Given reduced inflation signals and the belief that the Federal Reserve has halted rate hikes, what are the best additions for a $500K portfolio to enhance overall performance through diversification, with the less haves bearing the brunt of the burden. I'm more concerned that the rising inflation may lead my entire $990k retirement funds to lose value. Where else could we put our funds ?

@mikegarvey17

7 ай бұрын

Look for stocks that have paid steady, increasing dividends for years (or decades), and have not cut their dividends even during recessions. Alternatively speaking to a certified market strategist can help with pointers on equities to acquire

@mariaguerrero08

7 ай бұрын

True, some folks employ hedging strategies or devote a portion of their portfolio to defensive assets that perform well during market downturns and such pointers are provided by engaging the services of market experts just like i did in 2019, amid corona-outbreak, and as of today, i can boost of a 45% enhancement on my $1m portfolio after acquiring assets recommended by my advisor.

@ThomasChai05

7 ай бұрын

@@mariaguerrero08 Please who’s this Financial coach that guides you?

@mariaguerrero08

7 ай бұрын

Credits to *Camille Alicia Garcia* , she maintains an online presence. Just make a simple search for her name online.

@diane.moore-

7 ай бұрын

I located her, sent her an email, and scheduled a call; hopefully, she will reply because I want to start the new year off financially strong.

They are not incredibly bad at analysing data they are incredibly good at skewing and misrepresenting data.

@SashaYanshin

7 ай бұрын

They seem to skew and misrepresent in opposite directions which suggests it is very much not intentional.

@RetireandGo

7 ай бұрын

Make sure you are well positioned in the market for 2 percent inflation… it will roar upwards

@RobertGillontheinterweb

7 ай бұрын

So is Sasha tbf

@rogerstarkey5390

7 ай бұрын

You just know that if the "government" persuades the fed to reduce rates "certain politicians" (or 1) will scream "they're gaming the economy before the election", despite having done exactly the same thing

@charlesoleary3066

7 ай бұрын

@@SashaYanshinis that because Powel and Yellen are not on the same team?

With markets tumbling, inflation soaring, the Fed imposing large interest-rate hike, while treasury yields are rising rapidly-which means more red ink for portfolios this quarter. How can I profit from the current volatile market, I'm still at a crossroads deciding if to liquidate my $125k bond/stocck portfolio.

@gracegomez109

7 ай бұрын

The strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset/knowledge to pull such trades off.

@Judithmoy109

7 ай бұрын

I enjoy my day to day market decisions being guided by a portfolio-coach, seeing that their entire skillset is built around going long and short at the same time both employing risk for its asymmetrical upside and laying off risk as a hedge against the inevitable downward turns, coupled with the exclusive information/analysis they have, it's near impossible to not outperform, been using a portfolio-coach for over 2years+ and I've netted over $300k .

@priyankamahatma6672

7 ай бұрын

Would you mind recommending a specialist with a variety of investment options? This is extremely rare, and I eagerly await your response

@Judithmoy109

7 ай бұрын

VALERIE JEAN ZWOSTA That’s my licesed Financial advisor you can easily look her up, Thank me later.

@priyankamahatma6672

7 ай бұрын

Thanks, could really use the recommendation, I've been losing a shit-ton lately, I looked up Gretchen Marie Hostetter and I wrote her detailing my Fin-market goals,.

Re those historic rallies you mentioned... none of them started with anything like today's PE ratios

Always check the data yourselves, don't trust what others say. Great update 👍

Having fairly recently discovered your channel I'm loving your down to earth, say it how it is approach. Gives me much more confidence in what you say that most people out there, including big names like Patrick BD, etc

Love your delivery always a pleasure to listen in 🎉

It seems just as irresponsible to tell only the very best of the story as it is to tell only the very worst... inverted yield curve, gas price plummeting (indicative of demand drop for shipping), bond market crash (which by the way - the Fed effective funds rate HEAVILY correlates to the bond market, which actively precedes it basically always), American consumers living paycheck to paycheck and having more credit card defaults than ever before, the repo market for automobiles booming, European and Chinese recessions, etc. You have alot of sway Sasha, and so boldly touting that "next year will be fun" whilst ignoring the red lights flashing is pretty ridiculous. You don't have to agree with the bears, just do more research before blatantly telling people futures that no one can predict.

@joshuakelsey1196

7 ай бұрын

Can we please have a response to this Sasha? We understand people can have differing views but how are the aforementioned issues not going to impact the US and the global economy at all? Are they non-factors? Overblown?

@sjt627

7 ай бұрын

​@@joshuakelsey1196it would be good to hear your response Sasha

@yenifa5925

7 ай бұрын

Indeed, at those previous times when the interest rates curve went down there was no energy shortage and angry Putin involved. Lowering the interest rate would only increase inflation on necessary consumers items. Highly doubt that people would have enough leftover funds to splurge on stocks.

@petecabrina

7 ай бұрын

Yeah it almost seems he is deliberately doing counter videos or something, like everyone else are fools, rather than doing any kind of deep dive on a lot of these issues. There is an Aussie guy called New Money who seems to do more balanced stuff and seems pretty grounded.

@SashaYanshin

7 ай бұрын

😂😂😂 I hear the same stuff every year. The red flags keep flashing but I keep talking about the power of long term investing over trying to make random short term moves and I’ll get the same comments back every time. I don’t just decide on a narrative and fit the story. In fact I have been discussing the exact opposite in the UK which also just happens to be coming through now.

Sasha, your analysis and delivery is awesome. It is always very insightful and also makes me laugh. Thanks.

As always a pleasure hearing you 😊

The stock market is going to blowup for the millionth time this week.

@PowderMilk69

7 ай бұрын

STILL WAITING !

@CalCap

7 ай бұрын

@@PowderMilk69You sound like a Trading212 user. Everyone has already seen it. What the hell are you invested in if you're still waiting?!

@eco-enjoyer

7 ай бұрын

Blowup meaning get destroyed.

@eco-enjoyer

7 ай бұрын

Blowup meaning get destroyed.

Thank you Sasha. Godspeed. David.

Thank you.

People were saying the same thing in 2007/2008

@victoryiamofficial

7 ай бұрын

What are you talking about

Just back from USA, spending time in Austin and Dallas. These cities are absolutely booming.

Started going big on stocks a year ago with assistance from a licensed FA. so far it’s been my best market experience, just hit the 700k milestone. I recommend working with an expert

@albforever

7 ай бұрын

Yes it's best to work with an experienced professional because of how inconsistent the market is. my investments with a licensed broker, Ann Marie Celentano has been very impressive.I've been able to scale from 100k to over half a million.

@rodriguezolson4290

7 ай бұрын

did some google background check, impressive lady

@Vynie-pu7md

7 ай бұрын

I once met her at a seminar in New York. she is. a very well experienced lady, polite and passionate.

Nice one Sasha! Great snappy fact lead video! Love it!

Well done mate, keep vloging

The best source for financial logical reasoning on youtube. I watch a lot of KZreadrs but you by far provide the best analysis

Trim is looking neat buddy. Thanks for the great content as always

There is a reason for the Fed to cut rates if inflation is low. Everyone says the Fed has a dual mandate, but it actually has a triple mandate: "maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long term interest rates". If the first two boxes are checked, it should work on the third.

I agree they'll likely reduce rates next year as in 2019, but neither would be due to political pressure. It would be due to fact that if they kept rates high while inflation is low/getting lower, the real interest rate is getting more restrictive which is generally unnecessary if the economy is weakening or likely to weaken. You only need restrictive real rates if there is inflation pressure to the upside with a strong or overheating economy.

Great analysis as ever!

Fantastic!

Honestly, the only opinion i trust, the data points help so much too, love the vids

Thank you for covering today's US inflation data!!

@SashaYanshin

7 ай бұрын

👍

If they reduce interest rates, it's going to release enormous pent-up demand and inflation will blow up again. Then KZreadrs will have a real reason to criticize them.

@hachimaru295

7 ай бұрын

exactly

@rogerstarkey5390

7 ай бұрын

Do you think people will *really* decide to buy... Just for instance, the cars (/trucks) they've been screaming are too expensive for the last year or so? . Will they wait for, or even insist that those prices reduce? Will the car companies who "made hay while the sun shone" listen? Will the dealers who are in a hole with too much ageing inventory that they "bought" (on loans) at the peak, sell cheap and swallow their losses? Will the banks reduce existing loan rates to get customers who overextended (on the advice of banks?) Out of their predicament? . There's plenty of scope for pain before a boom.

@agaragar21

7 ай бұрын

............BUT IF THEY'VE BEEN WAITING FOR LOWER PRICES......WHy WOULD THEY BUY IF PRICES INCREASED BECAUSE OF NEW DEMAND ?....THAT happens 2 years down the road !.......in march they reduce the rate 1 %

@mrmoneyhacks5480

7 ай бұрын

@@agaragar21 If interest rates go down, there will be an expectation of price growth, so people will buy now to avoid paying more later, or because they want profit from an investment. For example, If people think houses are going to go up over the next few years, they will buy now as an investment, which will make it a self fulfilling prophecy. Home sales are very low right now (pent up demand). Investors are ready to pounce!

Your videos are so entertaining but oh so informative.

Wow,great analysis and insights to what is possibly coming in the next couple of quarters.There is a lot of money that will be coming out of bonds and the sidelines in general.😊

Totally agree. Load the boat when nice stocks are down.

maybe i wasnt listening right but,i dont see anywhere on planet earth where food inflation is dropping !!

@AnthonyHolan

7 ай бұрын

oh, but don't you see the data they show you hahaha

@garygranato9164

7 ай бұрын

@@AnthonyHolan lol :) what i am seeing is videos of people spending money at the supermarket, and then complaining about how little said money now buys. i dont understand this guys video?, he's usually spot on!

Outstanding 👍

@SashaYanshin

7 ай бұрын

👍

The problem is that debt laden economies are binary, if the inflation problem is fixed that means you will soon have the much bigger problem of debt deflation and that will collapse the stock market.

100% on point

If GDP keeps being that high while interest rates are, not sure why they’d be keen to lower rates; wouldn’t they risk having inflation take off again?

I don’t know, I don’t feel like we can ever predict these things

Cheers Sasha, you’re the best! 🍻

Buy Right - Sit Tight

in a sea of doom.. I look forward to your content. NOW more than ever. Thank You!

Oh, how I wish you were right about the "no recession". Just placing my comment here for future reference. 😉

You did it again my friend. Spot on!

Thanks!

@victorr.4607

7 ай бұрын

I really like this "nobody see it coming" impression :)

@victorr.4607

7 ай бұрын

@SashaYanshin you don't invest in crypto at all? like eth or bitcoin?

@SashaYanshin

7 ай бұрын

Wow! Thank you! Might treat myself to a beer!!!

Concerning the stock market, central bankers are printing money in an effort to prop up the Nasdaq, S&P, Wiltshire, FTSE, DAX, CAC, etc...

Your analysis is very straight-forward and hard to dispute; Perhaps the Fed has played it well - they held the economy back with rate hikes and rhetoric and avoided a wage-price spiral. They can't say they'll cut in March but know they probably will. Not saying I like what is happening or that they've always got it right - but maybe this time they have.

It seems the job market is softening, will this impact stock prices ?

so why do you think the banks are telling us that next year will suck? Because the post covid GDP hike will slow? Deflation bad for earnings? Would love to hear some insight from you there.

Thank uou

Glad you cover again outside the UK. To much UK content overall imo in the past. ✌🏻

Too many words. Cut to the chase man - should I buy or sell? or hold? or hodl? WHICH IS IT!!

@ba177ba18

7 ай бұрын

SpX call ALL IN!!!

"about to" has been the term used for the last 3-4 years and it'll be used for the next 5 to 10 years to come.

Hope so

You keep on about rates being high but people have short memories, remember when rates were typically between 5- 7%. rates should stay around that mark just to keep a lid on a house bubble and keeping inflation under control.

@ciaranirvine

7 ай бұрын

Yes, people got too used to the highly-unusual situation in recent decades of ZIRP. Long-term neutral rates should be about 4% and I think we're back to the old normal again for the next decade or two

@DK-ty5ue

7 ай бұрын

That’s the historical average indeed. People got too used to no rates that now they think that’s the norm we are returning to lol

@shellyperera2010

7 ай бұрын

Exactly. Rates aren't high. They're normal and we just have to get used to it and adjust accordingly.

@iaminterestedineverything

7 ай бұрын

​@@ciaranirvinepeople also forget that back then governments and central banks made sensible long term decisions. As soon as the economy looks too bad in respect of upcoming elections, they'll soon enough reduce rates and print money again.

No word of a lie everytime Sasha has released a ‘the stock market is about to explode’ video. My vanguard Vusa (as recommended by Sasha) has gone up the next day. The great mystic has spoken.

@drosman2872

7 ай бұрын

Did you Join his community to get this advise on what to buy

Makes sense to me Sasha, what are your thoughts on the U.K. stock market?

@JustinGreenwoodDelgado

7 ай бұрын

Same how does this impact the uk or what’s the Uk outlook?

@jamesvdv0

7 ай бұрын

UK outlook = very bad!

very calm by sasha's standard, almost powellesque.the problem is the lack of soft landings historically. none. this would be a first.

@DK-ty5ue

7 ай бұрын

There will be non because mass psychology always overreacts

The metric the Fed most refers to, "Core CPI", is 40% shelter. The US housing market has not yet cracked. Home sales VOLUME is way down, but sales prices have only just started to drop. I don't think there's any plausible path to the Fed's 2% inflation target that doesn't involve a home price and rent price drop of 20% or more from today's levels. The smart money says Powell will pivot too late, when inflation finally does go below 2.5%, UNLESS major banks start failing in the next 3-4 months, in which case he will probably start cutting right on time.

right, but what about the immense corporate, mortgage and government debt that's about to hit the fan q2 2024? refinancing the debt should spike it again right?

You are the best again

@SashaYanshin

7 ай бұрын

🙏

What do you think caused the inflation spikes in the 70s? And why do you not see that as a possibility if they lower interest rates without any need?

So what's going to be next year?

Yeah !

I am ready

There is a good reason for the Fed to keep interest rates high - it busts commercial banks as it's these that will be major opposition to the CBDCs.

@danunpronounceable8559

7 ай бұрын

Only because they won't be able to get away with the ridiculous fees they put on their products.

Data as published and information not spoken about in public are quite different things.

Sasha, great data analysis and I fully agree, but what do you think of the possibility of the Fed being pressured by the US gov to keep rates higher for a few more FOMC meetings, to allow the US gov to entice enough bondbuyers to fund their massive deficit and keep welfare/programs going, also for getting re-elected?

@future62

7 ай бұрын

This makes no sense as that same US govt will have to pay the interest on that debt. We are already spending a huge % of our budget just on interest. It will be interested to see what happens to bonds if/when rates go back down. I don't think they will ever go back to 0

@JeroenHerbrink-lm4mq

7 ай бұрын

@@future62 you are right and I agree that higher rates further increase the deficit and the amount US govt is spending to service debt, but I am also wondering what temporary effects might occur due to re-election pressures, US govt dont really seem to care about the ballooning debt/deficit and quite willing to kick quite some cans down quite some roads, just to keep all the spending/benefits/bailouts going.

What is your portfolio made up of if its gone up 53%? Can you outline it?

Remember, what he doesn't tell you is that when inflation is flat or positive, prices remain high. And clearly all the data shows that the cost of living remains inflated and difficult. The Fed is going to maintain higher interest rates until employment drops, as unprofitable companies continue to reduce labor costs to compensate for refinancing corporate debt at inflated rates.

@dakotacavin5210

7 ай бұрын

💯💯💯💯

gas prices are based on future contracts and will take time to fall, suppliers have contracted longer term deals to hedge their costs so a drop in the spot price does not have an immediate impact

@kevingeoghegan294

7 ай бұрын

So why does an increase in spot price produce an immediate rise?

@gasman6163

7 ай бұрын

@@kevingeoghegan294 human nature and the fact that contracts won't comprise solely futures, but a mix

Sasha, great videos. Im from UK and typically the videos I have watched from you have been about UK economics. Recently I also watched your US economic videos. They seem to tell a opposite story - US doing well and UK doing bad. What are the main differences, how did they become so diverse and whats the outlook for each? A narrative has been that the UK is doing bad, but so is everyone else.. however it looks like UK has its own unique issues.

@shellyperera2010

7 ай бұрын

UK has the Tory party. That's why we're doing bad.

@tropics8407

7 ай бұрын

Yeh Sacha, pls chime in. I think it is the high taxes and all the laws and regulations for everything in the UK. Geez. The fricking government over there actually thinks they can fix something 🙄🤦‍♂️

😄 I was just about waiting for your new video bratan! I knew it

@SashaYanshin

7 ай бұрын

👍

This dude is great.

“Because trust me Bro” 😂😂👏🏻

So where to invest in falling rates ????

What am ready is for another FED tool to be announced any day now.

The leadership at the FED knows exactly what its at. Historically speaking, decreasing rates always preceeds a recession by months.

Sasha is the only KZreadr consistently getting it right. It’s going to be boomtown when central banks start cutting interest rates, I have no doubt. Only one complaint about this video - WHERE IS THE PUPPY?

The entire society we live in is based on hype. The market's movement is a hype based movement. It's not a mature, sustainable move - it could just as easily go down tomorrow or next week.

Used car values are crashing and new car sales are so bad that Porsche is giving discounts. If you think that means good times are here I’m not sure what else proves the problem is big. Used car values is the working American is now broke. New Porsches aren’t selling so the rich are also fucked by high rates too.

trust me Bro Sasha has been on it all year

Blow up good or bad? What are we buying index, tesla, fiver?? Apple?

Yes, but who believes US gvt numbers or the main stream media… ?

Hey bud I live here in the states. I do NOT care what those charts say, I make above average wage for my area. Even people who make more than I do are having to tighten their spending habits. Don't just look at charts I am telling you the average American is struggling like you wouldn't believe.

House prices will shoot up the second that interest rates go down. Shelter isnt a typical commodity. Owning land is a tax benefit, a vehicle for money laundering, possibly a source of rental income and political capital. There is no way it goes down without a recession

How does your portfolio compare from November 2021?

If all the short sellers got force out of market, who will be on the other side of the BUY?

wow this guy is so smart. especially with record high of today stock market.

High chance a flash crash happens in Q1 tho. Not out of the field yet.

I am beginning to think that there will be a stock market dump in January 2024, similar to Jan 2022.

@DK-ty5ue

7 ай бұрын

I think so too

@david69869

7 ай бұрын

I do

@timetraveller3063

7 ай бұрын

@@david69869 There's too much froth

@davidhamtaro

7 ай бұрын

⁠tsla already dump their stocks. They’re giving it for FREE

Do you trust these numbers?

Fed will be very wary about dropping rates to keep the lid on inflation. So cpi seems to be trending downward but nothing to suggest it won't spike back up again if the fed loosen too fast. So I think the fed will be cautiously hawkishly next year, a drop to zero is definitely not likely barring any black swan event, 3-4% remains highest possiblity

Wow. You were right about the market a few weeks back ! Im putting all my money in tomorrow blast off !

@stephenmcsweeney7562

7 ай бұрын

You'd be better off sticking to Owen Benjamin.

@drosman2872

7 ай бұрын

Which ISA u recommend we put it on

The Stock Market is about to BLOW UP!!! For the tenth time this year.....

At least you back the narrative with data dude. Going to be a good one next year i reckon.

I'd be very interested in your opinion on Game of Trades video "5 More Months Until It Begins..." A recession that is.

Some say when interest rates go down, it’s because something broke and markets will crash

But if shelter lags then it will increase in the coming months due to increasing mortgage rates on a lagging basis.

@One-tw5nw

7 ай бұрын

You aren't american are you?

@dougmanck4149

7 ай бұрын

@@One-tw5nw As apple pie

Coz trust me bro 😂😂😂 best line ever

"The FED is meant to be apolitical (it's also meant to have brains)" ahahah love it

Are you thinking interest rate is likely to drop in the UK also in 2024?

@SashaYanshin

7 ай бұрын

The UK has a very different (and worse) set of problems - I cover the UK in separate videos. 👍

If the economy is doing well and inflation is falling (according to the released figures) there is no need to drop interest rates.