Deep Dive 02/07/2024 - Hurricane Beryl - Met Office weekly weather forecast UK

This is an in-depth Met Office UK Weather forecast for the next week and beyond. This week Julian Hemming Tropical Prediction Scientist joins Annie for a masterclass in the Hurricane season and the unprecedented strength of Hurricane Beryl this early on in the season. We also take a look at what’s to come for the rest of July in the UK. Bringing you this deep dive is Met Office meteorologist Annie Shuttleworth.
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Пікірлер: 111

  • @JonWarb204
    @JonWarb2042 күн бұрын

    Hi, my wife and I are currently on holiday in Jamaica. We are keeping a close eye on any latest developments.

  • @metoffice

    @metoffice

    2 күн бұрын

    Make sure you follow the local advice closely to stay safe

  • @michellemcgowan5657

    @michellemcgowan5657

    Күн бұрын

    Stay safe guys ! ❤

  • @olliethorley88

    @olliethorley88

    Күн бұрын

    Stay safe!!!!

  • @paddythetheatredog4384

    @paddythetheatredog4384

    Күн бұрын

    Hoping you stay safe and can still enjoy your holiday!

  • @babylon5mh
    @babylon5mh2 күн бұрын

    Thanks Julian, very interesting and Annie, perfect presenting as always. Annie is just perfect...... period

  • @alayneperrott9693
    @alayneperrott96932 күн бұрын

    Delighted to watch this "Hurricane Beryl" masterclass. More, more!

  • @debndavid
    @debndavid2 күн бұрын

    Longest winter on record only difference is its lighter longer in july just grey skies and rain ☔

  • @Kevin-vc9nw

    @Kevin-vc9nw

    Күн бұрын

    It's more like Autumn than winter

  • @Saturn-lp7ju

    @Saturn-lp7ju

    Күн бұрын

    2 years of winter and still going, same weather patterns all through the year just longer days and slightly warmer The Only consistency is cloud cover . Rejoin eu and let us leave ..........

  • @themoodyteam
    @themoodyteam2 күн бұрын

    28 minute vid flew in. Said it before, but these deep dives are genuinely interesting 🤔

  • @endafgt
    @endafgt2 күн бұрын

    Waw really looking forward to that warm spell at the end of the Month that might last a few days..This Spring/Summer is the worst I can remember..been dreadful

  • @adamlea6339

    @adamlea6339

    2 күн бұрын

    I think 2012 was worse, the wettest April to June period on record with destructive flooding.

  • @edcoward1011
    @edcoward10112 күн бұрын

    Interesting that you think there could be 'just a few' warmer / settled days nearer the middle to end of the month. I'm finding this current weather pattern / set up highly sus.

  • @Kevin-vc9nw

    @Kevin-vc9nw

    Күн бұрын

    Let's hope August and September will be our summer

  • @garyvisick1409
    @garyvisick14092 күн бұрын

    Can you explain why the azores high is reluctant to build over the uk and north west europe?

  • @Hugh-nr5sx

    @Hugh-nr5sx

    2 күн бұрын

    It never seems very "keen" does it and when it does often in Spring it topples in and tends to bring NE winds to the East and South East that are bloomin' cold. There is an associated question.. why are Scandinavian Highs so transient these days especially in Winter.? We never get the "if it lasts for three it will last for eight" spells any more.

  • @spindrifter7519

    @spindrifter7519

    Күн бұрын

    @@Hugh-nr5sx Could it be that the Jet Stream has changed its cycle in relation to the UK permanently? Ive lost count of all these videos that over the last 6 months that has shown the Jet Stream below the UK whereas in summer its usually above. I'd value your opinion

  • @metoffice

    @metoffice

    Күн бұрын

    You're right the position of the jet stream at the moment over the UK rather than to the north means it's pretty difficult for the azores high to move over us. We will look into going into this summers set up so far in more detail in a future deepdive. Thanks for the suggestion :)

  • @Hugh-nr5sx

    @Hugh-nr5sx

    Күн бұрын

    @@spindrifter7519 Well there has been talk of a weakening of the Gulf Stream and North Atlantic Drift..

  • @jakubwyszynski3686
    @jakubwyszynski36862 күн бұрын

    Those deep dives are very informative and fascinating. Thank you Met Office!

  • @ruperthiggins7358
    @ruperthiggins73582 күн бұрын

    Thanks Annie. Our weather is always so interesting.

  • @SimonStewart75
    @SimonStewart752 күн бұрын

    Thank you for your ongoing fantastic weather and climate coverage.

  • @edwardmacrury5376
    @edwardmacrury5376Күн бұрын

    Thank you Annie and thanks to Julian for the analysis of Beryl, fascinating. We shouldn’t grumble about the UK weather given that it is not Category 5 hurricane

  • @Stephanie1975_sw
    @Stephanie1975_swКүн бұрын

    Thanks Annie 😊 Come back summer ☀️

  • @novox198818
    @novox1988182 күн бұрын

    Great deep dive.

  • @ThianBantams13
    @ThianBantams132 күн бұрын

    Thanks Annie and Julian👍👍

  • @GrahamRead101
    @GrahamRead1012 күн бұрын

    Yet another really interesting deep dive, and well explained by Annie and Julian. Thx

  • @christinepease890
    @christinepease8902 күн бұрын

    Thank you, Annie and Julian

  • @catherinemorrison5447
    @catherinemorrison54477 сағат бұрын

    5.50pm Thanks for all the colourful diagrams of the hurricanes especially Beryl, I really feel sorry for those in Jamaica 🇯🇲 hope Beryl doesn't come to Britain!! Keep safe people!! ❤❤

  • @rayhaddock779
    @rayhaddock779Күн бұрын

    Thnka you again and great to get a more in depth look at hurricanes and the hurricane season

  • @nofider1
    @nofider12 күн бұрын

    Thank you Annie and team. :-)

  • @mollypenwhistle2274
    @mollypenwhistle22742 күн бұрын

    Thank you so much for more detail about Beryl, whilst mainly interested in what I’m gonna get I think it’s so important to cover in more detail significant events world wide so 👍🏻👍🏻, more please, love this channel 😊

  • @gjones9409
    @gjones9409Күн бұрын

    Great to have info on hurricane Beryl. I'd be interested to hear about what happens to it as it progresses and diminishes. Love the deep dives.

  • @karendiesner5008
    @karendiesner5008Күн бұрын

    Much appreciated, as always!

  • @mayoman9w
    @mayoman9w2 күн бұрын

    Excellent informative presentation, keep up the good work from Ireland.

  • @markeyre5004
    @markeyre500410 сағат бұрын

    Thanks Annie, very interesting very well presented 👍

  • @timh1907
    @timh1907Күн бұрын

    Fascinating presentation. Thanks.

  • @anthonycline9007
    @anthonycline90072 күн бұрын

    Nice to have hurricane topic. Good stuff!

  • @suewright1299
    @suewright12992 күн бұрын

    Very many thanks indeed Annie, and of course Julian for all the very interesting information about Hurricane Beryl. Frightening too with La Niña in progress! I hope all those living in and around the affected areas stay safe, wildlife too! Thanks Annie for all the weather affects during Wimbledon, the Met too. Take care everyone esp @JonWarb204 !! Stay very safe!

  • @Ny-kelCameron
    @Ny-kelCameron2 күн бұрын

    Very informative. Here in Trinidad and Tobago, we will be prepared for the upcoming season.

  • @basingstoke63
    @basingstoke632 күн бұрын

    Thanks , Annie and Julian . That was interesting .

  • @tonyaustin4472
    @tonyaustin44722 күн бұрын

    With Climate Change ramping up and seas getting even warmer is it likely we will see even stronger hurricanes than Category 5? Will there have to be a Category 6?

  • @adamlea6339

    @adamlea6339

    2 күн бұрын

    I think there is an upper limit to how strong the surface winds can get in a hurricane even with warming sea temperatures. As the winds increase, turbulence near the ground increases (because near-surface wind shear increases) which leads to increased mixing between low momentum air immediately above the surface and higher momentum air aloft, acting as a negative feedback on near surface wind speed. As for having a category 6, I don't think there are any plans to extend the scale. Once you get to category 5 you are looking at a catastrophic impact and a category 6 isn't going to be significantly different, and given the point of having these metrics is for getting the impact message out to the public, what is the point?

  • @margaretmaddern5443
    @margaretmaddern54432 күн бұрын

    I can remember when the kids were at school in the 80s & early 90s June & July being a changable months & not always warm down here in Cornwall, I've got to say that the garden is quite dry despite the weather we've been having

  • @sjdyt
    @sjdyt11 сағат бұрын

    Interesting watching this on Thursday afternoon after Beryl has passed over the south of Jamaica.

  • @jasonsjourneys8321
    @jasonsjourneys8321Күн бұрын

    absolutely fantastic thank you

  • @anamariacarvalho6738
    @anamariacarvalho67382 күн бұрын

    Thanks

  • @MegaDeano1963
    @MegaDeano19632 күн бұрын

    Good show , enjoyed the " guest presenter" format . Also thankyou for the warning of an election , possibly on Thursday 😮

  • @brendanggallagher
    @brendanggallagher2 күн бұрын

    Excellent coverage by Annie and Julian clear and concise information with great charts. The sea temperature/Loading chart is a bit scary!

  • @Monk_Duck
    @Monk_DuckКүн бұрын

    Great video Sea is only getting warmer, insurance companies in north America are going to have to put up their premiums.

  • @margaretmaddern5443
    @margaretmaddern54432 күн бұрын

    Thank you for an interesting programme

  • @eddiejones.redvees
    @eddiejones.redvees2 күн бұрын

    It's been a fun holiday so far in Jamaica with the trouble at manchester when we first few out and no we have to stay in the bathroom tomorrow until things blow over 😅

  • @AlanOastler
    @AlanOastler2 күн бұрын

    Thank you both. Enjoyed Julian's presentation on hurricanes but trying to understand what is meant by easterly waves. Presumably in the Trade Winds ?

  • @metoffice

    @metoffice

    Күн бұрын

    Here's some more information cpo.noaa.gov/projections-of-tropical-cyclones-and-rainfall-in-the-african-sahel-could-be-improved-with-better-understanding-and-representation-of-african-easterly-waves-in-models/#:~:text=African%20easterly%20waves%20(AEWs)%20propagate,Atlantic%20are%20linked%20to%20AEWs).

  • @elaineambrose7413
    @elaineambrose74132 күн бұрын

    Wish our weather forecasts were always in-depth tike this , more insight into our changeable weather patterns and a great explanation as to how hurricanes develop . Although worrying they are becoming more frequent through warming seas ! My thoughts are with the Caribbean Islands and hope everyone’s okay ❤ Iv witnesses what hurricane feel like back in in 1998 in Dominican .

  • @shedlife1745
    @shedlife17452 күн бұрын

    very interesting thanks

  • @waynelowery7760
    @waynelowery7760Күн бұрын

    Great explanation on the developments of Hurricanes 👍👍 Looking forward to seeing how many might swing over towards the UK. As the hurricanes move over the tropical Atlantic do they absorb energy from the Atlantic and therefore help reduce the sea surface temperatures as they go?

  • @Kevin-vc9nw
    @Kevin-vc9nwКүн бұрын

    Summer is officially a washout

  • @showme360
    @showme360Күн бұрын

    Isn't Jamaica, and Belize a part of the British Commonwealth? as they seem to be in Berl's path!!

  • @Kevin-vc9nw
    @Kevin-vc9nwКүн бұрын

    The huricain is impacting on our weather

  • @wildlifegardener-tracey6206
    @wildlifegardener-tracey62062 күн бұрын

    Very interesting thank you.

  • @jomelis2309
    @jomelis23092 күн бұрын

    Thanks very interesting

  • @lovegarbage
    @lovegarbage2 күн бұрын

    Thank you. I can't help wondering whether the unusually high equitorial sea temperatures could be a symptom of the thermo-haline circulation weakening. In such a case would storm strength be driven by the NS temperature gradient increasing - is it doing this?

  • @iansingleton
    @iansingleton2 күн бұрын

    Same weather different day! I'm fed up of you guys saying "close to average" anyone who hasn't lived in a cave for the last 20 months knows too well nothing has been close to average! It's been wet, cold and windy since April last year bar the odd few days here and there, maximum a week! I'm 54 years old and I've never witnessed such a prolonged weather pattern! We had 12 degrees, rain and westerly wind in Jan, Feb and March! Now it's July it's 14 degrees and more of the same. I want to know "WHY?" WHY has this weather pattern effected us for so long? Yes yes yes, I get it, the jet stream sitting to the south, blah blah, but why? Is this global warming? Is this our weather for ever more?

  • @alexpickgaming

    @alexpickgaming

    2 күн бұрын

    I'm sick of this rain

  • @TW19567

    @TW19567

    2 күн бұрын

    Whenever the met office mentions climate change the right-wingers on here in the comments howl. The met office weather presenters have repeatedly said warmer climates have more energy to spin up weather systems so you get more and more extremes. But people get offended when the red colours come out to denote heat.

  • @bobseago1513

    @bobseago1513

    2 күн бұрын

    ​@@alexpickgamingI could do with some. Very little in June.

  • @heatherjoy479

    @heatherjoy479

    2 күн бұрын

    I can do with rain June very dry is british weather sunshine and showers I hates it hot dry like June Been I was ill because off the horrible weather yuk

  • @robdaubo9441

    @robdaubo9441

    2 күн бұрын

    U need to ask yourself how many farmers do this wet weather affect in June during harvest. It's all planned to cripple the farmers as well as the lands

  • @ciarancorton8387
    @ciarancorton83872 күн бұрын

    will we have any warm weather

  • @metoffice

    @metoffice

    2 күн бұрын

    The last 10 minutes or so talks about the potential. Next week looks warmer than this week and there's a chance it could get rather warm in the south and east for a time towards the end of the week. Generally though it will stay around average for the time of year

  • @llewelynhowells

    @llewelynhowells

    2 күн бұрын

    ⁠Thanks Annie

  • @davespain7716
    @davespain77162 күн бұрын

    Thank you Annie and the MET Office team for another great deep dive into our disappointing weather at the moment.

  • @RSLtreecare
    @RSLtreecareКүн бұрын

    Very interesting, question. How much of this is being affected by climate change..

  • @Scot-land
    @Scot-land2 күн бұрын

    Are we ever going to get a summer in Scotland it's been nothing but rain and wind it's absolutely depressing

  • @adamlea6339

    @adamlea6339

    2 күн бұрын

    I think summer came and went when I was there in the third week of May. It was warm/hot and sunny when I was hiking up Slioch.

  • @adrianmiller4285
    @adrianmiller42852 күн бұрын

    Why does a hurricane have an eye?

  • @gregc.5684

    @gregc.5684

    2 күн бұрын

    Google it

  • @adamlea6339

    @adamlea6339

    2 күн бұрын

    The air rotating around the storm spirals in towards the centre (converges) and increases in speed. There is a limit to how much the air can converge before it is forced upward forming the ring of deep convection around the centre of the storm (the eye wall). Some of the rising air in the thunderstorms around the center descends in the centre of the storm and the air warms and dries out as it descends, suppressing cloud formation.

  • @PifflePrattle
    @PifflePrattleКүн бұрын

    I try to console myself with the thought at least it's better than summer 2007.

  • @LossyLossnitzer
    @LossyLossnitzerКүн бұрын

    How does the solar maximum and the power form CMEs and other Sun related issues affect the upper atmosphere weather and putting power into planet earth, with the earths magnetic field dropping and the Auroras being seen all the way nearly to the equator.

  • @anamariacarvalho6738
    @anamariacarvalho67382 күн бұрын

    Hood morning from Brasil

  • @Richardssong18
    @Richardssong182 күн бұрын

    I keep seeing storys of heat waves possibly mid july onwards from exsacta weather

  • @neilpearson157
    @neilpearson1572 күн бұрын

    I've learnt something this evening. I had no idea that hurricanes start near the west coast of Africa and then move west. How is it that a hurricane goes against the trend, moving westwards when most 'weather' goes in the opposite direction? You've just shown us a strong jet stream coming from the US. It would seem that the jet stream is independent of the hurricane; is that correct?

  • @adamlea6339

    @adamlea6339

    2 күн бұрын

    The mean atmospheric flow in the tropics is the trade winds which blow east to west, and easterly waves and tropical cyclones which develop from them are embedded in that flow, hence they move east to west. It is down to the position of the semi-permanent Azores high around 30N, which due to clockwise flow around an anticyclone in the northern hemisphere, generates south westerly winds to its north (i.e. towards/across Europe) and easterly winds to the south (i.e. over the tropical Atlantic). Tropical cyclones which start in the Atlantic can move westward with the trads winds but if they encounter a weakness in the ridge of high pressure to the north, they can turn north into the sub-tropics then turn to the north-east and head towards NW Europe as they either transition into extra-tropical cyclones when they interact with the mid-latitude jet stream or get ripped apart by high vertical wind shear and cool sea surface temperatures. It is generally the larger scale atmospheric flow which dictates where tropical cyclones will track during their existance.

  • @metoffice

    @metoffice

    Күн бұрын

    You might like these videos kzread.info/dash/bejne/gnh5xaOxlra_kaw.html they explain the ocean circulation pattern which is the starting point of all things weather !

  • @JW_M
    @JW_M2 күн бұрын

    Quick question This time last year we had somewhat warm weather. We have climate change is this the reason why we have had such a poor summer or what has caused it to be different (hope it makes sense)

  • @petewright4640
    @petewright46402 күн бұрын

    If the ocean heat content continues on the same track as that seen in 2023 but with favourable conditions for hurricane development then by September we'll be in a situation never seen before. It could be dramatic!

  • @adamlea6339

    @adamlea6339

    2 күн бұрын

    A window of perfect atmospheric conditions in peak season coinciding with an area of disturbed weather in the deep tropics and we could break the record for the strongest hurricane in the Atlantic basin.

  • @janstevens1376
    @janstevens13762 күн бұрын

    This is nice weather do not like it to hot anyway, We could do with some rain here in London

  • @nicenac
    @nicenac2 күн бұрын

    Is there going to be some snowfall on the highest tops of the Cairngorms and Ben Nevis this coming Thursday?

  • @metoffice

    @metoffice

    Күн бұрын

    No snow but there may be some hail in the showers and a risk of thunder and lightning

  • @nicenac

    @nicenac

    Күн бұрын

    @@metoffice But your app is predicting snow tonight on Ben Nevis

  • @nicenac

    @nicenac

    Күн бұрын

    @@metoffice How boring I like to see snow on Ben Nevis in Midsummer!!

  • @anamariacarvalho6738
    @anamariacarvalho67382 күн бұрын

    The heat storeg in sst anomalia us thr Soure of energy that probably mase Beryl tô has só much energy

  • @anamariacarvalho6738
    @anamariacarvalho67382 күн бұрын

    Ive são a costal flood at 206, being causade by até Harricane Flrence, that jut clima the North Atlantic, and arrived at London are. As a tropical shower. It cause floods atound UK

  • @ianchantrey8868
    @ianchantrey88682 күн бұрын

    Feels and looks like the middle of autumn not the height of summer, very disappointing up to now.

  • @Kevin-vc9nw
    @Kevin-vc9nwКүн бұрын

    This is disgusting, where the hell is summers.. has autumn begun

  • @waynester71
    @waynester712 күн бұрын

    Just clicked onto the video - preparing myself for disappointment.. the weather, not you Annie 😉 When will a high pressure system finally win out against these countless low pressure systems that head across us like a conveyor belt ☹️

  • @samevans2332
    @samevans23322 күн бұрын

    Could you please focus a deep dive on why the weather has been so cool and wet for the last 12 months and why it has become so stuck in this pattern?

  • @adamlea6339

    @adamlea6339

    2 күн бұрын

    Yes, I'd be interested in why the jet stream has been biased south of its normal position for such a long time. I know we get locked in weather patterns from time to time but not a year and a half at a time.

  • @charliefarleigh6108
    @charliefarleigh61082 күн бұрын

    do we understand the ocean heat content jump? What's the AMOC doing?

  • @gregc.5684

    @gregc.5684

    2 күн бұрын

    Failing

  • @Gary0557
    @Gary0557Күн бұрын

    It's only a disappointing summer in the UK if you like hot weather. Plenty like me don't, and for us so far, it's been a wonderful summer.

  • @anamariacarvalho6738
    @anamariacarvalho67382 күн бұрын

    Uou know , thoae tropical waves are casino sérios problem at North of Brasil. IT HAPPENED FLOODS. this year. 2024, at Belém. at Recife and at Huisnas. Georgetown etc ...

  • @tianany2
    @tianany22 күн бұрын

    Thank you! Quite glitchy the screen though.

  • @gregc.5684

    @gregc.5684

    2 күн бұрын

    It is showing the storm. Not glitching

  • @GamingWithKaya2024
    @GamingWithKaya2024Күн бұрын

    I HOPE THIS AINT COMIN TO THE UK IM JUST A KID

  • @paulajones4999
    @paulajones49992 күн бұрын

    I’m on acid with that tropical storm colours. Thought I was being hypnotised. Well explained tho and how important those storms are for our weather.

  • @anamariacarvalho6738
    @anamariacarvalho67382 күн бұрын

    It us aClimate Change