Will Raisi's Death Trigger a Political Crisis in Iran?
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Late on Sunday, a helicopter carrying Iran's president crashed in northern Iran, killing everyone onboard. So, in this video, we're going to look at what we know so far, who might succeed Raisi, and why this could destabilise Iran's politics.
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1 - apnews.com/article/helicopter...
2 - / 1
3 - / 1792196411372552341
4 - thedailyguardian.com/saudi-ar...
5 - / 1792321737779974181
6 - www.theguardian.com/us-news/2...
7 - / 1792219996812132447
8 - www.economist.com/middle-east...
00:00 - Introduction
00:59 - What We Know So Far
02:52 - What Happens Next?
07:00 - Subscribe to TLDR
Пікірлер: 691
UPDATE: Since we wrote and animated this video, Iranian state media has confirmed Raisi's death. We hope you nonetheless enjoy the video!
@arielavraham3259
Ай бұрын
Hey man the pic of mosad eli-copter is = helicopter eli is personal name 😂😂
@tom_demarco
Ай бұрын
The audio got messed up at the end
@YaQ1988
Ай бұрын
We did enjoy!
@CLOCKROOK
Ай бұрын
A
@varushsimha
Ай бұрын
Don’t think “enjoy” is the right word to be used here
Conspiracy theories always born after these kinds of incidents
@Ar1AnX1x
Ай бұрын
some people just wanna think there's always a machiavellian game being played, all the time, at every level, 4D chess style, but truth is a lot of times things just happen because of lack of planning and stupidity or other reasons out of control of humans, thinking everything is a conspiracy comes from people thinking humans are in full control of everything which we're not
@user-op8fg3ny3j
Ай бұрын
@@Ar1AnX1x why blame the villagers for not believing when the boy cries wolf. You cannot deny that Israel has built itself a reputation for these clandestine acts
@user-un5qv3dc9n
Ай бұрын
To be fair, presidents dying isn’t exactly something that happens on a daily basis. Conspiracy theorists tend to say a lot of stupid things, but I think you guys aren’t any better. Sure everyone who might be related are agreeing that it was just an accident, and it’s probably true, but nothing is for sure yet. Just saying ‘nonsense’, turning your back and never glancing back is just as naive as assuming everything was intended by secret individuals.
@jlntpy1706
Ай бұрын
Stop trying to pin everything on Israel.. Just from a strategic point of view, wouldn't make much sense at this point. Israel isn't interested in escalating the conflict with Iran further. To me, and I can be completely wrong here, I'm not so well versed in Iranian domestic political landscape, it seems that it was either an accident or that it was orchestrated by parts of the revolutionary guard/ the ayatholla
@fnansjy456
Ай бұрын
I read that some people claimed a mossad agent Eli Copter killed him ,lol
It`s kind of a testament to the build quality of that helicopter considering it managed to keep flying around for 40 years without original spare parts
@joaquinescotoaleman4320
Ай бұрын
Old American stuff was amazing indeed, I mean Cubans stil use 1950s cars.
@MrSwangar
Ай бұрын
There are still quite a few Bell 212's flying around Canada, especially in the North. Having flown in a couple I can say they are pretty sturdy old warhorses. It's basically the twin engine civilian variant of the famous UH-1 Iroquois.
man helicopters are trying really hard to become the next Zeppelins
@masqueradis6925
Ай бұрын
I would certainly never go in one, even when well maintained if for whatever reason you lose power to the main rotor or the rotor blades themselves get damaged you just drop like a rock and that's that, you're dead. At least in a plane if you lose an engine you can glide and maneuver somewhat, or even continue flying if it has multiple engines.
@misorodzinak8829
Ай бұрын
@@masqueradis6925 If a helicopter loses power, but the rotor keeps spinning, a skilled pilot can still land it using something called autorotation.
@bangg_bhai420
Ай бұрын
World leaders should just type cheat code or endpearls. Why use jets and helicopters all the time?
@2909dk
Ай бұрын
its old western heli running on 4th gen spare parts.
@misorodzinak8829
Ай бұрын
@@2909dk and in terrible weather conditions
the weather was foggy because the ghost of all the people he executed came back to haunt him
@bazah23
Ай бұрын
Blud believes in ghosts 💀
@capncake8837
Ай бұрын
@@bazah23 It’s just a joke.
@11-inch
Ай бұрын
@@bazah23 imagine worshipping a fucking rock.
@arcturus4762
Ай бұрын
@@bazah23Well, the president sure did lmao
@abdulahmed738
Ай бұрын
May Allah curse him and all shias
I send my condolences to the families of the two helicopter pilots. The rest… I saw nothing; I heard nothing; I spoke nothing.
@TacticalWolf145
Ай бұрын
They don't need your condolences either. There are thousands that have sent theirs. Who are you even?
@mab9614
Ай бұрын
@@TacticalWolf145 I’m a common nobody in the West just like you.
@merrickfernandez4734
Ай бұрын
@@mab9614 goated comment
@TacticalWolf145
Ай бұрын
@@mab9614 Well! You might be common, but I ain't.
@intebuddy
Ай бұрын
@@TacticalWolf145 then you must be Mia Khalifa
Most Iranians celebrated 🎉🎉🎉
@rayanmarie87
Ай бұрын
Ok, So?😒😒
@2909dk
Ай бұрын
@@rayanmarie87 wym so? he was a terrible leader. i celebrated for them.
@user-ge5ce2rr6p
Ай бұрын
Well, Iranians hates all politicians...a thing that the West should learn
@sinamoon2594
Ай бұрын
@@2909dk 🤝
@PatriotOfPersia
Ай бұрын
Said Who?
Just think how advanced your country has to be to have the helicopter carrying your president crash and you have absolutely no idea where it is.
@archockencanto1645
Ай бұрын
Right, you'd think putting in a simple GPS chip wouldn't be crazy difficult (wouldn't cost anything either), I'm sure even Iran has enough sattelites up there to do it, if not they could've just asked China or Russia or even India. This shows a huge lack of proper planning and counter measures.
@joelthorstensson2772
Ай бұрын
@@archockencanto1645 that, and why the hell do you let two of the most important people in the country travel in the SAME helicopter?!
@itsover1402
Ай бұрын
@@joelthorstensson2772forget GPS, two other helicopters were escorting the main one, so how in hell wouldn't they know where he is ?
@Mark-gd2ti
Ай бұрын
Who would have thought that theocratic regimes aren't advanced technologically and open minded.
@nox5555
Ай бұрын
@@itsover1402 bad visibility. they also fly with as many systems turned off as possible to not get targeted.
4:08 This information is out of date. Ghalibaf is no longer popular, neither among the loyalists nor the general population. The more radical faction of the loyalists hate him and consider him a corrupt technocrat while the more technocratic and moderate loyalists are losing support way faster to disillusion with the regime. Also the radicals have more influence in the IRGC and with Khamenei. Among the general population, his popularity started to go away following massive corruption scandals both towards the end of his term as mayor and after it. Also, if Raisi is known for his job as an "executioner judge", Ghalibaf was also Tehran's chief of police during the 1999 students protests in which he ordered and oversaw a raid on University of Tehran's dormitories which lead to several students being murdered. He's infamous for saying that he would execute "a pincer maneuver" against the students. Finally, the turn out for this election would be historically low. The regime may try to increase the turn out to above 40% by voting fraud and forcing some people (government employees, prisoners and conscripts) to vote but in reality a minority of loyalists would really vote and not cast a blank or protest vote. This religious radical minority is very likely to influenced by the most radical hardliners. Of course, it's not impossible for Khamenei to decide to make Ghalibaf president, however the reasons presented here arr incorrect and so far there's no sign of Khamenei intending any change in his policies.
@nanakiumars8375
Ай бұрын
I came to the comments to explain this exactly but man you did an excellent job!
@Shah.Abdollahebigi
Ай бұрын
Very true, needs more likes
@epic9107
Ай бұрын
Thanks for the insight!
Khamenei the supreme leader is 86, and Mostafa was seen as replacement for him if something happened to him, though the supreme leader wanted his son Mojtaba as the replacement, with him being dead, it clears part for Supreme leader to choose his son without contention.
@RoofusRoof19
Ай бұрын
Damn they went from a monarchy to another monarchy it seems
@tradefortutara9608
Ай бұрын
@@RoofusRoof19 The more things change, the more they stay the same🤷🏻♂️.
@armanhaqiem81
Ай бұрын
@@RoofusRoof19 Syria used to be under the Hashemites but funnily enough it's now a de facto monarchy under the Assad dynasty
@HellBot-gi5si
Ай бұрын
Yes, I think you need to be careful Mojtaba is not seen as a replacement. Not by factions within Iran. This just Propaganda.
@co2_os
Ай бұрын
A bit too perfect someone might think
Mountainous terrain plus heavy fog- never a good combination.
Imagine threatening America with a military armed with half a century old American hardware
@Avaricumstudios
Ай бұрын
They have missiles that hit the most protected base in the world, one of these things is not like the other
So, not only is Raisi out of the picture but his most likely succesor is a reformer who's popular with the people? Maybe there is hope for Iran after all.
@avaljud
Ай бұрын
You should focus more on the "ex-IRGC" side of Ghalibaf (the possible successor), rather than popular and reformer. Nontheless, in my circle of friends at least, nobody that the regime can currently offer is popular. We all think they will put someone that will listen to the Leader and just be a puppet. Khamenei has learned his lessons from Ahmadinejad and Rouhani's personal brand and them pursuing their own ideas.
@jhingoorpatima237
Ай бұрын
I heard the son of supreme leader will replace him !!!
@hz3068
Ай бұрын
My guy Ghalibaf is just another corrupt politician that will follow orders as long as he gets his paycheck
@Shah.Abdollahebigi
Ай бұрын
The president doesn't hold much power and is a puppet
@bazah23
Ай бұрын
No really Iran will cease to exist is the reason only option or continue whatever it’s trying to do now I can’t see them having a third option
I don't find it surprising that Irans neighbors helped in the search. This is the same logic why Greece sent help to Turkey in the earthquakes. Even if you are fighting with your neighbor about the common fence, you still bring a bucket when their house burns, or you still drive them to the hospital when they break their leg. Neighbors fight, and neighbors help each other out.
@schloops8473
Ай бұрын
not if they are named the butcher of teheran though
@ylstorage7085
Ай бұрын
well, Russia and Isreal are using Bombs to make thier smaller neighbours great again.
"Mordecai and Rigby, clean up this mess!" *5 minutes later*
@EvdogMusic
Ай бұрын
"Oh man, we are soooo fired..."
@Zhtrik
Ай бұрын
“Dude, Benson’s going to be so pissed.”
@talalshahbaz2220
Ай бұрын
Skips seen this before
@camquest6108
Ай бұрын
Good Show! Jolly Good Show
@mihaicosma5111
Ай бұрын
You know who else is going to be pissed? My mom
Now Iranians are celebrating 🍾
@schloops8473
Ай бұрын
this will one day be an holiday in Persia
Flying a 40 year old helicopter in a dense fog, what could go wrong...
So, forty years later, the sanctions worked in a spectacular way. Congratulations to the long-suffering people of Iran.
@dondog3123
Ай бұрын
Funny enough, hes the one openly support the sanctions against Iran as an opportunity to stop western influences, but then it didn't work
@schloops8473
Ай бұрын
the Persians are suffering under the regime of extrremists, terrorists and kleptocrats of khamenei.
It's funny that Hamas realy think that a Mossad agency by the name Eli Copter did it😂
@fnansjy456
Ай бұрын
Funnily enough there is a real person on LinkedIn with that name
@moharshad6882
Ай бұрын
U do know there’s a chance that’s true, these countries, especially western countries r hella influential and powerful, they have satellites watching lran
@christiangrantz6906
Ай бұрын
I'm no fan of the Iranian government or its supports, but that meme was pretty clever lol
@DwasTV
Ай бұрын
??? that hamas?
Can’t believe Ebrahim Raisi and Kobe Bryant have another thing in common (the other being their basketball skills)
@taysontay2920
Ай бұрын
Kobe Bryant didn't deserve to die. He was innocent
Iran power struggle incoming fr
@tylerpetersen6226
Ай бұрын
Not really they were looking at a power struggle when the supreme leader inevitably dies. Now there is a clear pathway to power for his son ironically enough this adverts an internal power struggle especially if an investigation finds no wrongdoing whatsoever.
@HellBot-gi5si
Ай бұрын
Not really. President Raisi was a "Yes man" for the Supreme Leader. So he wasn't very good at his job. The real question is are they going have a actual President that will push back against the Supreme Leader disastrous economic policies.
@H00H-H00H
Ай бұрын
Naaah even if the Ayatollah die I don’t think Iran will be destroyed or something like that the country and the ppl are very deeply rooted so even if an important figure dies for some reason another figure will show up and take his place but nonetheless it will shake the country for a bit then it will still down after that
@user-ke9dk4hs3u
Ай бұрын
Iran has seen what has happened to its neighbours Syria , Iraq , Afghanistan it can’t afford to show any weakness or it will get the same western democracy as there neighbours
@P1utia
Ай бұрын
@@user-ke9dk4hs3u Not really. Didnt Iran already suffered from it multiple times back in the 18th and 19th centuries with the last one being in the 1950s? I dont think Iran would start kys that fast if the Ayatollahs are gone.
He is now with Allah. He must have a lot of explaining to do.
@cat9513
Ай бұрын
If there is a hell he is rotting in there the virgins are safe@thierryparte2506
@PowerSimplified1871
Ай бұрын
@thierryparte2506 [Insert family Guy joke here]
@iamverylucky
Ай бұрын
@thierryparte2506i love my bigmac BLACKED or smth
Well explained video lads ! Good work
they make drones and can't make helicopters? it's baffling!
@Haris1
Ай бұрын
This was an American helicopter
@patrickkhalil5551
Ай бұрын
@@Haris1 yes the report says it was bought in 72 prior to the revolution. Over 50 years without buying or manufacturing a new one for the president. I find this kinda crazy.
@BTAxistube
Ай бұрын
Aren't those drones designed to crash though?
@patrickkhalil5551
Ай бұрын
@@BTAxistube good one. Rockets too, but I thought they were fighting drones. Still... A nation can reverse engineer a helicopter in 50 years. Let alone one with the capabilities of Iran. In Egypt the president bought himself the most expensive private plane, I'm sure the Iranians could have bought something from anyone. China, Russia.. a helicopter from 72 just seems too weird for me, that's all I'm saying.
@mgigachad3170
Ай бұрын
@@patrickkhalil5551 When you are isolated from trade that tends to happen.
Very well done. The best analysis of this that I've heard so far, and BY FAR the best in English.
Saying something can destabilized Iran is like stating icecream is cold. Iran wasn't even stable to begin with.
Once again very informed. Great job
Respect to the TLDR team… the quality, the research, the presentation… spot on. 👍👍👍
No... no, seven years? That can't be right. You just started like- like last year?
@venepskeuten9206
29 күн бұрын
Time goes by terrifyingly fast
“If the headline is a question, the answer is always no”
The very-end of the video became haunted.
Super interesting and helpful.
when his nickname is 'Butcher of Tehran' I feel like he won't be missed...
@ElamiteFreeMan
Ай бұрын
MEK terrorists give this nickname to Him
using this in my politics paper 1 tmr 🙏
5:45 LMAOOOOO
The people of Iran cheer
CIA arranged the fog and Mosad placed the mountain in the way of the helicopter.
His wicked reign *was* a political disaster. And a humanitarian one. Maybe there's a chance in the instability for a better future to emerge.
5:48 Helicopter, AI really hit a home run with that Hebrew and that Y in the middle without any context.
Khomeini died 40 years ago Khamenei is a different dude Stop misinforming
@markuskristersson4663
Ай бұрын
The pride I feel when I correct an American’s slight mispronunciation
The Mossad Helicopter picture was flat out hilarious!
Great video as usual but the A in khamenei is pronounced like the A in car.
It’s the Fog of war that no one survives
Lord let's hope so!!! For the People
Slovakia: This is how you get rid of an evil Prime Minister Iran: Hold my beer
@valentinmitterbauer4196
Ай бұрын
Slovakia to Iran: "Imagine getting franz-ferdinanded" Iran to Slovakia: "Imagine getting prigozhined"
@magalicochet4327
Ай бұрын
The slovakian prime minister is dead ? I thought he survived
@valentinmitterbauer4196
Ай бұрын
@@magalicochet4327 He did survive, but it's unsure if he fully recovers.
@franzjoseph4218
Ай бұрын
which evil prime minister?
@Silver_Prussian
Ай бұрын
Evil I would call the witch Ursula, that homo looking guy with the glasses michel, mister pirate sholz and the list will be very long if I kept going.
You made a mistake my friends. As an iranian I should tell that there is no way in hell that ghalibaf has any level of real popularity here
I heard that he had some information on Boeing safety practices.
There will be no real meaningful change in Iran without regime change. Khamanei will pass the baton to his son, no dissent will be tolerated and the people of Iran will continue to suffer.
Hmm… ”hard landing” admittedly does sound a lot like ”rapid unscheduled disassembly” … a phenomenom which has taken place with many past Space-X rockets at or around their time of scheduled takeoff.
You mention "...destabilising for Iran's domestic politics." as if it's a bad thing.
@steveminecraft6353
Ай бұрын
Because a power vacuum in iran could lead to conflict and potential rise of terrorist groups, civil war and other things which could cause even more suffering. Like what happened in iraq post 2003
@lm58142
Ай бұрын
@@steveminecraft6353 Fair point but the difference is that Iraq was force-fed with western demoracy at the gunpoint whereas Iranian people asked for it themselves but were brutally stopped by the fascist mullahs every time.
@steveminecraft6353
Ай бұрын
@@lm58142 But what your talking about with iran is very similar to what happened in libya and actually is near identical to what happened in sudan instability is not the way to make progress unless it is being caused by something which is organised in some way and has a clear plan and consensus.
@P1utia
Ай бұрын
@@steveminecraft6353 Iran has strong bureacratic and diplomatic institutions actually. If the mullahs disappeared it will not easily or rapidly collapse anyway like in Syria or Iraq. And also Iran has a strong identity even without the Ayatollahs.
firm handshakes all around
@tldr plz talk about the DRC
I really thought it was shot down. But it might really just be incompetence. Sometimes in life you just get lucky.
Whenever a headline ends in a question mark, the answer is NO.
Thank you for this video ! It seems that you pronounce "Khamenei" like "Khomeini", moving the i on the wrong place...
kind of pathetic how old the helicopter was and that they only had 10 in the whole country
That one sentence, dude, how did you say all that?
I'm impressed with the presenters pronunciation
Raisai, AKA the butcher of Tehran, ordered the execution of thousands of Iraqis prisoners by throwing them off an airplane. The irony...
@souvikrc4499
Ай бұрын
He is basically the Pinochet of Iran.
@TLDR Please clarify if Khomeini and Khamenei are related and form a dynasty. Everywhere I search, says that they aren't releasing, with names just coincidentally similar
@Nakho-
Ай бұрын
They are unrelated, other than both being ayatollahs.
"Pilot Eli Copter" made me spit my coffee in a laugh. And I'm jewish.
@AGHaxio
Ай бұрын
Who tf cares u jewish You guys ain't that popular in the world same as Iranian government
Per the title My answer: unlikely
5:45 Banger meme.
Asking if there will be a political crisis in Iran is like asking if there will be peanut butter in a peanut butter sandwich, Iran IS the crisis.
Pet peeve: The flipped globe at 7:35 in a news channel
Oh, well, after his DSQ in Eurovision, Joost Klein released his anger towards Raisi.
That poor helicopter and forest!
If the mountain won’t go to Raisi, Raisi must go to the mountain.
@TLDRnewsGLOBAL great coverage. One small thing: you pronounce the name of the current Iranain leader, Khamenei wrong. You almost say Khomeini, which is the name of the previous leader and founder of the Islamic Republic. In Khamenei, the "a" sounds like the "a" in the word father. Cheers!
Crash would never happen if he used a different transportation method,or went to another path that had less serious weather and terrain.
What happened to the other helicopters?
"Dismal, Uzi" Is it just me or does that kind of sound like some dude named Hank's online profile on Call of Duty?
bruh i keep misreading raisi as ralsei deltarune
Yes, Raisi was killed by Uzi. I can’t stop nerding out over that.
Raisi was a known Boeing whistleblower!
6:20 frateeeelllliiii, diiii Itaaaaaaliaaaaaa !!!!
american officals "we arent sure who did it" NOT US at all" blame it on the helicopter "
Now what? First, we celebrate...
Iranians are celebrating. 🎉🎉🎉🎉
When I first heard I assumed idiocy was to blame, flying a 50yo helicopter through foggy mountains. However it turns out that a week before there was a wave of controversial news in Iran that Raisi was set to succeed the Ayatollah. 🤔
@HellBot-gi5si
Ай бұрын
President Raisi was a "yes man" for the Supreme Leader. He has no government experience and even less knowledge of economics. So he not someone that was very powerful or important he was loyal. However, the real question is will Iran elect a President that will push back against the Supreme Leaders disastrous economic policies.
You would think that Iran would use this as an example to make better choices toward peace.
So they haven't gotten around to find another country to sell them helicopters since 1979?
WWI: Archduke ferdinand shot WWII: Austrian painter WWIII: Iran president died
Short answer: that what the CIA planned 😂
Bad Weather, Very Low Visibility!
I only hope the trip was dam worth the hassle
YAY tldr :)
So the media *first* declared him dead and *_then_* found the wreckage?
Where’s the pilot? Nobody’s talking about the pilot and crew. Where are they?
@AmericanInvictus
Ай бұрын
They’re dead
This entire time I thought that Supreme Leader was the one that died. This is decisively less significant then.
Let's just hope he dosen't turn into the seocond Archduke Franz Ferdinand
Wonder what will happen to the bloke who did maintenance to the helicopter...
@thegame7557
Ай бұрын
There is no proof of any mechanical failure. The culprit is the weather which should be punished accordingly
@ssnaut1871
Ай бұрын
He will be paid handsomely if it was done to remove competition and put Ayatollah son next in line to power . ;)
Bro got kobe'd
Poor Ralsei, he won't see Susie or Kris anymore
This accident has nothing to do with lack of access to Western aircraft parts. They flew into a mountainside during heavy fog and weather. Parts can’t change that. They could have purchased Russian aircraft at any point in the last FOREVER if they wanted to.
"Raisi dies...now what?" They'll probably bury him before he gets any riper.
Ok but you didn't really answer the clickbaity title tho 😑😑
Finger pointing!
No it won't, it's a functioning government with a Vice President to step in. WTF
There's a major error in this video: Khomeini is the former supreme leader of Iran not the current one Khamenei is the current supreme leader of Iran