The Art of Thinking Backwards | Philip Mudd | TEDxMemphis

Philip Mudd discusses thinking backwards to solve problems versus traditional methods. He uses his experience in counterterrorism to prove these methods work.
Philip Mudd spent 25 years in the federal government working on national security issues, especially counterterrorism at the CIA, FBI, and White House. He served as the Deputy Director of the Counterterrorist Center at the CIA and the senior intelligence adviser at the FBI. He left government in 2010 and now speaks, writes, consults, and teaches. His most recent book, The HEAD Game, a guid to critical thinking and problem solving, was published in 2015. HE appears frequently on CNN as the network's counterterrorism analyst, and he speaks to universities, law enforcement officials, and companies about issues such as decision-making and national security.
This talk was given at a TEDx event using the TED conference format but independently organized by a local community. Learn more at ted.com/tedx

Пікірлер: 55

  • @parkjihoon394
    @parkjihoon3947 жыл бұрын

    I actually know what he's talking about "thinking backwards".as a web developer, in programming of any kind you have to approach problem solving and implementation in this way all the time

  • @susannec659

    @susannec659

    6 жыл бұрын

    Gentle Breadcat, Esquire could you expound on this just a little I just don't get it and I really want to

  • @Jcarr250

    @Jcarr250

    6 жыл бұрын

    Not the person you responded to, but going to try to explain. Basically in software development it usually just has to be like this. You can't get projects done by running into it from a small design pattern. You generally have to take a top-down approach. What do I want this to do? How are the features going to be integrated? What does my user look like? And from that you start by building out the capabilities. In web you have to consider: What features do I need at the frontend, what features at the backend. Do I need a database? Are there any tools that exist which can help me reach my goals? You basically have to scaffold it out first. If you try to start on a project and don't know what your end goal is you're going to take loads more time.

  • @ThoughtProvokingVlogs

    @ThoughtProvokingVlogs

    4 жыл бұрын

    From my understanding, in layman's terms because I don't know squat about Web Development, is you actually have to plan things out before doing them and you can't just expect to come up with the next steps as you go along. You need to have a plan from the getgo. But really isn't this just life in general?

  • @philanisibanyoni3613

    @philanisibanyoni3613

    2 жыл бұрын

    @@Jcarr250 Thank You, This Made Much Sense (maybe because I'm also a developer) 💯

  • @baonguyennnnn
    @baonguyennnnn7 жыл бұрын

    This excellent speech should have reach to hundred thousand or million people by now, why the number of watching people is so little? And why do some people talking about CIA and 9/11 while the idea of thinking backward is so brilliant here? People are so weird!

  • @maxpachec1688

    @maxpachec1688

    3 жыл бұрын

    People don’t need this, life for some is so comfortable they don’t care, who need this really don’t know what to search

  • @somewhatblankpaper1423
    @somewhatblankpaper14232 жыл бұрын

    Basically, his way of thinking seems pretty common in science field and mathematics. Maybe most of us are doing it without being aware of it. Sometimes, we observe a phenomenon, and we ask ourselves, what are some plausible causes? That constitutes a reverse-engineering aka thinking backwards. Then, the next step is to experimentally show the possibility of some of the plausible causes that we have mentioned. Then, as evidence amounts to a certain degree, the idea will be approved by the scientific community and abstracted into a causation of the event in science. Abstractly, this way of thinking can be conceived as: "Given a fixed end/goal, X, what are plausible sequences of events/conditions that lead to X?". We apply similar idea to mathematical patterns, but we have to prove that the conditions we are dealing with result in our goal. In general, it seems a method of thinking that is useful for pattern discoveries since you already know a goal, but you don't really know what conditions can lead to it.

  • @sandro7
    @sandro74 жыл бұрын

    Everyone who is saying that he’s treasonous, please explain yourselves; you all seem like you just believe things should be done certain ways and are unwilling to consider other options. Even if he was wrong, if people tried to rebuke him reasonably it would necessarily produce an actual argument against him while also strengthening your own views with actual reasoning. Essentially, just because you’ve been taught a certain way, even if the entire world thought a certain way, you need to have reasons to back up those opinions against other perspectives, otherwise there’s no actual reason to say you’re right. So please, people who are saying he’s treasonous, give me a reason, try to convince me and everyone else who agrees with him

  • @RobNarly
    @RobNarly4 жыл бұрын

    17:00 The last minute is the most important... Always Btw, i love to get it a taxi and say just drive XD

  • @emperorza5777

    @emperorza5777

    2 жыл бұрын

    Really? I’ve never done it, where’d you end up lol

  • @ridhwaanquasem7626
    @ridhwaanquasem76263 жыл бұрын

    I thought this would help me in my retrograde chess analysis. It does not.

  • @emperorza5777

    @emperorza5777

    2 жыл бұрын

    Nah fr. Like I normally love intellectual talks like this but this guys all over the place. Head scratcher man

  • @mayowaade879
    @mayowaade8792 ай бұрын

    5:22 Is that Nsima Inyang from Mark Bell’s Power project??

  • @danf4447
    @danf4447 Жыл бұрын

    this guy at the end basically described the peace corps.

  • @maximjupiter8090
    @maximjupiter80902 жыл бұрын

    " The Key is to think , we are too lazy to think " - Maxim Juliter

  • @jaiprakashagrawal3580

    @jaiprakashagrawal3580

    Жыл бұрын

    🥰❤💯

  • @Gaming_Therapy254
    @Gaming_Therapy2544 жыл бұрын

    Good talk

  • @questionbazaar3376
    @questionbazaar33765 жыл бұрын

    What the F**k guys. I think this guy is my mentor. He presents the most scientific way to make decisions.

  • @riteshshukla5605

    @riteshshukla5605

    3 жыл бұрын

    💪😂

  • @sanadbenali6993
    @sanadbenali69936 жыл бұрын

    the last question the characteristics of the things I done over the weekends of the last five years which has brought me most joy what does characteristics mean in this context thank you

  • @honestnewsnet
    @honestnewsnet4 жыл бұрын

    That's not thinking backwards it's called setting a goal! A goal is up ahead not backwards or behind you.

  • @Alem_Mehari

    @Alem_Mehari

    3 жыл бұрын

    The goal might be up ahead but you are here... that’s the point.

  • @deannadavis2242
    @deannadavis22423 жыл бұрын

    Great stuff, but rebuking the audience made my ears close a little. I kept watching because I recognize the value of what he’s saying, however, this was an automatic response that’s hard to overcome. He ought to have thought backwards before making his rebuke if his goal was truly about the message.

  • @juanantoniomoreno3409

    @juanantoniomoreno3409

    3 жыл бұрын

    I felt the same and it was quite annoying. I cannot stand speakers who nag the audience in order to persuade. He lost my attention up until the end.

  • @emperorza5777

    @emperorza5777

    2 жыл бұрын

    Wym?

  • @msrikavya9651
    @msrikavya96512 жыл бұрын

    I dont understand

  • @boninugroho5007
    @boninugroho50073 жыл бұрын

    While I fully agree about his idea about inversion thinking ( of which I learned from Charlie Munger before I watched this video), I don't agree about his comparison between kids drowns in the pool against ISIS threat. There are two different fruits. The drowning problem does not have the characteristic of ruins. It will not grow exponentially. When ISIS (or other terrorist groups) able to acquire mass destructive weapons (nuclear for instance), they will caused a much more death and damage than the yearly drowning death. It is like when in the early spread of VOCID-19 pandemic, many what so called experts compare the number of death from malaria, cancer or road accidents with the tiny number of death from COVID -19. They forget that COVID-19 has the exponential characteristic (and ruins) while malaria, cancer or road accidents don't. Fast forward in today's reality, COVID-19 death clearly shows the much more damaging impact in global scale than those other maladies, because of ruins characteristic.

  • @jaiprakashagrawal3580

    @jaiprakashagrawal3580

    Жыл бұрын

    Agree.☺️

  • @flor.7797
    @flor.7797 Жыл бұрын

    Backwards thinking summarises the CIA so well 😂

  • @najibzaoui4073
    @najibzaoui40732 жыл бұрын

    where is the man? well the actual man is either chilling in washington DC or in Tel aviv.

  • @360PHX
    @360PHX3 жыл бұрын

    Haiq

  • @kashifrajput5411
    @kashifrajput54112 жыл бұрын

    Scenario:Taliban Thinking backwards:Who invented them Ans:US & West

  • @flamedenise19
    @flamedenise19 Жыл бұрын

    I like the way he talks and his voice and tone and all. However, the way the idea was presented is not very relatable nor easy to follow... at least for people like me who are really not into topics of terrorism. I would have understood better if a more familiar example is focused on (besides the taxi).

  • @p0llenp0ny
    @p0llenp0ny6 жыл бұрын

    Well you've definitely got the backwards thinking part down pat, Phil.

  • @Lichaz1910
    @Lichaz19103 жыл бұрын

    Is this kinda similar to Elon musk's first principle thinking or socratic method ????

  • @fedupbrown6018
    @fedupbrown60186 жыл бұрын

    PSYCHOPATH NO DOUBT ABOUT IT

  • @7grhpsyfuck272
    @7grhpsyfuck2722 жыл бұрын

    i wonder how this guy meditates. programing senarios. and computer language translations, strange computer programming.

  • @coreyscott9590
    @coreyscott95903 жыл бұрын

    American competition metaphors of "who's gonna win?" and CIA, terrorism, blah, blah, blah.

  • @frilink
    @frilink5 жыл бұрын

    Bush should've think backward before invading Afghanistan......

  • @juanantoniomoreno3409
    @juanantoniomoreno34093 жыл бұрын

    This is not what I was expecting and using Bin Laden was not a good idea.

  • @user-gj6so7gi9i
    @user-gj6so7gi9i6 жыл бұрын

    Lol, another clown in America, no one playing the game gets a pass. Tick Tock

  • @kdiazfermin
    @kdiazfermin2 жыл бұрын

    Made no sense. Thanks

  • @crisclourt2028
    @crisclourt20285 жыл бұрын

    This TED talk is brain washing and the tone aggressive.

  • @ouimetco
    @ouimetco2 жыл бұрын

    Ra ra ra America… bs

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