BANNED For Cheating.

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Пікірлер: 1 600

  • @javierfernandez4896
    @javierfernandez489610 күн бұрын

    Danny sending their errand boys (Gotham, Naka) to convince everybody that their site and star competition (Titled Tuesday) is clean and under control ... LOL

  • @literallysweden

    @literallysweden

    10 күн бұрын

    True

  • @rileywalters6616

    @rileywalters6616

    10 күн бұрын

    Yikes!

  • @ansumanc

    @ansumanc

    10 күн бұрын

    8 mins dayum

  • @Dimensional_Duck

    @Dimensional_Duck

    10 күн бұрын

    ....

  • @ansumanc

    @ansumanc

    10 күн бұрын

    Also hai levy

  • @yeetyfreety6938
    @yeetyfreety693810 күн бұрын

    I like to imagine that Levi just appears in places, and that there was no logistics behind him getting there. He goes to bed, and then just suddenly wakes up somewhere new.

  • @jasonhargis5598

    @jasonhargis5598

    10 күн бұрын

    This explains a bunch

  • @ericley6479

    @ericley6479

    10 күн бұрын

    Levi is the whoopsie guy from mortal kombat only in my youtube and for chess

  • @samiraperi467

    @samiraperi467

    10 күн бұрын

    Or a Quantum Leap kinda thing.

  • @djrickmedley

    @djrickmedley

    10 күн бұрын

    He’s unlocked fast travel

  • @pernajuel9771

    @pernajuel9771

    10 күн бұрын

    He probably only spawns in when the camera starts rolling tbf

  • @FocusBeam
    @FocusBeam10 күн бұрын

    Kramnik frantically trying to find the Infinity Stones to destroy half of Hikaru’s pieces

  • @Bolu-mg2ki

    @Bolu-mg2ki

    10 күн бұрын

    😂

  • @cC20417

    @cC20417

    10 күн бұрын

    Lol

  • @GabrielRodrigues-gb5dt

    @GabrielRodrigues-gb5dt

    10 күн бұрын

    Kramnuk, the Mad Giant. Know I got attached to the nickname

  • @coltith7356
    @coltith735610 күн бұрын

    When you report someone on CS:GO and it says "report 1541514867146874858 submitted", the 1541514867146874857 previous reports were Kramnik flagging everyone who killed him as a cheater.

  • @Nitidus

    @Nitidus

    10 күн бұрын

    For the current state of CS2, 95% of his reports would be accurate.

  • @detrotsid

    @detrotsid

    7 күн бұрын

    Except CS:GO doesn't exist anymore, it had a rampant cheating problem, and its successor, CS2, also still has a rampant cheating problem. It's obvious to the eye test, like if you're playing against spinbots etc., but also at higher levels. Just last week, FPL banned their highest rated player for cheating.

  • @elsyvien

    @elsyvien

    6 күн бұрын

    ​@@detrotsidnot FPL (free pro league) it was a faceit ban

  • @somerandomdudefes31
    @somerandomdudefes3110 күн бұрын

    The fact that Kramnik didn't even pretend to read the report before being upset with it... everyone needs someone in their life they can trust to tell them when they're losing their mind.

  • @Gefionius

    @Gefionius

    10 күн бұрын

    Kramnik automatically doesn’t like anything that was not authored by Kramnik

  • @noahblack914

    @noahblack914

    10 күн бұрын

    Right? There's no pleasing the dude. He wanted reports, they made a report, he won't even bother to look at it unless it means his own pedantic requirements. He thinks he's some sort of statistical authority just bc he's good at a board game. Maybe he should put his money where his mouth is and hire some independent statisticians to look at it.

  • @nonchablunt

    @nonchablunt

    9 күн бұрын

    Russians haven't had someone like this for 300 years.

  • @junaidahmad1492

    @junaidahmad1492

    8 күн бұрын

    It would be nicer if someone would say "I agree with point x that Kramnik made but disagree with point y". But as always, thinking is hard and hating is easier.

  • @Gefionius

    @Gefionius

    7 күн бұрын

    @@junaidahmad1492 ironic then that Kramnik did not do this either, he made his criticisms prior to reading the report and his blog posts this entire time have been extremely dismissive of other people’s work. If one does not engage in reasonable debate and discussion, why would you expect that from others?

  • @eccentricbass3730
    @eccentricbass373010 күн бұрын

    Kramnik hasn’t only been mildly reckless. He has completely destroyed his reputation and credibility.

  • @heinmiiink3806

    @heinmiiink3806

    10 күн бұрын

    if you're talking about his own reputation, thats true

  • @donkarnage6986

    @donkarnage6986

    10 күн бұрын

    and thats your opnion after a few tweets ?

  • @penknight8532

    @penknight8532

    10 күн бұрын

    No such thing as bad publicity. More people know who he is now.

  • @anasmurshid3987

    @anasmurshid3987

    10 күн бұрын

    @@donkarnage6986 throwing accusations of cheating just because you feel like it is truly unpleasent. He accused Hikaru just because his rating is as near as the top engine althought he streams his games.

  • @Josharoo

    @Josharoo

    10 күн бұрын

    @@donkarnage6986 it hasn't been just a few tweets lol

  • @drunkenhobo8020
    @drunkenhobo802010 күн бұрын

    He lied to us, this looks even more like a hostage situation than the previous video.

  • @nathanherr1473

    @nathanherr1473

    9 күн бұрын

    He said he would have a better set up next trip, not next video

  • @sergiob8501

    @sergiob8501

    9 күн бұрын

    i just want to say thanks to germans for allowing him to still posting this video!❤

  • @zz4165

    @zz4165

    8 күн бұрын

    ------ |

  • @kicRick

    @kicRick

    8 күн бұрын

    ​@@sergiob8501Germans? 🧐

  • @auramyst3627

    @auramyst3627

    8 күн бұрын

    @@sergiob8501dude what

  • @digiscream
    @digiscream10 күн бұрын

    The important consideration, which none of the GMs seem to acknowledge, is...how much of the perception of cheating is accounted for by the higher-rated player having a bad day and not wanting to admit it (yes, even GMs)? I mean...I'm 1250 rapid, 1000 blitz and I hammered an 1800 in a blitz tournament earlier in the week. Obviously, he gave me loads of abuse, accused me of cheating and reported me, but...he made a series of blunders that an 800 would've been embarrassed by. Put simply, he was having a crap day, was playing on tilt and took it out on a player 800 points lower-rated.

  • @mikeanderson1722

    @mikeanderson1722

    10 күн бұрын

    Totally agree with this. Also factor in someone like me with 150 IQ and an attention deficit, who can go from scatterbrained to world beater and back in a very short amount of time. My rating is some kind of average between those two extremes and depending on when you play me, I might either be amazing or a moron.

  • @ahz4877

    @ahz4877

    10 күн бұрын

    Same thing happened to me even with less of a rating difference in a rapid game. I'm sometimes sharp with tactics and I was accused of cheating but I wasn't cheating nor I was banned. Conversely, last year I played 1 game at 98% and I wasn't accused of cheating nor was I cheating either, just played 1 brilliant Vienna game with white.

  • @LonnieDucote

    @LonnieDucote

    10 күн бұрын

    Yep. Elo rating is not an objective rating where 1 point means you never lose. It’s a way to determine who is more likely to win, and the more games they play the more likely the rating is to be accurate An 1800 can lose to a 1000 but it’s just incredibly unlikely, and as you showed sometimes that happens. If you played him 100 times it might only happen a few times but it will happen statistically

  • @lunatickoala

    @lunatickoala

    10 күн бұрын

    Yeah, there's a couple of other important factors as well. Even if cheating isn't widespread, the *perception* that it is affects players mentally. Not being in a good mental state can really affect performance, causing a player to perform below their potential. Whether it's Levy facing a GM or a GM facing someone they think is cheating (even if they're not), there's a real chance that they perform worse. Thinking that there's cheaters everywhere causes people to start seeing ghosts. But the other factor is that when playing online, it's possible to play a lot of games. Even if cheating isn't widespread, play enough games and you will encounter some. Then things like confirmation bias and availability heuristic will then make it seem like there's a lot more than there are. That sort of mentality is ingrained into the psyche. In the wild, it's better to see a hundred bears that aren't there than to not see one that is. I wonder if people who started out playing online are better able to just brush off games where their opponent cheated and just move on without getting tilted by it.

  • @otimelyofficial8146

    @otimelyofficial8146

    10 күн бұрын

    @@mikeanderson1722bro your iq is not 150 stop the cap😂😂😂

  • @alphaportal97
    @alphaportal9710 күн бұрын

    Saying kramnik is mildly reckless, is like saying dumbledore spoke calmly to harry during the GoF meme

  • @mtn2704
    @mtn270410 күн бұрын

    Levy never fails to have a beef with his barber

  • @timellis9293

    @timellis9293

    10 күн бұрын

    Edward Scissorhands?

  • @John-hh5kx

    @John-hh5kx

    10 күн бұрын

    I have those problems also

  • @ryuk5673

    @ryuk5673

    10 күн бұрын

    😂 👌

  • @johnnyappleseed4158

    @johnnyappleseed4158

    10 күн бұрын

    I feel for the Jewish Kings out there that hair game is just wild

  • @taiiiz3969

    @taiiiz3969

    10 күн бұрын

    What are the origins of the never fails bit?

  • @_JeffJeff_
    @_JeffJeff_10 күн бұрын

    0:40 "Vladimir Kramnik has been mildly reckless" MILDY?!?!????

  • @minchy9094

    @minchy9094

    10 күн бұрын

    HMMMMM Nah what you on aboutttttt

  • @NoobSharkey

    @NoobSharkey

    10 күн бұрын

    But there are streamers you MUST watch, I mean basicaly it is absolutely nessesary to watch them, literally you must do it, watching some streamers, that is what I really mean, some of them are must watch. You just literatuly lost your mind if you dont watch them, I mean it is sad but means you are completely crazy and you dont know what are you talking about when streaming yourself, if you dont watch them. And, another thing,Anish, what all those insuniations like "I dont watch streamers" mean? Can you just come out and tell openly that you hate the most prominent one? Just cone out and say this directly, I know you mean it. Just say this, dont hide under "I dont watch it" bs 🙂

  • @marquisdelafayette-xe1ht

    @marquisdelafayette-xe1ht

    10 күн бұрын

    Yeah, that’s a mild understatement

  • @seikgames384

    @seikgames384

    10 күн бұрын

    Mildy is an interesting choice of word

  • @KaoticWhisper

    @KaoticWhisper

    10 күн бұрын

    Interesting....

  • @agrimreaper2864
    @agrimreaper286410 күн бұрын

    4:11 wait, Kramnik hasn’t even READ the report????? jfc

  • @Kitsune_Chess1
    @Kitsune_Chess110 күн бұрын

    Levy is so lucky that the kidnappers let him record so they can collect the money

  • @LastSamurai21

    @LastSamurai21

    10 күн бұрын

    What do u mean?

  • @Kitsune_Chess1

    @Kitsune_Chess1

    10 күн бұрын

    @@LastSamurai21 so u don’t get the lore? Ull understand later

  • @randomchessplayer.

    @randomchessplayer.

    10 күн бұрын

    ​@@LastSamurai21He is in a different place so they make a joke like he's "kidnapped"

  • @_JeffJeff_
    @_JeffJeff_10 күн бұрын

    Gotham never fails to title a KZread video: BANNED For Cheating

  • @yankee637

    @yankee637

    10 күн бұрын

    BANNED For Cheating.

  • @matthewdishman4831
    @matthewdishman483110 күн бұрын

    14:32 17% refers to score, not winning percentage so its not 'win 1/6 games' as there will be some draws too

  • @DoddyIshamel

    @DoddyIshamel

    10 күн бұрын

    It's so levy that he would just dismiss the page about scores then mischaracterise score for the rest of rhe video 😂 7 losses 3 draws from 10 games doesn't seem so wild. Or 15 losses, 1 win, 4 draws from 20.

  • @robertopimenta9340

    @robertopimenta9340

    10 күн бұрын

    Omg thank you. Had to scroll a lot for that.

  • @JGMeador444

    @JGMeador444

    10 күн бұрын

    I was looking for this, because that really bothered me too. Hopefully he sees this.

  • @DoddyIshamel

    @DoddyIshamel

    9 күн бұрын

    @@frikai8321 why?

  • @matthewdishman4831

    @matthewdishman4831

    9 күн бұрын

    ​@@frikai8321No because the y-axis is still the lower rated player even if they're in the same rating bucket.

  • @DexterHaven
    @DexterHaven10 күн бұрын

    A GM can make one bad move; that's all it takes to lose to a 2100 player.

  • @InVersionStudio

    @InVersionStudio

    10 күн бұрын

    Not, eventually...if you don't see that opportunity and play bad move too, you also can lose

  • @bruce2953

    @bruce2953

    10 күн бұрын

    You haven't watched Fabi vs Nepo yet I see...

  • @InVersionStudio

    @InVersionStudio

    10 күн бұрын

    @@bruce2953 ok, assuming that in one particular game there's drawish situation came after Nepo play ...very not ideal in mid game in important match. That's one game, and what about some genius,that after bad debut and average mid, starts playing like Magnus in endgame? Average probability of average 600, probably 🙂 And they even make strikes 40+ win. And that's just unrated play. Why? Is that Interesting, or not?

  • @sHaterred-vh7cs

    @sHaterred-vh7cs

    10 күн бұрын

    Look Magnus games he's always play crap openings in blitz and opponent has advantage but he still outplays not always

  • @InVersionStudio

    @InVersionStudio

    10 күн бұрын

    @@sHaterred-vh7cs just one little problem. This 600 is not Magnus, definitely ☺️ Maybe Hikaru 🙂🤷 He like strike's

  • @timepass4783
    @timepass478310 күн бұрын

    Kramnik has now officially gone crazy

  • @NathanLipetz

    @NathanLipetz

    10 күн бұрын

    Just now?

  • @rdspam

    @rdspam

    10 күн бұрын

    “now”? It’s been a while.

  • @penknight8532

    @penknight8532

    10 күн бұрын

    It sneaks up on you if you live long enough. You start to see it around 50 years of age.

  • @Chelo._.

    @Chelo._.

    10 күн бұрын

    ​@@penknight8532 Biden is over 80 years old, but he's not going crazy like Kramnik. it is unlikely that we will see a crazy Biden at all, since only unworthy people lose their entire reputation in two months

  • @sk-ig4wt

    @sk-ig4wt

    10 күн бұрын

    ​@@penknight8532 Anand is doing just fine probably the highest rated player in his age, he is 54 btw and still is sane

  • @brownie8090
    @brownie809010 күн бұрын

    Kramnink’s respect rating went from 2700 to 103 real quick

  • @Sindamsc

    @Sindamsc

    10 күн бұрын

    same with Naka after his Kick stream, tbh

  • @shamrock73

    @shamrock73

    10 күн бұрын

    ​@@SindamscWhat happened?

  • @justindavis9629

    @justindavis9629

    10 күн бұрын

    @@Sindamsc signing to Kick in general or did he say or do something while streaming over there? I’ve never seen a kick stream so very much out of the loop if it’s the latter.

  • @thenextgeneration9030

    @thenextgeneration9030

    10 күн бұрын

    @@Sindamsc whatt stream?

  • @sanjithd3343

    @sanjithd3343

    10 күн бұрын

    @@shamrock73he had a stream where he was promoting gambling, whilst he was playing slots.

  • @_JeffJeff_
    @_JeffJeff_10 күн бұрын

    Kramnik is chronically online 💀

  • @Why_did_YouTube_add_handles

    @Why_did_YouTube_add_handles

    10 күн бұрын

    Just as you are

  • @ahmed.abdelaleem

    @ahmed.abdelaleem

    9 күн бұрын

    ​@@Why_did_KZread_add_handles just as you are

  • @user-re2ul6ss2z

    @user-re2ul6ss2z

    9 күн бұрын

    @@ahmed.abdelaleem Just as you are

  • @user-re2ul6ss2z

    @user-re2ul6ss2z

    9 күн бұрын

    just as you are

  • @user-re2ul6ss2z

    @user-re2ul6ss2z

    9 күн бұрын

    just as you are

  • @AkhilVerghese
    @AkhilVerghese10 күн бұрын

    The biggest problem with this report is that underdog victories over the board are often the result of players just being underrated. Being underrated isn’t common online, for obvious reasons.

  • @strajder91

    @strajder91

    7 күн бұрын

    This ☝️

  • @shamrock73
    @shamrock7310 күн бұрын

    Kramnik writes a paragraph about how the report should be conducted. Then he doesn't read it. 🍷🗿

  • @mitchderise73
    @mitchderise7310 күн бұрын

    Technically this just means underdogs don't cheat significantly more than titled players

  • @DoddyIshamel

    @DoddyIshamel

    10 күн бұрын

    Other than the super GMs everyone is an underdog to someone. Unless cheaters were the majority it would still result in more upsets not less. Unless you think titled players would cheat more/only against players rated 150-200 pts below them?

  • @rdspam

    @rdspam

    10 күн бұрын

    “Technically” it means nothing. It’s a set of data. Your extrapolation of some conclusion does not make it “technical”, meaningful, or accurate. “We believe” in a potential interpretation, as this report correctly concludes, is the most you can state. Unless you can explain your technically supported methodology, the validated science behind it, and statistical data to support your conclusion.

  • @mitchderise73

    @mitchderise73

    10 күн бұрын

    I'm not actually making any claims or conclusions with this

  • @Littlelongy1

    @Littlelongy1

    10 күн бұрын

    I think your point is good. The majority of this report seems to be based on the assumption that players of lower rating will be more likely to cheat than people of higher rating. It doesn't find that correlation, but doesn't test the assumption to make sure it's valid, and instead just sort of assumes that it is when making their conclusion, right?

  • @DoddyIshamel

    @DoddyIshamel

    10 күн бұрын

    ​@@Littlelongy1it literally highlights the possibility its the higher rated players being the ones cheating at the start.... Though it's a real leap to think someone would cheat but only against weaker opponents.... Regardless the whole thing is based on the perception of weaker players cheating to beat stronger players in titled Tuesday ... That is what it's about...

  • @railspony
    @railspony9 күн бұрын

    When I was 1180 I beat a 1750 in classical... People often "play down" when there is a big difference. They look at a position and think, "Well, he's not strong enough to punish me so I can just do this easy thing and then win and go to lunch" and instead they lose because I'm trying my very best.

  • @timepass4783
    @timepass478310 күн бұрын

    Title for Future reference: “BANNED for Cheating.”

  • @CheukTheGreatestOfEverything

    @CheukTheGreatestOfEverything

    10 күн бұрын

    thanks, very helpful (still the same after 16 minutes)

  • @Arishtanxmi

    @Arishtanxmi

    10 күн бұрын

    There’s a period at the end

  • @guest9836

    @guest9836

    10 күн бұрын

    BANNED for Cheating.

  • @godeminoveou6224

    @godeminoveou6224

    9 күн бұрын

    Still the same

  • @DiamondWolfX
    @DiamondWolfX9 күн бұрын

    Interesting story from Minecraft speedrunning: Player Dream was accused and convicted of cheating; it later turned out his accuser knew what to look for because he himself was cheating. Makes me wonder if Kramnik is playing in an ...interesting manner.

  • @bitcoingrinding
    @bitcoingrinding10 күн бұрын

    This is actually a really great breakdown... kudos for Levy for taking time to go through this for us even during the vacation

  • @Dimensional_Duck

    @Dimensional_Duck

    10 күн бұрын

    Vacation?? He's being held hostage!!

  • @kaszaspeter77
    @kaszaspeter7710 күн бұрын

    One major flaw of this analysis is that it assumes only underdogs cheat. It is possible that the higher rated player cheated and it is possible that both of them cheated. Granted, the underdog winning against the higher rated through cheating is the most problematic scenario, but since we have seen how many times the underdog would win even OTB, it makes perfect sense for a higher rated to cheat as well, esp. if the rating difference is small.

  • @clappedbyben5438

    @clappedbyben5438

    10 күн бұрын

    Valid point. But by that standard you have to realize that a for example 2200 is going to only cheat against 2000 and not against higher rated players to make this make sense. That isnt the most logical conclusion so its a occams razor scenario and the most logical conclusion is cheating isnt as big of a problem as it is portrayed online.

  • @alexisperron-brault6009

    @alexisperron-brault6009

    10 күн бұрын

    If both people cheat, their score will be 50% on average. We don't see that here

  • @clappedbyben5438

    @clappedbyben5438

    9 күн бұрын

    @@alexisperron-brault6009that also isn’t really valid or do you think 100% of titled players are cheating?

  • @alexisperron-brault6009

    @alexisperron-brault6009

    9 күн бұрын

    @@clappedbyben5438 if everyone cheats, everyone will win about 50% of the time. This is not what we see. People might cheat only when it matters though (for one specific game)

  • @detrotsid

    @detrotsid

    7 күн бұрын

    @@clappedbyben5438 Dunno if you can call Occam's razor on this, there simply isn't enough information to draw any solid logical conclusions.

  • @Anonymous-iz4yc
    @Anonymous-iz4yc9 күн бұрын

    "This video very interesting" *Block and Report* - Kramnik 2024

  • @alessandragreco1342
    @alessandragreco134210 күн бұрын

    I'm a simple man, I see Gotham, I click

  • @RaniaIsAwesome

    @RaniaIsAwesome

    10 күн бұрын

    @@_JeffJeff_ I'm a simple man, I see a simple man meme, I want to take part.

  • @Cage66666

    @Cage66666

    10 күн бұрын

    Roll*

  • @Lydown1825

    @Lydown1825

    10 күн бұрын

    @@Cage66666 ?

  • @Pirhah

    @Pirhah

    10 күн бұрын

    I never fail to be a simple man and see Gotham

  • @michaelmassaro4375

    @michaelmassaro4375

    10 күн бұрын

    Might as well Levy has Good Stuff dam we need another Candidates tournament or other for more recaps they were fun 😅

  • @ninjanoodle2674
    @ninjanoodle267410 күн бұрын

    There is one other possibility to explain the data: that cheating is so rampant among both the higher and lower rated players in any given online game that the cheating cancels each other out. It is a little like the steroid era in baseball where a lot of pitchers and hitters were both taking performance enhancing drugs. I think that the more definitive approach may be to evaluate how much players performed above/below their rating in OTB vs Online games. If players are consistently playing at a level well above their expected level given their current rating in online games, then that would be an interesting indicator of whether cheating is as prevalent as some would say.

  • @Odysseusf

    @Odysseusf

    9 күн бұрын

    Exactly. Plus that the cheaters are all underdogs is a self defeating assumption. By definition, cheaters cheat to win and gain ratings. So how can they both cheat and stay with very low ratings?

  • @eitanporat9892
    @eitanporat989210 күн бұрын

    Hi Levy, regarding the P-value comment, I think it is relevant for hypothesis testing. You could model the distribution of players as a mix of "noncheating players" and "cheating players" and then run a statistical test. There is much more work to be conducted here. Also, there are better methods than ELO, Glicko might work better idk. Sorry for nerding out 🤓

  • @shukun-luxxy
    @shukun-luxxy9 күн бұрын

    As someone who does academic business research and statistics all the time: the moment I saw the lack of methodology, correlation diagrams, ANOVA's, p-values, standard errors, and even the text not being symmetrically aligned, I knew that this "study" was not going to be anything to bet your money on.

  • @pauloriley4020
    @pauloriley402010 күн бұрын

    Gotham: What many people don't know about me is that I actually have a PhD in Clickbait.

  • @ludodotho762
    @ludodotho76210 күн бұрын

    Gotta love how Kramnik got 69 downvotes lol

  • @Jasonf3
    @Jasonf310 күн бұрын

    How long have you been held hostage in Hikaru's ceiling?

  • @gryllodea
    @gryllodea9 күн бұрын

    17% score doesn't mean that an underdog would win 1/6 of the games. Maybe it's 26% for a draw and 4% for a win, and the result is 0.04×1 + 0.26×0.5 = 0.17.

  • @builderdog3875
    @builderdog387510 күн бұрын

    Levi never fails to make me feel like a mere statistic as he click baits me

  • @methanbreather
    @methanbreather10 күн бұрын

    interesting conclusion at the 2min mark. You could also say: higher rated players are more likely to cheat online, because they have more to lose.

  • @stijnvanstrijen9285

    @stijnvanstrijen9285

    9 күн бұрын

    Exactly

  • @Idontwanttoexistt
    @Idontwanttoexistt10 күн бұрын

    Kramnik really said "i ain't reading all that"

  • @JDeLauer
    @JDeLauer10 күн бұрын

    I still laugh whenever I talk about chess with people and they’ll be shocked that you can cheat at chess.

  • @DustinHorvath1987
    @DustinHorvath198710 күн бұрын

    My takeaway from this entire video is the FIDE rating system isn't rating players very accurately, and the datasets are not an accurate representation of players' abilities.

  • @detrotsid

    @detrotsid

    7 күн бұрын

    Strictly speaking, nothing rates players _very accurately_, all rating systems just look at your results and make some educated-ish guesses. Better sample sizes give better predictions.

  • @tallblondedude
    @tallblondedude10 күн бұрын

    After reading the report I am not fully convinced on it. I would have loved to see an F score for the classical FIDE because that looked somewhat distinct. This is also working on the assumption that the lack of distinction in win rates is sufficient, which i'm not fully convinced was sufficiently shown, is a necessary sign. If cheating functions independently of rating, the effect would be totally masked; perhaps higher rated players see a "miracle" move that bails them out vs lower players and can play it off due to their rating, while lower players are more conservative. I think publishing a distribution (without specifics) of found cheater's ratings would be beneficial.

  • @ryzekagi
    @ryzekagi10 күн бұрын

    "mildly reckless"

  • @whateverwhocares3805
    @whateverwhocares380510 күн бұрын

    I think this report shows the difference in the stress in online versus over the board. The better player tends to win more online because there’s less stress causing variance in skill. Maybe that’s an oversimplification but it stands to reason.

  • @ippo4502
    @ippo450210 күн бұрын

    The lights look like Levy has cat ears

  • @rajroushan6565
    @rajroushan656510 күн бұрын

    This the reason Indian GM avoid playing online, just play OTB and win everything who cares about title tuesday anyway.

  • @harishjoshi-wf2xe

    @harishjoshi-wf2xe

    9 күн бұрын

    🤡

  • @Secretarian

    @Secretarian

    9 күн бұрын

    True that. OTB is and always will be the heartbeat of chess.

  • @Willsczk
    @Willsczk10 күн бұрын

    Mildly reckless is the understatement of the year...

  • @Fiery-Cat-Art
    @Fiery-Cat-Art10 күн бұрын

    Kramnik has not only destroyed his reputation, but has slowly begun to chip away at others’.

  • @BlackRose3610
    @BlackRose361010 күн бұрын

    Kramnik going how Bobby did

  • @ItsAlex-dw4uy
    @ItsAlex-dw4uy10 күн бұрын

    levy never fails to be held hostage

  • @Multiverseofcreativity
    @Multiverseofcreativity9 күн бұрын

    I really like the vibe of your travel set up. It makes it feel like I’m just watching someone on a FaceTime.

  • @DemoniqueLewis
    @DemoniqueLewis10 күн бұрын

    I agree with your take on where are the P-Values and the other parts of a statistical examination that would provide context.

  • @koopercupp523
    @koopercupp52310 күн бұрын

    in my opinion ANYONE that types like THIS, is emotionally unhinged

  • @InfiniteQuest86
    @InfiniteQuest8610 күн бұрын

    When comparing two groups like this, confidence intervals are way more important than p value which is to compare against the null hypothesis. So, unless you can come up with what should happen by chance, then it's going to be more accurate to use confidence intervals. But yeah there's a missing piece without that.

  • @jennymulholland4319

    @jennymulholland4319

    9 күн бұрын

    Since chess is not a game of chance (except whether you play as white or black) I think it's not possible to determine what would happen by chance. You can only look at averages. Maybe the closest bit of information you could get to "what would happen by chance" would be seeing how often strong bots win against themselves as opposed to draw. Since the theory is that chess played perfectly should always end in a draw, so anything else that happens (when players are bots) will be by chance as it were.

  • @Odysseusf

    @Odysseusf

    9 күн бұрын

    My friend, you’re the only person who knows Statistics in the comments section. Everybody else is so uninformed with the basics of 2-sample hypothesis testing 😂. Good job. What is your background in Stats?

  • @InfiniteQuest86

    @InfiniteQuest86

    9 күн бұрын

    @@Odysseusf Haha, kind of. I majored in math so I have some stats. Mostly I got brushed up on it when going into more data science lately.

  • @InfiniteQuest86

    @InfiniteQuest86

    9 күн бұрын

    @@Odysseusf I actually posted a much longer response explaining in more detail, which seems to be taken down. Weird.

  • @InfiniteQuest86

    @InfiniteQuest86

    9 күн бұрын

    ​@@jennymulholland4319 We say by chance when we mean the null hypothesis which is that no cheating occurred. So if you have a 2200 play a 2500, then they should win 10% of the time by chance (as opposed to skill you could think of it). This is based on rating. Of course rating has to be accurate to know this percentage, which it is admitted that the OTB ratings are not right. To do the p-test you have to stay within on group. So you look at the 2200s vs. 2500s in online only and see if it is more than 10%. The p-value tells you the likelihood that what we saw happen was described by cheating in our case as opposed to "chance." It takes into account how hard it is to achieve and how powerful your sample is. So if you only had one game of a 2200 vs. a 2500, and the 2200 won, you wouldn't claim cheating even though the 2200s won 100% of the games. That could happen by chance. It could be the 10% since it was only one game. But if you had thousands of games and the 2200s won even 30% of the time, that's huge, way bigger than expected if cheating wasn't occurring. Also think if 2200s only typically won 0.05% of the time, then even seeing a single win would indicate cheating because it should be so rare. Anyway, that's what's meant by chance, not that the game has a random element to it. The other problem with this approach is that we are running too many tests. Every comparison is another test, so comparing 2500s to 2400s, 2500s to 2300s, 2500s to 2200s, etc. By chance, one of them is going to indicate cheating has occurred. If you flip a coin a million times, your going to see 100 heads in a row at some point just by chance. When you go digging for results, you're bound to find them even if they aren't there.

  • @thelastnoise9210
    @thelastnoise921010 күн бұрын

    For some odd reason I wanna watch these upset games. The underdog winning that 17% chance.

  • @ancientknight9805
    @ancientknight980510 күн бұрын

    Levy finally using his stats degree😂😂😂

  • @quill444

    @quill444

    8 күн бұрын

    Levy: _"What are the P Values?"_ Magnus: _"You mean Probability?"_ Hikaru: _"I'm Pushing P!"_ Kramnik: _"It's P as in Psychosis . . ."_ - j q t -

  • @radleytimajo
    @radleytimajo10 күн бұрын

    as someone taking the AP Statistics exam soon, 21:57 genuinely jumpscared me

  • @Peenos
    @Peenos10 күн бұрын

    beginning pause was so good I thought the video wasn't playing

  • @ethan073
    @ethan07310 күн бұрын

    Mildly reckless is an incredible understatement 🤣

  • @osmarsanchez5165
    @osmarsanchez516510 күн бұрын

    I wonder if at least part of the reason the higher ranked player performs better in titled Tuesday than OTB is just because of facing less pressure and therefore making fewer blunders, errors, etc. It definitely seems a likely explanation

  • @Odysseusf

    @Odysseusf

    9 күн бұрын

    Plus these highly rated players contain more cheaters and engines don’t blunder

  • @TigerSharkMLB
    @TigerSharkMLB10 күн бұрын

    Hostage simulator

  • @Random_starwars_and_chess_nerd
    @Random_starwars_and_chess_nerd10 күн бұрын

    You know i needed this 3 months ago for my school project

  • @cerebralisk
    @cerebralisk10 күн бұрын

    i feel like there's a transmissable thing from cheating in video game speedruns, where a lot of the cheating is actually people who are good enough to do something legit cheating to do it with less time invested. someone who is good at chess might cheat to beat someone who is worse just on feeling entitled to victory without 'wasting their time'

  • @mrfotball9261
    @mrfotball926110 күн бұрын

    Levy never fails to be Banned in Chess

  • @flookaraz
    @flookaraz10 күн бұрын

    The craziest thing in this video is Levy saying Kramnik was "mildly" reckless. Sheesh.

  • @muratsinanengin9773

    @muratsinanengin9773

    9 күн бұрын

    He was trying to be polite methinks.

  • @chunklum3636

    @chunklum3636

    9 күн бұрын

    what has Kramnik been doing and where can I read or watch about it?

  • @flookaraz

    @flookaraz

    9 күн бұрын

    @@chunklum3636 Gotham has actually covered it quite extensively on this channel, although i know he doesn't title his videos too accurately so it might be hard to find. "Cheating" / "kramnik" should be in the titles though

  • @chunklum3636

    @chunklum3636

    9 күн бұрын

    @@flookaraz thanks for the help

  • @HeartFallsApart
    @HeartFallsApart10 күн бұрын

    "traveling?" Everyone knows you enjoy getting kidnapped.

  • @psymar
    @psymar10 күн бұрын

    If underdogs are performing better over the board that probably means over the board blitz ratings are less accurate, which seems reasonable given there are fewer ratings over the board.

  • @m7areb
    @m7areb10 күн бұрын

    my brain isnt braining

  • @Leventmaster
    @Leventmaster10 күн бұрын

    No.

  • @natvanrooyen
    @natvanrooyen10 күн бұрын

    I think an important thing here is also the coverage, we see more titled Tuesday than over the board games

  • @Veptis
    @Veptis10 күн бұрын

    these data visualizations are beautiful - I would love to see more of this. maybe even plot some of my own ideas.

  • @Gelo19
    @Gelo1910 күн бұрын

    Kramnik: You cheat Hikaru: the 3rd highest rated player🗿

  • @harishjoshi-wf2xe

    @harishjoshi-wf2xe

    9 күн бұрын

    highest performance rating this year

  • @Josharoo
    @Josharoo10 күн бұрын

    kramnik probably the most unlikable person in chess.

  • @nuwandalton

    @nuwandalton

    10 күн бұрын

    Not a chance with Carlsen and Kasparov around... Not to mention Firouzja

  • @Josharoo

    @Josharoo

    10 күн бұрын

    @@nuwandalton maybe stupidest take i've ever read

  • @nuwandalton

    @nuwandalton

    10 күн бұрын

    @@JosharooIs that so? Don't be so harsh with yourself. You're stupid, granted, but not THAT stupid. Now run along, fanboy

  • @vaibhavvb9898

    @vaibhavvb9898

    10 күн бұрын

    It used to be hikaru after that I literally don’t care thing. Looks like that keeps changing with time.

  • @TodorHristoski
    @TodorHristoski9 күн бұрын

    That pic of Levy in that FIDE ranking list got me😂

  • @MurtazaPirani
    @MurtazaPirani10 күн бұрын

    A lot of you are seeing the name behind the comment, and not focusing on the comment Kramnik left. While I also believe he goes overboard when assuming people are cheating, he has a very valid point on the actual stats being used. Let's not be quick to dismiss the point being made just because the person making it has made less valid points in the past.

  • @timepass4783
    @timepass478310 күн бұрын

    GM Gotham Soon!

  • @Hiiigh_Yoshi

    @Hiiigh_Yoshi

    10 күн бұрын

    Why do you comment so much

  • @literallysweden

    @literallysweden

    10 күн бұрын

    @@Hiiigh_Yoshihe probably likes the notification pop up

  • @roanoke999
    @roanoke99910 күн бұрын

    stop spamming first

  • @tapaskohad

    @tapaskohad

    10 күн бұрын

    (First)²

  • @shashankshekhar6952

    @shashankshekhar6952

    10 күн бұрын

    (First)³

  • @kenconnelly773
    @kenconnelly77310 күн бұрын

    Down in amateur world, I got accused of cheating in a bullet game this afternoon. I played h3 to stop the ol’ N-Q pin, he had Bg4 premoved. He lost.

  • @TheSwimmoney
    @TheSwimmoney9 күн бұрын

    I'd love for you to come and do a UK tour or at least have a date in the north and the Midlands as well as London.

  • @JBM118
    @JBM11810 күн бұрын

    Let me guess it’s a Clickbait

  • @Bolu-mg2ki

    @Bolu-mg2ki

    10 күн бұрын

    Fool watch the video

  • @Nitidus

    @Nitidus

    10 күн бұрын

    There are no clickbaits on this channel 😀 There is no war in Ba Sing Se 😐

  • @jukezy46
    @jukezy4610 күн бұрын

    Gotham already had to cheat to get to gm?? Smh

  • @Bolu-mg2ki

    @Bolu-mg2ki

    10 күн бұрын

    Kiddo

  • @simonr.5801
    @simonr.58019 күн бұрын

    For the underdog range you mention, I thing it would be awesome to have a weighing scale. (Larger difference, larger impact)

  • @matt-d-webb
    @matt-d-webb9 күн бұрын

    Great summary!! Enjoy the rest of your travels. It was nice to hear you politey handle things Kramnik is saying - I used to respect his views and insights on the game but now the guy has completely lost his marbles! Reputation self destruction, very sad to see.

  • @ChessMusclesBro
    @ChessMusclesBro10 күн бұрын

    Gotham - was your barber blind bro? Cause wowwwwwww 😅

  • @starmj5247
    @starmj524710 күн бұрын

    Levy never fails to cheat.

  • @NoobSharkey
    @NoobSharkey10 күн бұрын

    Levys lights in the background make it look like he has cat ears

  • @Flanksy
    @Flanksy9 күн бұрын

    The major issue with their analysis is the lack of like for like data sets. It means their supposed variable is not controlled. This would be genuinely interesting if they analysed Titled Tuesday results vs a contolled similar sized data set of players playing normally (not in titled tuesday). That way only one variable is being altered. FIDE results are simply not stable enough or large data enough for this kind of analysis. Chess website that published this have an extremely stable data set because of the 1000000s of games played, whereas FIDE played too little in this format and new players affect the results too a far greater degree within that data set.

  • @Prometheus4096
    @Prometheus409610 күн бұрын

    It just means higher rated players cheat more than lower rated ones.

  • @DoddyIshamel

    @DoddyIshamel

    10 күн бұрын

    Even though they are the same people? They cheat when they are higher rated and stop cheating when rhey are lower rated?

  • @Prometheus4096

    @Prometheus4096

    9 күн бұрын

    @@DoddyIshamel wut?

  • @DoddyIshamel

    @DoddyIshamel

    9 күн бұрын

    @@Prometheus4096 literally what I said. Do you mean they cheat against weaker opponents but not stronger?

  • @Prometheus4096

    @Prometheus4096

    9 күн бұрын

    @@DoddyIshamel No. I meant literally what I said. You think that higher rated players are just 1 person? And that lower rated people are also just one person? And that these are both the same person?

  • @DoddyIshamel

    @DoddyIshamel

    9 күн бұрын

    @Prometheus4096 Every "higher rated person" is the "lower rated person" in other games.... Unless they are Magnus.

  • @CopperGames1
    @CopperGames110 күн бұрын

    Not first

  • @AMReyVenz
    @AMReyVenz10 күн бұрын

    The simple fact of the matter is; if you respect chess, if you really are trying to be your personal best, you would never cheat. To everyone else, shame on you for your actions and you should go cheat elsewhere, not Chess. This is a game for those who really respect the game and intend to uncover our own mental abilities in a world that coddles peoples feelings.

  • @Metalhead121396
    @Metalhead1213968 күн бұрын

    The point of using FIDE blitz is an interesting one. IMO (for context, I'm a machine learning researcher who publishes regularly), if you have a sufficiently large sample size, the confounders of using FIDE blitz rating apply equally to both sides (TT and OTB), and the noise mentioned by both Kramnik and Levy should basically cancel out. It's not perfect, but it's definitely a reasonable way to normalize between the two formats.

  • @SplashCap
    @SplashCap10 күн бұрын

    First

  • @Samurai24200

    @Samurai24200

    10 күн бұрын

    NPC comment, no one cares

  • @Tk_IMPERIUS

    @Tk_IMPERIUS

    10 күн бұрын

    What a tool, finish the video first.

  • @Tk_IMPERIUS

    @Tk_IMPERIUS

    10 күн бұрын

    What a tool. Finish the video first.

  • @SplashCap

    @SplashCap

    10 күн бұрын

    @@Samurai24200 ok

  • @Tk_IMPERIUS

    @Tk_IMPERIUS

    10 күн бұрын

    What a tool. Finish the video first.

  • @andrea3v
    @andrea3v10 күн бұрын

    The problem is: if the evaluation system is different in online vs over the board you end up comparing apples with oranges. And there may be some corrections you can make statistically but you need a very large sample size. Now. on line might be easier to get lots of data but on 1on1 games? Not sure. Btw if I hire a data scientist/analyst and he plots bargraphs with no standard deviation or error I’m gonna fire him on the spot.

  • @chrisc1158
    @chrisc115810 күн бұрын

    The heat map and groupings seems like a methodology that can be manipulated. The simpler and easier to understand measure would be to divide the lower score by the higher score and plot this along the x axis. The y axis should depict the win rate of the underdog. This give a normalized chart that could then be broken out by rating ranges to see if there are any anomalies in any particular group.

  • @gedajlovic
    @gedajlovic9 күн бұрын

    One issue with the study is that FIDE blitz ratings are unreliable indicators of player strength as most players have relatively few rated games in that format. Using that as a basis of comparison is very problematic.

  • @templarroystonofvasey
    @templarroystonofvasey10 күн бұрын

    There's also the more obvious lack of pressure on Titled Tuesday compared to a real-world tournament. i/e/ Lower rated players just have less pressure and the top palyers have less pressure too online. "Correlation does not equal causation".

  • @DoddyIshamel
    @DoddyIshamel10 күн бұрын

    When you are talking about the rating difference you seem to have forgotten they are using Fide blitz for both ....

  • @GustavoMunoz
    @GustavoMunoz9 күн бұрын

    You really rock, Levy. How glad I am looking to a nice guy like you having the level of success you have achieved.

  • @sathtyler
    @sathtyler10 күн бұрын

    One thing that really should be mentioned, and Gotham should understand given his degree, is that underdogs losing more is not actually indicative of less cheating. It could also mean that the favorites are able to cheat without getting caught, hence the larger discrepancy. The fact that the gap is larger online likely points towards the top players cheating more, not the bottom players cheating less.

  • @lukemoore6325
    @lukemoore632510 күн бұрын

    I feel like it makes sense for there to me slightly more upsets in OTB than online. Simply due to scarcity of OTB events players would likely grow between OTB opportunities and that creates these "growth spurt" style anomalies.

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