscars and never got nominated for a BAFTA

In a perfect world Gladstone, Huller, and Stone would win in a three way tie. We all know that is highly unlikely. All of these performances are worthy. However I still would have to give Emma Stone a slight edge. She made her character completely believable in a unique story. This was a difficult task that she accomplished brilliantly. As for Best Actor I would love to see Paul Giamatti win. Even though I love "Oppenheimer" I'm not the biggest fan of Emily Blunt's and Robert Downey Jr's performances. Both are exceptional actors in mediocre roles.

Gladstone is obvious winner coz Native American. I don’t see how its even a debate. The academy will want her on stage

If there's any justice and no politics, Sandra Huller SHOULD win.

@eliasjohansson2195

6 ай бұрын

Lily or Emma is gonna win.One of them deserv it imo

@mercurytoad

6 ай бұрын

Emma's role was hella tough to pull. She's got this.

@gabatar5961

6 ай бұрын

This is what I've been saying.

@bpure2560

6 ай бұрын

So was Sandras multi layered performance @@mercurytoad

@eliasjohansson2195

6 ай бұрын

Sandra is not even top 3 best in that category.Lily,Emma and Carey are all way better

I love Willem Dafoe and he has been robbed for years by the Academy, but I was not surprised by this snub. His accent completely took me out of Poor Things. Not quite Don Cheadle in Ocean’s 11 and probably only annoying to me since I am Scottish, but I was completely throw every time he spoke and found it difficult to overlook.

@showbiz6676

6 ай бұрын

His accent wasnt as bad as Mark Rafalo's.

I'd like "Barbie" to win Adapted Screenplay because it really was interesting that Gerwig & Baumbach came up with this concept when told to write a movie based on a popular toy.

@dj71162

6 ай бұрын

They are a couple in real life and have both had great careers so far without winning, so it would be rather fitting.

@billcook4768

6 ай бұрын

I have no idea if it will win or not, but I’ll be screaming at my teevee “how they hell is this an adapted screenplay!”

@jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719

6 ай бұрын

Yes