The Confirmation Bias

Confirmation bias is a tendency to look for, interpret, and recall information in ways that affirm our preconception. Whenever we encounter objective facts on an issue we look at them through the lens of our own beliefs. As a result, we see and overrate where the two intercept. The bias is strongest for emotionally charged issues or when we search for desired outcomes. This joke illustrates it quite well...
Subscribe to: / @sprouts
A special thank you to our patrons: Avigail, Badrah, Cedric Wang, David Markham, Denis Kraus, Don Bone, Esther Chiang, Eva Marie Koblin, John Zhang, Julien Dumesnil, Mathis Nu, and all the others!!! You keep us going!
If you want to join us, visit / sprouts
Read the entire script here:
docs.google.com/document/d/1-...
SOURCES:
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Self-se...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Daniel_...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hindsig...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirm...
Classroom activity:
www.devpsy.org/teaching/method...
Subscribe to: / @sprouts

Пікірлер: 477

  • @sprouts
    @sprouts2 жыл бұрын

    Help us make more people learn about mental biases: patreon.com/sprouts

  • @drachaksakcha
    @drachaksakcha4 жыл бұрын

    I always knew confirmation bias was a thing and now this video proves it!

  • @smitias_8474

    @smitias_8474

    4 жыл бұрын

    Underrated comment

  • @mueezadam8438

    @mueezadam8438

    4 жыл бұрын

    @Autochron gottem

  • @AHighlandParaglider

    @AHighlandParaglider

    4 жыл бұрын

    Ha!

  • @alanbejarano4940

    @alanbejarano4940

    4 жыл бұрын

    I see what you did there

  • @smitachavan6234

    @smitachavan6234

    4 жыл бұрын

    good point

  • @battleframestudios8989
    @battleframestudios89893 жыл бұрын

    "Familiarity is not easily distinguished from truth." That right there is the most important thing in this video. We see it everywhere nowadays. Everyone jumps on a bandwagon just because they've heard the same few phrases or sentiments uttered over and over and never questioned them. The way Daniel said it was so beautifully simple and easy to understand. I applaud him for that.

  • @sprouts

    @sprouts

    3 жыл бұрын

    Yes!

  • @thomasjamison2050

    @thomasjamison2050

    2 жыл бұрын

    The best word of caution there is as we are now in a situation where the recognized as free press is no longer a free press because it is owned by only a very few individuals who aren't afraid to push their personal biases on the public. The Nazi's did it and it can really be effective. .

  • @gray12566

    @gray12566

    Жыл бұрын

    I think it's more complicated then that. 😂

  • @TheRealGuywithoutaMustache
    @TheRealGuywithoutaMustache4 жыл бұрын

    The perfect way to end the year. This is a surprise and a good one at that.

  • @kalacmadhavan2510

    @kalacmadhavan2510

    4 жыл бұрын

    Jellal

  • @leeeroyjenkins555

    @leeeroyjenkins555

    3 жыл бұрын

    Oh oh

  • @dalgo_na

    @dalgo_na

    3 жыл бұрын

    This is the least expected place to see you. I always found you in anime videos only

  • @xinthebox

    @xinthebox

    3 жыл бұрын

    You are everywhere lmao

  • @srijasarkar3382
    @srijasarkar33822 жыл бұрын

    I'm a Psychology Masters student and I cannot thank this channel enough! LOVE IT ♥️

  • @sprouts

    @sprouts

    2 жыл бұрын

    ❤️

  • @Ricky-nn3be
    @Ricky-nn3be4 жыл бұрын

    3:52 tell me I'm not the only one who thought his nostril is his left eye...

  • @ozzyzee1770

    @ozzyzee1770

    4 жыл бұрын

    Looking at it through that perspective makes the face look so creepy lol

  • @cyb3rspac351

    @cyb3rspac351

    4 жыл бұрын

    Maybe it is intended to be an ambiguous image.

  • @martincattell6820

    @martincattell6820

    4 жыл бұрын

    He looks like a devious frog-man

  • @halicusnguyen8864

    @halicusnguyen8864

    4 жыл бұрын

    I CAN'T UNSEE IT FRIGG

  • @Ricky-nn3be

    @Ricky-nn3be

    4 жыл бұрын

    @@halicusnguyen8864 yw :3

  • @PlanetSenzu
    @PlanetSenzu4 жыл бұрын

    Just being honest - - I have a very negative confirmation Bias. My mom brought me up to expect the worst of people and growing up I have had more of the negative actions confirmed than the positives. Super simple example "Joe says "anytime you need me i'll be there no matter what." I have learned that people say things like that without any actual substance so naturally I write it off as "yeah right". I'm a very independent person and do my best to handle situations on my own but one day I really needed "Joe" so I reached out to him telling myself he wont be able to help. Sure enough Joe 100% says he cant help nor does he even provide any type of alternative answer. I'm not saying by any means EVERY single person is like this but chances are 9 times out of 10 I expect that type of result. I'm trying to change my mindset on this and its a long journey in the making. I'm 28.

  • @iliasepit7385

    @iliasepit7385

    4 жыл бұрын

    since you have identified the problem its 50% solved already

  • @sprouts

    @sprouts

    4 жыл бұрын

    The fact that you are aware of this is a big first step towards change already! All the best to you!

  • @norwegiannignog2470

    @norwegiannignog2470

    4 жыл бұрын

    Dont be like this because people who genuinely care about you will be turned off. Maybe one person (could be joe could not be joe) iust happened to be caught up with his own problems and genuinely couldnt help you Its a confirmation bias to say he was a dick, or to say confidently, oh he was just busy, bias itself is leaning too far into one side so as to close your head to another perspective. But theorizing he couldve been busy is not so much a bias but a more positive rationale which can navigate your way until you actually find out what happened. Again, not talking about your joe friend specifically, just making an example

  • @jyot17

    @jyot17

    4 жыл бұрын

    I am the same but it stems from emotional neglect as a kid. It took slow retraining of my mind after marriage (my husband is very caring) to realise my own needs. I still struggle with asking for help as I feel I will be rejected, I am not worth anybody's time and effort.

  • @greylatern

    @greylatern

    4 жыл бұрын

    Don't depend on inconsistant people. Don't allow inconsistant people to have a position of importance in your life. At the same time if you come at people with a negative mindset you will come off negetively yourself. It could repeal good people and attract bad. It's a mind trap. I had a friend who had a similar issue and her nasty attitude was a huge put off.It's hard to bring yourself to go out of your way for someone like that. To top it off she would ask for help last minute which greatly increased the chances of a no.A Self-fulling prophency?

  • @acoolducksloveryeahweexist
    @acoolducksloveryeahweexist2 жыл бұрын

    Psychologist and Nobel prize winner Daniel Kahneman said "A reliable way to make people believe in falsehoods is frequent repetition. Because familiarity is not easily distinguished from truth"

  • @ukrainetoday960

    @ukrainetoday960

    8 ай бұрын

    That's why that no one can't distinguished Daniel Kahneman speech from truth?

  • @Yui714
    @Yui7144 жыл бұрын

    Confirmation bias is less predominate in people who genuinely don't care either way. The more someone cares about a subject the more skeptical you should be about what they tell you. If someone cares a lot about an issue then you can bet that they've ignored opposition the whole time while allowing all support to build up their tower of ignorance higher. These are people with decades of tower building who don't even have the capacity to imagine what it's like to be on any other team and their likelihood of changing their mind is a strong 0%. They've grown old, their lives stable, their social circles locked in place, and changing what they think now is too radical and risky for their comfortable lives. It's also worth noting that a large undetermined percentage of the population has a wildly different approach to beliefs. Instead of using their own mental ability to form beliefs, they simply preserve energy by adopting whatever beliefs are most popular in their desired circles. These are the same kinds of people who fail to understand that having social approval for a belief isn't the same thing as that belief actually being true. They just lack the ability to process information so the best they can do is copy what other people think. To them, there is no difference between people thinking they are right and actually knowing the truth. This fault has led to popularized immorality throughout our history as a species.

  • @charldutoit9994

    @charldutoit9994

    4 жыл бұрын

    Your words are as insightful as the video itself.

  • @j.m7555

    @j.m7555

    4 жыл бұрын

    Very accurate, it seems to me that the average human could care less if they are being lied to, as long as the lie keeps them comfortable or gives them temporary satisfaction.

  • @SnootchieBootchies27

    @SnootchieBootchies27

    4 жыл бұрын

    All true stuff. At least thats what my brain tells me... 😉

  • @raefmitchell6161

    @raefmitchell6161

    4 жыл бұрын

    But you would be engaging your own confirmation bias if making generalised assertions about other's confirmation bias. E.g. it is not always true that anyone who cares deeply about a subject is necessarily ignoring opposing views or contradictory evidence. After all, it is possible to care about something deeply and acknowledge POV's different to your own.

  • @javierborda8684

    @javierborda8684

    4 жыл бұрын

    @@raefmitchell6161 You're right. And I think caring is absolutely paramount. He says that confirmation bias predominates less in people who don't care either way. Maybe he means that since you must care about something, the highest form of care would be for the truth, which must be precisely linked to morality, which is what he condemns about those who vehemently care about keeping their own opinion. In that case he'd be right. Care must be placed somewhere though, or there would be no point on believing anything (nihilism). Care for truth regardless of what one might initially believe is the highest form of avoiding confirmation bias, and indeed takes incredible courage in many situations. Many academics for example suffer from this "indifference bias" and call themselves skeptics, but use it as an excuse to never look further. Truth requires deep care, even passion I would say.

  • @ohnoknux4163
    @ohnoknux41634 жыл бұрын

    reddit in a nutshell

  • @ralfbond258

    @ralfbond258

    3 жыл бұрын

    agreed

  • @edba1.037

    @edba1.037

    17 күн бұрын

    and twitter, i considered twitter to be worst, based on personal experience, i also have similar experience in reddit, but i'd rather be dealing with reddit users than twitter

  • @itWouldBeWise
    @itWouldBeWise4 жыл бұрын

    This is a fundamentally important concept to understand before critical thinking can even BEGIN.

  • @osse1n
    @osse1n4 жыл бұрын

    Confirmation Bias - survival of the Ego If I am aware of judging for the sake of being right, I have taken a big step towards open mindedness.

  • @kevper96

    @kevper96

    4 жыл бұрын

    Wow you’re everywhere aren’t you?

  • @yoosh9034

    @yoosh9034

    4 жыл бұрын

    Right... Actually, I believe that the "ego", was Freud's way of describing the outcome of our most primal and base desires (id) as conflicting with our learnt behaviours which we participate in out of social obligation and expectation (superego). The ego in that context (i.e. its academic psychological context and the context of this video) isn't really a negative thing at all, and certainly not something that should be stopped from "surviving". It isn't a negative aspect of one's psychology, nor a positive one. It is an entirely neutral psychological description of the balance between our primal desires and our learnt behaviours. At least in its original academic sense (as opposed to the honestly pretty obnoxious and airy spiritualist co-opted understanding that has become popular), you literally can't be without an ego - it is an integral and entirely necessary part of your psychology without which you would be essentially braindead. If that's what you mean by "open minded", I'm not sure that's a great goal to be striving towards. Not to come off as aggressive or anything, I don't have anything at all against you - but this idea you're attempting to propagate has literally nothing to do with this video, and is actually based on a totally inaccurate and misleading understanding of psychological sciences. Cheers.

  • @AbdurraheemGreenReal

    @AbdurraheemGreenReal

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@yoosh9034 interesting. I was following Buddhism for a while as a youth and although I thought it had many useful and salient elements I realised the basic underpinning of the whole philosophy was wrong. I never been able to articulate it quite as comprehensively as did in this comment. I do think that our primal desires often can get the better of us to our detriment and we are not always successful enough at employing our willpower intact (as Kelly McGonigal calls it)…so perhaps its not completely neutral in one sense. It can often be a real enemy.

  • @Counter-Intuitive

    @Counter-Intuitive

    4 ай бұрын

    The Priest was practicing confirmation bias in this story

  • @HumansOfVR
    @HumansOfVR4 жыл бұрын

    *_Always happy to see you upload sprouts!_* Addicted to these illustrations

  • @HandbrakeBiscuit

    @HandbrakeBiscuit

    Жыл бұрын

    The dinosaur at 3:09 is cute...

  • @mueezadam8438
    @mueezadam84384 жыл бұрын

    2:13 An atheist doesn’t have to be raised in a family that is atheistic to be able to reach an apistivist outlook. However, to become a Christian, or a follower of any other Abrahamic faith, you need first be exposed to the mythos in order to even be able to accept it. What I mean is this: How was a Polynesian living all the way on the other side of the world during the spread of Christianity ever expected to convert within his lifetime? Anyway, your video was a beautifully concise explanation of the topic and major kudos to the illustrator!

  • @georgios_5342

    @georgios_5342

    4 жыл бұрын

    That isn't true. It still could happen, and it would be false to assume that one of the two sides is wrong just because it is less probable.

  • @peakjvs4967

    @peakjvs4967

    4 жыл бұрын

    Incorrect. If an individual is born and raised in a family with an atheistic outlook on life, he/she will most likely continue to be an atheist. The same applies to people who are brought up in a religious family. This does not mean that an atheist person cannot convert to a religion, just as a religious individual cannot renounce a religion. What you are thinking about in relation to Christianity in e.g Polynesian is that it is correct that exactly this interpretation of God (Christianity) was initially not known everywhere in the world, but came around due to missionaries. But this does not exclude that people in Polynesian did not believe in a god(s), but their interpretation of god(s) was just different. All countries in the world have/had a belief in god(s), some interpretations were less logical, while other interpretations were more logical, and as time has progressed, the more logical interpretations have become mainstream (Abrahamic faith).

  • @suleymanbabak1973

    @suleymanbabak1973

    4 ай бұрын

    ​@@peakjvs4967what's logical about a god sacrificing himself to himself to create a loophole for a rule he created? Also I was raised in a religious family and that didn't give me any confirmation bias towards religious interpretation of events.

  • @kirkury
    @kirkury4 жыл бұрын

    2,_4_ 6_ as a sequence is ambiguous. Detecting a specific pattern or sequence depends on what mathematical principle relates the first 3 numbers. It is intentionally undefined here, so each person applies their own interpretation.

  • @sprouts

    @sprouts

    4 жыл бұрын

    Yes !!!

  • @luamfernandez6031

    @luamfernandez6031

    2 жыл бұрын

    Yeah, it may be a repeated +2 or the sum of the antecedent numbers determining the next one.

  • @truefilm6991

    @truefilm6991

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@luamfernandez6031 that is the best answer I found so far! I was searching for another rule besides +2 and you found it. If course we need to go about it: what rule is LIKELY being implied here, otherwise it could be an infinite number of rules, including: increasing by any amount, increasing by an even number, increasing by a whole number.... Anything that doesn't contradict this sequence if three numbers.

  • @MICHAELIAKOVIDIS

    @MICHAELIAKOVIDIS

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@luamfernandez6031 or multiplying numbers and then subtracting 2. i.e. (2 x 4) - 2 = 6; (4 x 6) - 2 = 22

  • @HandbrakeBiscuit

    @HandbrakeBiscuit

    Жыл бұрын

    @@sprouts The rule that defines the sequence may even be as simple as the next number is bigger than the current one. 2, 4, 6, 7, 112, 200, 309, 415... [Edit: tried to include a non-conforming number in strikethrough text, but the formatting wouldn't show up properly...]

  • @Zekr0_
    @Zekr0_4 жыл бұрын

    Thank You for explaining such a wonderful topic. I am disappointed that it doesn't have much views as it is something i would consider as eye opener

  • @mangalpuri2001
    @mangalpuri20014 жыл бұрын

    Your sketches are awesome...

  • @shivamgupta-tk2dd
    @shivamgupta-tk2dd4 жыл бұрын

    A very informative video . Great work pal 👍

  • @freevideoservice
    @freevideoservice4 жыл бұрын

    The missing number is unknown, because only that solution makes this riddle sensible.

  • @ehpg120988
    @ehpg1209883 жыл бұрын

    What an art!! Stunning!

  • @MaryJaneHancock
    @MaryJaneHancock4 жыл бұрын

    Good presentation.

  • @amyj.4992
    @amyj.4992 Жыл бұрын

    Just learned this term, in my psychology lecture this past week

  • @jijov.j1545
    @jijov.j15454 жыл бұрын

    Pls, make a video about "productivity"

  • @khanzara9329
    @khanzara93293 жыл бұрын

    Finally I got the concept of confirmation bias after seeing more vdos abt it... Damn great teaching standard 👍👍👍

  • @MC-go3sx
    @MC-go3sx4 жыл бұрын

    Can u please do a video on monocular and binocular perception..

  • @abhimanyusingh7163
    @abhimanyusingh71634 жыл бұрын

    The best channel on YT!

  • @sprouts

    @sprouts

    4 жыл бұрын

    Thank you, Abhimanyu!

  • @abhimanyusingh7163

    @abhimanyusingh7163

    4 жыл бұрын

    Sprouts You're welcome. And thank you for such amazing videos! 🍻

  • @user-lw8im7jn3v
    @user-lw8im7jn3v4 жыл бұрын

    well, it could have been a coincidence that 2 4 6 have some rule behind them, so I suggest that the answer is any random number.

  • @tanjapeters6516
    @tanjapeters65162 жыл бұрын

    2 - 4 - 6 - 2 (repeat) / 2 4 7 (comes after 2 4 6) / 2 - 4 - 6 - 0 (when the original sequence starts with 0 and repeats) / 2 - 4 - 6 - 6 (when the last number becomes first of the next sequel)/ 2 - 4 - 6 - 8 (repetition plus 2) / 2 - ( 4 - 6 ) - 8 (equals - 8: as a math problem) et cetera. Let us please ad the context to an equation.

  • @ayushvishwakarma3547

    @ayushvishwakarma3547

    2 жыл бұрын

    And may be the rule is the next number must always be greater then the previous one like it could be 7 or 8 or may 10 but not less than the previous one

  • @Kam1kaz3dreamer
    @Kam1kaz3dreamer2 жыл бұрын

    It would be appreciated if you guys could do a video on as many Logical Fallacies and bias issues as you can fit into your schedule

  • @omerd602
    @omerd6024 жыл бұрын

    2, 4, 6, 163998. Take OEIS series A258107 (2, 3, 4, 82000), double each term, and subtract 2. Obviously. :)

  • @traininggrounds9450

    @traininggrounds9450

    4 жыл бұрын

    Due to the amount of time we were given in the video to determine a number that went with the sequence it would be MORE obvious to say "8" since it would take less processing to come to that conclusion which is also obvious. But for some reason you felt the need to confirm the bias of this video as if you were understanding the concept. So in this case it is clear that there are many rules that would establish many different answers but the most obvious one is obvious and the fact that it is obvious is proof that this video is confirming its own bias and is wrong.

  • @omerd602

    @omerd602

    4 жыл бұрын

    @@traininggrounds9450 It was a joke. Don't take it seriously.

  • @traininggrounds9450

    @traininggrounds9450

    4 жыл бұрын

    @@omerd602 I did not not know that

  • @ministermichael7243
    @ministermichael72434 жыл бұрын

    2, 4, 6, whats next? There is not enough information to figure that out with any amount of certainty: Could be 8 - counting by 2's Could be 5 to infinity - Ascending numbers. Could be and even number- even numbers only. Could be any number( or nothing )- A rule made up by a smock for the video? Hehe There is no way of knowing for sure with the information we have. Was that it? A question that by the very nature of the problem has many valid anwers to show our human biases. Mmmmmmmm

  • @driftking062

    @driftking062

    4 жыл бұрын

    Man, why do you complicate that much? It's simple arithmetical row, difference equals 2 😜

  • @JohnVDenley

    @JohnVDenley

    4 жыл бұрын

    Here's a better version of that question!! kzread.info/dash/bejne/qH91ltlrf5mXiNI.html After all the right answer could be 7 (numbers increasing) and it could be 10, adding up the two numbers before it (2+4=6, 4+6=10) we need to find out what the wrong options are to be able to work out the correct rule

  • @traininggrounds9450

    @traininggrounds9450

    4 жыл бұрын

    This statement invalidates everything that the IQ test is founded upon. Being able to recognize patterns is a fundamental component to intelligence. Being able to recognize contexts and overlaying realities is another component to intelligence. But now, you are literally doing what the video is talking about because you are trying to validate the video instead of thinking in terms of the bigger context which is life itself. Just because we all obviously recognize the pattern of counting by even numbers doesn't mean this is a bias. It means we can follow our gut to arrive at a conclusion for information we do not know. Albert Einstein did it spectacularly and we call him a genius for it but now for some reason this one video you want to confirm it? But for what reason?

  • @neilh4443

    @neilh4443

    4 жыл бұрын

    @@traininggrounds9450 As long as it's the same one *you* recognise? That immediately casts some doubt on your own ability to approach this question intelligently. The implication of the presenter's request for us to note our answers here is in itself part of a 'pattern' (behavioral) in that it may be inferred that the answer is not an absolute given. :)

  • @traininggrounds9450

    @traininggrounds9450

    4 жыл бұрын

    @@neilh4443 Context dude. Don't lose yourself. Don't miss the wood through the trees or throw out the baby with the bath water. Don't strain a gnat and swallow a camel. Don't forget the big picture when you look through a microscope. Does any of this resonate with you? Just because people may see different avenues or paths to get from A-B, doesn't mean that the given context of A-B doesn't have what is called a "least path". In this instance, 8 is the least path to arrive at and make any continuation of the pattern and its this basic skill that is almost entirely what the IQ test is founded upon to determine some metric of intelligence. So the point of the video is very "use-case" in that it doesn't really pan out in life that we need to think of all the paths from any given A-B scenario but that we only need a path that works with what we have on hand. In general, people get by with that level of intelligence and that's ok. The least path is generally the most obvious or simple solution and sometimes it's actually hard to see that through the trees.

  • @cathjimin
    @cathjimin4 жыл бұрын

    My first thought was 8, because pairs.. but then I thought about 10, because you add the numbers too...

  • @Antiqvity

    @Antiqvity

    4 жыл бұрын

    When they said the correct number it made me think there was only one answer so I thought well then it has to be 8.

  • @gernottiefenbrunner172

    @gernottiefenbrunner172

    4 жыл бұрын

    @@Antiqvity the video misrepresented this test. iirc the correct answer was "three numbers in ascending order", but originally you got to guess a few numbers before locking in your answer and the thing was, people only guessed numbers that they expected to pass, not any they expected to fail, so most got "n, n+2, n+4" as their answer, which always produced three numbers in ascending order, but was still wrong as a rule. which would make perfect sense if you got evaluated on how many numbers you got right, but that wasn't the case.

  • @jarrod752

    @jarrod752

    4 жыл бұрын

    2, 4, and 6 don't equal 10.

  • @VeraDragon

    @VeraDragon

    4 жыл бұрын

    Jarrod 2+4 = 6, 4+6=10

  • @jarrod752

    @jarrod752

    4 жыл бұрын

    @@VeraDragon I was wondering how long it would take for someone to call me out on bad math...

  • @beverywhereyouare
    @beverywhereyouare3 жыл бұрын

    Had to look up the rule ... thank for the challenge :o)

  • @sohtech7723
    @sohtech77234 ай бұрын

    this is good. thank you very much.

  • @TorgerVedeler
    @TorgerVedeler9 ай бұрын

    Confirmation bias is also influenced by desire. If you want to believe something is true, or not true, then you are more likely to hold that belief. And since we need our social support network to survive, we are also more likely to agree with our peers even if we know they are wrong.

  • @AnirudhJas
    @AnirudhJas Жыл бұрын

    My thought was 2-4-6-8, successive even numbers. But I saw some good alternate sequences in the comments. Good one!

  • @singhstar5883
    @singhstar58832 жыл бұрын

    Masterpiece

  • @indviduation
    @indviduation3 жыл бұрын

    God used the weather to steer the eskimo's to find the lost hiker. This should have been the argument by the preacher.

  • @Hampsteadnw3London
    @Hampsteadnw3London2 ай бұрын

    Could someone please let me know what software program is used to do the animation for these videos would really appreciate it. Thank you

  • @augustinpol
    @augustinpol4 жыл бұрын

    It might be 8 for pair numbers as well as 10 None=0, 0+2=2, 2+4=6, 4+6=10

  • @sixtoewolf2

    @sixtoewolf2

    4 жыл бұрын

    2_4_6_ X 2 3 4 5 6 7 2_4_6_8 X=7 or 8

  • @eugenevaticinator4540

    @eugenevaticinator4540

    4 жыл бұрын

    1X4-2= 2 2X3-2=4 4X2-2= 6 6X1-2 = 4 Sequence could go... 2_4_6_4

  • @sixtoewolf2

    @sixtoewolf2

    4 жыл бұрын

    @@eugenevaticinator4540 You're right. It's the patterns that you are most familiar with. Your answer and how you got to it as more of a self description of your own habits

  • @augustinpol

    @augustinpol

    4 жыл бұрын

    Really nice and interesting! All the answers we got for now are 4, 7, 8, 10 and 12

  • @gonzapra1

    @gonzapra1

    4 жыл бұрын

    The answer could perfectly be "38" or "0.5" for all we know. Thats the idea of the experiment.

  • @HrabiaVulpes
    @HrabiaVulpes Жыл бұрын

    Probably the best thing for those reliant on confirmation bias is something that can be even fount on sprouts channel itself - no matter what your views are, you can probably find psychologist, sociologist or philosopher sharing those views.

  • @dennisuvokeke6699
    @dennisuvokeke66994 жыл бұрын

    Hello, please how did you create this animation? Which application? Anyone can kindly tell me, please

  • @sprouts

    @sprouts

    4 жыл бұрын

    Hand drawn sketches, recorded with MinuteVideos.

  • @stevesmith4374
    @stevesmith43744 жыл бұрын

    Another possible solution: The numbers are in increasing order. Any number above 6 would fit the pattern. Including 42069

  • @vurk2crzy

    @vurk2crzy

    3 жыл бұрын

    Nice

  • @omkarajagunde4175

    @omkarajagunde4175

    2 жыл бұрын

    The numbers can also be any even number but mostly at first sight we believe it would be the arithmetic progression with distance of 2

  • @imjustagirl18
    @imjustagirl1826 күн бұрын

    aint no way i thought abt this during dinner and this video appears on my fyp 😭

  • @Akoalawithshades
    @Akoalawithshades3 жыл бұрын

    omg, could not figure out that last picture for the longest time, I thought it was a frog face man.

  • @M.S.K-es2cw
    @M.S.K-es2cw4 ай бұрын

    For me: Not listening to diverse opinions, not considering different options from the one you have, is a weakness, better described as CONFIRMATION BIAS.

  • @FarQuZeDesigns
    @FarQuZeDesigns4 жыл бұрын

    3:43 There you have it. Whatever you‘ve been told in your entire life, it just has to be told enough times for you to believe it.

  • @Chiqsan

    @Chiqsan

    4 жыл бұрын

    Wow your comment just helped me out. I couldn't grasp the concept. I said ohhhh ok aha! So TY! 😄

  • @Seductus99

    @Seductus99

    Жыл бұрын

    Lik safe and effective?

  • @myysterio2
    @myysterio24 жыл бұрын

    Well, it can at least be 2,4,6,8 or 2,4,6,10. There might be other options, but I'm not going to be figuring them out today

  • @chadliampearcy

    @chadliampearcy

    4 жыл бұрын

    Compromise and say 9. Lmao. Actually for real through. The difference of the terms increase by 1. Modify this slightly and get 12 because the difference f(x) of the terms x increase by 1 f(x) = x!

  • @chadliampearcy

    @chadliampearcy

    4 жыл бұрын

    @@ozzyfromspace Uh.. Bias? Why does that apply?? This is just supposed to be a fun missing term in a sequence game. It's not about being open minded or closed minded. Any function is just the same. Missing term games are not a real or valid problem. Not this. Sure you can make problems of the games. But this is not it.

  • @chadliampearcy

    @chadliampearcy

    4 жыл бұрын

    @bad1dobby You are right. My mistake. Thank-you.

  • @serenasibani6078
    @serenasibani6078 Жыл бұрын

    Thank you

  • @diwakarkumargupta1550
    @diwakarkumargupta15503 жыл бұрын

    Which software/ website do you use to create videos?

  • @migueldejesus8344
    @migueldejesus83444 жыл бұрын

    Can somebody tell what program is used to make this animations?

  • @sprouts

    @sprouts

    4 жыл бұрын

    Drawings on iPod using a Hand

  • @DerrickJones19
    @DerrickJones192 жыл бұрын

    I think I read somewhere where it said if you can't clearly explain it to a three-year-old that means you don't understand it.

  • @orange-vlcybpd2
    @orange-vlcybpd24 ай бұрын

    Best example i found so far to convey the topic in a such concise manner. @sprouts Did you create the illustrative story yourself, just for the video, or where is it originating from or what was the source of inspiration? Also surprising for me was the moment where the priest recognized the divine intervention, he didnt even ask for how it happened exactly. And this is one very important part of the bias, you stop to search for further evidence once you got your confirmation.

  • @sprouts

    @sprouts

    4 ай бұрын

    Yes, our artist Pascal Gaggelli, draws all our videos by hand and David Foster Wallace tells this story in his great speech “This is Water”: kzread.info/dash/bejne/dneWqa9tndSrhto.html

  • @mobilephil244
    @mobilephil24410 ай бұрын

    This is a variation on the fact that habit is necessary. Ok, sometimes it backfires and makes an animal predictable to a predator but mostly habit is what has always worked, it is the safe route to the waterhole, it is the safe food to eat, it is the noise to run away from. If that is bias then I am biassed and so is the entire animal kingdom.

  • @tonybuzantraining
    @tonybuzantraining7 ай бұрын

    Numbers are in ascending sequence. Therefore, any number could be next.

  • @Georgia-Vic
    @Georgia-Vic7 ай бұрын

    Confirmation Bias is: Preconceived Outcomes resulting in Self- fulfilling Prophesies!

  • @trainsareepiv
    @trainsareepiv8 ай бұрын

    0:54 Bro became prime Eden Hazard

  • @Carabas72
    @Carabas724 жыл бұрын

    That's a neat trick you go there to make people leave a comment and play the algorithm game.

  • @ukrainetoday960
    @ukrainetoday9608 ай бұрын

    To say that a person has confirmation bias is pure bias, it is accusing a person based on facts of bias without any evidence (confirmation) of this.

  • @pyschologygeek
    @pyschologygeek4 жыл бұрын

    HAPPINESS starts with you. You can be happy with little or miserable with much. It doesn't depend on what you have, rather WHO YOU

  • @archhangell
    @archhangell4 жыл бұрын

    Various possibilities for that followup number...it could either be "8" or "10"...or something completely not considered by me.

  • @billskinner7670

    @billskinner7670

    4 жыл бұрын

    Or 7. Could be "ascending numbers".

  • @biggestnormieever4322
    @biggestnormieever43224 жыл бұрын

    for some reason i feel like the rule and sequence is just: the numbers must get bigger. i think we’re being tricked into doing all this math but rlly it’s much simpler

  • @livenfree
    @livenfree9 ай бұрын

    I was watching how confirmation biased cause two pilots to land in the wrong runway that they were convinced was the right one despite all the red flags and warnings going off on their instrument panel... And it occurred to me. This is perhaps what can happen when we are emotionally and intellectually motivated to get married ... We overlook all the red flags and warning lights telling us this isn't a healthy person to marry.

  • @user-lo5dm2zt2b

    @user-lo5dm2zt2b

    5 ай бұрын

    The heart is deceitful indeed!

  • @The_Other_Ghost
    @The_Other_Ghost3 жыл бұрын

    The priests and atheists could BOTH be using Confirmation biases.

  • @ralfbond258

    @ralfbond258

    3 жыл бұрын

    possibly ✅

  • @bonitabromeliads

    @bonitabromeliads

    3 жыл бұрын

    that's the point of the video

  • @davinjohnson1110

    @davinjohnson1110

    Жыл бұрын

    I thought this was the poorest example they could use

  • @kingharry3260

    @kingharry3260

    Жыл бұрын

    @@davinjohnson1110 I agree, but I think they had to use spirituality vs religion because facts and evidence can be used in every other debate to prove a point.

  • @RiteOfSolaris

    @RiteOfSolaris

    Жыл бұрын

    That's what the video said. It said it directly, and set us up with two stories of confirmation bias.

  • @avishiperera7767
    @avishiperera77672 жыл бұрын

    Is bias assimilation and confirmation bias the same thing?

  • @joenefercarique8124
    @joenefercarique81243 жыл бұрын

    Is this the same with selective criticism?

  • @PopovSB
    @PopovSB Жыл бұрын

    If 2_4_6 are musical degrees, then I assume the sequence is 2-4-6-1-3-5-7

  • @oloruntobaettu5756
    @oloruntobaettu57564 жыл бұрын

    8 Rule is addition of 2 to the previous number

  • @adventureswithfrodo2721
    @adventureswithfrodo27218 ай бұрын

    Each number is larger then the preceding number.

  • @sprouts

    @sprouts

    8 ай бұрын

    Correct

  • @alan2here
    @alan2here4 жыл бұрын

    There are infinite endless continuations, evens yield (8, 10, …), while for composites the answer would be (8, 9, 10, …). Both are reasonably (mathematically, regarding the abstract world) natural, while many are probably not.

  • @dieselguitar1440

    @dieselguitar1440

    4 жыл бұрын

    2 is not composite though. But yes, there are an infinite number of sequences with 2, 4, 6. However I think it's fair to say that 8 is the least complicated answer.

  • @lupushominarius7615
    @lupushominarius76154 жыл бұрын

    The follow-up number is 42. The rule is: write a list of even number more than 0 and less than 7 and, after that, even number bigger than 41.

  • @bryanbagni647

    @bryanbagni647

    2 жыл бұрын

    Ooops, i thought cause 42 is the response to Life, the universe and everything

  • @vyominidevadiga5289
    @vyominidevadiga52894 жыл бұрын

    Add by 2 for each term, next term's 8

  • @sohtech7723
    @sohtech77234 ай бұрын

    very nice!!!!!!!

  • @sprouts

    @sprouts

    4 ай бұрын

    Thanks!!

  • @walterkersting1362
    @walterkersting13624 жыл бұрын

    Believers are chosen.

  • @darsruiz
    @darsruiz4 жыл бұрын

    I was pretty sure its 2,3,4,5,6,7 but now I'm doubting

  • @ozzyfromspace

    @ozzyfromspace

    4 жыл бұрын

    Diego Ruiz there are 5625 registered functions that generate 2,3,4,5,6. Google OEIS and search said sequence :) 99/100 times, your response works, but it just shows that WE have predetermined solutions for a lot of things. Catching yourself applying functions to logic and reasoning is so satisfying 😊🤓🍾

  • @halleffect5439

    @halleffect5439

    4 жыл бұрын

    Wasnt the questio 2,4,6,X Do we ask for x? However, we can never be sure if its 8 or 7 or something else. Maybe its not even a number...

  • @traininggrounds9450
    @traininggrounds94504 жыл бұрын

    Due to the amount of time we were given in the video to determine a number that went with the sequence it would be MORE obvious to say "8" since it would take less processing to come to that conclusion which is also obvious. But for some reason you felt the need to confirm the bias of this video as if you were understanding the concept. So in this case it is clear that there are many rules that would establish many different answers but the most obvious one is obvious and the fact that it is obvious is proof that this video is confirming its own bias and is wrong. What makes an associative rule more obvious than another is directly dependent on the complexity of the logic of the association. Once something becomes communally well established or a "meme" then the level of complexity is smudged. But before knowledge becomes well established in the community, all people are statistically bound to adhere to making simple associations because they are easier to associate.

  • @sprouts

    @sprouts

    4 жыл бұрын

    A+

  • @OliviaWiley
    @OliviaWiley Жыл бұрын

    8 even numbers

  • @MS-ll9qb
    @MS-ll9qb6 ай бұрын

    Very powerful, now apply it to religion and science

  • @ocean8784
    @ocean87843 жыл бұрын

    I already know it by my social experience but later I came to know it have some scientific name.

  • @moonknight_666
    @moonknight_6662 жыл бұрын

    3:39 is it 8?

  • @pihi42
    @pihi422 жыл бұрын

    Next number in unknown sequence 2,4,6,? could be ANY number. BUT the most important sequence in mathematics that fits the pattern is 2,4,6,8, ..n, (n+2), .. It is not about guessing which is the next number but about recognizing the sequence, the rule. If you live in a world where the most important sequence is a(n+1) = a(n)+a(n-1), you should answer 10. You should also be able to understand how to make up the rule given any number in place of ?, for example: find the rule for 2,4,6,11. Confirmation bias has NOTHING TO DO with 2,4,6,? whatsoever.

  • @notes2self

    @notes2self

    Жыл бұрын

    Thank God I'm not the only one who doesn't agree. That was not an example of confirmation bias.

  • @Luxiel610
    @Luxiel6102 жыл бұрын

    what you see is what you see..

  • @aratrikasarkar6203
    @aratrikasarkar62032 жыл бұрын

    Is confirmation bias and belief perseverance the same thing?

  • @curioussrinija8738
    @curioussrinija8738 Жыл бұрын

    Even numbers in Natural No. Set .... 2_4_6_? The next no. Is 8✨ But ya ! Confirmation Bias..... Explains a pot of things😅

  • @sprouts

    @sprouts

    Жыл бұрын

    Or 7 ;)

  • @dazedazed
    @dazedazed3 жыл бұрын

    I wanted to use this video in a media literacy class until I came to the part where you refer to "Eskimos". This is a deeply offensive term. The correct usage is Inuit.

  • @carol-us4xn
    @carol-us4xn10 ай бұрын

    Familiarity is easy mirrored, not necessarily a good idea or thought, but a design for a particular outcome by manipulation will prompt a person to adopt an idea as their own. This can prove dangerous as well as senseless.

  • @edenoniel3541
    @edenoniel35414 жыл бұрын

    7?

  • @alexcringes9740
    @alexcringes97402 жыл бұрын

    Why was the script deleted? UnU

  • @TheGreenPig321
    @TheGreenPig3213 жыл бұрын

    3:32 I came from nexpo, so obviously 21

  • @andjelakrstic139

    @andjelakrstic139

    3 жыл бұрын

    me too and in your user name you have number 21

  • @evancroft4268
    @evancroft4268 Жыл бұрын

    Ascending numbers

  • @kra4687
    @kra46872 жыл бұрын

    3:38 Maths wise it would be 8 as all the numbers are multiples of 2, each number is increase by 2 as well, all of them being even, but there is no definitive answer for this, is not like there is a rule something fixed in place, if the number is 9 or 6 or 112 there is nothing that says it can't be, depends on what you choose here.

  • @jimhurt9343

    @jimhurt9343

    2 жыл бұрын

    or 2 plus 4 is 6 plus 4 is 10.

  • @yannicknana
    @yannicknana4 жыл бұрын

    Pairs 8

  • @jakeislavic3024
    @jakeislavic30244 жыл бұрын

    Xn = Xn-1 + 2 Next number = 8

  • @knowledgeable832
    @knowledgeable8322 жыл бұрын

    The rule is this: the next number must be higher than the previous one.

  • @cnaeuspompeus3188

    @cnaeuspompeus3188

    2 жыл бұрын

    or - it could be any number, like -3.14001 ;)

  • @manikantacharanmasineni7493
    @manikantacharanmasineni74932 жыл бұрын

    The answer is 10 Cause 2-4-6 is organised by 2+2=4,2+4=6,4+6=10. It's my perception it might differ from person to person

  • @alexkumarsingh2805
    @alexkumarsingh28054 жыл бұрын

    2_4_6_? Maybe 8 or 10 8= 2*4 or 10 = 4+6

  • @anitac3086
    @anitac30864 жыл бұрын

    The fact that there is no absolute truth is scary....

  • @joebuckaroo82

    @joebuckaroo82

    Жыл бұрын

    Just curious. Did you take from the video that there is no absolute truth, or is that an aside?

  • @isaiahlozano5301
    @isaiahlozano5301 Жыл бұрын

    alright, the numbers are 3,5, and 7 since they are primary numbers where as 2, 4, and 6 are even numbers

  • @Marylandbrony
    @Marylandbrony3 жыл бұрын

    The answer would be 10 as the next number should be the previous two added up.

  • @larrysmith5811
    @larrysmith58113 жыл бұрын

    add 2