I used to be a cornucopian techno optimist. Now I'm a Malthusiam doomer.

Five months and six comments. So you’ve got one of the best minds in ecological economics and overshoot and he’s telling people there’s a major problem. I guess for me, it probably shows how big the problem is that so few people are listening to what he’s got to say. This doesn’t bode well.

@Stupidityindex

8 ай бұрын

I read The Long Emergency. As I understand it, Peak oil discoveries on the planet was known around 1948. The math was pretty simple by 1956 when reported global peak oil production would be around 23 years ago. It was around 2006, as far as I know. Climate projections projected a crisis of civilization about the year 2025 in 1979. I suspect we are lucky to keep the die-off away by keeping the fossil-fuel use going this long. Insurance companies are leaving states as predicable. 10 years ago, someone was going around telling whoever would listen, we would not have insurance for the world of chaos we now see about us.

@clarkdavis5333

4 ай бұрын

WASF.

@Mike80528

3 ай бұрын

I agree with others who say it is a predicament and not a problem. Problems, in theory, are solvable. We have put ourselves in our own self-created Kobayashi Maru...

@RandyTWester

2 ай бұрын

​@@Mike80528No-one wants to hear that rhey have to spend less money than they make, either. But in the end, everyone does.

Dr. Rees is on point!

I love being taught real things.

Thank you

great talk.

Have a nice day.

@chesterfinecat7588

7 ай бұрын

Psycho.

This man changed the way I view the world. Thank you professor Rees.

Simon Micheax of Finland Geological Survey reckons Peak Fossil Fuels happens in 2027. If so, the Collapse comes soon after, and it hits different people in different ways. To divide humanity into three camps: 1) the poorest countries begin to starve because ammonia fertilizer is reduced and those countries are unable to compete to buy it. 2) Middle class people in more wealthy countries eat, but fuel prices and food prices go up at enormous rates. Everyone has to cut back their lifestyles. Eventually, that may not be enough. 3) The Global 1% are hardly affected at all. They continue attending COPs in private jets and spending Christmas in Aspen or the Alps. In describing the world of 2040 or so. It goes downhill after that.

@thunderstorm6630

2 ай бұрын

I do not think so, the rich will be overthrown by the poor

The problem is that the US Geological Survey estimates of global commodities are only enough metals and minerals are 2-5% of projected needs for this century.

Overpopulation is the ‘mother of all problems’, as was predicted in the ‘70s but grossly ignored ever since. One might ask: if overpopulation is enabled or caused by fossil fuels, where leaves us that? On the other hand, it is becoming a moot question very quickly, as nature will turn against us. As far as we know, we are the only species who care.

This world population is unsustainable

So depressing to hear our cities require 100 to 1000+ times their size in hinterland exploitation to live at their current standards. Even super-high-density Tokyo requires more than 2 times the entire land area of its nation (Japan). Of course, this excessive exploitation (living grossly out of balance with natural resources) is how our single species has destroyed 60% of all wildlife in the past 50 years. As he notes, our "overshoot is a fatal condition". And exponential growth (of the human population) will (probably?) be followed by exponential decline.

@j85grim4

11 ай бұрын

Not probably, definitely. Once the oil starts to become too energy intensive to extract, we will collapse.

@elekkr

11 ай бұрын

What amazes me is the 2 comments to this talk 😮

@futureproof.health

8 ай бұрын

Not me

@futureproof.health

8 ай бұрын

Most people simply cannot conceive of the death of everyone who is alive today, even though, by one measure or another it is inevitable.

Green Hydrogen is meant to be an energy storage mechanism, not an actual energy source. It’s for when the sun don’t shine and the wind don’t blow.

I am sure the billionaires will get through this just fine. As long as they'll be prepared and keep away from the mob of course.

@didforlove

Ай бұрын

They got the bunkers ready 😅

Im curious if the economy is decarbonizd who will pay back for my destroyed 4o1k? What about all of the lost jobs? Cause and effect not addressed

A great talk, thank you! I was wondering about the use of the primary energy sources that Professor Rees cites. i) For the “global primary energy consumption by source” picture at 22:02, although fossil fuels are shown taking up 82% of primary energy, only a third of this (27%) can be “usefully” consumed (see below). Whereas, all of the primary energy from renewables (4-5%) can potentially be usefully used. At present (2023), although not brilliant, there is still a ratio of ~6:1 (27:4.5) of fossil fuel useful energy compared to renewable energy, as opposed to of 19:1 that might be assumed by just comparing the ratios of fossil fuel to renewable primary energy respectively. ii) For the “BP New Momentum Scenario” picture at 26:24 things are looking a bit better, by 2050 although fossil fuels still account for ~60% of primary energy, this again can be divided by 3 to get the useful energy from burning stuff, i.e. 20%. Yet by 2050 we see that Renewables + Hydro + Nuclear will be accounting ~40% of total primary energy usage, fully twice what we will usefully get from fossil fuels. So by 2050 we have a ratio of 2:1 (40:20) in favour of non-fossil energy sources, i.e. ⅔ of our useful energy requirements come from “renewables” (incl. nukes + hydro), while only the remaining third comes from fossil fuel sources. This would suggest that if we could knock out ⅓ of our actual energy consumption (not primary energy supply) by 2050 - specifically the fossil fuel part! - perhaps by adopting a European level of energy use as opposed to the US level of consumption, then we may have a shot at addressing our emissions from the energy sector… NB: * Assuming roughly ⅓ (approx) of fossil fuel primary energy can be usefully used, the remaining ⅔ is lost immediately as waste heat due to the thermodynamic inefficiency of “burning stuff”. * Renewable energy is potentially all primary energy and can be used immediately for useful work, neglecting transmission losses etc. * Subsequently all downstream energy (whether from originating from renewables or fossil fuels) is dissipated as waste heat and eventually radiated out into space.

As of today January 2024.... this video has been up for 10 months on KZread... ...with a piddly 6300 views and only 178 pathetic likes... I give a huge middle finger to Western Civilization for not paying attention...

In theory you create hydrogen with electricity so you can actually produce electricity now but use the energy much later or in a different geographical location.

@thunderstorm6630

2 ай бұрын

too expensive for capitalistic system, still breakdown because of financial breakdown because those energy costs 40x more excluding fees

Thank you! You have convinced me that Russia is the land of the future: biggest reserves of resources of all kinds, fossile fuels as well as renewable energy for centuries to come and millions of square kilometres of potentially fertile land waiting for climate to get finally warmer.

@sonnyeastham

2 ай бұрын

Educated white race humans are flocking to Russia....just sayin`

Is illegal immigrants being enticed by generous welfare programs exasperating NYC population over-shoot problems?

Try talking about this with someone and watch how you get isolated, ridiculed and cast out. It is scary how programmed our societies are.

@karlwheatley1244

4 ай бұрын

"Try talking about this with someone and watch how you get isolated, ridiculed and cast out." Yep, no one wants to talk about it.

19:31

At 34 minutes Sustainable population ..world carrying capacity ..1 to 2 billion as world carrying as population capacity OR REDUCE present people number by 1 or 2 Billion ?

@saarbrooklynrider2277

4 ай бұрын

2 billion total

50-60 cm sealevel rise is more like 170 years. It’s already baked in, but it’s slow. Most of that diane happen until after 2100. That’s why it’s so hard to convince people it’s really happening.

Gosh people's, the Holy Bible is true & its happening in our life time , u know y , because, people's have sealed their fate by their iffy walking, y all this ! 💝💒👣👑