The jobs we'll lose to machines -- and the ones we won't | Anthony Goldbloom

Ғылым және технология

Machine learning isn't just for simple tasks like assessing credit risk and sorting mail anymore -- today, it's capable of far more complex applications, like grading essays and diagnosing diseases. With these advances comes an uneasy question: Will a robot do your job in the future?
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Пікірлер: 906

  • @leovega2512
    @leovega25125 жыл бұрын

    The more I see these videos the more I convince myself that nobody knows which jobs machines will not take from us

  • @turtleextra4128

    @turtleextra4128

    4 жыл бұрын

    Leo Vega just imagine all jobs on earth right and there’s your answer

  • @guilhermehx7159

    @guilhermehx7159

    2 жыл бұрын

    I feel exactly the same...

  • @richie1589

    @richie1589

    Жыл бұрын

    Concept artists are losing their jobs soon, sad life we live

  • @zedzedlika8943

    @zedzedlika8943

    Жыл бұрын

    @@richie1589 the demand is going to significantly decrease and won't be as in demand other than high expertise, same going to apply to computer programming and other jobs, soo.. ai of our current era is going to be more important for independent users to create products, either physical, comic/animation, games, mostly areas of entertainment that can satisfy or internal desires. so fundamentally any designer/artist will have to be there own freelancer/brand name if they truly want to succeed during the advancements of ai.

  • @jamesburrows3602

    @jamesburrows3602

    Жыл бұрын

    All art and information jobs

  • @nO_d3N1AL
    @nO_d3N1AL7 жыл бұрын

    I think this talk needed to be much longer and more detailed.

  • @UnrealSquare637

    @UnrealSquare637

    7 жыл бұрын

    Agreed. With all the previous articles, talks, etc. that have been published regarding the future of AI, this video brought absolutely nothing new to the discussion. Total fluff.

  • @venkatchait007

    @venkatchait007

    7 жыл бұрын

    check out 'human's need not apply' by CGPgrey if you're interested in this stuff.

  • @unvergebeneid

    @unvergebeneid

    7 жыл бұрын

    +Yijuwarp It's a good video but at the end of the day, Grey is not an expert and it shows.

  • @venkatchait007

    @venkatchait007

    7 жыл бұрын

    Penny Lane Yes, you're right, but does it matter :)

  • @unvergebeneid

    @unvergebeneid

    7 жыл бұрын

    Yijuwarp Yes, because his predictions are somewhat naive extrapolations of the present and if you're bold enough to talk about the future, that's a problem. For a lot of what he says, this means nothing but maybe an adjusted time frame but I remember cringing a lot while watching that video. I'd have to watch it again to go into more detail and I'm not sure this is the right place for such an essay in the first place.

  • @dtshifter
    @dtshifter7 жыл бұрын

    Education too often focuses what computers do too easily, mathematics and recall of input data. It is almost like people are trained to be replaced instead of being irreplaceable.

  • @rossmilburn7838

    @rossmilburn7838

    6 жыл бұрын

    John O'Neill: You made a good point man. Western education started in Prussia, when they trained the working class in obedience and dumbed-down learning, to make obedient, patient drudges to work as soldiers and factory workers standing by machines. How easy it is to replace these human robots with AI robots. So this is another important reason to start teaching humans to learn to be creative, autonomous, original, and disobedient...

  • @abskulOfficial

    @abskulOfficial

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@rossmilburn7838 you just put pure gold out there man!! Appreciate that.

  • @JordanPAT

    @JordanPAT

    2 жыл бұрын

    Schools are robot factories.

  • @rajinfootonchuriquen

    @rajinfootonchuriquen

    2 жыл бұрын

    Nop. Educaction is focused on what is productive, and machines are made to do what is productive. If you shift the curriculum to liberal arts, then the world will become idiocracy.

  • @dtshifter

    @dtshifter

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@rajinfootonchuriquen Nobody gets paid the big bucks to spell check, add a couple numbers or recall the capitol city of each state. Those things are effortlessly done by inexpensive computers and should not be the cornerstone of an education system today. In 1900 that did make sense. Creativity is way more important now if you are building homes or inventing the next wonder gizmo.

  • @Cryptonymicus
    @Cryptonymicus6 жыл бұрын

    What he's really saying is that as time goes on the repetitive jobs at the bottom will be taken over by machines and even the entry-level jobs for humans will all require advanced degrees. So we're going to have to develop some kind of "Universal Basic Income" or half the population starves.

  • @waitwhat3547

    @waitwhat3547

    2 жыл бұрын

    universal basic income might happen in first world countries but not in underdeveloped or poor countries so yeah, those people are dead

  • @brojakmate9872

    @brojakmate9872

    Жыл бұрын

    @Пиво и приколы Can you just google the plot?

  • @taylorsmith9629

    @taylorsmith9629

    Жыл бұрын

    The problem with that is who pays for UBI?

  • @brojakmate9872

    @brojakmate9872

    Жыл бұрын

    @@taylorsmith9629 Black people

  • @Raya.T

    @Raya.T

    Жыл бұрын

    @@taylorsmith9629 Taxes. the way to pay Ubi is by limiting the costs of essentials and making luxery products expensive. say you want to go out to buy an expensive PC instead of a cheaper option that lets you do all you need to do right. The expensive PC parts would be 6-7x as expensive as right now due to Taxation that happens to fund the UBI. Besides that you'd also see larger taxes on people & company's. because everyone gets the UBI even if you earn billions you'd still get the Ubi so you can pay for all essentials. everything else you earn will be extra so this can be taxed a lot harsher then we tax currently. One of the major issues with implementing Ubi systems though is that before you can you need to have regulation laws about Energy,gas & rent/mortage prices. In that they are not allowed to exceed certain threshold so that people with UBI can still all use them. It's a system that can very well be applied in current day and age but it requires major regulation changes right now.

  • @Gaxhar
    @Gaxhar7 жыл бұрын

    The jobs we'll lose: jobs that poor people work The jobs we won't lose: jobs that poor people can't afford the degrees for

  • @jakerowland4936

    @jakerowland4936

    2 жыл бұрын

    This guy is an embarrassment to any kind of pro-automation movement

  • @dekippiesip

    @dekippiesip

    Жыл бұрын

    That's why free education is so important. We are wasting human capital if smart poor people aren't able to contribute their full potential due to a lack of money and connections.

  • @howmathematicianscreatemat9226

    @howmathematicianscreatemat9226

    Жыл бұрын

    Sadly also: the jobs most mentally poor people cannot perform even with the highest amounts of effort… will likely stay another decade

  • @Daniel_WR_Hart

    @Daniel_WR_Hart

    Жыл бұрын

    If it's any consolation, it looks like white collar jobs are more under threat than the trades

  • @Alianger

    @Alianger

    Жыл бұрын

    Learning is to an extent democratized through youtube and such platforms, just not enough.

  • @arunkanwar79
    @arunkanwar796 жыл бұрын

    So the benefit we see from machines for humans is "Keep looking for new challenges, always be in stress"

  • @KushG420

    @KushG420

    Жыл бұрын

    Supply and demand is the king

  • @arunkanwar79

    @arunkanwar79

    Жыл бұрын

    @@KushG420 many times demand is artificially created...just look around you...

  • @davidrojas4687

    @davidrojas4687

    Жыл бұрын

    they better pay good for the productivity gained

  • @HeraldOD

    @HeraldOD

    Жыл бұрын

    does a new challenge always have to mean stress? at work I often feel excited tackling a new problem and solving it, but stress is pretty rare

  • @arunkanwar79

    @arunkanwar79

    Жыл бұрын

    @@HeraldOD Creating Algorithms will someday make me a cyborg😀. Point is we now we must run but not when to rest

  • @icelandmoon
    @icelandmoon7 жыл бұрын

    This robot is so lifelike.I look forward to more robot ted talks.

  • @tiarnan76
    @tiarnan765 жыл бұрын

    robots will soon be doing TED talks....oh wait, they already are

  • @jiblazed
    @jiblazed7 жыл бұрын

    Nice talk. Except the optimistic conclusion that we can still do things machines can't - is umm... rather shortsighted.

  • @geoff1121

    @geoff1121

    5 жыл бұрын

    Camper Josh give some points to support your opinion, otherwise your response would come across as emotionally driven juvenile banter

  • @IndieBirdieMusic

    @IndieBirdieMusic

    5 жыл бұрын

    But he's right. AI and robotics is still soooooo far away from what humans can accomplish. There are so many complicated facets of our brain and composition that AI may never compete with. But he's right, for now and the foreseeable future, AI is confined to doing manual labor that can be broken up into pieces.

  • @turtleextra4128

    @turtleextra4128

    4 жыл бұрын

    Indie Birdie yes but tech is moving faster then ever robots used to be unable to walk up stairs just 13 years ago now they can open doors carry coffee do your taxes drive a plane and that tech will double in the next 13 years

  • @rakeshverma2209
    @rakeshverma22097 жыл бұрын

    As Anthony quoted the example of using machine learning to diagnose an eye disease, it will not be wiping out the job of an eye specialist rather it will be aiding to his diagnose process.

  • @VaeSapiens

    @VaeSapiens

    7 жыл бұрын

    Yes. I can see "machine assistants" but not "machine doctors". Why? Because People will never accept a machine giving "the bad news". Also this lecture has a fundamental flaw that it doesn't see the potential for some kind of transhumanism and technological and AI singularity.

  • @Adrian_Galilea

    @Adrian_Galilea

    7 жыл бұрын

    "Because People will never accept a machine giving "the bad news". " Disagree completely, in fact I prefer a machine, and predictions like this are worthless anyway, progress always impose itself whether you like it or not, adapt. "Also this lecture has a fundamental flaw that it doesn't see the potential for some kind of transhumanism and technological and AI singularity." Exactly what I was thinking, that graph was a joke. I wish I remember the name of the theory that elaborates on why humans are so bad at predicting huge paradigmatic shifts or catastrophes

  • @niveshproag8660

    @niveshproag8660

    7 жыл бұрын

    Is the doctor a doctor if his job is just to give the bad news?

  • @VaeSapiens

    @VaeSapiens

    7 жыл бұрын

    Adrian Galilea Why did you attribute "people" to yourself (even tho it's plural). I can just say that I don't want a medical AI and by nature of set theory you can't disagree with my assertion, until you convince me (and others with this belief) that we should embrace an artificial doctor. Nivesh Proag Obviously no. A physician or "doctor" is an individual who practices medicine. Medicine in broad terms is a science that deals in finding the best way to cure or/and prevent diseases. This methodology involves other sciences like economics, pharmacology, sociology and psychology, physics and many more.

  • @VaeSapiens

    @VaeSapiens

    7 жыл бұрын

    Nivesh Proag You really should work on your personal issues. Bye.

  • @njs43
    @njs437 жыл бұрын

    *All* jobs have the potential to be automated at one point, no matter how complex. It's only a matter of time before machines catch up to us in tackling "novel situations" too.

  • @NormanTiner

    @NormanTiner

    Жыл бұрын

    6 years later and art, one of the most intricate and unique aspects to the human experience is being automated.

  • @DONTTOUCHTHEGRASSIMALLERGIC

    @DONTTOUCHTHEGRASSIMALLERGIC

    Жыл бұрын

    @@NormanTiner honestly sad. I hope they ban it since it is using other artists work as information without permission

  • @brojakmate9872

    @brojakmate9872

    Жыл бұрын

    @@DONTTOUCHTHEGRASSIMALLERGIC I hope they don't ban it. You are delaying the process of human achievement

  • @jghifiversveiws8729

    @jghifiversveiws8729

    Жыл бұрын

    Artificial General Intelligence once innovated will render this entire Ted talk mute.

  • @neo-didact9285

    @neo-didact9285

    Жыл бұрын

    Not military, such as infantry.

  • @smu4242
    @smu42427 жыл бұрын

    The assumption that some jobs cannot be automated feels totally arbitrary. Humans are machines too, we are just biological machines. There is no reason to assume that mechanical/digital machines cannot do, what we do. It's just that CURRENT machines cannot do all the tasks. The more interesting question is: Do we want them to do all of our jobs? Especially regarding economy as well as goals like self-fulfillment.

  • @guilhermehx7159

    @guilhermehx7159

    2 жыл бұрын

    Unfortunately I agree 100% with you

  • @dekippiesip

    @dekippiesip

    Жыл бұрын

    They can but it won't happen in the near or even intermediate future. AI is a disruptor but not yet on that level. Traditional machines need humans to explicitely code their algorithms, and that works for easily describeable repetitive tasks. Like building cars in a factory. But some repetitive tasks can't be easily described, like recognizing handwritten digits. So you use a fundamentally different concept, you feed the AI with massive amounts of data and it figures out it's own algorithm. That's a revolutionairy new step that will shape the 21st century for many decades to come. To take it a step further and make AI's that can do things without being either explicitely programmed or trained with massive amounts of applicable data requires yet anothet revolutionairy advancement like the one described previously. It's not simply a logical continuation you can expect with improving training algorithms or hardware.

  • @iBOT-R3

    @iBOT-R3

    Жыл бұрын

    Uh he mentioned doctors and lawyers jobs as ones that will be impacted. Those aren’t typical blue collar jobs which means a education isn’t necessarily going to save you. I think he was alluding to humans needing to be more creative or think outside the box. Those that are gifted in that way may have a niche in the market the rest are out of luck.

  • @ecehanbalkc6146

    @ecehanbalkc6146

    Жыл бұрын

    Humans are not "biological machines". To this day no one knows how consciousness is actually generated in the brain because it isn't. AI may replace humans in cognitive functions but it's never going to be conscious and experience emotions.

  • @Alianger

    @Alianger

    Жыл бұрын

    If they can make the world a more fair place then go ahead and automate economics. I just don't think the people in power will let it happen

  • @tomiwithaneye
    @tomiwithaneye Жыл бұрын

    loool theyre getting good at making art, music, poetry, buisness strategies, marketing and a whole whost of novel creative endeavours now, I think he underestimated the machines.

  • @Sunshinelollipops223

    @Sunshinelollipops223

    Жыл бұрын

    I was looking for this comment. We are going to be wiped out in the next ten years. It’s going to be like a sci-fi movie. Insane.

  • @C4MMU5

    @C4MMU5

    Жыл бұрын

    I predicted this. I deserve to get famous but I'm not Edit: the comment above mine has 4 likes, and the comment below mine has 3 likes, while my comment has 0 likes 🤣🤣🤡

  • @JTScott1988

    @JTScott1988

    Жыл бұрын

    I dunno…. Music? No two songwriters write the same. No two composers compose the same. Computers are all built the exact same way. There will cease to be any individuality in music

  • @san9eeth

    @san9eeth

    Жыл бұрын

    ​@@draguOdoT as we speak Writers Guild of America is having a strike which is an affect of A.I

  • @texasforever7887
    @texasforever78877 жыл бұрын

    What happens when you connect the machines together though something like the internet that allows them to pool knowledge and figure out how to complete new and unique task

  • @drake4638
    @drake46383 жыл бұрын

    I always think about how all these jobs we see today one day will be done by machines, everything from dentists, McDonald’s cashier, to the guys who change your oil. The only jobs that humans will have will be corporate or high level position jobs that require decision making for a company. One day

  • @JTScott1988

    @JTScott1988

    Жыл бұрын

    @@SimonTmte they’re so expensive and drive over a puddle and u fry the electronic engine

  • @arerayace
    @arerayace7 жыл бұрын

    If the machine could use algorithm to grade essay, couldn't it be engineered to create the copy for the marketing campaign? with input of certain parameters?

  • @nathaniel7103
    @nathaniel71037 жыл бұрын

    Gosh, TED's community seems to become more rampant with individuals who are just plain ignorant. Instead of saying "meh" or condemning the content, add to it, give your opinion and have someone challenge it. We're here to learn, understand and adapt. Come on guys, grow up.

  • @duckdumbsmartpplimnotbored5175

    @duckdumbsmartpplimnotbored5175

    7 жыл бұрын

    what is grow up?

  • @alfarachet2

    @alfarachet2

    7 жыл бұрын

    +Legit Loser idk

  • @boom7819
    @boom7819 Жыл бұрын

    Was trying to figure out which jobs AI won't automate. That's when he said copywriting, which I do and was looking for an alternative career. Now I understand nothing is really out of reach of AI

  • @abhisheknimbalkar3881

    @abhisheknimbalkar3881

    Жыл бұрын

    All the best man, let me know if you need help in career path

  • @simonnader8173

    @simonnader8173

    Жыл бұрын

    Going through the same thing. I've just finished my BA in translation, and i'm starting to get demotivated due to the rise of chatgpt

  • @TheRealDanBond
    @TheRealDanBond7 жыл бұрын

    We need to start our transition now and intelligently. Theoretically, making things automated should be fantastic for our society, but because of how we build it, it will cause chaos.

  • @taylorsmith9629

    @taylorsmith9629

    Жыл бұрын

    How are we supposed to start the transition?

  • @ustympetrovych

    @ustympetrovych

    15 сағат бұрын

    I totally agree with you. We don’t have a plan, we’re just innovating and innovating. We’ll innovate ourself out of existence. But what this will require is cooperation. And currently companies, ceos, politicians, countries, are not willing to cooperate. They all want to use ai to benefit themselves.

  • @AllenLinnenJr
    @AllenLinnenJr7 жыл бұрын

    The first profession will also be the last.

  • @666Tomato666

    @666Tomato666

    7 жыл бұрын

    you sure about that? haven't you seen the hyperrealistic fuckdolls?

  • @ThereIsNoOtherHandleLikeMine

    @ThereIsNoOtherHandleLikeMine

    7 жыл бұрын

    When you can clone the girl of your dreams without her permission, whether IRL or in VR, the first profession will no longer exist.

  • @AllenLinnenJr

    @AllenLinnenJr

    7 жыл бұрын

    ***** What are you talking about? Just because you can grow a prostitute in a test tube doesn't make her not a prostitute. Clones are people too.

  • @davidwuhrer6704

    @davidwuhrer6704

    7 жыл бұрын

    On this topic, I recommend the book “Saturn's Children” by Charlie Stross.

  • @C3yl0

    @C3yl0

    6 жыл бұрын

    Allen Linnen, Jr. dude you cloning the physical part not the fkin brain 😂

  • @Kevin-jc1fx
    @Kevin-jc1fx3 жыл бұрын

    When singularity arises, there will be almost no limits to what machines can do. Humans will have very limited options for work.

  • @alpeshmittal3779

    @alpeshmittal3779

    Жыл бұрын

    We might cease to exist afterwards because ASI might find human useless and root cause of many problems

  • @jchandler1963
    @jchandler19635 жыл бұрын

    I feel like people don t quite get how different the world will be if so much of the population isnt working. Who are they writing advertisements to and doing the other jobs they claim will be left when no one else has jobs or could buy anything. Driving to work in a world where you are only one of the few able to, without some completely different system, would be quite a challenge considering the starving masses you would have to make it through.

  • @vijayragav8640
    @vijayragav86403 жыл бұрын

    "Humans can tackle novel situations" Saw that in this covid pandemic !!!

  • @atharvanimbargi1503

    @atharvanimbargi1503

    Жыл бұрын

    Is this sarcastic or are you really appreciating ?😅

  • @jarlkampen8650
    @jarlkampen8650 Жыл бұрын

    This speech has, unfortunately, become obsolete. The tasks no longer have to be frequent low-volume.

  • @ggp6073
    @ggp60734 жыл бұрын

    Machines would definitely get smarter than humans over time. It can be seen from all current developments(Self Driving Cars, Neural Link etc). Unless there are regulations in place, human would be reduced to dummies in this world, with no purpose.

  • @orangejuice6266

    @orangejuice6266

    2 жыл бұрын

    That's why we need regulations.

  • @HeraldOD

    @HeraldOD

    Жыл бұрын

    @@orangejuice6266 What are you going to regulate? if the technology exists, people are going to use it. Things are going to get automated, especially if it's cheaper. Companies won't want regulations giving them more expensive and less performant results (aka human work instead of machine work)

  • @gwho
    @gwho7 жыл бұрын

    what a good talk, considering it was delivered by machine

  • @samimas4343
    @samimas43437 жыл бұрын

    machines should be there for us to work less harder and not for us to work less.

  • @loyisotaki5280
    @loyisotaki5280 Жыл бұрын

    This did not age well at all, ChatGPT is writing marketing campaigns as we speak.

  • @waddadawd
    @waddadawd7 жыл бұрын

    It doesn't matter if we lose some jobs to machines, this has always been a feature of capitalism. Economic progress comes from the destruction of jobs, labor is then reallocated to where is is most valuable. A hundred years ago 40% of the workforce was in agricultural jobs, but as time progressed and more efficient machines were created, that figure has dropped to about 2%.

  • @ActuatedGear

    @ActuatedGear

    7 жыл бұрын

    Which came as we made an upshift in many other industries - mostly shipping, manufacture, and sales. Those jobs are next to go. Our basic needs are finite as is our lifespan. As we amass information and technological sophistication, very soon we will be able to provide for every need without fail without the need for human intervention. It is a fixed point with an accelerating approach vector.

  • @yyny0

    @yyny0

    7 жыл бұрын

    It has never been a 'feature' of capitalism because it happened and happens in all economic structures, and capitalism will die out without jobs to create capital, as the state will then have to provide capital (e.g. food) for their citizens.

  • @waddadawd

    @waddadawd

    7 жыл бұрын

    1. "Has never been a feature of capitalism" - yes it is and has always, as you don't find many advances in capital equipment in socialistic countries. 2. "Capitalism will die out without jobs to create capital" What does that even mean? Are 3. "The state will then have to provide food for the citizens"' What? So capitalism "dies out" and producers are just not making anything? Or is it that producers are making stuff, but no one can buy it because of a lack of jobs? Whatever, you make no sense.

  • @Lapusso650

    @Lapusso650

    7 жыл бұрын

    +YoYoYonnY dude... You're saying automation STOPS production...

  • @Lapusso650

    @Lapusso650

    7 жыл бұрын

    The whole point is to eliminate the need for jobs. I can't believe the idiots calling automation bad for the economy. It's literally for the economy

  • @antheaelise569
    @antheaelise5697 жыл бұрын

    jobs are for machines, life is for humans

  • @ChaceBonanno

    @ChaceBonanno

    6 жыл бұрын

    You're looking at all wrong. Imagine a world with no need for employment or economics.

  • @MrHoustonmichael

    @MrHoustonmichael

    6 жыл бұрын

    Life can be about creating art and enjoying it instead of jobs making others own people

  • @C3yl0

    @C3yl0

    6 жыл бұрын

    If humans already having some “leisure time” comes up with weird ideas imagine someone not working. The amount of walking psychos will not be enough :v

  • @chrzmaxx9140

    @chrzmaxx9140

    5 жыл бұрын

    Yep no money great

  • @generaltony6520

    @generaltony6520

    5 жыл бұрын

    without a job you can't sustain your life :/

  • @bassl3647
    @bassl3647 Жыл бұрын

    Bye bye to my dream to become a driver instructor.

  • @dingdong896

    @dingdong896

    Жыл бұрын

    My artist job too

  • @Ekaekto
    @Ekaekto7 жыл бұрын

    Let everyday bring you a new challenge? Really? What about people that are not very intelligent and have to rely on jobs that are easily automatable? This is terrible and terrifying, unless we restructure dramatically unemployment rates will rise drastically.

  • @JuanPablodelaTorre

    @JuanPablodelaTorre

    7 жыл бұрын

    There needs to be a paradigm shift in the way we think about work. When computers displace humans, unemployed people should have all their basic needs covered.

  • @nathan791

    @nathan791

    7 жыл бұрын

    Don't stay unintelligent is the solution.

  • @YouHolli

    @YouHolli

    7 жыл бұрын

    This. But who decides what is a basic need? Food, shelter and clothing are obvious but beyond? Public transport, internet access, a mobile phone, are those basics or luxuries? And what about medical treatments? Where's the line of what is basic and what is not. Those are unanswered ethical questions and we have to sort them out. And yet I doubt we'll have to, cause in reality greed will triumph as it always does. And we will have societies divided by the insanely rich and the hopeless poor.

  • @panpiper

    @panpiper

    7 жыл бұрын

    Basic Income Guarantee. See my above post.

  • @Ekaekto

    @Ekaekto

    7 жыл бұрын

    Nathan You can become educated as much as is possible for you personally, and I know of many people you wouldn't call conventionally intelligent that do have a rather good education. But people have limits, I'm sorry you don't see it that way. Be it genetics or circumstance, not everyone will be able to reach university degree education that requires you to use your creativity daily (which is mainly only engineering and science anyway). I am sorry but this talk is fundamentally flawed in that it lacks compassion for fellow humans. The guy delivering the talk won't have any problems in his future, because he is responsible for increasing machine intelligence.

  • @lara_alarab
    @lara_alarab6 жыл бұрын

    Excellent Talk... I particularly loved your intro and how you linked it with the topics to be explored and at the end concluded with a very impactful msg. The examples and evidence were very helpful to add to the credibility of your info. Short talk yet well organized and indeed reached the intended goal. Well done Anthony!

  • @jakebruce11
    @jakebruce117 жыл бұрын

    This talk in a nutshell: "Machines currently have this limitation, so they will always have this limitation."

  • @dalemoore598
    @dalemoore5986 жыл бұрын

    Think it's interesting how his graph shows the beginnings of an exponential curve but then for some reason levels off. Think he is vastly underestimating what machines will be able to do in the not so far future.

  • @HeraldOD

    @HeraldOD

    Жыл бұрын

    This

  • @philandros3195
    @philandros31957 жыл бұрын

    Someone made an algorithm that was able to match the grades of essays given by the teachers? Well that's impressive.. especially seeing as different teachers tend to grade the same paper differently. There was an experiment in Denmark (in 2012), in which two journalist-trainees wrote an essay, that (along with essays written by highschool students) were graded by twenty different teachers. The teachers were unaware of these circumstances and the essays were graded fairly, alongside other anonymous essays handed in by students. The journalist-trainees recieved everything from the highest grade, to some of the lowest grades - all depending on the teacher who graded the essay. This sparked a debate about how these kind of tests weren't completely objective, in contrast to tests given in math, physics and other natural sciences.

  • @benanderson5490
    @benanderson5490 Жыл бұрын

    Surely with enough data and aggregated learning, there comes s point where there are no novel situations.

  • @bensibree-paul7289
    @bensibree-paul72897 жыл бұрын

    This is nonsense. Progress is not going to be some gentle slope up to a nice steady plateau. AI will go from where it is now to more intelligent than us in what'll feel to us like an instant. It's on an exponential curve.

  • @paulhank7967

    @paulhank7967

    3 жыл бұрын

    Have you seen the movie, The Matrix?

  • @tone8301

    @tone8301

    3 жыл бұрын

    I was going to say...

  • @dancingwheels8494

    @dancingwheels8494

    Жыл бұрын

    💯 I don’t understand how people can’t get this!!

  • @KL-bg8fi
    @KL-bg8fi7 жыл бұрын

    Ted Talk is brilliant! Love it!

  • @abhimat
    @abhimat6 жыл бұрын

    Machines can excel at frequent, high volumes tasks. For us humans, let everyday usher in a new challenging task.

  • @BaoTran-bj8xx
    @BaoTran-bj8xx Жыл бұрын

    Chatgpt brought me here

  • @Anders01
    @Anders017 жыл бұрын

    Yikes, I came to think about how machine learning will move into a higher abstraction level where algorithms use already gathered machine knowledge and combine it to handle more general and novel tasks. So instead of a flattening of the exponential curve in the video it will then continue to accelerate! Just as Ray Kurzweil has predicted with his Law of Accelerating Returns. We then definitely will need something like a universal basic income pretty soon.

  • @meeenaow
    @meeenaow7 жыл бұрын

    wow great talk!

  • @cocacooler7
    @cocacooler77 жыл бұрын

    The speaker mentioned an article published in 2013. Does anyone have a link to it?

  • @jonesnj07
    @jonesnj077 жыл бұрын

    *I literally just watched the matrix for the first time and now i'm scared*

  • @nicholasxuu

    @nicholasxuu

    7 жыл бұрын

    and there's a good chance we are already in it.

  • @Maorawrath

    @Maorawrath

    6 жыл бұрын

    *LOL!*

  • @Justin-tg7xn
    @Justin-tg7xn Жыл бұрын

    As a person who come from the future. I can confirm Ai will replace us.

  • @TheErickAmezcua
    @TheErickAmezcua7 ай бұрын

    Things are moving so fast, I'm hesitant about anything that's more than a few months old.

  • @Dentrag47
    @Dentrag477 жыл бұрын

    This is the research I've been looking for a few months.

  • @XercesandAlexander

    @XercesandAlexander

    7 жыл бұрын

    What's your field?

  • @XercesandAlexander

    @XercesandAlexander

    7 жыл бұрын

    Good luck with that.

  • @Dentrag47

    @Dentrag47

    7 жыл бұрын

    Thank you, But that will be a dangerous path.

  • @dion789
    @dion7897 жыл бұрын

    I find cgp grey's discussion of this topic much more informative and realistic.

  • @niveshproag8660

    @niveshproag8660

    7 жыл бұрын

    Yup. "Humans need not apply" on youtube. Covers pretty much everything on it.

  • @c.eb.1216
    @c.eb.1216 Жыл бұрын

    Maybe someday we'll all be managers, giving directions to AIs and overseeing them.

  • @aishie2000

    @aishie2000

    Жыл бұрын

    Itll probably be the other way around, the way things r going

  • @nico_rico3185
    @nico_rico31857 жыл бұрын

    Beautiful ending ❤️

  • @Jobap98
    @Jobap987 жыл бұрын

    It's not a long step from simple repetition, to then combination of ideas and consequently creativity. Creativity isn't iherent to humans, and machines may eventualy learn creativity. The truth is we are no good in new situations eitheir, we are good in identificating patterns (in new situations) and implementing patterns (when familiarazed with the new situation).

  • @rsvp89
    @rsvp897 жыл бұрын

    POLLUTION , POLLUTION, POLLUTION!! Robots do make mistakes and break down. PLEASE FOCUS ON MAKING HEALTHIER LIFESTYLE AND BETTER EDUCATION FOR CHILDREN

  • @jcc9059
    @jcc9059 Жыл бұрын

    Funny he mentions copywriters. ChatGPT can now replace a copywriter.

  • @bharatkaushal2518
    @bharatkaushal25182 жыл бұрын

    First of all Yahli is so cute.

  • @Table-Top
    @Table-Top7 жыл бұрын

    How can a computer grade an essay (eg: english literature). How does a computer recognize ground-breaking creative writing? Or, innovative, outside-the-box thinking...?

  • @azaria5419

    @azaria5419

    2 жыл бұрын

    I was thinking the same thing. If a computer can accurately grade essays, it should be able to handle complex tasks. That or teachers are terrible at grading and focus more on vocabulary, sentence structure, and whether or not they originally agreed with the thesis than logic.

  • @lazarusblackwell6988
    @lazarusblackwell6988 Жыл бұрын

    Give jobs to machines and life to humans. Thats the way its going to be.

  • @stasianatanasov6294

    @stasianatanasov6294

    Жыл бұрын

    Lol since when were people with money and power ever concerned about our lives? It ain't gonna be this way for sure

  • @seriaasly3297
    @seriaasly32977 жыл бұрын

    Audits will never be done completely by machine, some automation of grunt work but the ability to apply critical thinking to complex issues and business models are beyond what any machine can do within the next 50 years

  • @roganjoshkrishna2950

    @roganjoshkrishna2950

    Жыл бұрын

    Yeah, it's taken 5 years and they're already designing AI than can approach human levels of general intelligence

  • @HeraldOD

    @HeraldOD

    Жыл бұрын

    @@roganjoshkrishna2950 What's your source? The most I can think of is GPT-3, but that's just a language model. There's no reasoning behind it, it just knows how to create and complete coherent text

  • @grafis6868
    @grafis68686 жыл бұрын

    Very nice video.

  • @georgev4616
    @georgev46167 жыл бұрын

    PEACE!!! & LOVE!!! TO ALL!!!

  • @anthonydejesus1966
    @anthonydejesus1966 Жыл бұрын

    All sentences should finish with the word "yet".

  • @beepbeepimasheep237beepbee3
    @beepbeepimasheep237beepbee32 жыл бұрын

    What would happen: AI takes over > If you're unlucky you get replaced by an AI > Lose your job > In debt > Eviction > Starvation > Death

  • @WayneJohnsonZastil
    @WayneJohnsonZastil7 жыл бұрын

    I love this I hope all jobs can be taken so we are all equal.

  • @LeanneVlogzFilmz

    @LeanneVlogzFilmz

    7 жыл бұрын

    I'd liked to see a robot replace makeup artists, both beauty and special effects artists.

  • @yyny0

    @yyny0

    7 жыл бұрын

    +Zebarbas the alternative is to move away from labor intensive jobs and instead focus on computationally expensive jobs, like lawyers, programmers, doctors, etc. and even creative jobs, things that computers cannot easily replace.

  • @Iznenadan
    @Iznenadan Жыл бұрын

    Well... I guess that all just flew out the window...

  • @siskens
    @siskens Жыл бұрын

    and then we had ChatGPT write us code

  • @rajadirajamama1767

    @rajadirajamama1767

    Жыл бұрын

    Yes

  • @jancerny8109
    @jancerny81097 жыл бұрын

    "Humans can tackle novel situations..." Have you met humans? We ignore the growing environmental catastrophes of our world, we persist in neurotic emotional patterns, our artwork is mostly overwhelmingly derivative, and we get flustered in almost any new environment. Computers won't have to be particularly good to be better than us, or more cost-efficient.

  • @IndieBirdieMusic

    @IndieBirdieMusic

    5 жыл бұрын

    He's saying that Robots are incapable of tackling novel challenges like humans can. We are instinctively able to see problems and solve them in our day to day life. It's instinctual. You are talking about bigger problems that are VERY hard to solve for even a collective of human beings. Novel situations means day to day....

  • @kamenidriss
    @kamenidriss7 жыл бұрын

    As someone who doesn't like people, i'm so ready for this.

  • @Loathomar
    @Loathomar7 жыл бұрын

    Even in cases of things like marketing campaigns, most of the current work done will be done by computers and humans will simply do the final touches. Don't believe me, see the know trailer for Morgan, they had Watson do most of the leg work and just had a few people put on the final touches.

  • @alejandrogutierrez9463
    @alejandrogutierrez94636 жыл бұрын

    robots should be owned by common people not companies, that way any job that the robot performs payment will go to the owner of the robot

  • @Ed-bf3fe

    @Ed-bf3fe

    6 жыл бұрын

    Alejandro Gutiérrez this ... is actually genius

  • @ionelCristianLupu_
    @ionelCristianLupu_ Жыл бұрын

    well... this didn't age well

  • @faruk3431
    @faruk34317 жыл бұрын

    Well, doctor's are always needed.

  • @Roll587

    @Roll587

    7 жыл бұрын

    Agreed. Medicine is more than diagnosis.

  • @prnsxsa

    @prnsxsa

    5 жыл бұрын

    Doreshka What about nurses?

  • @pluto40433

    @pluto40433

    5 жыл бұрын

    @Mark Dudley I will say that there are machines that help with the surgery. I don't actually see fucking robots walking around in the hospital. There is a podcast that elon musk was on that u probably seen that could hopefully fix any issue that may arise in the future.

  • @lxc647
    @lxc6477 жыл бұрын

    First machine to give a ted talk.

  • @halolosers
    @halolosers7 жыл бұрын

    When AI is perfected we won't have anything.

  • @nostalgia5342

    @nostalgia5342

    2 жыл бұрын

    We already have reinforcement learning now for novel situations

  • @noway3801
    @noway38017 жыл бұрын

    This is true so long as machines don't learn to deal with novel situations. 😨

  • @maianhvu8212

    @maianhvu8212

    5 жыл бұрын

    Good point, if they have enough data to sort our the methodology /pattern of human decision making and problem solving. One day it will be able to do it, maybe in the far future but it's just a matter of time.

  • @Kianfox
    @Kianfox6 жыл бұрын

    All these people saying they cant wait for machines to do all our jobs... ever watch the movie WALL-E?

  • @FrappuccinoAlfredo
    @FrappuccinoAlfredo10 ай бұрын

    I'm glad I've had a good life

  • @gleni3000
    @gleni30007 жыл бұрын

    this will create a hunger games type society. small amount of people with everything, most people with nothing

  • @duckdumbsmartpplimnotbored5175

    @duckdumbsmartpplimnotbored5175

    7 жыл бұрын

    I will be Josh. if there was someone named Josh

  • @billymcdream6305

    @billymcdream6305

    7 жыл бұрын

    This is today, but I believe The Earth is slowly going to be like German, England

  • @str8edgeLb

    @str8edgeLb

    7 жыл бұрын

    not if you revamp the '*world-money-societal-system*' instead of working for *profit. financial gain*, choose out of passion, enjoyment, morale enhancing, *gain fulfilment* from the *task, itself*

  • @unvergebeneid

    @unvergebeneid

    7 жыл бұрын

    Sorry for being blunt but you either don't read enough or you're quite young if Hunger Games is the closest dystopia that comes to mind.

  • @Lapusso650

    @Lapusso650

    7 жыл бұрын

    Dude. You're calling automaton bad for society.... Automation is FOR US you clueless twit

  • @ionitacatalinconstantin4842
    @ionitacatalinconstantin48427 жыл бұрын

    I`m a naval engineer. I go onboard merchand ships and do maintanaince work while sailing. Let s see a machine do that.

  • @darleyt1

    @darleyt1

    5 жыл бұрын

    good point, you always need people who can fix the machines. Self repairing mechanics is a thing tho.

  • @hardworker424
    @hardworker4247 жыл бұрын

    The things he cited will help create tools for those with those jobs but not replace them. There are many jobs that will be eliminated with advances in technology. Right now for manufacturing humans are still cheaper for most jobs. In the US a lot of manufactured products are made over seas. When robotic manufacturing is cheap enough the products will be made in the US again.

  • @nickiminajisthequeenofrap7077
    @nickiminajisthequeenofrap70773 жыл бұрын

    Okay so which jobs will we be losing? I'm glad I watched this at 2x speed...

  • @ericpa06
    @ericpa067 жыл бұрын

    People who argue that machines won't be able to automate task X are either lying or don't understand technology.

  • @bitesky
    @bitesky6 жыл бұрын

    so every job will be lost except marketing ones?

  • @bibhakarkumar8926

    @bibhakarkumar8926

    6 жыл бұрын

    diva no no marketing is also lost due to automation. Automatic robots are here that do shopping for you.

  • @jameslane3846
    @jameslane38465 жыл бұрын

    Art will survive as it is creativity at its core

  • @taylorsmith9629

    @taylorsmith9629

    Жыл бұрын

    There is already AI paintings I’ve seen them

  • @brojakmate9872

    @brojakmate9872

    Жыл бұрын

    lol lmao even

  • @C4MMU5

    @C4MMU5

    Жыл бұрын

    Aged like milk. But I predicted this would happen, I should be famous for this

  • @nassernathan

    @nassernathan

    Жыл бұрын

    This did not age well 😂😂😂

  • @JTScott1988

    @JTScott1988

    Жыл бұрын

    He’s right. It can make art but it’s very formatted and doesn’t have any creativity.

  • @activnite9493
    @activnite9493 Жыл бұрын

    It's going to be a hackers playground.

  • @winter1957
    @winter19576 жыл бұрын

    Wait so if robots are gonna be doing all the work, who's gonna be left to buy all the stuff that they make?

  • @Kabeloko11
    @Kabeloko117 жыл бұрын

    And so the tale of john connor begins

  • @kaungmthu
    @kaungmthu7 жыл бұрын

    I love his accent.

  • @kivancersoz2203
    @kivancersoz22036 ай бұрын

    I think what the world governments need to do is to allocate a basic salary for all the citizens or households that can be sufficient for surviving a good life , and let the AI do most ( not all ) jobs that people are doing to earn that salary. That is the most ideal way that we can solve all the productivity and surviving problems. And the people will have more room to improve their skills and abilities in areas where they really enjoy rather than have to work to survive. ( People who have those special abilities of course will earn more money accordingly) Another benefit of this for the governments is that it would prevent the anarchy and creates more cooperative citizens)

  • @apoctapus
    @apoctapus Жыл бұрын

    Due to advances in ML, this content is out of date and no longer accurate. But it’s amazing to see how much has changed in such a short period of time.

  • @chinmayasukumar6321
    @chinmayasukumar6321 Жыл бұрын

    meanwhile OpenAI's like 👀

  • @user-el7rd8pp1l
    @user-el7rd8pp1l7 жыл бұрын

    In other words, the gap between the rich and the poor will grow tremendously.

  • @sh4mst0ne
    @sh4mst0ne7 жыл бұрын

    So, the potential jobs of the future could be marketers and advertisers? Basically, continuing the consumption cycle by selling things to people with no jobs because of automation and no money because of no jobs... sounds legit.

  • @hbnworkstation8713
    @hbnworkstation87132 жыл бұрын

    Time for universal basic income!

  • @TheNeilDarby
    @TheNeilDarby7 жыл бұрын

    Machines will give people the leisure to take psychedelics and study zen and Vedanta.

  • @simo947

    @simo947

    7 жыл бұрын

    yeah quantum computers can grow arms and legs because they work by manipulating atomic structures (?)

  • @alexandert696

    @alexandert696

    7 жыл бұрын

    i like working actually.

  • @jaguarandi2

    @jaguarandi2

    6 жыл бұрын

    Who will afford machines? Will the government hand them out?

  • @yamchayaku
    @yamchayaku2 жыл бұрын

    Don't expect machines to replace you anytime soon. Most people are really bad at maintaining machinery. First of all, there's really no "do-all" machine. You'd need to purchase a machine for each task, which is not cheap. Then there's maintenance, which is not going to be cheap either. Add in that they're also bad at forking up the money to replace malfunctioning parts, I wouldn't say that machinery would be more profitable than the average worker. If machinery was able to replace employees, all businesses would have done it by now. The reason they didn't is because most businesses don't want to fork over that kind of money or take that kind of risk.

  • @TurokAgi

    @TurokAgi

    2 жыл бұрын

    There's reasons why, but u only mentioned one. It'll happen as soon as the great reset is over

  • @shadowbaby4238
    @shadowbaby42389 ай бұрын

    maybe its a blessing

  • @CigsInABlanket
    @CigsInABlanket7 жыл бұрын

    Ah, TED. The Nutella of misinformation.

  • @pedrocorga

    @pedrocorga

    4 жыл бұрын

    Please elaborate.

  • @fatigots3178

    @fatigots3178

    4 жыл бұрын

    I also request that you elaborate.

  • @geralt9034

    @geralt9034

    3 жыл бұрын

    Ted talks are really a hit or miss you can never really know if the speaker just cherry picked their data without researching it yourself. The fact that Tai Lopez was on these ted talks makes me question the background these speakers have.

  • @Spectre01
    @Spectre017 жыл бұрын

    Who else find TED talks very intriguing?

  • @jonharson

    @jonharson

    6 ай бұрын

    I find them to be retarded feel good nonsense for people who like to huff their own farts

  • @prathammishra4945
    @prathammishra49456 жыл бұрын

    A UBI will have to be implemented to tackle this problem

  • @niveshproag8660
    @niveshproag86607 жыл бұрын

    3:21 wait that's all? I'm not so sure.

  • @zenoblazenkv

    @zenoblazenkv

    3 жыл бұрын

    Woah we have the same first name!

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