Strong Economy ... Say Good-Bye to Rate Cuts? | Elliott Wave S&P500 VIX Technical Analysis
Rob Roy is back with his Elliott Wave US market update for stock and option traders. He comments on Fed cuts, the latest non-farm payrolls report and emphasizes caution amidst fluctuations in Fed fund futures forecasts. Additionally, Rob analyzes indicators like interest rates, the dollar, and volatility to provide a holistic view of the market landscape.
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:: Sections in this Video ::
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00:00 - Introduction
00:25 - US Market Update
01:33 - SPY
03:10 - TNX
04:55 - US DOLLAR
06:31 - VIX
07:32 - DIA
08:39 - QQQ
09:36 - IWM
11:12 - BITCOIN
12:26 - COIN
13:18 - USO
15:39 - GLD
17:54 - AAPL
19:24 - META
21:36 - BA
23:55 - TSLA
26:14 - TradeFinder
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Пікірлер: 104
ThkU Rob for ALL you do... helping those who want to help themselves become better informed & money managers for self & family! U R DA MAN !!!
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Thanks for the comments, very much appreciated!
Great commentary! Thanks for your insights Rob!
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Thanks for the comments and the post!
Thanks, Rob! Appreciate seeing how COIN and Bitcoin move so much alike.
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Thanks for the comments and the post!
Thanks for the analysis Rob!
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Thanks for the post!
Thanks for your generosity. Appreciate your videos.
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Thanks for the post!
Thanks so much for your sharing and great analysis! It's very useful and helpful! Have a nice weekend! Rob
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Thanks for the comments and you as well!
I thought we closed around SPY 518.60 or so
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
That is correct......I start the recording right at the close, sometimes everything isn't settled yet......the key is that we didn't close back above 520 in my opinion. Thanks for the post!
Hey Rob I really appreciate you sharing your insight about the markets. I've been a fan of yours since the "O" company that you used to give seminars with. Not sure if it's cool to mention the full name or not, but I think you know what I mean. Thanks man!
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
I do know and it's fine to mention them! I thought it was a shame that they got bought out and shut down......I won't mention who bought them! LOL Thanks for the comments and the post!
Thank you Rob!
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Thanks for the post!
Thank you for covering the NFP numbers, great insight.
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Thanks for the post!
Great comments on the labor report and how to interpret it. See you on ewo insiders TY
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Thanks for the comments and sounds great!
Thanks Rob! I live in the states and clearly SPY and QQQ have been the place to be for the last 15 years, but I'm always looking for a paradigm shift and I'm hoping that you can include EEM, ILF, or some more individual country ETFs. Really appreciate you!
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Will do on the next recording! Thanks for the post!
Appreciate the fast- moving concise information. Though, sometimes need to replay.
Love your updates. What's your opinion on the war that may be coming. Gold must be priceing it in
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Increased war issues was one of my black swans to start the year. Sadly, war has been historically good for the markets......but I agree, that could be an added bid to gold. Thanks for the post!
I'm so happy I made productive decisions about my finances that changed my life forever,hoping to retire next year.. Investment should always be on any creative man's heart for success in life
@findingpath8362
Ай бұрын
You're right, with my current crpyto portfolio made from my investments with my personal financial advisor Stacey Macken , I totally agree with you
@josehenry7205
Ай бұрын
Yes I'm familiar with her, Stacey Macken demonstrates an excellent understanding of market trends, making well informed decisions that leads to consistent profit
@wells7147
Ай бұрын
YES! that's exactly her name (Stacey Macken) I watched her interview on CNN News and so many people recommended highly about her and her trading skills, she's an expert and I'm just starting with her....From Brisbane Australia
@dorathystephanie7702
Ай бұрын
I'm surprised that this name is being mentioned here, I stumbled upon one of her clients testimony on CNBC news last week
@LindaHarmel
Ай бұрын
This Woman has really change the life of many people from different countries and am a testimony of her trading platform .
Oil is going to 85. I am driving a Challenger and need USO to go up to pay the gasoline bill.
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
LOL! I drive a Hellcat myself and feel your pain! Nice hedge on going long USO to offset gas prices! Thanks for the post!
Thanks for sharing these market update
Thx Rob.......the bullish extreme readings for stocks + the wave pattern would suggest a decent correction
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Thanks for your take and the post!
thx Rob, appreciate your insights as always
excellent summary, as always ;)
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Thanks for the comment and the post!
Thanks for the great analysis. How's the rate increase looking for commodities at this point?
Love your macro views
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Thanks for the comment and the post!
Awesome recap. Coming to Houston anytime soon?
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Thanks for the comment! No plans for Houston anytime soon, however I've always enjoyed my visits there. Enjoy the eclipse!
Good stuff. Keep it coming!
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
I'll do my best, thanks for the post!
which elliot software sir ? tks KC
Drawing, thank you.
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Thanks for the post!
great update
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Thanks for the post!
The hubb sign up still isn't working. I posted about it weeks ago. Still nothing.
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
It is working, they are signing up 100's of people a week for the beta. What browser are you using? Perhaps try a different one. Thanks for the post!
@BlackLegendVideo
Ай бұрын
@@robroy3343chrome. Tried on mobile and desktop. Just tried just now too, same problem. When I first posted that the red button wasn't working weeks ago another person said they had the same problem and said what the problem was. Something about Java on the site. You're saying they are signing up 100s of ppl so it's w/e man. Guess it's not meant for me to have
As far as Tesla goes, the $120's are plausible. The electric recharging infatru cture is not progressing as expected. In the US, that is contributing to a reduction in EV auto sales.
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Thanks for your take and the post!
There aren’t going to be rate cuts and there wasn’t going to be. The Fed funds futures cycle doesn’t show cuts until the start of next year. Does it matter ? Probably a bigger sell off when the market figures it out then back higher
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Thanks for your take and the post!
The Elliot wave graph on T-notes seem to be wrong. How can wave 2 drop below start of wave 1? You say it’s exactly based on Elliot rules but it’s violating his rule here.
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
The EW rules are that Wave 2 cannot drop below the "start" of Wave 1 and it didn't. The start of Wave 1 was on 12/27/23 and the low that day was 37.89......The Wave 2 low was 38.17 on 2/1/24. It's the Wave 4 low that can't violate the Wave 1 high. Love that you're paying attention to the rules however! Thanks for the post!
470s by EOM (4/24) then that 540 End of May (5/20)
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Thanks for your take........your pricing is right along the lines of the EW projections "IF" we are indeed starting a correction. Thanks for the post as well!
@larrysmith2608
Ай бұрын
@@robroy3343 we will top out once more into 10th (squeeze on what u call zigzag) then finish the falling wedge that started end of march.
Hey man ✌️
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Back at ya!
Was mara or riot covered on either channel recently?
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Mara gets asked about fairly often during TradeFinder, but it has been a while on this market update. I'll add one of them in. Thanks for the post!
@johns3668
Ай бұрын
@robroy3343 thanks yea peculiar how low they are besides the fact retail is chasing them including myself thanks
@gavnonadoroge3092
Ай бұрын
@johns3668 mara looks like an enron candidate
@johns3668
Ай бұрын
@gavnonadoroge3092 that would mean u think bitcoin is going to zero and that's not my thesis I don't see management at mara doing the enron speels at conference calls and events haha but end of day best to own cold wallet btc yes just want a little extra juice
Rob we get it, the software is programmed to the exact specifications of Ralph Nelson Elliot. You say that every week! We all know Ralph's middle name
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Fair point. Hopefully you can understand that there are new viewers each week. Always appreciate feedback. Have a great rest of your weekend!
@bannistervoid
Ай бұрын
@@robroy3343 aw I’m just kidding around with ya buddy! I understand. Keep up the good work I’m learning a lot from you!
Tesla cars and Tesla shares down what a double whammy. I cant see what will "drive" the prices up on their shares either...unless they hit 100 Bucks.
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
TSLA got a little bounce after hours Friday on Elon's post about the robotaxi.......but he's said that several times in the past, I doubt the little bounce holds next week. $100 would certainly be interesting for TSLA if it gets there. Thanks for the post!
Relying on Elliott's exact algorithm is like basing all science based on Galileo and Newton, ignoring things being made more precise.
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
I respect your opinion. There are a lot of personal adaptation EW softwares out there.......I just choose to follow the algorithm as RN Elliott wrote it. The most important thing in my opinion is to find a technical indicator (or indicators) one likes, learn it, get good at it and trust it. Thanks for the post!
@gavnonadoroge3092
Ай бұрын
@briankuczynski4375 can you name more precise things?
@briankuczynski4375
Ай бұрын
@@gavnonadoroge3092...revisions by Frost and Prechter, for example. Some of the counts made by the Hub algorithm are laughable. Labeling minute fluctuations as higher degree counts, while the truly huge movements have absolutely no label. Wave 3s are supposed to be motives, but this algorithm labels obvious non-wave 3s, with huge pork bellies and non-motive movements, as such. Perhaps Hub is just claiming to be exactly as Elliott wrote them as a marketing stretching of the truth to the point of falsehood...like companies claiming their product is the best. Nonetheless, the first attempt at noticing the psychology of the market, or of the reality of existence, or anything at all will NEVER be the most reliable one. We'd still be bloodletting or going with eart-centeted cosmology. We could stop reading psychology at Sophocles. The notion that Elliott was first and final is even more ridiculous than the silly counts this algorithm spits out.
Red week for me. 😢
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
It happens, but it's the long term success that matters most. Thanks for the post!
👍🙏🤗
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Thanks for the post!
👍🙏💯👊💪👏☝️
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Thanks for the post as always!
it looks like meta is cooking its financials
@robroy3343
Ай бұрын
Something is cooking at META, that's for sure! Thanks for the post!