Biden and Trump are in a toss-up race for president
Ahead of the first presidential debate on Thursday, 538 looks at the latest 538 forecast numbers and the chances of each candidate winning the election this fall.
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Пікірлер: 39
Not close as you’re stating. Nate Silver nailed it. If popular vote is close, that’s bad news for Biden. It means Trump’s doing well in the 6-7 swing states, which he has been all year.
@marcusjones9084
15 күн бұрын
It's a dead heat. This could go either way.
@IlCaroSassone
15 күн бұрын
@@marcusjones9084not according to Nate Silver.
@marcusjones9084
15 күн бұрын
@IlCaroSassone What Nate Silver says is of no consequence.
@amaanahmed5744
15 күн бұрын
@@IlCaroSassonesame guy who said Hillary clinton would win 2016 and Biden would win a 350+ landslide in 2020
@holdenennis
15 күн бұрын
Where did he say this?
economic data is cooked af lol
How many scenarios have a Popular Vote victory resulting in losing The Electoral College, and therefore the Presidency? Weeks back, wasn’t it 1 in 5?
Fuck this bullshit.
yay video
After Biden’s pitiful performance tonight, you’re going to have to admit Trump is surging ahead of old Joe.
@thestuff9815
14 күн бұрын
Aren’t they like 2 years apart?
@thestuff9815
14 күн бұрын
I don’t think anyone reasonable sees either of them as a fountain of youth
Easy to say, economic data has been strong when you’re probably making a lot of money not so easy when you’re blue-collar person.
@krombopulos_michael
15 күн бұрын
It doesn't make a difference who you are, the data is data, no matter who reads it. It's for the whole economy, not about one person.
@coltafanan
15 күн бұрын
Fun fact, the economy is more than one person or more than a groups of persons
@edwardtse8631
15 күн бұрын
@@krombopulos_michael but the data is so lame that because biden is an Incumbent, therefore he will win. On the other hand, Trump in a way is an incumbent that is 4 years ago.
@OSUforlife
15 күн бұрын
@@coltafanan yet they didn’t say that when Trump was president they would always bring up sub groups and say they are not doing well. Just want some consistency because when it’s Biden it’s just always a blanket statement
@OSUforlife
15 күн бұрын
@@krombopulos_michael yet they didn’t say that when Trump was president they would always bring up sub groups and say they are not doing well. Just want some consistency because when it’s Biden it’s just always a blanket statement
Nope. I do not believe it’s a “toss up.” Americans-as a whole-are smarter than that.
@marcusjones9084
15 күн бұрын
It's a toss-up. That's what happens when you have two people whom the American people dislike running for president.
@floydmaseda
15 күн бұрын
No they're not. We found that out in 2016.
@TrentSLucas
11 күн бұрын
Absolutely, Trump 2024!
Ah so you guys caught wind of his model lmao
No way is it close…fire your data analysts
@ckq
15 күн бұрын
It is close, neither candidate has more than a 75% chance of winning
@parttimephilosopher7097
15 күн бұрын
Are you blind? Did you not see the polling immediately after the State of the Union speech? What about the Fox News poll that had Biden ahead by 2% THIS WEEK? What about the "Keys" to the White House that have correctly predicted the results of the last 11 elections, which favour Biden? What about the incumbency advantage, the booming labour market, growing economy and the stock market at all time highs? Far more importantly...what about the truly independent voters that are very hard to poll so far before an election, but who seem likely to heavily favour Biden? Enjoy your fantasy...I don't expect it to last long.
Admit trumps the favorite you frauds
@marcusjones9084
15 күн бұрын
We've seen no evidence that Trump is the favorite. It's literally a dead heat.