Tony goes into areas I'd not seen him discuss before. And there is so much detail in this one. I had to keep pausing the video to assimilate it all. Outstanding.

@kschleic9053

2 жыл бұрын

Yes, I had to skip back several times at @55:00 to understand everything.

@conniesaunders17

2 жыл бұрын

I was cleaning as I was listening and had to stop what I was doing to let it sink in. Definitely knew I would have to listen again. Doing that now.

@AWildBard

2 жыл бұрын

Yes, I'll be watching a few more times.

@kalaiolele8796

2 жыл бұрын

Andy!! You and I both!! LOL!!

@matviko

2 жыл бұрын

I definitely paused several times to review.

When I am a little depressed, I listen to a Tony Seba lecture, and then I am well again. Thank you, Tony.

@TheAefril

2 жыл бұрын

Mee too!

@SA-lw3xi

2 жыл бұрын

ME TOO!!!!!

@Gcanno

2 жыл бұрын

Try Amory Lovins also.

@robertn2951

2 жыл бұрын

@@Gcanno It also works pretty well !

@ljmounteney4131

2 жыл бұрын

me too!!!! and then I go and watch docs about sustainable farming and forestry...

Tony Seba is an absolute legend. His predictions have been correct time and again. When he talks, take notice.

@Kabutoushidaisukioneesan

2 жыл бұрын

No they haven't. Just watch his videos from the past.

@TM00777

2 жыл бұрын

I saw the similar comments for ARK ETF videos in 2020, and now, you see what happened for them in 2022.

your last presentation's claims almost a decade ago was precise to the pixel - your track record is stellar. So, thanks for this new one 🤩

There is a bit of a paradoxical disconnect between the idea that very few people will own their own vehicle in the future due to self-driving TaaS, and “you can power your house from your EV”. According to the TaaS theory most EVs will spend most of their time driving around, disconnected from the grid, rather than sitting around parked and spending significant time connected to the grid acting as energy storage.

Tony's greatest skill is the ability to tie everything together into a big picture and communicate it clearly.

My anatomy teacher is making me watch this.

Mind blowing. Tony you have fired up my Entrepreneurial mind. To tie this in with helping all of us survive together is very charitable and empathetic. We can do all of these things and we all need to become our own Engineer’s and Blacksmith’s. You are definitely worth supporting. Thank the Good Lord for you and your team 🙏

A clarity of Vision that is astonishing to behold!! Thank you, Tony!!

I really feel like we are the chosen ones. It’s crazy to me how we have access to this type of information while everyone is just living life with not a single idea about what is going to happen in this short amount of time.

@el1818

2 жыл бұрын

Another way to say... opportunity!

@tasd5673

2 жыл бұрын

Yet my friends and family won’t watch this stuff it’s to long ... but will watch movies n netflix

@applelinux2002

2 жыл бұрын

@@d.r.656 wait for impossible burger IPO?

@pbanther3902

2 жыл бұрын

the mantel of leadership? I want the cup to pass this is the third kick up along the side of my head in 3 days. WE get no choice, please don't use fear to motivate like this Sept 2021. Set an example HURRY

@alexlind2703

2 жыл бұрын

Yep that's true

Daaamn. Tony delivers the goods. Fantastic, as usual. I feel more hopeful than ever. Thank you!

@berttheace

2 жыл бұрын

YES, Tony delivers the most goods. And he understands the dependencies : kzread.info/dash/bejne/i5eg1pumqquWd6w.html

Wow. This video and information is gold. The whole world should be informed about these changes. Unfortunately, we are only interested about day to day stuff, like non-sense politics, celebrity break ups, etc. People generally resist change, just like many resisted the internet.

@davefroman4700

2 жыл бұрын

Actually That is a misnomer. The internet has experienced the same exponential S curve of adoption as every other technology. Within 3 years the entire world will be connected.

Mind-blowing brilliance. Technology disruption is here and cannot be avoided. This is similar to the impact of the Bitcoin protocol on the global monetary system. Thank you, Mr Seba

Truly brilliant presentation. He's spot on in terms of the social pattern that is emerging. Our global crisis can be boiled down to an energy balance problem. Once the convergence of technology allows for free super power, we can harness the additional free energy to terraform the planet. It's a complete disruption of social norms. Simply the best laid out forecast I've seen so far. A true visionary beyond our time.

Golden piece of information with 150 people watching (premiere), we the chosen one.

ALL HUMANS should watch this!!

Wow. Thanks! I can't remember the last time I was spellbound by every minute of an hour-long YT video. I knew several of the pieces of this (especially the growth and revolution parts), but never (until this video) have I seen it so well, or so powerfully, integrated into a single cohesive picture spanning an entire economy. For me, the greatest revelations were: 1) How quickly old ways die off. 2) How the new ways create "larger pies" that dwarf the best the old ways had ever yielded. This yields a great takeaway: When looking at the growth of a potentially disruptive technology, ALSO look at how the industry it replaces is faring. When both are simultaneously going in opposite directions AND the total market is growing, then it's time to take the change very, very seriously. The thing is, these are purely statistical estimates based on actual historical data. Many of the trends and predictions included error bars as shaded areas above and below the central trend line. In many cases, even the MOST PESSIMISTIC estimate, at the bottom of the lowest error margin, was more than enough to still trigger large scale change, with the only change being a small adjustment to when the tipping point would occur. I think that now defines "inevitability" for me.

Great presentation, thank you. Hope a lot of industry and political leaders are watching this. RethinkX should be at the world economic forum.

I wish more people listened to Tony. He makes so much sense.

Thank you Tony Seba. It's Feb 27, 2022 and there are so many examples of disruption for us to comtemplate and, in the case of natural disasters, mitigate. Anticipating disruption is our greatest weakness as a species because we think linearly. Besides technology disruptions we have wildfire, heat domes, drought, flooding, pandemics and war. We have a lot do to get ready.

When I 1st listened to tony nearly 10 years ago I thought his adoption rate for transportation,solar,batteries and everything was way too soon boy was I wrong this disruption is way early

@macioluko9484

2 жыл бұрын

Same here. It’s amazing how quickly this is happening

@nickkacures2304

2 жыл бұрын

@Macio Luko think about all the jobs that will change some people will win and others will be lost like in oil ,gas and coal just about everything will be disrupted .it’s as if we’re having a Great Leap Forward in human ingenuity over a very short time period

@macioluko9484

2 жыл бұрын

@@nickkacures2304 Absolutely. This is why Tony Seba underscores the importance of a controlled transition. These changes are coming whether we like them or not. It would be wise to inform the public as soon as possible and to focus on giving the people access to as much of this new tech as possible so that they can take care of themselves.

Every time I talk to people about Tony's prediction on disruption I am called an idiot like he was in 2014. A lot of education is going to be needed but Tony is one of very few beating this drum.

Tony Seba gives me hope for our future. Our children are saved!

@bnk9477

2 жыл бұрын

Only if we all do EVERYTHING possible to cut down our footprint on this planet right now.

@mtiedemann11

2 жыл бұрын

@@bnk9477 what's interesting, & hopeful, is his thesis that the economics will get us there, regardless. my thinking is that we need strong policy pushes to accelerate that, but his calculations show 90% GHG reduction by 3025+. But if we don't effectively manage the fallout of the disruptions, the implications for political/societal instability are frightening.

@bnk9477

2 жыл бұрын

@@mtiedemann11 What is frightning is that the co2 in the air, will stay ther for 30 years, if we stop all co2 emmision today. So for 30 years the temp. wil rise no matter what.

@HughButler35

2 жыл бұрын

The CO2 existing Seba says can be sucked out by using the land no longer used by agriculture by replanting into trees. So he has negative levels. That's as much as reduction.

@mtiedemann11

2 жыл бұрын

@@bnk9477 yes, we're in for a lot more "hell and high water" even if we ramp up our efforts globally asap. But we can reduce the extent of the damage by pushing hard now. What's hopeful about Tony's model is that we may move faster than expected.

The agriculture disruption is just nuts!!!.

Tony is a main reason why I invested in Tesla a few years ago, couldn't be happier. Looks like holding for the next decade will be in my favor.

I think most people will still want to have their own cars with all these technological advances as long as they can afford it. So it may seem to be too optimistic for the 2030 numbers.

@gbw28

2 жыл бұрын

I don’t know about most, but there will certainly be a lot of people who will want to own their own vehicle.

@zarekh8396

2 жыл бұрын

I would definitely still want my own vehicle- it brings much freedom to do and go as one pleases…especially if an last minute emergency arrives such as guests are soon arriving and a family member ate 2 slices of the birthday cake you bought yesterday, or your phone charger cable no longer works and you have 5% battery life- quick drive to the convenience store around the corner, etc you get my perceptive. And I can’t wait to own an EV automotive with 20 minutes to full charge = 500/mph - no more gas BS which is good for my wallet but hopefully the war over lab and oil fields will finish and peace can stand a chance. The ONLY feature I would want for my future EV car is that there will be the option to exclude WiFi / mobile technologies-- we’ve seen just a tip of cybercrime since COVID; data breaches, hackers selling people’s data or holding for ransom, colonial pipeline crash, spoofing, the thousands of scam texts & calls, identity theft, and they will be getting more and more creative to commit robbery without any weapon or witnesses - faceless located anywhere globally. So yes I am terrified one day I’ll be a target and the hacker takes control of my car 🚘 maybe they bought a life insurance on me x months/years ago and going to drive me into the lake or tragic accident for the payout. IDK what the motive since I’m not a criminal lol I just don’t trust technology with my life YET- especially after Facebook, Apple autofill and Google account & my saved passwords were breached and leaked online! I had alerts that 798 passwords were compromised! There is no way I can secure my 30 years of account logins quickly. I gave up after 100ish of the MOST important accounts……but honestly I don’t understand how these 3 giants security system got breached, they have proprietary technology/data so one would assume they have security system for their security system. And with the Massive DATA these corporates own , why hasn’t an arrest & prosecution for the leaks happened yet? So confused 🤔 either the group of hackers have been caught and I haven’t read it or they are dragging their feet giving em time for the next heist

I am happy to see that seba has finally started to take into account the risks that these revolutions will bring. He has been amazing at predicting technology disruption but in his past presentations he was always incredibly naive in terms of the downsides. Without something like UBI to create a safety net under the millions of people in every country that will loose their livelihoods will cause massive civil unrest. Even with UBI that unrest will exist and we are living in a time of completely incompetent politicians. They are not up to the task to lead the population to multiple new paradigms.

@Mike-ry8uo

2 жыл бұрын

I sense that people are already sensing the ground moving under their feet. Some people think that Kenneth Bone's "Red Sweater Guy" question changed the outcome of the 2016 election. This aint gonna be a flesh wound and people are not willing to hear it. How does/should communities caught on the wrong side of this, react?

@5353Jumper

2 жыл бұрын

The USA is feeling this more than most are aware. The number of citizens now basically working under the poverty line is around 40% and they all came from the former middle class. Reduction of wages vs production and consolidation of middle management jobs means there are a lot of people without disposable income. This has led to a severe reduction of genuine demand and would lead to economic collapse. Also the USA has always been a powerhouse due to the high demand, every country values the USA as a trading partner. This has been hidden by the raising spending on military, to maintain demand and GDP growth even though it is falling when it comes to actual genuine consumer spending. Also there is the trend of consumer debt to maintain spending, even though the actual wages do not justify the spending. All of this artificial demand is about to collapse and the veil will come off. The only way to prevent this is either the large companies start paying more for low end positions or we need something like a UBI. And this will need to come from top end tax brackets, because they are getting all the profitability from efficiency and automation. If they do not come around to this thinking then the economic decline from the realization of genuine consumer demand will just deflate their businesses.

@davefroman4700

2 жыл бұрын

The great technology convergences in history are responsible for the creation, and eventual distruction of every social/economic/political system in history. The arrival of the digital autonomous era will be the end of our current reality once again. You cannot maintain a system of centralized control in a reality of lateral network effects and efficiency. Knowledge and information are the cornerstones of the pyramid of power and always have been. Hierarchical structures have always relied on the control of information to enable their positions in our societies. Every time they lose control of the narrative? The people revolt.....

@LinasVepstas

2 жыл бұрын

Key to understanding social destabilization is the role of social media in delusional beliefs & mental health. In my experience (anecdotal), economic injury (loss of job, loss of investments) is accompanied by stress (well, duhh!) which leads to poor thinking and poor planning, paving the way to nutty side of social media - flat earth, chemtrails, conspiracy theory - but also delusional populist political beliefs. We can already see a significant fraction of our political classes are stark raving nutty, and are writing legislation in line with their whacked beliefs. They are supported in their efforts by a deluded base feeding on contagious memes from social media. The covid pandemic is one thing, the mental health pandemic is ... more dangerous.

@davefroman4700

2 жыл бұрын

@@LinasVepstas That is because psychologically speaking our entire social/economic model today is actually the antithesis of what it means to be a member of the human species. The entire institutional and belief structure that is at the base of this dog eat dog system is the result of Malthusian/Darwinian era beliefs about human behavior and value. None of which is supported by modern behavioral science. And people wonder why we have a mental health and addiction (Escapism from trauma) crisis on our hands??? Smh....

Typically, bloody brilliant Mr.Seba. Thank you so much!!!

So much in this - an awesome presentation.

I like the pics of the Easter parade from 1900 and 1913. A friend pointed out that the picture was not indicative of the over all number of horses in the streets in NY or in rural US and in fact horses were still used, for moving merchandise up until trucks took over in the 20's. But for those that could afford them, cars became quite popular, going from over 4000 cars were sold in the US in 1900, but that number rose to 356,000 12 years later. Horses were not just gone and the picture although interesting in that it showed that the rich and well off could afford the luxury much like the rich could afford the upper Tesla's, not all horses were privately owned and they did not just disappear from the scene although after pavement came in for the roads, many would slip and die as it was a great deal slippery than dirt roads. Add to that the waste product of manure and urine were a health hazard as time moved on, and how the animals were ill treated and it was not long before they were more or less taken out of service.

Simply the most interesting video I have seen in KZread in a while!

I love this guy's keen observations. He can have access to the same information as other people yet he can see what no one else does. Of course he might not be 100% accurate but he's WAY ahead of most.

We are past the point of rupture for our social structure already today as well. Labor is now adverse to productivity and efficiency in our digitally enabled reality. And we are no match for the learning machine. The next 10 years will be more disruptive to our social order than the arrival of the first industrial revolution. The following decade will be 16x as disruptive as technology continues to improve exponentially. The convergence of virtually free limitless energy, AI and autonomous platforms WILL disrupt the capitalist model.

Tony ALWAYS brings it! Thanks so much for the great info! See you down the line as this all plays out!

Hi Tony, love your reasoning, really really super great! I believe adding one or two technologies will further lower the total operating cost: 1. Energy autobidder (Probably already implied) 2. Ultra high voltage direct current transmission cables. Connecting different weather regions will significantly lower level of overproduction and / or necessary battery capacity.

@davefroman4700

2 жыл бұрын

You cant do high voltage DC. The cables would be as thick as a human torso. We went through this whole debate at the turn of the century and AC won for a good reason.

@TillFoerster

2 жыл бұрын

@@davefroman4700 en.wikipedia.org/wiki/High-voltage_direct_current

Tony, Phew! Thanks! Shocks and disruptions and collapse of old systems! Astrologers have been predicting the same!

He doesn't invest or run a fund, rely on clickbait, or have an over-the-top "Hey guys, what's happening?" persona. He doesn't ask you to help out the algorithm by liking, subscribing, and sharing. He only offers startling information and graphics. He's perfect. The least he could do was play some annoying music, like a pounding drum, so we'd have something to complain about.

Excellent work... if humans would only not as complacent as they are...

Hope for a clean, affordable future without ending life on Earth by our actions.

Mind-Blown!!!! You are the MAN Tony! Its unfortunate that very few will listen and heed your message.

This is super insightful. As an engineer I’m exhilarated and pumped to go build the future, but as a person I see a lot of people whose entire lives and ways of living are going to be rendered irrelevant and unneeded. I also see prime conditions for revolution, totalitarianism, and the wholesale destruction of culture. This is going to be a very bumpy ride, and it’s probably going to end badly for most of us.

@davefroman4700

2 жыл бұрын

Historically speaking the great technological convergences have been responsible for the creation, and eventual obsolescence of ever social/economic model in history. It goes all the way back to the Sumerians in Anthropology. The old system collapses and a new one emerges. They have always led us forward as a civilization. And our current system? Has never been scientifically valid in the first place. That is why our society is falling apart. Its a garbage environment that is the antithesis of what it means to be a member of the human species.

@orhanmekic9292

Жыл бұрын

You need to see the big picture. People are only getting more humane, and quality of life is only improving, generally. Sure there are political divides, but that has always existed (even though media would like you to think differently).

@sosaysthecaptain5580

Жыл бұрын

@@orhanmekic9292 Hard disagree. People are becoming soft and losing their humanity.

Thank you Tony! I'm glad to see that the numbers on what it takes to get us to 100% solar are being presented to the right audiences! All it takes is less than 1% of GDP per year for 10 years, i.e. 500 GW per year of PV/Solar! The fossils are pumping all the money they can spare into continuing the obfuscation of reality, but soon the whole nation will understand how easy it will be to leave the fossils behind.

@Apjooz

2 жыл бұрын

Seba is too cautious because he doesn't factor in that cheap solar will drive down the cost of batteries an additional 80% or 90%.

We have been told! I wouldn't bet against this prediction plus Tony Seba's tracks record is pretty good as is his analysis. Governments need to be useful, but given their dependency on pleasing legacy it will be difficult. Too late to stop this now I think.

What all car oem´s forget is a disruption in the auto industry. Only Tesla understands this. Looking forward to hear what he has to say.

@incognitotorpedo42

2 жыл бұрын

They didn't forget. They know now.

@osimmac

2 жыл бұрын

Check out aptera motors. Tesla is just a stepping stone.

@bnk9477

2 жыл бұрын

@@osimmac jesus...

Everything just makes sense. Thank you so much for this.

Imagine the desalination possible with all that cheap power..... Also need DC high voltage interconnecting all the States... Or ideally around the globe.... Thank you Tony

@somedude-lc5dy

2 жыл бұрын

- yes, I think lots of energy-intensive industries will start switching to models that adapt usage based on generation. probably through specific rate regimes they negotiate with producers. so not just desalination, but steel, concrete, etc. - no need for HVDC, even 765kv AC lines can have as low as 0.5% loss over 100mi. that is sufficient. whichever low-loss, high voltage system we can build fastest should be the one we build. if that's megavolt DC, so be it. - that said, I wonder if we'll hit another disruption where it stops making sense to even have large electrical grids. the cost to build and maintain those lines might end up higher than just keeping the generation and storage near the user, possibly even 100% within the same house if the roof space is big enough. cities will still be too dense to avoid having a grid, but rural areas might just totally drop off the grid.

@21simper

2 жыл бұрын

@@somedude-lc5dy exactly....so many possibilities... I totally agree about out side inner-city areas... I think the grid will become unviable as more properties drop off.... So much change coming

@davefroman4700

2 жыл бұрын

That is NOT going to happen. Not in DC current. There is a reason DC lost out to AC back in the day and that is the costs. You cannot send DC long distances. The longer the distance the thicker the cable has to get and the substations would have to be one every five miles.

Hi Tony! Thanks for this great video. You gave us some useful information therefore we will give a tip to you. We tried really hard to find this video for a re-watch and couldn't. At least not on KZread alone. We think you can use some help re-organizing your posting language, keywords for a much improved search result in your favor. No exterior source of help required except perhaps a 30 minute how to video on searchable keywords : #Tesla #Electric Vehicle #EV #Disruption #Priceparity #Future Cheers! Yevgen

This is all you need to know to understand the future and to be a successful investor in disruptive companies. Thanks so much!

@davefroman4700

2 жыл бұрын

You do not understand fully what is happening. Our economic model is built upon the premise of scarcity. It will no longer be valid in a post scarcity environment.

Awesome! Work! Tony!. Thank you! You're the best!.

So ..... I love this explanation of disruptive technologies, and I am excited for how this might *maybe* save our planet from destruction. In the process, going to go Short on Ford and GM, YOLO on Tesla and solar/batteries.... and if it all comes together in the next 10 years, my kids will be set for life on a cleaner planet. NICE !!

Mind blown. Super power and protein fermentation bring it all home. Thx.

I'd love to see Tony take a hard look at regenerative agriculture, to see where its adoption is on it's own S curve. This will negate the need for farmers to pay for inputs like fertilizer, and it will allow for drawdown of carbon into the soil. Downsides exist for Ag and chemical companies. It's technology that can vastly improve yields of crops. Again, less land needed to grow food (or fuel... I'm looking at you, Ethanol... another negative s curve coming right at you). Farming is massively impacted. How much oversupply will there be? How about the robotics revolution in agriculture? We will need fewer farmers and farmhands. All of this at once... it sounds like a huge amount of unemployment in soo many sectors. Scraping that $250/month for the American dream may be really hard for a huge part of the population, despite the apparent low price.

@davefroman4700

2 жыл бұрын

Ive done that. Its a little early but it appears to be also on its way to the 5% tipping point. It got a huge boost during the pandemic. Lot of people chose to check out of the rat race and the trend is continuing.

When experts fail drastically on predictions it might also depend on their authority position they try to defend.

@berttheace

2 жыл бұрын

Yes, that's right. To avoid the main failure we have to TUNE OVERPOPULATION NOW : kzread.info/dash/bejne/i5eg1pumqquWd6w.html

@donfields1234

2 жыл бұрын

@@berttheace overpopulation? That is not the problem, suppression of technology and manipulation of resources and markets to instill FEAR IS WTFU

@berttheace

2 жыл бұрын

@@donfields1234 Worldpopulation DOUBLES every 50 Years: - 1870 ONE Billion - 1920 TWO Billion - 1970 FOUR Billion - 2020 EIGHT Billion - 2070 SIXTEEN Billion (UN predicted scenario maximum) THAT's our MAIN PROBLEM !!!! And the Solution is TAX- Advantages for NONE- and ONE- Child Families. WE don't have an other option ... 👍👍

TRUE! R&D has been done aplenty. We need to deploy 500GW per year of Solar/PV in the United States. It's CHEAP!!!

Thank you Tony. Excellent presentation.

That was the most interesting presentation I have seen. It will potentially have the effect of protecting the planet. The biggest challenge will be keeping society on board, managing persoanl expectations and what employment will look like. But it's really exciting!

Wow, what absolutely fantastic and eye opening information🙏

Fascinating and encouraging given the threat posed from Global Warming.I also think this could signal a colapse in house prices as land becomes cheaper and houses become much easier to and cheaper to build-think 3D printing and robotics.The construction Industry is also due for massive disruption.

I've continued applying Tony's ideas to technology news and noticed some surprising developments: 1. The EV/AV traffic transition is already here - in delivery drones. A few weeks ago, Walmart announced expansion from a test deployment to service in multiple US states serving 4 million customers. They expect to serve 1 million deliveries. A drop in the bucket relative to total vehicle miles, but that's still a lot of trips taken off the roads! Amazon has followed up by announcing its own testing zone, so the race to replace the last mile has truly started now. 2. The most cost-efficient use of a TaaS fleet is going to gravitate towards vehicles that fit exactly the capacities needed - so one or two people and a bag will be the most likely base unit, which makes ebike or scooter service an attractive starting point. Larger vehicles can exist for group travel or cargo, but the mindset of mass transit vs individual - of putting a crowd on a bus vs driving a mostly-empty car - is likely to shift in favor of these smaller vehicles in regions with mild weather(enclosed cabin variants are a small upgrade). And as luck would have it, those rentals already exist *today* through Bird, Spin, Lime, etc. These companies found a niche that let them rapidly iterate on their platforms, bootstrapping themselves from a dockless environment with humans employed to move around and charge the fleets, and some(like Spin) have already gotten to work on testing AV features. When it's possible to call a bike and have it arrive like a taxi, drive itself with minimal intervention(which may not even need a complete level 4 style system), and then finish your ride and have it return to a safe parking spot, the puzzle is nearly complete, and the last task necessary for TaaS to start gobbling market share is to lobby city officials into massive expansion of bike paths and charge docks. By end of 2023 I expect it will become obvious what has happened as footage of transformed test markets starts to pop up. The groundwork is already here in cities which pushed forward their bike infrastructure during the pandemic lockdowns.

I love the content Tony. Nice work! One area that I think draws faulty assumptions is in equating synthesis of proteins with Nutrition. All the nutrition from Meat and animal products in general is not fully understood. What is understood is that protein is not equivalent to nutrition. Many agricultural products are actually anti-nutrients and while this is not yet widely accepted the data is there (e.g consumption of corn leaches magnesium+ from humans). Modifying human food from the evolutionary diet is what has caused the prevalence of diseases in humans (and animals for that matter). The modern era of Grains, Sugar, seed oils and other mineral depleting foods has been at the root cause for cardiovascular and other modern human diseases that were never prevalent in ancestors. This information will become more widely accepted and understood by the masses in the future. Big Pharma and Big Agg will actually decline once the cause and effect linkage becomes widely acknowledged. Local meat farms will likely increase as a result. So I suggest that one disruption will likely be opposite of what is proposed here. As for the milk products you reference, The act of consuming milk or milk products from another mammal will likely be proven to have negative health implications. Data will likely show that what is healthy for one mammal is not the same for another; i.e. very different nutritional needs via evolution.

@davidx.1504

2 жыл бұрын

I somewhat agree with this. Grains, modern table sugar, and high Omega 6 veg oils have been wrecking human health for longer than many have realized, and reproducing those milk proteins may end up worsening the problem because of those proteins effects on insulin. If This does become well understood, I too think it is possible meat farms will increase in market share/value in the food market. However, I don't think dairy is necessarily in trouble, and I don't think precision fermentation is necessarily a bad thing. The dairy industry is still the chief manufacturer/distributor of something else, something that could become even more valuable than dairy proteins: milk fat. Milk fat is quite beneficial in human nutrition, and if the dairy industry pivots to selling that in large quantities instead of the proteins to a population that knows how bad dairy protein is, they may just switch to eating these high fat, low protein, low carb dairy products. Additionally, precision fermentation may be able to produce not just proteins as the end product, but also producing fats. If we use precision fermentation to produce healthy fats like those in milk fat, avocados, etc, and adjust it to not make proteins that we know negatively affect health, it could be the way to ensure healthy food is made on a scale for cheap

Still one of the most influential speakers on KZread. Lost count how many times I've forwarded his videos. It amazes me though how people can't imagine impending disruption despite having lived through some several already (digital cameras, smartphones, Uber etc)

Years ago when digital watches came out we were working on a digital sextant for navigation at sea, But GPS made the sextant a lost art.

@brunosmith6925

2 жыл бұрын

Great anecdote - thanks for sharing it with us.

Fantastic presentation. I never considered food as part of the energy transformation I learnt a lot thank you!

Respect to you. Thank you Tony.

Such a fantastic collection and presentation of data.

Great presentation of a really inspirational possible future. Tony you have truly great visionary abilities in line with Elon Musk and Cathy Woods!

what a treat! hearing from yoy again! Thanks

incredible!!! Really mind blowing!!! You can already see the trend in our economy. BIG changes coming and unfortunately so many do NOT see it coming! They will wish for the old days but life will have the potential of being soooo much better.

Fantastic work...we just have to deal with the civil unrest this disruption will bring. The benefits of cost savings will need to be diverted to those who will lose out because of these disruptions otherwise we all may fail to benefit.

@brunosmith6925

2 жыл бұрын

Very true, David... Major collapse in established industries is good fodder for social unrest - possibly even civil war.

@5353Jumper

2 жыл бұрын

If the petroleum industry loses 80% of it's demand on a decade yep that will be a pretty big shake up for the employment market. Particularly because it is being replaced by something with a lot less labor required for production as well as all the distribution network and cargo transportation jobs. It is going to be a pretty big bandaid to rip off. The petroleum industry will survive as we still need materials and lubricants but yeah demand is going down big time if we stop burning their product.

What an extraordinary presentation! 'Shared it widely... Thank you so much for your brilliant and positive work !

If a state development agency wanted to attract new business, cheap energy would be a powerful selling point in their recruitment.

a future worth getting exited about

thanks tony seba always appreciate your perspective and your data, very informative and what an amazing future, to me this presentation is worth 20-50 tom cruise movies working decent wage world wide UBI by 2030 or shits gonna hit the fan made by printing new money, not taxes. what its ok to print new money for big banks and rich people to benefit, but not for humanity?(where aforementioned people would benefit too anyway?)

Very insightful. I sincerely hope that politicians / legislative take heed. One thing I am concerned about is that the politicians in America are paid (donated) by the very same companies that will fight this tooth and nail.

21:30 wonder about market/capital opportunities surrounding this. Very exciting to re-design cities for humans instead of the automobile.

Profound.

Thank you!, looking forward to seeing this coming!

Only 107k people have watched this. Really its something everyone in the world who either has a job, runs a business, has a pension fund or other investments, or plans to buy a car or house in the next 5 years should look at. Ie. everyone needs to know this.

Mindblowing changes. Very good explained. The Tesla autopilot is not accurate, must compare to other cars of same age, price etc.

Unfortunately the people that really need to listen to this won't.

24:14 Waymo lidar is done. Pure Vision has won out.

@brunosmith6925

2 жыл бұрын

Agreed... It will be interesting to see if any "non-Tesla" FSD technologies will ever be viable.

@davidx.1504

2 жыл бұрын

That's not his focus. He doesn't care which version of AV wins, just the effects of AV robotaxis

BYD can make the safest electric battery for $95 / kWh. The LFP battery is not raw material constrained either. No cobalt, no nickel, no manganese.

The one area in which I disagree with Tony is in the conclusion that there will be fewer total cars. Yes, you get more efficiency with TaaS, therefore each car does more, however, as the cost of transportation falls, demand will increase. For example, if individual Robo-taxi AEVs are cheaper per mile than existing public transportation, then people will stop taking public transportation, increasing the required number of cars. This is along the lines that ARK has concluded about how Autonomous Platooned Semi Trucks will be cheaper per freight mile than trains… what will happen? More Semis. So while I agree that parking requirements will plummet, I think traffic will get worse until a 3D solution like tunnels comes along.

@maryjane3298

2 жыл бұрын

We might not need the 3D solution if the way AEV fleets drive in more efficient way. For example, stop and go traffic on the highway is caused by human driving inefficiencies. (Look up videos on why we have traffic)

@DuarteMolha

2 жыл бұрын

It you dedicate 1 lane of the motorways to only robotaxis they could drive at 120miler per hour inches from each other in safety. There is more than enought road infrastructure to accommodate a huge increase in robotaxis it you get the humans our of their dedicated lanes.

Thank you !

Truly visionary work. 🤯

Tony, it'd be great to hear from you again. The Batteries piece of the 100% WSB plan continues to be the sticky wicket. Can you make any prognostications about the future of stationary energy storage, particularly various flow batteries vs. lithium ion? Can your disruption analysis framework also pick out winning future techs from a field of emerging, unproven competitors? Thanks & regards, G.M. o/

Is the Rethinking Humanity book available in audio? Tony Seba and his team are using real data as a “crystal ball” to accurately predict disruptive activity. This is incredible content.

@brunosmith6925

2 жыл бұрын

Not sure if on audio - check out: www.rethinkx.com/

@Tony-cj6jy

2 жыл бұрын

It's more of a research report with graphs then a book so i don't think it would translate well into an audio book. It's 77 pages without notes and references. I think it might be the most important witten work i've ever come across in my life.

@fauxjaux

2 жыл бұрын

@@Tony-cj6jy I will be download it, such great info, I appreciate this work so much!!

@brunosmith6925

2 жыл бұрын

@@d.r.656 You should advance to "The Very Hungry Caterpillar" - but not sure you have sufficient reading skills.

@remboldt

2 жыл бұрын

@@d.r.656 that is one of the most bizarre books I have ever read haha

He google algorithm: I want this kind of stuff in my news feed immediately. Thank "you".

Thank you.

This makes me so optimistic

Reading many of the comments, I'm amazed that not one is as dismayed as I at what you are describing. The positive possibilities of these converging technologies would be marvelous IF we had a society and a leadership to work together for the good of the whole. I do not see any possibility of that. Greedy sectors of society, power hungry inept leaders with competing goals, lack of vision and compassion are going to cause terrible disruption and destruction. I am frightened at the turmoil that is about to erupt. All the elements that you listed at the end -"we need"...we need.....cannot possibly be accomplished by the fractured leadership with power at the present. I believe this report and I am terrified.

@beilkster

2 жыл бұрын

I respectfully disagree. These converging technologies are occurring DESPITE the current leadership or societal unity. Would the transition be smother/ faster if we all agreed, yes, but then it wouldn't be an issue to pat ourselves on the back in the name of unity because it was just obvious to all. Who should get to determine "the good of the whole"? That's a messy question. If framed from a career stability then no industry would ever change. In the end the market and regulations ultimately decide, but in the mean time people elect those that make the regulations. There are a lot of people resisting change so they don't need to uncomfortably transition to another industry and start at square one again.

This is profound!

Very, very, informative!

While it is shown that SWB can work, the cost of 4 days of battery storage will certainly open up more possibilities for grid energy storage and improved grid interconnections. We should have one highly interconnected grid in North America to reduce the need for batteries. We could convert some of the 35 GW of quebec hydro to pumped storage, and new thermal storage and batteries made from low cost materials will surely help.

Thank you

Completely and totally amazing. Thank you so much for the information!

When I was a kid in the early 1960’s, EVERYTHING was brought to the block or delivered to the house. We had the fruit truck, the milk man, the ice cream man, the soda man, the egg man, the knife sharpener truck, the amusement park truck, (e.g. the Whip ride that cost a dime), the soap man, etc. It was an oil based economy when gas/diesel trucks were cheap enough to make economic sense for these businesses on wheels to drive around neighborhoods. I’ve been longing for years to have an AFFORDABLE electric truck business in which I could drive around through neighborhoods all day to deliver my goods and/or services, just like in the old days, but this time with clean energy. Tony, how soon do you see that being possible?

@MarcoTrillion

6 ай бұрын

Now! 😅😊

@georgeginsburg545

6 ай бұрын

@@MarcoTrillion Now with a Cybertruck, it could be done! 😀

It must be extremely difficult for authorities to plan for the future if official organs make completely erroneus forecasts.

This will change the way I invest in the stock market.

+1 Thanks so much !!! from Taiwan .