My comments about the US military coup against a Trump presidency were only half-joking. I recommend everyone to read up on Republicans' "Project 2025". That document, outlining what they'll do after they win, contains gems such as ending the separation of church and state, ending the DOJ's independence, expanding presidential powers, adopting Christian nationalism, and basically dismantling the bureaucratic state. It's a terrifying document if one realizes what they're actually reading. The US military is not MAGA-friendly. In fact, MAGA folks criticize it for being "too woke" more and more. If the MAGA group indeed tries to demolish the US political system in its current form, to replace it with a far-right, Christian nationalist autocracy, I predict the US military would intervene. This is IF Trump gets elected, and IF he manages to do what the Republican party say they want to do. I get that such things are hard to imagine for many Americans. An active war for territorial conquest in Europe was just as hard to imagine for Europeans before February 2022.

@OkayGrimmy

4 ай бұрын

​@@just_a_turtle_chad me when I'm delusional and brainwashed

@DISASTERJOE

4 ай бұрын

All of that sounds much better than what is happening right now.

@mrsupremegascon

4 ай бұрын

So we trust campaign promises now ? Seriously Adam, it's 2024, maybe it's time to stop with this "far right is a threat to democracy" thing. Every modern far right politicians that got elected end up following a rather regular presidency or term. That was true for Trump in 2016, like Salvini and Meloni in Italy, like PiS in Poland, etc... Worst you can accuse them is to make weird statements, some fucked up decisions, being corrupted and aligned the public media on their narrative. So doing exactly what all other "honest" politicians does. Only difference, is that "honest" politicians have enough friends in the elite, to do it quietly, something that a populist politician can't do. Even the 6th of January was not that big of thing that you would like to think. In the end Trump accepted his defeat and the guys in the Capitol left the building without much fuss after an afternoon of illegal tourism (not different from other 'occupy capitol' actions made by leftist groups).

@ausiidnd

4 ай бұрын

Project 2025 is a set of policy proposals created by a conservative think-tank and not an actual political threat from Republicans. I understand wanting to grow support against Trump but it is clearly not "what the Republican party wants to do" but rather, "what a set of Trump loyalists are selling to their voterbase". Making grandiose promises about removing the separation of church and state to appeal to Christian nationalists has been par for the course in subsections of conservative politics for over a century, if not longer. This is nothing new nor is it an actual political threat worth this much fearmongering

@bronzebackbassing18

4 ай бұрын

@@DISASTERJOEending separation of church and state sounds good? The 1st amendment exists for a reason.

"Israel can level the Gaza strip with the most modern american weapons, while Ukraine, defending itself against an imperialist invasion, gets only 30 year old leftovers slated for decommissioning. " Yes, this infuriates me too.

@BruhmomentMomentovik

4 ай бұрын

I disagree with this. While obviously not enough aid was sent, people are seriously downplaying how much aid and assistance Ukraine got, we are talking about ~100 of planes when the F-16s get delivered, ~900 tanks, almost a thousand IFVs, thousands of MRAPs, APCs, IMVs, over a thousand pieces of artillery (self-propelled and towed), a number of radars, SAM systems, ammunition, medical supplies, spare parts, training, intelligence and a whole lot of other things. While granted, there were instances where delivered equipment wasn’t in good condition, calling it all leftovers slated for decommission isn’t really true in my opinion. I also think that people generally don’t appreciate how difficult sending Western equipment like tanks to Ukraine is and that it isn’t just a matter of pressing a button. Getting them over to Ukraine is only one part of the problem, Ukrainian tank crews, service personnel, maintenance personnel also need to be trained and equipped, spare parts, ammunition and fuel have to be allocated and sent, all the while having to strike a fine balance between how much can be sent and how much to send in order not to break down Ukrainian logistics as their arsenal is now filled with all kinds of Western, Soviet and post-Soviet equipment.

@aaronhernandez2782

4 ай бұрын

That lets you see the true colors of America and the West. They don't really care for democracy and justice, they only see for their economic and imperialist interests

@zaper2904

4 ай бұрын

Israel pays for its missiles. Ukraine gets them as aid.

@talkowalski6930

4 ай бұрын

If you take what Israel got recently from the US and times it by 10 it’s maybe half of what Ukraine got; and don’t forget the EU spent similar amounts of funds towards helping Ukraine too. To station troops in Asia and Europe also cost easily over 10 times what Israel gets annually. The notion that Israel is costing the US its financial future is nonsensical. If any, Israel has been a very successful commercial for the American military industry for decades now, which generated trillions of dollars. Finally, when Israel clashed with the Russian Air Force a few decades ago, it also had to do it alone and with outdated technology. It sucked then, it sucked now, I also hope Ukraine will come out victorious, but saying Israel is getting a preferential treatment here compared to Ukraine is simply wrong.

@lowgpu1687

4 ай бұрын

"imperialist invasion", need I remind you that the US was an absolute professional with invading at one point?

It's all fine and dandy but the idea of US military staging a coup in case Trump wins seems a tiny bit far-fetched

@jonaspete

4 ай бұрын

First in the US history

@daffyduck780

4 ай бұрын

The military would only intervene to protect the constitution and then only if all other agencies fail.

@jointhefist1016

4 ай бұрын

It is. But it also could be a possibility, having an erratic leader

@PharadayCage

4 ай бұрын

Agreed. Consider Tuberville’s unending obstruction of Biden military appointees. I don’t think the sole reason for it is him just being an annoying cuss. I think he’s maintaining the power structure that owes most power to Trump, so there is less chance of a counter-coup when Trump tries to assume power.

@ruiutomy1

4 ай бұрын

This guy has no clue about what he says in this video. He is another fake blogger.

If it makes you feel better, Congress did pass a bill a few months ago that essentially made it impossible for the US president to single handedly draw the US out of NATO

@allliquid6320

4 ай бұрын

I wonder how easy that can be over turned.

@skynet3542

4 ай бұрын

Congerss can change it in the future. But why would seriously Trump make US exit NATO? He wouldn't do it, it makes no sense. It must be a gossip to disencourage voters to vote on Trump

@allliquid6320

4 ай бұрын

@skynet3542 he said he wanted to do it when he was in power. Like the pulling out of the afgan War. He literally wanted to pull out of everything. " Not really, but it seemed like it" weird isolationist rhetoric. If you want to cut it all, America will become like North Korea. Tho if trump supports ucrain, I'll be happy. If not, then he shouldn't be president. I'm no American, but it's obvious that ucrain is the defining war of this decade, maybe even of this century

@Joe-ij6of

4 ай бұрын

That's good, but GOP majorities could reverse that. I think majorities + Trump in 2024 is very unlikely, but it's a (remote) possibility. In that scenario the maga wing could refuse to vote for border "security" in 2025 unless they reverse the nato provision... that plus arm-bending by trump and rubio & co. will just fold like a cheap suit. Still, very unlikely to be sure.

@personzorz

4 ай бұрын

Because he is an ally to the far right wherever they may be ​@@skynet3542

The rule based world order that you are talking about has already been broken several times in the past in favour of the makers of those rules.

The scale and casualties of this war are terrifying. I really feel bad for all these young men having to die and suffer there for no fault of their own.

@DanielChizh

4 ай бұрын

Yep, we most likely gonna die. Thats life, I guess.

@leonake4194

4 ай бұрын

Its actually mostly 40 year olds, you can look It Up. This Is the war with The oldest soldiers ever; demographics in eastern Europe are fucked. We are probably wittnessing the last wars in the region

@OCTO358

4 ай бұрын

@@leonake4194 "We are probably wittnessing the last wars in the region" not if the US tries to meddle again.

@k-tech2937

4 ай бұрын

@@OCTO358 you misspelled "Russia"

Adam, you are well versed in city infrastructure matters, but your war coverage has been completely subjective. You confidently stated that things would end swiftly in Ukraine’s favor a year ago. That obviously has been far from the truth.

It‘s actually interesting to see how we went from „if Russia invaded, Ukraine will have no chance to fight back“ before the war to „Ukraine is losing because they can‘t throw Russia out of their country!“ The fact that we‘re disappointed by Ukraine not doing „better“ is mostly because we have forgotten how this war was originally SUPPOSED to go.

@Buffalo93

4 ай бұрын

That doesn't really matter, as it not the contest on who does better. If Russia eventually wins, it doesn't change much that it didn't took just three days as initially plans and costed orders of magnitude more. Unfortunately, only the end result matter and not how it compares to any previous expectations.

@lowgpu1687

4 ай бұрын

Who ever said three days? I definitely didn't see the Russians say that, it was the West who assumed 3 days, but apparently they can't even stay consistent with that, because I heard others say one week.@@Buffalo93

@FelixDaleth

4 ай бұрын

@@Buffalo93 The difference is huge. In one scenario you have an exhausted Russia lording over depopulated smoldering rubble. In the other - Russia steamrolling westward while gobbling up Ukrainian industrial and human resources more or less intact. You could argue that technically Finland lost the winter war, yet 80 years later Finnish resistance clearly led to its civilizational victory.

@the2theonly672

4 ай бұрын

@@Buffalo93if Russia wins by expending most of its working class men, they have destroyed their own economy for ever. They do not have the abled body population to come back from this, whether they win or not

@YujiroHanmaaaa

4 ай бұрын

@@lowgpu1687 Stop repeating this " It WaS tHe WeSt " propaganda. The Russian POW's in the first war week themselves said that they thought this war aka "operation" would end 3 days or a week, they even had to bring their parade uniforms.

To anyone who sees this comment - check all his past videos about the Ukrainian war and you'll see that every prediction he has done ended up false. Thats all you need to know about the validity of this channel...

I wish there were a "rules-based" world order. In reality the more a country aligns with the US, the more flexible are those rules for them. And if it's the US, they just do whatever they want, whenever they feel like. I guess rules-based doesn't apply to all latin American countries that had a coup staged and supported by the USA. To still believe in an "International rules-based" order is naive beyond words....

The EU artillery shell production for 2024 is 1.25m shells and for the US 1.2m shells. The problem is that in Europe those are mostly private companies that have to honor their previous contracts and therefore delivered hundreds of thousands of shells to other countries too. Allegedly half a million were sent to Ukraine by the EU.

@tim19962

4 ай бұрын

This war has shown we need to dubble production

@Max-ki6df

4 ай бұрын

This is confusing 2024 has just started, are you from the future? If EU manages to reach 1.25m shells that's awesome, and most of them will go to ukraine right

@Loj84

4 ай бұрын

⁠@@Max-ki6df you don’t have to be from the future to look at yearly estimates.

Ukrainian here. The part about "Zelensky vs Zaluzhny" is a slightly exaggerated issue. There was a point when we all here suspected that this info about their conflict was a psyop. Even if there are some misunderstandings between military and civilian governments the goals are still clear for both and they communicate all the time.

@sillysad3198

4 ай бұрын

by this point i am 100% certain Ze is working for russians. and the mil high command is simply numb, bogged down, pacified, insensitive to such matters as patriotism and honour.

@ryuiyugo8845

4 ай бұрын

@@sillysad3198 You are 146% right. So, Russian should donate to Ze fund "United24" and make this stupid war end faster.

@mormatus

4 ай бұрын

true, was just going to say the same - that's exaggerated out of nothing, or at least nothing substantial. Just copium and hopium from ru propagandons.

@pantalaemon

4 ай бұрын

Homie are you okay

@SkywalkerWroc

4 ай бұрын

"slightly" is doing some heavy lifting here.

Literally a Nato propagandist

@sH-ed5yf

4 ай бұрын

No kid. Just an accurate description of current stalemate

@TheMariano619

4 ай бұрын

How come Ukraine keeps losing territory then? The RF keep making advances.@@sH-ed5yf

@sH-ed5yf

4 ай бұрын

@@TheMariano619 cause russia is throwing insane amounts of goons and equipment into the meatgrinder. Hundreds of vehicles and thousands of man, for a single street or a acre in the country side. Russia wont win a war by spending such casaulties while gsining 1% of ukraine per year.

@Zz_Mike-Hawk_zZ

4 ай бұрын

Ukraine will run out of everything before Russia.​@@sH-ed5yf

@dosa2990

4 ай бұрын

​@@sH-ed5yfaccurate description😂? Lol, all his previous videos have shown how far from reality this Ukrainian propaganda KZreadr is. The facts can be manipulated for a while & loop sided arguments made, but eventually time reveals all truths. Just look at his library of war videos shows the level of "accuracy " against the test of time

Remember when every other week was supposed to be "decisive" back in 2022? Those were the days...

@GabrielPettier

4 ай бұрын

Well, they kind of were.

@LS-Moto

4 ай бұрын

Adam was among those people. I tried to remind people that Russia isn't as weak as people make them to be. Tanks weren't really the solution, because they are pretty easy to take out nowadays with missiles. This is why Zelensky keeps pressing on getting airplanes/fighter jets. The announced counter offensive failed, and destroyed a lot of the equipment Ukraine was provided from the west, so now both sides are just standing their ground. Unless Ukraine geta fighter jets or a big revolt happens in Russia, not much will change this year. Nothing will be decisive.

The casual preduction of American military coup is really rattling the comments section 😂

Comment from Kyiv: 1. The part about Zaluzhny vs Zelensky is a mystery, no one thinks there is such a conflict, but russian media is trying to convince everyone in it. 2. Technological superiority of Ukraine is super small. If we have real superiority we won”t stuck like we did. 3. There are no discussions about “land for peace” in society. But what we discuss a lot is corruption and where our gov-nt spends budget money.

@Max-ki6df

4 ай бұрын

Doesn't Ukraine have an army of drones, Nato Satelite and air reconnaissance, and a fing AI to process and evaluate data collected by said reconnaissance? I mean not shitting on the ukraine military, but you did receive some of the newest equipment out there. Which is why Ukraine to russian loss ratio is like 1 to 6

@stashorodnyansky1258

4 ай бұрын

Another comment from Ukraine: the russians having worse equipment is essentially outdated information. There are more and more reports from our military that they are pretty well equipped for the most part, much, much better than in previous phases of war. They now have more drones, their drones are becoming technologically better and better, and it is not just a matter of drones. Maybe some specific top brigades in Ukraine have great equipment, but on average we are not that far off from the rus now. So...such things as f16, that provide significant performance improvement, are a matter of life and death for us now essentially.

@augustuslunasol10thapostle

4 ай бұрын

@@Max-ki6df actually their talking about their actual equipment f-16 are basically life or death for ukraine as they give massive technological and fire power boost against russia.

@bogdanignatovych3042

4 ай бұрын

Also, comments from a Ukrainian: there are proposals to give land for piece, but those initiatives are cut down as soon as they rise by Zelenskiy and his men. Morale is very low, we see draconic mobilization laws, which the gov wants to approve (the latest mobilization law includes a punishment for failure to react to a mobilization notice: your bank accounts getting forcefully closed and you become a criminal, who will be searched by a police) and we understand that things in the army are very bad. There is a belief (a valid one though) that as soon as you are mobilized, you are given a 3 weeks training and are sent to the meat grinder as an infantryman. We see that recently mobilized men aren't given any role other than the infantrymen because roles that have less mortality rate are already taken. Those infantrymen are then forced to charge some worthless ditches in the middle of mowhere without any armored or air support all in order to capture 2 kilometers of frontline and possibly some no name village which doesn't even have a population anymore, because everyone has already left it. Soldiers in the Ukrainian army are essentially slaves. Everyone who applied for the army two years ago never signed up for an indefinite meat grinder from which you can only return either dead or injured. My friend lost a leg in the war - he is finally free and can now leave the country, but he had to pay with his health for this. All this together with western support dwindling and with our gov officials saying that "we" (it doesn't mean them obviously) will fight with shovels if needed and we will fight to the last Ukrainian but not give any territory, makes us realize that situation is indeed desperate. Additionally, our government didn't even become to build our own military complex, instead relying on the arms given by the western countries, and now, when the West decides to cut the arms given to us, the gov tells us we will have to fight with shovels if needed. All in all, these 2 years of war made me from being a really patriotic man who decided that he will stay and fight for his country, even when I had a chance to leave the country and even applied into the territorial defence force (luckily my application was rejected, otherwise I would have became a slave) into a man who lost all hope in Ukraine as a state and just wants not to have to deal with it anymore. I now believe that both russians and the Ukrainian gov want to kill me, and at this point I just want to leave this country for Spain or some Latin American country (I have been studying Spanish since the war started to improve my prospects of immigration and now have steady B1, almost B2 level) where it is always sunny and I can finally live in peace.

@vyvianalcott1681

4 ай бұрын

Is Zelensky doing anything about the corruption or is he too busy managing the war? I hope this nightmare ends soon for all of you.

A military coup in the US is super unlikely. If Trump wins, the USA will be more isolationist, which likely will garner a lot of support from the military, because contrary to popular beliefs on fringes of the internet, most people do not enjoy going to dumb meaningless wars, not even in America. Just ask veterans about how they feel regards Iraq or Afghanistan.

@schadenfreude000

4 ай бұрын

Actually, that's true. Trump polled well with the military and veterans because of his promise to get out of foreign wars. He was the only president since Jimmy Carter years who didn't get involed in a new war.

Solutions has to be Trains and affordable housing.

@sillysad3198

4 ай бұрын

housing is not a desease, it is a SYMPTOM

@allthis701

4 ай бұрын

trains are gay

@allthis701

4 ай бұрын

and so is affordable housing

@allthis701

4 ай бұрын

and so is vladimir putin

@sillysad3198

4 ай бұрын

@@allthis701 it is less obvious with pootin but definitely he was grown by dems.

My man, you cannot just casually drop a military coup in the United States like... what the fuck?!

@texanplayer7651

4 ай бұрын

I think he meant an impeachment

@GBart

4 ай бұрын

I think he meant Project 2025 + a repeat of Jan 6th but bigger

@slapper360

4 ай бұрын

@@GBartthe fuck is project 2025

@slapper360

4 ай бұрын

@@texanplayer7651that is more believable than military coup

@GBart

4 ай бұрын

​​@@slapper360MAGA Nazis have supposedly been trying to infiltrate government/security jobs to facilitate a potential coup

will age as well as your last year prediction

Rules based Israeli leadership amiright guys, licking boots for foreign actors 😂

Even if Ukraine does have to lose some territory it is unacceptable that they accept anything less than NATO membership. Ukraine can’t stop until they accept this.

@RokeJulianLockhart.s13ouq

4 ай бұрын

They mustn't accept either, but if they must, I agree.

@toptiergaming6900

4 ай бұрын

That's what I'm expecting as the peace outcome, Russia gains some of Ukrane's eastern provenance and part of their coast and un exchange Ukrane gets to join NATO

@jointhefist1016

4 ай бұрын

But part of the reason Russia is attacking, is because they don't want them to join NATO

@ehannasir8464

4 ай бұрын

​@@toptiergaming6900 i think them joining nato is going to be hard especially as some of their territory is occupied, if they would like to join they have to no longer say those are their lands which is very difficult for them to probably do

@davidty2006

4 ай бұрын

Only territory ukraine is willing to give is belgorod.

You talk about the rule based system where no country can invade another for any reason when the reality is that this rule applies only to countries that are not the USA or it's allies like Israel. We've seen what they permit to be done to the palestinians and what they themselves did just recently against the houthies. You're right there is no real justification for war, if there is a just, fair sytem in place, where countries can settle diputes in a civilized manner.

Perun has been a blessing to KZread. He really raised the bar and destroyed huge amounts of misinformation and terrible journalism.

@SkywalkerWroc

4 ай бұрын

True. But then we have Adam saying that US military will coup Trump, lmao. As much as I dislike Trump and think that him winning the presidency would be the biggest disaster for the US since the Great Recession (USA would basically secede from the position of the global superpower), there's *zero* chance of a military coup. Adam in this point is joining the "disinformation and terrible journalism" crowd.

@tizi087

4 ай бұрын

He is basically the Nigel Askey of KZread. Destroying stuff left and right with solid hard data.

@OperationDarkside

4 ай бұрын

He's using power point to make a power point.

@thunderspark1536

4 ай бұрын

​@@OperationDarksideVery good PowerPoints too

@ulogy

4 ай бұрын

Gosh it's like watching paint dry sometimes, but he's great at giving the facts.

Hello. I am from Ukraine, Kyiv. As some other people said already, conclusions are somewhat incorrect. In my circles, there is no one who would like to take russian "peace" agreement right now, and it was the same year ago. Yeah, mass mobilisation exists and unpleasant, but it's nowhere near to panic or tragedy. Year ago in winter, there were a lot of bombardments, now its much more silent thanks to Patriot, Nasams, Iris-T. It's less stressful than before, not vice versa. People are NOT giving up.

@janark4078

4 ай бұрын

Have you volunteered for the front yet?

@annnee6818

4 ай бұрын

Well an increase from 10% to 20% isn't high and won't be felt in every social bubble. Doesn't mean those people don't exist. Some people are russian after all...

@Africanhorror

4 ай бұрын

dead man talking get ready to be mobilized

@ggoddkkiller1342

4 ай бұрын

How many casualties Ukraine had during summer offensive? It must be at least 50,000 if not over 100,000. You can not win a war by staying defensive, it will never ever happen and even if russkies run out of some platforms and systems they will just scale down their offensive operations. It was over as soon as they began digging tenches and unless there is something really important like regime change in russia there is no way Ukraine can win this war..

@Law0fRevenge

4 ай бұрын

@@ggoddkkiller1342 You might wanna check actual sources instead of just dishing out large numbers that you "feel" are correct

It sounds like Adam is in the bargaining stage of the seven stages of grief.

While the military isn’t super loving of trump a ‘coup’ is highly unlikely. That’s a pretty bad take. Otherwise great video

@Surukai

4 ай бұрын

It is TDS big time, but the rest of the vid is still good.

@sillysad3198

4 ай бұрын

the military is probably the most anti-rus of all other institutions, russians and dems made a lot of enemies among the mils

@ecognitio9605

4 ай бұрын

Terrible video actually

@personzorz

4 ай бұрын

The man actually tried to do a coup in 2021. You lack imagination.

@sillysad3198

4 ай бұрын

@@ecognitio9605 but 85 rubles are never terrible, Ivan!

Lol. I wish I could take for granted our military's dedication to democracy as much as you with the casual coup statements.

What a lot of leaders didnt understand, is that regardless of what society you live in, democratic or not, conscriptions will not be popular. You cant, as easily whip people into a war fervor anymore. Nobody wants to die for old men fighting overa strip of land. We have more educated populus now, wiht a lot more to take their attention, fill their free time and enjoy life. Even in the most far right areas of thw world.

@xfom4008

4 ай бұрын

Because it no longer makes any fucking sense. Warfare is extremely,stupidly, absurdly expensive and rewards a state with cities and infrastructure destroyed to rubble and massive amounts of starving conquered people YOU have to feed. War only serves one purpose - moving money from the hands of the budget to military officials and government contractors. It's an unprofitable and brutal activity that facilitates theft, nothing more.

I never understood this argument against "long range weapons that can reach propper Russian territory". Have those people looked at a map? There is still a direct border in northern ukrain, EVERY weapon can reach Russia lol

@mishynaofficial

4 ай бұрын

How dare you break a US sloppy propaganda? 😡😡😡 Do you want a WW3 or something??? 😭😭😭😡😡😡

@dsaikon

4 ай бұрын

I think it's more about reaching key strategic points in Russia. While yes, they share a border, which would make hitting Russian Territory not a complicated task, you might be underestimating the size of Russia. Most of the Land is rural, barely inhabited and simply not a valid target unless you want to waste ammo. Hitting Moscow for example would be near impossible though, simply because of the countries expanse. There's not any point for Ukraine to waste Artillery Shells on uninhabited land, when they have to fight of a Ground Invasion within their own borders. The only reason they could seek to strike within Russia is to hit Logistics Centers aswell as Infrastructure. Though as i said, the vast size of Russia makes hitting infrastructure like streets pretty much pointless, unless we're talking about important bridges here. Thats why you have to make the distinction between "russian land" and "proper russian land". They might share a border, but the next big town is hundreds of kilometres away

@Ganjor420

4 ай бұрын

@@dsaikon Yes, that was a legitimate point early on in the conflict. But at this point Ukraine has hit Moskau as well as major Military bases in Russia with drones already. Multiple times. So while I might have agreed with you in summer 2022, now that Ukraine is already able to hit those targets if they really wanted to I don't see the point in holding back.

@dsaikon

4 ай бұрын

@@Ganjor420 The Question is, whether they are holding back, or actively trying but only succeeding in small quantities. We simply lack the intel to tell for sure because we don't know their military strategy. But since they have hit them before, I don't believe they are holding back on hitting them. It could just be a very complicated task that has a lower success rate than say for example hitting targets at the home front. At this point it would be more of a logistical or tactical question than perhaps a question of capability. We shouldn't underestimate Russias Anti-Air Defenses either, especially around Key Strategic Points

@user-mc5oh2pl7t

4 ай бұрын

@@Ganjor420 There is difference between hitting it with drones that barely damaging anything and with something like ATACMS.

“Rules based world order” my guy do you see what’s happening in Gaza? There is no rules based world order, but i guess that doesn’t matter when the perpetrator is a ally of the west.

Oh good, a new Perun video! Wait a second...

No video on israel? Huh interesting... doesnt make me feel like ur just making propaganda at all... good luck defending west imperialism

The rules based world order already collapsed in Palestine, in fact it always had double standards anyway. We are one step behind figuring out our differences as we always did for thousands of years. As a Turkish person i can't say im surprised nor disappointed, blood price always works, simple and efficient..

I simply love how humans everywhere are all the same “please send people to die for our cause but not me”

I think it's safe to say a US military coup would fuck things up for more than just the US and Ukraine.

Why do you keep saying "rules-based world order" and not "international law"?

@valdasdr8432

4 ай бұрын

rule-based world order is just a codeword for being a puppet peasant following orders of powerful psychopaths no matter what as long as everything is justified in operation mockingbird media. Dude is too brainwashed.

As a russian I can say that the "Political layout" in Russia slide is utterly wrong. Russia is not "more stable than ever" 83% approval rating is questionable, not even all official government sources say that high, but Levada is very biased and social surveys are unreliable in general in modern Russia, because many independant organisations that measure approval rating are abolished and you can get in prison for saying that you are against the war and even saying that what is currently happening is, in fact, war. For example phone survey from ACF showed that 65% of people would support the decision to end the war and to withdraw all the troops from Ukraine, meanwhile only 18 said that they wouldn't support that decision Also "enough volunteers" is a stretch considering that the first mobilization wave hasn't even officialy ended and considering how many people are being taken to war from prison "Stable economy" is also wrong, just recently there was, for example, a MASSIVE soar in egg prices and saying that economy is fine is just false

@Makimars

4 ай бұрын

Stable economy more as in stable war production and less as prosperity for the people.

@olgatrotsenko2153

4 ай бұрын

Can you please give a link on ACF survey results cause all I've found was recent University of Chicago's National Opinion Research Centre's poll that showed that 63% of russians support the war in Ukraine

@blablup1214

4 ай бұрын

I think you have to take the word stable with a grain of salt. Stable in the way that they probably could go on for another 2-3 years without self destruction. They still have enough cash. They still have enough weapons. They still have enough food. They still have enough people. also don't believe that the opinion of the public is that important. It is not like Putin will lose the election or the population will start a rebellion. Many people are used to live in poverty. I could even see them not doing anything even if they would force another million to fight....

@prplt

4 ай бұрын

also many relatives of the people who were mobilized in autumn 2022 are getting very mad because they are still on the front line with no rotation and they're not allowed to return 😂

@GabrielPettier

4 ай бұрын

I like the "1420" youtube channel to get a more nuanced view of the opinions in russia, but it's still hard to gauge, many people express strong pro-putin opinion (and not just old people, young ones as well) and *also* many either completely disengaged from politics (seeing no possibility of an alternative, or just not caring), or opposed to putin, not understanding why things are still holding together, but apparently they do. I still get the impression that despite many people being against the current order, that order is really strong and people are absolutely not ready to revolt. I'm surprised by your number of people supporting a withdrawal, i got the impression this wouldn't be considered acceptable by much more people.

Did you seriously just casually drop the statement "If Donald Trump wins the election he will initiate an autocracy causing the Military to enact a coup to remove him" as if it was the most certain thing in the world? that is pure derangement talking

@rais1953

4 ай бұрын

Extend your imagination for a moment. If Trump is elected and after some time settling into the position the military see that, in their view, he is demolishing Constitutional government in favour of extending his own rule beyond his term, a military leadership might consider itself forced to remove him in order to restore Constitutional government. I'm not saying it's likely, just that it's not impossible. I'm not judging Trump's intentions myself, I'm not American, just an observer with a good knowledge of Constitutional government.

@notfreeman1776

4 ай бұрын

@@rais1953 this is a downright apocalyptic scenario and its not being based on any real concrete evidence

@mathiasrryba

4 ай бұрын

Trump openly endorses Putin and recently was sharing his total dictatorship wet dream of the position of POTUS being above all law and no consequences for any crimes committed while president. @@notfreeman1776

@flippedpymgeo

4 ай бұрын

I agree a military coup or trump installing a dictatorship is unlikely but there quite literally is a plan to install an autocracy if he wins power, it's on Wikipedia for everyone to read

@BadJellyman100

4 ай бұрын

​@@notfreeman1776was Jan 6 just a friendly pizza party then?

Levada poll (and others like it) has an interesting specific - more than 90% of respondents don't want to answer, some due to fear of persecution for "wrong answers". This 50/50 support numbers are for less than 10% of the whole respondents. Ekaterina Shulman, russian political scientist is talking often about it in interviews for western media, you can find it.

@sillysad3198

4 ай бұрын

levada is still working for kremlin, which creates more interpretations of the fact of publishing these numbers

@streamofthesky

4 ай бұрын

Nearly anyone refusing to answer the poll is an "against" vote that's smart enough to keep their mouth shut. Any western reporting of the polls should show the total percentages: For, Against, and "please don't ask me". Put it in a pie chart and see the true "support level" among Russians.

@imightbebiased9311

4 ай бұрын

@@streamofthesky More like "For, Against, and I'm Just Following Orders".

@Uberpanik

4 ай бұрын

​@@imightbebiased9311never lived under authoritarian regime, do you? Good for you

@teimy42

4 ай бұрын

Good point, also much better source is Russian Field, which manages to be somewhat independent

Couple things to add as a Ukrainian: People are getting tired of the war. That took longer than expected but same as support from people in the west. People are willing to sacrifice land to live peacefully. Compare it to beginning when people didn’t want any negotiations with Russia. More strict mobilisation laws made the war waaaay less popular. Ukraine is low on volunteers, and a lot of people don’t really want to go and fight even in defensive war. Also there was almost a law passed about sanctioning Ukrainian men who are abroad who don’t want to return basically. As expected all Ukrainians abroad (couple millions I think) got pretty pissed and their support for the war dropped. Also tik tok trolls play a huge role, there is ENORMOUS amount of big or small bloggers “ukranian” pushing narrative how corrupted government is and hating on Zelenskyy and army All that was expected if the war goes for 2 years obviously. I don’t think that it’s possible for any more or less democratic government to keep morale high after 2 years of war. I still remain hopeful though

@42sraf

4 ай бұрын

I commented before watching the video and ht basically said all that. Still think that might as well leave the comment to validate points in video

@mausegetlit363

4 ай бұрын

Slava russia

The thing that irks me is that the F-16s could have been used last winter - while there was minimal on-ground fighting - to disrupt Russia’s massive defensive trench building. This seems like an opportunity that was wasted.

@streamofthesky

4 ай бұрын

Yup. From the start of the war I was one of the people screaming to give Ukraine jets and frustrated that we didn't. How many Ukrainians lost their lives during the failed southern counter-offensive that were a result of all the time Russia had to prepare defenses? It's utterly infuriating, and lends credence to the conspiracy theories that the US doesn't want Ukraine to win decisively and swiftly, but rather to use Ukraine to grind down Russia over many years (at the expense of Ukrainian lives). I'm so fed up w/ our tip toe approach of not wanting to "anger Russia", so then we wait a year and do the thing we claimed would anger them anyway, far too little and too late.

@peabody3000

4 ай бұрын

last year there were no trained ukrainian pilots at the ready. the US and allies have had to roll out their support cautiously over time to decrease the risk of russia escalating to drastic measures

@mishynaofficial

4 ай бұрын

​@@peabody3000escalation bs yada yada. If US wanted they could start training Ukrainian pilots since March 2022.

@keiyakins

4 ай бұрын

​@@mishynaofficial Try 2014. It was pretty obvious Crimea was just testing the waters.

@meegz149

4 ай бұрын

@mk1st ukraine has already used weapons that will be on the f-16 like JDAMs. F-16s and especially the scant numbers being sent, will do F all.

Getting a new lada as recompense for the death of a soldier is even worse than one might think. By summer of 2023 roughly 70% of Ladas delivered to dealers required additional repair because of incomplete construction.

@imightbebiased9311

4 ай бұрын

So they're like the car that Michael Keaton tries to drive out of the factory at the end of Gung Ho?

@tunemaki_izlasitrlv6835

4 ай бұрын

Don't worry. LADA will probably offer a bottle of vodka as compensation for delivery issues.

@bmw_fantopdrives5501

4 ай бұрын

New Ladas also dont habe Abs etc? Because thats from BOSCH, No?

talk about a military coup in the US is a loooooooong stretch of reality

I will add Dylan Burns to Adam's list. He is an American streamer who is reporting from Ukraine, dodging the shells. Guy has 22 years, but he's a better journalist than half of CNN.

@wodekw6862

4 ай бұрын

I think he went home for holidays

@mats8375

4 ай бұрын

@@wodekw6862 Yeah, he is streaming from the US now. He's going back in the spring if I remember correctly.

@thijmstickman8349

4 ай бұрын

Yeah they've interacted in the past, hoped he mentioned him considering how underrated he is and his financial issues

Oh my god.. The first picture.. This is the fire next to my apartment building on 2nd of January 2024. We woke up at 4 am from the air raid alert and stayed inside our bath, since there are no shelters close to our home. At roughly 5:40 am we heard loud bangs, the whole building was shaking and the sky turned red.. Electricity and water dissapeared. I waguely remember myself frantically dressing up in whatever was closer and running downstairs. The night before that we were looking for a parking space for our car and almost parked it right where the fire broke out in the morning.... All of the exploded cars, burned to hauntingly white color, are all still there. Each and every day I have to go past them as it's the only path out of the apartment complex...

Talking about rulebased world order and naming the Israel/palestine "war" had make me laugh out loud not gonna lie

@screamskilos3951

4 ай бұрын

it's such a weird thing, Adam seems to be ambiguous about the "war", i feel like he supports the IDF or at least doesn't condemn them which is inconsistent with his views on Ukraine.

@1k-RebelProductions

4 ай бұрын

@@screamskilos3951 Iam not even sure if he is pro israeli, his comment in the video suggests otherwise, I think. I just feel like he got pushed into the narrative of the "good US/Nato" holding the world together point of view maybe a little to much. Calling the world "rulebased" while the Israel Palestine war/slaughter, the ongoing genocide in myanmar, or the nato member turkeys brutal suppression/war against the kurds, or constand happy friendship deals and alliances with slavestates like Saudi Arabia, together with massive arms deals, is just absurd as a whole. Nato may be the lesser evil compared to autocratic capitalist russia. but its still a very big f***** evil.

"but also the international rules-based world orderbut also the international rules-based world order" Oh really Adam? You mean like when NATO bombed and invaded Serbia and helped Kosovo declare independence ?

@officernealy

4 ай бұрын

I wonder what Serbia did in Bosnia & what they planned on doing in Kosovo to warrant the world's wrath so much to the point that they green-lit NATO to bomb them?

@Zz_Mike-Hawk_zZ

4 ай бұрын

​@@officernealyisn't the same thing that Croatia did in Krajina? Yet I don't see Croatia getting bombed or sanctioned.

The rules based world order surviving? Haha! Nope! You're on Mr. Bone's Wild Ride.

Whilst losing US support would be a significant headache for Ukraine, I'd doubt that Germany and Poland would sit on their hands.

@Don8Maverick

4 ай бұрын

as far as I remember the US gave as much military aid to ukraine as all the other countries combined and If i remember the numbers correctly from my memory, its 3 times as much as poland and germany combined, there's a threshold to how much a country can give. so yeah losing the us aid is gonna be disastrous if it happens.

@ayesaac

4 ай бұрын

​@@Don8Maverickyes, though it should be said that quantifying the value of the aide provided isn't quite so easy. Most of the military aide from all countries has been equipment, not cash. Most of the US aide has been donating old equipment as a means of rotating their own armaments. It's useful stuff, don't get me wrong, but the quoted dollar values are inflated and misleading.

@Ignatiusussy

4 ай бұрын

@@Don8MaverickPoland has mostly been focused on preparing themselves for the worst outcome, since they're literally right next to the war. When they have that sorted out they should start providing Ukraine with more aid.

@bixbysnyder-00

4 ай бұрын

Germany is still sitting on their hands.

@naturalnonsense

3 ай бұрын

Poland’s too busy blocking borders :/

"The US military will inevitably coup him" I don't know if I trust the military to break down the autocracy that enables them

Military coup in USA? The world is "rules based"?Lmaooo Youve been drinking your own Koolaid too much bro 🤡🤡🤡

Serious question: If my only choices are anti-Ukraine Politicians who do not support Israel in its genocide of Palestinians, or Pro-Ukraine-Politicians who do support said genocide, which do I choose? Cause both options seem equally necessary and unconscionable simultaneously.

@JoaoSantos-ur1gg

4 ай бұрын

In your situation I'd choose the party which is better on domestic affairs, which would probably be the first option (tankies tend to be OK on domestic affairs but awful on foreign affairs because, similarly to the right, they think some kinds of imperialism are better than others). I'd vote on an empty stomach tough, otherwise I'd vomit in the polls.

@wfb.subtraktor311

4 ай бұрын

@@JoaoSantos-ur1gg Die Linke (the German left) is hardly a tankie party at this point, all of those left the party recently due to an internal rift. The remaining people are democratic socialists but they still think we shouldn't send weapons to Ukraine cause "weapons = bad". Meanwhile the greens have gone full fash on the Israel/Palestine issue and have long abandoned everything they used to stand for apart from their silly opposition to anything related to nuclear power.

Usually I find your videos to be good This one is still great as a general overview. But I dont understand about the US Milirary coup thing. Can you elaborate?

@evansnyamesah1755

4 ай бұрын

Cos US democracy is being threatened by some who thinks saying you will be a Dictator for a day is a good idea. So now we have a democracy vs Authoritarian across the world and USA is the helm of democracy so it can't lose that so this year will be a 🔥

@Julez60

4 ай бұрын

He pulled from his ass, it's ridiculous.

@personzorz

4 ай бұрын

One of the men who is in the running for President of the United States tried to do an authoritarian coup against the elected government in 2021. He is going to try again. Once that happens, a lot of things are possible that you didn't used to think are possible

@salce_with_onion

4 ай бұрын

@@Julez60 Just like your 100 rubles, Ivan

@oneaboveallferrarifan2725

4 ай бұрын

He doesn’t know what he’s talking about 😂

Tell the Gazan children buried under rubble about the rules-based world order

@ammarabu-qalbain616

4 ай бұрын

Right? But do you guys know why adam hasnt done any work covering the GENOCIDE in gaza as far as i know. Isreal has literally killed almost 3 times as much civilians in the span of a few months as russia has killed in 2 years. This guy doesnt even try to hide his bias and it fucking infuriates me how hypocritical he is being

"This is an instant public release, no early access for Patrons and Members. This is due to the nature of the video" But youtube says members only?

@AdamSomething

4 ай бұрын

Yep, going live in an hour!

@tonypraf8641

4 ай бұрын

@@AdamSomething you lied....

@person8064

4 ай бұрын

​@@tonypraf8641 nuh-uh

@regrets9412

4 ай бұрын

He said near-instant.

@girlintraining

4 ай бұрын

@@tonypraf8641 dude wrote in his description what the deal is. I saw it drop just now on yt and there's like, 3 comments one of which is exactly 2 hours old. He did exactly what he said he would, stfu

Is it just me who got a _slight_ feeling that this guy might be a _tiny_ bit biased towards Ukraine?

Gotta say i'm weirded out by a few points. The rules-based order is kind of an iffy thing to talk about, if it exists it's mostly enjoyed specifically by those countries at the top of the totem pole. But bigger is your seemingly guaranteed assertion that a trump victory leading into autocratic actions would definitely result in a military coup. Citation needed imo.

@friedwaldderlebendige8494

4 ай бұрын

wait what? where di he suggest that trump victory would lead to a military coup?

@SamMorseBrown

4 ай бұрын

Agreed

@zanthar1873

4 ай бұрын

@@friedwaldderlebendige84944:55 my friend he also mentioned it later.

@Win32error854

4 ай бұрын

@@friedwaldderlebendige8494 4:50

@joshuanishanthchristian5217

4 ай бұрын

Same here. Obviously, most people who watch this channel quite dislike Trump, and that includes me, but I cannot imagine him pulling the US out of NATO or going so extreme that the US Military sees the need to topple him. His election could still be quite problematic for Ukraine though, although I can't imagine it'd be as singly dramatic as the way described.

LOL "WHETHER THE RULES BASED ORDER SURVIVES OR NOT" AND "THE ADVENT OF A NEW WORLD ORDER WHERE MIGHT MAKES RIGHT" God, those were some good jokes

So, there is a statement that according to Vladimir Putin russian personal losses are: 315-360K... Is there a link to prove that?;-) I'm pretty sure that not)

What's really needed is a comprehensive and coordinated vision for supplying and modernizing Ukraine with equipment, and letting Ukrainian officers take the lead with planning. The Counteroffensive largely failed because NATO planners forgot that just because Ukraine can shoot down hundreds of cruise missiles and the occasional fighter, doesn't mean they *actually* have air superiority. They need an F-16 fleet to be able to do that. Ukrainian officers have much more experience operating under conditions where the main push has to be made on the ground, against fortified enemy positions that have not been softened by air power. NATO planners involved with the next counteroffensive should limit themselves to making sure no old Soviet tendencies creep through, e.g. making sure units actually collaborate on a large scale rather than acting independently, making sure upper ranks don't try to micromanage the field, and making sure that the diversionary operation actually stars BEFORE the main counteroffensive instead of a week and a half after.

@Alan0000able

4 ай бұрын

No F16 fleet is gonna able to grant air superiority here. Just because the front lines are now to dense with AA systems that prevent aircraft from doing much. Even on Russia's side that has plenty of aircraft to spare, we see that pilots are not risking to fly too close and often just shoot long-range missiles. Idea that the F16 will appear and turn Top Gun Maverick on Russian Air Forces is flawed not to mention that much more important is what missiles will be provided along side them.

@pierrebegley2746

4 ай бұрын

You're deluded if you think F-16s were going to magically save that counteroffensive.

@Dovoline3

4 ай бұрын

@@Alan0000able F-16 fleet will have no trouble establishing air superiority. Kit the Russians are using is no different from what we saw in Desert Storm, and even aircraft far older and heavier than the F-16 were never even remotely threatened by those AD systems. Russian aircraft aren't risking flights because Russian aircraft fundamentally cannot defeat modern AA missiles.

@Dovoline3

4 ай бұрын

@@pierrebegley2746The counteroffensive failed primarily because of Russian air superiority. F-16s would have denied that and allowed the counteroffensive to proceed unimpeded.

@Dovoline3

4 ай бұрын

@@arlekino4688 That's still a good 35-40 years ahead of what Russian AD systems are actually capable of engaging.

The positional warfare is hard to win is because defending side always have advantage. So you either keep your ground or you're losing, that's why frontline is so hard to move.

As a Ukrainian, I can say it is a pretty good video, these points of view are really filling the current affairs. I would like to also mention, that the 'Security assurances' or 'pseudo guaranties' are frowned upon by the society because of previous Budapest memorandum being highly unpopular nowadays in Ukraine. Nobody wants to make this mistake twice and people think that giving away our nuclear weaponry and arsenals (which is being directly used against us now, apart from nukes ... for now). This time people would be not likely to swallow an empty promise, so this is realisticly unlikely that these agreements would be enough to force us to go for 'peace talks' with the russian terrorists.

@Sir_Cole

4 ай бұрын

Could Ukraine theoretically build new nuclear bombs? No right?

@mahatmarandy5977

4 ай бұрын

@@Sir_Cole No, I don’t think they could. It requires a fairly intense and specific industry to do it.

@mahatmarandy5977

4 ай бұрын

If it’s any consolation, nuclear weapons have a relatively short shelf life. They require lots of periodic maintenance and the fissionable material has to be replaced fairly frequently. I don’t think Post-Soviet Russia ever had the money to keep that up anyway, and given all the graft and corruption in their military, I’m sure most of the money allocated for it went to oligarchs. So more than likely most of the old Soviet warheads no longer work. I mean, I’m sure they have more than enough to cause a hell of a lot of trouble, the ones on their subs certainly work, and those alone are more than enough to trash several countries, but of the 5800 or so they claim to have, probably 75-80 percent are inoperable.

@JonMartinYXD

4 ай бұрын

@@Sir_Cole Nuclear weapons are not worth the cost. The money required to develop and maintain them can buy vast amounts of conventional weapons you can actually use. What is the benefit of a nuclear bomb if you can develop the means to drop a 500 kg conventional bomb on Putin's house? The US is currently planning on replacing its aging silo-based ICBM fleet, but the only reason they are doing so is due to political pressure from the companies that will build the new missiles and the representatives of the states the silos are in. I have seen independent cost estimates as high as a trillion dollars. Keep in mind that the US already has the silos, the warheads, and all the warhead maintenance infrastructure. The money for the replacement project is just for new reentry vehicles to put existing warheads in, and new missiles to put those reentry vehicles on.

@JonMartinYXD

4 ай бұрын

@@mahatmarandy5977 And if there is one place in the military where it is easy to get away with graft, it is in warhead maintenance. It is all super classified so there is very little oversight and very few people that have to be in on the crime. And the likelihood of getting exposed is very low: no one is willing to use nukes, and in the incredibly unlikely event of a nuclear war no one is going to be left afterwards to conduct an inquest into why 95% of the warheads turned out to be full of yogurt.

The worst case scenarios are very painful to think about. As an estonian, Ukraine is fighting russia for the same noble cause of peace and freedom. A combat defeat is one thing, but western powers being overrun by isolationists and abandoning a friend and a nation to their own enemy is beyond imaginable. Glory to Ukraine! 🇺🇦❤️🇪🇪

@xitrou

4 ай бұрын

It's more democracy and freedom in Russia, rather than in your nazis countries.

@tunemaki_izlasitrlv6835

4 ай бұрын

The worst-case scenario is simple. If Ukraine loses we both are probably dead. Everybody knows if Russia wins it will never stop at Ukraine and we are next on the list. But unlike Ukraine which can fight war, the reality is that in our countries we simply have absolutely nothing to stop an invasion. I live in Latvia and we are currently in terrible shape. Almost nothing has been done since the invasion. We can't even build a fence on the border for 3 years. As you probably know about 30-40% of our citizens are Russians, and less than half of them can't even remotely understand the Latvian language after living here for 30 years. If a war comes to us you can imagine which side will many of our Russian citizens be on. And to be honest our economy is not that much better than security. Third lowest wages in the EU, while having more expensive food and clothes than in most West EU countries. Infrastructure is crumbling away. Our Education system is a total disaster. Not only does it work badly but also it is split in half. Latvian schools where subjects are taught in Latvian and Russian schools where every single subject is taught only in the Russian language 30 years after the fall of the USSR! This is why our population is split in half and the West doesn't even want us to get rid of that system because we have to offer Russians the opportunity to teach the Russian language. Less than 1 million people still speak Latvian meanwhile Russian is spoken by hundreds of millions. If they want to be educated in Russian then go do it somewhere else! Sorry, I went on a bit of a rant here. We have so many issues in our country, but honestly, since the invasion, we are trying to fix all those issues, which honestly should have been solved a lot sooner. It would be a shame if Russia would put a stop to all of this. Finally, we have our own country and even if it is in bad shape this is the only place where we Latvians at least can speak our language.

@luigimrlgaming9484

4 ай бұрын

Abandoning? At this point they would be helping. Maybe they finally realized that Zelensky has been fooling them for all this time and he literally cannot win this war. A nation is made up of its people, and if it has no people left, then that’s not winning.

12:02 Will the rules based world order survive? When did it exist?

@srajandikshit7590

4 ай бұрын

When European disnt have to face a war

5:00 - man, I’ve heard some wild takes on this channel, but ‘the US military will coup Trump if he’s elected and starts acting autocratically’ takes it. Go back to ragging on Elon, you’re much better at that

I just want to remind you all of what this war is. There's an eye witness account of a woman being sent to the front line, she goes to a ditch where a guy is to replace him and finds him scared and afraid, he tells her he doesn't want to die or be maimed, he really doesn't want to lose an arm or leg, he just wants the war to end. He moves to another position in another ditch, later the Russians fire a whole bunch of grads, the woman survives and they all call out to each other to check they're ok. There's screaming and they run to the ditch where the guy she replaced from the day before is in, the lenses he was wearing are melted into his eyes and he's screaming he can't see. That's war, that's what every day this thing carries on leads to. That young kid with plastic melted into his skull.

I really appreciate your analysis. I'm glad your reporting is level-headed and not trying to be alarmist or oversimplified

One thing which is likely going to be HUGE going down the road is that this has massively changed the attitude towards defense spending and the military in general in Germany. A few months ago I read in the paper that our minister of defense said something along the lines of "Germany will be the military back bone of Europe". Used to be that Germany wasn't that interested in building up an army. In fact, our military was more of a joke. Sure the tech was good, but we weren't using it ^.^ After all, why? Who was gonna attack us? Well, Putin sure answered that question. Now it seems like in Germany and also the rest of the EU, the need for a strong military is once again on everyone's minds. I'm quite certain that no matter how this war turns out, it shifted the road we take over the next decades considerably.

@conors4430

4 ай бұрын

Honestly, this nonsense that Putin wants to take the rest of Europe is just bullshit. He has reasons why it made sense to attack Ukraine. The rest is just the western world trying to claim that he’s nuts and another Hitler. Whether anybody wants to admit it or not, it made sense to attack Ukraine if you are a paranoid Russian establishment. Because nato was very clearly going to incorporate Ukraine, putting NATO 300 miles from Moscow for the first time ever. People wanted to act like the Russians are just batCrap crazy, like that’s the end of the story, while also forgetting that promises were made by George Bush senior and Bill Clinton at the end of the Cold War that NATO would not move any further east than a reunited Germany. NATO then spent the next 20 years, moving closer and closer to Russia. It is also part of NATO rules that no country can join the alliance while it has territorial disputes, which is probably why Russia, invaded. Aside from that, Russia has shown no interest or movements whatsoever to attack anywhere else in Europe, let alone a NATO aligned country. He’s a bad dude but stop believing absolutely everything. Not every crazy world leader is adolf Hitler.

@augustuslunasol10thapostle

4 ай бұрын

This actually is kicking off something interesting did you notice Germany taking a more keen interest in the Philippines and the south china sea in general? Maybe im wrong but it seems like the western powers are now more interested in making sure weaker non-nato allies and friends don’t get gobbled up by a authoritarian regime.

@zanizone3617

4 ай бұрын

That's assuming we _have_ a few more decades to leisurely prepare. And that shysters like Orban don't take over more EU/Nato countries.

Maybe one day Adam will realise that its not enough to just destroy the bridge to capture Crimea. The land bridge exists, with roads, existing rail roads and new railroads being built all the way to Crimea. That was the entire point of capturing the land bridge - to avoid complete reliance on the bridge. Plus there is an entire fucking sea that can be used to supply Crimea via transport fleet. The landing ship that was destroyed is not the only way to transport equipment.

Everything you said in this video could have been said for 2023 and probably 22

“If Donald Trump gets elected and goes full fascist, there will be a military coup” *starts hyperventilating into paper bag*

@thisdudegotreal

4 ай бұрын

I would love for it to be true that majority of US military cmd is anti-MAGA but I have serious doubt of that....

@seanj4119

4 ай бұрын

This is actually a pretty interesting thought exercise. Any successful coup against the president would need the backing of Congress. Any would-be coup leaders would need to cover their asses legally and financially after the fact. The new presidential administration would cover the legal side with immunity from prosecution, but only Congress would be able to cover the financial side through guaranteed backpay. Problem is that if Trump wins, Republicans would take the House and maybe the Senate. MAGA may be a minority in both chambers, but most Republicans would toe the line. Then come 2026, which would likely be the most fraudulent, interfered-with election in American history. Democrats would be subject to voter and candidate intimidation, as would any remaining Republicans with a spine. If a critical mass of Democratic and non-MAGA Republican congressional leaders get pressured too far, a Congressionally-backed coup could happen to "preserve the sanctity of the 2026 Election," with MAGA sidelined in Congress either at the ballot box or by the end of a rifle. There is some precedent for this. When Andrew Johnson's lackluster post-Civil War Reconstruction program didn't pan out to Congress' liking, Radical Republicans in Congress effectively seized control of the government and Reconstruction to pass civil rights, voting rights, and expand the military occupation of the South, all overriding Johnson's vetoes. When Johnson tried to reshuffle his Cabinet to resist, the Republican Congress impeached him and nearly booted him from office.

@52flyingbicycles

4 ай бұрын

@@seanj4119 I think the core of a military coup would, in the United States, would come from confusion about who the commander in chief is. I.e. the military does not know who to take orders from. So if there is real voter intimidation or fraud (not just mindless assertions by MAGA) that bring into legitimate question who won the presidency, the military would have to choose who they take orders from. In a Bush v Gore situation, the Supreme Court handed down a verdict and the military was convinced. Similar for 2020, where a distinct lack of evidence of wrongdoing meant the military had no doubts. The goal of the 2021 insurrection would have been to present the alternative slate of electors to confuse the military enough to keep Trump in power. I doubt the military would have accepted this, and had January 6th succeeded, the military would have ousted Trump in a coup to install the rightful winner: Biden. Trump being out of office now somewhat mitigates the coup risk, since I highly doubt Biden would try to stay in office even if there was actual evidence of wrongdoing. Then the coup may come as a result of Trump ordering the military to perform an unconstitutional order, which they refuse, and he attempts to bypass the military hierarchy. This military rift would result in the anti-Trump faction either standing down or overthrowing him. Lastly, funding. The USA has a lot of allies that rely on it. If there is unity among our allies, they could fund a single side to either back or quash the coup, and dissenting allies would sit out for stability’s sake. If the dissenting allies decide to fund their side… that’s civil war

In an effort to reduce the inflation in Russia over the price of eggs, they imported a lot from Turkey. About 20% of the eggs tested positive for H5N1, a form of avian flu that can transmit to humans.

as ukrainian, I’m so depressed and hopeless regarding this 2024 year. another year of bombing, deaths, plus high chance of me dying if I am drafted into this. awful. nothing will change most likely until the US elections. good analysis tho

@mausegetlit363

4 ай бұрын

Hopefully you are drafted

@vitalimaly

4 ай бұрын

​@@mausegetlit363 enjoy your brainrot

@skah5651

4 ай бұрын

@@mausegetlit363 so you are crazy and see no value in life and best thing you can think of is give your life. But unfortunately you will die for no reason, this conflict is a bloody mess, which might have ended already, either regaining territories from russia or and just negotiating for peace. There are corruption in Ukraine as i remember second corrupted state just before russia.

Man thx for making videos about the war in Ukraine , many people switched to something else like Israel , Yemen etc , it's important to not forget about whats happening there and how significant elections in the US can be

12:05 Which is what the world order was until the 1700s-1800s.

Sorry but your rule based worldorder part is just factually wrong.

8:40 weeeeeeelll..... As a Pole, I'd say they were the aggressors back then too. It's just that their partner in crime turned on them. Pretty sure all of the Baltics would agree with me on this. Finns too, perhaps. And Moldovans / Romanians (Bessarabians?). I like the comment I heard a few times. Russians speak of the Great Patriotic War, because that's the part of WWII they don't have to be ashamed of (too much).

history legends on youtube has covered the war the best - facts no BS

@gamerfan8445

4 ай бұрын

The same guy who claims that Russia have captured Bakhmut 100 times before they finally did

@Kastrenzo74

4 ай бұрын

he's a russian propagandist that lies about being "neutral and unbiased" someone who lies about their intentions is even worse than someone honest about having monstrous opinions.

@2230957

4 ай бұрын

​@@gamerfan8445That's 1 more correct predictions than Adam's tbf

Another A++ follow: Anders Puck Nielsen, a Danish Commander at the Royal Danish Defence College, and a legit expert on Russia.

We now live in "war of the year" world. Where any new major war breaking out immediately pushes all other wars to lower priority. So far Ukraine scored top filling, but got kicked out last year by Israel/Palestine. Any other outbreak around the world would cut into aid for Ukraine, as it slides down the "Top wars of 202X" list. Anything breaking out in South America, Africa, Middleeast or Asia can easily kick Ukrains plight to a macabre fate in the same box where the fidgetspinner went.

Thank you for the update!

I respect your optimism on this theme, but I'm not on the same page. I think the morale drop in the West and in Ukraine are significant. Before Ukraine was a strong united front. They almost laughed into the face of danger. Ukraine was strong and would obtain victory eventually, whatever it might take. Now that front is shattering. Being on the front for years, without having andy idea when it might end, when you might be relieved or if it would lead to something will eventually crush your morale. We saw the same happening with the insurrections in the French army in WWI. I think it's very hard to continue to believe in the united nation when a large number of mean are trying to avoid being drafted or are living rather comfortably in Western-Europe. I very much understand why people would want to avoid the nightmare of the front, but you cannot deny that this reality destroys the illusion of a national effort. This will lead to divisions and resentment in society, even long after the war. 2024 will be a very tough year. 2025 might be better if Ukraine can overcome these problems and if the West won't enter an age of fascism.

@allliquid6320

4 ай бұрын

The moral in ucrain is high. The moral in the west seems more apathetic then low. If the war goes into the background out of the public eye it's actually easier for the government to support ucrain. If the population isn't complaining bc they don't care then the government may have its fun. I don't think there are enough western folks who want to see ucrain fight all alone with out support. I think there are polical reasons for thier stance trying to get something for thier side before giving the green light to ucrain. Its all rather selfish.

@dukenukem8381

4 ай бұрын

I am Ukrainian and my morale didn't drop one bit, only bit dissapointed how west easily persuaded by vatnik lies.

@42sraf

4 ай бұрын

Your comment is spot on, as a Ukrainian. Filed offence was indeed a devastating blow on morale, we also see rise of popularity in far right government which makes future seem very pessimistic. From ukranian point of view russia has basically limitless amount of men, weapons and money even if that’s not the case. It’s really hard to keep being optimistic

@mishynaofficial

4 ай бұрын

Nothing will change until the West supplies the REAL game changing tech. That's my honest opinion as Ukrainian.

@rodimcgeesums633

4 ай бұрын

Average age of Ukrainian at the front lines is 42 Years old. They are running out of their prime population for wartimes. War of attritions are Russia’s Forte. Even if they have artillery they don’t have the men to man it unless it’s imported in from the EU or NATO which… is a WHOLE different case of Fooking risky.

The end of NATO is a terrifying prospect, but against my better judgement I at least hope that the non-US members see it as an opportunity to strengthen their bonds and face a 'post-America' world (in that the US is increasingly hostile or indifferent towards them). I always felt that NATO could be the stepping stone to a trans-pacific super state, forged in the blood we're facing (and will face), but I also know that I get a worrying number of people asking, "What's that?" and pointing to the NATO flag I have on my leather jacket. So..... yeah, a non-US NATO would be realistically catastrophic, but this Canadian is holding out hope we'll still be there to stand on guard for thee, whether it be us or our friends overseas.

@mseeross

4 ай бұрын

Nato should never have been expanded past Germany. Do you really think the Canadian public would support a mass mobilization if Russia invaded the Baltics? Had Nato stayed smaller it would look more competent, more exclusive and carry a stronger influence. George F Kennan bitterly opposed expansion, but Clinton wanted it "just feels right".

@personzorz

4 ай бұрын

​@@mseerossThe bigger the more powerful and the less likely the need to engage it

@sillysad3198

4 ай бұрын

The end of NATO is a terrifying prospect for russia! because NATO was created to bureaucratize and entangle all potential anti-soviet initiatives. bog down EUrope into a "defensive stance"

@sillysad3198

4 ай бұрын

@@mseeross Baltic states were accepted into NATO in order to undermine a more effective anti-russian alliance between the recently liberated nations.

@50043211

4 ай бұрын

The EU has something like Article 5, even more binding then the NATO one. Funnily enough, it would not only be a disaster for the US but for Turkey was well, because suddenly, no NATO, while Greece and Cyprus are in the EU and whats more, the Turks are illegally occupying territory of a EU member state while no more US protection.

Guys, I may say something controversial, but I don't think this man likes Trump....

Great summary Adam. Whatever Ukraine chooses, I am with them. Ta for the info on Perun.

"It will be over by Christmas" "2024 Will Be Decisive" Perhaps you can't predict the future and we all know like 3% of what is actually happening behind the scenes.

@Faliard

4 ай бұрын

It should have been over by 2014. Furthermore, it should never have begun, but as with the orange revolution, the trusting red-and-black clad students rushed out to fix everything.

Thank you for your support. I love your content and clear stance.

thank you, Adam, for your support❤️

Thank you. This was an excelent video.

"If you're worried, don't be" also you talking about the literal end of the free world 5 minutes ago...

I like the notion that YOU will tell ME which channels to believe. 😂

I think that one other channel to follow on the Ukraine war would be Dylan Burns, he's a wartime journalist/streamer who embedded with the Ukrainian troops one multiple occasions and generally has been very invested with this as a journalist. He has a bias (in favor of Ukraine) but everyone does and he seems to get a lot of on-the-ground information

Thank you for this consolidation of helpful information.

Reading the news the last week on Ukraine was horrible abd left me quite confused. This is why I actually eagerly awaited an zpdate of yours. Thanks! ❤

I'd say War.. War Never changes.. but the fact that global peace and collaboration is starting to look like its slipping away is just catastrophic.

No side has high moral anymore, have you seen the way they are using the forced conscripts as Cannon fodder, with barely any training?

@skah5651

4 ай бұрын

Getting support for Ukraine is a goal, but it would be wise to look at the land you support. Maybe other do not need to know how much corruption in Ukraine. They also not allow free media report without saying them what is allowed to report.

The amount of Americans that don’t know about Project 2025 is very worrying. The military isn’t gonna let a Trump led Christian autocracy rock the boat

I am personally not of the mind that things are as up-in-the-air as some of us like to believe in the West. A year or two ago when the conflict was relatively new, it was so that things could turn on a moment's notice with relatively small factors. But since that time, the nature of the conflict has changed drastically. The war in Ukraine is no longer a war of mobility in the same way it was in the initial year - and in some cases into the second year. Offensives by both sides in the past 12 months have proven largely ineffective at making any kind of meaningful gains. The war has entered a stalemate - as many military experts predicted it eventually would not long after Russia failed to secure Kyiv and several other major Ukrainian cities. Ultimately, this war has entered its attrition stage, at which both belligerents will no doubt attempt to outlast one-another. Ultimately, Western weapons or not, I believe this is a phase of the war which is entirely to Ukraine's advantage. Russia is no longer in a position to take large offensive actions in Ukraine without severely weakening - or even damaging - their own vanguard forces in the territory which they have gained since 2022. Any attempt made by the Russian Military to drastically shift the status quo in the region will simply mean a short-term gain over a long-term loss. This doesn't take into account the ludicrous amount of piping-hot water the Russian political structure is in back home due to this nonsense. Ultimately, the Ukrainians have a massive advantage, and all they really need to do to exercise said advantage is hold their ground. Also, as a military historian and somebody with colleagues in the Military analyst community, I must address the off-beat point you make in regards to the difference between Ukraine and Israel. The Ukrainians are indeed in the process of securing many of these same weapon systems. Already, Ukrainian pilots are training for operation of the F-16 as well as other vital Western weapons slated to be sent to the Ukrainian Military. I don't think those outside military circles are aware of the amount of time it truly takes to train and adapt a fighting force - no less one the size of Ukraine's which is currently engaged in a war on their own territory - on the effective use of modern weapon systems that are completely new to them. This is one reason why when the Leopard II arrived and was sent into battle almost immediately, an alarming number of them were lost. This is one pivotal reason why the initial batch of Ukrainian pilots which are currently entering training for the F-16 will not be ready for at least another 8-12 months from now. For some weapons systems, there is a great deal of simplicity and/or crossover, and the time needed for a fighting force to adapt themselves to its use is relatively low (See the Stinger and Javelin). However, game-changing platforms like the F-16, the Leopard II, and even in some cases batteries like HIMARS and the Patriot system, are more complex. The F-16 especially is a challenge, as crews and pilots not only need to be trained on the operation of the aircraft itself, but the sheer multitude of weapons, aeronautic systems and maintenance procedures that go along with the aircraft. This doesn't even take into account the possible establishment of local supply for spare parts and munitions as well. To summarize, simply standing here and asking "Why doesn't Ukraine have modern weapons from the west?" doesn't take into account the amount of time and effort it takes in order to implement the effective use of these weapons in a force with little-to-no translatable experience in their effective use.

When i watch your viedeos and you recommend supporting politicians who care for this issues. I sometimes wish i live in a more geopolitical "important" contry. Being from Uruguay there is little one can do. But at least its peaceful in here.