I like how the audience sounds like a wii game after she spelled her name

@ditkind1340

3 жыл бұрын

Lmao XD XD

@sauce8277

3 жыл бұрын

I HEAR it 😮

@soup8786

3 жыл бұрын

Hhahahahahahhaha fucking hell that's nearly killed me eating sweet and sour chicken I just choked

@wendigo6188

3 жыл бұрын

Agreed brother

@phantomlord5707

3 жыл бұрын

YAAAAYYY

Imagine she'd pulled a wrong letter on the last one. She'd have been so riled ...

@SupurrrCat

3 жыл бұрын

Ba dum tsss

@frahman1963

3 жыл бұрын

I see what you did there

@parkerb929

3 жыл бұрын

nice one

@norbertmoses7134

3 жыл бұрын

Ahahaha

@dylanthatsit390

3 жыл бұрын

Took a while But i got the joke

Thought she was spelling Rachel wrong at first, then I realized.

@polk-e-dot8177

3 жыл бұрын

i got all the way to E before i realized something was up.

@honglianglim8637

3 жыл бұрын

ITS EMILY!!!

@PlutoOuttaHere.

3 жыл бұрын

I was like maybe it's spelt Richel

@yusurkassem4174

3 жыл бұрын

Omg why do I see you everywhere!!

@ShiningLight

3 жыл бұрын

@@yusurkassem4174 because you have working eyes

I'm convinced that sometimes the producers line the letters up and hope it goes as planned

@Thisandthat8908

2 ай бұрын

yeah that would lower the odds quite a bit.

@Hillgrov

2 ай бұрын

@@Thisandthat8908 raise them...

@SimsMoyal

2 ай бұрын

@@Hillgrovperhaps he meant lower the number of

@tomparry9829

Ай бұрын

The chance of the letters *never* producing an interesting/amusing sequence is pretty low.

@whophd

Ай бұрын

I'm okay with that if it's true. I can believe it if it isn't - it's only a matter of maths, to find out really.

This is the type of high adrenaline thrills only Countdown has to offer

@dongxuemo4090

3 жыл бұрын

Everyone always watches the show just for Rachel

@Gmez759

3 жыл бұрын

Must be a terrible show then

@robthemodYT

3 жыл бұрын

@@Gmez759 Show aimed at pensioners to watch in the afternoon... of course it's boring. That's what makes the 8 out of 10 Cats version so funny.

@arunsreenivasan2074

3 жыл бұрын

@@robthemodYT Especially since it has Susie and Rachel who are in the daytime one as well

@Spoonbill_88

3 жыл бұрын

Ultimate rush....the ultimate high!

This happened to me once, my name is Tnetennba

@jordil5469

3 жыл бұрын

top comment god

@mooham8762

3 жыл бұрын

Well played negative one.

@Torexeon

3 жыл бұрын

Don’t get it

@sophieasha9069

3 жыл бұрын

@@Torexeon That's a reference when Moss, Richard Ayoade's character from The IT Crowd, showed up on Countdown, and got "TNETENNBA" for the letters round

@omgdisfunny4852

3 жыл бұрын

@@Torexeon go watch IT crowd

That little smile she makes after she put the "E" up is so wholesome 😄

@gavxps1

2 жыл бұрын

As wholesome as supporting Israel?

@esobelisk3110

7 ай бұрын

@@gavxps1 what

@AConquerorsVendetta

7 ай бұрын

I was going to ask how that comment was relevant 1 year ago, but then I remembered Israel has always been fucky toward Palestinians

@AConquerorsVendetta

7 ай бұрын

@@jocm99 lol how old are you, 7? Go play outside kiddo

@AConquerorsVendetta

7 ай бұрын

@@jocm99 better hurry, you're gonna be late to the next klan/incel meeting at your loving church

I love the audible "yay" from the audience and claps it's so pure and hilarious lol

@XanderPietenpol

3 жыл бұрын

Its so funny how clearly you can hear them say it

"Lets just stop there" and it did.

@mentalmatt123

3 жыл бұрын

Credits roll

@bignumbers

3 жыл бұрын

So many coincidences

@MichaelJ44

3 жыл бұрын

@@bignumbers Not a coincidence. It was an attack on me personally

@MichaelJ44

3 жыл бұрын

My democracy is under assault

@MichaelJ44

3 жыл бұрын

Send US tanks to my coordinates

It's finally happened, I've exhausted all 8 out of 10 cats does countdown compilations and am now working through plain ole regular countdown

@dahhhkness9706

3 жыл бұрын

Ah I know this path well. Enjoy the pilgrimage

@Malet89

3 жыл бұрын

@@dahhhkness9706 What's after this? Antiques Roadshow?

@uclo9073

3 жыл бұрын

Taskmaster, would I lie to you, big fat quiz (the one that sent me down this rabbit hole) and now working on "buzzcocks" with rhod gilbert

@B-Bigbawz

3 жыл бұрын

Phenomenal. I've been getting ridiculously stoned recently and just blasting countdown clips on YT

@silverkittyzen

3 жыл бұрын

where are you watching them? I couldn't find them on youtube a couple of months back and I'm not in the U.K.

It's so sweet seeing her face show gradually more excitement at each letter

Imagine how impressed we would have been if Carol Vorderman had done this!

@burgersnchips

3 жыл бұрын

To spell Carol would be the same or similar odds as Riley surely

@canoerar393

3 жыл бұрын

burngersnchips She meant Vorderman, it's a nine letter word which is the max letters that can be pulled

@burgersnchips

3 жыл бұрын

@@canoerar393 I was completely aware of that when I wrote the comment 😂

@bmxscape

3 жыл бұрын

@@burgersnchips doesnt look like it

@METALFREAK03

2 жыл бұрын

I know it's late but Carol did spell her surname on the show once. Must be a vid somewhere of it. It was well she was new still, or relatively.

I love how she shakes her fist in excitement like a little kid. Pure happiness over a word. Good for her.

@troo_story

3 жыл бұрын

She actually shook her second.

@bobdole3157

3 жыл бұрын

@@troo_story I’ll edit it but bravo. Take the likes.

@jameseckersley4926

3 жыл бұрын

She makes me shake my fist. 😉

@mankydave67

3 жыл бұрын

@@jameseckersley4926 Very good. I think she makes a lot of men ....... and some women, shake their fist.

@dylanblack8714

3 жыл бұрын

@@jameseckersley4926 you mean pinky

I love how genuinely happy Rachel is, she has a smile that lights up her whole face :)!

@Pernicion

3 жыл бұрын

@Joe Bloggs You should probably go have a good sleep.

@johnball320

3 жыл бұрын

@Joe Bloggs Still butthurt about Katie Hopkins?

@andrewmay1299

3 жыл бұрын

@Joe Bloggs I’ll ignore the political/conspiracy theory nonsense..... 🙄 The deck of letters is only shuffled and placed at the start of the show. So, it would only realistically be possible to manipulate the deck on the first round. It would be interesting/easy to find out how deep into the match this selection took place. Even then, they would presumably need to attempt the manipulation several times, before someone chose the correct order of consonants and vowels, so it would become a bit obvious if ‘R-L-Y’ kept coming up as the first three consonants of the show.

@SnaxxNZGaming

3 жыл бұрын

@@andrewmay1299 Considering the points are 78 - 50 I would say they are a decent way into the show (I only really watch cats, so have no idea what the scores are like in the real game).

@andrewmay1299

3 жыл бұрын

@@SnaxxNZGaming Oh yeah, thanks. I didn’t spot that - I stopped watching before then! Ok, then that blows all the claims of a set-up out the window then, as having appeared on the show myself, the letters are shuffled and placed only at the start of the show - nobody is manipulating the deck half-way through the show!

I never realized that "y" counts as a consonant in English... In French we count it as a vowel! 😊 I would be very interested what the story behind the difference is! 😊

@tiltha

2 жыл бұрын

Same in Finnish, my first reaction was "Why are you exited, the letter was in the wrong pile?!" I guess you learn something new every day... 😅

@synapticburn

2 жыл бұрын

In English we say A E I O U and "sometimes Y". It's not a vowel in "yellow" but it is a vowel in "dry" or "cry", these words where there's no other vowel and where it makes the same sound as "I"

@Neil070

2 жыл бұрын

I did French to A level and beyond and never knew this!

@Hazza32

2 жыл бұрын

We probably just did it to be different to you guys.

@jerribee1

2 жыл бұрын

In English, y is a semivowel.

Imagine the contestant deliberately chose a vowel to stop her name from coming up

Jokes on Rachel I spell my name everyday

@robertcairone3619

3 жыл бұрын

Not on TV you don't.

@djmiserablecunt7932

3 жыл бұрын

🤣

@djmiserablecunt7932

3 жыл бұрын

@@robertcairone3619 how do u no

@boymcfacto5832

3 жыл бұрын

@@djmiserablecunt7932 how do you know?*

@djmiserablecunt7932

3 жыл бұрын

@@boymcfacto5832 no. how do u no. this is utube not English lit exam

don't think it's a 4.48 million to 1 shot she can spell her name! she seems fairly bright.

@SomeBF

3 жыл бұрын

Absolutely laughed out loud at this cheers

@macman975

3 жыл бұрын

🤣🤣 I'm just hanging here waiting for 'that' reply.😉

@mickelodiansurname9578

3 жыл бұрын

It's hard to work out the odds cos there is obviously more than one set of letters... or at least it's not like it's just one shuffled alphabet right? It also doesn't look as if there's 21 consonants in the pile anyway...

@jamieashman1446

3 жыл бұрын

@@SomeBF no probs.

@spareumbrella8477

3 жыл бұрын

@@mickelodiansurname9578 Assuming an even distribution of consonants and vowels in their respective piles, I make it 231,525 to 1.

I love Countdown, such a basic game format but it's the guests that really make for amazing content n laughs. Yaaay Rachel for finally getting your name on the board 🙌

I can’t stop rewatching it, the applause of the audience keeps drawing me in.

@zada4a

2 жыл бұрын

I cant stopping because the event is so unlikely its epic

@atyourservice

5 ай бұрын

That's just dirty !

Rachel Riley has won Countdown forever. Show's over, they can all go home now.

@CodOfAges

3 жыл бұрын

@@netcomsaux Neat.

@IDMYM8

3 жыл бұрын

@@netcomsaux WTF

@krabix1855

3 жыл бұрын

Nah that's when they pull 'countdown' out

Had a moment of: "R"..."I"...wait a minute, "Rachel" doesn't have an "I" in it! "L", oh wait it's spelling "Riley", nevermind...

@waynemarvin5661

3 жыл бұрын

What an idiot.

@davidhoward4715

3 жыл бұрын

Jack, you won't do well on the letters round!

@redvamik3033

3 жыл бұрын

same 🤣

@deficitstifflegzercherdeadlift

3 жыл бұрын

Perfect avatar for this comment

@grumpyoldman3458

3 жыл бұрын

Richel Raley?

You can see the excitement in her face build up as she sees each letter.

10 years waiting for this awesome moment!

I love the cheer, just everyone getting excited and happy over something so supply.

Imagine how long Vorderman would have had to wait. Wow: over 1.1k likes in 2 days! Thanks everyone, it makes me smile during lockdown!

@GBURGE55

3 жыл бұрын

Thanks, That made me chuckle

@stevenhale2935

3 жыл бұрын

Do not speak the dark Lord's name

@mrsusan5672

3 жыл бұрын

@@stevenhale2935 I do not fear her!

@stevenhale2935

3 жыл бұрын

@@mrsusan5672 Then you are a fool! Her mastery of the numbers is unmatched in this realm or any other. She will end us all

@alaurahwillow155

3 жыл бұрын

@@stevenhale2935 Vorderman not Voldermort 😂

Is anyone just having this randomly found in their recommendeds or is it just me?

@therunawaykid6523

5 ай бұрын

For some reason yes, but I always don’t mind mind seeing the lovely Rachel Riley 😉

So BEAUTIFUL!!!

Happiness is simple: R-I-L-E-Yay!

In Norway we have these vowels: A E I O U Y Æ Ø Å

@Zeokage

3 жыл бұрын

That just reminds me of this... kzread.info/dash/bejne/mGhsmteDcbTNndo.html

@angelr.5123

3 жыл бұрын

"Y" is the consonant/vowel in spanish.

@VC-oo2mi

3 жыл бұрын

The same pronounciations exist in english - just got condensed into A E I O U I A "UR" O, because english is a language that doesn't make any sense

Imagine if she continued and spelled out "Reid".

@sunflower9481

3 жыл бұрын

The cross over i never expected to see on this video

@GreatTasteMurder

3 жыл бұрын

James reid-

@xl000

2 ай бұрын

or Steele, Nixon, Reyes, Star, Evans, Shy, Mason, Ray, Jean,

Still more likely than dream's speedrun

@ricardoroquepalacios8952

3 жыл бұрын

Ah yes, the comment I've been looking for

@judgedbytime

3 жыл бұрын

booooooooooo

@Rapshout

3 жыл бұрын

gotem

@reaganb6013

3 жыл бұрын

haha i was looking for a comment like this

All we needed was R E I D and it would have been perfection

@BennyFromTheTops

3 жыл бұрын

I believe you are on the wrong website sir

@therunawaykid6523

5 ай бұрын

I see you 😏😉

So Y is a consonant in your language. I have learned something today. Back in bed

@conroygreyfin7011

3 жыл бұрын

It is considered depending on what word it is used in.

@Brinta3

3 жыл бұрын

An example: yard In this word the y represents the j-phoneme, so it’s a consonant.

@Zyperior

3 жыл бұрын

I also just learned that.

@gigaleader

3 жыл бұрын

@@Brinta3 exactly. And it represents a vowel in the word "exactly", for example 😜 (and any adverb ending with -ly for that matter)

@sethforster7006

3 жыл бұрын

Our vowels are A E I O U

This is amazing!!

There's nothing I love more than that very British "ayyyy!" when something great happens

She is adorable

@thursoberwick1948

3 жыл бұрын

A bit of a nutter on Twitter...

Brilliant!

this is wholesome

Never did my heart beat any faster. Woooosh!

Anyone trained in probability/statistics knows that the odds are much less than 7 million to 1. For example, near the end, the contestant actively wants to spell Riley, so they deliberately pick a consonant. Not to mention that other equally satisfying words, such as “Rachel”, are possible, which considerably raises the chances of spelling out such a word.

@SixteenJacobsCreams

3 жыл бұрын

Also the letters aren't evenly distributed. And she does this multiple times per episode, having done thousands of episodes. After a while it becomes pretty likely that something like this will happen. Still cool though.

@aprilshowersstormtrooper

3 жыл бұрын

The OP has now changed the odds to 1 in 4.8 million - still way too high.

@Ovenman940

7 ай бұрын

The odds are 1 in 1, because it already happened.

@stefan33uk

6 ай бұрын

I would say the odds of RILE are not that long. The most impressive thing is getting a Y for the fifth letter

@duncanhw

14 күн бұрын

For simplicity's sake if we say there are 20 equally consonants, five vowels, then after (again for simplicity) 20 seasons of 20 episodes with 20 draws each, we're left with odds of 1 in 25 (before even accounting for letter frequency distributions). Accounting for (near) equally surprising things, like getting "Rachel" or another person involved or a word related to the show or getting the name later on (e.g. ABCRILEYD), it'd be less likely that something like this never happened.

When it comes to countdown, you either love it, or don't get it. Remember that countdown was the first programme broadcasted on Channel four. The fact it's still there, and has gone through 5 presenters over the years, and how many mathematical geniuses.Just goes to prove its staying power.

@MusicbyWordPlay

3 жыл бұрын

You know the fact that even our ancestors ate bread, and we still eat bread to this day, proves to me that bread is the best food the world has ever known. Wait a second that might be unironically true depending on how loosely you define bread...

@MetalheadSean666

3 жыл бұрын

@@MusicbyWordPlay without bread there would be no pizza

@MusicbyWordPlay

3 жыл бұрын

@@MetalheadSean666 Thank you MetalheadSean666, very cool.

@gbhxu

Жыл бұрын

@@MetalheadSean666 So what we are really eating is Italian cheese on toast

@davidtownson1476

10 ай бұрын

Current presenter count: 7 (Richard Whiteley, Des Lynam, Des O'Connor, Jeff Stelling, Nick Hewer, Anne Robinson, Colin Murray)

Y is a consonant when appearing at the start of syllables with a "yuh" sound, or a vowel when forming a diphthong/follows a consonant. As with many rules in English like "i before e", there are a few exceptions like "rhythm" where the y is surrounded by consonants and acts as a short i sound.

@JoetrixTV

3 жыл бұрын

Thanks Einstein, I’ll send your cheque in the mail.

@leomoe433

3 жыл бұрын

False, it’s a vowel. I get your point, but all vowels work like that.

@presidentskroob522

3 жыл бұрын

What about the word sky? Is it not a vowel there?

@leomoe433

3 жыл бұрын

@@presidentskroob522 OP thinks that because you have to pronounce vowels as consonants when they are alone, they are consonants. I pretend to be introverted when I am in a lecture but that does not mean I am introverted.

@duncanhw

14 күн бұрын

sky, cry, rhythm?

When she takes out the E is the moment she's beginning to believe.

She's so perfect.

Imagine if the next four letters spelt R-E-I-D now that would have been hilarious

@jioelg5438

3 жыл бұрын

Whats a Riley Reid?

@ozgundoganay

3 жыл бұрын

@@jioelg5438 i'd say you knowing it depends on your age

@jioelg5438

3 жыл бұрын

@@ozgundoganay I'm 26?

@jioelg5438

3 жыл бұрын

@Samuel Ward drama or comedy?

@jioelg5438

3 жыл бұрын

@Samuel Ward what like.. horror movies and thrillers?

4 million to one until the producer places the letters in order beforehand.

this is so pure

The question is why did this pop up in my recommended

Amazing

I love that 'yeah' when the Y comes up

That was the happiest moment of her life

i read that in one of richard whitelys last episodes the perfect phrase " lifefades " came out in the selection in order.

@steeviebops

3 жыл бұрын

It was the conundrum. LIFEFAIDS (Falsified).

@davidmyles9967

3 жыл бұрын

@@steeviebops oh right thanks. i think the daily express printed a story and got their facts mixed up about it. its not so significant now if thats the case.

@steeviebops

3 жыл бұрын

@@davidmyles9967 I think what was so creepy about it at the time was exactly because it was the conundrum. So it was the very last game Richard introduced. It was also the second conundrum because the first one was tied. I saw an interview with Carol where she brought it up.

Those odds assume that whoever puts the little cardboard letters in the little pigeon holes, never arranges them deliberately. Then the odds come down to 32 to one for the name "riley". And with how frequently this happens...I'd be willing to bet that those letters are absolutely stacked. It's not like we see them being shuffled. And nor is it unfair to the contestants. It's not dishonest or in any way immoral. So why the Hell not do it, and give the show's audience something to talk about at the hairdressers, as they get their blue rinse done.

@norbertmoses7134

3 жыл бұрын

Ah, someone else who knows pigeon hole principle. Combinatorics, amIright?

@callumscott953

3 жыл бұрын

The one in 32 figure must assume that the letters are deliberately stacked but also must assume that its the first word drawn for the game OR that the stack is deliberately restacked for the next game in the show as well. I've been and looked and it doesn't look like they reshuffle or restack the cards between games so it would also have to be the very first word in the game to be 1 in 32.

@keirbourne5323

3 жыл бұрын

Assuming both stacks are random, the odds of getting RILEY if you pick c-v-c-v-c are 1 in 21x5x21x5x21 . No? (1 in 232,525)

@callumscott953

3 жыл бұрын

@@keirbourne5323 Thats the odds of that specific draw if the cards are random. Its not the odds of ANY draw. Remember, the player gets to choose between a vowel and a consonant. so this sequence was c,v,c,v,c. But in reality the player could have chosen any sequence of vowels and consonants. The odds of any draw would be far greater than that. However, what Ash is arguing is that the letters aren't random but specifically arranged by the show to form the word. Therefore, the player would only have to choose the right sequence of vowels and consonants. So instead, you look as how many possibly combinations of vowels and consonants are possible in a 5 letter word. That 2 (v or c) x 2 (v or c) x 2 x 2 x 2 which is 32. These are only the odds under very specific circumstances.

@keirbourne5323

3 жыл бұрын

@@callumscott953 yes but as its not possible to use the player's choice as a chance, would think it makes more sense to go on that basis? And the cards are random by the way, that's how the game works.

Today I learned that letters can be vowels or consonants depending on the language

Why is the sounds so satisfying

Dream could’ve done this 100 times in a row

@airestith5309

3 жыл бұрын

That's what I'm saying, they should try speedrunning minecraft

@MindedRug4

3 жыл бұрын

Shut up nerd

@henrylansing9734

3 жыл бұрын

Yeah cause Dream is based

@thewhatwhat12333

3 жыл бұрын

@@henrylansing9734 absolutely not

@henrylansing9734

3 жыл бұрын

@@thewhatwhat12333 cringe

The odds are actually much better since letters are divided by vowel/consonant, so the odds are 1:21^3*5^2 or roughly 1:200000, and actually a little higher if you allow "Riley" to appear anywhere in the letters, not just at the beginning.

@LawClapp95

3 жыл бұрын

Are you a bit bored by any chance?

@JimmyBoosterCrate

3 жыл бұрын

@@LawClapp95 Probably just likes numbers and calculates whatever is calculable. I'm like that too.

@LawClapp95

3 жыл бұрын

@@JimmyBoosterCrateyeah thats fair. i wouldnt even know where to begin to try and work something like that out

@Nige.

2 жыл бұрын

I agree

@pascalb6803

2 жыл бұрын

Andrew explained his calculations in the tags. He used the letter distribution from countdown (there's a link). For the calculation of the odds I'd use a different approach: I would not assume that the participant's choices are purely random (since an alternate choosing of vowel and consonant is very common). Further, I believe that the last letter was chosen in anticipation of a possible Y. In the end you could definitely say that the odds for getting her last name is 1 in (at least) 140,000. With (74/9)*(67/13)*(73/5)*(66/21)*(72/1)=140,000 (in your calculations you assumed that there's an infinite amount of letters available). We could use a '2' multiplier, if we assume that the contestants start with either a consonant or a vowel in almost as many occasions (but I think that the contestants do start with a consonant a lot more often) PS: open for discussion :)

Absolutely buzzing haha

she's so 😭😭😭🥺

The odds aren’t 4.48 million:1 if the crew orchestrated this 😂

Another observation (to possibly bring the odds down): three of the letters in 'Riley' (R, L, and E) are three of the six most common letters in the language.

@petrograd4068

3 жыл бұрын

Yeah... And it's not entirely random wether they pick consonants or vowels. It would've been weird if they had picked 5 consonants for instance.

Amazing moment. What makes the odds in the title even more incredible is the fact that those odds (I assume) are simply the odds that the letters 'RILEY' would turn up in that order and isn't even taking into account the odds of the person pulling the letters being named Riley. (Which is probably impossible to calculate realistically. It's crazy to say the least.)

What a beauty 😍

Wow. TV is great. Where would we be without it?

@Gallo_162

3 жыл бұрын

further.

Happened to me once, my name is wxlztupha

@martingoldfire

3 жыл бұрын

If you say it backwords, are you forced back to the 5th dimension? It won't make sense if you're unfamiliar with Mister Mxyzptlk :-P

@Milamberinx

3 жыл бұрын

Ah, Poland, I hear it's lovely.

@ArjunArul

3 жыл бұрын

My name's Tnetennba

@jerribee1

3 жыл бұрын

@@martingoldfire Used to buy lots of Superman comics as a kid, so I know what that means.

@swaldron5558

3 жыл бұрын

Nice

Very cool video. Regarding the video description, that is a fairly accurate and interesting way of calculating the odds. However, I calculate it to be a 1/4.54x10^6 (to 3 s.f.).

Greatest moment of UK TV history ever…

What’s more amazing is she went on the spell Rachel straight after this

What is most astonishing to me is the realization that 'Y' is a consonant in the English language. Where I'm from, it's a vowel.

@HazyWave1974

6 ай бұрын

Your parents were siblings, weren't they?

@icedo1013

5 ай бұрын

@@HazyWave1974 You've got a keen eye for recognizing such things don't you? Learned the signs from experience dare I say?

@tobyk8125

2 ай бұрын

@@HazyWave1974 I bet that seemed smart in your head. In fact, my guess is you've copied that insult from someone else as you don't seem sharp enough to have created it yourself.

I love everyone’s “yay!”

that was the most fun that's been had on regular countdown.

“I came here to kick arse and drink milk......”

@richardsnape1630

3 жыл бұрын

and i've just finished my milk

@MusicbyWordPlay

3 жыл бұрын

"....and I'm all out of arse"

@hitchensrazor9538

3 жыл бұрын

@@MusicbyWordPlay Dammit 🤣

Okay this is still impressive but I do want to point out that the odds are 1 in 231,525 given that the contestant has to choose either a vowel or a consonant. So not 26^5, but rather 21*5*21*5*21. And I'm sure there's more probabilities like what percentage of the letters in the stack are [this letter], etc. Again, still impressive but the title is misleading.

@trickytreyperfected1482

3 жыл бұрын

@@scrabble1457 my number was correct. What you're suggesting would mean that 0.2 is a 1 in 2 chance, when in reality it's a 1 in 5 chance. If you divide 1 by 0.0000043192, you get 231,525. Just like if you divide 1 by 0.2 to get 5 which is the actual probablity of 0.2

@trickytreyperfected1482

3 жыл бұрын

@@scrabble1457 you do realize we're doing roughly the same thing right? I'm just presenting mine in the form of a ratio. If you divide 1 by 231,525 you get 0.0000043. What I'm saying is that you took 0.0000043 to mean that there's a 1 in 4.3 million chance which is just not true. The difference in our calculations is that I'm dividing 1 by it at the end. Since they're all multiplied fractions, you can essentially write it as 1/((5^2)*(21^3))... that's why I divide at the end (it's easier to type into a calculator). I hope I explained it better here...

@jalieanes7715

3 жыл бұрын

you haven't consider the likely-hood of the individual picking a consonant or vowel. if you factor that in (treating it as 50/50 chance each time) you get a 1 in 7408800 chance of this event occurring of course if you consider that the guesser probably noticed the trend and chose purposefully on the last letter that drops to 1 in 3708400.

@trickytreyperfected1482

3 жыл бұрын

@@scrabble1457 0.2 is a 1 in 5 chance, not a 1 in 2 chance because 1/0.2 = 5. You don't just move the decimal to figure out what the chance is. You do 1/x if you're doing it that way.

@kapishm

3 жыл бұрын

Maybe it's not so much cause it's some kind of joke? The letters need not be random - some intern who did this must have planted this 🤔

She can do anything! ♥️😍

No-one is happier than Rachel!

who else doesn’t know wtf is going on?

@vivekpanchal9890

3 жыл бұрын

I don't understand a single thing. Can someone explain please?

@m_i_g_5108

3 жыл бұрын

@@vivekpanchal9890 they're laughing because it's staged and everyone fell for it like a bunch of idiots

@vivekpanchal9890

3 жыл бұрын

@@m_i_g_5108 You are absolutely right.

@MrThunderbeast

3 жыл бұрын

*shrug* I guess it's a British thing

@TheThursty100

3 жыл бұрын

@@m_i_g_5108 if it was 8 out of 10 cats does countdown I would've thought so too, this is regular old countdown and I guess it may actually have been dumb luck. Also after getting the three in order, picking vowel and consonant in order seems like the only logical thing to me, everyone who wouldn't would be a psychopath. Thing is, if the contestant would've gone for two vowels or consonants, everything would've gone to waste.

Hi Andrew, mathematician here: for the calculation of the odds I'd use a different approach: I would not assume that the participant's choices are purely random (since an alternate choosing of vowel and consonant is very common). Further, I believe that the last letter was chosen in anticipation of a possible Y. In the end you could definitely say that the odds for getting her last name is 1 in (at least) 140,000. You could use one '2' multiplier, if you assume that the contestants start with either a consonant or a vowel in almost as many occasions (but I think that the contestants do start with a consonant a lot more often) PS: open for discussion :)

@Apophis051

2 жыл бұрын

Well, for proper calculation you would also need to know the exact number of individual letters on 'letter pilles'. Perhaps, certain letters have higher chance of appearing than others, and you need to take into account the letters which are already used, i.e. on the board. Also, Rachel did a bunch of episodes, so for even more exact calculation you would need to know how much times the letter game was played with Rachel, prior to this one.

@pascalb6803

2 жыл бұрын

@@Apophis051 Andrew explained his calculations in the description. There you can find a link to the letters distribution, which is what I used for the calculation. Yes you could do that, but the question usually isn't "what are the odds that it happens at some point in her life?" but rather "what are the odds for this to happen in a show?" Using these odds, you then can calculate the mathematical expectation like "It is expected to happen after x episodes"

@JohnDoe-ti2np

7 ай бұрын

There's also the question of what the odds are that whoever arranged the piles of letters intentionally rigged the decks.

@nathyatta

7 ай бұрын

@@JohnDoe-ti2np Everything's bs on TV until you can prove it otherwise has alway my philosophy.

@AutPen38

6 ай бұрын

Looking at the numbers in the description, I'm was surprised to see how rarely the letter Y apparently comes up. If I understand the numbers correctly, there are 74 cards in the consonant pile and only 1 of them is a Y, so when Rachel got to the fifth letter there was only a 1 in 72 chance even if you picked a consonant. The 140,000 to one odds sounds about right for the probability of it happening again at the start of the next episode, but it's bound to happen again if you play the game a few million times.

Great video.

Those odds assume she is choosing letters randomly

You are looking so beautiful rachel

0:18 getting my postgraduate degree

I can't even watch this version anymore! 🤣

This is something you normally only see on street countdown

God damn that dress

@superfreak19891

3 жыл бұрын

& amazingly enough, that dress she's wearing is pretty much the same colour as the board behind her, another just by chance or sheer coincidence maybe? 😆😆😆

@Brinta3

3 жыл бұрын

God damn that woman in the dress

The Polish have their names come out every round!.

Interesting that the odds of spelling her name like this are lower than the odds of the letters being placed in there intentionally in this way.

That dress she wore is stunning

@Chance57

3 жыл бұрын

You're stunning!

i mean, it's been said before that the crew/producers sometimes put letter combos on top for dirty words/jokes but those usually get cut, it could have just been that.

Love the cheer from the crowd haha

Even the letters are trying to pull her

*_It's not 7m to 1_* - keep in mind there's a 1 in 21 chance of the right consonant, but just a 1 in 5 for the right vowel. So if we figure it simply, we'll say the odds are: *_1 in (21 x 5 x 21 x 5 x 21) = 1 in 231,525._* But the odds in reality are much better, as this doesn't account for increased odds with each letter removed from the pile, or if they have an equal number of letters for each pile, rather than more good ones (R, L) than bad ones (Z, Q).

@handy1964

3 жыл бұрын

you haven't taken into account that the contestant has to chose consonant vowel consonant vowel consonant, which is a 1 in 32 chance.

@OzzyOscy

3 жыл бұрын

@@handy1964 I don't think we need to consider it though, otherwise what about the odd of their birth coinciding with this universe etc haha

@lwalker8785

2 жыл бұрын

@@handy1964 That assumes that the contestant chooses vowels or consonants randomly, which doesn't appear to be the case.

The problem with the calculation is it assumes that all choices by the contestant are independent of one another and they are not. No contestant, for example, would every choose 5 consonants in a row to start a word, so while this is impressive, the odds are overstated as the decision to choose a consonant or a vowel are not independent of one another. Therefore, the actual odds are somewhat less than this. Still an impressive feat though.

@james14294

2 жыл бұрын

Im fairly sure there have been contestants who just say "5 vowels" or whatever, they tend not to be the bright ones, but yea they do try it (can't remember if they allow it or not though)

@drmadjdsadjadi

2 жыл бұрын

@@james14294 it still would not be independent though. The fact is unless there is complete independence (a total impossibility given that people do not make decisions independently), the odds are lower.than calculated.

@james14294

2 жыл бұрын

@@drmadjdsadjadi didnt disagree with that, just your claim that no one would ever do a thing they have done before

@drmadjdsadjadi

2 жыл бұрын

@@james14294 Then I have no issues - I suppose some people are super dumb and I keep forgetting that!

@stargazer7644

2 ай бұрын

"No contestant, for example, would every choose 5 consonants in a row to start a word" You've obviously never seen Joe Wilkinson play.

That smile at 4 letters in, she was thinking "Please God the next letter better be a 'Y' "

I've searched for Riley Reid and this one came up.

What are the odds my uncle told me about this today and it popped up in my recommended?

@dukeon

3 жыл бұрын

I’d say 100%, since it happened

@phanom3658

3 жыл бұрын

@@dukeon Can't be 100%.

@JimmyBoosterCrate

3 жыл бұрын

Well, it went viral at a certain moment, and you and your uncle were both caught in the wave.

Clearing up the probability issue many are having the comment section: assuming the website www.thecountdownpage.com/letters.htm is correct in its distribution of letters (and the website claims it has been true since Jan 2009, which is when Riley started on the show), the probability of getting RILEY is: (9/74)x(13/67)x(5/73)x(21/66)x(1/72)=7.14281 x 10^-6, which incorrectly may to some look like 1 in 7000000, since it is 7 times 1 millionth. However, 1/7000000=1.43 x 10^-7. The probability given above is roughly 7.14286*10^-6= 1/140000. So it's roughly 1/140000. Anyway, who actually gives a fuck? I don't even watch Countdown. See Boris, this is what lockdown does to people.

@stevenhale2935

3 жыл бұрын

Also you can add in the liklihood of it spelling out 'Susie', 'Nick', 'Carol',etc thay would also have been noteworthy

@andrewmay1299

3 жыл бұрын

No, the 1 in 140,000 is only for fixed selections of consonant/vowel/consonant/vowel/consonant. If you allow any combination of consonants and vowels - as they do for the first five letters on the show - then it becomes one in several million.

@spencerpescod2234

3 жыл бұрын

@@andrewmay1299 I was indeed assuming this, since this is the combination of vowels/consonants the guest chose, so I was calculating the probability you'd get RILEY already knowing the guests choices. But I wouldn't know of a way to calculate the probability that this combination of vowels/consonants are chosen given that we can't place equal probabilities on choosing combinations CVCVC and VVVVV for example. Good point though, so I edited out the crap about parallel universe Countdown.

@andrewmay1299

3 жыл бұрын

@@spencerpescod2234 We can put a reasonable estimate in though. I’d guess from experience that this order of consonants and vowels is chosen around 5-10% of the time. I can’t see that it could possibly deviate much from that. Puts us around the 1 in 1.5 million to 1 in 3 million mark.

@ohrightok9750

3 жыл бұрын

the boris bit at the end creased me hahahahahahah

Well, today I learned that Y is considered a consonant in the English langage.

0:14 - **yay**

What would the odds be on the word RACIST?