Did Iran just prove Israel can't afford to defend itself?

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-- Break --
On Saturday, Iranian forces launched some 330 cruise missiles, ballistic missiles, and drones in an ill-fated attack on Israel, resulting in more than 99% of the weapons either being intercepted, or failing before they reached their targets.
But was Israel's defense really a victory? With the cost of interceptors used to down these inbound weapons sometimes outstripping the cost of the weapons themselves by 10 to 1 or more, did Saturday's attack prove Israel's defense is a losing financial proposition?
No, it didn't. So, let's talk about why.
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Citations:
iranprimer.usip.org/resource/...
missilethreat.csis.org/missil...
www.yahoo.com/news/iran-publi...
www.nasic.af.mil/LinkClick.as...
www.reuters.com/article/us-ir...
www.timesofisrael.com/iran-un...
www.newarab.com/news/israels-...
www.wsj.com/livecoverage/isra...
www.iranwatch.org/our-publica...
www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
www.sipri.org/databases/milex
www.inss.org.il/
www.imf.org/external/datamapp...
www.worldometers.info/gdp/gdp...
data.worldbank.org/indicator/...
apnews.com/article/israel-ira...
www.nytimes.com/2024/04/14/wo...
www.bbc.com/news/world-middle...

Пікірлер: 1 100

  • @SandboxxApp
    @SandboxxApp14 күн бұрын

    Go to ground.news/Sandboxx to get a balanced perspective on military developments around the world. Subscribe though my link for 40% off unlimited access for just $5/month.

  • @keithbarron3654

    @keithbarron3654

    14 күн бұрын

    For the love of God, straighten that cover! Sorry my eyes go right to it in that corner shelf

  • @texlong1866

    @texlong1866

    14 күн бұрын

    😮

  • @Thetequilashooter1

    @Thetequilashooter1

    14 күн бұрын

    Google “DARPA’S GROUNDBREAKING “ACE” PROGRAM AND X-62A BECOMES FIRST AI-CONTROLLED JET TO DOGFIGHT AGAINST MANNED F-16 IN REAL-WORLD” Finally in real life an AI powered fighter went head to head against a manned F-16.

  • @skylanh4319

    @skylanh4319

    13 күн бұрын

    Who cares about percent of GDP??? It is still wasted money. Yes the US has way more land and people so our GDP is high. It is still a loss for every dollar we waste. Our government steals taxes from us to fund that as Iran’s government pays for its own missiles using state owned oil. AKA. The West citizens suffer vs Irans government has less money.

  • @tristangreene9457

    @tristangreene9457

    12 күн бұрын

    So what this video told me is the USA is the only reason this works as a win financially. So we must do our best as Americans to get our country to pull out. Iran showed the world that Israel cannot defend its nation by itself. Definitely a win there.

  • @jeffs7573
    @jeffs757314 күн бұрын

    Cost exchange ratio, a $100,000 missile taken out by a $11,000,000 missile protecting a billion dollar plus target. Cost exchange ratio is very cheap indeed.

  • @ricky1231

    @ricky1231

    14 күн бұрын

    Excellent point and it escapes a lot of people. The cost of what is being protected ultimately is the most important factor plus the cost of the aftermath of its destruction

  • @12zaf1

    @12zaf1

    14 күн бұрын

    The most expensive interceptor israel has is arrow3 ballistic interceptor (3 mln dollars). And iran ballistic mid range ballistic cost much more than 100k dollars.

  • @jeffs7573

    @jeffs7573

    14 күн бұрын

    @@12zaf1 those figures I gave were a rough number to get the context of the point I was making. Even using your numbers, my comment is still valid.

  • @12zaf1

    @12zaf1

    14 күн бұрын

    @@jeffs7573 not still valid, but even more valid i would say.

  • @thorwaldjohanson2526

    @thorwaldjohanson2526

    14 күн бұрын

    ​@@12zaf1yeah, I don't get that 1.3 billion number floating around. It makes absolutely no sense.

  • @777Outrigger
    @777Outrigger14 күн бұрын

    Old military axiom. "The first reports are always wrong."

  • @stcredzero

    @stcredzero

    14 күн бұрын

    New axiom: The reports that the first reports are wrong could also be wrong.

  • @777Outrigger

    @777Outrigger

    14 күн бұрын

    @@stcredzero 😅

  • @joetato2227

    @joetato2227

    14 күн бұрын

    Said Omar Bradley at receiving the info at the beginning of the battle of the Bulge.

  • @Mak10z

    @Mak10z

    13 күн бұрын

    No plan survives contact with the enemy - Helmuth von Moltke

  • @alexv3357

    @alexv3357

    13 күн бұрын

    @@stcredzero "We apologise again for the fault in the -subtitles- initial reports. Those responsible for sacking the people who have just been sacked, have been sacked."

  • @ericmatteson9868
    @ericmatteson986814 күн бұрын

    Does beg the question.... how many missiles can Iran intercept?

  • @cspace1234nz

    @cspace1234nz

    14 күн бұрын

    ….they have no idea because unlike Israel they have not yet been constantly attacked for years forcing them to develop sophisticated defensive systems

  • @Santirata

    @Santirata

    14 күн бұрын

    I'd wager somewhere close to 0.

  • @masternobin

    @masternobin

    14 күн бұрын

    Iran has many anti missile defense system which includes russian s300. That's the reason israel has taken so long to attack iran

  • @cspace1234nz

    @cspace1234nz

    13 күн бұрын

    @@masternobin …they’re a bit useless if they can’t lock onto anything. I’m sure they work just fine when they’re practicing against the Iranian Air Force F-14s

  • @rocksolid1976

    @rocksolid1976

    13 күн бұрын

    ​@masternobin hopefully not too much longer. Farsi should be a language of the past.

  • @rhughes3674
    @rhughes367414 күн бұрын

    Alex, thank you for trusting your audience to handle some nuance and context. At least some of us out here get it.

  • @roberthevern6169

    @roberthevern6169

    14 күн бұрын

    Yes, yes we do! Thanks Mr Hollings, the king of nuance!

  • @jloiben12
    @jloiben1214 күн бұрын

    Up to half of Iran’s missiles failing to work properly is peak Iran

  • @ChargeNReact

    @ChargeNReact

    14 күн бұрын

    What flavor is the ShillBox Kewl-Aide these days? Must be delicious.

  • @bradcraig5111

    @bradcraig5111

    14 күн бұрын

    ​@@ChargeNReactYou would know.

  • @quvy338

    @quvy338

    14 күн бұрын

    well, thats according to the US

  • @jloiben12

    @jloiben12

    14 күн бұрын

    @@ChargeNReact I don’t know. Why don’t you tell me since you seem to be the one throating that bottle?

  • @jloiben12

    @jloiben12

    14 күн бұрын

    @@quvy338 Yes. According the the country that sees the entire Pacific, can see balloons taking off in Asia, is one of the countries that was defending against the attack, and can see (from space) the writing on top of buildings in Iran

  • @LukeBunyip
    @LukeBunyip14 күн бұрын

    I hope Perun covers this in the future. This type of analysis is his happy place.

  • @bestestusername

    @bestestusername

    13 күн бұрын

    ha true that, the economics and politics is his thing thats for sure

  • @RobBCactive

    @RobBCactive

    13 күн бұрын

    Yes, there seems to be factors left out to positively spin the conclusion he made before examining it all. The defence has to stand and is costly, while Israel depended on allies flying in Syria for strategic depth, plus there was clearly warning of this attack. Israel having radicalised populations near it's borders, historically dispossessed of land, happy to receive relatively cheap weapons which will over time improve. US & Israeli attacks on militias are like cutting the head from a hydra. More pop up from whence they've come with oppression and instability meaning alternative careers are hard to come by. The punitive actions buy at great cost temporary illusion of security. Then there is the chilling effect of not living in peace for Israelis, there are other strategic effects and I have noticed Kremlin bots are encouraging Israeli escalation to continue this process, probably to divert attention from Ukraine. Now it has become clear that the USA may be isolationist and not the reliable dependable partner of the pre-Trump era. Finally there is the opportunity cost of not building peace, seething populations held down by autocrats and military regimes can change sides. This fortress strategy oppressing Moslem populations is breeding conflict with no end in sight. US intervention in the Middle East has had poor results.

  • @stcredzero
    @stcredzero14 күн бұрын

    Financial Attrition: My alliance in Eve Online did this. There was this guy who ran a cruiser with drones. He'd almost always get taken down. The thing was, he'd always take with him 3X or more times the value of enemy ships. So our alliance kept buying him new ships and equipment. The US and NATO need to start developing super cheap drones that can take down other drones. We already have anti-ship missiles that can allocate targets between them. Just apply that tech to drones.

  • @Adroit1911

    @Adroit1911

    14 күн бұрын

    There is a little drone company in Utah that is working with the military and DOJ..... 🤔

  • @dongiovanni4331

    @dongiovanni4331

    14 күн бұрын

    Point Defense Lasers are close

  • @toasteroven6761

    @toasteroven6761

    14 күн бұрын

    @@Adroit1911 anti-drone drones?

  • @OGUNite

    @OGUNite

    14 күн бұрын

    America called in alot of favors for Saturday night. I doubt they can call it again. Many of these nations just don't want another Western War in their region. Think about it first. The War in Iraq which destabilized the region. The Deal with Iran which emboldened them and created the Houthi issue. Leaving Iraq which created ISIS. Supporting the Arab Spring which destabilized the entire region and boosted ISIS. Which also helped spark the Syrian Civil war which pushed refugees into all neighboring countries. All this for what? Oil we don't need and terrorism that is fuelled by our involvement in a region 10k miles away. LEAVE THAT AREA ALONE. I mean Natty Boy literally bragged about feeding the snake that eventually bit him in October. Seems like America is getting involved in someone else's bad domestic policy Again. Not to mention the INCALCULABLE LOSS of soft power we have suffered over this. This conflict has made it clear to the World that "Wh**e mean Right" in the eyes of the US and presenting that optic to the 80% of the World that does fit that category and that hold 80% of the raw material needed to sustain Western society is a strategic Loss. It will alot harder for America to make the sweet heart deals it historically had access to.. 80 years of being the "honest broker" down the drain.

  • @alexfortin7209

    @alexfortin7209

    14 күн бұрын

    Try everything and keep trying because we’re at Drone Warfare 0.3 Public Alpha.

  • @maxb6769
    @maxb676914 күн бұрын

    Iran basically got a participation trophy and tells people they won 😂😂😂

  • @KSmithwick1989

    @KSmithwick1989

    14 күн бұрын

    No, it's really more that they cost the Israelis a huge amount of money. Relative to what they committed themselves. Overall it's just a political show of force. Which each side working off separate objectives.

  • @rdf098311

    @rdf098311

    14 күн бұрын

    @@KSmithwick1989did u watch the video?

  • @Atheos-1

    @Atheos-1

    14 күн бұрын

    In reality it's Israel that only participated in its air defense, so they win the participation trophy.

  • @teddy.d174

    @teddy.d174

    14 күн бұрын

    Iran barely even received the participation trophy.

  • @mike4769

    @mike4769

    14 күн бұрын

    Israel was baiting iran to respond so Israel could get the green light for a precision strike on irans nuclear facilities. 🎣

  • @ElonMuckX
    @ElonMuckX14 күн бұрын

    Iran: $50M for ~1% accuracy Israel: $1B for ~99% accuracy Iran would have to spend $1B for 20% accuracy

  • @Maverick7154
    @Maverick715414 күн бұрын

    This is award winning journalism at its best!

  • @justmyopinion8395

    @justmyopinion8395

    4 күн бұрын

    Although high quality and informative, his videos are full of bias. Journalism should be impartial.

  • @konekillerking
    @konekillerking14 күн бұрын

    There is another KZread channel screaming about this. They say that the aircraft should have only used the canons on the aircraft to shoot the drones down. Apparently, that many of the drones fly near or below stall spread for a jet didn't cross his mind. Or the need to fire and forget to acquire new targets. Active defense will be more expensive, that's one of the driving forces behind the laser systems being developed to hit close in targets.

  • @ThatGuyKazz

    @ThatGuyKazz

    14 күн бұрын

    also air craft typically only carry enough ammo for their guns to fire for less than 20 seconds total.

  • @ChucksSEADnDEAD

    @ChucksSEADnDEAD

    14 күн бұрын

    ​@@ThatGuyKazz Burst limiters take care of that.

  • @thorwaldjohanson2526

    @thorwaldjohanson2526

    14 күн бұрын

    More like 3 seconds of gun fire for the f35. Other jets are usually in the 5-7s range. Modern jets only carry enough ammo for a few bursts. Guns are rarely used anyways.

  • @pogo1140

    @pogo1140

    14 күн бұрын

    ​​@@ThatGuyKazz F-15 and F-16 7 an 5 seconds.

  • @maddantt7757
    @maddantt775714 күн бұрын

    You are indeed Alex Hollings, and that was in fact another excellent video. Thank you, sir!

  • @treyaldridge1757
    @treyaldridge175714 күн бұрын

    Here's the thing about the cost exchange ratio, it's a terrible way to look at war. Militaries don't pay by the round fired, they pay to acquire it. So while yes, it will deplete their stockpile and force them to acquire more, they aren't spending millions of dollars to intercept the missiles, they're using their multi million dollar safety system to defend against a threat that could potentially cost billions in damage. And the other thing is that in many cases, depleting stockpiles ends up benefitting the defending nation, the US and NATO allies aiding Ukraine is a perfect example of this. By getting rid of all the stuff just sitting in storage (again, that's already been paid for), enough budget and resources are freed up to allow for acquiring newer, more advanced systems.

  • @raidellcorps

    @raidellcorps

    14 күн бұрын

    honest question, does the cost of "keeping" things in storage surpasses the cost of procuring new stocks?

  • @Justme-to6yu

    @Justme-to6yu

    14 күн бұрын

    @@raidellcorps not many people realize that warheads and stockpiles of weaponry degrade over time without expensive maintenance. They “depreciate” the longer it is left unused, until they must be “discarded”. The comparative cost of using existing stockpiles to protect billions of dollars is much cheaper than the alternative.

  • @cotillionfpv8330

    @cotillionfpv8330

    14 күн бұрын

    only problem with that is those missiles were moving at x MACH with ballistic missiles maybe even closer to 20 mach no drone will be able to intercept them

  • @williamwchuang

    @williamwchuang

    14 күн бұрын

    Wrong. If you run out of interceptors you need to quit. Look at Israel's Operation Cast Lead. They ran out of interceptors and entered a ceasefire.

  • @treyaldridge1757

    @treyaldridge1757

    13 күн бұрын

    @@williamwchuang completely missing the point. It can have strategic implications, but from a purely cost standpoint, it is more beneficial to use those interceptors than it is to not use them.

  • @tbe0116
    @tbe011614 күн бұрын

    I’m pretty sure those missiles and drones would have caused more than $1B in damage.

  • @DoctorMandible

    @DoctorMandible

    14 күн бұрын

    Whoosh. The point is those expensive missiles will run out before the cheap drones do.

  • @tbe0116

    @tbe0116

    14 күн бұрын

    @@DoctorMandible It would be really simple to build dirt cheap drone interceptors. The current tech was built with much faster and smaller munitions in mind. This isn’t a tactic that’s going to bankrupt anyone.

  • @mugbeer9440

    @mugbeer9440

    14 күн бұрын

    @@DoctorMandible”whoosh” just say “you missed the point” or some shit

  • @IndigoSeirra

    @IndigoSeirra

    14 күн бұрын

    ​@@DoctorMandibleMy guy. Iran's GDP is half of the American defense budget. I think they'll be fine.

  • @asherwiggin6456

    @asherwiggin6456

    14 күн бұрын

    @@tbe0116would these drones be interceptors in the classical sense that they would come in range of the target and destroy with a reusable weapons system or are they suicide interceptors? Either way, they would probably be more expensive than you’re alluding to. Likely not as expensive as a missile but still expensive, and don’t forget that an atmospheric drone can’t engage a ballistic missile.

  • @johnadams7402
    @johnadams740214 күн бұрын

    Well done. Thanks for the work you put in to these videos.

  • @markb8468
    @markb846814 күн бұрын

    Excellent breakdown. Thanks for contextualyzing this.

  • @givemeabreak8784
    @givemeabreak878414 күн бұрын

    Now let's see how good the Iranian defense is. Shall we?

  • @johnbeaulieu2404
    @johnbeaulieu240414 күн бұрын

    Great analysis Alex.

  • @ScentlessSun

    @ScentlessSun

    14 күн бұрын

    Thank you.

  • @lelandcarlson1668
    @lelandcarlson166813 күн бұрын

    Thank you Alex for providing the context of this situation. Always learning something new from your videos. Well done!

  • @dylanwho
    @dylanwho13 күн бұрын

    On behalf of the internet, we absolutely love nuance and especially context. Thanks for the great work as always.

  • @glenn5328
    @glenn532814 күн бұрын

    When it’s war the financial cost doesn’t matter…unless you lose!

  • @tedarcher9120

    @tedarcher9120

    14 күн бұрын

    Unless you win

  • @redskin6146

    @redskin6146

    14 күн бұрын

    It doesn't matter to Israel because US and European tax money pays for those weapons.

  • @helifanodobezanozi7689

    @helifanodobezanozi7689

    14 күн бұрын

    There is such a thing as a pyrrhic victory, especially if you are part of a democratic system. Even governments that "win" wars can be replaced.

  • @wh0_am_152

    @wh0_am_152

    14 күн бұрын

    Ever heard of a pyrrhic victory?

  • @mowabb

    @mowabb

    14 күн бұрын

    Not true, the expensive weapons tend to take longer to acquire and replace. Cheap weapons are easily produced and can overwhelm the enemy

  • @sethb3090
    @sethb309014 күн бұрын

    It annoys me when people say an interceptor missile is way more expensive than a drone, and therefore not worth it. You know what's way more expensive than an interceptor missile? _A fully loaded and crewed cargo ship where real people might die on top of that_

  • @KSmithwick1989

    @KSmithwick1989

    14 күн бұрын

    Except there weren't cargo ships involved, and that's not the point of the argument. Which is the defending side will go broke, while the attacker doesn't have to spend as much.

  • @sethb3090

    @sethb3090

    14 күн бұрын

    @@KSmithwick1989 I wasn't talking about this attack specifically, just the rhetoric around intercepts in general. Most of that recently has been about Houthi missiles and drones.

  • @williamwchuang

    @williamwchuang

    14 күн бұрын

    The point is that you run out of interceptors before the cheap missiles. How are you missing that?

  • @sethb3090

    @sethb3090

    14 күн бұрын

    @@williamwchuang yeah, it's always easier to throw things at someone than to stop them without hurting them

  • @buildmotosykletist1987

    @buildmotosykletist1987

    14 күн бұрын

    @KSmithwick1989 : Why do you Islmc bots always use Western names? Are you that ashamed of your Islmc name?

  • @pathfinderdiscovery9395
    @pathfinderdiscovery939514 күн бұрын

    You explained that perfect , we were wondering that at work , so ima sure this video

  • @geronim00
    @geronim0014 күн бұрын

    Awesome video, subscribed 😊

  • @johnmadick4706
    @johnmadick470614 күн бұрын

    The hidden Iranian cost is the loss of sales due to poor showing from their weapons.

  • @gikigill788

    @gikigill788

    14 күн бұрын

    WHO is lining up for Iranian weaponry 😂😂

  • @willythemailboy2

    @willythemailboy2

    14 күн бұрын

    @@gikigill788 Russia, mostly. Everyone else who uses Iranian weapons are given those weapons by Iran in exchange for doing Iran's bidding. The three H's come to mind there, but basically every terrorist group in the region is supported by Iran in one way or another.

  • @mattpima123

    @mattpima123

    14 күн бұрын

    Russia

  • @AMBEE-sp2ev

    @AMBEE-sp2ev

    14 күн бұрын

    ​@@gikigill788Only terrorists.

  • @chalo4792

    @chalo4792

    14 күн бұрын

    ​@@gikigill788 freedom fighters

  • @williamurbanblackiii1729
    @williamurbanblackiii172914 күн бұрын

    I think with the proliferation of directed energy air defense systems there will be much less of this sentiment that it costs the defender more to defend themselves than it takes for the attacker to conduct the attack

  • @hanrockabrand95

    @hanrockabrand95

    14 күн бұрын

    No one is fielding those systems yet, and we don't know how effective they'll be in real world conditions. If they do work well, then yes. But it's also going to take a lot of successes before it offsets the R&D costs.

  • @williamurbanblackiii1729

    @williamurbanblackiii1729

    14 күн бұрын

    @@hanrockabrand95 I think they've been fielded in some warships of the USN and Chinese navy. I'm skeptical about the effectiveness too, but they wouldn't be pursued so hard if they didn't prove themselves yk

  • @IndigoSeirra

    @IndigoSeirra

    14 күн бұрын

    Drones are the only thing that might be affected by lasers. They are slow enough to allow for the long engagement times a laser needs, and also doesn't have any thermal shielding, like most missiles do. As for missiles, no. Only the smallest of those will be even slightly affected.

  • @toddn.3123

    @toddn.3123

    14 күн бұрын

    Directed energy weapons (DEWs) present a unique set of challenges in military applications, primarily due to their limited range. The effectiveness of DEWs decreases with distance, necessitating a significant increase in power output to maintain their impact on distant targets. Moreover, the atmospheric conditions through which the laser travels can cause deflection and deformation of the beam, further complicating the targeting process. This means that operators must maintain the laser on the target for an extended period to deliver enough energy to inflict damage, akin to trying to burn a moving ant with a magnifying glass while clouds intermittently block the sun. Given these difficulties, the future of mid-range defense may lie in the development of magnetic railguns equipped with maneuverable projectiles. These railguns offer a more feasible and cost-effective solution for intercepting targets at medium distances, potentially becoming the go-to technology in the near future.... only time will tell!

  • @williamurbanblackiii1729

    @williamurbanblackiii1729

    14 күн бұрын

    @@IndigoSeirra the technology is constantly improving. I don't mean the lasers of today, I mean the lasers of tomorrow

  • @alexvinson7373
    @alexvinson737314 күн бұрын

    Iran has found out the saturation point is above what they sent, especially if there is a US carrier group in the Med. Gonna send a lot more next time to see if they can find the saturation point.

  • @brianloomis9351
    @brianloomis935114 күн бұрын

    An excellent and well thought through presentation. You brought up perspectives that I had not thought about.

  • @cccalifornia7206
    @cccalifornia720614 күн бұрын

    Thanks Alex 👍🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸

  • @blakegoulds8313
    @blakegoulds831314 күн бұрын

    I keep hearing "99 percent intercepted" yet 7 made it to target out of 300. That's less than 98 percent intercepted.

  • @lukefiggins6851

    @lukefiggins6851

    14 күн бұрын

    '7 made it to Israel' is what he said, he did not say that 7 hit their targets. Missiles neutralised 1 mile from its target does as much damage to the target as a missile neutralised 100 miles from the target.

  • @Vexas345

    @Vexas345

    13 күн бұрын

    It was allegedly around 320, but the public doesn't have exact figures anyway. But I would've said 95%+ so people wouldn't squabble over a few irrelevant percentage points. Anything over 90% is fantastic.

  • @horstnietzsche1923

    @horstnietzsche1923

    13 күн бұрын

    You are correct the real rate would be 97.7% assuming those numbers are exact. People often use hyperbolic phrases instead of accurate ones.

  • @wagnerfamily4229
    @wagnerfamily422914 күн бұрын

    Great analysis and thank you for it.

  • @BorKagan777
    @BorKagan77714 күн бұрын

    Thank you for the great analysis.

  • @ricky1231
    @ricky123114 күн бұрын

    The cost of interception should factor in the cost of the damage that was prevented or assets protected. If that is included then interceptor missiles are almost always cost effective!!!!! Especially whilst intercepting cruise missiles or ballistic missiles that have more distructive effects & are themselves more expensive to produce

  • @raidellcorps

    @raidellcorps

    14 күн бұрын

    that is true but the thing here is how fast and costly is for a state to replenish the stocks of interceptors missiles vs how fast and costly is to procure more drones and offensive missiles. Kinda like having a sprint runner vs a endurance runner... sort of.

  • @TeoUnreleased

    @TeoUnreleased

    14 күн бұрын

    @@raidellcorpspeople act like they don’t have a stockpile of the same missiles waiting to be loaded the Patriot missile system should be a prime example since they have been reportedly made 10,000 missiles

  • @Angl0sax0nknight
    @Angl0sax0nknight14 күн бұрын

    Wonder if irans failure has China having second thoughts on Taiwan

  • @hamubice1551

    @hamubice1551

    14 күн бұрын

    Given that we already know a lot of China's missiles have had their fuel swapped out for water, I'd say they're becoming increasingly hesitant lol

  • @osric1730

    @osric1730

    14 күн бұрын

    @@hamubice1551 That story was a load of cobblers.

  • @haihengh

    @haihengh

    14 күн бұрын

    well, they reported it's Iran's success, and the fact is China is much more capable than Iran, they can produce 100x more missiles and drones with the industrial capacity, and Taiwan does not have as good as air defense compare to Israel, so China may look at this as encouragement rather than discouragement. the underline fact is, Taiwan people are not prepared for war, Israel had been in war none stop, and as worse as it sounds, China and Taiwan are all Chinese, they are not trying to kill each other, so Taiwan's civilians may worry losing their freedom and their way of living, they hardly worry about China will wipe them off. while Israel, they are pretty sure they will be killed, everyone of them by enemy if they fail to protect their country.

  • @Truspio

    @Truspio

    14 күн бұрын

    When the US allows itself to get dragged in a full scale war with Iran, it will surely give China a second thoughts about Taiwan

  • @zzzaccounting5924

    @zzzaccounting5924

    14 күн бұрын

    ​@@haihenghThey have the chips required for this war??

  • @marksanney2088
    @marksanney208814 күн бұрын

    Very interesting report, my friend. Greatly appreciated the manner in which you broke down the numbers. Thank you again for your informative, accurate and objective vlogs. 👍🏻🇺🇸🦅🇺🇸👍🏻

  • @Gallagher2112
    @Gallagher211214 күн бұрын

    Always appreciate your succinct analysis. We’ll done sir.

  • @DS-sn9jk
    @DS-sn9jk14 күн бұрын

    If irans defense functions like its offense..... lolololololololololol. 😂😂😂😂

  • @MattMajcan

    @MattMajcan

    14 күн бұрын

    if irans defense functions like its offense than the us, uk, france, germany, jordan, and israel will all have to team up to even have any chance at all

  • @DS-sn9jk

    @DS-sn9jk

    14 күн бұрын

    @@MattMajcan Kinda a long title for that science fiction book you're writing. Lololol.

  • @octonoozle

    @octonoozle

    14 күн бұрын

    Iran Dome

  • @DS-sn9jk

    @DS-sn9jk

    13 күн бұрын

    @@octonoozle they might be catching warheads on their foreheads. Lololol

  • @uncommonlogic1698
    @uncommonlogic169814 күн бұрын

    Never in my life did I think " hold on I am using my 45, what other cheaper bullets do I have?" It's a budgetary analysis metric, like forecasting sales.

  • @petegossett5494
    @petegossett549414 күн бұрын

    I appreciate these videos where you really dig into the dollars & cents behind defense.

  • @qigong1001
    @qigong100114 күн бұрын

    Iran just proved their offense is useless. Never seen such weakness.

  • @Hidden-truth-revealed

    @Hidden-truth-revealed

    14 күн бұрын

    They did not even try to be offense

  • @hanrockabrand95

    @hanrockabrand95

    14 күн бұрын

    I don't put much stock in Iran's tech, but this recent attack wasn't designed to beat Israel. It was just a warning shot. Otherwise they wouldn't have warned anyone, and they wouldn't have narrated the start and stop of the attack.

  • @killingyouwithlogic5808

    @killingyouwithlogic5808

    14 күн бұрын

    @@Hidden-truth-revealed Thats a stupid thing to say!!! 350 Missiles and drones launched is 100% offensive!

  • @B01

    @B01

    14 күн бұрын

    ​@@Hidden-truth-revealed 60 tons, they sent over 60 tons of explosives. How you see that as "not offensive" is something those of us based in civilization will never understand

  • @Cryosxify

    @Cryosxify

    14 күн бұрын

    ​@@killingyouwithlogic5808one that was telegraphed to prevent escalation

  • @The_ZeroLine
    @The_ZeroLine14 күн бұрын

    Did just Iran?

  • @deloughi1887

    @deloughi1887

    14 күн бұрын

    He's title dyslexic.....

  • @michaelgautreaux3168
    @michaelgautreaux316814 күн бұрын

    Many thanx Alex, always the best 👍👍

  • @Musix4me-Clarinet
    @Musix4me-Clarinet14 күн бұрын

    I can't find my earlier post, but well said.

  • @Lizardforce
    @Lizardforce14 күн бұрын

    Great as always Alex!

  • @ScentlessSun

    @ScentlessSun

    14 күн бұрын

    Thank you.

  • @smisma4600
    @smisma460014 күн бұрын

    The US's gdp is 50 times that of Iran, so yeah the west can afford that cost exchange ratio.

  • @Cryosxify

    @Cryosxify

    14 күн бұрын

    the West can, can Israel

  • @walkingcarpet420

    @walkingcarpet420

    14 күн бұрын

    Cool, how many billion dollar days do you think the US & Israel can afford?

  • @randomuser5443

    @randomuser5443

    14 күн бұрын

    @@walkingcarpet420infinity.

  • @IndigoSeirra

    @IndigoSeirra

    14 күн бұрын

    ​@@walkingcarpet420They can decide to permanently stop paying billions on interceptors any time they want.

  • @Charles-pf7zy

    @Charles-pf7zy

    14 күн бұрын

    Uhhh, we voters have power too. If we don’t wanna spend x% of our tax dollars on intercepting Iranian missiles then we’re gonna vote somebody else In.

  • @josecuervo3351
    @josecuervo335114 күн бұрын

    Brilliant analysis!

  • @andrewcliffe4753
    @andrewcliffe475314 күн бұрын

    I am not particularly fascinated by this subject but I always watch it first because of Alex brilliant delivery

  • @luckyno888
    @luckyno88814 күн бұрын

    All said ... an expensive fireworks display.

  • @benmurray8903

    @benmurray8903

    14 күн бұрын

    Might be expensive for Israel as far as cost of munitions expended, but Iran just suffered the cost of poor QC with how many failures occurred in Iranian munitions before they reached their targets.

  • @abdiganiaden
    @abdiganiaden14 күн бұрын

    We are loving in an age where the sword is outpacing the shield Of course defending costs much higher

  • @scottfrost6537
    @scottfrost653714 күн бұрын

    New segment LETS GOOOO

  • @samueldysart
    @samueldysart14 күн бұрын

    Cool. I like the analysis. Make a video on production time of each missile and drone used. On both sides. Time is hard to get around compared to money.

  • @captjinxmarine9832
    @captjinxmarine983214 күн бұрын

    Iran suffers from failure to launch syndrome.

  • @willythemailboy2

    @willythemailboy2

    14 күн бұрын

    Might be more appropriate to call it launching to failure.

  • @strykenine7902
    @strykenine790214 күн бұрын

    All Iran managed to show is that when you attack one member of an alliance, you aren't really attacking one member of an alliance.

  • @Justanotherconsumer

    @Justanotherconsumer

    14 күн бұрын

    Except that Israel has burned bridges with a lot of their allies so… don’t expect too much.

  • @strykenine7902

    @strykenine7902

    14 күн бұрын

    @@Justanotherconsumer Oh, I had no idea. Someone should tell France, the UK and the USA before this happens again.

  • @KSmithwick1989

    @KSmithwick1989

    14 күн бұрын

    ​@@strykenine7902 It's kind of subjective with France and the UK. As they're more concerned with Ukraine, which is in an actual war.

  • @strykenine7902

    @strykenine7902

    14 күн бұрын

    @@KSmithwick1989 Hey bro I think you should know that Iran has been supplying some of the drones the Russians have been using. This isn't widely known among certain groups of people, and I think you might be in one of those groups. Tell your friends.

  • @KSmithwick1989

    @KSmithwick1989

    14 күн бұрын

    @@strykenine7902 Correct Shahed 131/136 are known in Russian service as Geran-1/2.

  • @jamesharris8951
    @jamesharris895114 күн бұрын

    Nicely Done!

  • @chaosfenix
    @chaosfenix14 күн бұрын

    Great video. Money matters but the context matters more. It isn't to say that we shouldn't do things to lower those costs if possible but just because something is expensive doesn't mean it is overpriced and it doesn't mean it isn't worth it or that it is a bad value. Cost ≠ Value.

  • @howhigh0521
    @howhigh052114 күн бұрын

    Read that tittle and tell me what’s wrong with it😂

  • @The_ZeroLine

    @The_ZeroLine

    14 күн бұрын

    Tittle?

  • @andyk939

    @andyk939

    14 күн бұрын

    @@The_ZeroLine lol

  • @deanknight7133

    @deanknight7133

    14 күн бұрын

    That's how you know we are in the matrix and this is just propaganda

  • @jamesjross

    @jamesjross

    14 күн бұрын

    You're both morons?

  • @jamesjross

    @jamesjross

    14 күн бұрын

    @@The_ZeroLine face plam

  • @AscenderPrime
    @AscenderPrime14 күн бұрын

    It was a calculated warning clearly

  • @LSmoney215

    @LSmoney215

    14 күн бұрын

    No it wasn’t

  • @benjaminmiller6376
    @benjaminmiller637614 күн бұрын

    Love this analysis

  • @billhanna2148

    @billhanna2148

    14 күн бұрын

    Actually this was a BRILLIANT job by Iran as it gets to "say" it is done with its reprisals against Israel AND it gives Netanyahu ZERO cause to do anything...ask Biden

  • @Musix4me-Clarinet
    @Musix4me-Clarinet14 күн бұрын

    _I feel heard!_ Just a note: I did not necessarily believe Iran was winning anything outside of the financial exchange. I realize the bigger picture is grim for Iran.

  • @jerseyshoredroneservices225
    @jerseyshoredroneservices22514 күн бұрын

    We used about $1B worth of missiles. SM3s aint cheap...

  • @Myth1c1003

    @Myth1c1003

    14 күн бұрын

    The math ain't mathing, it's about $4M for a SM3

  • @IndigoSeirra

    @IndigoSeirra

    14 күн бұрын

    My manz are pulling numbers out of their ass. According to official sites, each sm3 costs around 9.6 million. US officials stated 4 to 7 sm3s were used to defend against Iran's missiles. That means it cost at most 67.2 million or at least 38.4 million. That's a far cry from 1 billion, but still a lot of money.

  • @jerseyshoredroneservices225

    @jerseyshoredroneservices225

    14 күн бұрын

    @@Myth1c1003 My name isn't Perune LOL My comment was just making a point not presenting a P & L statement lol

  • @allenhayesmusic
    @allenhayesmusic14 күн бұрын

    Foreign Policy: FAFO

  • @porthose2002
    @porthose200213 күн бұрын

    May I make a topic suggestion, please? With Iran sending 300 missiles and drones Israel's way and 5 to 7 countries involved in shooting them down, how was the coordination performed between the nations to ensure that each incoming was handled in priority order and without overlap? One of the things that stands out to me is that all of these militaries were able to work together in what seems like a seamless manner to address a single high intensity event. I'd love to learn more about that. Thanks for all of your work, Alex!

  • @privacyvalued4134
    @privacyvalued413414 күн бұрын

    If you want to experience what Alex is talking about for yourself, play Creeper World or a similar resource flow RTS. In Creeper World, the player can sustain a significant energy deficit for a very long time with only mild negative effects. It's possible to do that because more energy is constantly being brought in to replenish what is being used up. Most RTS games aren't suitable for this demonstration because they require resources to be stockpiled before the game will allow construction whereas resource flow RTS games create resource starvation opportunities as the game progresses and the battle expands further and further away from the main base.

  • @csonracsonra9962
    @csonracsonra996214 күн бұрын

    They're name is I Ran, I rest my case

  • @alordswatchman
    @alordswatchman14 күн бұрын

    Once Mighty Russia can't defend Moscow, St.Petersburg or Crimea. Tiny Israel performed a miracle with the help from a few friends.

  • @paulflocken2730

    @paulflocken2730

    14 күн бұрын

    What a shame those few friends won't help Ukraine.

  • @johnking4221
    @johnking422114 күн бұрын

    Excellent reporting

  • @opsecactual6269
    @opsecactual626914 күн бұрын

    Nicely put my friend

  • @jaanikaapa6925
    @jaanikaapa692514 күн бұрын

    They didn't fail in kinetic diplomacy. Iran won. Israel's defense shows that they are actually paper tiger. They are a super power in the region, still it took Israel, Saudis, USA, Jordania and so on to keep the status quo in the region. Remember, Iran informed about the attack, they told the attack sources, times and locations. Iran never wanted it to succeed in damage. They did, however, show Israel's weakness in its own defense. What if there hadn't been any announcements?

  • @tedarcher9120

    @tedarcher9120

    14 күн бұрын

    You think US wouldn't know if Iran didn't tell them? They only told because they knew US knew anyway and they would look bad

  • @jaanikaapa6925

    @jaanikaapa6925

    14 күн бұрын

    @@tedarcher9120 USA is different from Saudis and Jordania, etc. US would have known something was up. The scope would have overwhelmed them... And really, USA has a history of ignoring the evidence that lead into bad things.

  • @RANDO4743

    @RANDO4743

    14 күн бұрын

    Iran didn't inform anybody of anything,it was a MASSIVE failure

  • @ChucksSEADnDEAD

    @ChucksSEADnDEAD

    14 күн бұрын

    Holy mother of cope, batman!

  • @jaanikaapa6925

    @jaanikaapa6925

    14 күн бұрын

    @@ChucksSEADnDEAD Huh?

  • @VIPK9
    @VIPK914 күн бұрын

    United States sent them the iron dome and all the ammunition used for it, I have a feeling US is not going to keep wanting to send then more Ammo and Iron domes if they keeps going

  • @notanymore9471

    @notanymore9471

    14 күн бұрын

    Iron Dome is an Israeli system and it doesn’t use “ammunition” it fires missiles. The US has the patriot system.

  • @phartbay327

    @phartbay327

    14 күн бұрын

    Can Iran keep going financially?

  • @bradcraig5111

    @bradcraig5111

    14 күн бұрын

    Not going to happen.

  • @RobertTapia

    @RobertTapia

    14 күн бұрын

    Not if Israel keeps going against what USA tells them. USA said stop, yahuu said no! Pull the financial aid then... No?

  • @the_rzh

    @the_rzh

    14 күн бұрын

    Iron Dome is an israeli system. The US had two batteries it had evaluated for base-defense but never deployed so they were sent back. Israel wanted to use US aid money to build Iron Dome rockets, but that's not how US aid works. Israel has to buy from US defense industry, so they contracted with Raytheon to build the rockets at higher cost. This way US funds get spent in the US.

  • @exmcairgunner
    @exmcairgunner14 күн бұрын

    The closing statement really nailed it, people just don’t have a stomach for reality.

  • @gospon
    @gospon14 күн бұрын

    regarding cost exchange ratio, I strongly believe that you should take into account prevented damage

  • @silenciummortum2193
    @silenciummortum219312 күн бұрын

    I LOVE this channel…

  • @danielb9545
    @danielb954514 күн бұрын

    Well said

  • @Sitzenleben
    @Sitzenleben11 күн бұрын

    Also lives were saved and those lives are priceless

  • @amca68
    @amca6814 күн бұрын

    Firepower. Sweet.

  • @mrricky3816
    @mrricky381614 күн бұрын

    Thanks!

  • @mikemike9399
    @mikemike939914 күн бұрын

    Sandboxx, you should watch independent journalists, e.g. Redacted, who provided evidence that an Israeli military runway and two Iron Domes were damaged in the attacks.

  • @robertbollinger3702
    @robertbollinger370213 күн бұрын

    They just proved that nobody can.

  • @jmanj3917
    @jmanj391714 күн бұрын

    17:40 Very true, Brother.

  • @B-leafer
    @B-leafer13 күн бұрын

    Awesome analysis

  • @danlemke6407
    @danlemke640714 күн бұрын

    That's a hell of a headline.

  • @purexhavoc9777
    @purexhavoc977713 күн бұрын

    people compare cost for cost without taking into account the potential cost of damage of property and lives that were prevented.

  • @Mike80528
    @Mike8052813 күн бұрын

    The disproportionate cost of defending against attacks is why no nation will sit on defense for long before going on the offensive to take out the capabilities of their adversary.

  • @Babystay22
    @Babystay2214 күн бұрын

    hi alex .its good to hear you provide specific deatails for this topic, the cost is to high for israel indeed.on the other hand the advancement of laser tech, will paved the way for this although it takes time.

  • @johnhiggs325
    @johnhiggs32514 күн бұрын

    Thanks for taking us down that rabbit hole. Average folks have no concept of the costs of war or how many factors go into calculating and comparing those costs. Most people just can’t wrap their heads around such complex matters. I delved into mil spec equipment development and production costs a few years ago to better understand why a civilian Freightliner truck from the 80’s was so much cheaper than a mil spec one. The difference between them seems so minor on the surface, but “the devil is in the details.”

  • @michaelrtreat
    @michaelrtreat13 күн бұрын

    Great analysis

  • @wbball15
    @wbball1514 күн бұрын

    Hey, Hollings, hope you're doing well. Scrooge McDuck was a great clip.

  • @mortezamoradi3514
    @mortezamoradi35147 күн бұрын

    Peace is very expensive where diplomacy is absent.

  • @RedSinter
    @RedSinter14 күн бұрын

    Excellent accessmejt 18:31 to Alex.

  • @suninmoon4601
    @suninmoon460113 күн бұрын

    "I know the internet hates nuance and hates context maybe even more, ..." 😆

  • @skaboodlydoodle
    @skaboodlydoodle14 күн бұрын

    Economics is always a factor of war.

  • @shantanusapru
    @shantanusapru13 күн бұрын

    One of the few times I really disagree with this guy...

  • @beeflow2638
    @beeflow263813 күн бұрын

    So, in conflicts between nations, all assets are on the table at all times. Good perspective, good philosophy, good morality.

  • @joevaccaro6655
    @joevaccaro665512 күн бұрын

    Quality broadcasting 💯. I’ve heard Marine Corps pilots say there is a lot of overlap between themselves and Navy pilots, and some even say “no difference.” I understand they are both Naval Aviators, but is there any difference between them?

  • @thomasmcdonald9022
    @thomasmcdonald902214 күн бұрын

    Interesting 😮

  • @criticalevent
    @criticalevent14 күн бұрын

    Good news everyone, a country with thousands of ballistic and cruise missiles, can't be sure where they'll land.

  • @benjones4365
    @benjones436511 күн бұрын

    $50 mil is an expensive fireworks show

  • @ycplum7062
    @ycplum706213 күн бұрын

    There is another thing to consider, the training value and system assessment data of the coalition forces. While the value is difficult to convert to money, they are quite valuable.

  • @emptee2520
    @emptee252014 күн бұрын

    Great analysis, Alex. Add to that the loss in prestige to Iran’s capabilities as a regional power and weapons supplier. Not a good day for Iran. Unless the whole thing was done for domestic consumption, that is.