What will Russia do when Ukraine gets more weapons?
The American assistance package can allow Ukraine to stabilize the frontline, but we should not expect Ukraine to launch a counteroffensive anytime soon. The big question is what Russia will do if they lose momentum on the frontline. Most likely they will double down on bombings of Ukrainian infrastructure because that can help them achieve their strategic goals.
0:00 What will happen now?
0:20 The scenarios for 2024
1:59 No Ukrainian offensive
4:04 Russian summer offensive
4:50 Ukrainian weaknesses
6:29 Russia's war aims
8:44 How Russia plays the long game
9:48 Getting control over Ukraine
10:22 Strategic bombings
Пікірлер: 3 600
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@T.efpunkt
Ай бұрын
Serious question: would it be considred illegal if for example ukraine would target russias cotton supply on kazhachstans & usbekistans fields with cotton specific pathogens?
@anderspuck
Ай бұрын
@@T.efpunkt Yes. That would not be a legitimate military target. At least I don't have enough knowledge about it to see how it would be.
@user-yi8rt5zq9e
Ай бұрын
@@T.efpunkt Is Ukraine going to declare war to these independent countries ? Extremely stupid question
@T.efpunkt
Ай бұрын
@@anderspuck it's a basic resource in explosives production for artillery shells. Nitrocellulosis and stuff.
@albertvanlingen7590
Ай бұрын
Wow you are extremely optimistic for Ukraine to survive. Intelligence from NATO saying Russia is producing tanks/armoured vehicles/artillery ammunition faster now than what they are losing in 2024 . I support Ukraine 100% but in the long view Russia's tactics even if it looks clumsy will eventually work if the West don't drastically up their game. France know what's coming long term that's why they are eager to send troops. US aid is a drop in the bucket unfortunately to what it would take to just hold the line long term.
I don’t understand why the European industrial complex hasn’t spun up yet. It’s been 2 years now.
@sullathehutt7720
Ай бұрын
"Spin it up" with what? Millions of illiterate 80-IQ immigrants and a bunch of second-hand Russian fossil fuels at a 30% markup? Lol
@CrazyGaming-ig6qq
Ай бұрын
It's the same kind of mechanic and perceptions that underlined the appeasement politics pre-ww2. When europe isn't DIRECTLY threatened (invaded even) there's this sense that it's not really necessary. "We live in peace and we'll continue to live in peace".... no need to change to war industry, no need to prepare for war.... until suddenly one day catastrophy hit and everyone woke up and realized Hitler were never going to stop at the de facto abolishment of democracy and change into dictatorship and totalitarianism, massive secret rearmament of offensive weaponry, the annexation of Austria, Sudetenland/Checkoslovakia, part of Lithuania, The Free City of Danzig.....
@true_xander
Ай бұрын
Because it doesn't exist.
@blafonovision4342
Ай бұрын
@@true_xander Europe. All those wars. All those millennia. No military industrial complex? Please.
@true_xander
Ай бұрын
@@blafonovision4342 Today? No. Basically nonexistent. US has one, small scale production of high-cost high-tech weapons, but Europe has almost nothing. 80 years of relative peace and reliance on the US protection made its job.
Anders as a Vietnam Veteran that now lives in Ukraine I am pee'od that the US is forcing Ukraine to fight the same why I had to fight in Vietnam. Just enough to survive but not enough to win. Western aid here arrives slowly and in small qualities and often after its need has passed. So rather than bore you my point is the West just wants Ukraine to survive and NOT win because the West, collectively, is scared of Russia losing and what that entails of a post war Russia.
@Aconitum_napellus
Ай бұрын
It's ironic really because the West should be much more scared by the prospect of a victorious Russia. That's the real threat.
@The_ZeroLine
Ай бұрын
That’s an interesting parallel. I’d say you were handicapped more by being given the ability to engage the total warfare doctrine and Ukraine is being restricted from both total warfare and enough systems. That’s what left our men and women (99% men) in Vietnam high and dry.
@Wkkwiwiwksoswo
Ай бұрын
Vc está mentido n falto equipamento militar para voces dos EUA na guerra do viatnam vcs foram massacrados por q saber luta na selva e viatmin sairão vitoriosos
@raindogs451
Ай бұрын
@@The_ZeroLine That's a bit oblique. What is "total war doctrine", and "enough systems"?
@Liendoelcm
Ай бұрын
You are suggesting I think that "The West" is the U.S.A. which it is not. The West is NATO of which the U.S.A. is the big brother, but there is a difference. In NATO countries, except the U.S. and Canada, within living memory, have been invaded, or at least suffered from conflict with their nations and they know the consequences of such actions, in the form of destruction of cities and killing of civilians. Europe does not want a repeat of those consequences, but they cannot ignore, nor do they believe, that all Russia wants is Ukraine, and after Russia has that, everything will revert back to niceties, caviar, and Russian stackable dolls for all. The solution is for NATO as a whole, to supply money, arms, reconstruction, and a whole host of other assistance, to the best of their ability. America with its huge population and economy has the funds to offer. Canada has a much smaller population, but masses of raw material to assist. Failure to stop Putin and his dictatorship from looking east with salivating jaws will mean more and more danger to all, beginning with Ukraine and the rest of Europe, then North America. This nasty man and his dictatorship has to be stopped now!
Thank You Anders!!
You my friend are brilliantly deep and insightful. I love the “no bs” analysis you always provide. Keep it up. ☘️🇮🇪☘️👍
@thomasspeight3797
Ай бұрын
😂😅😂 what nonsense
@r200ti
Ай бұрын
In 2 years he has got nothing correct. He just talks the narrative and gullible people get wet listening to the fantasy.
@JunkerOnDrums
Ай бұрын
@@thomasspeight3797 LOL sure comrade - enjoy your free speech here - you DON'T have it in Moscow!
@edhargquest8710
Ай бұрын
Anders> Russia can not win For one military analyst to erase any possibility for Russia to win , means that he its very smart and can predict future, or he only speak what hes proukrainian audience want to hear.
@VusiH
Ай бұрын
Reckon the assertion that "Russia will run out of money in 2 to 3 years" is not BULLSHIT!?
I greatly appreciate your unique and high-quality analyses!
@umahanov1
Ай бұрын
High quality copium
@cloudpoint0
Ай бұрын
@@umahanov1 To cope means to deal successfully with a problem. Ukraine is certainly coping with its problem neighbor.
@marksimpson6387
Ай бұрын
It’s propaganda mate must be getting paid by US tax payees
@oryxland3994
Ай бұрын
@@umahanov1 I wonder if people that comment what is essentially "nuh uh" realize how silly they sound responding to a well reasoned argument with nothing of substance.
@syryder3236
Ай бұрын
@@oryxland3994 i couldn’t have said it better myself 👏
Wauv, that was a brillant and informative video. Thank you so much Anders 🙏
1st time here. Great job Thank You.
@tomasescalante2987
Ай бұрын
Anders works for the Royal Danish Defense College which states on their website "we contribute to the development of NATO doctrine and research projects"
Som altid tak for en meget realistisk analyse 👍
@OleDiaBole
Ай бұрын
😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
@zeta11gamer60
Ай бұрын
Va snackar du om? Ryssland är inte irak . 😂😂😂😂😂😂
@vinozarazzi5633
Ай бұрын
Urealistisk
@zmpwins
Ай бұрын
Hvilken analyse? Anders Cuck Nielsen er stadig en praktikant når det kommer til geopolitik.
Love your videos, Anders. Regular viewer here. Always insights and pearls of wisdom.
@dpelpal
Ай бұрын
The biggest takeaway is this: The russian military is a complete joke.
@dpelpal
Ай бұрын
Biggest takeaway is that the russian army is the joke of the world at this point. At this point, Poland could defeat the russian army. They're a complete and utter joke.
@jetserb
Ай бұрын
Pearls of wisdom 😂😂😂
@MarcosElMalo2
Ай бұрын
@@jetserbbetter than the nuggets of poop you feed upon.
@tomasescalante2987
Ай бұрын
Anders works for the Royal Danish Defense College which states on their website "we contribute to the development of NATO doctrine and research projects"
Of course Russia is playing the long game. When you've lost the short game then the long game is the only game available.
@brianrasmussen2956
Ай бұрын
And he will lose the long game also. People of Ukraine want nothing of Putin. Absolutely nothing.
@rmgeneral8554
Ай бұрын
@@brianrasmussen2956Russia also don't want anything from Ukrainian . Ukrainian should just leave Ukraine.
@Grissinen
Ай бұрын
@@rmgeneral8554 🤡🤣
@yeti5857
Ай бұрын
@@rmgeneral8554 Russia got 4 mln people + the land and the resistance there is = to zero. Only the western part would resist.
@mitchyoung93
Ай бұрын
@@brianrasmussen2956 Actually about 25% at least do want close relations with Russia. They mostly live in the East and South. Russia will take these regions, which have zero to do with any historic 'Ukraine'.
Anders you are as always really interesting to listen to. Keep up the good work. Hälsningar från Malmö ❤
Thank you.
Wow, this channel's comment section is attracting the vatniks like flies on something dead. Excellent video as always.
@anthonyhulse1248
Ай бұрын
And all wearing fake adidas
@dallysinghson5569
Ай бұрын
Squatting too.
@stream2watch
Ай бұрын
Yeah they are horrible. YT should go through their accounts with a scythe, ban them all. There is no neutrality when it comes to foreign disinformation campaigns.
@tigerlancer
Ай бұрын
That something dead is Russia's statehood.
@nuurnwui
Ай бұрын
It’s a direct sign that Anders has dangerous information. Dangerous to the Russians.
Thank you! Very interesting as always :)
Anders, I always appreciate your thoughtful and informed analysis of events on the ground in the Ukraine War. I consider your channel a go-to resource for understanding developments on the tactical and strategical levels, as well as the political and socioeconomic levels. Keep up the good work.
Thank you Anders for your videos. You articulate very complex things in a way that a normal person can understand and learn from these, it is hugely valuable. BIg love from Finland.
Thank you for your analysis. Great video.
Thanks for your excellent work. ❤
Not sending ATACMS in 2022 was a sellout move. Ukraine was begging for them and only heard crickets from the Administration
@njswampfox474
Ай бұрын
It was cowardly reticence by the biden regime
@paraskevasparaskevas350
Ай бұрын
but secretly the US has sent the ATACMS during the last few months,,,,this is what I have read
@thomasdalton1508
Ай бұрын
This has been a general problem from all Ukraine's allies. They've been so afraid of escalation that they've been drip feeding more and more powerful weapons when those weapons could have ended the war if they had been provided straight away.
@0Logan05
Ай бұрын
Ukraine was stolen via rigged elections..Like D.C.. God Speed AGAINST The Socialists of Brussels and The Rat Zalensky!.. From Az.
@nomade2610
Ай бұрын
US and a part of Europe don't want Ukraine to lose, but at the same time they are terrified about Russia losing badly and maybe collapsing, because this would be unpredictable. Remember that US saved Russia twice, in WWII and after 1991. They will do a lot for Ukraine, but not eveything for a decisive victory. I think it's sad but I also think that it's a fact. I guess we can only hope for a stalemate and a frozen conflict
Thank you Anders!
Thanks again.
Good comments, I appreciate your perspective. Thank you.
@tomasescalante2987
Ай бұрын
Anders works for the Royal Danish Defense College which states on their website "we contribute to the development of NATO doctrine and research projects"
@MarcosElMalo2
Ай бұрын
@@tomasescalante2987That bodes well for NATO if it’s supported by such high calibre academic institutions.
@sztallone415
Ай бұрын
@@tomasescalante2987 and? Your point I guess is that 'he's spewing western propaganda'? If no, sorry for the assumption, otherwise go away. But thanks to your comment, I looked it up and Denmark joined Nato in 1949, so it's damn right that his college contributes to the alliance.
Thank you for a good analysis.
Very sensible analysis - thank you for sharing your thoughts Anders, it is much appreciated in a tabloid world...
@misterpinkandyellow74
Ай бұрын
Delusional more like it
THANK YOU 👍
Very insightful, as always. Thanks Anders
Valid points here. Thanks for the update!! 👍
@Didmasela
Ай бұрын
@sergelecluse0001: not valid points, unless you have been manipulated by pro-Ukrainian western media and analysts like Anders Puck Nielsen
Yes, Anders, it is all quite simple in the end. You are the one to make us see the essentials, the bare geopolitical bones. Thank you for your posts
Thx a lot
As always, very much appreciated. Thanks for clear explanation and your insight.
Tack!
BIG thumbs up! Thank you very much for your analyses. I am now having hope that Ukraine and Europe will prevail.
@shatbad2960
Ай бұрын
Not going to happen.
@grahamlongley8298
Ай бұрын
No chance. Big problem is what country will Russia take next.
@luffebassen
Ай бұрын
HOPE&COPE is what this channels is giving people. Wont change reality. Prevail? LOL
@luffebassen
Ай бұрын
@@grahamlongley8298 The whole Galaxy. Watch out. Look under your bed for Putin.
@andrewalderman9489
Ай бұрын
What about us with small thumbs ?
Fantastic thanks again
Agree with your assessment. TY
Thanks again, Mr. Nielsen! You always clear away a lot of the junk and give it to us straight.
@o3tg2w35t
Ай бұрын
This video represents focused junk full of subjective nonsense. But, as ever, lying brings clicks, and most people are so removed from this subject, they have no point of reference. Like you, for example.
Nice tie!
@lobsterboy4436
Ай бұрын
It is not a tie, Ukraine will win😉
@jackofswords7
Ай бұрын
@@lobsterboy4436 😆😅🤣😂 Dream on.
@surfingonmars8979
Ай бұрын
@@jackofswords7Given proper support, Ukraine would have one. They still will win, if given proper support - I am informed that the europeans are now scared enough to ramp up aid. They are bigger idiots than the US.
@wishusknight3009
Ай бұрын
@@jackofswords7 Oh hi ivan. Long time no see.
Ай бұрын
I agree, nice tie! It's a nice pattern and the color goes well with the shirt.
Incredibly interesting and helpful ! Thank you for sharing !
Thanks
Thanks for your work Anders!
A bit optimistic to say that long term prospects favour Ukraine, no? Russia running out of stored equipment will likely stall their ability to advance, but in a static attritional fight they would seem to have an advantage due to higher internal production of equipment and a stronger economy allowing them to finance the battle "out of pocket" vs Ukraine requiring external aid or financing.
@yyyy-uv3po
Ай бұрын
I think he implied that Europe would pull its fingers and provide a constant reliable source of military aid to Ukraine. Problem is that if China does the same, we essentially get nowhere.
@evgeniya7853
Ай бұрын
@@yyyy-uv3po You're not going to get anywhere anyway
@NingreenGupta
Ай бұрын
Stored equipment, haha.
Thanks for the video.
Thank you
Solid analysis of the current situation as always, Anders.
Thank you Great analysis! 🇺🇦🙏👏
Thanks again for your insights!
Thank you, Anders Puck Nielsen, for your analysis, very much appreciated. 🇺🇦 Перемоги і миру всім українцям! 🇺🇦
@OleDiaBole
Ай бұрын
😢 Wonderful cope chanel
You have good videos, and I often but not always agree with you, my biggest disagreement was in the video where you talked about Finnish Lapland as a weakly defended area, because in reality the defense of Finnish Lapland is better than the defense of the Baltic countries combined'. and I say this as a Finnish reservist with experience myself about the defense of Lapland and the arrangements that are there. But in general, I have been of almost the same opinion, but the ammunition situation in Ukraine will improve quickly, the first of the Czech initiative ammunition will start flowing into Ukraine next week, as well as the first parts of the US support package...one thing that all western countries must intervene is the Russian propaganda and disinformation machine, sharing it should be made illegal and punishable, it cannot and should not be justified by freedom of speech because it is literally the false propaganda of the enemy, Russia itself has declared itself the enemy of the entire collective West
@geoffgill5334
Ай бұрын
Well said welcome aboard NATO
@puraLusa
Ай бұрын
And what organ is gonna judge what is and what isn't rus propaganda? How can we be sure it won't be abused to control or censor critics in general and not just the ones who propagate those lies? It's a slippery slope isn't it?
@Finnishguy777
Ай бұрын
@@puraLusa well, at least you are relatively clearly, if not a direct troll, then at least a useful idiot, I have seen your comments in videos of several different channels, and almost all of them have been direct repetitions of the Kremlin's points. In Finland and Sweden, even in primary schools these days, from elementary school onwards, classes on the topic "how to recognize Russian propaganda" are organized, I recommend other countries to follow suit. your own comments, at least to a large extent, fulfill the hallmarks perfectly, because you immediately took a stand on the issue of freedom of speech, in Finland there is a saying"that dog is barking that was hit by a block of wood" your comment is a great example of how the old sayings are true, because whether that disinformation was shared due to stupidity or malice should not matter, but the fact that it is shared at all, it must be stopped, and preventing the spread of enemy propaganda is not interfering with anyone's freedoms, unless you support a rogue state and their views, then it doesn't even matter to you effect so how is it?
@puraLusa
Ай бұрын
@@Finnishguy777 so, u are the ultimate judge of peoples position. U just made my case. Not only I'm pro-ukraine, I've been steadily placing 300 euros monthly to the cause which is a lot for a citizen of a poor country like me. By now, I would have a new car and where I live there isn't a public transport alternative, so yes, I've abdicated basic confort for ukraine. But u very fast named me a rus bot - this phenomenon is called witch hunt and it's outcome is inocent being attacked. Something u just did. Makes one wonder how easily people defend fascism to combat fascism 🤔.
@cemyurdakul1128
Ай бұрын
In my opinion, even if some NATO countries decide to send troops and airforce to support Ukraine, Russia will win this one, Right now Both sides fight with o hand tied behind to not escalate the war, but Russia has bigger hand... And when i compare Russian army today and Russian army 2022 there is huge diffirence...
Hello Anders. I always look forward to seeing your videos as I'm finding that the non-American view about this war tends to be a little more measured and accurate unlike my hyperbolic countrymen😊
1:41 Anders, do not forget PR China is supplying drones, and military resources including electric chips and devices directly or indirectly to Russia. China is assisting financial transactions, and cash flow through so-called private companies in China. China plays an important role in contributing to Russia's GDP. This is a key reason why the US is planning to kick out Chinese banks in SWIFT.
Thank you Anders. On this one I agree with you all the way. It was exactly what I've been saying for a quite time myself. Now we all need to help Ukraine with all the tools the need to defeat russia and liberate their country.
@thehappyclam3942
Ай бұрын
What tools would those be?
@larsrons7937
Ай бұрын
@@thehappyclam3942 Mostly military equipment I guess, air defense and long range capabilities f.ex. But also whatever civilian stuff that would help keep their country going well while fighting.
@user-tt6il2up4o
Ай бұрын
They would need NATO entire air defense systems and nothing less.
@skanderbeg1751
Ай бұрын
@@thehappyclam3942600,000 dead Ukrainians
@user-ng9tm6nx1b
Ай бұрын
Lol😂 why do you go to the front ? Puzi
When all else fails, Russia employs a sort of scorched earth policy, scorching their victims/enemies. Your view of strategic bombing for the long run makes sense.
@peterflohr7827
Ай бұрын
It's sort of traditional russian approach, already applied in Chechnya and Syria.
@milanmarinkovic3016
Ай бұрын
" ........ Scorched Earth ...." You think only Russian Army brake things? Ever seen photographs of Fallujah after US Army passed through?
@blacklion8208
Ай бұрын
It's a russian tradition.
@dpelpal
Ай бұрын
If Russia has lost half the land they held 2 years ago I don't think it's working very well😂
@milanmarinkovic3016
Ай бұрын
@@blacklion8208 All Armies brake things. Sinds WWII, US Army broke moet, by far.
Thanks for the video! And I have a question if you could provide some info. Are the Russians using some kind of glider bombs? And if so are these weapons accurate? Thanks!
Interesting as always to hear your thoughts and analyses Anders! 👍
I had heard of the "failed state" PoV, but hadn't really thought about it. Thanks for pushing it forward. THAAAAKs, Nielsen, now I have more to think about!
Good stuff Anders. Thanks!
Thank You
Thanks for this perspective. I watch lots of posts by and about Ukraine. These were some different ideas.
Always a useful, informative and balanced approach. Thanks 🙏 so much. SLAVA UKRAINI!! ❤️🙏🇬🇧🇬🇧🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇬🇧🇬🇧🙏❤️
@blenderoffender9004
Ай бұрын
slava urine!
@mickigarvey7608
Ай бұрын
@blenderoffender … oh dear. 😢 Spelling problems? Or is autocorrect being a bitch? SLAVA UKRAINI!!!
@mickigarvey7608
Ай бұрын
@@blenderoffender9004 … oh dear 😢. Spelling difficulties? Or is autocorrect being a bitch? SLAVA UKRAINI!!
@blenderoffender9004
Ай бұрын
@@mickigarvey7608 I don't do nazi slogans
Good report!
Youre videos are always a great source of insight, thank you!
Excellent assessment
It kind of bugs me people saying "Russia is playing the long game" as if they had slick short term option. Like "Yea we could have gone for the cool blitzkrieg option, but we chose to run a WW1 reenactment instead". The statement implies agency on the part of Russia, but what agency do they really have in the strategic game? * Endure the long game * Nuclear roulette * Withdraw Something like that?
@tedstewart114
Ай бұрын
Simple, they want to grind down the Ukrainian military and humiliate Nato, seems to be going to plan as far as i can see, once they take Odessa they might talk.
@aotmoments7410
Ай бұрын
They can end the war tmrw if they really wanted to but it would leave Russia really fucking vulnerable
@p4nnus
Ай бұрын
Good point.
@xpact83
Ай бұрын
What is more bugging is russia is so weak it only becomes a threat when zelesnky needs more money
@aquilajedi
Ай бұрын
Well said.
Tactically, should not Ukraine be using the longer range weapons to take out the Kerch bridge and the new railway to prevent the ease of Russia entering the Ukrainian borders? The problem with the attritional model of warfare is that Ukraine does not have the manpower resources. I wondered if they could inflict sufficient damage to Russian refineries and their logistal lines so as to dissuade the Russians from prosecuting this war. With almost half a million KIA Russians, they must surely lose the taste for this mad adventure.
@Brian-om2hh
Ай бұрын
Watch this space......
@thomasdalton1508
Ай бұрын
If they could, they certainly would. Russia has increased security around the bridge, so the ways they've attacked it in the past aren't really available any more. Long range missiles are certainly becoming an option, but not an easy one. The bridge is at the very limit of the range of even these long range missiles. They would have to launch the missiles from right on the front line, putting the launchers at risk, and they are going to be easy to detect as they go over the Sea of Azov and Russia certainly has air defences in place to protect the bridge. They may well try and take out the bridge, but I'm not surprised they have started by using the missiles against more realistic targets.
@TheStephaneAdam
Ай бұрын
50 000 Russians KIA, not 500 000. You're mixing up losses and deaths. around 300 000 Russians wounded, captured, MIA, sick AND killed. And Ukraine took losses too.
@antonjovic4295
Ай бұрын
Man Russia has between 50k and 90k KIA so far and Ukraine has 500k-600k KIA and dont believe to this guys BS it simple doesnt make any sense. Any man with a brain knows that Ukraine is lost cause and they should seek peace
@Ikkeligeglad
Ай бұрын
@@TheStephaneAdam Where do you get your numbers from??
Very interesting and clear
Very interesting and well thought out.
What is actually happening is that the Russian production is already ramped up, they are capable of refurbishing and producing weapons at a rate higher than they are losing it ... I do not see why this is the peak and why in a few years they would run out ... China, Iran and North Korea are supplying them but they are already building this more not depending on these imports solely ... the opposite is true for Ukraine, its manufacturing capacity is down right now it is losing its energy generating capacity and all of its factories are in missile range it cannot build new equipment what you said about running out of the former Soviet stockpile happened, even with all former Eastern European stocks depleted. What is arriving now, MRAPs, Humvees, Javelins and Stingers, no Abrams tanks in the package, this will not stabilize the front, Stingers are short range, the Russian aviation is dropping the FABs well outside this range ... this just prolongs the war kills more Ukrainians for nothing the war will end the same way ... just maybe a bit later with more deaths.
@atheistbushman
Ай бұрын
Unfortunately I think your analysis is largely correct.
Putin " All Russian bots must report to the frontline "
@hollywood5274
Ай бұрын
Loser talk!
@ToxicGamer86454
Ай бұрын
That is the only argument you have for those that disagree with you. I couldn’t care less which side wins this fight. I just don’t think that the US should be involved and I don’t think that Russia is trying to take over the world. They can barely handle Ukraine and they are a weak country.
@hollywood5274
Ай бұрын
@@ToxicGamer86454 Loser talk!
@ToxicGamer86454
Ай бұрын
@@hollywood5274 What does that even mean?
@hollywood5274
Ай бұрын
@@ToxicGamer86454 Your a loser!
Thanks.
Thanks!
One of my favourite KZread channels. Just love Anders thinking and delivery. Thank you for bringing depth and understanding the way that you do. This is a real service.
@6Diego1Diego9
Ай бұрын
It's best not to worship KZreadrs. This is just infotainment. You probably have an addiction to your phone.
@tomasescalante2987
Ай бұрын
Anders works for the Royal Danish Defense College which states on their website "we contribute to the development of NATO doctrine and research projects"
@TelB
Ай бұрын
@@tomasescalante2987 Thanks for that extra context and background. I thought that something like that would be the case. I like the presentation, analytics and being able to test my own ideas against the presented hypotheses. Your feedback just adds to the value.
So much death already, and so much more to come just because of 1 guy's ego. Sad.
@CrazyGaming-ig6qq
Ай бұрын
Unfortunately it's way more than one mans ego. While I completely agree that Putins ego is the catalyst of the Russian fascism, he wouldn't be able to do the things that Russia is doing without massive support among the military leadership, industry and business leaders and not least in the Russian population.
@user-sv7lm6zm4t
Ай бұрын
Yes, Zelensky's ego ans his doggish loyalty to that super senior citizen sitting across the Atlantic
Just found your channel. Definitely will be watching more. Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦 🇺🇦
Another awesome video, thank you.
Kirill Budanov said that the next Two months will be difficult, but there will be no Armageddon. According to Russian analyste Michael Nucki in his new KZread vidéo, the Ukrainian armed forces are preparing a spécial opération on the Crimean bridge in the near future.
@justvid366
Ай бұрын
Naki is not an analyst. He is a hard cope. He has been repetitively predicting russia losing the war and omitting most of the Ukrainian difficulties.
@tedstewart114
Ай бұрын
Not the Crimean bridge again, that old trout has had its day, if blowing a bridge could end a war there wouldn't be any war, Russia has escalatory dominance, Ukraine never stood a chance, the Pentagon knew this and tried to talk Biden Neuland excetra out of it but they wouldn't listen now Ukraine is the fall guy, theyll try to keep some semblance of UKraine still fighting up to the election then it will be all over to Ukraines cost im afraid.
@evgeniya7853
Ай бұрын
There is no such analyst in Russia
@dmitryk2058
Ай бұрын
that bridge is coming down at one point or another.
@sleepyjoe7843
Ай бұрын
At your ignorance you can aswel just listen to Ghos of Kiev.
As always, excellent analysis and presentation Anders.
What weapons? There are no reports of any sizeable munitions or weapons being delivered. The aid package was basically an order for restocking depleted US stores already delivered to Ukraine. Or am I missing something here?
@charlygriffin2828
Ай бұрын
Tat's the reality but people don't bother looking at the detail unfortunately
@rmdomainer9042
Ай бұрын
It resets the presidential drawdown authority since the credit has been paid off. Now Biden can give orders for presidential drawdowns again.
@rmdomainer9042
Ай бұрын
Yes you are missing something. Presidential drawdown authority. This has now been paid off. It is free to proceed.
@kemarisite
Ай бұрын
As Perun just discussed today, there are billions of dollars of new Presidential Drawdown authority to send existing stocks of munitions to Ukraine. Indeed, more ATACMS have already been sent, and it won't surprise me if there were shipping containers of 155 mm artillery ammunition prepositioned in Poland poised to be driven across the border. It is true, however, that a lot of the aid will go to replenish the stocks of ammunition that America is allowed to give away, as well as expanding existing production capacity for those munitions.
@stream2watch
Ай бұрын
@@kemarisite Bots will not recognise eloquent answers like that. They will keep on pretending to be neutral observers, spreading their FUD
The average Russian wage is $400 but to coerce someone to fight in Ukraine, MOD has to pay them $2000 a month, 5* median income. This creates a shortage of labor in the real economy which causes inflation in wages and the cost of consumer goods. This is how Russia's war moblization has harmed Russia itself.
@leetster6303
Ай бұрын
The average wage is above $600. Cost of consumer goods in Russia are still some of the lowest in the world. Despite predictions, Russia's economy has improved and is estimated to continue to grow faster than western countries many of which have entered a recession. That's not to say that your point is false. There is a shortage of labour but it's effects are miniscule. Higher wages are attracting expatriates and foreigners to come work in Russia.
@jhngfdsdfgkjnbv
Ай бұрын
so epic. The US military set a goal to produce 100,000 rounds of artillery a month by the end of 2025 - less than half of the Russian monthly output.
@jhngfdsdfgkjnbv
Ай бұрын
then with the collapse of the Russian economy, which was promised 2 years ago, it never came? Russia to grow faster than all advanced economies says IMF
@brianrasmussen2956
Ай бұрын
@@leetster6303 The "growth" in Russian economy is purely artificial. Putin has made an extreme effort to mitigate the effects of the sanctions trying to ride the wave. In some months that bill will have to be payed. So what will happen then? The decline is happening, it might no be visible to normal people, but it decimates Russian economy if they don't do something different than they are today.
@Michaelcn515
Ай бұрын
Check facts countries going into recession russian ain't even near it
Great video thank you
By far the most in depth, intelligent assessment of the war from all the channels I know. Thanks!
@dshaw8356
Ай бұрын
I'm guessing you don't watch The Duran or Judging Freedom.
with the bleakness of the Russian long term strategic plan. I wish the us would build an Iron dome like air defense with in Ukraine. as an American I think it is vital we support Ukraine. thank you as always for your amazing analysis
@evgeniya7853
Ай бұрын
Half of the population of Ukraine absolutely does not care about your wishes about their Homeland. They don't need American INTERVENTION
@cuentaprincipal3225
Ай бұрын
HAHAHHAHA pay taxes and stf
Sharp analysis, Anders. Thanks for sharing your expertise!
Thank you. Very balanced analysis.
Thank you very much for your videos. They bring clarity in the middle of the fog of war
@tomasescalante2987
Ай бұрын
Anders works for the Royal Danish Defense College which states on their website "we contribute to the development of NATO doctrine and research projects"
What you didn't mention here, is that Ukraine can play the infrastructure destruction game as well. It appears that they have developed drones that can effectively take out Russian refineries and by extension that means they can do it to other Russian infrastructure as well. The US finally providing support will make things more difficult for Russia. Nevertheless, Europe must realize that this is also about them and increase aid to Ukraine. With US elections on the horizon, a new US administration might stop providing support to Ukraine. It remains for the European powers to ensure that Ukraine can continue the fight.
@ebiekem
Ай бұрын
Ukraine has long been playing the infrastructure destruction game. From the Kerch bridge to oil depots. The thing is the Russian Federation plays it way better.
@paulmes7667
Ай бұрын
@@ebiekem By "better" I guess you mean targetting civilain infrastructure as it is easier to hit; military infrastructure requires precision.
@chaosopher23
Ай бұрын
Ukraine is far more clever at their drone warfare than Russia. Ukraine uses Cessna 172's, notoriously cheap and plentiful but with no obvious military use. Everybody and his dog has one or flew one. Knowing this, you can't shoot any of them down because the vast number of them will be civilian with a live pilot flying a legit plan. But - with a little radio technology developed in the 1930's - a radio repeater in the cabin, a headset on a blow-up doll in the pilot seat... "Sierra Nancy 420 Victor, you are off course." (from hundreds of km away): "...blah blah vodka blah vodkablah..." "Sierra Nancy 420 Victor, please be careful." ...boom. 50 more Cessna 172 airplanes are on the radar. Which ones have real pilots?
@ikwilgewoonfilmpje
Ай бұрын
@ferfromla As a Dutch citizen I agree that all European countries need to pick up the mantle. Many here in Europe seem to have forgotten the help we got in WW2. We should pay it forward to Ukraine
@hiufgterde
Ай бұрын
lol you have any idea how big Russia is? Those drones can only attack targets within a few hundred km. It's like trying to stab someone with a needle. Truth is that it would be a waste of resources for Ukraine. Also, they will run out of weapons again in a few months, so all that Russia has to do is be patient. At some point our support to Ukraine will end and then it all comes crumbling down. When US support stops so will Germany's, quickly followed by the rest. Europe simply does not have the weapons to keep on supporting Ukraine.....Russia is outproducing us. Ukraine can't win this, they can only try to hold on as long as possible..that's it
Problem is: the military aid is only one piece of the puzzle. The other piece is mobilization of 300K extra soldiers and that has not happened so those weapons won't completely stop Russia.
@youuuuuuuuuuutube
Ай бұрын
It's happening. Since a week ago about, a lot of men are being recruited. I can confirm this (I'm in Kyiv).
@user-tt6il2up4o
Ай бұрын
@@youuuuuuuuuuutubeshame for the families of these guys as they won’t be alive very long. Why are Ukrainians fighting for western politicians and specifically the yanks who you can’t trust.
@masterlightjames950
Ай бұрын
500k lol
@tellyboy17
Ай бұрын
@@youuuuuuuuuuutube too little, too late just like the West's weapon supplies.
Good analysis - I subscribed.
very clear and informative, as each time
Thank You Anders for once again giving a brilliant summary of where we are at ..,.. the West had it's opportunity and wasted it alongside tens of thousands of lives..,..Slava Ukraine
@pRahvi0
Ай бұрын
The western indecisiveness has wasted almost as many opportunities as Russian incompetence has created.
@wtoddguitars
Ай бұрын
We have not given Ukraine what it needed to win or needs to win ... The long range ATACMS are a start , not announced for OPSEC ... they way it should be.
American equipment just arrived to Moscow yesterday, but there's a caveat 😀
@siriusmain1763
Ай бұрын
Ha ha, good one Ivan. Here's your 50 rubles!
@ikaustralia
Ай бұрын
@@siriusmain1763 happy victory day, comrade 🤜🏻
Another Amazing Video! Thank you. 🇦🇺👴🏻
As usual, consistently good and realistic analysis. Thank you.
Thanks Anders The long answer to this question is covered by Perun's latest powerpoint - kzread.info/dash/bejne/g5dolZiJp9TLobA.html Whilst the new aid package is a step in the right direction it is not a 'magic bullet' :)))
@seanp9277
Ай бұрын
That video was remarkable for the abundance of snark and sarcasm, Perun's method of distracting his audience from his weak analytical skills.
You don’t have to wait for them to get more weapons. Once the Ukranians knew more was coming, they could stop rationing what munitions they have. You saw an immediate step up in Ukrainian offensive actions the day after the bill was signed.
@artn2950
Ай бұрын
That bill surprised Putin that was good!!!!!
@masterlightjames950
Ай бұрын
I saw an immediate retreat. The Ukrainian military leader just announced it.
@christopherpardell4418
Ай бұрын
@@masterlightjames950 …And a bunch of missile strikes on refineries. The US is not sending MEN. Just missiles, shells and some systems. The Ukrainian tactics are planned to conserve their men. They have retreated a dozen times in the past year, and then decimated the Russians that fill that void. You would think the Russians would figure that out… but they haven’t. Their losses are still double to triple Ukrainian losses. Russia’s military is a Potemkin village.
@blackcatdungeonmastersfami5311
Ай бұрын
"Ukrainian offensive actions" where are you getting your news? Russia is advancing faster now that at any time after the first month of the war.
@jetserb
Ай бұрын
Where is that on CNN or BBC ?
Vielen Dank, lieber Anders! Really helpful video. I was listening up especially when you explained the russian war aims. Please keep up the good work! Mange tak!
@tomasescalante2987
Ай бұрын
Anders works for the Royal Danish Defense College which states on their website "we contribute to the development of NATO doctrine and research projects"
@evgeniya7853
Ай бұрын
This is the US war against Russia. Call a spade a spade
@begun65vdal5
Ай бұрын
@@evgeniya7853 вонючка
Thank you Anders. I am afraid you are right.
What I don't understand is why Ukraine isn't targeting the substations that supply electricity for the rail network inside Russia. Two thirds of the freight is powered by overhead electricity. One substation can be easily fixed but take out a bunch of transformers and they will have a hard time replacing them quickly.
@legrandfromage6450
Ай бұрын
They've been concentrating on oil refiineries, and densely populated civilian areas in Donetsk, Belgorod instead.
@mikkirefur
Ай бұрын
Transformers are not so difficult to replace, which I understand is why Russia targeted Ukraine transformers last year, but now have been forced to up the damage
@Frederiknshansen
Ай бұрын
@@legrandfromage6450 Well. If your enemy hides their troops inside towns, then civilians will be hit. Same as for the Ukrainians.
@tereshchenkotav
Ай бұрын
Because it’s impossible for drones to cause any damage to a power plant, and the Zelensky regime doesn’t have anything more serious for attacks inside Russia? Haven't thought about it, idiot?
@yostaustin
Ай бұрын
I had the same thought.
Thank you Anders, you always give us a great perspective. Let's hope the Ukrainians succeed.
Ah just finished the perun video, nice
Such a shame that all the aid for Ukraine has been too little and too late. With a proper Western/World response this could have been over by now. Thanks for your interesting posts.
@cheztaylor8
Ай бұрын
Yes, without this latest aid package for Ukraine, there was a very real risk the war would be over. Crisis averted...
@dallysinghson5569
Ай бұрын
A country can bomb itself if it wishes, and besides, what about the Budapest memor.?
@cheztaylor8
Ай бұрын
@@dallysinghson5569 The Budapest memorandum espouses assurances. Ukraine has received those assurances.
@user-yi8rt5zq9e
Ай бұрын
@@dallysinghson5569 Do, U approve genocide As for Budapest memo.Ehat did Ukraine promise back.then? To be neutral Ukrainian Constitution garanteed the rights of the Russian language and every nationality living in Ukraine What happened in reality ? They restricted the right of the language, then banned it I do mot consider speaking at home something outstanding ;) Well, Ukrainians broke their own Constitution I am from.Crimea The NATO course was adopted. despite the neutrality promis NATO ship.tried to.enter Crimean.port Feodosia in 2008 Locals blocked the port , made it leave
@highdefinist9697
Ай бұрын
@@cheztaylor8 They have not. The USA did not protect Ukraine even though promised.