The fight for TSMC is heating up

Ғылым және технология

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TSMC, Taiwan's semiconductor giant is on top of the world. They completely dominate the chip industry. Yet they may lose due to politics, technical issues, cost issue or all of the above.
The Story Behind - ep. 94
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Пікірлер: 661

  • @TechAltar
    @TechAltar Жыл бұрын

    As of now, we have a $20 off yearly subscriptions for Nebula if you sign up with my links: nebula.tv/techaltar Interview with Tim Culpan (Bloomberg): nebula.tv/videos/techaltar-tsmc-interview-tim-culpan-bloomberg Interview with Jon Y (Asianometry): nebula.tv/videos/techaltar-tsmc-interview-jon-asianometry Also fun fact, I now have a Nebula exclusive Class and a Podcast as well!

  • @1dappa

    @1dappa

    Жыл бұрын

    One point i think might have an impact in this space over the next 5 years is AI in chip design. Google has made some good headway in this, but soon we could see positive impact on costs from designs created by AI in a fraction of the time with a fraction of the resources, to be sent to fabs. I guess to be fair AI is a whole separate topic with a lot of potential to change everything once the arms race truly heats up. We could see exponential gains once more powerful/efficient chips get designed, implemented and then lead to more powerful AI designing even greater chips etc.

  • @theMarhaenist

    @theMarhaenist

    Жыл бұрын

    Everything is bad about Asian according to wh!73 europeans is it?

  • @woolfel
    @woolfel Жыл бұрын

    I think you're missing an important factor. It's not like Intel, Samsung, TSMC or Global just randomly makes engineering decisions. The key reason is TSMC got ahead is talent. The reason they stayed ahead is they grow the talent to make sure the talent pipeline stays full. Before Gelsinger, Intel had non-engineering executives who failed to nurture talent. One of the first things Gelsinger did when he returned was to bring back the old talent. You can get ASML machines, but without talented engineers you won't be able to deliver. If Intel wants to take back the lead, they'll need to make sure they setup a culture that nurtures younger engineers to fill the talent pipeline. Without that, Intel will fall behind again when the old guys retire again.

  • @woolfel

    @woolfel

    Жыл бұрын

    @@GeorgeWashingtonLaserMusket I moved to the US from Taiwan when I was a kid. One thing we (ie US) have problem with is our culture devalues certain types of jobs. As a result, professions like fabs and EE aren't considered as "sexy" as being in a startup. Working in a fab is grueling tough and requires a certain mindset. There are people willing to work those jobs, but not enough fill the demand. Until we fix the culture issue, I don't think we'll be able to take the lead back. There's also the anti-science sentiment across the US the last 2 decades. That isn't helping draw talent into the fab industry. As much as politicians want to give handouts to Intel, they aren't doing jack to fix the actual problem of declining public education. Who is gonna work the fabs? Are they going to ship engineers from Taiwan over to Arizona?

  • @LiveType

    @LiveType

    Жыл бұрын

    @@woolfel I'm almost certain that's tsmc's plan. Ship taiwan engineers into the US and pay them the same wage and then wonder why they leave after 2-3 years when the US problems become apparent to them and they jump ship to others that will pay them literally 2x as much. The US is very screwed. There are so many underlying cultural problems that are only now beginning to noticeably effect life for people which is shocking that it took "this long" for average folks to begin noticing. From when I graduated to now, there has been a precipitous drop in the average quality of engineers in the US. Dont get me wrong there are still lots of very skilled folks, but they get diluted out by the "slackers" to the point where it doesn't super matter if they are skilled because they will still have a tough time finding a job that can take advantage of that skill. You literally HAVE to start your own company at this point once you gain enough experience for what to do. It's honestly sad. You can tell when things are in decline before the decline actually happens.

  • @TykoBrian7

    @TykoBrian7

    Жыл бұрын

    @@woolfel America is full of dumb conspiracy theorists.

  • @woolfel

    @woolfel

    Жыл бұрын

    @@TykoBrian7 I wish that wasn't the case, but sadly it's true.

  • @theforsakeen-9014

    @theforsakeen-9014

    Жыл бұрын

    @@woolfel How can there be anti-science sentiment in the US when all the design is made there? the truth is no US company will ever be able to rival tsmc unless they get the same level of government subsidies as them.

  • @user-ig3ln6yq4t
    @user-ig3ln6yq4t Жыл бұрын

    morris is an elderly person who is respected by all Taiwanese.Taiwanese people are very grateful to him.

  • @MadOrange644

    @MadOrange644

    Жыл бұрын

    Because he’s simply a genius.

  • @maximme

    @maximme

    Жыл бұрын

    US will "nationalise" the factory and its tech by saying its NATIONAL SECURITY interest is at stake. TSMC will not have any option.

  • @MichaelSidneyTimpson

    @MichaelSidneyTimpson

    Жыл бұрын

    @@maximme The US has already been working closely with TSMC and has been working with the Taiwanese government unofficially and not all that secretly for years. In fact, a part of US's defense budget and R&D is actually dedicated to that. There's definitely some vaults in the US that has all the TSMC's master blueprints, that can be opened in case of crisis. The problem for China is TSMC's factories are of no use without the experts who know how to run them, and, as Ukraine shows, they likely would not be standing any longer anyway if a war broke out. The CCP knows this, so threats are effectively more for power and negotiation. For the US, Taiwan is not just essential for technology, but geographic defense=China at the moment could be completely cut off nearly all resources, and have their export economy, which is actually highly dependent on imports. The island chains from the Malacca Straits all the way to Japan and Korea, China could be cut off from all shipping; bad economy is the quickest way for the CCP to have unrest and lose their power (as the cycle of Chinese history shows.) Nevertheless, who wants anyone to die? Diplomacy and negotiation is always in everyone's best interest.

  • @ThePowerLover

    @ThePowerLover

    Жыл бұрын

    @@maximme You're confusing China with the US.

  • @zzzz6511

    @zzzz6511

    Жыл бұрын

    @@ThePowerLover lol US is the aggressor here not China you blind fool

  • @robertlee4172
    @robertlee417211 ай бұрын

    The story of Morris Chang is impressive. His education, his work experience, then as a CEO, surpassed many of his contemporaries in the industry. It would be a shame if his greatest investment in the US, is scuttled by some politician's misguided vision of "Buy US made". Chang is, after all, one of the greatest engineers to have worked his entire career at Texas Instruments.

  • @ksawerykaminski2606
    @ksawerykaminski2606 Жыл бұрын

    USA does have big reason to protect Taiwan at all cost. The whole world is almost revovled around by TSMC and ASML.

  • @Anomize23

    @Anomize23

    Жыл бұрын

    Dont forget military tech too.

  • @akilimali_ndag

    @akilimali_ndag

    5 ай бұрын

    You're delusional. Taiwan is and was part of China. The US is trouble maker, stupid politicians

  • @williamchen8423
    @williamchen8423 Жыл бұрын

    I just want the best for tsmc’s ceo, and the best for Taiwan 🇹🇼

  • @LZentertainments
    @LZentertainments Жыл бұрын

    It's hard to describe just how value a video like this is to me. Thank you so much. This is exactly the content I live for. You condense so much valuable knowledge into something understandable for everyone. There are so many wrong assumptions and misinformation surrounding a company like TSMC, but you find a way to legitimacy inform people, through your unique understanding of both very tangible technology and the business world. I would so love for more content in the style of this video, for other technology companies - both big and small, but in particular those who are underestimated or highly complex.

  • @ListenHereOldMan

    @ListenHereOldMan

    Жыл бұрын

    i support free speech and all but your pfp should be illegal

  • @Bound4Earth

    @Bound4Earth

    Жыл бұрын

    The video is valuable because propaganda? It is anything but unbiased. Might as well be a mainstream media video about Chinese balloons being problematic.

  • @wenceslaolopez6752
    @wenceslaolopez6752 Жыл бұрын

    Much appreciated video. If I may give a suggestion: A date of reference for the charts would help to give some perspective on the given information, specially on market-related figures. Because your analysis is quite good, when people visit this videos in the future, the original dates of the data help setting it on the current timeframe. Again, thank you for your content.

  • @ShankayLoveLadyL
    @ShankayLoveLadyL Жыл бұрын

    Alright, you managed to convince me, I'll go to nebula next week and get the subscription, because the interview should be highly educative and very interesting. It's just wonderful to see this very old channel stick to it's roots and always high quality content. Respectful salute to you Sir.

  • @TechAltar

    @TechAltar

    Жыл бұрын

    Happy to hear!

  • @jeffbrownstain

    @jeffbrownstain

    Жыл бұрын

    Nebula is the 200,000th most popular site on the internet. In Brazil. The average page visit lasts only one click, roughly 50k page views per day, with the average time spent on site being under five minutes. As much as I'd like to support small creators, this is just beating a dead horse. The future of all content is free.

  • @patricko9479

    @patricko9479

    Жыл бұрын

    @@jeffbrownstain And how do you think creators should be payed? Not at all?

  • @jeffbrownstain

    @jeffbrownstain

    Жыл бұрын

    @@patricko9479 Ad revenue would work fine if youtube stopped being a douche. Subscription services are dying all around right now, some never took off to begin with. Sponsors also work just fine, so long as they aren't sponsoring you to SELL THEIR product only. Though really, yeah I'd prefer it if we all just created for the sake of creation rather than for profit. I've given my art away for free for decades now, and everything I spend money on eventually belongs to something else also. It hasn't made my life any worse off in any way. Contrary to popular belief, you don't actually need money to survive, just for stuff.

  • @prajwaljn6768

    @prajwaljn6768

    Жыл бұрын

    @@jeffbrownstain Right we only need air no need for mooney.

  • @kmir4597
    @kmir4597 Жыл бұрын

    I wish I had channels like these in my youth to get me interested in topics that seemed so 'mundane' to me when I was studying.

  • @cvdavis
    @cvdavis Жыл бұрын

    Great overview. Clear, concise and provides link to more information. Thanks

  • @jimmcnevin9367
    @jimmcnevin9367 Жыл бұрын

    Awesome, highly informative, and educational as usual!

  • @wowbuthow3751
    @wowbuthow3751 Жыл бұрын

    Thanks for this! Was looking all over for info on this, and nobody did it like you do!

  • @sauravagarwal4412
    @sauravagarwal4412 Жыл бұрын

    Who would've known that TSMC might have turned that smile curve into a Frown curve!

  • @DragonOfTheMortalKombat

    @DragonOfTheMortalKombat

    Жыл бұрын

    1000 IQ move by TSMC

  • @ibejeph
    @ibejeph Жыл бұрын

    Just found your channel. Great stuff. Thanks for the video!

  • @kenkioqqo
    @kenkioqqo Жыл бұрын

    Very well presented. I loved every bit of it. As a huge tech fan, I don't know how I'm just discovering this channel and it seems to have been around for a while. New subscriber alert!!!

  • @tariq3077
    @tariq3077 Жыл бұрын

    This episode was very educational. Thank you!

  • @BMW_M-Performance
    @BMW_M-Performance Жыл бұрын

    I just recently stumbled upon your channel. I really enjoy your saturday chillout podcast. I like both your voices, they are nice to listen to

  • @mgkole
    @mgkole Жыл бұрын

    Great analysis, I've enjoyed listening.

  • @Dahneey27
    @Dahneey27 Жыл бұрын

    Maybe I'm in the wrong here, but it would be better phrased as "TSMC hasn't made a bad decision that hurt them in the long run." They've been on a roll since 16 nm, but before that they invested in 32nm and scrapped it later due to not having enough buyers (Radeon HD 6000 series kinda sucked due to being stuck on 40 nm), and their late jump to FinFET meant that their 20 nm process still used planar technology, and was really bad in terms of leakage (Snapdragon 810 was very much a victim of that, also the reason for Nvidia keeping Maxwell on 28 nm).

  • @TheDude50447

    @TheDude50447

    Жыл бұрын

    AMD Bulldozer was also on 32nm. Well it didnt sell though :D

  • @nahometesfay1112

    @nahometesfay1112

    Жыл бұрын

    So did these have less of an effect because they weren't as important or because TSMC handled their mistakes better?

  • @MrHav1k
    @MrHav1k Жыл бұрын

    This is a fantastic video. Thank you!!

  • @TheSteveSteele
    @TheSteveSteele Жыл бұрын

    Going sub nanometer is the greatest roadblock ahead. Glad you mentioned it.

  • @vittorio870
    @vittorio870 Жыл бұрын

    Your mic setup has very clear audio. Do you mind sharing the brand or the buy link ?? thanks.👍

  • @thztan7492
    @thztan7492 Жыл бұрын

    Always like this kind of deep dive explanation video like this🙂. Thank you for creating it👍🙏

  • @xntumrfo9ivrnwf
    @xntumrfo9ivrnwf Жыл бұрын

    I don't know why, but I find the short intro music and lighting to your videos very cool

  • @taorente7438
    @taorente7438 Жыл бұрын

    In June 2021, TSMC started to provide N5A military-grade 5nm chip manufacturing service for high performance computing and high-end AI chips. That will enables the military chip designer of Taiwan, the US, Europe and Japan to apply and design high-tech AI weapons, or to upgrade the arms to be the AI enabled ones.

  • @itamarayenau2729
    @itamarayenau2729 Жыл бұрын

    great video as usual!!

  • @mai9
    @mai9 Жыл бұрын

    Very interesting video, thanks!

  • @sebastianmuller4649
    @sebastianmuller4649 Жыл бұрын

    If compute stops being the limiting factor for performance and memory & I/O concerns take over (as is already the case in many AI applications), how would that affect TSMC? I’ve read that Intel has great photonics (for I/O), and other companies may have some sort of advantage as well.

  • @aravindpallippara1577

    @aravindpallippara1577

    Жыл бұрын

    3d stacking is one way to introduce more interconnects

  • @Steamrick

    @Steamrick

    Жыл бұрын

    TSMC is also working on packaging. Look at the chiplets stuff that AMD is doing, for instance - that's done in TSMC fabs.

  • @ThirdLife86

    @ThirdLife86

    Жыл бұрын

    Why would it affect TSMC ? You still need a chip to compute regardless of your other architectural issues like Memory.

  • @haakoflo

    @haakoflo

    Жыл бұрын

    That depends on where the bottleneck is. If there isn't enough memory per GPU/TPU, just add more. This provides more $ to memory manufacturers, but TSMC gets to keep most of their share. If the interconnect is slow, make a faster interconnect (like NVLink). Which probably depends on TSMC silicon. More disk throughput? Add more pcie lanes, and maybe add DPU's. Both probably good for TSMC. Often, though, the main effect of memory and IO limitations is that the ML pipeline that prepares batches for the GPU's/TPU's need to be streamlined. Reading from disk, cleaning, uncompressing and making the datasets available to the GPU/TPU precisely at the right time, at speeds that could be 100s of GB/s requires a lot of work on the software side, but not really any new hardware. Memory latency is helped by 3D stacking, as already mentioned. Longer term, though, Machine Learning may start depending on more memory integrated directly on the compute die (or compute on the memory die). That is going to be a real challenge, of course, since the processes that optimal for compute are not efficient for memory, and vice versa. I'm not sure how they will solve that without huge compromises. Maybe some kind of micro-chiplet-stacking? Or maybe some kind of hybrid lithography?

  • @sebastianmuller4649

    @sebastianmuller4649

    Жыл бұрын

    ​@@ThirdLife86 If I/O becomes the limiting factor for some application, then Nvidia or whoever might go to the manufacturer of the best I/O and accept a downgrade in compute. If TSMC isn't the best (or at least one of the best) manufacturer for I/O-bound tasks, they could get into trouble. Essentially, it's one (or several) of those important technology-bets. It will be interesting to see how it develops.

  • @JJRicks
    @JJRicks Жыл бұрын

    6:43 is that Fab 42???? I recognize that bay, it looks like the upper 800s. Ah I miss 42

  • @HablaConOwens
    @HablaConOwens Жыл бұрын

    Around the 15:00 mark you talk about increase cost when shrinking nodes. It is great to hear 6nm is now cheaper than 7nm. Rdna2 refresh gpus should be great for the price.

  • @ThirdLife86

    @ThirdLife86

    Жыл бұрын

    Why should RDNA2 Refresh cards be cheaper ? AMD wants to increase margins just like any other company. I wouldn't expect a big difference here as its just approximately a 15% die shrink while still having the same performance and power constraints. And the "cheapness" comes from a lot of other factors like being able to reuse designs from N7, also cost saved that you won't see on the finished product. RDNA3 has been more cost optimized than RDNA2 ever was and what do you get ? More expensive cards and higher margins. I don't get why people always think companies will hand out gifts now that they save a tiny fraction on something.😂 Just calculate how much of an impact those 15% wafer area have - its next to fucking nothing. The 6950XT has a 520mm² chip, with a very low defect density of say .075 you can get approximately 71 chips out of a 9350 USD 12" wafer -> 131 USD per chip. Now with a 15% smaller die (452mm²) it would result in about 84 dies per wafer -> 111 USD. If AMD gave you all the savings your 699 USD card will now cost 679 USD. That is really GREAT for prices right ? 😆 Those 20 bucks really make that difference on 700 Dollar (ex 1k+ Dollar) Product. Doesn't change anything for customers and in reality they'd pocket the difference on manufacturing.

  • @nothing9220
    @nothing9220 Жыл бұрын

    Great content as usual

  • @cryptocsguy9282
    @cryptocsguy9282 Жыл бұрын

    It will be super interesting to see where this whole thing with TSMC(and ASML , not mentioned in this video) goes with regards to the future of the semiconductor industry and the economics and politics surrounding it. Considering that these foundries keep bring newer nm process nodes online every few years it makes you wonder what they have access to but aren't releasing to consumers just yet

  • @The8224sm
    @The8224sm Жыл бұрын

    TSMC is on a list of companies worldwide that must be protected at all costs, a consideration that China must take seriously. The Arizona Fab, which is under construction at the moment, may find problems at the initial start-up of production, this may take some time before all the glitches and snags have been ironed out, before full-scale production. Taking water from the already depleted aquifer may not provide suitably consistent quality. The osmosis process for returning the used water to the aquifer may have problems attaining a suitable standard of purity, considering the chemicals used in the preparation of the silicone discs.

  • @zenlei8258

    @zenlei8258

    Жыл бұрын

    They say water is 99% treated and recycled back to the plant.

  • @Koksn_Todorov

    @Koksn_Todorov

    Жыл бұрын

    Why are they building in Arizona? Do they rely on solar power or what? I imagine cooling is gonna consume much energy also. Can something similar to what happened with Texas' power grid and cuts happen in Arizona.

  • @lancecruwys2177

    @lancecruwys2177

    Жыл бұрын

    @@Koksn_Todorov Texas power grid is a mess. It doesn't get much help from FERC and as a result, it can't handle emergencies like what happened recently. It's a making of its own doing. I love Texas, but they have made some dumb decisions due to their horrible leadership in the past decades.

  • @The8224sm

    @The8224sm

    Жыл бұрын

    @@Koksn_Todorov Arizona's power supply comes from coal (28%), natural gas (24%), and nuclear (29%). You are right, cooling is going to be a problem. From memory. I think that Texas, unlike most other states was not interconnected to out-of-state power supplies. Unfortunately, politics plays a part in the decision to build in Arizona, which TSMC has to work with, considering the fact that the Biden government gave billions in subsidies to TSMC to build the fab in a less desirable location. The main reason to build in the US is that China may decide to invade Taiwan. The loss of ultra-small microchip manufacturing, if China invaded, would seriously affect the Western world economies. To overcome the loss of Taiwan a US fab would maintain the chip supply. Even on a mundane level, Apple would lose their entire supply of microchips. Basically, no other company in the world can make chips that small.

  • @naniyo0
    @naniyo0 Жыл бұрын

    great video as always! would it be possible to share the source of the charts shown in 15:07? i m very eager to learn more about these trends, thx!

  • @tucker8594
    @tucker8594 Жыл бұрын

    Great content! This video really provided a lot more clarity on why Fabs are so important....

  • @danieln6700
    @danieln6700 Жыл бұрын

    The guy who founded TSMC really helped taiwan keeping Taiwanese independence by starting that sillicon sheild.

  • @bmo3778
    @bmo3778 Жыл бұрын

    AMD CEO: Real Men have fabs Lisa Su: bet!

  • @rfvtgbzhn
    @rfvtgbzhnАй бұрын

    16:01 it will occur at some time, because there are physical limits on how small you can make structures. Some estimate it is at 2-3 nm, so we are not far from it. Density might be increased a bit further after that with chip stacking, but this will reach thermal limits at some point.

  • @open_ckt
    @open_ckt Жыл бұрын

    Next do ASML please

  • @Pakrho
    @Pakrho Жыл бұрын

    I think the bar chart at 1:19 is misleading. The bars are not in correct proportion to each other. A quick excel plot suggests that no bar does match with other bars. No big deal, but I somehow noticed it

  • @Mradii1905
    @Mradii1905 Жыл бұрын

    Would you also consider making a video about fabs and the markets around other semiconductor technologies like GaN or SiGe?

  • @simptrix007

    @simptrix007

    Жыл бұрын

    Where is SiGe used? I already own some GaN PSUs.

  • @fglatzel
    @fglatzel Жыл бұрын

    As long as you are way ahead of your enemy and keep on moving forward while they play catching up.

  • @Bob-ke9in
    @Bob-ke9in Жыл бұрын

    Wow. Thank you. Great video. Helps explain why Buffett is making an investment in this company. Maybe me too.

  • @sludgefactory241
    @sludgefactory241 Жыл бұрын

    ASIANOMETRY!! One of the best channels on this platform, hands down.

  • @spyrossrules
    @spyrossrules Жыл бұрын

    As usual, another great vid!

  • @hkchan1339
    @hkchan1339 Жыл бұрын

    Do you have the permission to copy and upload Asianometry's video to start with?

  • @1fareast14
    @1fareast14 Жыл бұрын

    16:02 due to co-design, a price sensitive customer won't redesign a low end product just to get the same performance elsewhere

  • @klapas1821
    @klapas1821 Жыл бұрын

    Beautiful video, very informative. Thank you!!!

  • @TechAltar

    @TechAltar

    Жыл бұрын

    Glad you enjoyed it!

  • @Sakthivel2542

    @Sakthivel2542

    Жыл бұрын

    @@TechAltar Fantastic Video

  • @amirbahalegharn365
    @amirbahalegharn365 Жыл бұрын

    thanks for such great video you made to bring it to us

  • @onceuponfewtime
    @onceuponfewtime Жыл бұрын

    How about asml, photomask providers, Carl zeiss and some other tools?

  • @Breadfan00
    @Breadfan00 Жыл бұрын

    Starkes Video👍🏼

  • @AshAYP22
    @AshAYP22 Жыл бұрын

    Amazing

  • @jedics1
    @jedics1 Жыл бұрын

    Great video, Im sitting here watching it on my 5nm M1Air which works like a portable machine always promised but failed to deliver. Truly all day battery life and powerful enough for everything short of video editing in 8K and is barely noticeable carrying it in a bag for the day, now if they can just put all the relevant ports back into them like they used to include so we can forget the dongle bad dream forever and I will be even more excited for a 3nm future.

  • @msp5138

    @msp5138

    Жыл бұрын

    So basically you wasted your money on a overpriced toy.

  • @jedics1

    @jedics1

    Жыл бұрын

    @@msp5138Nothing about it is a toy, it doesn't even support good games. I bought it second hand for half new price. I bet you end up wasting more money than me on another garbage pc laptop before I need another machine.

  • @garyeuscher4499

    @garyeuscher4499

    Жыл бұрын

    I have a HP laptop. I dropped it out of my unzipped back pack 3 times from shoulder height. Still works great! Bought IPAD , fell out of tankbag . Broke screen Replace screen. Broke screen again. Scrap. HP makes good products!

  • @omarkul5320
    @omarkul5320 Жыл бұрын

    New thumbnail got my attention

  • @DivineMisterAdVentures
    @DivineMisterAdVentures Жыл бұрын

    Top notch.

  • @benlex5672
    @benlex5672 Жыл бұрын

    2:29 the curve would be wrong if you look at how much TSMC earns from R&D and design services.

  • @jmssun
    @jmssun Жыл бұрын

    Don’t forget that the head of nVidia and AMD are Taiwanese as well, the engineering foundation for the island is incredible

  • @ericward7996

    @ericward7996

    Жыл бұрын

    AMD and the spin-off foundry business Global Foundries are not Taiwanese.

  • @cryptocsguy9282

    @cryptocsguy9282

    Жыл бұрын

    @James Sun Nvidia and AAMD CEOs were raised in America and are apparently related to each other haha

  • @u-tone1997
    @u-tone1997 Жыл бұрын

    China exist: USA exist: TSMC: *akwardly sweating*

  • @intuitivme
    @intuitivme Жыл бұрын

    Transistors are close to their end. New tech is needed. This means that depending on who comes up with it may lead the next cycle.

  • @100c0c

    @100c0c

    Жыл бұрын

    What is theorized to be next?

  • @olaolaolaola8663
    @olaolaolaola8663 Жыл бұрын

    Could you reup your NFT video, cant find it in any more.

  • @shaileshdharme
    @shaileshdharme Жыл бұрын

    The graph shown at the 2:30 is so subtle yet fruitful, the statistics and representation is just next level.

  • @kai990
    @kai990 Жыл бұрын

    isnt basically every conflict between two or more humans an armed conflict, considering how most humans have two arms?

  • @akhileshbehera2835
    @akhileshbehera2835 Жыл бұрын

    Tech altar amazing mind blowing tech research analysis .Huge respect to your informative video. Eagerly waiting for your new video .Kudos to you & to your team.

  • @bahrudinahsanuliman5294
    @bahrudinahsanuliman5294 Жыл бұрын

    Why did you change the title?

  • @ITFA
    @ITFA Жыл бұрын

    I like the monopoly perspective on global value chain smiles😂

  • @eklim2034
    @eklim20345 күн бұрын

    The phrase was said by Jerry Sander, not Lisa Su whom photo you showed

  • @pepsee0
    @pepsee011 ай бұрын

    ASML, NXP Semiconductors, and STMicroelectronics lead the Dutch chip industry and are also major players in the global arena.

  • @weicheng5939
    @weicheng59399 ай бұрын

    He does NOT move BACK to Taiwan. He moved TO Taiwan. Taiwan was a totally new place for him back then. He mentioned that in his interview with Computer History Museum. He is Chinese American who moved to US at the age of 18.

  • @Archer-hg9rw
    @Archer-hg9rw Жыл бұрын

    TSMC didn't break the smiling curve, their biggest advantage is actually R&D

  • @Fohty6
    @Fohty6 Жыл бұрын

    7:12 Ive walked this silver highway thousands of times. Every time I walk down it, I am marveled by the amount of advancement our race has made in technology the past few decades.

  • @doctormafia6300
    @doctormafia6300 Жыл бұрын

    Why u changed the title of the video

  • @Stopinvadingmyhardware
    @Stopinvadingmyhardware Жыл бұрын

    Awesome company

  • @jamescole3152
    @jamescole3152 Жыл бұрын

    The sound could be better.

  • @Lucaat
    @Lucaat Жыл бұрын

    It's not only business decisions. The US and others would want TSMC fabs on their soil or other leading edge fabs as a matter of national security. In a way I believe Taiwans protection insurance is TSMC. TSMC and the many other IT manufacturers like board manufacturers CAN be successful abroad, but is that really in the national interest of free Taiwan? Probably not. So in the end it is about what is more important money or democratic principles. Depends on the government. But you are going to see nations drop Taiwan like a stone once they have fab needs fullfilled. Sad but true.

  • @DathCoco

    @DathCoco

    Жыл бұрын

    I think that's too easy. Taiwan has also a geographic key location to block China from the global oceans in case of war

  • @havencat9337

    @havencat9337

    Жыл бұрын

    very true....i dont understand why TSCM is giving up so easily, they are literally irreplaceable! 92%market share on top nodes its de facto monopoly

  • @googane7755

    @googane7755

    Жыл бұрын

    Even without TSMC, Taiwan is still an important strategic ally for the US in countering China. What happened here was that they further raised the stakes that just ended up making China more likely to invade and the US more committed to it's defence. It's a delicate balancing act...

  • @yukin1990

    @yukin1990

    Жыл бұрын

    Well wrong ..... Taiwan has also a geographic key location to block China advance through the Pacific Ocean...and Taiwan Strait life line of Japan and South Korea

  • @lancecruwys2177

    @lancecruwys2177

    Жыл бұрын

    TSMC might be a one trick pony but Taiwan has a mature tech. infrastructure. They offer more than just chips. I can't imagine all chips being producted domestically. That would just cost the average customer way too much unless we are willing to pay lower wages or pay more for the product. And Taiwan is also in a strategic position in terms of military advantages. Taiwan isn't going to be dropped in any way lol

  • @OneEyedMonkey9000
    @OneEyedMonkey9000 Жыл бұрын

    2:40 It's almost like economics textbooks are wrong 🤔

  • @Mayahrtnv
    @Mayahrtnv Жыл бұрын

    Well, an iteresting video to watch. Good day from Taiwan

  • @TheDude50447
    @TheDude50447 Жыл бұрын

    Interesting Apple gets mentioned in the profit curve since they also get their stuff produced at TSMC :D

  • @priyanshughanghas6627
    @priyanshughanghas6627 Жыл бұрын

    Please attach sources.

  • @oppenz3723
    @oppenz3723 Жыл бұрын

    I think TSMC knows it won't be long before the average consumer will stop buying the latest chip because cost per performance have actually lower than previous gen, on par at best. The industry and professional sector will fill that gap, with the rise of AI and also Cloud gaming there will be plenty of business to be done. All they need is scaling it a little bit. That's why they're expanding their old fabs into US just like Samsung did. Long term demands for older chip will be there, since at this point most devices don't even need last two gen chip to perfectly function. Best tech made in their home turf while other countries got the old one with stable demands is pretty good decision.

  • @carlodeguzman683
    @carlodeguzman683 Жыл бұрын

    apple already skipped whole series soc upgrades. they only upgraded the soc on the 14 pro max from last yr

  • @tonyburzio4107

    @tonyburzio4107

    Жыл бұрын

    Apple botched their ray tracing design, and delayed 3nm until this is fixed.

  • @appa609
    @appa609 Жыл бұрын

    There's no point to chips smaller than 10 nm except some specialty applications with super constrained space and power. For snything like a laptop or phone it makes no difference.

  • @Aditzu21
    @Aditzu21 Жыл бұрын

    Great video man, but that dirty lens effect is just so annoying. Who thought that was good idea?

  • @korakys
    @korakys Жыл бұрын

    This felt like a high production value Asianometry video. *checks description* Yeah, makes sense.

  • @flixbox5226
    @flixbox5226 Жыл бұрын

    Is tsmc the one who overclocked sd gen 2 for galaxy s23 series?

  • @user-vu9ow9dz7q

    @user-vu9ow9dz7q

    Жыл бұрын

    是的

  • @MajorAngel
    @MajorAngel Жыл бұрын

    Hold tight, since 97', Mediatek is catching up fast

  • @hariskhan-xj4wk

    @hariskhan-xj4wk

    Жыл бұрын

    Far far behind

  • @Othmaun
    @Othmaun Жыл бұрын

    What an analysis! incredible & genuis

  • @Pyrrhic.
    @Pyrrhic. Жыл бұрын

    TSMC has high margin because they basically the only game in town of scale. Specialization is key to profitability

  • @danhoffman9232
    @danhoffman9232 Жыл бұрын

    The market is driven by cost, power cunsumption and speed. The idea of loss of cost advantage of smaller features is not a realistic view of the market.

  • @LWRC
    @LWRC11 ай бұрын

    That is some serious brain power and performance results from TSMC!!! Absolutely brilliant!!! The reason why TSMC had the inverted manufacturing curve is because they CAN make chips less than 10 nanometers!!! There aren't too make other chip makers that can do that!!!

  • @Throwingness
    @Throwingness Жыл бұрын

    16:10 The magical solution to more advanced chips for less cost will be the AIs taking over production and design of the chips.

  • @raylopez99
    @raylopez99 Жыл бұрын

    One small correction: $20B a year is not that much money to build a fab, it's about 60 jumbo jets, with about 400 such jets produced a year. Or it's about the GDP of about 1M Americans, which is a mid-sized US city, typically just a suburb. Fairfax County VA for example has a GDP greater than this. But for a KZread video this is fine.

  • @piotrd.4850

    @piotrd.4850

    Жыл бұрын

    That's insane amount of money - equivalent to cost of huge nuclear power plant ( Barakah ) or more than Ford class carrier.

  • @dominictarrsailing
    @dominictarrsailing Жыл бұрын

    hmm, perhaps TSMC is comparable to AWS, they are both a near monopoly service company that extracts a significant proportion of the value from an entire industry, and both by providing access to a technology that their customers would maybe rather do in house, but would require a lot more capital investment, and both also command a generous margin by doing so!

  • @emilianstefan4424
    @emilianstefan4424 Жыл бұрын

    Nothing lasts forever, my man.

  • @loknathbehera6557
    @loknathbehera6557 Жыл бұрын

    Most people will agree that most of the computing power that the newest Apple silicon pack goes unutilized for normal users. I think in the future we won't need powerful chips every single year. The need for a more powerful chip will be felt only after a gap of a few years. Also cloud computing etc will reduce the need for powerful chips in most devices.

  • @msp5138

    @msp5138

    Жыл бұрын

    Finally someone with half a brain...

  • @little2wang665

    @little2wang665

    Жыл бұрын

    I don't agree it.

  • @AlexNomadHuang

    @AlexNomadHuang

    Жыл бұрын

    one word....... ChatGPT

  • @yazu2428
    @yazu2428 Жыл бұрын

    How to prevent semiconductor shortage? Write down to the comments

  • @bigjared8946
    @bigjared8946 Жыл бұрын

    TSMC is a case of too many critical eggs being concentrated in a single basket.

  • @aymane.bencheikh
    @aymane.bencheikh Жыл бұрын

    Why do you keep changing the video thumbnail, you changed it twice now

  • @Rob_F8F
    @Rob_F8F Жыл бұрын

    The TSMC Arizona fab will begin producing 5nm chips in 2024. Another fab is being constructed in Arizona to produce the 3nm chip in 2026. In the meantime, the successor to the 3nm chip will be made at a fab in Taiwan. So, the TSMC Arizona fab will not take over from their Taiwan fabs when it comes to the latest chips.

  • @maximme

    @maximme

    Жыл бұрын

    US will "nationalise" the factory and its tech by saying its NATIONAL SECURITY interest is at stake. TSMC will not have any option.

  • @Rob_F8F

    @Rob_F8F

    Жыл бұрын

    @@maximme That is certainly a possibility. But the Arizona fab will not be producing the smallest chips. Those will be produced in Taiwan.

  • @beatrixaulani7661

    @beatrixaulani7661

    Жыл бұрын

    @@maximme lol, U.S. is not an authoritarian BS of a government like China, even an obvious spyware like Tiktok gets to run in U.S. market. Nice try, bot.

  • @aravindpallippara1577

    @aravindpallippara1577

    Жыл бұрын

    @@1ycan Doesn't really matter all that much - intel already has access to 4nm tech, the actual systemic efficiency is what you want to _steal_ from tsmc, so more than just the people that culture of the company as well

  • @GauthamKrishna9991

    @GauthamKrishna9991

    Жыл бұрын

    The only fab in Arizona capable of building 4nm chips, currently is Intel. The TSMC fab being built only has the capacity for 7nm chips, and the 4nm fabs for TSMC is still currently in Taiwan. Unless Apple is talking about sourcing chips from Intel (Intel's 4nm is up and running, and Apple hasn't named from WHO they were sourcing it from), or talking about building non-CPU chips (which doesn't need as advanced of a process node), it doesn't make sense for them to use a worse fabrication node currently.

  • @TPM188
    @TPM188 Жыл бұрын

    Not only FAANG but also dozens of software companies took most of the top talents from Intel. It's the trend that Pat will not be able to change.

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