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@GafferBob

Ай бұрын

Thank you for your insights . It helps us in the US,to navigate the back currents of UK politics that don't make it into the media here. Your thoughtful analyses can tend towards the darker side.but you also offer hope that there's still some time to prepare. 🌞🌻

@tinkinator40

Ай бұрын

Thanks for this, I really find your analysis on british politics compelling and hope you do a main channel video on this theme at some point.

Lovely to see you outside

@vanettevanhuyssteen5548

Ай бұрын

Yes, indeed!

@Nebris

Ай бұрын

yes

@JamesAustin

Ай бұрын

Don't forget the sunblock though!

@suzannstrohmaier2578

Ай бұрын

​@@JamesAustin Definitely...my weather report keeps saying high UV...I need SPF 9000 😂😂😂😂

@mariarucci78

Ай бұрын

Indeed, I see that you enjoy the nice weather until it lasts…today it’s pretty rainy in London 😮

I completely agree that we have not reached peak populism. Too many commentators are opining that we are somehow ahead of Europe because the Labour Party are the expected winners of this election, when so many other countries are flirting with the far right. This is complacent nonsense. Unless the Labour Party is spectacularly successful over the next four years, which seems unlikely given the difficulty of the problems they face, what follows after the next Parliament is what we should be worrying about.

@2639theboss

Ай бұрын

You think they only have 4 years before voters lose patience? They're getting voted in under the premise that the Tories have been catastrophically bad for decades now, and the only thing that realistically was keeping Tories in office was older voters and scape-goating. Neither of those work as well right now because UK voters have a vivid memory of Tory failures. Sure, Labour might lose seats in future elections, but I can't see how a single election cycle could possibly reverse their gains unless a second party steps into the forefront which simultaneously has distanced itself from the Tory and Labour parties adequately and effectively while also having enough political capital to accrue a sizeable voting base. That seems unlikely. IMO.

@adaslesniak

Ай бұрын

I believe the same. Short retreat of Kaczynski, Trump, Tories... before them or their next reincarnation will get back even stronger. That's what scares me. And I completely agree - it's because "reasonable" politicians lost touch with the vast majority of population.

@moritamikamikara3879

Ай бұрын

Yeah, when looking at the threat from populism, you have to look to the 4 seats reform got, more than they ever have

@sovereignukraine

Ай бұрын

Please define what you mean by 'far right'. And for balance; define the 'far left'. I could give you both definitions of those terms; I'm just curious about yours.

@2639theboss

Ай бұрын

@@sovereignukraine I assume he means far right as in, "literal nazi party whose members have a history of glorifying nazi emblems and revisionist historical views" like the one in Austria. Theres no point in parsing out finer defintions when several countries have a party that meets the definition above.

Looking very good Vlad! I hope your health is doing well!

Vlad, one again, you’ve clarified things for me. Thankyou . This statement “We have a friendly human rights policy incompatible with what is civically acceptable in most western democracies and this is very painful”. I can’t wait to hear you talk more about this. It is a huge conflict for many many people esp in the light of stretched public services. This gives so many people sleepless night. I can’t untangle any of this in my head and is the crux for me and I can’t see where I fit in, morally or politically and I can’t find answers in philosophy because I don’t know where to look. Thankyou Vlad x

@svr5423

Ай бұрын

Problem is that immigration is underperforming in many European countries according to several key performance indicators (such as below average GDP per capita, education and above average crime rate). If you follow the principle of "no taxation without representation", then wanting to be "responsible" for the wellbeing of non-citizens must also lead to a political representation of the taxpayer's will in those countries they are originating from - aka colonialism. Responsibility can come only out of a mandate that is freely accepted to govern them. The question is: why are european parties so determined to act against the will of the people to allow so-called "populists" to displace them? What's in it for them? This is the only part of the puzzle I don't understand.

@cyberdrace

Ай бұрын

​@@svr5423because stopping mass immigration would force politicians and western societies as a whole to face up to the incoming demographic catastrophe. No one wants to admit that modern, western liberal society has completely failed to ensure the continuity of our people, our culture, our way of life and is fundamentally unsustainable.

@svr5423

Ай бұрын

@@cyberdrace I'd say that our solution is by assimilation. But yeah, that's another philosophical debate. The reasons for people having less kids lie in the family court and overwhelming taxation. Both could be easily addressed by the politicians. And if you look a bit outside the box, hefty immigration works well for countries like UAE and Qatar. So a balanced approach of removing impediments to start families and regulating immigration would work quite well in my opinion. I always have the impression that all the discussions in our western society are happening without the politicians. And when they fail to live up to people's expectations, we get surprised Pikachu faces.

@cyberdrace

Ай бұрын

​@@svr5423assimilation is not a philosophical debate. It's a practical everyday reality. Western societies have a limited capacity for assimilation, countries with an extremely anemic and conflicted sense of identity like Germany have almost none. Even if we ignore this, it's not that simple - already there are areas where natives are a minority in the classroom - how is assimilation possible under such circumstances? Immigrants don't spread evenly all throughout society. I think the reasons are many - I don't believe it comes down to economics alone. People who have more children are far poorer than us - how is becoming even richer going to solve anything? Countries like Qatar and the UAE don't even count as actual countries - sorry but to me this comparison is ridiculous. They're basically feudal states run by a few individual families, there's no real nationhood to speak of, the dynamic is completely different. As for talking to politicians, the mere mention of demographics is enough to be ostracized as a far right nazi, don't kid yourself.

@svr5423

Ай бұрын

​@@cyberdrace only left wing extremists try to ostracize people as "far right nazis", that's why everyone and their dog cuts them out of their lives. They are simply excluded from the political process now. And I agree, there is a limited capacity for assimilation - culturally and in terms of infrastructure. But still (in my optimistic opinion) it works out in many places, from the US to Switzerland. I moved here from Germany, we have about double the percentage of foreigners, but most of them are well integrated and pull their weight. I agree, having kids is (not only) about wealth. But risk management is a big factor. Even in third world countries, it is very unlikely to lose custody of a child without having done anything wrong, yet being obliged to continue funding it for decades. Another issue is the reproductive strategy. Some cultures focus on having many kids with little resources per kid and others focus on providing many resources to few offspring. The latter is more "western" style. But if the government takes away half my money, forbids me to homeschool my kid (public education is crap, at least in Germany) and I have a 50% chance of loosing it without my fault, why should I not make other, similar fullfilling life choices with less risk? Those "Feudal states" have a much more successful mass immigration policy than many european nations, able to sustain and be more attractive to foreign workers while keeping their local way of life.

It isn't a "perception of decline" ..... out in the world where I live we're surrounded by indications of decline, from people's pocket-books outwards. Labour will win today, not out of voters enthusiasm but due to their revulsion at the failure of the Conservatives to deliver what they were elected to do .... yet expectations for the new government are very low. Felicitous greetings from gritty Yorkshire

@musiqueetmontagne

Ай бұрын

Absolutely correct sir!

@napoleonbootthewendle4905

Ай бұрын

HERE HERE FROM BLACKPOOL

@adaslesniak

Ай бұрын

You are right. But problems won't disappear, and anger caused by those problems won't disappear. So Tories in another camouflage will be elected next on the pretense "it can't get worse, so let's pick any change".

@shaun906

Ай бұрын

@@adaslesniak keir understands that, he has spoken about it specifically. he said if you don't improve their lives they will vote for more extreme parties, that's the challenge. people forget labour did a fantastic job, but withing the boundaries set by the right wing press. keir has done it without kissing Rupert Murdoch's ass or big business. that's his achievement, he's free.

@tk80mufa5

28 күн бұрын

@petermach8635 don't expect any realism or honesty from Vlad. he is a non-native academic who gets subsidized living in the UK. he doesn't care about reguar people.

We stand united and always will 🇬🇧🇺🇦🫡

@jimjiminy5836

22 күн бұрын

We sure will🙏

Your video is somehow better when you are outside in fresh air

Good luck, UK! I hope you are able to vote in someone who genuinely cares about the common person. These are tough times for democracy. UK, France, and US all dealing with rough elections.

Wow! You're outdoors! Excellent! Wonderful to see.

Vlad, I live in Australia and whilst we're never short of political crises or issues of confidence in the system, our democracy is incredibly resilient (for now) for two reasons: 1) Voting is mandatory and is considered (even celebrated) as a civic duty. 2) Preferential voting. First past the post is so disenfranchising and skews results unfairly. Everyone's vote counts in Australia, even if your first preference doesn't get up. It also brings diversity to the Parliament and forces parties and politicians to compromise and drives pragmatism on big issues. I don't mean to paint a picture of democratic nirvana, it's far from that. But polling consistently reveals high levels of trust and confidence in our system and institutions of state. Just a few thoughts 😁

@WhiteSerpentine

Ай бұрын

Couldnt agree more. I wonder if we’ll be seeing more Teal movements in future. I think the one downside to our system is the two party system where everyone votes along party lines. A stronger debate may help in future.

The sound is good. It's nice to hear the birds and rustle of leaves.

Rather than "friction" with citizens' concerns, we might say "traction." I love your idea about how to treat liars, first with a badge. Except they would take it off and say they hadn't!

@VladVexlerChat

Ай бұрын

Quite right my brain not working properly!

How, exactly, do you arrive at the conclusion that "peak populism" will occur in the 2030?

Calming scenery this time. All the best

Thanks Vlad.

I think you underestimate the political entrepreneurialism of Keir Starmer. I find it hard to dismiss the idea that his more moral positions or his aura of morality are nothing more than political strategy. I think that as a political entrepreneur, he is better than most, because I think he genuinely believes that morality can win, unlike, say, Rishi Sunak, but I don't think morality or any real, concrete political beliefs are something he values particularly highly. As I see it, it follows that he will only be moderately damaging to democracy, better than the alternative, but there is still work to be done.

@svr5423

Ай бұрын

Politicians are inherently amoral entities.

Beautiful backdrop ❤ Thank you very much for these videos

Thank God UK got a democracy. If you’ve got a bad government, you can vote them out of power and like Russia, of course Slava, Ukraine

@kjj26k

Ай бұрын

Unfortunately, like every other democracy, The People are just too stupid to vote for a government that won't just hurt them.

Labour get 34% of vote = massive majority in parliament. The EU Ref. vote at least was a majority vote for leaving. Yet somehow the vote for Labour was common sense and the vote for Brexit was populist.

@svr5423

Ай бұрын

The Tories where a sh*tshow. I believe they won the election because of Jeremy Corbin.

Keep Larry the cat, ditch the PM

For years, the voters in the UK, only know the 'first past the post' system - and vote accordingly. It would be fascinating if we adopted a form of PR and truly got the government we deserved. For better or worse.

@JSK010

Ай бұрын

PR doesnt matter much. Look at your neighbors to the east.

@sausage4mash

Ай бұрын

@@JSK010 36% ish voted labour they have complete unfettered control , that does matter unless you do not care for democracy

@Simonsvids

Ай бұрын

That would mean Reform would have more MP's. FPTP keeps out the extremists from both sides. There are pros and cons for all systems. I'm glad we have FPTP.

@SNORKYMEDIA

Ай бұрын

PR can result in decision paralysis

@sausage4mash

Ай бұрын

@@SNORKYMEDIA works for Norway highest standard of living in the world and number one on the democracy index ,ill go with that , a system where people do not vote because it's pointless isn't Democracy ,maybe you do not believe in Democracy?

I’ve wanted to ask you this for awhile Vlad: The west is sick to some extent as you’ve mentioned, politically and culturally, chronically so…is there something we can learn from those with chronic illnesses that can aid us here…while at the same time giving those individuals with challenging chronic conditions an opportunity to see their experiences as a valuable source of insight and a strength.

@Cryptantha

Ай бұрын

One part of the US sickness is the Electoral College. It gave us Bush and Trump, both of whom the majority voted against.

@Whangareitaiji3138

Ай бұрын

No, the West is not sick. It has been persuaded it is sick. There is a difference. That line is pushed by the liberal intellectuals and the right takes advantage of the fears that causes.

@talideon

Ай бұрын

Define the sickness. This is important. Saying "The West is Sick" is just stating you are deeply unhappy with how things are. There are multiple angles you can come from, but if the West is sick, it's deeply important that your narrow down on how.

@adaslesniak

Ай бұрын

There is. We need to find purpose. Find narrative about western culture that is constructive. You know, we brought medicine, science to this world, but whenever I read something it's about we brought war and destruction. Like if Native Americans didn't kill each other every day before settlers from Europe come, like if Africa or India were paradise before Europeans come. It's saddening, deeply saddening. And while I come from quite left political spectrum I deeply understand far right nostalgia to be proud of what we are, what we did. Of course ideally with understanding of all the caveats and wrongdoings, but I'm afraid that may be too complex for popular narrative. In short - people feel no hope, middle class is declining, that's why they are picking alternative choices, even destructive one.

Beautiful scenery....😊😊😊😊

Loved the sound of the wind in this beautiful recording. It reminds me that nature will survive regardless of foolish people.

Vote Vexler! 🏁

@begr_wiedererkennungswert

Ай бұрын

Only if we really really get the "I lied" badges.

I would be intrigued to see the size of Trump’s “Lie Badge”

Surely, while we have the antediluvian FPTP system, all smaller parties, not just the Lib Dems, are compelled to concentrate their efforts on constituencies where they have a reasonable chance of winning. In fact, the Greens specifically said at the outset that they would be putting almost all their efforts into four particular areas. Sadly it seems that Keir Starmer has ruled out changing to any form of PR. I suppose the fact that he's predicted a landslide has affected his thinking.

Yes,great to see you outside!Looks like a beautiful place.Greetings from Germany!

I LOVE your lie-badge idea. LOVE!

10:00 This is precisely the problem. We dont want a "managed decline". Anyone who cant do more than that is incompetent and needs to get out of the way. This is why populists will win. Our politicians need to do better or they will be removed for questionable characters that at least promise better.

@Raydensheraj

Ай бұрын

No. Because populists just listen to strongmen like Trump making great promises, talking about THEM, retribution against THEM etc etc Populism is just like post modernism....cynical and without value. It's just the definition of Bullsh##.

I just watched a very recent documentary about the crisis in the British health system. (My apology for not linking for details, my eyesight is too bad to find things sometimes.) I had heard inklings of it here in the US, but was stunned to see how bad it really is in some UK Emergency departments. Filthy conditions, lack of immediate assessments and some severely ill people sitting in chairs ("fit to sit"!) for up to two days. Doctors and nurses in tears over conditions. So, some NHS hospitals in the UK are now similar to the worst US public hospitals. The money appears to have dried up. The NHS has been a point of pride in the UK, but this is a terrible state of affairs. I wonder how current and future governments will manage all of this - plus housing, benefits, etc. - considering the expectations of the public.

@APW-ry2ok

Ай бұрын

Hi I live in the U.K. my partner has had three back operations one arm operation and one leg operation all on the NHS apart from one private which was an injection in the back that would of been number four . NHS is not perfect but it’s not as bad as shown on TV. Oh yes I had an operation years ago as well so no complaints.

@Squarepeg57

Ай бұрын

It’s been deliberately starved of funding (much of the profitable work has been gifted to private providers) in order to crash the service so that the government can invite US healthcare companies in more easily because of people’s dissatisfaction. This will change now we have a Labour government in power.

@svr5423

Ай бұрын

There was exactly ONE visit to the UK where I needed medical services. NHS couldn't be bothered, had to go to a private health provider to get a quick and easy service. Absolutely worth paying for extra.

@jstoner9029

Ай бұрын

⁠@@svr5423yes, I’d encourage anyone who has not paid into the system to go private. But then again if you have an accident or medical emergency in the UK the private sector WILL NOT HELP YOU. In that case you WILL get great care by the NHS free of charge.

They should rename the BBC coverage "Larry the Cat Watch"

@RealUlrichLeland

Ай бұрын

Larry is the real power behind the throne, he's seen 5 coming on 6 PMs in office.

@Johnny_Ringo_75

Ай бұрын

Channel 4 by far the worst but comparable as BBC has longer reach and (shockingly still trusted). Ty for your podacst, very insightful.

@Johnny_Ringo_75

Ай бұрын

@@mhm9868 I completely agree, I remember a time relying on BBC for news, very long time ago, now just a catastrophe of propganda, and shamless going about it. Pleany sources now, I like hear most sides and cutting through the ribalism to form an opiion. I wish you well.

@Johnny_Ringo_75

Ай бұрын

@@mhm9868 The tribalism is completely bonkers but as we used to say, America sneezes and we catch their cold.

@guydreamr

Ай бұрын

Given the state of British politics, I suspect many of the lot have been tucking into Larry's catnip.

Thanks for the update and views 🇺🇲🇺🇦 Oklahoma USA 🇺🇦🇺🇲 Prayers ❤❤❤

An extremely important message that is super good you came out with! Overbooked by other channels

Thank you Vlad! I have been so upset over politics in my own country (US) and around the world. I believe it’s due to the way local politics here in the US impact other countries so profoundly and vice vers. Your explanations always center my bubble. So Vlad, once again, I thank you for helping with answering complex questions and situations with such simple terms. Sir you are a blessing to those who take the time to listen to you. The world is a much better world with you on it.

@svr5423

Ай бұрын

For good or bad, the US has been the leader in politics, social issues and of course technology for decades. Many other countries that really excel are simply too small to have a big impact. As a non-american, it's like a love/hate relationship that you really, really can't do without.

Vlad you look great and it’s wonderful to see you out in nature!

I am surprised that you didn't mention the issue of immigration as a major reason for Brexit. I think that is the MAIN reason (there is nothing like cheap labor, I can hear some say)

@IsomerSoma

Ай бұрын

He did so implicitly by calling the voter base isolationist/anti-globalist.

@LoremIpsum1970

Ай бұрын

Why would he need to, though I feel there's too much Islington Kool Aide being drunk.

@lucabaki

Ай бұрын

It's not EU fault.

@moritamikamikara3879

Ай бұрын

​@@lucabaki Doesn't matter It was perceived as the EUs fault

@svr5423

Ай бұрын

not sure if that was really the biggest reason. The EU is inherently undemocratic and people like to be governed by a government they vote for. Also EU is drastically underperforming. Europe's top performers, like Norway and Switzerland, are not EU members for a good reason.

The good thing about first past the post is that it brings in a government that has the ability to actually do things and not be in permanent deadlock. But it is clear the real opposition to government are investors, who can very quickly crash the economy by losing confidence and creating a debt crisis. Maybe things are different in the US.

Good news for UK and Ukraine

thank u

Vlad, you must have read George Friedman's book "The Storm Befor the Calm" because what you are describing is what he predicted already a few years ago. I have been following Friedman for several year, back when he founded and operated Stratfor. I have come to believe that there will be a negotiation about Technocratic Government. Some things we can improve like so much imposition on the private sector with cummulative regulatikn that sees no end. I live on the bad end of that situation. Adds nothing except to give good conscience to public employees and to those unafected by the regulations. So yes, there will be a negotiation but then we introduce Trump. He is not the solution and cannot be the solution but he will enable people on the side of obscurantism that cannot move us forward. So lets admit that a negotiation is possible and lets find that adversary that can deliver and commit that group that we can negotiate with.

Excellent analysis

./sits in Denmark “Soon… Soon we Shall strike again” 😝

@beth7935

Ай бұрын

Quick, somebody pay the Danegeld! 😂

One of the problems with populism that dies t get talked about is that it prevents action on climate change which will itself lead to more of the issues it claims to address.

Great Video Vlad, Please wear suncream in the future.

@juliarichter6987

Ай бұрын

He wants to become a lobster.

Thank you so much, Mr. Vexler. You show real sustainity.

I just want to comment on the background environment in this video: My dreams often take place in an environment with the same atmosphere and vibe - sunlit field of grass with a small building on stilts with staircase and inside there is big window facing the sunny side with a bed. sorry for being totally off-topic but it just weirded me out how similar it looked

Thanks Vlad. Always a source of distilled clarity. I appreciate your overview.

Got a bit of a sunburn huh Vlad? Glad to see you doing well.

Thanks for all your thoughts and insights (Kent also look amazing right now!)

Sounds good in every way....

Enlightening...

love u. ❤

Well, that's terrifying.

THE BOOTYFU(LE COMMUNI TEA

Thanks

The PM handover should be televised 24 hours a day the US to remind people how a President OUGHT TO handover a government!

🇬🇧❤🇺🇦

"England, My England" "ask not for whom the bells toll : it tolls for thee". Quotes from W E Henley, D H Lawrence 1913 re England, and Ernest Hemingway 1940 For Whom the Bells Toll

Storm clouds are brewing!

Vlad you keep neglecting the issue of net immigration as a cause of populism. Uncontrolled immigration from the EU was the major cause of the Brexit vote, particularly amongst those adversely affected communities (i.e. the working classes). The recent surge in net immigration in the UK (1.5 million over last two years) is the reason Reform is surging. I don’t see populist parties taking hold in those fully functioning democracries where immigration is under control (Japan, South Korea, Norway, Austrailia, New Zealand).

@jackochainsaw

Ай бұрын

The only problem with that is that Japan and South Korea in particular are long time monocultures that are somewhat xenophobic. With regards to Norway, Australia and New Zealand, I totally agree, they've got it right.

@davidallison5204

Ай бұрын

@@jackochainsaw “somewhat xenophobic” - um, yeah, just a bit 😂

@juliarichter6987

Ай бұрын

Did Brexit stop immigration?

@coldwar45

Ай бұрын

Reform is also surging because of Tory collapse

@mrharry448

Ай бұрын

Good luck trying to ride in an overcrowded rubber dinghy to Australia, New Zealand, Japan or South Korea

The purple flowers! 😍

The point about not just stating what a Minor Party would do, but being a “workshop” is brilliant insight. I have worked for about 16 years with the Libertarian Party in the U.S., particularly in Ohio and locally. The desire to be in power has corrupted the Libertarian Party to the extent it has, in too many top spots, shifted to the right (even far right) with the current head of the National Party angling for a spot in the Trump administration if he wins. It totally abandons the principle for the goal.

@itsallminor6133

Ай бұрын

Libertarian is far right. It's over there with anarchy. Anarchist theory. Anarchocapitalism. The further free you go. The more right you go. But then again. I think the Nazi party was mild left socialists.

Vlad, I would appreciate it if you did a video in regards to the anxiety many of us are experiencing due to the very real chance Trump has of winning in 2024, and the potentially cataclysmic consequences for Ukraine (among many other things) this would entail. I'm personally at a loss for this and have had this sinking pit in my stomach ever since Biden's debate performance, and the media firestorm that following (the NYT in particular has seened to throw impartiality out of the window, and is doing everything in their power to try to force Biden to dropout). I'm sure you would have some very wise words for the many of us who currently feel like this.

"making this distinction too cartoonish" no.. its just right

Nice to spend time in Kent!

11:13 The right moment to hit the like button. 😄

12:00 this is what Germany's Greens do. Slightly more ideologically left in the past but now they've taken on the role of the 'middle'. In the past, this was the role of the FDP but they practically obliterated their social-liberal wing in favour of neoliberalism. I think both main parties need to abide more by their camp and then you have this centrist party that acts as "the bridge from left to right".

@svr5423

Ай бұрын

Germany's greens are far-left, not the middle. FDP had always good ideas but were never able to execute. Pirate Party took the crown from them and now it's the AfD. Not the same core voters as the latter is a "Volkspartei" with an amalgamation of good and idiotic ideas.

Vlad you're among the finest specimen of our species. You being here makes me hopeful that our brains are good for something. Thank you for sharing the results of your careful and deliberate use of it.

Don't forget the sunscreen... and a hat! :)

Not sure I’d describe Starmer’s government as likely to be “centre right” on the economy! More taxes, larger state, wealth re-distribution etc…

@dsnodgrass4843

Ай бұрын

Starmer's Labour faction has abandoned any initiative toward redistributive policies; and intends to continue the failed Tory "austerity as panacaea" polices instead. They are absolutely center-right; + the left should have nothing to do with them anymore.

You won’t have experienced this. But nationalised businesses are always expensive failures.

Not all that bizarre. But I'm somebody who's been waiting for the cattle rustlers to get their comeuppance. What's bizarre is that it's the most Tory Labour leader ever. I mean, Keir Starmer is a LibDem who aimed for a position, but still has the charisma of a LibDem member. I mean, I'll take a LibDem over a Tory, but...

@LoremIpsum1970

Ай бұрын

🤣You used charisma and LibDem in the same sentence!

Go to 5:40 to skip to the seagulls.

Looking good after some time at the beach, Vlad. At least with the UK elections, we have some movement toward addressing the concerns of regular citizens. I am optimistic. There is a possibility that the ossified ideological status quo will be mixed up enough to create functional path toward improving things.

What you describe is not substantially different from the political dynamic here in the U.S. People here distrust government and established authorities and institutions and are not going to easily believe voices coming from that quarter that are not espousing destruction of the status quo. Many of the politicians on the pro-democracy side still don't get it. What you describe in Britain sounds very familiar. Now our only really different political force, The Biden Administration, has mortally wounded itself. Seems as though the luck is in our stars and the stars are lining up badly for us.

Hi Vlad, would you please do a vid on what Peak Populism UK 2030s might look like? Also, do you feel the need to follow up.on this vid now that you know the results of seats won and overall shares of the vote?

Actually .... what is going on in France is... the wise move ... it will work toward Macrons party line...watch... this is why he pulled it.

Likely you understand that I my personal situation makes it very difficult to vote as of today ! What are you saying one should do ?

@chrisg5271

Ай бұрын

Your not ! So please as much as people do care just get little tighter ok thanks sorry professor

What is it that you find dangerous about Nigel Farage?

@daviddelgado6090

Ай бұрын

Continuously blaming 'the other ' for mismanagement. He got the Brexit and yet somehow it has made things worse, but it's not his responsibility.

@itsthatsebguy93

Ай бұрын

@@daviddelgado6090 I mean that sounds like incompetence rather than danger.

@daviddelgado6090

Ай бұрын

@@itsthatsebguy93 And an incompetent leads the Reform party. Scary enough.

@SNORKYMEDIA

Ай бұрын

The Tories completely mismanaged Brexit. How is that farage's fault?

@daviddelgado6090

Ай бұрын

@@SNORKYMEDIA His baby. If he can't provide child support then maybe he should have pulled out.

What is centre???

I’m holding that LePen in France will be like Maroni in Italy. Everyone was so afraid of Meloni but when she got in office, she has become a great supporter of Ukraine.

@alexgray2482

Ай бұрын

Meloni is a good example of how the far right has normalised itself, that's why she's so dangerous

@svr5423

Ай бұрын

That's an excellent point. I find it difficult to understand if people are truly against Ukraine or if they are just saying that to get the votes from some extremists (which also costs them tremendously in normal people votes)

@VladVexlerChat I would argue a different point that you made @3:13. Not one Brexiteer I have spoken to had in mind the points you made about 'globalism. The core issue, most singular issue, was 'unfettered' immigration. Not immigration per se'; but 'illegal' immigration. In colloquial parlance; 'dingy divers'. In addition to that issue was the position that the EU was 'federalism' via the back door. Not one person I know as as Brexiteer wanted the UK to withdraw from the world; that is to say be less global. But alas the core issue of illegal and unfettered immigration have not been realised because I don't feel any of the parties, apart from reform, have the stomach to 'actually' press policies to achieve that outcome. Which is a dangerous position if the moderate right moves to the extreme right, and takes a greater hold and gain more traction in the political realm of the 'national' conscience. Vis a vi 'Germany 1933'. Any discussions I have had with people who voted for Reform in this voting round have, on every occasion, stated they are voting for Reform with regards 'dingy divers', unfettered immigration; and the social and cultural issues that presents to us as a nation. And that is not to mention the capacity as a country for us to accommodate and absorb such a rapid growth in population with the infrastructures we have and could provide. I could go one; but I will stop here. Your thoughts? EDIT: To highlight this point I reference Jake Bros comments on @theglobalgambit @9:59 as an outsider looking in on Europe (specifically France and Le Penne). More importantly, and concisely, the point Jake bro makes @11:22. I think I can sum up my point that it is not 'Globalism' that is the issue; but 'Immigration'. In a practical sense; how to control that. In short; how to put the brakes on immigration.

is this Vlad vacation?

Great overview... I am very skeptical if Labor has the stamina to collect most of it's needed budget from the 5 biggest corporates to "just' demand them to pay their business tax on all their activities on UK soil. Failing by former government has made it possible to fall our (full western) society in disrepair and again going for austerity and steeling for the succesful middle layer. Boomers etc are the only generation to safe our future as from the millenials we are doomed!

@talideon

Ай бұрын

I mean, one thing that the UK could do as a workaround for the corporation tax issue is making it progressive. You can do this in a largely income neutral way, and also appealing to smaller businesses.

@anglaismoyen

Ай бұрын

The Lib Dems need to use their strong showing in order to propose land value tax, which they have talked about in the past and which Labour might just go for because they'll be desperate to raise revenue without touching income or business activity.

Unfortunately, the wind is making the microphone vibrate quite a bit.

Beautiful garden you’ve got behind you there to enjoy Vlad - Hope the healing power of nature can sprinkle a little of it’s magic on your health too (it can certainly do wonders for all our mental health). Interesting perspective on how the Greens can provide a basis for political change within the parties in power - Kind of mirrors some of the comments I heard from Owen Jones and why he was urging voters to vote with their hearts and principles, given the likelihood of a thumping majority for Labour anyway (i.e. you don’t need to vote tactically to ensure we get rid of the Tories) as he felt this was a way of sending a message to Labour on directions the public feel are important; rather than risk a ‘super majority’ party feeling they need to to maintain a perceived mandate that would not otherwise include prioritising such issues. As it happens, I’m sat here writing this whilst watching the results come in - now 02:27am Friday 5 July - and it already looks like the Tories have been throughly trounced, and Labour will have the ‘super majority’ that will give them the power to pass whatever they choose. The task now then is to try to help shape what their ambitions will prioritise; for me that has got to include actions which restore the obscene money grab we’ve had by the super rich over the last 10+ years. That’s not the same as ‘taxing the rich’ - I’m talking about the obscenely rich, who have gotten significantly richer at the expense of the rest of us. Can’t see how that would be unpopular with many people at all 🤔😉

Ive just been to London and Edinburgh, exept for the prices, and the NHS?( called an ambulance for somebody and your first response system is incompetent... demanded me to spell roadnames or send gps standpoints by mobilephone whilst talking to them... You are fucked iv you get in danger in Britain... sorry about the rant!) -they are the cleanest, nicest citys with the most friendliest people ive seen in my life. - your potholes are really not that bad even compared to germany. Your countryside is just lovely! Love from germany.

@LZE.

Ай бұрын

Perhaps they just couldn't understand your accent?

@janronschke7525

Ай бұрын

@@LZE. Well, everyone else could understand me very well. Thing is they were centralized for the whole of Britain so they have a huge area to locate you in. We have localized first response calls, where you get automaticlly directed to the closest first response station to your location and they can understand or at least find you, even iv youre gurgeling in your own blood... Took them over 20 minutes( in the middle of Edinburgh, big main road) from call to ambulance... Might have been her first day on the job or something, dont know, but that was just frightening.

@svr5423

Ай бұрын

@@LZE. NHS is utterly incompetent. The one time I needed medical services, I had to go to a private healthcare provider (NHS was unable to help). Was cheap, quick and efficient.

you look well vlad.

Hi Vlad, do you think there is a chance for Western countries to curb the trend and avoid the populist peak in the 2030s? Would love a video on this.

I've always been frustrated by the UK system where the official opposition basically do just that: they oppose the current government regardless of whether they might have previously espoused similar views, and I always compare it to "The Argument Sketch" by Monty Python . A brief window of opportunity arose with the coalition government between the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats on 2010 where the Liberal Democrats wanted to replace the current "First past the post" electoral system with some level of proportional representation, but the Conservatives managed to scupper the subsequent referendum by bamboozling the public with a question relating to a proposal for an overly complicated version of proportional representation. While the British "one man, one vote" system is infinitely preferable to the Russian "one candidate, one vote" system, i.e. Hobson's Choice unless you want to go to Siberia, there are still a lot of things that could be improved. The current Labour landslide demonstrates that the First Past The Post system unfairly promotes the two main party system compared to the actual proportion of the national vote. As Douglas Adams said, paraphrased, anyone who wants to become president should be barred from standing for president, Any thoughts on PR versus FPTP and the challenges it poses for the UK and the USA compared to dictatorships such as Russia?

How can a center to hold even exist in two party systems like the US an the UK ? There one party gets total power.

Richie Sunak sounds like Will Mackenzie from the Inbetweeners.

Reform folks

@gordonstrong5232

Ай бұрын

No thanks, reform are fascists in suits and ties.

@LoremIpsum1970

Ай бұрын

That's next time...

I think the core issue is that governments become so concentrated, so big and control so many things that they're effectively both democratically and practically ungovernable. There are simply too many pressure points that bad actors can hijack to benefit themselves, due to things like concentrated benefit and dispersed cost. At same time, people are asked to vote with a single vote on literally thousands of issues once in 4 years, which means that the vote is completely disconnected from practical results beyond just basic vibes on how people feel about current situation. It's just popularity contest at this point. No wonder there's frustration and sense of powerlessness. As a consequence the political system is not selecting for competent politicians, because even the most competent politicians are unable to fully control the system, but rather for people who are able to promise the most and then avoid responsibility and shift blame when they inevitably fail to deliver. This also creates massive incentive to keep the system as opaque as possible because it helps politicians avoid responsibility. Also, people who thirst for power the most are usually those who should be kept away from it the most. The only hope that we have, is to seriously re-evaluate what the government is supposed to do and refocus on actually important issues, so that the governments become governable again and actually accountable to voters. The rest needs to be left either for local democratic governance or completely left to people acting on free markets (and by that I mean actual free markets, not the corporatist perversion of it we have mostly today). But that will unfortunately never happen.

Would the Electoral reform moving away from first past the post be a meaningful policy to undermine populism, and enhance trust in institutions? Thanks as ever vlad and well wishes.

The far-right gains in France prompted some pundits in the US to see harbingers of the future, but for some reason I doubt the trouncing Labour gave the Tories -- 410 to 131 -- will prompt those same pundits to reevaluate their predictions for November. The exit polls show the Greens taking 2 seats, so all they can do, practically, is offer better ideas. The LibDems also did well, increasing their caucus from 11 seats to 61 seats. Reform won 13 seats. Will Reform take 60 seats during the next election? Who knows, but I hope not.

I like the liar idea personally. Although perhaps tattooing it across their forehead would be a better idea

🙂