Phil Steele is predicting that Iowa will reach the 12-team CFP. He has them ranked 11th in his projected final year standings. Despite winning several close games last year (which is typically a red flag in Phil Steele's analytics), 4 out of his 9 sets of power rankings are calling for the Hawkeyes to win double digit games. As we know, power rankings love dominance, which means they typically underestimate clutch teams like Mark Dantonio's Michigan State teams or Kalen DeBoer's Washington teams.

@collegefootballwithsam

23 күн бұрын

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@scottd1903

23 күн бұрын

@collegefootballwithsam I guess his analytics don't take strength of schedule into account? Assuming iowa loses to ohio, there's a good chance they won't have a single win against a ranked opponent. That's bordering on liberty territory. Granted most of their wins would be against P4 teams. At 11, I'd assume they finish 10-2 with loses to ohio and likely either Nebraska or Wisconsin. How can u rank a team at 11 without a single ranked win when almost everyone behind them will likely have at least one and be within 1 or 2 wins of them overall? I just don't see it. I'd rank a 10-2 team without any ranked wins behind 9-3 teams with some and possibly behind an 8-4 team if they had a much harder schedule and say 3 or 4 wins against ranked opponents.

Those Iowa LB numbers are unreal.

Ive aaid it before, but its almost impossible for the offense to not be, at worst, a little better than last year

@ScrapVulture111

18 күн бұрын

😂

I have been so busy. I needed some Iowa time with Sam. Thanks.

Good stuff as always, Sam. See ya soon, bud. I hope all is well. Go, Buckeyes!

Hey! The long sleeved Iowa themed shirt looks sharp. Cool.

Love how everyone in the comment section is so confident in their predictions. It's CFB, anything can happen!

Iowa has turned the offense around in one year in the past and will again.

Iowa's offense needs to be alot more explosive then it was last year. That would be a pretty gosh darn good season if the Hawks earned a spot in the 12 team playoff. I would prefer the Hawkeyes played for the National Championship. But one step at a time.🏈 they need to have a more explosive offense to compliment the defense. And they need a quarterback that will throw the ball down the field and a running back that can pick up 6 or 7 yards a carry. To take the pressure off of the quarterback. Go Hawks🏈🏉🏈🏉🏈

@LetsGet_It_Don

22 күн бұрын

They have the RB’s on the team now. They need a relevant pass game to compliment the run. Iowas failure in passing I assume trickles down from 1. Bad coaching @ the position and play calling , 2 .Bad QB in general, 3. Tie between poor protection and poor receiving corps, not including TE. Majority falls in the 1-2 category.

@dubswilland

6 күн бұрын

@@LetsGet_It_Doncade isn't bad and I think you know that. Also if he plays all 12 (hopefully 12) games this season and starts to get it going toward the middle of the season we could easily be in the cfp

@LetsGet_It_Don

3 күн бұрын

@@dubswilland I can definitely agree with that. Yes I do know he is an above average quarterback. The only thing I think that is holding the offense back right now is a proven go to receiver. Brown is who I suspect but not technically proven in an Iowa uniform. TE room is good so that should be fine. Also besides Logan Jones, the offensive line was lacking last year. It’s really hard to point definitive fingers from the Shh show that’s been going on the last few years, but those two aspects need to prove that they can be good, if not need to be improved via coaching/recruiting. But if the offense starts clicking maybe receivers will get open, relying on the run game. I think football is such a mental game, not just learning plays, knowing assignments, routes, etc. Boosting a players confidence even if he is lacking in strength/skill/athletic ability in general can change their game. Maybe this shadow over the offense can be lifted and move on. Go Hawks

@LetsGet_It_Don

3 күн бұрын

@@dubswilland also I was referring to Deacon Hill in 2023 and Spencer Petras in 22 21 . Petras had a couple good games but was overall just bad at Iowa. He may. E good somewhere else. Hill was just not ready, or not a power 5 conference football player. I accepted him though. He presented himself well. If he wouldn’t have gotten strip sacked so many times I actually think he was tolerable. He did what he could.

Plethora is your favorite word. I think you’re a smart analyst

Iowa had the 4th best defense in the B10 and one of the worst offenses in the country last year. With the new additions to the conference, iowa is going to have to make a giant leap, mostly on offense (obviously). IMO the most teams the B10 gets into the playoffs is 4. To get that many, a lot of things outside their control have to go right. I think 3 is the most likely number; with the SEC getting 4 (probably due to remaining bias), the ACC and B12 get 2 each, and the G5 gets 1. And there's your 12. If thats the case, they will need to go at least 11-1 to get in. Their only head to head with the other top contenders is against ohio, which they very likely lose, and cakewalk out of conference schedule. Meaning if they go even 10-2, they won't get in over a 10-2 ohio, oregon, michigan, or penn state who would have either a head to head win against each other and/or another top out of conference win. Can iowa improve enough on offense to go 11-1? I don't think they can. While they only play 1 of the top 5 teams in the B10, their last 4 games are Wisconsin, ucla, maryland, and nebraska which is far from an easy schedule, and i think they drop at least one. Just my 2 cents

@Pipsqueak-

23 күн бұрын

I think my Hawks go 11-1 due to Wisconsin and Nebraska being at home. I don’t think Van Dyke or Raiola can go into Kinnick and win vs a Phil Parker defense. Nebby is also a night game. Traveling to UCLA and Maryland is no joke but neither strike me as tough places to play and we get a bye before the Maryland game. Don’t think either team is set to contend in the B1G this year with win totals at 6.5 and 5.5 both juiced to the over. Like Sam said in this video, Iowa will be favored in 11/12 games. If our offense can make any sort of reasonable jump, I believe we win out after Ohio State.

@scottd1903

23 күн бұрын

@Pipsqueak- it's possible. They have about as easy of a B10 schedule as u can get. But that's another strike against them and doesn't win them any tiebreakers. If raiola has a solid year, Nebraska could very well be a sleeper team, and I think Wisconsin is going to be quite a bit improved. They should handle ucla and MD, but neither are gimme games on the road. I just don't see 11. I don't think their offense has improved enough. Can definitely see 10 wins, but they'll probably need a lot of help to get in with 10 considering the weak schedule and possibly/probably no wins against ranked opponents. They'll likely need at least 2 of michigan, penn state, oregon, and ohio to have 9 or fewer, and nobody else to have 10 or more. Unless, the SEC eats itself and has a bunch of 9 and under win teams and only 1 or 2 with 10+. Then the B10 could get 4 or 5 teams in. u guys likely need a lot of things beyond your control to go right. Or u just beat ohio and then basically guaranteed to get in even with 10.

@belegenderry

18 күн бұрын

How is it that people will say that Wisconsin and Nebraska in year 2 of their rebuilds will be surprise teams then also say they are easy opponents? I can understand when comparing them to a mich or OSU but even Mich and OSU only play each other once in the regular season. To be fair, I hate preseason talk because predicated playoff teams could end up being cupcakes and cupcakes can be 10+ win teams. You never know how the schedule actually is until the end of the season when the W and Ls are shown.

You say there's no way an 11-1 BigTen team misses the playoffs, but 11-1 doesn't factor in the BigTen championship game ,where if they made it to that game would be paired up against the #1 BigTen team and very likely to be heavily over matched. Absolsolute best case scenario for Iowa is 11-2 with a fairly weak strength of schedule, which would be a hard sell for making the playoffs.

Iowa 5th best D last year and 130th (last) ranked offense. How is that even possible?

If Iowa is 10-2 I don’t think they should get in, especially if they are scoring less than 20 ppg. They would have to dominate imo or go 11-1 at least. If they got into the playoff they would get waxed in the first round. I’d rather see Penn State or an SEC school over Iowa.

@chrislane3228

23 күн бұрын

An Iowa team that scores less than 20 ppg won't go 10-2.... right?

@brettduncan15

23 күн бұрын

@@chrislane3228 Last years Iowa team had the worst offense in power 5 and won 10 games

As an Iowa fan, i don’t think they will make CFP but they do have a shot, Iowa will be 10-2 loss to OSU and 1 loss to Wisconsin or Nebraska, they’ll probably just miss the big10 champ or make it and lose.

@Pipsqueak-

23 күн бұрын

We beat both those teams on the road last year with the worst offense in CFB. This year we play both at home with hopefully a serviceable offense and damn near the same defense. I get both of those teams got new QBs in Van Dyke and Railola but I still don’t see either going into Kinnick in winning.

Iowa may make it but it will only be because of the uneven scheduling remaining a sham. Iowa only plays OSU this year...no PSU, Oregon or Michigan. You, Sam, have it correct-they have to win 11 or 12 regular season games to qualify for the CFP.

Huge Iowa fan here. I think Iowa will win 9 games this year. They will lose 2 games while double digit fav. It’s just what they do. Last year was an exception. Which could have easily gone down the path of my prediction. Iowa’s defense is very underrated in the country last 4 seasons. I’m saying top 3-5 in the country. It’s hard to analyze their stats due to time spent on the field because the offense has been so …. Embarrassing.. is a good word. PSU game last year was their only bad stat, but offense was only on the field for maybe 33 plays. I think Iowa offense net yards was less than 50? Someone can correct me please. Don’t want to get in a huge comment argument but the D is 😘. I will hope for the 11-1 season but def expect the 9-3. Good video.

@beebers99

18 күн бұрын

I think they'll have to go 11 and 1 unless Wisky and Nebraska are in the top 25 and they beat them.

For us being 11-1 and in the playoff… we’ll need a top 75 offense and Nebraska to be good (which I’ll believe when I see). Committee will easily find a way to keep us out otherwise

Did Iowa covertly develop an offense nobody was aware of ?

@collegefootballwithsam

5 күн бұрын

When they hired Tim Lester and brought back 9 or 10 of their 11 starters.

@collegefootballwithsam

5 күн бұрын

When they hired Tim Lester and brought back 9 or 10 of their 11 starters.

Under Kirk Ferentz it is the same every year. They need a QB as competent or on the level as Cade McNamara, and a good running back to stay healthy. That is independent of the debacle known as Brian Ferentz. If they have it, they are on the door step of 11 wins.

Preseason rankings are mostly useless. Beyond the top 5 or ten teams no one really knows.

Is Cade McNamara 24 or 25? The dude has been in CFB for a decade. Lol

I'm so sick of this team getting easy schedules.

@beebers99

18 күн бұрын

Nebraska and Iowa both got some gifts this year.

Iowa is going to be favored in 11 games? Wow.

@chrislane3228

23 күн бұрын

Fick will take his Badgers into Kinnick and come out with a win..... right?

I see 10-2

This is the one I’ve been waiting for man. I’m sorry, but there’s just close to no way. I understand making one bold prediction for the 12, but no way. And I also think you’re wrong about the fact that 11-1 Iowa or 10-2 Iowa makes it over 10-2 or 9-3 Ole Miss if Texas. ESPECIALLY, if there are 4 big10 teams already selected while 3 are selected from SEC. I really like your content and analysis. Especially for someone as young as you are and the fan of a national champion, but big10 bias is showing here. Deep down you know their SOS keeps them out.

@realMal1c3

21 күн бұрын

Their preseason strength of schedule is in the 40's, though. It will be rehashed during/after the season, but as of now it is what it is.

@adamstevenbowers6833

21 күн бұрын

@@realMal1c3 and you feel that is enough to get them in over an Ole Miss, Texas, or even Florida if all goes their way, who has one less loss than them? Especially if it’s already 4 big10 teams and 3 SEC teams in?

Iowa Hawkeyes has to play Minnesota for the Floyd's of roses Dale 🌹 🐖🌹🐖🌹🐖🌹🐖🌹🐖🌹🐖🌹

Maybe one the weaker teams will dominate and become a good win

First today! 🤪

@collegefootballwithsam

23 күн бұрын

Congradulations! What do you think about my prediction?

@armandhammer3782

23 күн бұрын

@@collegefootballwithsam Well, I dunno. Seems like a tough hill to climb. Dunno, but I'm enjoying CFWS today. Been digging taters in blistering heat all week.

ANF

I have Iowa losing to Ohio State, Wisconsin, and Nebraska….along with 1-2 upset losses (Iowa State, @ Minnesota, Washington, @ MSU, @ Maryland)

@donaldcountryman7878

12 күн бұрын

Sorry I think your wrong I predict Iowa upsetting Ohio State beating wisconsin and losing one against Nebraska this year their poised to win this year.

No way they make the playoff.

9-3 team

Yeah it may be realistic but knowing Kirk Ferentz he'll probably screw up winning the big game and like always we'll go home as and embarrassment to the whole nation yet again.

No way in hell

Iowa the new Nebraska, down in a hole won’t be able to crawl out of, goodbye coach, goodbye Championships, hello bottom of the league with Nebraska,Wisconsin,Northwestern, Michigan State. Watch it’s going to be bad football for a while, at least as far as your overall record.

@ScrapVulture111

18 күн бұрын

hmmm best defenses in college footbal for last few years goes Georgia, Iowa and ... lol

@jon6084

11 күн бұрын

Bold comment for a team that ranks like 8th in wins over the last 5 years