The main Fossil Fuels, namely coal, oil, and gas (natural gas) are all expected to peak by 2030 (that’s only 6 years from now). Once they peak, they will steadily fall, but not fast enough. However, incredible gains are being made in Solar PV (photovoltaic), wind turbine power, Electric Vehicles, energy efficiency, heat pumps, etc. For example, in 2020 only 1 in 25 new cars (4%) were electric, and by the end of 2023 about 1 in 5 (20%) were electric. Growth in China has been gigantic, but even that is rapidly slowing now. Critical minerals for the explosive growth of renewable energy and electrification, such as copper, lithium, platinum and cobalt are concentrated mostly within 3 top country suppliers. This puts supply chains at risk in the event of geopolitical turmoil. We rapidly need geographic diversification of the supply chains of these critical materials to enable accelerating rollout of replacement technologies to retool our energy systems. This extremely detailed, gargantuan report is fascinating reading for how people in industry expect to replace fossil fuels with clean energy sources. Report by International Energy Agency (IEA): “World Energy Outlook 2023” iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/86ede39e-4436-42d7-ba2a-edf61467e070/WorldEnergyOutlook2023.pdf Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos joining the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.

@dannylujan3619

Ай бұрын

Well said . I read all your writing s

@Silks-

Ай бұрын

Mineral resource mining for the renewables movement has been an absolute blight on this planet, multiple nations have their eyes on the ocean floors next 😔 We should’ve adapted to using far less fossil fuels instead of starting all that, but nope, BAU.

@antonyjh1234

Ай бұрын

@@Silks- Net Zero is oil and coal running out, what did you want in its place?

@unbiasedthoughts7875

Ай бұрын

@@antonyjh1234Net Zero is not Oil, Gas and Coal running out. Net Zero is a term created by the petro-chemical industries meaning they will somehow offset the emissions from the production and burning of fossil fuels.

@unbiasedthoughts7875

Ай бұрын

@@antonyjh1234Net Zero has to do with emissions. Not the amount of fossil fuels left to be exploited. Basically, the concept means any emissions created from the production and burning of fossil fuels will be completely offset by some other means such as Carbon Capture & Storage, re-forestation, Carbon Credits (😂) etc.

I cannot take serious any plan that doesn't put replacing cars of any type with mass transit at the forefront.

@markanthony3275

Ай бұрын

But mass transit will only be good if everyone uses it...what about those who have cottages, live in smaller centres and towns or on farms? In my country , Canada we have a significant native population that routinely must come to major cities for medical treatment...many of them live 500 or more miles from a city...and...they insist that they must stay on the land and preserve their culture. So what happens to them? I don't think the people warning of climate change have thought this out...at all.

@fireofenergy

Ай бұрын

As if that'll come to my house, and then to my work without SERIOUS delays (don't forget the room needed for all my tools and ladders)🙄 Flying EVs are a vastly better solution (and an electric truck for my tools)..

There's no such thing as clean energy. Can't finish this one, Paul.

@fireofenergy

Ай бұрын

One million mass produced advanced "little" nuclear _fast_ reactors...(fast reactor do not create forever rad wastes). Problem SOLVED!

Plenty of hopium in this report.

Hey Paul quoting Mike Tyson....everybody has a plan..until they get punched in the mouth..Great stuff Paul many thanks!!

Two major problems are: 1. As people move from low pollution countries to high pollution countries they will consume more and pollute more. 2. As developing ountries continue to develop at a faster pace they will increase their consumption per person. In addition the limitations of the local environment will be over come as less children and people die (great thing), leading to increased population (bad) consuming more resources, and creating more pollution.

Mining (land and ocean) destruction, Jevons paradox and reduced aerosol masking effect makes much of the drive towards renewables insane.

Wishing, hoping, planning, and dreaming! Ah yes, it was a great song……. Looks like you bought it? Reads like bull shit to me.

Thanks Paul. It's good to see an account of where the world's response to climate change is.

I believe any and all information we have which stresses the importance of a multipolar world is important to amplify.

Whilst China has taken permaculture to heart, and come up with salt tolerant rice etc. they do some pretty 'interesting 'things to have those numbers look good on paper. I suggest you check out Serptenza who lived there for a fair while and got to know the psyche and culture. It is surely eye opening. Cheers.

ah im glad you posted this as it answers some follow up questions i had about china's economy. Thank you very much.

Renewable energy is not a thing. I really dont like that word, misleading.

@thurstonhowellthetwelf3220

Ай бұрын

I call them re-mineables..

Really gargantuan report 😅 uff, good job to put it in just 50 minutes 👍

I don’t really understand why Paul’s talking about these things that he knows will make no difference whatsoever. It’s like he’s got two totally different mindsets. One which is realistic about what’s happened / happening to the climate; and one which embraces the mainstream net-zero and green growth nonsense.

@johngray1439

Ай бұрын

He's a human being.😊

@earthsystem

Ай бұрын

Over on Climate Emergency Forum Paul was involved in a conversation that explains today’s presentation. kzread.info/dash/bejne/mYiZtbujlbPHeNo.html

@christill

Ай бұрын

@@johngray1439 Fair point.

@unbiasedthoughts7875

Ай бұрын

Hopium to numb the brutal reality that is collapse & ecocide.

@unbiasedthoughts7875

Ай бұрын

Smoking Hopium to cope

Groovy glasses!

Great information, Paul!

I don’t think most older people consider renewable energy in energy security. For them, energy security is a synonym for oil, gas and nuclear. Having said that, it’s not really about renewables. It’s more about reducing total energy consumption, which no one in the mainstream really talks about. All this kind of thing feels way too little, too late.

@earthsystem

Ай бұрын

Blah blah blah.

@christill

Ай бұрын

@@earthsystem I’m not sure if that’s directed at me or what I’m criticising.

@unbiasedthoughts7875

Ай бұрын

Reducing total energy consumption equates to a fall in GDP, which is a political suicide. I love the idea myself & believe that’s our only saving grace. However, it seems completely unlikely to occur.

@christill

Ай бұрын

@@unbiasedthoughts7875 Certainly Degrowth Communism won’t be popular under this political and economic system we see around the world now in almost all countries. And also in uneducated populations, people don’t vote for the left. That’s the biggest problem. Too many people are dumb.

@christill

Ай бұрын

@@unbiasedthoughts7875 Uneducated people tend to vote for the far right rather than the left, so that’s the biggest problem for Degrowth.

Hooray for Newton in the thumbnail!

@lukehoefler4317

Ай бұрын

only assholes buy designer dogs

"Russia's cut to supply ..." ❓ This is so absurdly inacurate that I want to laugh. .. Actually, the petro-dollar is waging economic war against Russia. .. [Good grief.]

@odoylerules4503

Ай бұрын

makes you appreciate the gulf of difference between academia and geopolitics

Well..... Good luck.

"an acute crisis in natural gas caused by Russia's cuts to supply" The fairy stories start so soon...

@bimmjim

Ай бұрын

Yes. I picked that out as my favorite inaccuracy.

Africa will be almost half the world by 2100, how or will any country ban cars that we might give away like free clothes?

@svarog63

Ай бұрын

We don't have until 2100. According to a Leicester University study from a few years ago, if we remain on the business-as-usual course (and nothing indicates that we won't), the atmospheric temperature rise will reach 6 degrees by the endof the century and the warming of the ocean will kill off all phytoplankton in the oceans; consequently all terrestrial life will die from asphyxiation as phytoplankton produces over 50% of oxygen.

@antonyjh1234

Ай бұрын

@@svarog63 I've had 4.8 before but still there will still be a "we", growing conditions and season will change but ground temps that are 6 degrees too cold to plant are now not. We have to be careful saying these absolutes happening in 80 years, and the last time it went as warm 90% of land species died but it wasn't because of the oceans, which were full of life, the issue this time is the speed and the pulsing flooding, in a few hundred years it will be metres per year, I still believe "we" will be around, just not in as many numbers unless we can transition to low carbon now, which doesn't help those that would like 90% of us gone while they grow oranges in Alaska.

@svarog63

Ай бұрын

@@antonyjh1234 I must correct myself. The rise in temperature of 6 degrees referred to the temperature of the ocean, not the atmosphere - although it hardly matters as we will be facing extinction either way. Canadian researchers claim that the global population of phytoplankton has fallen about 40 percent since 1950. That doesn't sound promising. We should be really, really concerned as things are obviously entering a steep exponential phase, being - to use a popular phase - "much worse than we thought" year in year out. Another fun fact, not directly connected to climate change: the human sperm count is now dropping by over 2% a year. Until recently it was less than 2% (there have been at least two independent studies that I've read about with the same result). There are many potential culprits: microplastics, nanoplastics, forever chemicals, pesticides or some other, as yet unknown pollutants. So, before we all die of a severe case of dyspnea, we are likely to sterilize ourselves into extinction within the next 30 years. Don't forget that the rapidly dwindling numbers of humans will have to fight extreme flooding, droughts, megafires, crop failures, fast expanding wet-bulb temperature areas and quite possibly nuclear annihilation. But there's a silver lining - not even the billionaires in their luxury underground bunkers will be able to reproduce. Cheers!

@svarog63

Ай бұрын

@@antonyjh1234 I must correct myself. The rise in temperature of 6 degrees referred to the temperature of the ocean, not the atmosphere - although it hardly matters as we will be facing extinction either way. Canadian researchers claim that the global population of phytoplankton has fallen about 40 percent since 1950. That doesn't sound promising. We should be really, really concerned as things are obviously entering a steep exponential phase, being - to use a popular phase - "much worse than we thought" year in year out. Another fun fact, not directly connected to climate change: the human sperm count is now dropping by over 2% a year. Until recently it was less than 2% (there have been at least two independent studies that I've read about with the same result). There are many potential culprits: microplastics, nanoplastics, forever chemicals, pesticides or some other, as yet unknown pollutants. So, before we all die of a severe case of dyspnea, we are likely to sterilize ourselves into extinction within the next 30 years. Don't forget that the rapidly dwindling numbers of humans will have to fight extreme flooding, droughts, megafires, crop failures, fast expanding wet-bulb temperature areas and quite possibly nuclear annihilation. But there's a silver lining - not even the billionaires in their luxury underground bunkers will be able to reproduce. Cheers!

Nice story 😂

Hilarious 😂

The future is bright...

If capitalism can renew itself into a circular system, I would say, problem solved. That said, I hope it does. I am highly successful in the system, i booted my ideals so I for one would welcome it making itself long termish. Big cars, pools and fancy houses and the life of a single rich guy. Its fun.

Give Newton pets from me.