What Just Happened With GameStop?
GameStop is back in the news after rallying over 100% this week. Today's video discusses what's going on, and whether the speculative theories around where the ticker goes from here have any merit.
Article explaining XRT short interest: www.nasdaq.com/articles/why-s...
SEC Report: www.sec.gov/page/sec-staff-re...
DISCLAIMERS:
I do not hold a long or short position in any of the mentioned companies.
Richard Coffin is a registered portfolio manager, CFP professional and CFA charter holder.
This channel is for education purposes only and does not constitute financial advice - Richard is not responsible for investment actions taken by viewers. Please seek out a registered advisor if you require assistance (while Richard is a registered portfolio manager at WDS Investment Management, he does not provide advice through The Plain Bagel, which is not directly affiliated with his employer).
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I quit my tarot addiction and replaced it with a bagel addiction
@RupertMDoc
Ай бұрын
Bagel is lox betters.
@MrDrunkNFunky
Ай бұрын
Just bought more ozempic stock because of this comment. 🚀
@AlexanderTheGoodEnough
Ай бұрын
You've traded being gullible for being fat. Not sure if that was healthy.
@spadeespada9432
Ай бұрын
potato, tomatah fries are best w ketchup or gravy and cheese.
@carpelunam
Ай бұрын
I be getting pissed off at the price of bagels at Safeway
Richard saying "deep fucking value" caught me off guard.
@rastaman39
9 күн бұрын
Ganestop is the wall st parasites created blackswan Ryan Cohen is the GOAT
@rastaman39
9 күн бұрын
Today GME was halted 17 x how is that even legal yet a Chinese fugazeee co HKD ripped to 2500 w NO halts SMFH
One guy posts one meme, the markets shift, clearly the best system.
@samsonsoturian6013
Ай бұрын
Meme stocks and stock markets aren't related
@draneym2003
Ай бұрын
In fairness, Elon does the exact same thing and yet he's taken seriously
@swaggery
Ай бұрын
Guy probably just wanted a few extra million. It's like Elon with Doge and Bitcoin. He could of bought into it prior to tweeting knowing it would jump massively once he tweeted anything.
@Lonovavir
Ай бұрын
It's the modern boiler room, nothing new at all.
@sznikers
Ай бұрын
You can't ban stupid people, it's called genocide and very very illegal 😅
"Those that do not learn from history are doomed to repeat it" used to apply to cycles longer than five years
@wanderer2688
27 күн бұрын
Truth is, if the circumstances repeat, the same events will happen again. People never learn.
I would love to see a meeting filled with Hedge Fund executives discussing reddit
@lephtovermeet
Ай бұрын
They astroturf reddit and Twitter. After the organic explosion I'm like 2018 demonstrated that retail investors could influence markets, albeit small ones, they've loaded influential subreddits and Twitter threads with bots and shills.
@AlexanderTheGoodEnough
Ай бұрын
Same, only so I could play "dumb money" bingo.
@freedomlife3623
Ай бұрын
It might make you loss hope for humanity though.
@SinisterLynch
Ай бұрын
Probably a lot of swearing and resenting having to get locked in a cell because we wont sell
@AlexanderTheGoodEnough
Ай бұрын
@@freedomlife3623 nah. They're only playing by the rulebook. Want to lose faith in humanity? look at the legislation that gives us the laws they operate under. That's the real problem.
"a guy posted a picture on reddit" thats what i call an efficient market!
@Lonovavir
Ай бұрын
It can't be as balled up as stock picking goldfish. Goldfish ETF for the win!!!!
@jamesmeow3039
Ай бұрын
Homo economicus
@ic95825
Ай бұрын
Get with thw times old timer it dosent work on fundamentals anymore its about following the coolade
@footlongsushi
Ай бұрын
Do people really think that a simple tweet can trigger the rally? Lmao
@YeeLeeHaw
Ай бұрын
X*
Before the proliferation of the internet, in the '90s, I was so optimistic about what increasing the volume of information would do to society. Well…
@notMattGarska
Ай бұрын
The flow of information will be amazing! People will have entire encyclopedias at their fingertips! And... Will... start talking to each other about how the earth is flat and there is a massive conspiracy to cover it up -___-
@HeldIntegral
Ай бұрын
Your mistake was assuming all information is useful😅
@ingusmant
29 күн бұрын
The mistake we make was thinking we would all just get along
One of the most important things to realize about ourselves as humans is that we are extremely susceptible to confidence. We are more inclined to believe someone the more assertively they make their claims. Combine that with a presentation that makes us feel like we're special-like we have some forbidden knowledge that other people don't-and your going to want to believe what the person is telling you.
@boukie85
Ай бұрын
or you could look at a graph 📈
@JS-jh4cy
15 күн бұрын
You mean we like believing in bs stories
I had been sitting, holding my bag of 100 shares ($32 cost basis) since the last "run", I was using it as a reminder of my shame every time I logged into my trading account to remind myself not to day trade. Boy was I confused when my several year old limit sell sold all my shares for $45 a unit. Guess I got to avoid learning a lesson on this one!
@Inhumane
Ай бұрын
my friend held from 2021 sold at 70 and was also very surprised like you hahaha
@Flintknappingtips
Ай бұрын
Haha that’s fun. That’s a weekend dinner out as a reward.
@boukie85
Ай бұрын
you'll learn ur lesson at the end of the month
@D64nz
Ай бұрын
Just like the one time I played Blackjack at $20 a round. I was lucky enough to get a win before the money was gone forever and walked away even. It's only when you can't stop that the house always wins. 😊
@PhiltheMoko
Ай бұрын
Congratulations!
The GameStop never Stops.
@HighTide_808
Ай бұрын
Until the feds step in
@ronniepajas1872
Ай бұрын
men lie, women lie, numbers don't....shorts are over leveraged.
@JacobsCapital
Ай бұрын
@@HighTide_808 lol no
@dredoctor8271
Ай бұрын
@@HighTide_808 Yes, FED steps in to keep this store for games upright for its sole reason to keep unemployment rates low and our luxury consumer entertainment will not dissappear from society. This is the important task that the FED has to uphold. This is 2008 all over again...
@yotamedri1219
Ай бұрын
I think you meant the "gamestock never stops"
Wasn’t it already up 100% when DFV posted that meme?
@phantomcollective901
26 күн бұрын
Not 100% but yeah it was already up a significant amount on no news
@axiezimmah
18 күн бұрын
Imagine believing a single tweet causes a stock to jump
If only I had listned to the hordes of screeching gambling addicts online and put my downpayment in GME instead of trusting my certified financial planner. What a fool I was...
@howardmarks7013
Ай бұрын
You're definitely lying
@joshuarobinson6444
Ай бұрын
I was up 11k before the dip man I hope it goes bk up
@fungdark8270
Ай бұрын
@@joshuarobinson6444get help brother
@Meowmeow.age.6
Ай бұрын
@@joshuarobinson6444 you didn't sell? DA fuq. it is a pump n dump - you sell on the pump.
@kagreen2k
Ай бұрын
You and me both. 😊
Did this once in 2021, broke even and learned my lesson the first time with no actual loss. Aint doing that again
@syahrules
Ай бұрын
Why not just keep 1 share in your portfolio? A $20-30 initial investment difference shouldn't really hurt anyone's overall investment portfolio.
@matttran7161
Ай бұрын
@syahrules because I was only making half what I do now and those pennies really, really mattered. Now I can buy one share for a laugh and maybe make $10. Then use it to buy discount PS4 games at the store lol.
@syahrules
Ай бұрын
@@matttran7161 good for you
@canadianamateurfilmdude
10 күн бұрын
My friend made $100k profit and was able to pay off all debts and invest more
I highly recommend Folding Ideas's "Line goes up" and "This is financial advice" videos.
@normtrooper4392
Ай бұрын
Wonder what Dan would have to say about this
@halohaalo2583
Ай бұрын
@@normtrooper4392he already said it could pump and dump in the future. Lower highs and lower lows
@placeholderdoe
Ай бұрын
@@normtrooper4392he’d probably go back a bit on his giving Keith Gill the benefit of the doubt, and then pull a “In Search Of A Flat Earth” on us and the entire back half of the video is gonna be on Andrew Tate and the exploitative “Alpha Male” culture
@ParagonFury
Ай бұрын
@@normtrooper4392 Same thing last time; the Apes are trying to make their MOAS come true off based off random pictures and memes from one dude without understanding fundamentally how the market works and despite the fact that literally all of their past predictions and "interpretations" about GME have gone south.
I bought a short position in GameStop a couple of days ago after hearing about the rally. It’s doing very well.
@bonbonjovi4836
Ай бұрын
I bought 25$ put options on Tuesday with the expiration date on 5/24 which I close. Gave me over 100% on Friday. Closed my position.
@UnfrozenCavemanTrader
Ай бұрын
Bought $25 puts the day of the bump with a 6/21 expiration that I closed on Friday. Happy with my decision since I 2x'ed my investment.
@bonbonjovi4836
29 күн бұрын
@@UnfrozenCavemanTrader That was a really short pump
@InTheMoneyAdam
28 күн бұрын
Bought a short lol
@cupbowlspoonforkknif
28 күн бұрын
You might regret that on Tuesday. I hope you closed!
Just noticed your sub count- this year is going to be the year for you to break 1 million. You've done such a great job with this channel over the years and I'm stoked to see you so close to that big milestone. Thanks for the hard work and vids!
Its 25% of total shares are DRS not just float.
@nairbgolden2008
28 күн бұрын
Good news baggie, they'te about to dilute and render DRS useless!
@jjcvk
26 күн бұрын
Correct 50% of the free float is locked up. Let me repeat - HALF of the available shares, are not available
Nothing matters. We have a reality problem for people who live their lives on the internet
@bones642
Ай бұрын
Everyone under 30 lol probably under 50 let’s be real.
@dinokknd
Ай бұрын
We do have a reality problem. But the problem is in cost of living, making people cling to moonshot events because it's the only way they see themselves improve their lot in life.
@somethinglikethat2176
Ай бұрын
@@bones642 have you been on Facebook? There's no age limit to this.
@Andrew-bl8eq
Ай бұрын
@@dinokknd If anything these people would gamble even more money if they had more money
@wallstreetzoomer
Ай бұрын
ACTUAL inflation (not CPI) is more than 100% since 2020 you can’t blame them, a bull market is not beating inflation anymore.
My coworker just bought some gamestop and I was like... This Again?
@ChineseKiwi
Ай бұрын
Meanwhile me: Investing in a truck parts company with a near monopoly, an offshore vessel company in which the industry has a shortage of until at least 2027, and the only speculative one being a niobium (see rare earth metal) company who sits on top of a massive Tier 1 deposit and is needed for renewables and has massive shortages. Up 25% in 2-3 months and hodling the hell out of the offshore vessel company that it’s pending a takeover (that is far too cheap thus likely to be voted down in shareholder voting in June, which I will too as the shares are actually in my name). And I’m interested in opening a position in an electricity infrastructure construction and maintenance company that looks way too cheap share price wise and will only get better due to greater electricity demand in years to come. But I always give it a few days to see share volume etc Good investing with good core fundimentals is boring investing. Alot of those with low P/E ratios, particularly ‘defensive’ stocks = DEEP FCKING VALUE Oh yeah, Tradingview, even the free version, is over 9000 based too.
@WPaKFamily
Ай бұрын
@@ChineseKiwi "Investing in a truck parts company with a near monopoly" ORLY?
@ChineseKiwi
Ай бұрын
@@WPaKFamily Yes, it isn’t in the US.
@WPaKFamily
Ай бұрын
@@ChineseKiwi not in the US. I was assuming it was ticker symbol ORLY in the states
@meregaming1770
10 күн бұрын
How you feeling now?
FOMO is destroying me now
@ChaosDarkLight
Ай бұрын
We've all been there, now I just have my popcorn out while sticking to what I know.
@LuukP20
Ай бұрын
Have faith brother. Don't give in. Keep to low cost etfs and ride it out the coming years. It will be slow, but you will be rich.
@jamesmeow3039
Ай бұрын
FOMO about literally anything else but meme stocks. It will ruin you
@iandakariann
Ай бұрын
Don't. You are watching someone hitting the jackpot and not the many many many days and people dumping their money in for nothing. Go get some spare cash and take it to a casino. Same difference except it's more entertaining.
@earthling_parth
Ай бұрын
Don't. FOMO for short term predictions of markets are very risky and you'll eventually lose if you play the game long enough.
Fantastic video. Probably the only even headed presentation of this whole situation
We’ll see when the CAT system goes live on May 28th. Hedge funds, brokers, prime brokers, and market makers need to label all their transactions for transparency purposes. Right now, we don’t know if they’re honestly labelling trades like they’re supposed to (marking shorts as longs or vice versa).
@Limech
Ай бұрын
Given the current difficulties in tracking who owns which stock in a high frequency trading environment, I suspect selling a stock you don't own is quite rampant. Even if caught, firms usually get fines that are so small it makes doing the illegal thing a no brainer.
@Hayatekunai
Ай бұрын
There's also the attachment to the bill that lowers the required leverage to have on hand comparable to market volatility in times when they deem "highly volatile or unusual trading activities"
@tehSupernerd
Ай бұрын
I was wondering how long it would take for someone to refer to anything DTCC related 😂 It’s stunning how such an influential piece of the market is so ignored by the majority of investors… Well, I was the same before the sneeze so I shouldn’t be so quick to judge.
@Not_Bored_Enough
Ай бұрын
the SEC pushed back implementation of some SRO reporting obligations until July 2024.
@Hayatekunai
Ай бұрын
@Not_Bored_Enough ok so I'm not super literate with any of this stuff. But if new "unique" bank deposits have dried up, and they change margin requirements wouldn't that make it easier for institutions to gamble with money they don't have during short squeezes etc and not have to worry because they just won't get a MC?
As someone who has a modest "for fun" position in GME, it is nice to see how deep into the weeds Plain Bagel goes into the stock with these videos. Yeah the whole situation is silly and it's hard to see how GME could validate its current market cap. But there is a lot of uncertainty about how much actual short interest exists and which if any of the bull thesis are valid, which I'm glad to hear is being talked about.
@stevenburton4966
Ай бұрын
yeah, it's making me feel like i should've had a fun little position on gme myself now.
@mikewazowski5421
Ай бұрын
>which if any of the bull thesis are valid that's the best part: none of them are!
@mitchellmartin4580
Ай бұрын
@@mikewazowski5421 greater fool theory is always valid.
@Flintknappingtips
Ай бұрын
Tesla, DJT and other stocks being ridiculous, it invites this behavior.
@Mayhzon
Ай бұрын
It's another pump and dump. Come 30 days we will learn it was a Nancy Pelosi play or some such. Another goobi earning themselves a nice summer vacation bonus. Retail holders will be bag holders, as always.
Thanks for your analysis here. This stuff helps tons of investors take a step back and focus on their future and investing
Leave it to Plain Bagel to do a fundamental analysis of meme stock lol
The best financial channel.
"Be safe out there" - this sign off is so weirdly comforting.
Thanks for adding much needed clarity around this particular market event! Love your shows. Keep bringing the "good-good!".
Great analysis, no presumptions. We'll see. Honestly the first criticism I've seen so far which isn't highly subjective.
I can be dumb longer than you can be solvent.
@Skepticalcapital
Ай бұрын
That’s the struggle
@bad_writer
Ай бұрын
Say the actual word, you know you want to
@Skepticalcapital
Ай бұрын
@@bad_writer not sure what you mean?
@CNCCumberland
Ай бұрын
@@bad_writer Haters gonna hate.
Just want to say thank you for the great videos. I consider myself "somewhat" knowledgable in investing, but by no means would I handle my own finances - I do have a financial advisor. I like the way you break things down for those of us with average knowledge. Keep up the great work!
Just gamblers gambling. Keep up the sensible investing boys.
@WJPindar
Ай бұрын
i love gambling
@dominicyelin
Ай бұрын
Lol. Are all humans lemmings? Is there even one other like me out there?
@YouArentThatImportant
Ай бұрын
Investing is gambling.
@boukie85
Ай бұрын
it's not gambling if you hold forever u shill shorts never closed
@addy1231
Ай бұрын
Yes investing in NVDA!
I've watched "This is Financial Advice" a documentary about the Gamestop stock story from the channel Folding Ideas over a dozen times. Highly recommend to anyone curious about this subject.
@z50king29
Ай бұрын
Hell yeah brother
@AynRands.RazzieAward
Ай бұрын
His 2 hr and 30 minute video was supposed to be comprehensive, but it left out the market reforms meme stockers have sought. For example SEC Chair Gensler admitted 90% of retail orders do not hit the LIT market and therefore have zero effect on price.
@tellumyort
Ай бұрын
That is a great video but learning about MOASS scarred my brain.
@AntonPNym
Ай бұрын
Agreed. He's also commenting on recent events over on ex-Twitter; I gather his opinions haven't changed much. His 2022 video "Line Goes Up" covering similar phenomena in crypto and NFTs was also very insightful.
@mikewazowski5421
Ай бұрын
@@AynRands.RazzieAward If you had watched TIFA you wouldn't have made this comment because Dan actually **does** address this point very specifically. The truth is that you and the rest of your ilk don't care about market reform at all, it's just convenient misdirection. You just want the entire financial system to burn and get unfathomably rich in the process.
Thanks for the video. I really hope all the folks jumping in for quick money watch this to learn about the fundamentals and what is driving a stock higher. Basic elements of like daily volume is not understood by many of the KZreadrs. If they’re gambling, cool, just concerned some think they are investing.
There is no way retail is behind these moves. Also, short interest formula changed from Short/Total shares to Short/(Total + Short) shortly after the january 2021 event
@flakgun153
Ай бұрын
That shit confused so many people because they didnt realize that every share short also adds to the number of shares. Going over 100% isnt a conspiracy. Its normal for a struggling company.
I'm not touching GameStop with a ten foot pole this time around. All it taught me last time is that I'm bad at gambling and should learn how to invest, thus why I now follow you lol
I've been desperately waiting for you to explain this to me Mr. Bagel
What year is it?
Markets are efficient and so on...
@CurieBohr
Ай бұрын
They can be if you’re not gambling on memes
@samsonsoturian6013
Ай бұрын
Markets are, mobs of pirates aren't
@gregtomamichel973
Ай бұрын
Short term popularity contest, long term weighing machine
@meltdown6165
Ай бұрын
Economics assumes that every market participant has perfect information and acts rationally. These are very poorly founded assumptions.
@jmanakajosh9354
Ай бұрын
@@CurieBohrYou failed the test bro. If they're so efficient there's no point in investing at all.
The message of these people trying to hurt institutional investors would be more convincing if they replicated the GameStop phenomenon with another stock. Just trying to revisit the past is lazy thinking & unlikely to work.
Excellent take! I am a gme fan but very open to the possibilities that maybe, just maybe, the stock market is fully rigged and will never allow for this MOASS. The people in charge keep the market on. They can turn the market off for a single stock at any time. Numbers can be altered. And betting your savings on a system that is not and never will be in your favor is probably just a sign of addiction. With all that said. I still deeply hope that the system can change and be a more fair place for all.
@tsak912
Ай бұрын
The market is absolutely rigged. The good news is, the rules are all published and, the entire history of any stock can easily be obtained for free. Most people who complain about “the market” are just mad because it isn’t the free money machine that they want it to be.
why would you buy after a rally?
@Flintknappingtips
Ай бұрын
Everyone’s hoping they’re jumping in at the middle of the rally, and those people aren’t usually setting appropriate stop losses or getting up early witnessing the destruction.
@sor3999
27 күн бұрын
Like showing up to a trashed house after a party at 5 am wondering when the party is going to start.
@maganashaker167
22 күн бұрын
@@Flintknappingtipsone of them was me, a brutal lesson but also one that led me to bogle from now on
Thanks Richard.
I like your content, but can you please make your text corrections longer? e.g. @4:02 top left. Not a huge problem if someone confuses Nasdaq with NYSE because of it, but it is corrective text that shows up just under 1 second and is extremely easy to miss, so a consistent way to present corrections is necessary considering the size of your audience.
It's amazing CFA CFP are making videos, my former advisor at Edward Jones did nothing for me except cost me money
Id interested to see if you would interview David Lauer on the topic of GME and market manipulation
@Teksnek42
12 күн бұрын
absolutely, he didnt even touch the threshold list/fail to deliver stuff along with FTX claiming to back tokenized shares 1-1 and mmtlp straight up getting denied movement
How the hell is this not a pump and dump?
@boukie85
Ай бұрын
go look at how many shares traded the past 3 days. hundreds of millions, you actually think everyday Joe's are moving that quantity? grow up, it's shorts being forced to buy.
@Burito-tj5ry
Ай бұрын
@@boukie85 nice narrative but if we look at the numbers we can see millions of transaction while the market is declining.
@jaad9848
Ай бұрын
@@boukie85 lol. He explained in the video how that was very likely not the case
@boukie85
Ай бұрын
@@jaad9848 check back in with me in a month u shill
@boukie85
Ай бұрын
@@Burito-tj5ry check back in a month shill shillington, put ur money where ur mouth is. talk is cheap, takes money to buy whiskey 🚀🚀🚀
It is so fun that people thought for some reason that the guy’s new thesis will be on the same stock it was 3 years ago…
Was that Tactics Ogre music? You have good taste
@YerBoyTroy
Ай бұрын
I thought it was from gurren lagan 🤣🤣
Can’t wait to see how many new bagholders we get from this.
@mikewazowski5421
Ай бұрын
Personally I'm looking forward to Gamestop's Q2 report so we can see how many baggies finally sold based on what will almost certainly be lower DRS numbers. Once that crack in the armor shows and people realize they got suckered in for 3 years straight, it will be the meltdown to end all meltdowns.
@sor3999
27 күн бұрын
@@mikewazowski5421the mother of all meltdowns
Great analysis. Basic language 👌
Thanks for the update. I bet those Fourprime's token holders aren't too worried about the markets.
I’m glad you mention that GameStop still hasn’t made money. They’re a brick and motor store that doesn’t have a place in today’s gaming market. An EB Games near me doesn’t even really sell games anymore, just merchandise
@yvan2563
Ай бұрын
So what you're saying is that they should simply rename themselves GamerStop and only sell hardware and games-related merchandise.
@TenCoJeCool
Ай бұрын
Mortar*
@Jmills2112
Ай бұрын
They're profitable and debt free with massive cash reserves to the point they're now a holding co.
@colinhobbs7265
Ай бұрын
@@Jmills2112what planet do you live on?
@amc_moass
Ай бұрын
@@colinhobbs7265 the last quarter they reported a profit.
I'd like to see him start livestreaming again. Deep down, he's a deep value investor, hence his reddit name, and some of the insight from his old streams has been helpful in how I invest.
Great channel for this stuff 👏 👍
The tokenomics and use case for Fourprime's token protocol is fantastic!
2:20 The most mild-mannered demonic summoning. Thanks for the analysis!
@dredoctor8271
Ай бұрын
Bankers and financial analist scare me.
@anushagr14
Ай бұрын
@@dredoctor8271analist😅
Non-sense happened, that's what.
keep up the good works sir
My current GME shares come from the "proceeds" of that original run. Pulled out my play money and just let it ride with a roller coaster worthwhile in entertainment value alone.
This is not retail. Retail cannot trade tens of millions of shares in premarket, and DRS contributes zero to trading volume.
the largest penny stock group in history got a signal, and once again someone made a shitload of money, and it wasn't them.
Can you talk about why these companies are especially interesting for short-sellers?
We HOLD! 🚀🚀🚀
Lmao I tried to hop on the train this time, bought in at $60USD. 😢
@tulgold7892
Ай бұрын
Idiot 😂
@Baracuda-xj6zk
Ай бұрын
Can we call you bagholder now?
@emmaramirez4330
Ай бұрын
please be joking 😭
@jamesmeow3039
Ай бұрын
Stupidly thought you bought a single $60 share. Did she take the kids
@NeuroDrags
Ай бұрын
Moron😂
People on a certain subreddit have been trying to pump and dump the stock for over a week now
@Nohandleentered
Ай бұрын
A tad bit longer than a week, I’d say
@rob-tt3hb
Ай бұрын
More like 3 years
@notnoaintno5134
Ай бұрын
Lol, all the bag holders from the last Gamestop run are now attempting to dump their bags off on someone else
@danielsokolov4821
Ай бұрын
@@notnoaintno5134 Not gonna lie, that was me. Invested 7 thousand last time, then it went to 3 thousand, then I sold today at market open, made off with 10 thousand. Life lesson, only invest in ETFs and mutual funds. I made up my loss from sheer bloody luck, not risking or gambling on a single stock again
@sharpe3698
Ай бұрын
@@rob-tt3hb Technically speaking, that's over a week
Honestly didnt expect this. . .again.
One more point to concider is the role of marketmakers, both - spot and option side. As volatility increases, the spot MM will typically widen the spread, meaning that it takes less volume to move the stock from Price A to Price B. Volatility typically clusters on the shorter time horizons, which means that the MM behaviour explained above will keep being present as long as the volatility is high. Option Marketmakers, on the other hand, will also participate on the bid in the spot, as they would need to hedge the sold options (they sell as they need to provide the liquidity to the buyers that desire to participate), the price of which continues to increase with increasing IV, meaning that there is a need for more spot exposure to keep the positions hedged. All in all, 2 sides are hitting the bid (option MM and retail), spot MM quotes wider causing greater fluctuations.
Its looking like it’s about to go parabolic again
Good. If physical media stays alive purely because of memes, that's even better.
@GreenBlueWalkthrough
Ай бұрын
To be fair the Gamestop's transition to codes and colectables has been happening for years hince the profit... Also people like me who are the whales keeping gamestop high a dry.
@Flintknappingtips
Ай бұрын
Didn’t know what physical media was. Thanks. I think it’ll do fine on its own though:)
@dlanor15
Ай бұрын
Physical media is overrated. There's really no reason to own stuff physically other than poor internet connections, discounts and used media. I bought the "disc version" of the PS5 solely for the discounts. As long as the digital media isn't tied to a subscription then you own it as if it was physical, unless you're trying to resell it when you're done with it.
@stoneoflight6685
Ай бұрын
@@dlanor15 That's not entirely true. A lot of these digital media purchases are tied to accounts that can be terminated, can be blocked by new hardware requirements and some of them even include fine print that your "purchase" of content is actually a license that can be revoked at anytime. For instance, recently Funimation merged with Crunchyroll. Funimation had sold digital copies of shows that you could pay to "own" and watch without a subscription, kind of like a digital DVD boxset. When Crunchyroll acquired the platform, they stated they weren't supporting Funimation's digital copies and since the content couldn't be locally downloaded, Funimation customer lost all the content they paid for. Another example was a recent decision by a company called Telstra shutting down their service and moving it to another company called Fetch, which would require purchasing additional hardware in order to continue to access the media that users purchased. (See "‘My whole library is wiped out’: what it means to own movies and TV in the age of streaming services" on The Guardian for more details). The only way you "own" digital media is 1) if the media exists in such a way that you can make local backups of it and 2) that you can install / transfer it from device to device without going through the company you purchased it from. Anything else leaves you vulnerable to have you content taken back at the whims of the company that provides it.
@tsak912
Ай бұрын
Health insurance is also overrated. Until you need it.
The good news is that I already benefitted from some of the rallies the GameStop folks initiated. That surprised me in a pleasant way.
I jumped in , bought both GameStop and AMC after seeing initial jumps for a nice day trade. Walked away making 60 or so % on AMC and 40 on GME. Overall not a day 48 hour deal. Since then I’ve watched both have very negative days and expect the price to settle back down in the coming weeks….unless we see another tweet lol
Thanks Richard. I really appreciate your insight and neutral examination of this very polarizing stock. As shown in your graphic, since Ryan Cohen joined the GME board in 2021 they've improved from a 381 million a year loss to being slightly profitable in 2023. I'm wondering given your experience reading company's financial statements what's your take on that improvement over a 2 year time-frame? I also see that GameStop has begun working on their own private label brand of controllers- the Candy Con. If hypothetically GameStop were able to successfully build out a private label brand that sells gaming peripherals (e.g., controllers, headsets, keyboards, etc.) how might that impact their future revenues? Gaming peripherals are required even when games themselves are digital. You have a natural talent for teaching and education!
@JimPrice
Ай бұрын
GameStop has a P/E ratio over 1,000. That means if profitability continues to improve at the current rate, GME fundamentals might justify the current stock price in 20-30 years. GameStop is becoming profitable by shrinking. That’s a decent short-term strategy, but it doesn’t justify a sky-high P/E ratio. Who knows? Maybe the market for crappy off-brand gaming accessories will explode, and GameStop will become the next Amazon! The challenge is that the profit margin on hardware is much lower than on software. When GME baggies leave the cult subreddits, they like to pretend they care about fundamentals, but most of them are really betting on conspiracy theories about massive hidden short interest being exposed by DRS.
❤ “I have, once again, been summoned to strike a more cautious tone." 😂❤ Glad you received the summons from a great many of us rational, normal, level-headed investors. 🤓 (Though I learned how to trade stocks after hours in Fidelity and bought and sold GameStop at a profit yesterday. It's too fun to not take part with a few bucks gambling and being part of a social phenomenon)
@bones642
Ай бұрын
Oh cool. Is this a power anyone can learn?
Had to check the date of the video twice
This has been going on for weeks though. Soon as it hit a key technical level of $10 ($40 pre-split) it’s been on a tear. $40 is where the stock cratered to after the criminals shut the buy button off back in Jan2021.
i made a glorious 3€ with that chaos xD
@Baracuda-xj6zk
Ай бұрын
Trading fees included?
@jamesmeow3039
Ай бұрын
@Baracuda-xj6zk 3€ before taxes, fees and not going to his job. After accounting for that Karen took the kids.
But we like the stonks but this all depends on the short squzze and gamma.
Keith Gill definitely got very lucky. He wasn't looking for a massive short squeeze, he was looking for a decent run, and it made him millionns instead of the few hundred thousands he was looking for initially.
If you think this is just retail. You're sorely mistaken.
@volvo09
Ай бұрын
Yeah I'm sure hedge funds have positions in all the meme stocks (bought in when cheap) and monitor social media with bots. Most of this movement was probably trading bots going wild trying to catch the upside of a pump, as "retail" fake themselves into thinking a short squeeze is coming and the stock will go wild.
@wrxpilot
Ай бұрын
Did you even watch the video? He literally said most of the buying was institutional.
@reid3031
Ай бұрын
@@wrxpilot"Who tf has 18 minutes and 26 seconds to watch something"
@Denni55
Ай бұрын
Fr, this dude watches too much msm
Have you factored in the possible effects of CAT implementation and T+1 settlement? Both will increase transparency exposing criminality.
Clicked for the cat
I agree with everything except the statement: "subject to the same biases and euphoria the rest of us are" I don't think the Plain Bagel is ever euphoric.
Good video, I did buy few shares for fun , it will go $0 or $100+, I only buy 7 shares.
Yes one person made the stock go as high as 700% in a few days, great analysis
@AynRands.RazzieAward
Ай бұрын
Volume went up 2 magnitudes in 13 days. Retail didn’t do that. Retail didn’t buy Koss (zero options). Retail didn’t cause GME to go up double digits in premarket
@boukie85
Ай бұрын
shorts never closed 📈🩳📈💎
Great video
E trade reports GME having a P/E ratio of 2,221.0. I'd call that a scoche overvalued
Roaring kitty is a genius! lol. He just knew it was gamestop specifically and nothing else. Meanwhile the foolish conspiracy theorists said it was AMC and they were dead wrong.
@highsol222
Ай бұрын
inb4; not saying in any way GME is a good investment. Heck this whole situation isn't even about investing anymore. It's something alright! But it's not investing.
@anthonybha4510
Ай бұрын
It's entertaining! I'm so glad round 2 is on
Most of the people I know who speculated on GME lost money.
Well said
I love the fairly unbiased video and going into good detail. I like the stock.
That 2200 PE ratio makes shorting a very attractive option IMO.
@samsonsoturian6013
Ай бұрын
Not at current costs
@svfrey7
Ай бұрын
Not with 550+% IV lol Shorting is not the play at the point, you're better off selling calls
C'mon Richard, what's X??? Do you mean X, formerly Twitter?
@NotTehJon
Ай бұрын
no no it's "X, the app used to access the Twitter platform"
@earthling_parth
Ай бұрын
@@NotTehJon Lmao, even better 🤣
I'm not a Gamestop investor anymore, but I do think there are some ideas for the company to pivot. I believe they should try to sell off the entire retail business for 1-2b and raise more cash. Do another share offering and have roughly 5-6b in equity. Then hire Keith Gill to be the Chief Investing Officer. Also, I did attempt to capitalize on this rally with the same level of success in the past - poorly! I do appreciate your input as usual. Unfortunately, I didn't watch this video until right now. :/
@richardjennings7050
28 күн бұрын
Keith Gill should have the title Chief Investment and Cat Advisor. This would make history.
The thing is, there's every possibility that someone simply hacked Roaring Kitty's social media and posted those memes. After the BBY incident and Folding Ideas' video "This Is Financial Advice", people have known that the Gamestop "Apes" have enough power to cause temporary market shifts . Someone could have bought a bunch of GME stock, posted the memes, and then cashed out once the stock hits its peak. Given what happened, if that was the plan, then they got exactly what they were hoping for.
Here's another fun fact: The initial rally actually didn't begin after DFV's first tweet; it began after him LIKING A TWEET on the 10th. He has a whole host of cultists following his Twitter profile EVERY day, to the point where him simply liking a tweet after 3 years contributed to a 70% gain in GME. This is how insane this all is.
@fungdark8270
Ай бұрын
And all the apes know that buying otm calls by the ass load causes market makers to buy shares and drive price. I swear there’s a central group that gets in and out to profit off the horde
@anonymeralfred7585
Ай бұрын
This makes literally no sense as he’s a gme guy and stocks like amc/koss/bb and other completely unrelated stocks moved pretty much the same pace. I don’t claim to know why stocks pumped this week, but I’m confident DFV is not the reason
@AndorranStairway
Ай бұрын
@@anonymeralfred7585 it makes plenty of sense if you’ve been following the meme stock cults for the past 3 years. DFV is basically the meme stock messiah, and many GME holders also hold on to stocks from the same meme stock basket and vice versa. It’s really not that hard to see discussion boards on various trading platforms to see that many people caught on to the hype and started buying up other meme stocks like TUP, CLOV, SNDL etc. To be confident that DFV is “not the reason” when GME surged 70% immediately after he liked a tweet is the part that literally makes no sense.
@AndorranStairway
Ай бұрын
@@anonymeralfred7585 it makes plenty of sense if you've been following the meme stockers for the past 3 years. DFV is seen as the stock messiah amongst the various meme stock groups. While his primary focus has been GME, many of his devotees also have their hands on the same meme stocks that pumped back in 2021. And in the past 3 years, a whole host of conspiracy theories and mythology formed around the guy, with many believing that he secretly had a part to play in the bull runs of any meme stocks; completely baseless of course. To be "confident DFV is not the reason" when GME surged 70% immediately after he liked a tweet is the part that makes literally no sense.
@AndorranStairway
Ай бұрын
@@anonymeralfred7585 it makes plenty of sense if you've been following the meme stockers for the past 3 years. DFV is seen as the stock messiah amongst the various meme stock groups. While his primary focus has been GME, many of his devotees also have their hands on the same meme stocks that pumped back in 2021. And in the past 3 years, a whole host of conspiracy theories and mythology formed around the guy, with many believing that he secretly had a part to play in the bull runs of any meme stocks; completely baseless of course.
Hi Plain Bagel, That was honestly the fairest analysis I've heard yet. Can you do a video explaining rehypothecation, naked shorting, and why people even care about shares outstanding? Who pays the dividend when Gamestop finally issues a dividend? Are the short sellers on the hook?
How many In the money calls do you think are going to be exercised on Friday?
@ratshit999
Ай бұрын
What effect will that have on the upward pressure, especially if the gamma squeeze continues?
Gambled a very small size of my portfolio on it. Bought on monday sold tuesday. Had a 60% increase on that 24 hour trade. Congrats to DFV and other winners. But remeber this is a zero sum game
My thesis is that institutional investors ran the price up to bait retail into buying a crap company once again. Seems to have worked, and now it's down 30% last time I checked today.
@noel3700
Ай бұрын
Still up 283% in a month. Not too bad