Biden and Trump are in a toss-up race for president

Ahead of the first presidential debate on Thursday, 538 looks at the latest 538 forecast numbers and the chances of each candidate winning the election this fall.
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Пікірлер: 39

  • @IlCaroSassone
    @IlCaroSassone15 күн бұрын

    Not close as you’re stating. Nate Silver nailed it. If popular vote is close, that’s bad news for Biden. It means Trump’s doing well in the 6-7 swing states, which he has been all year.

  • @marcusjones9084

    @marcusjones9084

    15 күн бұрын

    It's a dead heat. This could go either way.

  • @IlCaroSassone

    @IlCaroSassone

    15 күн бұрын

    @@marcusjones9084not according to Nate Silver.

  • @marcusjones9084

    @marcusjones9084

    15 күн бұрын

    @IlCaroSassone What Nate Silver says is of no consequence.

  • @amaanahmed5744

    @amaanahmed5744

    15 күн бұрын

    @@IlCaroSassonesame guy who said Hillary clinton would win 2016 and Biden would win a 350+ landslide in 2020

  • @holdenennis

    @holdenennis

    15 күн бұрын

    Where did he say this?

  • @ducminhnguyen98
    @ducminhnguyen9815 күн бұрын

    economic data is cooked af lol

  • @alexdasliebe5391
    @alexdasliebe539115 күн бұрын

    How many scenarios have a Popular Vote victory resulting in losing The Electoral College, and therefore the Presidency? Weeks back, wasn’t it 1 in 5?

  • @bmeht
    @bmeht14 күн бұрын

    Fuck this bullshit.

  • @jackkazinsky290
    @jackkazinsky29015 күн бұрын

    yay video

  • @penguinswithwifi
    @penguinswithwifi14 күн бұрын

    After Biden’s pitiful performance tonight, you’re going to have to admit Trump is surging ahead of old Joe.

  • @thestuff9815

    @thestuff9815

    14 күн бұрын

    Aren’t they like 2 years apart?

  • @thestuff9815

    @thestuff9815

    14 күн бұрын

    I don’t think anyone reasonable sees either of them as a fountain of youth

  • @OSUforlife
    @OSUforlife15 күн бұрын

    Easy to say, economic data has been strong when you’re probably making a lot of money not so easy when you’re blue-collar person.

  • @krombopulos_michael

    @krombopulos_michael

    15 күн бұрын

    It doesn't make a difference who you are, the data is data, no matter who reads it. It's for the whole economy, not about one person.

  • @coltafanan

    @coltafanan

    15 күн бұрын

    Fun fact, the economy is more than one person or more than a groups of persons

  • @edwardtse8631

    @edwardtse8631

    15 күн бұрын

    @@krombopulos_michael but the data is so lame that because biden is an Incumbent, therefore he will win. On the other hand, Trump in a way is an incumbent that is 4 years ago.

  • @OSUforlife

    @OSUforlife

    15 күн бұрын

    @@coltafanan yet they didn’t say that when Trump was president they would always bring up sub groups and say they are not doing well. Just want some consistency because when it’s Biden it’s just always a blanket statement

  • @OSUforlife

    @OSUforlife

    15 күн бұрын

    @@krombopulos_michael yet they didn’t say that when Trump was president they would always bring up sub groups and say they are not doing well. Just want some consistency because when it’s Biden it’s just always a blanket statement

  • @sassynana5201
    @sassynana520115 күн бұрын

    Nope. I do not believe it’s a “toss up.” Americans-as a whole-are smarter than that.

  • @marcusjones9084

    @marcusjones9084

    15 күн бұрын

    It's a toss-up. That's what happens when you have two people whom the American people dislike running for president.

  • @floydmaseda

    @floydmaseda

    15 күн бұрын

    No they're not. We found that out in 2016.

  • @TrentSLucas

    @TrentSLucas

    11 күн бұрын

    Absolutely, Trump 2024!

  • @thedaniel511
    @thedaniel51115 күн бұрын

    Ah so you guys caught wind of his model lmao

  • @RKO1988
    @RKO198815 күн бұрын

    No way is it close…fire your data analysts

  • @ckq

    @ckq

    15 күн бұрын

    It is close, neither candidate has more than a 75% chance of winning

  • @parttimephilosopher7097

    @parttimephilosopher7097

    15 күн бұрын

    Are you blind? Did you not see the polling immediately after the State of the Union speech? What about the Fox News poll that had Biden ahead by 2% THIS WEEK? What about the "Keys" to the White House that have correctly predicted the results of the last 11 elections, which favour Biden? What about the incumbency advantage, the booming labour market, growing economy and the stock market at all time highs? Far more importantly...what about the truly independent voters that are very hard to poll so far before an election, but who seem likely to heavily favour Biden? Enjoy your fantasy...I don't expect it to last long.

  • @MrRandomPrankster
    @MrRandomPrankster15 күн бұрын

    Admit trumps the favorite you frauds

  • @marcusjones9084

    @marcusjones9084

    15 күн бұрын

    We've seen no evidence that Trump is the favorite. It's literally a dead heat.

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