Dorian Strengthening - Increasingly Dangerous Threat to Bahamas and SE US

Ғылым және технология

Website: www.tropicaltidbits.com/
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Please note that these posts do NOT reflect the official forecasts of the National Hurricane Center, and should not be interpreted as such. While tropical storms exist in the Atlantic, official NHC information is available at www.hurricanes.gov. Please refer to the NHC when making decisions, and heed the advisories and evacuation statements of your local National Weather Service Office and emergency management officials.
Levi Cowan creates videos and blogs pertaining to tropical cyclones, primarily hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean. Posts occasionally concern other, non-tropical weather events around the world. Levi is currently a Ph.D. candidate in tropical meteorology at Florida State University, and completed his bachelors degree in applied physics with a concentration in atmospheric physics at the University of Alaska Fairbanks.

Пікірлер: 130

  • @azoresmarine
    @azoresmarine4 жыл бұрын

    I hope you do this for a very long time. Very clear, articulate and understandable. So much clearer than all the double talk on television.

  • @stavros333

    @stavros333

    4 жыл бұрын

    Be careful Watch ""When I Was Six" by Steve Gooden" on KZread kzread.info/dash/bejne/fIaFzM2bo8jgqbA.html

  • @robertwilson3914
    @robertwilson39144 жыл бұрын

    Good forecast. No clickbait fearmongering. Keep on, brother.

  • @filippomaria88
    @filippomaria884 жыл бұрын

    I have never heard such clear articulate easy to understand professional forecasts. Thank you Sir for what you do. Amongst the hysteria fake news and idiotic forecasts out there, you are beacon of light and a breath of fresh air!

  • @Rickidaone
    @Rickidaone4 жыл бұрын

    Thank you for all you do Levi, I have been waiting all day for a video.

  • @dannysgirl1549

    @dannysgirl1549

    4 жыл бұрын

    Same here!

  • @stavros333

    @stavros333

    4 жыл бұрын

    When I was 6 Watch ""When I Was Six" by Steve Gooden" on KZread kzread.info/dash/bejne/fIaFzM2bo8jgqbA.html

  • @laylow96

    @laylow96

    4 жыл бұрын

    me too

  • @kielbryant7344

    @kielbryant7344

    4 жыл бұрын

    www.patreon.com/Tropicaltidbits

  • @stavros333

    @stavros333

    4 жыл бұрын

    @@dannysgirl1549 kzread.info/dash/bejne/n5mmlshsYNfJgtI.html

  • @derekdunn9643
    @derekdunn96434 жыл бұрын

    I live in Illinois, and happened to stumble upon this channel from the Drudge Report website. This video was very thorough and informative. Well done! Prayers to those in the southeastern U.S., especially Florida.

  • @lr6095
    @lr60954 жыл бұрын

    Thank You Levi I live on the beach in Vero. Your videos are the only comprehensive information on the storm I can find. Thank you!!!

  • @PaulPeck
    @PaulPeck4 жыл бұрын

    Saying hello from the center of the cone!😳 5 houses from the ocean in East Central Florida... 🌊

  • @Bcr3106

    @Bcr3106

    4 жыл бұрын

    Prepare! And be safe. Good luck best wishes to you all.

  • @pameladaley955

    @pameladaley955

    4 жыл бұрын

    me too!

  • @user-oy9ui8dh1r

    @user-oy9ui8dh1r

    4 жыл бұрын

    Country block from the St. John's River here. Cheersing

  • @PaulPeck

    @PaulPeck

    4 жыл бұрын

    Melbourne Beach, Florida here... 🏄‍♂️

  • @RandallLowetx
    @RandallLowetx4 жыл бұрын

    I really appreciate your level of detail in how you discuss these storms and events. You offer an "inside baseball" view of meteorology not offered by most (all?) outlets. It's a good no-nonsense summary of what's going on and while I know you say "not official", you come across as official as it gets - certainly as versed as it gets. Keep it up and thank you.

  • @pauldennis4138
    @pauldennis41384 жыл бұрын

    That was the most in depth and easy to follow report on a hurricane I have ever seen, without all the hand wringing and screaming that news agencies use. Thank you!

  • @HolderPOt
    @HolderPOt4 жыл бұрын

    Always great quality, and extremely professional. Thank you for all you do Levi!

  • @breachborn

    @breachborn

    4 жыл бұрын

    Levi

  • @mgarcia2445

    @mgarcia2445

    4 жыл бұрын

    Levi.

  • @stavros333

    @stavros333

    4 жыл бұрын

    Healing child Abuse Watch ""When I Was Six" by Steve Gooden" on KZread kzread.info/dash/bejne/fIaFzM2bo8jgqbA.html

  • @stavros333

    @stavros333

    4 жыл бұрын

    @@breachborn a song for you Watch ""When I Was Six" by Steve Gooden" on KZread kzread.info/dash/bejne/fIaFzM2bo8jgqbA.html

  • @rudyesco
    @rudyesco4 жыл бұрын

    Levi thx man very impressive, i always use your website when i track storms im from south padre island texas Hurricane dolly 2008 is what got me started loving hurricanes.

  • @Ronin4614
    @Ronin46144 жыл бұрын

    You are the standard that all are looking to. Your maps and forecasts are being used by nearly all who “forecast” on KZread. Thank you, Levi for the work you do and for sharing it with everyone.

  • @FFB1204
    @FFB12044 жыл бұрын

    Been a fan of yours from the start Levi...thanks for your insightful posts. You are now front and center on Drudge...that is quite an honor and you deserve it my friend...keep it up, there are so many of us waiting on your posts during times like this to make sense of it all....many thanks....!!!

  • @TerryWillitts
    @TerryWillitts4 жыл бұрын

    Very informative and straight-forward video; much more informative than many official videos thus far, thank you for explaining the changes and uncertainties.

  • @JamesCrouchX
    @JamesCrouchX4 жыл бұрын

    Thank you for what you do. I consult your data models frequently when planning my days and weeks.

  • @ripnola984
    @ripnola9844 жыл бұрын

    I’ve been watching your channel for years. Thank you so much for all of your hard work. I’m in New Orleans Louisiana, and Hurricane Katrina and hurricane Rita/05, hurricane Ike, hurricane Gustav/08 still cannot get out of my head. I hope, I hope that we will all be safe no matter where it hits

  • @danielshermer9875
    @danielshermer98754 жыл бұрын

    Thanks Levi . Your attention to detail continues to be a great supplement to the NHC forecast.

  • @daveygernhauser
    @daveygernhauser4 жыл бұрын

    Thank you for the insight and great work distilling the overwhelming amount of information out there.

  • @BrianLavey
    @BrianLavey4 жыл бұрын

    Very well done. Thank you for laying this out so professionally.

  • @gulfgypsy
    @gulfgypsy4 жыл бұрын

    We're inland in central Florida but our area took a hit with Irma and the memory of that has folks getting things prepped --- Topped off my gas as I ran errands today and every pump at my local WaWa was packed with several cars waiting for each pump. Fueling up their vehicles and a number were also filling up gas containers for generators. The local markets were only slightly busier than a usual Wednesday afternoon --- Though when I commented on it to a clerks, they said it's been picking up and they're planning on bringing in extra pallets of water and other items in the next day or so. She also thinks the memory of Irma two years ago is on folks minds. Appreciate all your work putting these videos together --- You explain things in a calm manner, clearly and in a way we lay people can understand. Thank you!!

  • @matthewbuttner7960
    @matthewbuttner79604 жыл бұрын

    This channel is excellent. I tell all my friends in South Florida to subscribe.

  • @cynthiaschwab8894
    @cynthiaschwab88944 жыл бұрын

    Had to sub, thanks for watching the tropics!!

  • @ednksu
    @ednksu4 жыл бұрын

    Just watched another person's vid posted today and twice he put Dorian out in the lesser Antilles. Thank goodness for this channel and your vids!!!!

  • @calebreeves3716
    @calebreeves37164 жыл бұрын

    Thanks for these updates from Daytona Beach

  • @jamespass4337
    @jamespass43374 жыл бұрын

    Wow, nice work. I’m subscribing.

  • @hugmynutus
    @hugmynutus4 жыл бұрын

    great stuff thanks for the upload

  • @ZartmoBThoughtForms
    @ZartmoBThoughtForms4 жыл бұрын

    Real nice work. Thank you for posting this.

  • @Lethe69
    @Lethe694 жыл бұрын

    This was fantastic. I’m a former Illinoisan, a recent transplant to central Florida, and this could be my first hurricane. Been preparing, and watching forecasts all day - I want to know EVERYTHING (besides “Publix in Deltona is out of water and bread”...) so thank you for such a detailed overview of the storm! Subscribed. Keep up the great work. 👏👏👏

  • @LostSpringbar
    @LostSpringbar4 жыл бұрын

    Thanks for all the great information! We were scheduled to fly into Palm Beach tomorrow for a week and decided to cancel the trip.

  • @roberttysinger4837
    @roberttysinger48374 жыл бұрын

    Thanks for your thoughts!

  • @RealNewsChannel
    @RealNewsChannel4 жыл бұрын

    Excellent report!

  • @cactuswren9771
    @cactuswren97714 жыл бұрын

    Excellent knowledgeable analysis using the real satellite imagery, not cartoons. VERY much appreciated. Subbed. :))

  • @tampabaystormchaser
    @tampabaystormchaser4 жыл бұрын

    Thank you so much!! Very informative!

  • @kend3900
    @kend39004 жыл бұрын

    Thanks for this great information

  • @TheDamian418
    @TheDamian4184 жыл бұрын

    Thank you Levi!

  • @juanm.aguayo-leal9795
    @juanm.aguayo-leal97954 жыл бұрын

    Great job!!! Very informative!!

  • @princessconsuelabananahamm1571
    @princessconsuelabananahamm15714 жыл бұрын

    Thank you for the info

  • @mattspyro
    @mattspyro4 жыл бұрын

    thanks for the lesson :)

  • @roseannebennett2437
    @roseannebennett24374 жыл бұрын

    Oh my Mr. Levi , How Scary & Sad , Love & Prayers for Florida & All Atlantic Coast States In The Path Of Dorian & The Gulf and All States that may be in Dorians projections with land falls ! ! ! What ever the case may be it is looking really bad where ever her projection takes with making a land fall ! God Bless , Take Care ,Be Safe Everyone .... Amen ! 😮😢❤🙏⛈🌬🌀

  • @jcs200000
    @jcs2000004 жыл бұрын

    Amazing explanation

  • @houstoncowdog
    @houstoncowdog4 жыл бұрын

    Very good content, I’ve got two daughters in college in southern central Mississippi so we are watching this storm closely.

  • @CSAcitizen
    @CSAcitizen4 жыл бұрын

    The European model is usually the right one.

  • @lindahh798
    @lindahh7984 жыл бұрын

    Stay safe to those who are in the path of this storm. Great reporting!

  • @Hawkenshmire
    @Hawkenshmire4 жыл бұрын

    Been waiting for this and here it is. Yesterday models showed it going towards carolinas but now it looks like its going into florida then going north.

  • @flamike217
    @flamike2174 жыл бұрын

    Thanks for the info my friend. To all my fellow Floridians, looks like some of us will be in for a wild ride here soon. In Jacksonville myself and hopefully everyone gets prepared.

  • @stavros333

    @stavros333

    4 жыл бұрын

    You're going to be Stronger Watch ""When I Was Six" by Steve Gooden" on KZread kzread.info/dash/bejne/fIaFzM2bo8jgqbA.html

  • @johnmoore3504
    @johnmoore35044 жыл бұрын

    My go to source for great, detailed information! Thank you! Watching this like a hawk from Northern Broward County. Almost all the models have been too far SW, remember back when it was going to pass W of PR? Never happened... thus the wide cone. At this point landfall could be anywhere on east coast of FL from Jax to Mia. Still need more time and data to narrow it down.

  • @uk7769
    @uk77694 жыл бұрын

    Thanks Levi.

  • @austin9703
    @austin97034 жыл бұрын

    Tampa here ! Will be watching 👀

  • @WilliamStuart_NYC
    @WilliamStuart_NYC4 жыл бұрын

    Thank You

  • @pmrpac
    @pmrpac4 жыл бұрын

    Central Florida watching closely....Governor DeSantis declared Florida in State of Emergency

  • @Tom-tq2uq

    @Tom-tq2uq

    4 жыл бұрын

    DeSantis is an ass clown.

  • @Snowstar837

    @Snowstar837

    4 жыл бұрын

    Not even Tropical Tidbits is safe from KZread comments

  • @clay4432
    @clay44324 жыл бұрын

    You the man, Levi!!

  • @kingofthecatnap5422
    @kingofthecatnap54224 жыл бұрын

    Thank you!

  • @icyflows
    @icyflows4 жыл бұрын

    Here to hoping that high in the Atlantic weakens so it goes out to sea. But this will probably be a storm to remember.

  • @JohnMiller-mmuldoor
    @JohnMiller-mmuldoor4 жыл бұрын

    So If trends from the recent few years are any indication, this is basically going to hit Jacksonville as a category 8, right?

  • @norm1815

    @norm1815

    4 жыл бұрын

    😂😂😂😂

  • @bcflys
    @bcflys4 жыл бұрын

    Nice! Great info and I don't feel like I've been shamed for my effect on the climate.

  • @TheJeffcurran
    @TheJeffcurran4 жыл бұрын

    Please correct me if I'm wrong, but if I'm not mistaken the 5 PM update on 08/29 states the following. This is just prior to landfall based on the current update. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 27.0N 77.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. I interpret this to mean that tropical storm force winds in the SW quadrant are not expected to exceed 50 nautical miles from the storm center. I also interpret this to mean that any locale more than 50 NM south of the currently forecast landfall point will likely not experience any significant winds. That includes most of South Florida south of Lake Okeechobee.

  • @abundantYOUniverse
    @abundantYOUniverse4 жыл бұрын

    Denis Phillips says the exact same thing. Pass below tampa, head out into the ocean, then landing near Peninsula.

  • @putjesusfirst9217
    @putjesusfirst92174 жыл бұрын

    I live in Mobile Al. I am watching it as it crosses over Florida

  • @jamesalexanderalexander4819
    @jamesalexanderalexander48194 жыл бұрын

    your exactly what i need!

  • @cobean3523
    @cobean35234 жыл бұрын

    Drudge brought me here... great video!

  • @HunterBidenCocaineBag
    @HunterBidenCocaineBag4 жыл бұрын

    Any indications on if Dorian will grow in size? It's so small (that's a good thing...less land to mess up).

  • @ANTINUTZI
    @ANTINUTZI4 жыл бұрын

    ... How *VERY* encouraging to see another Citizen Reporter providing straightforward and cogent analysis of potentially dangerous natural events, much like *Dutchsinse's* reportage on earthquakes worldwide. I'm sure I'm not alone in not trusting The Official Bastards as far as I can only *wish* I could throw them.

  • @duanenavarre7234
    @duanenavarre72344 жыл бұрын

    now at 986 mb per NHC at 11 pm AST notice.

  • @mikec0502
    @mikec05024 жыл бұрын

    What’s to stop Dorian from becoming like Katrina? Didn’t Katrina have a similar path, and around the same conditions/time of the year?

  • @skepticinall
    @skepticinall4 жыл бұрын

    My entire utility department Is watching this storm. It doesnt look good for our labor day

  • @christinacope562

    @christinacope562

    4 жыл бұрын

    Line workers and all who bring our power back on are the real unsung heroes. Thank you and stay safe.

  • @gulfgypsy

    @gulfgypsy

    4 жыл бұрын

    When Irma raged across Florida and so many lost power, a couple of friends and I would wave them 'Thumbs Up' as they passed by. We were so grateful for all the power companies from all over who had crews waiting to come in and help restore power. They were literally our hero's!

  • @hopefaith5478

    @hopefaith5478

    4 жыл бұрын

    Are you in Florida

  • @Ogbeastmode
    @Ogbeastmode4 жыл бұрын

    Who would dislike this video?

  • @astrofrk
    @astrofrk4 жыл бұрын

    So far, a pretty accurate prediction.

  • @thegrimreaper3592
    @thegrimreaper35924 жыл бұрын

    It looks like the same trajectory as hugo back in the day

  • @bigG88
    @bigG884 жыл бұрын

    Looks like the Euro model is coming more in line with the gfs. We will be sending utility crews from MS as soon as the threat of Dorian making into the gulf is gone.

  • @mikeef747
    @mikeef7474 жыл бұрын

    While this guys is obviously very knowledgeable and well educated on the subject, at the of this video I was less unsure of what was going to happen before the storm even formed, I prefer to hear some predictions than guessing anything can happen

  • @borisbadenov651
    @borisbadenov6514 жыл бұрын

    Any information on projected landfall area? Too early?

  • @patrickeh696

    @patrickeh696

    4 жыл бұрын

    watch the video

  • @rayberry5014
    @rayberry50144 жыл бұрын

    This synopsis is the difference between education and reading a teleprompter.

  • @joshct9426
    @joshct94264 жыл бұрын

    All I'm thinking is Football & Dorian so Levi's X's & O's are perfect

  • @davidlasseigne7734
    @davidlasseigne77344 жыл бұрын

    Nola watching

  • @FullEntertainmentMedia
    @FullEntertainmentMedia4 жыл бұрын

    It's been trending North during the day and during the night Trends to the South

  • @robynwolph3836

    @robynwolph3836

    4 жыл бұрын

    It better not go more to the south cause I have an event to go to in Miami. Gonna be angry if it gets cancelled. It may still get cancelled

  • @Rickidaone

    @Rickidaone

    4 жыл бұрын

    Today it trended south overall.

  • @tumsfestival

    @tumsfestival

    4 жыл бұрын

    The track this morning showed a shift northward once Dorian made landfall. Since then the track has shifted further south with a nearly due west path. Hoping we dodge this somehow here in Mississippi.

  • @rain4577

    @rain4577

    4 жыл бұрын

    @@robynwolph3836 chances are extremely high it gets cancelled whether or not its tracking there. Uncertainty is too high to leave it to last minute for people to make proper prep. Major hurricane landfall isn't something you fuck around with.

  • @hgbugalou
    @hgbugalou4 жыл бұрын

    If this gets into the gulf, watch out.

  • @G3O.On3
    @G3O.On34 жыл бұрын

    I'm in Central Florida and I'm excited! God has control over everything.

  • @MrBluemanworld
    @MrBluemanworld4 жыл бұрын

    Damn, from bad news to worse!

  • @jculture4me
    @jculture4me4 жыл бұрын

    Levi 2020

  • @CentralILWx
    @CentralILWx4 жыл бұрын

    I have family that live in Vero beach Florida

  • @wtfamiactuallyright1823
    @wtfamiactuallyright18234 жыл бұрын

    I actually got a little giddy before pressing play... That's not normal for me, I'm normally dead inside. O.o

  • @concertinamel

    @concertinamel

    4 жыл бұрын

    Wtf Scully Now that made me laugh.

  • @hodl4lambo455

    @hodl4lambo455

    4 жыл бұрын

    Yes you are buddy... Dead inside!

  • @DFS_Today
    @DFS_Today4 жыл бұрын

    So NC is clear?

  • @LaurieCh

    @LaurieCh

    4 жыл бұрын

    Let's hope so! Still in recovery mode from Florence.

  • @apagoogoo
    @apagoogoo4 жыл бұрын

    are you billy corgan? you sound like billy.

  • @mariaa.5829

    @mariaa.5829

    4 жыл бұрын

    no. it's Levi.

  • @apagoogoo
    @apagoogoo4 жыл бұрын

    king tide is a factor.

  • @modemarose4497
    @modemarose44974 жыл бұрын

    Deja Vu Anyone??? Same ‘ish time last year . . . 🤷🏼‍♀️

  • @Meatloaf992
    @Meatloaf9924 жыл бұрын

    Everybody panic!!!!!!!

  • @MikeX3000
    @MikeX30004 жыл бұрын

    GFS still tends to be right biased.

  • @Bcr3106

    @Bcr3106

    4 жыл бұрын

    Gfs has been wrong so much recently on the 7-10 day range I am leaning toward ECMWF on this storm.

  • @risingoneagleswings1776
    @risingoneagleswings17764 жыл бұрын

    Shifting more east. Looking more like the Carolinas.

  • @barryreeser4975

    @barryreeser4975

    4 жыл бұрын

    It is too early to say that. Did you listen to this post?

  • @risingoneagleswings1776

    @risingoneagleswings1776

    4 жыл бұрын

    @@barryreeser4975 Sure did. That's why I said, " Looking like" It's certainly not a certain. I can tell you living here in Central Florida for 20 years, I have seen these scenarios and the hype starts, the products sell and the track shifts. We will wait and see. 👍

  • @antigonish63
    @antigonish634 жыл бұрын

    It's now Thursday morning, the storm is coming in Sunday, nobody knows where it's going. WTF?

  • @Susan-mo9mr
    @Susan-mo9mr4 жыл бұрын

    Some news are clear to understand when it is brought to us is layman's term even in today's English language, but 75 % on this report was in high tech language, please speak so we understand where the storm is and where it is heading, what strength it is and what is the predicted strength. All that fancy talk told me nothing I really need to know.

  • @WhiteGangster400
    @WhiteGangster4004 жыл бұрын

    We’re gonna die!!!

  • @mightyredstallion
    @mightyredstallion4 жыл бұрын

    I'll confess that this storm may be partly my fault. I haven't been properly recycling my farts like a good little democrat. But I don't plan to so prepare for it to get a lot worse folks.

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