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@drboss2545

6 ай бұрын

Please talk about BTC ETF and how your amazing authority stopped the scammers you went about and attacked for ages 🤣

The market trend can turn around very quickly. In fact, the indexes often switch from a bear market to a bull market when the news is at its worst and the mood of investors is at its lowest point. I read an article of people that grossed profits up to $150k during this crash, what are the best stocks to buy now or put on a watchlist?

@BiancaSherly-qt6sb

6 ай бұрын

This is still a window-shopping market. But there are a lot of intriguing stocks to watch from a variety of sectors. You don’t have to act on every forecast, hence i will suggest you get yourself a financial-advisor that can provide you with entry and exit points on the shares/ETF you focus on.

@maryHenokNft

6 ай бұрын

I agree, having a brokerage advisor for investing is genius! Amidst the financial crisis in 2008, I was really having investing nightmare prior touching base with a advisor. In a nutshell, i've accrued over $2m with the help of my advisor from an initial $350k investment.

@maggysterling33254

6 ай бұрын

@@maryHenokNft bravo! I appreciate the implementation of ideas and strategies that result to unmeasurable progress, thus the search for a reputable advisor, mind sharing info of this person guiding you please?

@maryHenokNft

6 ай бұрын

The decision on when to pick an Adviser is a very personal one. I take guidance from *Gertrude Margaret Quinto* to meet my growth goals and avoid mistakes, she's well-qualified and her page can be easily found on the net.

@TheresaAnderson-kf5xw

6 ай бұрын

I just googled her and I'm really impressed with her credentials; I reached out to her since I need all the assistance I can get. I just scheduled a caII.

Just sold some properties with my family and looking into stocks to buy... this should be exciting

@ParishBlein

6 ай бұрын

Yes, a lot of individuals are generating six-figure gains during this downturn, but the folks who really understand the market are usually the ones that use these strategies to their advantage.

@Tipberends

6 ай бұрын

Completely true. I started investing before the pandemic even though I knew nothing about finance, and I ended up making almost $950k that year. Actually, all I was doing was seeking advice from an expert.

@jerryscotfield6913

6 ай бұрын

How do I become involved with this? Since I really want to build a stable financial future for myself, I'm excited to take part. Who has been your main inspiration for all of your accomplishments?

@Tipberends

6 ай бұрын

You might look into any of the many accessible independent advisers. But I've had a terrific working connection with Emily Lois Parker for the past four or so years. If she satisfies your requirements about discretion, you can proceed with her. I'm with her.

Thanks Sasha, I can always trust you to give me an accurate picture of what's going on and to have the expertise to do it.

You still don't get it. It's not about 0.3% increase, it's about being well above 2% for a long period of time with interest rates at the peak of one decade. If that is not something to panic, I don't know what is.

Sasha is one of those KZreadrs where you need to watch the vid because you never know if the title is bait or not. Can't risk not watching!

@SashaYanshin

6 ай бұрын

That's how I get you! :)))

@MrCathal09

6 ай бұрын

LOL about a month ago I sold all my shares cause he put up a video titled "the stock market is about to explode". My dumbass assumed he meant it would, you know, explode, go to shit, so I sold it all. About two days later I watched the full vid and realised he meant the complete opposite. The following week my stock plan jumped almost 20% 😩

@SashaYanshin

6 ай бұрын

@@MrCathal09This has got to be weird trolling, right?

@MrCathal09

6 ай бұрын

@@SashaYanshin nope, sold about 20k euro 😂 Ah I was thinking about selling it for a while. Just needed a nudge.

@neilmac4730

6 ай бұрын

Explode tome means up up up 😊​@@SashaYanshin

I use the Sasha metric: Don't panic and use your brain. So far, it has been working exceptionally well.

@SashaYanshin

6 ай бұрын

👍

Thank you for imparting your knowledge.

Thank you for the extra information and clarification.

I watch Sasha's videos just to be reminded not to lose my shit every time something happens in the world of finance

Excellent as always Sasha. Thanks!

your videos are phhenomenal, great job, thanks

Thank you, Sasha 👍

Thank you Sasha.

I've been waiting for your inflation update. Thanks! :)

Love your videos! Among the best youtube channels, for sure!

They should do weighted averages to the latest month not just a simple average, then as the trend changes over the latest few month they will hold more weight in the average showing where the trend is heading ... up or down.

Very good explanation and info!

Hey Sasha Love your analysis/videos - well thought through - despite your (well deserved) rants about the inept politicians/central bankers! Just wondering if you could do similar analysis for the monthly UK inflation numbers please - by looking at headline December CPI it should be roughly flat from Nov's level of 3.9% if we keep the same 3 yr cumulative growth (2021-23) of c21% we have seen since Aug 2023...... Thanks again for cutting through the BS and showing how pitifully little analytical work everyone else is doing - creates opportunities when the market is this inefficient All the best Mark G

Great info thanks

@SashaYanshin

6 ай бұрын

🙏

Love your content Sasha! Much appreciated!

@SashaYanshin

6 ай бұрын

Thank you!

Wouldn't a decrease in energy prices point towards over-supply which points to more deflationary pressures? Why does less inflation point towards higher prices in the stock market? Also seems to me that rate cuts have already been priced in? We are back at 2.75% rates in comparison to the stock market, right?

Love your valuable thoughts but if shelter is so lagging the increase in mortgage rates will continue to increase the inflation rate for several months

there is like 3 sources for reliable macro opinion.. Your channel is one of them. TY

What do you think mortgage rates are going to do Sasha? 🔮

thanks again, another great video

Thoughts on the BTC ETF?

Love your vids, was on my KZread premium downloaded bit, clearing some old vids out and your channel wouldn’t show thought they’d shut you down for spitting too many facts 😂 keep it up Sasha

Welcome back, Sasha

Thank you

@SashaYanshin

6 ай бұрын

Thanks for watching!

Sasha, you are one intelligent man. What do you think will happen feb 14th the day after January cpi numbers come in low... Any sectors we can ride up or down? Appreciated

There is no chance at all of an interest rate cut anytime soon!

I trust Sasha so much that I’m only wearing grandad tee-shirts now

@SashaYanshin

6 ай бұрын

Once you go grandad tops, there is no going back!

Sasha is my investment guru. :)

Thanks Sasha.

@SashaYanshin

6 ай бұрын

🙏

Sasha, but core also rose 0.1% seasonally unadjusted tho. Shouldn’t that be a bit alarming as fed mainly looked at the data excluding food and energy?

Great to see you again

@SashaYanshin

6 ай бұрын

Thank you! Great to be back!

love it 😂 , good work Sasha!

You’re all dying to hear optimism, but reality is undefeated.

Yes, seasonality in many sectors was massively distorted by covid volatility, so the unadjusted figures are more reliable. Boom 2024/5 will take many by suprise.

How about the restricted money supply?

Most competent financial analyst on earth. Thank you Sasha!

@johnristheanswer

6 ай бұрын

Thanks , Mum.

Completely agree the stock market has potential to set and likely will set further new highs but don't think it will last as long as we hope. Looking at what happened with previous interest rate cuts the market tends to go up after the first interest rate cut and then the interest rate cuts after cause massive selloffs. Looks like the case in 2008 and 2020 for the US index funds.

@wadej769

6 ай бұрын

U nailed it. Sell everything around that first rate cut if history is a guide. Until blow off top on its way

@Herr.Mitternacht

6 ай бұрын

We already had a crash in 2022. Qs from 16k to 10k. You remember? Is it the same as year X? No it's not.

@IAMMARTICUS1470

6 ай бұрын

2008 was not just a rate cut but a huge financial crash. 2020 saw global lockdowns and the market went all over the place for a couple of years, not just down but mostly up. If you are reading this, selling after the first rate cut is a risky strategy. Remember that investing is a long term game and rallies and crashes will both happen and even out over time

Do you guys think this is priced into the market already?

Solid analysis but disagree on market expectations. About 65% of market is pricing in a 25bps cut in March FOMC meeting.

@SashaYanshin

6 ай бұрын

Yeah... CME data has been slowly creeping upwards in recent days, but it was below 50% in December and from memory negligible in October-November.

@markg6320

6 ай бұрын

and treasury markets are pricing in waaay more cuts in US interest rates than the Fed is indicating for the full year so surely we should be a little cautious about buying either bonds/equities here?@@SashaYanshin

@deseosuho

6 ай бұрын

Writing at 1:54pm CST on 1/11/24, Fedwatch probability for a march rate cut is up to 68%. What's insane is that inflation came in above expectations and yesterday the probability was 61.5%. What would it have taken for the march probability to have gone down? Inflation at 6%?

Still kind of wary of the crisis in the Red Sea. Not because I think it's effects will be huge, but I'm worried it might stop inflation from moving down for a couple of months and the FED will interpret it the wrong way and think inflation is still sticky. Still, not something a long-term investor should think too much about, as it stands.

@m.andrewdocumentary

6 ай бұрын

Correct. Container prices are spiking hugely again. Like in covid times.

@SamTenkan

6 ай бұрын

Red sea is just 15% of the world's traffic. It will have a very limited effect. The real risk is 🛢 surging higher.

Truflation has spot US inflation at 2.19%, and it tends to predict with high accuracy the CPI a month or two out.

@SashaYanshin Whilst I agree with you that I hate the “adjustments”, seasonality is a real thing. You put up the yearly MoM graph for the last five years and in the last couple of months of the year in most years is negative. Hence let’s see how the first quarter plays out before we see how these numbers play out.

@SashaYanshin

6 ай бұрын

I agree - it’s a real thing for things like food and other products. Changing a big negative gasoline price movement into a positive is, however, completely misusing the purpose of the seasonality adjustment.

I think you got this one wrong, March rate cuts are not happening and yields have moved uo 18 Basis since u uploaded this

God timing, Sasha. I need those day before my paycheck comes in.

Excellent analysis as usual sasha. Where do you think the sap500 will finish this year ?

I hope you're right, my stocks hope the same since Monday 😢

What about energy prices increasing due to geopolitical conflicts

Great video, we've missed you buddy!!! Loved the titbit btw

@SashaYanshin

6 ай бұрын

😃

Prices are still 20-30% higher regardless of the stated inflation rate! Consumers are getting crushed, demand will fall, earnings will fall, and stock prices will fall.

that's a very brave argument, let's see what happens

Your overall analysis seems good but you were confusing what seasonal adjustment means, when actually comparing relative changes MoM from previous year.

@SashaYanshin

6 ай бұрын

Not confusing anything at all.

PLEASE PLEASE include ECB inflation/rate outlook/data in your commentary PLEASE!!!

what does it mean that the reads were seasonally adjusted ?

@KCYoni

6 ай бұрын

I believe the technical term is: 'making shit up'. Please correct me, if I'm wrong.

Sasha, you crack me up! 😂😅😊

I hope it's going to take off, I've been more or less stagnant for a week. 😅 My BTC position is doing shit hot though. 🤩

I think debt not inflation is the danger now. Saw a good adam taggart interview that basically said 2024 will start going up, go down hugely in the second half and recover to new highs by 2026. Im inclined to agree.

What do you think about Tesla. Recently, the only news has been negative.

@user-lh4rn7en5l

6 ай бұрын

They're trying to go for Elon, check out other news about him from MSM, like BBC and Sky

Just gotta hold out while big business squeezes us on prices; the Feds about to change directions in 2024. FYI don’t add a lot of water to cereal. Just a bit to moisten. Don’t fill it.

I support you and your young family from 30k to 151k

I do agree that people love to massage the data (especially when it comes to inflation). My big worry is that unemployment is trending up and usually, in the past, a slow trend upward is followed by a very sharp rise (Usually coinciding with a recession obviously as that's half the indicator). The rate hikes were (and still are) necessary. But usually, the purpose of raising interest rates is to induce a recession (the best way to kill demand). Although a lot of the inflationary pressure has come from supply-side rather than demand, the central banks only have one hammer in their toolbox to fight off inflation (to raise interest rates and kill off demand). The unpleasant and necessary truth of why they do this is to kill demand and increase unemployment therefore inducing a recession. The mandate from the FED, to keep inflation and unemployment low are oftentimes at odds. High rates are used to combat inflation, but risk inducing a recession however unemployment is usually low thanks to this. Low rates are often used in times of economic hardship to boost activity, and increase employment, but risk high inflation. I don't think it's going to be the mother of all recessions (that's absurd), but I don't think it will be pleasant either. Plus (excluding the weird recession of 2020), we are well overdue a recession (been well over 15 years since the last one). I just think that 12 years of stupidly low rates and money printing will come to bite us in the arse eventually. I don't time the market, but I've been putting less money in the market, getting more bonds and saving more cash than I usually do. Been doing that as a buffer in case I get laid off as I work in the automotive sector as a software engineer. Half of the Software and IT department has been fired recently and I don't exactly see that as good for the economy too lol.

@lewis809

6 ай бұрын

I think a lot of companies are going to be caught in a cash crunch. As Buffett would say - it’s like oxygen, people only start to panic when they notice it’s not there!

The week isn’t complete without a Jamie Dimon market crash prediction

Perhaps I'm invested in the wrong stock market, where's the one taking off? Can it share its secrets with the US please? What nonsense.

Thank goodness your back for some sanity

I just ran the numbers and it's crazy how no one realizes how CPI is calculated, thank you so much, it took me a few hours to calculate but it's crazy how there is any speculation with the inflation rate going higher, I may be wrong but for the inflation rate to go back up we need, as you said, more than 0.8 inflation change in January which would give us over 3.4% inflation rate and inflation rate MoM of over 0.5, there is nothing at the moment suggesting a 0.8% inflation in January so I think we are saved.😁. A pessimistic forecast of 0.5 change in inflation would give us a 3% inflation rate and 0.2 MoM. So anything below 0.5 inflation change will show us see below 3% in inflation rate which only improves the numbers for February. Thank you so much for this video, it has made me think and run the numbers myself. I will never get fool again with CPI speculation, hahaha,

Sasha, please feel free to be as geeky as you like. I like the details.

Go sasha ! We love you 😂x

@SashaYanshin

6 ай бұрын

🙏

Hey Sasha could you make a fun video where you place several bowls of dog food each attached to a Stock. I'd like to buy whichever stock the doggo decides, I trust it more than myself at this point 😅

good on you for putting reputation on the line, you got a 50/50 chance

Brilliant sarcasm to the max 😅 love it 😂😂😂😂😁

That’s Sasha, the only bloke I’ve found that bases everything on the numbers. You make way more sense than all the Mr Squiggles and Candlestick makers 😎👍

I feel like inglation is a pan fire, even if they get it down they still have to leave the lid of the pan for a while and completly shut it down, you cant just get a controlled pan fire, and the other question is do the companies have more economic growth to pursue? Or are they just going to go into stagflation?

What could cause a surprise emergency rate cut meeting?

So we are not crashing thn?

Will my 18k marks and Spencers shares shoot up more? 0.82p buy price

Thanks - we all need to remember that a stopped clock will be at the correct time twice a day. Do you think most people would be best investing in a low cost global tracker on a low cost platform - but which index and which platform? Great videos thank you.

Inflation can be done and the stock market not rally... The yield curve is now uninverting, unemployment is trending up, M2 has been contracting, credit card spending has tanked below pre-pandemic levels, Jack Ma and Jamie Dimon announce stock sales this Q1, and the conference leading economic indicator is at some of the highest levels we have seen in terms of recession risk.

This appears to be about inflation so what has the headline got to do with anything?

Your colleague seems very experienced i trust its advice

@SashaYanshin

6 ай бұрын

Actually my colleague’s experience is relatively short! Just a little puppy! :)

Sasha, your subscriber count deserves to edge up as a result of your excellent videos!

A nother lovely, evidance based intelegance based analasis. Looking forward to another 'who could have seen if coming' video in march 😂

They're worried about not getting the rate cuts that nobody promised them.

This guy is 👍🏽

@SashaYanshin

6 ай бұрын

🙏

But hold on now, inflation is down because demand is down with supply having gone up. The problem is though that the interest rates will start to bite any minute now and we're already seeing contraction in the jobs market. This inflation going down/up isn't the real story here it's that the tightening financial conditions from the last couple of years are finally starting to bite and I expect 2024 will be a bad year for stocks and speculative assets. I very confidently predicted a bull market in January 2023 for what that's worth and I'm similarly confident that at least the first 6 months of 2024 are gonna be pretty bad.

Inflation is not everything. The US stock market is very expensive, so I would rather expect a correction.

The inflation figures have been recently adjusted...but Sashin remains clearly unadjusted.

@SashaYanshin

6 ай бұрын

Who is Sashin?

@TabulaRasa666

6 ай бұрын

@@SashaYanshin You!...it's a shortened version of your full name...Like the singer/actress, Jennifer Lopez, is refered to by her shortened name...JLo. Get used to it as this is what we will be referring to you as, from now on!

How can I contact you about cooperation with the channel?

Such great videos Sasha! Thank you!

Dag ! Im pushing all my chips in. Yeehaw. Let the good times roll !

Thanks!

@SashaYanshin

6 ай бұрын

Thank you so much!!! That is very kind!

YEAHHH IT IS LESGOOO

This dude is cognizant.

AAAUUUGGH! Whew! Running around in circles with my arms in the air is cheaper than a gym membership. That saved money goes into a cash fund to buy stock during a sell-off. Gotta love the Money Media-

9:02 👍

@SashaYanshin

6 ай бұрын

Well those titles are on a bird theme, so.... :D

Calm down big guy