Did Iran just prove Israel can't afford to defend itself?
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-- Break --
On Saturday, Iranian forces launched some 330 cruise missiles, ballistic missiles, and drones in an ill-fated attack on Israel, resulting in more than 99% of the weapons either being intercepted, or failing before they reached their targets.
But was Israel's defense really a victory? With the cost of interceptors used to down these inbound weapons sometimes outstripping the cost of the weapons themselves by 10 to 1 or more, did Saturday's attack prove Israel's defense is a losing financial proposition?
No, it didn't. So, let's talk about why.
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Citations:
iranprimer.usip.org/resource/...
missilethreat.csis.org/missil...
www.yahoo.com/news/iran-publi...
www.nasic.af.mil/LinkClick.as...
www.reuters.com/article/us-ir...
www.timesofisrael.com/iran-un...
www.newarab.com/news/israels-...
www.wsj.com/livecoverage/isra...
www.iranwatch.org/our-publica...
www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
www.sipri.org/databases/milex
www.inss.org.il/
www.imf.org/external/datamapp...
www.worldometers.info/gdp/gdp...
data.worldbank.org/indicator/...
apnews.com/article/israel-ira...
www.nytimes.com/2024/04/14/wo...
www.bbc.com/news/world-middle...
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@keithbarron3654
14 күн бұрын
For the love of God, straighten that cover! Sorry my eyes go right to it in that corner shelf
@texlong1866
14 күн бұрын
😮
@Thetequilashooter1
14 күн бұрын
Google “DARPA’S GROUNDBREAKING “ACE” PROGRAM AND X-62A BECOMES FIRST AI-CONTROLLED JET TO DOGFIGHT AGAINST MANNED F-16 IN REAL-WORLD” Finally in real life an AI powered fighter went head to head against a manned F-16.
@skylanh4319
13 күн бұрын
Who cares about percent of GDP??? It is still wasted money. Yes the US has way more land and people so our GDP is high. It is still a loss for every dollar we waste. Our government steals taxes from us to fund that as Iran’s government pays for its own missiles using state owned oil. AKA. The West citizens suffer vs Irans government has less money.
@tristangreene9457
12 күн бұрын
So what this video told me is the USA is the only reason this works as a win financially. So we must do our best as Americans to get our country to pull out. Iran showed the world that Israel cannot defend its nation by itself. Definitely a win there.
Cost exchange ratio, a $100,000 missile taken out by a $11,000,000 missile protecting a billion dollar plus target. Cost exchange ratio is very cheap indeed.
@ricky1231
14 күн бұрын
Excellent point and it escapes a lot of people. The cost of what is being protected ultimately is the most important factor plus the cost of the aftermath of its destruction
@12zaf1
14 күн бұрын
The most expensive interceptor israel has is arrow3 ballistic interceptor (3 mln dollars). And iran ballistic mid range ballistic cost much more than 100k dollars.
@jeffs7573
14 күн бұрын
@@12zaf1 those figures I gave were a rough number to get the context of the point I was making. Even using your numbers, my comment is still valid.
@12zaf1
14 күн бұрын
@@jeffs7573 not still valid, but even more valid i would say.
@thorwaldjohanson2526
14 күн бұрын
@@12zaf1yeah, I don't get that 1.3 billion number floating around. It makes absolutely no sense.
Old military axiom. "The first reports are always wrong."
@stcredzero
14 күн бұрын
New axiom: The reports that the first reports are wrong could also be wrong.
@777Outrigger
14 күн бұрын
@@stcredzero 😅
@joetato2227
14 күн бұрын
Said Omar Bradley at receiving the info at the beginning of the battle of the Bulge.
@Mak10z
13 күн бұрын
No plan survives contact with the enemy - Helmuth von Moltke
@alexv3357
13 күн бұрын
@@stcredzero "We apologise again for the fault in the -subtitles- initial reports. Those responsible for sacking the people who have just been sacked, have been sacked."
Does beg the question.... how many missiles can Iran intercept?
@cspace1234nz
14 күн бұрын
….they have no idea because unlike Israel they have not yet been constantly attacked for years forcing them to develop sophisticated defensive systems
@Santirata
14 күн бұрын
I'd wager somewhere close to 0.
@masternobin
14 күн бұрын
Iran has many anti missile defense system which includes russian s300. That's the reason israel has taken so long to attack iran
@cspace1234nz
13 күн бұрын
@@masternobin …they’re a bit useless if they can’t lock onto anything. I’m sure they work just fine when they’re practicing against the Iranian Air Force F-14s
@rocksolid1976
13 күн бұрын
@masternobin hopefully not too much longer. Farsi should be a language of the past.
Alex, thank you for trusting your audience to handle some nuance and context. At least some of us out here get it.
@roberthevern6169
14 күн бұрын
Yes, yes we do! Thanks Mr Hollings, the king of nuance!
Up to half of Iran’s missiles failing to work properly is peak Iran
@ChargeNReact
14 күн бұрын
What flavor is the ShillBox Kewl-Aide these days? Must be delicious.
@bradcraig5111
14 күн бұрын
@@ChargeNReactYou would know.
@quvy338
14 күн бұрын
well, thats according to the US
@jloiben12
14 күн бұрын
@@ChargeNReact I don’t know. Why don’t you tell me since you seem to be the one throating that bottle?
@jloiben12
14 күн бұрын
@@quvy338 Yes. According the the country that sees the entire Pacific, can see balloons taking off in Asia, is one of the countries that was defending against the attack, and can see (from space) the writing on top of buildings in Iran
I hope Perun covers this in the future. This type of analysis is his happy place.
@bestestusername
13 күн бұрын
ha true that, the economics and politics is his thing thats for sure
@RobBCactive
13 күн бұрын
Yes, there seems to be factors left out to positively spin the conclusion he made before examining it all. The defence has to stand and is costly, while Israel depended on allies flying in Syria for strategic depth, plus there was clearly warning of this attack. Israel having radicalised populations near it's borders, historically dispossessed of land, happy to receive relatively cheap weapons which will over time improve. US & Israeli attacks on militias are like cutting the head from a hydra. More pop up from whence they've come with oppression and instability meaning alternative careers are hard to come by. The punitive actions buy at great cost temporary illusion of security. Then there is the chilling effect of not living in peace for Israelis, there are other strategic effects and I have noticed Kremlin bots are encouraging Israeli escalation to continue this process, probably to divert attention from Ukraine. Now it has become clear that the USA may be isolationist and not the reliable dependable partner of the pre-Trump era. Finally there is the opportunity cost of not building peace, seething populations held down by autocrats and military regimes can change sides. This fortress strategy oppressing Moslem populations is breeding conflict with no end in sight. US intervention in the Middle East has had poor results.
Financial Attrition: My alliance in Eve Online did this. There was this guy who ran a cruiser with drones. He'd almost always get taken down. The thing was, he'd always take with him 3X or more times the value of enemy ships. So our alliance kept buying him new ships and equipment. The US and NATO need to start developing super cheap drones that can take down other drones. We already have anti-ship missiles that can allocate targets between them. Just apply that tech to drones.
@Adroit1911
14 күн бұрын
There is a little drone company in Utah that is working with the military and DOJ..... 🤔
@dongiovanni4331
14 күн бұрын
Point Defense Lasers are close
@toasteroven6761
14 күн бұрын
@@Adroit1911 anti-drone drones?
@OGUNite
14 күн бұрын
America called in alot of favors for Saturday night. I doubt they can call it again. Many of these nations just don't want another Western War in their region. Think about it first. The War in Iraq which destabilized the region. The Deal with Iran which emboldened them and created the Houthi issue. Leaving Iraq which created ISIS. Supporting the Arab Spring which destabilized the entire region and boosted ISIS. Which also helped spark the Syrian Civil war which pushed refugees into all neighboring countries. All this for what? Oil we don't need and terrorism that is fuelled by our involvement in a region 10k miles away. LEAVE THAT AREA ALONE. I mean Natty Boy literally bragged about feeding the snake that eventually bit him in October. Seems like America is getting involved in someone else's bad domestic policy Again. Not to mention the INCALCULABLE LOSS of soft power we have suffered over this. This conflict has made it clear to the World that "Wh**e mean Right" in the eyes of the US and presenting that optic to the 80% of the World that does fit that category and that hold 80% of the raw material needed to sustain Western society is a strategic Loss. It will alot harder for America to make the sweet heart deals it historically had access to.. 80 years of being the "honest broker" down the drain.
@alexfortin7209
14 күн бұрын
Try everything and keep trying because we’re at Drone Warfare 0.3 Public Alpha.
Iran basically got a participation trophy and tells people they won 😂😂😂
@KSmithwick1989
14 күн бұрын
No, it's really more that they cost the Israelis a huge amount of money. Relative to what they committed themselves. Overall it's just a political show of force. Which each side working off separate objectives.
@rdf098311
14 күн бұрын
@@KSmithwick1989did u watch the video?
@Atheos-1
14 күн бұрын
In reality it's Israel that only participated in its air defense, so they win the participation trophy.
@teddy.d174
14 күн бұрын
Iran barely even received the participation trophy.
@mike4769
14 күн бұрын
Israel was baiting iran to respond so Israel could get the green light for a precision strike on irans nuclear facilities. 🎣
Iran: $50M for ~1% accuracy Israel: $1B for ~99% accuracy Iran would have to spend $1B for 20% accuracy
This is award winning journalism at its best!
@justmyopinion8395
4 күн бұрын
Although high quality and informative, his videos are full of bias. Journalism should be impartial.
There is another KZread channel screaming about this. They say that the aircraft should have only used the canons on the aircraft to shoot the drones down. Apparently, that many of the drones fly near or below stall spread for a jet didn't cross his mind. Or the need to fire and forget to acquire new targets. Active defense will be more expensive, that's one of the driving forces behind the laser systems being developed to hit close in targets.
@ThatGuyKazz
14 күн бұрын
also air craft typically only carry enough ammo for their guns to fire for less than 20 seconds total.
@ChucksSEADnDEAD
14 күн бұрын
@@ThatGuyKazz Burst limiters take care of that.
@thorwaldjohanson2526
14 күн бұрын
More like 3 seconds of gun fire for the f35. Other jets are usually in the 5-7s range. Modern jets only carry enough ammo for a few bursts. Guns are rarely used anyways.
@pogo1140
14 күн бұрын
@@ThatGuyKazz F-15 and F-16 7 an 5 seconds.
You are indeed Alex Hollings, and that was in fact another excellent video. Thank you, sir!
Here's the thing about the cost exchange ratio, it's a terrible way to look at war. Militaries don't pay by the round fired, they pay to acquire it. So while yes, it will deplete their stockpile and force them to acquire more, they aren't spending millions of dollars to intercept the missiles, they're using their multi million dollar safety system to defend against a threat that could potentially cost billions in damage. And the other thing is that in many cases, depleting stockpiles ends up benefitting the defending nation, the US and NATO allies aiding Ukraine is a perfect example of this. By getting rid of all the stuff just sitting in storage (again, that's already been paid for), enough budget and resources are freed up to allow for acquiring newer, more advanced systems.
@raidellcorps
14 күн бұрын
honest question, does the cost of "keeping" things in storage surpasses the cost of procuring new stocks?
@Justme-to6yu
14 күн бұрын
@@raidellcorps not many people realize that warheads and stockpiles of weaponry degrade over time without expensive maintenance. They “depreciate” the longer it is left unused, until they must be “discarded”. The comparative cost of using existing stockpiles to protect billions of dollars is much cheaper than the alternative.
@cotillionfpv8330
14 күн бұрын
only problem with that is those missiles were moving at x MACH with ballistic missiles maybe even closer to 20 mach no drone will be able to intercept them
@williamwchuang
14 күн бұрын
Wrong. If you run out of interceptors you need to quit. Look at Israel's Operation Cast Lead. They ran out of interceptors and entered a ceasefire.
@treyaldridge1757
13 күн бұрын
@@williamwchuang completely missing the point. It can have strategic implications, but from a purely cost standpoint, it is more beneficial to use those interceptors than it is to not use them.
I’m pretty sure those missiles and drones would have caused more than $1B in damage.
@DoctorMandible
14 күн бұрын
Whoosh. The point is those expensive missiles will run out before the cheap drones do.
@tbe0116
14 күн бұрын
@@DoctorMandible It would be really simple to build dirt cheap drone interceptors. The current tech was built with much faster and smaller munitions in mind. This isn’t a tactic that’s going to bankrupt anyone.
@mugbeer9440
14 күн бұрын
@@DoctorMandible”whoosh” just say “you missed the point” or some shit
@IndigoSeirra
14 күн бұрын
@@DoctorMandibleMy guy. Iran's GDP is half of the American defense budget. I think they'll be fine.
@asherwiggin6456
14 күн бұрын
@@tbe0116would these drones be interceptors in the classical sense that they would come in range of the target and destroy with a reusable weapons system or are they suicide interceptors? Either way, they would probably be more expensive than you’re alluding to. Likely not as expensive as a missile but still expensive, and don’t forget that an atmospheric drone can’t engage a ballistic missile.
Well done. Thanks for the work you put in to these videos.
Excellent breakdown. Thanks for contextualyzing this.
Now let's see how good the Iranian defense is. Shall we?
Great analysis Alex.
@ScentlessSun
14 күн бұрын
Thank you.
Thank you Alex for providing the context of this situation. Always learning something new from your videos. Well done!
On behalf of the internet, we absolutely love nuance and especially context. Thanks for the great work as always.
When it’s war the financial cost doesn’t matter…unless you lose!
@tedarcher9120
14 күн бұрын
Unless you win
@redskin6146
14 күн бұрын
It doesn't matter to Israel because US and European tax money pays for those weapons.
@helifanodobezanozi7689
14 күн бұрын
There is such a thing as a pyrrhic victory, especially if you are part of a democratic system. Even governments that "win" wars can be replaced.
@wh0_am_152
14 күн бұрын
Ever heard of a pyrrhic victory?
@mowabb
14 күн бұрын
Not true, the expensive weapons tend to take longer to acquire and replace. Cheap weapons are easily produced and can overwhelm the enemy
It annoys me when people say an interceptor missile is way more expensive than a drone, and therefore not worth it. You know what's way more expensive than an interceptor missile? _A fully loaded and crewed cargo ship where real people might die on top of that_
@KSmithwick1989
14 күн бұрын
Except there weren't cargo ships involved, and that's not the point of the argument. Which is the defending side will go broke, while the attacker doesn't have to spend as much.
@sethb3090
14 күн бұрын
@@KSmithwick1989 I wasn't talking about this attack specifically, just the rhetoric around intercepts in general. Most of that recently has been about Houthi missiles and drones.
@williamwchuang
14 күн бұрын
The point is that you run out of interceptors before the cheap missiles. How are you missing that?
@sethb3090
14 күн бұрын
@@williamwchuang yeah, it's always easier to throw things at someone than to stop them without hurting them
@buildmotosykletist1987
14 күн бұрын
@KSmithwick1989 : Why do you Islmc bots always use Western names? Are you that ashamed of your Islmc name?
You explained that perfect , we were wondering that at work , so ima sure this video
Awesome video, subscribed 😊
The hidden Iranian cost is the loss of sales due to poor showing from their weapons.
@gikigill788
14 күн бұрын
WHO is lining up for Iranian weaponry 😂😂
@willythemailboy2
14 күн бұрын
@@gikigill788 Russia, mostly. Everyone else who uses Iranian weapons are given those weapons by Iran in exchange for doing Iran's bidding. The three H's come to mind there, but basically every terrorist group in the region is supported by Iran in one way or another.
@mattpima123
14 күн бұрын
Russia
@AMBEE-sp2ev
14 күн бұрын
@@gikigill788Only terrorists.
@chalo4792
14 күн бұрын
@@gikigill788 freedom fighters
I think with the proliferation of directed energy air defense systems there will be much less of this sentiment that it costs the defender more to defend themselves than it takes for the attacker to conduct the attack
@hanrockabrand95
14 күн бұрын
No one is fielding those systems yet, and we don't know how effective they'll be in real world conditions. If they do work well, then yes. But it's also going to take a lot of successes before it offsets the R&D costs.
@williamurbanblackiii1729
14 күн бұрын
@@hanrockabrand95 I think they've been fielded in some warships of the USN and Chinese navy. I'm skeptical about the effectiveness too, but they wouldn't be pursued so hard if they didn't prove themselves yk
@IndigoSeirra
14 күн бұрын
Drones are the only thing that might be affected by lasers. They are slow enough to allow for the long engagement times a laser needs, and also doesn't have any thermal shielding, like most missiles do. As for missiles, no. Only the smallest of those will be even slightly affected.
@toddn.3123
14 күн бұрын
Directed energy weapons (DEWs) present a unique set of challenges in military applications, primarily due to their limited range. The effectiveness of DEWs decreases with distance, necessitating a significant increase in power output to maintain their impact on distant targets. Moreover, the atmospheric conditions through which the laser travels can cause deflection and deformation of the beam, further complicating the targeting process. This means that operators must maintain the laser on the target for an extended period to deliver enough energy to inflict damage, akin to trying to burn a moving ant with a magnifying glass while clouds intermittently block the sun. Given these difficulties, the future of mid-range defense may lie in the development of magnetic railguns equipped with maneuverable projectiles. These railguns offer a more feasible and cost-effective solution for intercepting targets at medium distances, potentially becoming the go-to technology in the near future.... only time will tell!
@williamurbanblackiii1729
14 күн бұрын
@@IndigoSeirra the technology is constantly improving. I don't mean the lasers of today, I mean the lasers of tomorrow
Iran has found out the saturation point is above what they sent, especially if there is a US carrier group in the Med. Gonna send a lot more next time to see if they can find the saturation point.
An excellent and well thought through presentation. You brought up perspectives that I had not thought about.
Thanks Alex 👍🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
I keep hearing "99 percent intercepted" yet 7 made it to target out of 300. That's less than 98 percent intercepted.
@lukefiggins6851
14 күн бұрын
'7 made it to Israel' is what he said, he did not say that 7 hit their targets. Missiles neutralised 1 mile from its target does as much damage to the target as a missile neutralised 100 miles from the target.
@Vexas345
13 күн бұрын
It was allegedly around 320, but the public doesn't have exact figures anyway. But I would've said 95%+ so people wouldn't squabble over a few irrelevant percentage points. Anything over 90% is fantastic.
@horstnietzsche1923
13 күн бұрын
You are correct the real rate would be 97.7% assuming those numbers are exact. People often use hyperbolic phrases instead of accurate ones.
Great analysis and thank you for it.
Thank you for the great analysis.
The cost of interception should factor in the cost of the damage that was prevented or assets protected. If that is included then interceptor missiles are almost always cost effective!!!!! Especially whilst intercepting cruise missiles or ballistic missiles that have more distructive effects & are themselves more expensive to produce
@raidellcorps
14 күн бұрын
that is true but the thing here is how fast and costly is for a state to replenish the stocks of interceptors missiles vs how fast and costly is to procure more drones and offensive missiles. Kinda like having a sprint runner vs a endurance runner... sort of.
@TeoUnreleased
14 күн бұрын
@@raidellcorpspeople act like they don’t have a stockpile of the same missiles waiting to be loaded the Patriot missile system should be a prime example since they have been reportedly made 10,000 missiles
Wonder if irans failure has China having second thoughts on Taiwan
@hamubice1551
14 күн бұрын
Given that we already know a lot of China's missiles have had their fuel swapped out for water, I'd say they're becoming increasingly hesitant lol
@osric1730
14 күн бұрын
@@hamubice1551 That story was a load of cobblers.
@haihengh
14 күн бұрын
well, they reported it's Iran's success, and the fact is China is much more capable than Iran, they can produce 100x more missiles and drones with the industrial capacity, and Taiwan does not have as good as air defense compare to Israel, so China may look at this as encouragement rather than discouragement. the underline fact is, Taiwan people are not prepared for war, Israel had been in war none stop, and as worse as it sounds, China and Taiwan are all Chinese, they are not trying to kill each other, so Taiwan's civilians may worry losing their freedom and their way of living, they hardly worry about China will wipe them off. while Israel, they are pretty sure they will be killed, everyone of them by enemy if they fail to protect their country.
@Truspio
14 күн бұрын
When the US allows itself to get dragged in a full scale war with Iran, it will surely give China a second thoughts about Taiwan
@zzzaccounting5924
14 күн бұрын
@@haihenghThey have the chips required for this war??
Very interesting report, my friend. Greatly appreciated the manner in which you broke down the numbers. Thank you again for your informative, accurate and objective vlogs. 👍🏻🇺🇸🦅🇺🇸👍🏻
Always appreciate your succinct analysis. We’ll done sir.
If irans defense functions like its offense..... lolololololololololol. 😂😂😂😂
@MattMajcan
14 күн бұрын
if irans defense functions like its offense than the us, uk, france, germany, jordan, and israel will all have to team up to even have any chance at all
@DS-sn9jk
14 күн бұрын
@@MattMajcan Kinda a long title for that science fiction book you're writing. Lololol.
@octonoozle
14 күн бұрын
Iran Dome
@DS-sn9jk
13 күн бұрын
@@octonoozle they might be catching warheads on their foreheads. Lololol
Never in my life did I think " hold on I am using my 45, what other cheaper bullets do I have?" It's a budgetary analysis metric, like forecasting sales.
I appreciate these videos where you really dig into the dollars & cents behind defense.
Iran just proved their offense is useless. Never seen such weakness.
@Hidden-truth-revealed
14 күн бұрын
They did not even try to be offense
@hanrockabrand95
14 күн бұрын
I don't put much stock in Iran's tech, but this recent attack wasn't designed to beat Israel. It was just a warning shot. Otherwise they wouldn't have warned anyone, and they wouldn't have narrated the start and stop of the attack.
@killingyouwithlogic5808
14 күн бұрын
@@Hidden-truth-revealed Thats a stupid thing to say!!! 350 Missiles and drones launched is 100% offensive!
@B01
14 күн бұрын
@@Hidden-truth-revealed 60 tons, they sent over 60 tons of explosives. How you see that as "not offensive" is something those of us based in civilization will never understand
@Cryosxify
14 күн бұрын
@@killingyouwithlogic5808one that was telegraphed to prevent escalation
Did just Iran?
@deloughi1887
14 күн бұрын
He's title dyslexic.....
Many thanx Alex, always the best 👍👍
I can't find my earlier post, but well said.
Great as always Alex!
@ScentlessSun
14 күн бұрын
Thank you.
The US's gdp is 50 times that of Iran, so yeah the west can afford that cost exchange ratio.
@Cryosxify
14 күн бұрын
the West can, can Israel
@walkingcarpet420
14 күн бұрын
Cool, how many billion dollar days do you think the US & Israel can afford?
@randomuser5443
14 күн бұрын
@@walkingcarpet420infinity.
@IndigoSeirra
14 күн бұрын
@@walkingcarpet420They can decide to permanently stop paying billions on interceptors any time they want.
@Charles-pf7zy
14 күн бұрын
Uhhh, we voters have power too. If we don’t wanna spend x% of our tax dollars on intercepting Iranian missiles then we’re gonna vote somebody else In.
Brilliant analysis!
I am not particularly fascinated by this subject but I always watch it first because of Alex brilliant delivery
All said ... an expensive fireworks display.
@benmurray8903
14 күн бұрын
Might be expensive for Israel as far as cost of munitions expended, but Iran just suffered the cost of poor QC with how many failures occurred in Iranian munitions before they reached their targets.
We are loving in an age where the sword is outpacing the shield Of course defending costs much higher
New segment LETS GOOOO
Cool. I like the analysis. Make a video on production time of each missile and drone used. On both sides. Time is hard to get around compared to money.
Iran suffers from failure to launch syndrome.
@willythemailboy2
14 күн бұрын
Might be more appropriate to call it launching to failure.
All Iran managed to show is that when you attack one member of an alliance, you aren't really attacking one member of an alliance.
@Justanotherconsumer
14 күн бұрын
Except that Israel has burned bridges with a lot of their allies so… don’t expect too much.
@strykenine7902
14 күн бұрын
@@Justanotherconsumer Oh, I had no idea. Someone should tell France, the UK and the USA before this happens again.
@KSmithwick1989
14 күн бұрын
@@strykenine7902 It's kind of subjective with France and the UK. As they're more concerned with Ukraine, which is in an actual war.
@strykenine7902
14 күн бұрын
@@KSmithwick1989 Hey bro I think you should know that Iran has been supplying some of the drones the Russians have been using. This isn't widely known among certain groups of people, and I think you might be in one of those groups. Tell your friends.
@KSmithwick1989
14 күн бұрын
@@strykenine7902 Correct Shahed 131/136 are known in Russian service as Geran-1/2.
Nicely Done!
Great video. Money matters but the context matters more. It isn't to say that we shouldn't do things to lower those costs if possible but just because something is expensive doesn't mean it is overpriced and it doesn't mean it isn't worth it or that it is a bad value. Cost ≠ Value.
Read that tittle and tell me what’s wrong with it😂
@The_ZeroLine
14 күн бұрын
Tittle?
@andyk939
14 күн бұрын
@@The_ZeroLine lol
@deanknight7133
14 күн бұрын
That's how you know we are in the matrix and this is just propaganda
@jamesjross
14 күн бұрын
You're both morons?
@jamesjross
14 күн бұрын
@@The_ZeroLine face plam
It was a calculated warning clearly
@LSmoney215
14 күн бұрын
No it wasn’t
Love this analysis
@billhanna2148
14 күн бұрын
Actually this was a BRILLIANT job by Iran as it gets to "say" it is done with its reprisals against Israel AND it gives Netanyahu ZERO cause to do anything...ask Biden
_I feel heard!_ Just a note: I did not necessarily believe Iran was winning anything outside of the financial exchange. I realize the bigger picture is grim for Iran.
We used about $1B worth of missiles. SM3s aint cheap...
@Myth1c1003
14 күн бұрын
The math ain't mathing, it's about $4M for a SM3
@IndigoSeirra
14 күн бұрын
My manz are pulling numbers out of their ass. According to official sites, each sm3 costs around 9.6 million. US officials stated 4 to 7 sm3s were used to defend against Iran's missiles. That means it cost at most 67.2 million or at least 38.4 million. That's a far cry from 1 billion, but still a lot of money.
@jerseyshoredroneservices225
14 күн бұрын
@@Myth1c1003 My name isn't Perune LOL My comment was just making a point not presenting a P & L statement lol
Foreign Policy: FAFO
May I make a topic suggestion, please? With Iran sending 300 missiles and drones Israel's way and 5 to 7 countries involved in shooting them down, how was the coordination performed between the nations to ensure that each incoming was handled in priority order and without overlap? One of the things that stands out to me is that all of these militaries were able to work together in what seems like a seamless manner to address a single high intensity event. I'd love to learn more about that. Thanks for all of your work, Alex!
If you want to experience what Alex is talking about for yourself, play Creeper World or a similar resource flow RTS. In Creeper World, the player can sustain a significant energy deficit for a very long time with only mild negative effects. It's possible to do that because more energy is constantly being brought in to replenish what is being used up. Most RTS games aren't suitable for this demonstration because they require resources to be stockpiled before the game will allow construction whereas resource flow RTS games create resource starvation opportunities as the game progresses and the battle expands further and further away from the main base.
They're name is I Ran, I rest my case
Once Mighty Russia can't defend Moscow, St.Petersburg or Crimea. Tiny Israel performed a miracle with the help from a few friends.
@paulflocken2730
14 күн бұрын
What a shame those few friends won't help Ukraine.
Excellent reporting
Nicely put my friend
They didn't fail in kinetic diplomacy. Iran won. Israel's defense shows that they are actually paper tiger. They are a super power in the region, still it took Israel, Saudis, USA, Jordania and so on to keep the status quo in the region. Remember, Iran informed about the attack, they told the attack sources, times and locations. Iran never wanted it to succeed in damage. They did, however, show Israel's weakness in its own defense. What if there hadn't been any announcements?
@tedarcher9120
14 күн бұрын
You think US wouldn't know if Iran didn't tell them? They only told because they knew US knew anyway and they would look bad
@jaanikaapa6925
14 күн бұрын
@@tedarcher9120 USA is different from Saudis and Jordania, etc. US would have known something was up. The scope would have overwhelmed them... And really, USA has a history of ignoring the evidence that lead into bad things.
@RANDO4743
14 күн бұрын
Iran didn't inform anybody of anything,it was a MASSIVE failure
@ChucksSEADnDEAD
14 күн бұрын
Holy mother of cope, batman!
@jaanikaapa6925
14 күн бұрын
@@ChucksSEADnDEAD Huh?
United States sent them the iron dome and all the ammunition used for it, I have a feeling US is not going to keep wanting to send then more Ammo and Iron domes if they keeps going
@notanymore9471
14 күн бұрын
Iron Dome is an Israeli system and it doesn’t use “ammunition” it fires missiles. The US has the patriot system.
@phartbay327
14 күн бұрын
Can Iran keep going financially?
@bradcraig5111
14 күн бұрын
Not going to happen.
@RobertTapia
14 күн бұрын
Not if Israel keeps going against what USA tells them. USA said stop, yahuu said no! Pull the financial aid then... No?
@the_rzh
14 күн бұрын
Iron Dome is an israeli system. The US had two batteries it had evaluated for base-defense but never deployed so they were sent back. Israel wanted to use US aid money to build Iron Dome rockets, but that's not how US aid works. Israel has to buy from US defense industry, so they contracted with Raytheon to build the rockets at higher cost. This way US funds get spent in the US.
The closing statement really nailed it, people just don’t have a stomach for reality.
regarding cost exchange ratio, I strongly believe that you should take into account prevented damage
I LOVE this channel…
Well said
Also lives were saved and those lives are priceless
Firepower. Sweet.
Thanks!
Sandboxx, you should watch independent journalists, e.g. Redacted, who provided evidence that an Israeli military runway and two Iron Domes were damaged in the attacks.
They just proved that nobody can.
17:40 Very true, Brother.
Awesome analysis
That's a hell of a headline.
people compare cost for cost without taking into account the potential cost of damage of property and lives that were prevented.
The disproportionate cost of defending against attacks is why no nation will sit on defense for long before going on the offensive to take out the capabilities of their adversary.
hi alex .its good to hear you provide specific deatails for this topic, the cost is to high for israel indeed.on the other hand the advancement of laser tech, will paved the way for this although it takes time.
Thanks for taking us down that rabbit hole. Average folks have no concept of the costs of war or how many factors go into calculating and comparing those costs. Most people just can’t wrap their heads around such complex matters. I delved into mil spec equipment development and production costs a few years ago to better understand why a civilian Freightliner truck from the 80’s was so much cheaper than a mil spec one. The difference between them seems so minor on the surface, but “the devil is in the details.”
Great analysis
Hey, Hollings, hope you're doing well. Scrooge McDuck was a great clip.
Peace is very expensive where diplomacy is absent.
Excellent accessmejt 18:31 to Alex.
"I know the internet hates nuance and hates context maybe even more, ..." 😆
Economics is always a factor of war.
One of the few times I really disagree with this guy...
So, in conflicts between nations, all assets are on the table at all times. Good perspective, good philosophy, good morality.
Quality broadcasting 💯. I’ve heard Marine Corps pilots say there is a lot of overlap between themselves and Navy pilots, and some even say “no difference.” I understand they are both Naval Aviators, but is there any difference between them?
Interesting 😮
Good news everyone, a country with thousands of ballistic and cruise missiles, can't be sure where they'll land.
$50 mil is an expensive fireworks show
There is another thing to consider, the training value and system assessment data of the coalition forces. While the value is difficult to convert to money, they are quite valuable.
Great analysis, Alex. Add to that the loss in prestige to Iran’s capabilities as a regional power and weapons supplier. Not a good day for Iran. Unless the whole thing was done for domestic consumption, that is.