Bondy-Sawyer Real Estate Team
Bondy-Sawyer Real Estate Team
Jason is a 3rd generation realtor and has been a licensed real estate agent since 2006.
Specializing in the resale market, Jason has spent the past 17+ years helping his clients achieve top-dollar sale prices and find the homes of their dreams. He's a seasoned pro, with strong negotiating skills and the knowledge required to help clients make smart, informed decisions.
Danielle worked with Jason behind the scenes for a number of years before becoming a licensed real estate agent in 2017.
Specializing in pre-construction condo sales, Danielle has platinum access to the best new projects in the city. She expertly guides clients through the often fast-paced & competitive process of buying new construction.
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500 sq ft of shoebox living
With the current crisis its hard to see a scenario of 5% per year for the next 5 years. Fair to say its a buyers market, and that can't raise the prices, specially considering the inventory sitting there. I have a condo for sale in Montreal, 475 sqft and only 2 visits in the last month with no offers, and the price is 278K, which seems like a fair deal to me when I study the area of current listings and those sold. A buyer could easily negotiate this price down.
But how do we know, it will go up 5% per year i next 5 years? There been a scenario like Lost Decade in the past.
Good question @aman4u18 The answer is, we can't know for sure how much values will actually go up (or down). No one has a crystal ball! In the video I propose 2 scenarios (both of which are below the 40 year average): - one where values appreciate 3% per year - one where values appreciate 5% per year It's of course possible that neither of those numbers are accurate, and that values will appreciate at a lower (or higher) rate for the next few years. Feel free to take the numbers I used in the video and run a few other value-appreciation scenarios for yourself to see how those would play out. Thanks for watching!
Who needs lower mortgage rates? 1% Who needs lower home prices? 99% ⏰️ It's time to wake up⏰️ #GTAOntario
Didnt they get rid of the first time home buyers incentive rebate?
That's right @matt9955, as of March 31, 2024, the First-Time Home Buyer Incentive was discontinued.
What a great comparison - thank you so much !
Glad you liked it!
Nice summary. What about 1.) out of pocket costs for repair/maintenance issues in the unit? Sink/toilet leak? 2.) shitty renter - misses a payment? 3.) special assessments from condo board for bigger repairs over time? It seems to me your P/L should include some estimates for those three items. For the renter, with so many tax free accounts (FHSA, TFSA, RRSP) and index funds like VOO (earn 7% on average doing nothing) savings options have never been better. Now that interest rates have normalized ‘investing’ in real estate looks an awful lot like a speculation (not an investment) - singularly hoping bubble prices go ever higher. Could happen. But if prices go sideways for 5 years the investor will lose a boatload of money. If prices actually go lower the investor will be bleeding cash. Eyes wide open…
Thanks for watching & commenting @vikingvancouver9832 These are all fair points! For point #2 (“shitty renter”) I would say that my comparison is focusing on renting a condo vs owning a condo as your PRIMARY RESIDENCE (as opposed to owning a condo as an investment property to be rented out). - You're right though, when looking at a condo as an investment to rent out, you definitely need to factor in vacancy rate (or unpaid rent from a bad tenant). - And yes, if the value does not appreciate at the rates I used in the video (or if they don't appreciate at all, or even go down in value!) then your financial position would be quite different.
@@Bondy-Sawyer_RealEstateTeam He also assumes 2008 or Dotcom crash will never happen again. Also never mentioned eviction as vacancy rate in major places like Vancouver is less than 1%. There's also leverage which I can't do for stocks unless I trade on margin which is extremely risky. I own seven properties, six of which are rentals. The income from those properties are now getting piled into my Dividend Portfolio while the equity in those properties is used to buy more properties so I have a double edge sword. Try using stocks as collateral to buy properties.
Totally misleading analysis. There is 90,000 CAD differential which renter was saving why you are not adding that to an investment. The simplest thing you can do is put that in an ETF. 10% growth on a minimum. Second part buying a home means you have to stay at one place meaning job losses is a problems for you now. Second if somewhere there is better opportunity you can not go. Consideration - You have super stable job owning seems to good idea - You will not get more money if you move owning seems to be a good idea. - Kids Then definitely you don't want shitty shoeboxes . Its better to rent and move where you can raise your children. - Real estate is very illiquid - You are not diversified. All you money is put in one city. What is it goes the Texas way. Investment is all about risk. - Renting your house is not passive income Dividend from stock is. - You have 10 millions dollars and like to waste money owning house makes sense.
Thanks for taking the time to comment @leetcse In the video I do acknowledge the question, "What if I were to just rent instead, and take all of that extra money that I would've otherwise spent on owning and invest that elsewhere?" And I go on to say that, for some people, that actually might be the better path forward! I do plan on doing another video that compares buying VS renting & investing in the S & P 500. - Ultimately, this video is not a comparison between someone who buys VS someone who rents and invests the saved money elsewhere; it's a breakdown showing where you'd be if you bought (and spent the $90,000 extra over 5 years) VS someone who just rents.
why didn't you just do it based off a condo bought 5 years ago today, we have the interest rates and prices and rental costs of the past. and then compared it vs just renting and buying s & p 500 with the difference
@paulshealthfitness7922 Great question, Paul. I wanted the video to appeal to someone who is CURRENTLY looking at whether they should buy or rent. I thought that using current sale/rental values and current mortgage rates would be the best approach. You're right though, if I would've used a condo bought/rented 5 years ago I wouldn't have to speculate about what MIGHT happen with future value appreciation :-) And yes, I'm planning on doing another video that compares buying VS just renting and investing in the S & P 500!
He either forgot it or trying to mislead us. 90K CAD plus growth on it assuming S&P 500 was missing from entire calculation.
Great video! Only thing you forgot is selling costs!
@howy333 Thanks for watching, Howard! I didn't cover selling the condo in this video. I'm thinking of doing another video that compares: i) selling the condo to buy a larger property versus ii) keeping the condo and putting the equity towards buying a larger property (or an investment property).
Does the land transfer tax rebate for first-timers happen immediately, or is it paid up-front and then returned the next year?
@CassiusJohnAdams Great question! It's typically applied immediately at the time of closing. This means that eligible first-time homebuyers do not need to pay the full amount of land transfer tax upfront and then wait for a rebate. Instead, the rebate is deducted from the total land transfer tax payable at closing, reducing the amount the buyer needs to pay directly.
Thank you for this great educational video. Keep up the good work!
Will do. Thanks for watching!
Thanks for sharing this insightful comparison. Could you please do the same comparison for two bedrooms condo?
Thanks for watching @samben8915 That’s a great idea for a future video.
This was a very clear explaination.
Thanks for watching.
Why does it show submit a complaint?
Hi @heavenlypath1065 The blue button now says, "Submit Complaint/Appeal or Respond To Audit" because the deadline to submit has passed. -- If you look further down it says, "Notices of Assessment for the Vacant Home Tax (for the 2023 taxation year) have been issued to owners who declared their property vacant and to owners whose property has been deemed vacant because they did not submit a declaration. Property owners who disagree with the 2023 Vacant Home Tax assessment can file a complaint through the online portal. They can also get in-person support to file a complaint at City Hall and civic centres, with extra staff available beside the Revenue Services counters from Monday to Friday, 9 a.m. to 4:30 p.m., through April 12." -- If you're having issues you should contact the City: Tax & Utility Inquiry Line Monday to Friday: 8:30 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. Telephone: 311 Outside City Limits: 416-392-CITY (2489) TTY: 416-338-0TTY (0889) Fax: 416-696-3605 Email: [email protected]
Here's the URL for the blogTO article: www.blogto.com/real-estate-toronto/2022/03/221-roxton-road-toronto
Here's the url for the city's website on the Vacant Home Tax: www.toronto.ca/vacant-home-tax
My taxes used to go through bank And Now I want to declare that my home is not vacant For that I need customer number and assessment number And I do not have my old tax bill since it went through bank Where can I find the number?
Thanks for watching @MansiPatel-lm5vb My advice would be to contact the City (Mon to Fri 8:30am to 4:30pm): ☎️ 416-392-CITY (2489) ☎️ 311 (Tax & Utility Inquiry Line) 📧 [email protected]
What happened if i can't afford to pay vacant tax no work can't even fix my house leakage at my rooftop can't even fix my house.
Hello @jovenjarata-ex2oi Are you sure that you HAVE to pay the tax? There are exemptions in place for certain scenarios. Check the city's website (which is linked to in the description of this video) and read through the exemptions section carefully to see if you qualify.
Hey Bondy-Sawyer , really nice video ! I was wondering if I could help you with more Quality Editing in your videos than your Editor and also make a highly engaging Thumbnail which will help your video to reach to a wider audience ?
This will be the biggest crash and in history.
No one knows where the market is going
True, no one knows EXACTLY what’s going to happen.
Yah….never ask a realtor for the truth- they have to keep hyping the market. The market has NOT bottomed and rates have an equal chance of going as they will going down. The bubble will burst and this guy will go sell ice cream cones at the carnival.
💁♂️🍦
I'll bet everything I own Markham will see a double digit increase in prices this year. Rents will blow through the roof as rents are tied to home prices and not tied to interest rates. Markham will surpass Toronto as having the highest average rents in Ontario in 2024.
@parkerbohnn We'll see...
This is what we get to put a freeloader crook in charge of our coffre. This is just the beginning.
Wow your predictions didn't age well, second week of January and inflation rate up. Who will take on these mtgs now. Talking $$$$ per month. So tell me how sales will go up. No investors buying as well plus way cheaper to rent.
Sales could actually fall as sellers already know prices will rise a lot in 2024 and in 2025. Therefore they'll hold off listing until interest rates hit bottom in the middle of 2025 to get the maximum price for their home.
Thanks for the comment @pablosubak8567 We're only 4 weeks into the year at this point, so I would argue it's too early to accurately assess how well my predictions for 2024 have aged (give it more time!). I can tell you that we're seeing offer nights for houses in some neighbourhoods right now (and some of these are receiving multiple competing offers). So there ARE buyers out there right now jumping back into the market. The January stats will be out next week and it'll be VERY interesting to see how this first month of 2024 has played out.
Great comment @parkerbohnn Keep in mind that many sellers are ALSO buyers at the same time. So if they wait until prices are higher to make their move, they will benefit on the selling side but NOT on the buying side. For this reason, many of them will likely be motivated to make their move sooner rather than later (which would increase sales).
Toronto votes left this is what they get.
You will own nothing and be happy.
You get what you vote for.
...the idea is to tax people to the point that they lose their properties and can't afford to own a single family home...
Thanks for the comment @senioraces. Affordability is definitely a concern for many. Olivia Chow said the following, "After years of decline, we have to get the city back on track, so we can build a more affordable, caring and safe city. This budget process is about starting that work." 👉 And this increase in property taxes is one of the pillars of the proposed budget plan.
Great summary. Jan BoC meeting will likely result is no rate change. And there is no meeting in Feb. This will mean 6 months of no rate change. Remember what happened in 2023 with just 4 months of no rate change?
Thanks for the comment @1234dionb I do remember! We saw a big jump (+15%) in the GTA avg sale price from January - May, before those 2 consecutive rate increases came along in June & July to slow things down. We've got 8 BOC announcement dates to watch out for in 2024: Jan 24 Mar 6 Apr 10 Jun 5 Jul 24 Sep 4 Oct 23 Dec 11
Good Job man, Interested to see how it looks in 12 months.
Thanks for watching! 2024 is definitely going to be an interesting year for real estate. Looking forward to seeing how it unfolds.
nice
Excellent recommendations! New subscriber. ❤🎉❤
Thanks for subbing!
Canadian real estate in danger ⚠️ imminent crash 💥 goodbye 👋 investors
In GTA real state is still a safe in and will stay like this for a while… it’s simple: supply and demand.
Pipe dream
Promo`SM
You break it down so clear & good. Thanks.
You're very welcome!
Just about to subscribe. Have you ever thought about using followsm(.)com?? A lot of people are using it to promote their videos!!
Very depressing and boring