Why Trading Forex is so Difficult - Randomness in the Markets: Clusters of Bad and Good Luck

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Why Trading Forex is so Difficult: Randomness in the Markets: Clusters of Bad and Good Luck. David Paul, Financial Trader comments. If you found value in watching this video, PLEASE LIKE AND SHARE so we can do more! It is always my understanding that it is difficult to make money long term when trading currencies and indices - how do you manage? Most trend following systems have less than a 50% correct hit rate. This means that you get a series of losing trades from time-to-time - how good would you be with executing your system with precision when you get 5 losing trades in a row.

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  • @ukspreadbetting
    @ukspreadbetting4 жыл бұрын

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  • @therougetraderfx8874
    @therougetraderfx8874 Жыл бұрын

    He’s only 24; that’s what trading does to you

  • @schrodingerscat3912
    @schrodingerscat39126 жыл бұрын

    dont listen to a forex trader who says its easy. he hasn't hit the wipe out yet. trading forex is a humbling experience. theres absolutely nothing 'easy' about trading currencies.

  • @eXanova

    @eXanova

    5 жыл бұрын

    If it was easy then everyone would be doing it...

  • @bluzter
    @bluzter5 жыл бұрын

    Even if u win 50% of the time with Risk:Reward = 1:2, you are still profitable. If u win 30% of the time with Risk:Reward = 1:3, u r still profitable. Trading is Mind Game. It tests your Patience to wait for the perfect entry. Sniper Entries? They are done after a setup forms on Daily. Then wait for a setup of 4H, then 1H and then take the shot. This process requires PATIENCE. Trust the process and you will win. I am quite profitable in Forex and been working very hard for the last 2 years. It was a great journey. It fucks with your mind, but you have got to be Patient. No greed.

  • @babyblue7798
    @babyblue77982 ай бұрын

    i am just starting to learn trading at 62. My son said this is what teenagers do. I will show him wrong! FX is like Chinese to me now but i will become a successful institutional trader!

  • @danyhermawan7654
    @danyhermawan76544 жыл бұрын

    Well said. The best trader are not the ones with high IQ, PhD in math, nor the technical or fundamental analyst expert, but the ones who arent mentally destroyed in bad times and still have his own alarm and rationality in good times.

  • @madhusudanb9311
    @madhusudanb93113 жыл бұрын

    This master just summerized entire successful trading in just few sentences. Take a bow for your experience n wisdom sir.

  • @nikonxxx
    @nikonxxx4 жыл бұрын

    Risk management is everything. Profits take care of themselves.

  • @davidarmour5061
    @davidarmour50613 жыл бұрын

    The psychology of trading is the hardest aspect to overcome!

  • @carscoffeeandmischief
    @carscoffeeandmischief4 жыл бұрын

    Legend has it, he’s still holding eye contact!

  • @TRADERSFRIEND
    @TRADERSFRIEND7 жыл бұрын

    I have to agree with him, it gets hard to check myself when my trades are going right, there is a sense of invincibility that comes when you are getting it right and it can be also be devastating if you end up in the chop. Discipline is everything in trading!

  • @Lioness417
    @Lioness4176 жыл бұрын

    That shit stressed me so bad that I started coming out of remission from my thyroid issues. I had to quit Trading Forex recently. My health and well being are my most important investments.

  • @ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ1248
    @ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ12483 жыл бұрын

    I've learned that blocking the emotions and sticking to the strategy even during a bad run is a good habit to have. I've managed to lose 5% over 5 trades and then made it back to break even in one trade. Patience and persistence. And never stop learning.

  • @MrTeebaba
    @MrTeebaba Жыл бұрын

    Listening to this confirmed a crucial mistake I used to make for years and now corrected. "YOU DON'T PICK THE TREND FROM THE DAILY!" The randomness from the daily to lower TFs increases as you go lower. The trend picking should always and only come from the Monthly/Weekly TFs. Know this and have peace!

  • @Spiderlanky
    @Spiderlanky7 жыл бұрын

    I loved this interview. That was liquid gold running from his mouth, shining diamonds of knowledge in every sentence. So good, so so good

  • @gca-automotive
    @gca-automotive6 жыл бұрын

    My best trading week i was taking huge risks, around 10-20% per trade, i was very emotional too because of lot size.What made me tons of money was just adding to winners, cut losses when i realize i was wrong and sticking up with a strategy. Now a days im too scared to do it again, just thinking that 3 or 4 wrong trades could have destroyed me...but ended up very very good. Number 1 rule: go with trending markets, dont try to find the top or the bottom

  • @deletednoname4351
    @deletednoname43514 жыл бұрын

    Trading FX is the most difficult thing I have ever done.. but I wouldnt want to do anything else.

  • @Yung100
    @Yung1006 жыл бұрын

    Two words Risk Management 👌

  • @qwerttypoiuy
    @qwerttypoiuy7 жыл бұрын

    10million points for saying "muthi". this Zulu will now listen to you for ever

  • @haydenlawrence402
    @haydenlawrence4026 жыл бұрын

    Excellent interview. Key point for me is managing risk. Forget about how many losing trades you have just try to keep them small and let your good trades play out. In practice you can have more losing trades than winning trades and still turn a profit if you have the discipline to cut your loses and let the winners run.

  • @chrisphillips9170
    @chrisphillips91705 жыл бұрын

    Hey man, I feel you bro. Lost a lot of my money in the beginning, then really opened my eyes and listened to real investors. Now I just buy long term stocks, etfs, index’s and just focus on compounding. I don’t even check my account anymore, but every time I do, it goes up higher and higher. Slowly, but it really works. Day trade and swing trade really screwed me over.

  • @iangalloway6360
    @iangalloway63607 жыл бұрын

    Good lesson, biggest trade he ever had was one he forgot about. I think we are our own worst enemy. Winning trade? Let that shit run. Easier said than done. :)

  • @thestream1
    @thestream14 жыл бұрын

    I could listen to him talk about forex for hours - this is gold.

  • @roysmith9149
    @roysmith9149 Жыл бұрын

    Forex is difficult not because of the randomness of the market (because it's not random as u may think) but the ability to control your emotions

  • @ginasmith1363
    @ginasmith13634 жыл бұрын

    This right here is one of the BEST video i've ever come across on KZread

  • @coders111
    @coders1113 жыл бұрын

    I remember this video since 2018, and that was an " WOW ! Moment " for me. Thanks a lot for sharing a such inspiring interview.

  • @emmanuelleunamme9053
    @emmanuelleunamme90537 жыл бұрын

    He said it all "Market makers & Algos". They control the market very carefully, markets are not random. What is "random" is your outcome or results in the SHORT TERM. Everything this man has said is great content. One of the best interviews!

  • @johnallen1210
    @johnallen12103 жыл бұрын

    As a forex trader it's almost inevitable that you're going to experience some ups and downs along the way. Alertness and decisiveness are both fundamental in the recipe for a successful forex trader.

  • @johnwootton4469
    @johnwootton44697 ай бұрын

    I believe the key is to know when to leave it alone. I'll wait weeks if necessary until I see a clean, clear trend. I've lost too much trying to trade anything else.

  • @RobertDorsey
    @RobertDorsey4 жыл бұрын

    Had not thought about it being clusters before... very interesting... I like "The objective of doing business is doing business with the least risk"... Thanks for being a blessing and sharing...

  • @loganjamie8680
    @loganjamie86803 жыл бұрын

    Now I understand how my Grandma feels When I Try to Explain social media to Her 😂 😂 😂

  • @ahmedsaffah5222
    @ahmedsaffah52226 жыл бұрын

    wow. My inner divine voice just got replaced. Spot on. A week of wins and I got cocky at NFP day of all days. 😅 Wiser for it.

  • @Money11119
    @Money111195 жыл бұрын

    after this video i am considering selling my granny

  • @kvtnation6972

    @kvtnation6972

    5 жыл бұрын

    For 50% win rate? Wack.

  • @cazkeymekam6427
    @cazkeymekam64274 жыл бұрын

    Honestly he's 100% right. I've been on and off with forex but recently I came across some really good risk management advice and a simple strategy and honestly my mind is blown. I'm pretty busy rn so I haven't even got around to setting up a new demo account but I've been watching the charts when I get a break and just watching and there is money to be made if you can stick with it. The strategy doesn't necessarily get you out at the best time it's consistent in being right more often than not. Add risk management and you're good. At least it appears that way.....I'll know in a couple months.

  • @thylacine1004
    @thylacine10043 жыл бұрын

    This is a masterclass from the best.This guy has the best advice I have heard from anyone I've heard.11/10 sir.......110%.....

  • @thabanimathew2382
    @thabanimathew23825 ай бұрын

    Six years later and your information is still relevant 🙌

  • @tedk572
    @tedk5724 жыл бұрын

    You are correct. It is all about self-discipline when making & losing money. In forex, you must gauge risk every moment and regulate your position size and stop loss to weather the storms (clusters of luck). If you are disciplined enough on your risk, you won’t even need a stop loss, and can focus on your profit taking spots.

  • @moisesdelcastillo6703
    @moisesdelcastillo67034 жыл бұрын

    Love this guy. How straight forward he is.

  • @isaacmortimer8869
    @isaacmortimer88697 жыл бұрын

    Love how he just quitely slipped in how he trades at the start. Clearly no hidden agenda there.

  • @paladinpeanut
    @paladinpeanut4 жыл бұрын

    This guy give some of the best advice on the entire Internet in less than 10 minutes

  • @ivanprado8138
    @ivanprado81385 жыл бұрын

    He's not lying here he's talking about the real reason why traders fail it all comes down to risk management.

  • @keen2461
    @keen24614 жыл бұрын

    Wow, this gentleman just described what have been my observations and conclusions after 6 years of trading. Unfortunately, as simple as it all sounds, it takes years of losing money to reach those conclusions. To be a profitable trader, you have to have very clear in your mind how probabilities work, which by the way, most of the time, are counter intuitive.

  • @iliovininino
    @iliovininino4 жыл бұрын

    Just can say... WOW!!! I'll surely be watching this video a gazillion times!

  • @Oropia1
    @Oropia16 жыл бұрын

    He is somewhat correct, you will lose in the fx market if you are gambling but if you have set certain rules then you can execute every trade with accuracy ! 99.99 % of traders are speculators which is why so many traders lose. speculation is the form of all evil. if you don't have a winning system Don't trade !

  • @jamesharry7216
    @jamesharry7216 Жыл бұрын

    This is one of the best videos I have ever watched so far Thanks Keep more videos coming This videos teaches me a lots how to go along way with my forex trader

  • @KEMELVV
    @KEMELVV5 ай бұрын

    I will forever appreciate this channel, you've helped me and my family a lot, your videos, advice and lessons are inspirational helpful to us, we all love you

  • @JamesPossible
    @JamesPossible5 жыл бұрын

    love this vid, great discussion...this is a must watch/listen for every trade.

  • @andrestrat
    @andrestrat4 жыл бұрын

    This guy is unbelievably honest. He sounds like success is all about understanding statistics and risk /Money mgmt, not about market knowledge!

  • @pagalalp123
    @pagalalp1235 жыл бұрын

    bang on.after experinnicingg such issue i hv learnt risk management is always necessary.

  • @GoodEvenings
    @GoodEvenings3 жыл бұрын

    Wow, so glad I stumbled upon this guy. His crocked tie exudes wisdom.

  • @freddiestoker9228
    @freddiestoker92285 жыл бұрын

    feel like i've just been hit by a truck, He had me on every word. Exceptional.

  • @swiftsifu
    @swiftsifu7 жыл бұрын

    Excellent interview.

  • @sanchez8654
    @sanchez86543 жыл бұрын

    This video was one of the many keys that sparked my profitability in the markets, I come back to it often. Thank you ❤

  • @jsunproter1940
    @jsunproter19403 жыл бұрын

    I've been day trading full time for 4 years now. About 50% of my trades are in the forex. Its a different beast for sure from stocks or futures but it isn't more difficult imo. You need different strategies. Its more similar to trading penny stocks. True that with every trading strategy or system even if you have a 80-90% strike rate you will hit draw-downs sometimes many in a row although that isnt typical. Any vetran trader will tell you they dealt with these things early in their careers but that goes away after a while. The psychology angle he's referring to is mostly for new traders. Those big bets hes referring to i went through as well. i cut that shit out long ago. Gotta manage your risk and position size constantly. There is some silly stop hunting going on in forex for sure

  • @websurfer1585
    @websurfer15854 жыл бұрын

    It's all about RISK MANAGEMENT, assuming you do you technical (chart) analysis thoroughly, based on proven historical trends, and thus enter a viable trade, then put in place a trailing stop loss of 1 or 2% of your a/c, you can't go far wrong. You may have say 3 or 4 losses before you have a win, but if those losses are small and controlled, you should make steady gains over time.

  • @traderslife5209
    @traderslife52093 жыл бұрын

    This is legendary.. Great man he summarized our work💹🚀

  • @AnthonysTradingChannel
    @AnthonysTradingChannel3 жыл бұрын

    Appreciate your perspective, thanks for the video

  • @georgsommerseth3627
    @georgsommerseth36275 жыл бұрын

    Very good and understandable way to display the "why's" of good and bad Luck going on!...

  • @babyblue7798
    @babyblue77982 ай бұрын

    his first sentence , a gem already!

  • @heihachislate66
    @heihachislate664 жыл бұрын

    I would like to thank UKspreadbetting for running these videos, especially the man in this one. He recommended a book to read from Mr. Toppel. I just started reading this book and it started to make sense about trading the FOREX for me. I was basically "nuking" it from all the research I have been doing to try and build my trading skills. Sometimes you have to take a step back to take two steps forward. Its a true statement. Thank you UKspreadbetting!

  • @stocktradingmastery
    @stocktradingmastery9 ай бұрын

    This guy is a great story teller , so entertaning !

  • @OG96932
    @OG969325 жыл бұрын

    there is a simple solution to all this (Because of Market Manipulation.. I call it the Snail and the hare), Distant your stops and trade short ( meaning a psychological not to think big, because big is a gamble) trade with low constant profits, follow the trend and sell if you have to and stay ahead.

  • @WiPri0371
    @WiPri0371 Жыл бұрын

    One of the most important things if you're going to be a trader is psychology. What he speaks of around 05:00 is squarely a psychology issue. Best material on this subject is Mark Douglas' books, The Disciplined Trader and Trading In The Zone, which audiobooks are in abundance on YT. Choose which one works best for you bc they are not all the same.

  • @riva2003
    @riva20037 жыл бұрын

    Very true. That is something fundamental stuff for FX trading he is talking.

  • @monkaZETTA
    @monkaZETTA2 жыл бұрын

    I'd walk through glass to be this man. He's on whole another level.

  • @tudorrenegade7052
    @tudorrenegade70526 жыл бұрын

    This is so true, I have experienced all those states!

  • @keirankainth
    @keirankainth3 жыл бұрын

    How have I never come across this master before.

  • @jam202
    @jam2023 жыл бұрын

    Awesome interview, thank you!

  • @tylerjose3889
    @tylerjose38893 жыл бұрын

    TRUST ME i have been able to help a lot of people make more profit and myself as well from the help of all your videos and sessions i have been listening to. you are such a great teacher and a friend...... i will continue saying a big thank you

  • @theunknown9495
    @theunknown94953 жыл бұрын

    Great video. One of the best I've seen for trading after 5 years learning

  • @luciusrex
    @luciusrex6 жыл бұрын

    Best interview I ever seen. Honest funny guy and confirmed most of my assumptions of the market.

  • @ColinDresser
    @ColinDresser Жыл бұрын

    Really appreciate the upload, thanks.

  • @Farmfresheggboy
    @Farmfresheggboy3 жыл бұрын

    Just wanted to say thankyou for all the wonderful videos

  • @IsraelJonesFiagbe
    @IsraelJonesFiagbe7 жыл бұрын

    David was just on point. Hope he is ready to coach newbies on his avid risk management strategies

  • @rod_-0918
    @rod_-09185 жыл бұрын

    This one was amazing! Thanks!!

  • @tomkwi36
    @tomkwi366 жыл бұрын

    Unbelievebly excellent stuff...That is in my opinion proof that you can find real pearls on the web.

  • @juliusgalido2319
    @juliusgalido23194 жыл бұрын

    Thank you so much Sir. I love this. I really hate forex trading, because there is no intrinsic value and has no physical location and its a decentralized, it is better to go with stock market registered in Stocks exchange. . .

  • @einseitig3391
    @einseitig33915 жыл бұрын

    Now this is the best video I have seen in a long time. Well explained with the mathematics of probability too.

  • @CrankDATdance56
    @CrankDATdance567 жыл бұрын

    True, i lost everything by getting overconfident after a good run

  • @hellsbellslost6032
    @hellsbellslost60326 жыл бұрын

    What an excellent video, so absolutely true. Clusters of good and bad luck are to be expected, but my ability to navigate both needs a lot of work

  • @hoogerbooger3949
    @hoogerbooger39499 ай бұрын

    David Paul is phenomenal. This video is like a trading Bible.

  • @Thedogs524
    @Thedogs5242 жыл бұрын

    Dr David Paul, Must be one of the most interesting Traders ive come across on KZread. I wish he was my Grandad, i could listen to him all day telling his storys. 😀

  • @kamerewanyoike8767
    @kamerewanyoike87672 жыл бұрын

    When he said threes I knew your strategy. Good advice

  • @jullianmark2577
    @jullianmark25776 жыл бұрын

    top top man. wisdom and knowledge with no ego.

  • @Higgs000Boson
    @Higgs000Boson6 жыл бұрын

    His best trade was when he didn't touch his position for a few days. I always thought it's the best strategy ;)

  • @Coinsortium
    @Coinsortium3 жыл бұрын

    Basically if you cut losses short and you keep a minimum 1:3+ Risk ratio you’re onto something decent.

  • @speedy4435
    @speedy4435Ай бұрын

    Excellent interview

  • @sammyjus
    @sammyjus3 жыл бұрын

    Experience is the best teacher.

  • @thestream1
    @thestream15 жыл бұрын

    I like his analogy. funny but 100% correct!

  • @vlj9013
    @vlj90133 жыл бұрын

    Good stuff. Basically his success is because he managed risk well. I can't agree with him more when he said life / forex trading is a cluster of bad lucks and good lucks.

  • @MFXCenter786
    @MFXCenter7864 жыл бұрын

    Great video very useful and precise. Thanks a lot.

  • @alialsabe
    @alialsabe6 жыл бұрын

    This man is very thoughtful. Couldn't agree more with him

  • @traderkevin8206
    @traderkevin82066 жыл бұрын

    1000% agree , very well said

  • @cactiman
    @cactiman3 жыл бұрын

    I need this guy as a mentor, great tips on psychology :)

  • @Mfurestnobolo69
    @Mfurestnobolo694 жыл бұрын

    Wow, I needed this. I'm in a minor drawdown, didn't want to turn a pillow fight into a gun battle and so I took a break and searched for some wisdom. This is (muthi) right here.

  • @NM-kt4ht
    @NM-kt4ht5 жыл бұрын

    This guy is awesome. "All the ADX's of the world makes no darn difference"

  • @jemileal-darraji7508
    @jemileal-darraji75084 жыл бұрын

    i think i'm going to watch this chap everyday before i put any trades on

  • @MultiMirzo
    @MultiMirzo3 жыл бұрын

    David should see how high my probability for 10 bad trades in a row is.

  • @blakejones9206
    @blakejones92063 жыл бұрын

    My boy blinked only like 4 times in this whole video

  • @stefanklaus3407
    @stefanklaus34073 жыл бұрын

    14days of hardwork and focus can put you many years ahead i just got into forex and I made my first profit wish I knew about this earlier